Top 20 MS Excel VBA Simulations, VBA to Model Risk, Investments, Growth, Gambling, and Monte Carlo Analysis
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About this ebook
Top 20 MS Excel VBA Simulations!
MS Excel VBA Simulations are a great tool for modeling future events and assessing all kinds of chances and risks. It is widely used in option pricing, project management, business valuation and much more. It usually takes a form of generating series of random observations and then studying the resulting observations using certain techniques.
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Include all the basic process any can need for basic simulation
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Top 20 MS Excel VBA Simulations, VBA to Model Risk, Investments, Growth, Gambling, and Monte Carlo Analysis - Andrei Besedin
Top 20 MS Excel VBA Simulations!
VBA to Model Risk, Investments, Growth, Gambling, and Monte Carlo Analysis
By
ANDREI BESEDIN
Copyright © 2017
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Simulation Definition
Simulation Applications
Simulation Models (called risk models)
Model inputs that are uncertain numbers -- we'll call these uncertain variables
Intermediate calculations as required
Model outputs that depend on the inputs -- we'll call these uncertain functions
Creating Models in Excel or Custom Programs
Choosing Samples for Uncertain Variables
Simulation Methods
Monte Carlo Simulation
What is Monte Carlo Simulation?
Why Should I Use Monte Carlo Simulation?
What Knowledge Do I Need to Use It?
How Will This Help Me in My Work or Career?
Some basic Excel VBA skills needed for creating simulations.
Creating and Managing Array
Declare an Array With Dim Statement
Resize an Array With Redim Statement
Manage Dynamic Array
Create Multi-Dimensional Array
Find The Size of an Array
Decision Structures - IF and Select Case
IF ... Then
IF ... Then ... Else
IF ... Then ... ElseIf
Select Case
Loop Structures
For ... Next
For ... Next Loop With Step
Do While ... Loop
Do Until ... Loop
Do ... Loop While
Do ... Loop Until
Sorting Numbers in an Array
Find Maximum and Minimum Values in an Array
Double Sorting - The Secret of Resampling Without Replacement
Simulation
Simulation is a flexible methodology we can use to analyze the behavior of a present or proposed business activity, new product, manufacturing line or plant expansion, and so on (analysts call this the 'system' under study). By performing simulations and analyzing the results, we can gain an understanding of how a present system operates, and what would happen if we changed it -- or we can estimate how a proposed new system would behave. Often -- but not always -- a simulation deals with uncertainty, in the system itself, or in the world around it.
Simulation Applications
Simulation Models
Simulation Methods
Monte Carlo Simulation
Simulation Applications
Simulation is one of the most widely used quantitative methods -- because it is so flexible and can yield so many useful results. Here's just a sample of the applications where simulation is used:
Choosing drilling projects for oil and natural gas
Evaluating environmental impacts of a new highway or industrial plant
Setting stock levels to meet fluctuating demand at retail stores
Forecasting sales and production requirements for a new drug
Planning aircraft sorties and ship movements in the military
Planning for retirement, given expenses and investment performance
Deciding on reservations and overbooking policies for an airline
Selecting projects with uncertain payoffs in capital budgeting
Simulation Models
In a simulation, we perform experiments on a model of the real system, rather than the real system itself. We do this because it is faster, cheaper, or safer to perform experiments