Crisis of Abundance: Rethinking How We Pay for Health Care
By Arnold Kling
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The Three Languages of Politics: Talking Across The Political Divides Rating: 5 out of 5 stars5/5Specialization and Trade: A Re-introduction to Economics Rating: 4 out of 5 stars4/5
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Reviews for Crisis of Abundance
2 ratings2 reviews
- Rating: 3 out of 5 stars3/5Solid, clearly written, and mercifully short primer on the health care system written from a thoughtful pro-market perspective. If this were requireed reading for all commentators on health care policy, we would hear a great deal less nonsense. It does not, alas, contain my favorite Kling zinger "20% of the costs cannot be 100% of the problem" (re: high pharmaceutical prices.)4.5.07 [in deference to the title , I finished this book in a shopping mall while waiting for someone to finish trying on clothes]
- Rating: 4 out of 5 stars4/5For this reader, Crisis of Abundance by Arnold Kling was difficult to read. Fortunately, it is very short, under 100 pages. In the end, it was well worth my brief persistence. Anyone who wants to understand the healthcare crisis in the U.S. would benefit by reading this. The author is an economist, and the book is clearly told from an economic and public policy perspective. His goal was to write this book for the "concerned citizen," while at the same time making it credible to professional economists (p. ix). I rank this book lower than most other reviews because I believe the author partially fails in his attempt to write this book clearly for the concerned citizen.He makes the point that what ails our national health care system is what he calls premium medicine—or health care spending whose cost exceeds its benefit. He defines premium medicine as: "frequent referrals to specialists; extensive use of high-tech diagnostic procedures; and increased numbers and variety of surgeries" (p. 4). "If our high levels of health care spending are the result of so-called premium medicine, we should be demonstrably healthier. Yet when we attempt to examine average longevity at a national level, there seems to be no connection between American's high levels of health care spending and life span." (p. 25)I found the book most difficult when the author was presenting policy issues. Kling states that his goal is "not to offer a package of solutions. It is to raise the level of understanding of the realities, issues and tradeoffs pertaining to health care policy" (p. 95). Here, for this reader, he succeeded. I now have a far better grasp of why the U.S. spends so much more on health care than other developed nations. Kling is a libertarian, as is my husband, and that is how the book ended up in my hands. Generally I don't like libertarian solutions to today's problems, but I found this book far less ideologic than others my husband has shared with me. The book has piqued my interest, and I will no doubt read more on this topic in the future. Personally, I would love to find a book on this topic that also takes the environmental costs (see for example, Plan B 2.0 by Lester Brown) of premium medicine into consideration when discussing the cost-benefit equations. Now that would be challenging and controversial!
Book preview
Crisis of Abundance - Arnold Kling
Preface
Health care costs affect us as consumers, as workers, as shareholders, and as taxpaying citizens. Why are health care costs rising so rapidly? What are the tradeoffs involved in choosing different ways to pay for health care? How can we improve efficiency and equity in the health care system?
The goal of this book is to present a reasonable set of answers to those questions, and to provide factual and analytical background for policy discussions concerning how we pay for health care and how that affects the availability and quality of health care. The goal is not to press a specific set of solutions or proposals, but to articulate an economic perspective on the issues involved. An economic perspective is important because much of the uneasiness about health care in the United States today relates to cost. The questions posed are ones that an economist can attempt to investigate.
In preparing this book, I reviewed some of the voluminous academic and policy literature, and I tried to assemble data that could help shed light on important issues. In some cases, I found the statistics that I was looking for in the literature. In a few cases, I was able to work with source data to develop answers. In other cases, it seems that we have to do without definitive data for now.
The audience for this book is the concerned citizen. The analysis is intended to be credible to professional economists while readable for noneconomists. I hope that everyone who reads this book, economist and noneconomist alike, will be able to take away useful insights.
Introduction
I cared for a woman of 23 who complained of back pain for months before a neurologist ordered an MRI, expecting to find a herniated disc. Instead he found ovarian cancer spread to the spine The patient, treated with extensive surgery and chemotherapy, was one of the lucky cures.
Dr. Mark Siegel¹
Health care is not what it used to be. Today, many people with back pain are sent for magnetic resonance imaging, or an MRI. Thirty years ago, this was not the case.
In 1975, the health care available to a typical middle-class American family was reasonably good. Antibiotics cured infections. Vaccinations prevented diseases that had been scourges for earlier generations. Childbirth was fairly safe, for both the mother and the infant.
A number of diseases had been essentially conquered, including polio and tuberculosis. Pneumonia and flu, which caused significant deaths earlier in this century, were responsible for few fatalities by 1975.
