Magellan Senate Poll 2012 07 25 PDF

July 18, 2012
MEMORANDUM
TO:
FR:
RE:
INTERESTED PARTIES
DAVID FLAHERTY
MAGELLAN STRATEGIES
ARIZONA US SENATE REPUBLICAN PRIMARY SURVEY TOPLINE RESULTS
Magellan Strategies are pleased to present the topline results of a 678N autodial
survey of likely Republican primary voters, and independent voters that are likely to
vote in the US Senate Republican Primary Election in the state of Arizona. The
interviews were conducted July 16th and 17th, 2012. This survey has a margin of
error of +/- 3.76% at the 95 percent confidence interval. The survey results are
weighted based upon past Arizona Republican Primary voter turnout demographics.
T1. Are you registered to vote as a Republican, a Democrat or an independent voter?
Republican .................................................................................. 86%
Independent ............................................................................... 14%
T2. As you may know, independent voters in Arizona can vote in the primary
election for Congress. How likely are you to vote in the upcoming primary election
for Congress? (Asked to Independents)
Extremely Likely ...................................................................... 85%
Very Likely ..................................................................................... 9%
Somewhat Likely ......................................................................... 6%
T3. And if the Congressional primary election was held today, would you choose to
vote in the Democrat primary or the Republican primary? (Asked to Independents)
Republican Primary ............................................................. 100%
Magellan ID# AZGOPSEN-071612 Arizona US Senate Republican Primary Survey Results

Field Dates: 7/16/12 7/17/12, MoE +/- 3.76%, 678n
Page 2 of 3
T4. How likely are you to vote in the upcoming primary election for Congress?
(Asked to Republicans)
Extremely Likely ...................................................................... 92%
Very Likely ..................................................................................... 5%
Somewhat Likely ......................................................................... 3%
T5. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Wil Cardon?
Favorable .................................................................................... 24%
Unfavorable ................................................................................ 32%
No Opinion .................................................................................. 34%
Name ID ....................................................................................... 90%
Hard Name ID ............................................................................ 56%
Never Heard Of ......................................................................... 10%
T6. Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Jeff Flake?
Favorable .................................................................................... 44%
Unfavorable ................................................................................ 27%
No Opinion .................................................................................. 25%
Name ID ....................................................................................... 96%
Hard Name ID ............................................................................ 71%
Never Heard Of ............................................................................ 4%
T7. If the Republican primary election for the United States Senate were being held
today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were Wil Cardon, Jeff Flake or
some other candidate?
Jeff Flake ...................................................................................... 45%
Will Cardon ................................................................................. 23%
Some Other Candidate ........................................................... 16%
Undecided ................................................................................... 16%
Definitely Jeff Flake ................................................................. 32%
Probably Jeff Flake................................................................... 13%
Definitely Will Cardon ............................................................ 16%
Probably Will Cardon ................................................................ 7%
Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027

www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585
Magellan ID# AZGOPSEN-071612 Arizona US Senate Republican Primary Survey Results

Field Dates: 7/16/12 7/17/12, MoE +/- 3.76%, 678n
Page 3 of 3
T8. Do you identify yourself more closely with the traditional Republican Party or do
you identify yourself more closely with the tea party movement?
Tea Party Movement............................................................... 46%
Traditional Republican .......................................................... 44%
Unsure or No Opinion ............................................................ 10%
T9. Are you Mormon
Yes .................................................................................................. 13%
No ................................................................................................... 87%
T10. For statistical purposes, are you a man or a woman?
Female .......................................................................................... 52%
Male ............................................................................................... 48%
T11. Which of the following age groups applies to you?
18-34 ................................................................................................ 6%
35-44 ............................................................................................. 11%
45-54 ............................................................................................. 18%
55-64 ............................................................................................. 24%
65+ ................................................................................................. 41%
T12. For statistical purposes only, what is your race? Press 1 if you are white, press
2 if you are Hispanic or Latino, press 3 if you belong to another ethnic group.
White............................................................................................. 89%
Hispanic/Latino ........................................................................... 5%
Another ethnic group ................................................................ 6%
Survey Methodology
This survey was conducted using an automated voice recording interview method.
