The Atlantic

The Oceans We Know Won’t Survive Climate Change

Sea-level rise <span>will become </span>unmanageable, and life will flee the world’s tropical oceans, a new report from the UN climate panel says.
Source: Sergio Moraes / Reuters

Today a baby girl was born. Consider the years of her life—how she’ll think back to her childhood in the ’20s (the 2020s) and become a teenager in the ’30s. If she’s an American citizen, she’ll cast her first vote for president in the 2040 election; she might graduate from college a year or two later. In the year 2050, she’ll turn 31, and she’ll be both fully grown up and young enough to look to the end of the century—and imagine she may get to see it.

We hold the fate of that girl—and of the society she inhabits—in our hands. That’s the message of a blockbuster new report, released today, from the United Nations–led Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).

While the report covers how climate change is reshaping the oceans and ice sheets, its deeper focus is how , in all its forms, is closely tied to human flourishing. If our water-related problems are relatively easy to manage, then the problem of self-government is also easier. But if we keep spewing carbon pollution into the air, then the resulting planetary upheaval would constitute “a major strike against the human endeavor,” says , a lead author of

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