By 1975, deaths from cardiovascular disease among people aged 45–64, which were more than 600 per 100,000 people in the 1940s and 1950s, had plunged to slightly more than 400 per 100,000. Note that this is not due solely to better medical care. Other factors, such as better working conditions and earlier retirement, probably also played a role.
The high quality of health care in 1975 was reflected in national health statistics. Infant mortality, which by the 1940s was already low, fell another 50 percent by 1975, so that only 1.5 percent of infants failed to survive their first year. Life expectancy at birth was estimated to have increased from around 66.5 in 1945 to about 72.5 in 1975. Again, bear in mind that factors other than health care contributed to lower infant mortality and to greater life expectancy.²
The American middle class can still afford the wonderful health care that was available in 1975—easily. Imagine that a health insurance company today could offer a policy that only covered medical procedures and treatments that were standard in 1975. In 1975, per capita health care spending in today’s dollars was about half of what it is today, which suggests that our hypothetical health insurance policy would cost 50 percent less than health insurance today. If so, then it would be affordable for all but the poorest of the poor.
Although we would have little difficulty paying for the health care of 1975, the health care of 2005 and beyond poses a challenge. We read about record numbers of individuals without health insurance. Large corporations are staggering under the weight of the cost of health benefits for retirees and employees. Medicaid (the joint federal-state health care program for the poor) is crowding out other priorities in state budgets, and Medicare (the federal health care program for the elderly) looms as the biggest threat to fiscal balance at the federal level.
I am not going to advocate a policy of returning American health care to the state of the art in 1975.3 However, as a thought experiment, a return to 1975 health care standards would completely resolve what is commonly described as America’s health care crisis. Using only what health care was available in 1975, our large government programs, Medicare and Medicaid, would not be placing government budgets in peril. Employer-provided health insurance would not be the fastest-rising component of worker compensation. Those who are self-employed would find health insurance more affordable, and those who forgo health insurance would be less likely to face medical bills that represent a crushing financial burden.
The difference between 2005 and 1975 is not the result of a price increase (although prices for health care services have increased faster than other prices over this period). It is primarily a difference in the way that medicine is practiced. Thirty years ago, Dr. Siegel’s patient would not have been given an MRI, because that technology was not available. In 2005 Americans received more than 24 million MRI examinations, at a cost of hundreds of dollars each. We had arthroscopic knee surgeries, colonoscopies, laser eye surgeries, as well as countless other procedures and treatments that were rare or nonexistent in 1975. We were much more likely to visit a neurologist, allergist, or other specialist than we were 30 years ago.
The medical industry now employs much higher levels of both physical capital (such as diagnostic equipment) and human capital (as represented by skilled specialists). This increased supply of human and physical capital is what made the health care of 2005 such a challenge for our household, corporate, and government budgets. If the united States faces a health care crisis today, it is a crisis of abundance.
artFinancing Premium Medicine
The term I use for American medical care today, with its heavy use of specialists and advanced technology, is premium medicine.
We know that premium medicine costs more than the medical care of 30 years ago. However, we can be less sure how often premium medicine makes a difference in health outcomes.
No society has solved
the problem of health care finance in the context of premium medicine. It is true that between 1980 and 2002 the share of health care spending in GDP rose more in the United States than it did in other countries (see Table 1). However, countries that have restrained spending have also slowed the adoption of premium medicine through budgetary limits. It is possible that slowing the adoption of premium medicine in that way is a good approach, but it is likely that there are better strategies for balancing the benefits of premium medicine with its costs.
In any case, we probably ought to take the growth in physical and human capital in medical practice as given. We should look at strategies for financing health care in that context.
Overview
Chapter 1, The Rise of Premium Medicine,
shows that the primary driver of the crisis in health care finance is the evolution of the practice of medicine. Over the past few decades, medical care has become more specialized and capital intensive.
Premium medicine consists of
• Frequent referrals to specialists
• Extensive use of high-tech diagnostic procedures
• Increased number and variety of surgeries
In addition to the narrative that attributes the rise in health care spending to premium medicine, there are two other important competing narratives. Chapter 2, Three Health Care Narratives,
compares the premium medicine narrative with a narrative that suggests that private health insurance breaks down because of adverse selection, and a narrative that suggests that health care costs are high because of price-gouging by suppliers. The alternative narratives are inconsistent with some important facts about our health care system.
A notable characteristic of premium medicine is that it often does not affect the outcome. The specialist does not necessarily alter the treatment plan. The MRI may fail to show anything. The surgery may not prevent the patient from dying within a few months.
In a small proportion of cases, such as Dr. Siegel’s patient with ovarian cancer, premium medicine does provide clear benefits. However, it is difficult to know in advance who will benefit. In the