The landline sample used for this survey was randomly drawn from an Arizona
voter file. The survey response data was weighted based upon past Republican
primary voting demographics. The 678 interviews were conducted on July 16th and
17th, 2012. Three attempts were made to interview each household in the sample.
This survey has a margin of error of 3.76% at the 95 percent confidence interval.
Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027

www.MagellanStrategies.com | (303) 861-8585
Arizona US Senate Republican Primary Survey, July 16th and 17th, 2012, 678N, 3.76% MoE, Weighted Results, Magellan Strategies, 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300, Louisville, CO 80027, 303-861-8585
Table 1-1
T1. Are you registered to vote as a Republican, a Democrat, or an independent voter?
GEND
AGE
REPUBLICANS
INDEPENDENTS
RACE
MORMON
TRAD REP
VS. TEA
PARTY
-------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ -------------------- ------------------- -------------------65
TOT
REP
REP
TOT
IND
IND
TRAD
TEA
TOTAL
MEN WOM 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 PLUS
REP
MEN WOM
IND
MEN WOM WHTE HISP
YES
NO
REP PART
--------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------TOTAL
678
325
353
41
75
122
163
278
583
278
306
95
48
47
606
31
91
587
299
310
100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
REPUBLICAN
583
86.0
278
85.3
306
86.7
35
87.1
71
95.6
102
83.9
142
87.0
232
83.6
INDEPENDENT
95
14.0
48
14.7
47
13.3
5
12.9
3
4.4
20
16.1
21
13.0
45
16.4
583
100.0
278
100.0
306
100.0
95
100.0
48
100.0
47
100.0
526
86.7
27
87.3
86
94.7
497
84.7
257
85.9
274
88.4
81
13.3
4
12.7
5
5.3
90
15.3
42
14.1
36
11.6
Table 1-2
T1. Are you registered to vote as a Republican, a Democrat, or an independent voter?
CARDON IMG
FLAKE IMG
BALLOT TEST
CONGRESSIONAL DIST.
RATING
RATING
-------------------- ------------------- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------UN
UN
CAR
DEF PROB
FLA
DEF PROB
TOTAL
FAV
FAV
FAV
FAV
DON CRDN CRDN
KE FLKE FLKE
OTH
UND CD01 CD02 CD03 CD04 CD05 CD06 CD07 CD08
--------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------TOTAL
678
164
215
299
184
158
106
52
304
214
90
108
107
88
122
95
20
95
108
34
115
100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
REPUBLICAN
583
86.0
144
87.9
183
85.1
257
85.9
151
81.9
139
88.0
95
90.1
44
84.0
267
87.9
190
88.8
77
85.7
82
76.1
94
87.6
77
87.4
110
90.0
86
90.2
14
69.7
81
85.3
91
84.0
30
89.1
94
81.8
INDEPENDENT
95
14.0
20
12.1
32
14.9
42
14.1
33
18.1
19
12.0
11
9.9
8
16.0
37
12.1
24
11.2
13
14.3
26
23.9
13
12.4
11
12.6
12
10.0
9
9.8
6
30.3
14
14.7
17
16.0
4
10.9
21
18.2
Table 2-1
T2. As you may know, independent voters in Arizona can vote in the primary election for Congress. How likely are you to vote in the upcoming primary election for Congress? (Asked to Independents)
GEND
AGE
REPUBLICANS
INDEPENDENTS
RACE
MORMON
TRAD REP
VS. TEA
PARTY
-------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ -------------------- ------------------- -------------------65
TOT
REP
REP
TOT
IND
IND
TRAD
TEA
TOTAL
MEN WOM 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 PLUS
REP
MEN WOM
IND
MEN WOM WHTE HISP
YES
NO
REP PART
--------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------TOTAL
95
48
47
5
3
20
21
45
95
48
47
81
4
5
90
42
36
100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
EXTREMELY LIKELY
80
84.5
41
84.9
39
84.0
VERY LIKELY
8
8.9
4
8.2
5
9.7
SOMEWHAT LIKELY
6
6.6
3
6.9
3
6.3
5
100.0
3
100.0
18
93.0
19
87.7
35
76.3
80
84.5
41
84.9
39
84.0
66
81.7
1
7.0
2
7.1
6
12.3
8
8.9
4
8.2
5
9.7
8
10.5
1
5.2
5
11.4
6
6.6
3
6.9
3
6.3
6
7.8
4
100.0
4
84.8
1
15.2
76
84.4
33
77.7
33
92.2
8
9.4
4
9.8
2
5.1
6
6.1
5
12.6
1
2.7
Table 2-2
T2. As you may know, independent voters in Arizona can vote in the primary election for Congress. How likely are you to vote in the upcoming primary election for Congress? (Asked to Independents)
CARDON IMG
FLAKE IMG
BALLOT TEST
CONGRESSIONAL DIST.
