The Atlantic

The Pandemic’s Final Surge Will Be Brutal

Over the weekend, the seven-day average of COVID-19 deaths passed the spring’s peak.
Source: Alex Edelman / AFP / Getty Images

Editor’s Note: The Atlantic is making vital coverage of the coronavirus available to all readers. Find the collection here.

In the spring, during the first COVID-19 surge in the United States, the rising death toll reached a sobering peak in April—a seven-day average of 2,116 daily deaths. This past weekend, the seven-day average of U.S. deaths from COVID-19 broke that record twice, at 2,123 on Saturday and 2,171 yesterday, according to the COVID Tracking Project at The Atlantic.

Yesterday, the seven-day averages for all four of the primary metrics that the COVID

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