Fortune

Where Smart Money Goes When the Going Gets Tough

Our panel of investing experts hasn’t been fazed by the market’s recent bumpy ride. Here’s where they’re spotting profitable opportunities.

JOHN LINEHAN

T. Rowe Price

Chief Investment Officer, Equity

CATHERINE WOOD

ARK Invest

CEO

LORI KEITH

Parnassus Investments

Portfolio Manager and Senior Research Analyst

KATE WARNE

Edward Jones

Principal and Investment Strategist

ED SIM

Boldstart Ventures

Founder and Managing Partner

THE ECONOMY AND THE STOCK MARKET don’t always march in lockstep, and investors got a sharp reminder of that fact this fall. Parade-and-fireworks-worthy GDP growth and employment numbers shared the spotlight with an ugly market slide that took some previously beloved stocks into bear-market territory. Fears about inflation and trade tensions were among the culprits; so was the pervasive sense that the U.S. bull market, nearly 10 years old, can’t last much longer. (For more, see our August cover story, “The End Is Near.”) So which companies will be able to deliver standout returns as the market’s mood gets more downbeat? To answer that question, Fortune convened our annual roundtable of investors.

This year’s panel included Lori Keith, portfolio manager at Parnassus Investments, which specializes in socially responsible investing and has $28 billion under management; John Linehan, chief investment officer for equity at T. Rowe Price, which has $1.1 trillion under management; Catherine Wood, CEO of ARK Invest, a firm whose investments focus on “disruptive innovation”; Kate Warne, investment strategist for $1 trillion financial services firm Edward Jones; and Ed Sim, founder of Bold-start Ventures, an early-stage venture capital firm specializing in tech infrastructure and software development. Here, edited excerpts from their discussion.

FORTUNE: With growth strong and unemployment low, it’s hard not to feel that we’ve reached the peak of an economic cycle. So what comes next? Is it a gentle slowdown or something more severe?

KATE WARNE: We may be at the peak growth rate, like we saw in the second quarter with growth above 4%. But many of the factors that have kept the economy growing and have kept the unemployment rate falling remain in place. We do expect growth to fade a bit as tariffs bite, and the impact of the tax cuts from this year won’t be as strong next year. But we don’t see this as some kind of peak. Think of 2019 as part of this long, extended expansion.

FORTUNE: Are there adjustments you’re making to adapt to that more gradual change?

WARNE: As we get late in the cycle, we need to own more fixed income to protect against volatility. On the equity side, I’d look at companies that have pricing power. We’re seeing cost pressures from higher tariffs and from some of the shortages and bottlenecks in the economy. Companies that can pass on whatever higher costs they see are much better positioned at a time like this. In the medical space, for example, you’ve got

Você está lendo uma amostra, registre-se para ler mais.

Mais de Fortune

FortuneLeitura de 1 mins
Don’t Fall for Wall Street’s Optimism
AFTER A BRUTAL DECEMBER, when trade turmoil and signs of slowing growth sent global stock markets into a tailspin, America’s investment institutions did the sensible thing: They reduced their 2019 stock-price targets for the S&P 500. But they didn’t
FortuneLeitura de 2 mins
Remembering Herb
ON A VISIT to Southwest Airlines’ headquarters in Dallas, employees strolling the corridors stop to chuckle at a kind of mirth-filled museum depicting its legendary cofounder hugging and mugging. Workers can gawk at a life-size cutout of Herb Kellehe
FortuneLeitura de 5 mins
The Hidden Upside To CEO Drama
When a company axes its chief executive, its stock often plummets. But when the firing is part of a bigger overhaul, investors can win in the long run. Here are some shake-ups worth celebrating.