RATING
RATING
-------------------- ------------------- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------UN
UN
CAR
DEF PROB
FLA
DEF PROB
TOTAL
FAV
FAV
FAV
FAV
DON CRDN CRDN
KE FLKE FLKE
OTH
--------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------TOTAL
95
20
32
42
33
19
11
8
37
24
13
26
13
11
12
9
6
14
17
4
21
100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
EXTREMELY LIKELY
80
84.5
17
84.1
25
79.5
37
87.2
29
87.5
17
88.4
VERY LIKELY
8
8.9
2
11.0
4
13.7
4
10.3
3
9.2
2
11.6
SOMEWHAT LIKELY
6
6.6
1
4.9
2
6.7
1
2.5
1
3.3
11
100.0
6
74.0
30
82.5
21
89.3
9
69.7
22
84.4
2
26.0
5
14.7
2
6.3
4
30.3
1
3.5
1
2.9
1
4.4
3
12.1
11
84.4
2
15.6
8
73.4
9
75.4
7
72.0
2
17.2
2
18.6
2
16.1
1
9.4
1
6.1
1
11.8
5
84.3
13
90.7
17
100.0
4
100.0
17
81.4
3
13.3
1
15.7
1
9.3
1
5.3
Table 3-1
T3. And if the Congressional primary election was held today, would you choose to vote in the Democrat primary or the Republican primary? (Asked to Independents)
GEND
AGE
REPUBLICANS
INDEPENDENTS
RACE
MORMON
TRAD REP
VS. TEA
PARTY
-------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ -------------------- ------------------- -------------------65
TOT
REP
REP
TOT
IND
IND
TRAD
TEA
TOTAL
MEN WOM 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 PLUS
REP
MEN WOM
IND
MEN WOM WHTE HISP
YES
NO
REP PART
--------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------TOTAL
95
48
47
5
3
20
21
45
95
48
47
81
4
5
90
42
36
100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
REPUBLICAN PRIMARY
95
100.0
48
100.0
47
100.0
5
100.0
3
100.0
20
100.0
21
100.0
45
100.0
95
100.0
48
100.0
47
100.0
81
100.0
4
100.0
5
100.0
90
100.0
42
100.0
36
100.0
Table 3-2
T3. And if the Congressional primary election was held today, would you choose to vote in the Democrat primary or the Republican primary? (Asked to Independents)
CARDON IMG
FLAKE IMG
BALLOT TEST
CONGRESSIONAL DIST.
RATING
RATING
-------------------- ------------------- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------UN
UN
CAR
DEF PROB
FLA
DEF PROB
TOTAL
FAV
FAV
FAV
FAV
DON CRDN CRDN
KE FLKE FLKE
OTH
--------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------TOTAL
95
20
32
42
33
19
11
8
37
24
13
26
13
11
12
9
6
14
17
4
21
100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
REPUBLICAN PRIMARY
95
100.0
20
100.0
32
100.0
42
100.0
33
100.0
19
100.0
11
100.0
8
100.0
37
100.0
24
100.0
13
100.0
26
100.0
13
100.0
11
100.0
12
100.0
9
100.0
6
100.0
14
100.0
17
100.0
4
100.0
21
100.0
Table 4-1
T4. How likely are you to vote in the upcoming primary election for Congress? (Asked to Republicans)
GEND
AGE
REPUBLICANS
INDEPENDENTS
RACE
MORMON
TRAD REP
VS. TEA
PARTY
-------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ -------------------- ------------------- -------------------65
TOT
REP
REP
TOT
IND
IND
TRAD
TEA
TOTAL
MEN WOM 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 PLUS
REP
MEN WOM
IND
MEN WOM WHTE HISP
YES
NO
REP PART
--------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------TOTAL
583
278
306
35
71
102
142
232
583
278
306
526
27
86
497
257
274
100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
EXTREMELY LIKELY
534
91.5
257
92.5
277
90.6
28
78.1
63
88.0
VERY LIKELY
31
5.3
12
4.2
19
6.2
4
11.6
3
4.8
SOMEWHAT LIKELY
19
3.2
9
3.3
10
3.1
4
10.3
5
7.1
99
97.2
3
2.8
132
93.2
212
91.1
534
91.5
257
92.5
277
90.6
477
90.8
8
5.6
15
6.6
31
5.3
12
4.2
19
6.2
2
1.2
5
2.3
19
3.2
9
3.3
10
3.1
27
100.0
83
95.7
451
90.8
237
92.2
255
93.1
31
5.9
2
2.6
29
5.7
13
5.0
11
3.9
17
3.3
1
1.7
17
3.5
7
2.7
8
3.0
Table 4-2
T4. How likely are you to vote in the upcoming primary election for Congress? (Asked to Republicans)
CARDON IMG
FLAKE IMG
BALLOT TEST
CONGRESSIONAL DIST.
RATING
RATING
-------------------- ------------------- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------UN
UN
CAR
DEF PROB
FLA
DEF PROB
TOTAL
FAV
FAV
FAV
FAV
DON CRDN CRDN
KE FLKE FLKE
OTH
--------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------TOTAL
583
144
183
257
151
139
95
44
267
190
77
82
94
77
110
86
14
81
91
30
94
100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
EXTREMELY LIKELY
534
91.5
138
95.6
178
97.0
244
95.0
142
94.4
132
94.5
93
97.3
39
88.5
250
93.3
185
97.3
64
83.4
75
90.8
77
82.4
73
95.0
99
90.2
75
87.4
VERY LIKELY
31
5.3
6
4.4
4
2.3
8
2.9
6
3.7
4
2.9
3
2.7
1
3.3
10
3.6
2
1.1
8
9.8
5
6.3
12
12.7
2
3.2
9
7.9
SOMEWHAT LIKELY
19
3.2
1
0.8
5
2.1
3
1.9
4
2.6
4
8.2
8
3.1
3
1.6
5
6.8
2
2.8
5
4.9
1
1.8
2
2.0
14
100.0
74
92.0
81
89.0
29
95.4
88
93.4
6
6.5
5
6.7
4
4.7
1
4.6
3
3.2
5
6.1
1
1.3
6
6.4
3
3.4
Table 5-1
GEND
AGE
REPUBLICANS
INDEPENDENTS
RACE
MORMON
TRAD REP
VS. TEA
PARTY
-------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ -------------------- ------------------- -------------------65
TOT
REP
REP
TOT
IND
IND
TRAD
TEA
TOTAL
MEN WOM 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 PLUS
REP
MEN WOM
IND
MEN WOM WHTE HISP
YES
NO
REP PART
--------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------TOTAL
678
325
353
41
75
122
163
278
583
278
306
95
48
47
606
31
91
587
299
310
100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
FAVORABLE
164
24.1
84
25.8
80
22.6
11
25.9
18
23.6
37
30.1
33
20.3
66
23.7
144
24.7
73
26.2
71
23.3
20
20.9
11
23.9
8
17.8
143
23.6
7
21.6
20
21.8
144
24.5
59
19.7
95
30.7
UNFAVORABLE
215
31.8
114
35.2
101
28.6
5
11.9
13
18.0
37
30.7
67
41.1
93
33.3
183
31.4
100
36.0
83
27.3
32
33.7
14
30.1
18
37.3
190
31.4
14
44.7
32
34.6
184
31.3
116
38.9
80
25.7
NO OPINION
232
34.3
99
30.5
133
37.7
11
27.1
33
44.9
40
33.1
49
30.2
98
35.3
203
34.8
83
30.1
120
39.1
29
30.9
16
33.0
14
28.8
210
34.7
10
31.3
31
34.2
201
34.3
102
34.0
105
33.8
NAME ID
611
90.2
298
91.5
314
88.9
26
65.0
64
86.4
115
93.9
149
91.6
257
92.4
530
90.9
256
92.3
274
89.7
81
85.5
42
87.0
39
83.9
544
89.7
30
97.7
83
90.6
529
90.1
277
92.5
280
90.2
HARD NAME ID
379
55.9
199
61.0
180
51.2
15
37.8
31
41.6
74
60.8
100
61.4
159
57.0
327
56.1
173
62.2
155
50.6
52
54.5
26
54.0
26
55.1
334
55.0
21
66.4
51
56.4
328
55.8
175
58.5
175
56.4
67
9.8
28
8.5
39
11.1
14
35.0
10
13.6
7
6.1
14
8.4
21
7.6
53
9.1
21
7.7
31
10.3
14
14.5
6
13.0
8
16.1
62
10.3
1
2.3
9
9.4
58
9.9
22
7.5
30
9.8
NEVER HEARD OF
Table 5-2
CARDON IMG
FLAKE IMG
BALLOT TEST
CONGRESSIONAL DIST.
RATING
RATING
-------------------- ------------------- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------UN
UN
CAR
DEF PROB
FLA
DEF PROB
TOTAL
FAV
FAV
FAV
FAV
DON CRDN CRDN
KE FLKE FLKE
OTH
--------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------TOTAL
678
164
215
299
184
158
106
52
304
214
90
108
107
88
122
95
20
95
108
34
115
100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
FAVORABLE
164
24.1
UNFAVORABLE
215
31.8
NO OPINION
232
34.3
NAME ID
611
90.2
164
100.0
HARD NAME ID
379
55.9
164
100.0
NEVER HEARD OF
67
9.8
164
100.0
43
14.5
103
56.1
121
76.7
95
90.2
26
49.5
23
7.6
11
5.3
12
13.2
6
5.3
14
12.6
24
27.7
33
26.8
18
19.4
7
36.0
16
17.3
24
22.2
10
30.9
30
25.9
162
54.3
43
23.3
2
1.1
1
0.8
1
1.7
161
52.8
142
66.1
19
21.1
45
41.6
8
7.3
32
36.5
30
24.5
31
32.5
4
20.0
42
44.1
42
38.4
5
15.0
30
25.8
72
24.1
35
18.8
33
21.2
10
9.0
24
45.6
92
30.1
43
20.1
48
53.8
49
45.4
58
54.3
28
32.0
43
35.2
35
36.5
7
32.8
29
30.3
35
32.4
14
41.1
42
36.4
215
100.0
278
92.9
181
98.2
156
98.9
106
100.0
51
96.8
275
90.5
196
91.5
79
88.1
100
92.3
80
74.2
85
96.2
106
86.5
84
88.4
18
88.8
87
91.7
101
93.0
30
87.1
102
88.1
215
100.0
206
68.8
146
79.4
123
77.8
96
91.0
27
51.2
184
60.4
153
71.4
31
34.3
51
46.9
21
19.9
57
64.1
63
51.2
49
51.9
11
56.0
58
61.4
66
60.6
16
46.0
60
51.7
21
7.1
3
1.8
2
1.1
2
3.2
29
9.5
18
8.5
11
11.9
8
7.7
28
25.8
3
3.8
16
13.5
11
11.6
2
11.2
8
8.3
8
7.0
4
12.9
14
11.9
215
100.0
Table 6-1
GEND
AGE
REPUBLICANS
INDEPENDENTS
RACE
MORMON
TRAD REP
VS. TEA
PARTY
-------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ -------------------- ------------------- -------------------65
TOT
REP
REP
TOT
IND
IND
TRAD
TEA
TOTAL
MEN WOM 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 PLUS
REP
MEN WOM
IND
MEN WOM WHTE HISP
YES
NO
REP PART
--------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------TOTAL
678
325
353
41
75
122
163
278
583
278
306
95
48
47
606
31
91
587
299
310
100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
FAVORABLE
299
44.1
168
51.7
131
37.1
15
35.9
25
34.2
50
41.1
78
47.8
131
47.1
257
44.0
145
52.2
112
36.6
42
44.4
23
48.5
19
40.3
267
44.1
15
49.8
56
61.3
243
41.4
139
46.3
131
42.3
UNFAVORABLE
184
27.2
89
27.3
96
27.1
7
16.2
18
23.7
37
30.0
46
28.3
77
27.9
151
25.9
71
25.5
80
26.2
33
35.2
18
37.4
16
33.0
161
26.6
10
31.1
15
16.7
169
28.8
82
27.3
91
29.2
NO OPINION
172
25.4
60
18.6
112
31.8
17
41.4
27
36.2
31
25.3
34
21.0
64
22.9
158
27.0
55
19.7
103
33.6
15
15.7
6
11.8
9
19.6
156
25.7
5
17.3
19
21.2
153
26.1
69
23.1
79
25.4
NAME ID
656
96.7
317
97.5
338
96.0
38
93.5
70
94.0
118
96.4
158
97.1
272
97.8
565
96.9
270
97.4
295
96.4
90
95.3
47
97.7
44
92.9
584
96.4
31
98.1
90
99.2
565
96.3
289
96.7
301
96.9
HARD NAME ID
483
71.3
257
78.9
226
64.2
21
52.1
43
57.9
87
71.1
124
76.0
208
74.9
408
69.9
216
77.7
192
62.8
76
79.6
41
85.9
34
73.3
429
70.7
25
80.8
71
78.0
412
70.2
220
73.6
222
71.5
22
3.3
8
2.5
14
4.0
3
6.5
4
6.0
4
3.6
5
2.9
6
2.2
18
3.1
7
2.6
11
3.6
4
4.7
1
2.3
3
7.1
22
3.6
1
1.9
1
0.8
22
3.7
10
3.3
10
3.1
NEVER HEARD OF
Table 6-2
CARDON IMG
FLAKE IMG
BALLOT TEST
CONGRESSIONAL DIST.
RATING
RATING
-------------------- ------------------- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------UN
UN
CAR
DEF PROB
FLA
DEF PROB
TOTAL
FAV
FAV
FAV
FAV
DON CRDN CRDN
KE FLKE FLKE
OTH
--------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------TOTAL
678
164
215
299
184
158
106
52
304
214
90
108
107
88
122
95
20
95
108
34
115
100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
FAVORABLE
299
44.1
43
26.6
162
75.3
UNFAVORABLE
184
27.2
103
63.2
43
19.9
NO OPINION
172
25.4
15
9.4
10
4.8
NAME ID
656
96.7
162
99.2
215
100.0
299
100.0
HARD NAME ID
483
71.3
147
89.8
205
95.2
299
100.0
22
3.3
1
0.8
NEVER HEARD OF
299
100.0
18
11.4
11
10.3
7
13.6
256
84.1
204
95.2
52
57.8
10
9.6
14
13.4
42
47.5
44
35.9
40
41.8
7
33.3
50
52.3
62
57.2
10
28.9
45
39.2
112
70.8
85
80.1
27
52.1
13
4.1
3
1.5
9
10.4
46
42.4
14
13.0
30
33.9
37
30.4
19
19.6
10
49.3
22
23.6
30
27.7
9
26.6
27
23.6
26
16.5
9
8.4
17
32.9
34
11.3
6
2.7
29
31.7
51
47.3
61
56.7
15
17.0
32
26.5
34
35.8
4
17.4
23
24.1
15
13.6
13
39.2
37
31.8
184
100.0
156
98.7
104
98.8
52
98.6
303
99.5
213
99.3
90
100.0
108
99.3
89
83.0
87
98.4
113
92.7
92
97.2
20
100.0
95
100.0
107
98.5
32
94.8
109
94.7
184
100.0
130
82.2
96
90.4
34
65.7
269
88.3
207
96.6
61
68.3
56
52.0
28
26.3
72
81.5
81
66.2
58
61.4
17
82.6
72
75.9
92
84.9
19
55.5
72
62.9
2
1.3
1
1.2
1
1.4
1
0.5
1
0.7
1
0.7
18
17.0
1
1.6
9
7.3
3
2.8
2
1.5
2
5.2
6
5.3
184
100.0
Table 7-1
T7. If the Republican primary election for the United States Senate were being held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were Wil Cardon, Jeff Flake or some other candidate?
GEND
AGE
REPUBLICANS
INDEPENDENTS
RACE
MORMON
TRAD REP
VS. TEA
PARTY
-------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ -------------------- ------------------- -------------------65
TOT
REP
REP
TOT
IND
IND
TRAD
TEA
TOTAL
MEN WOM 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 PLUS
REP
MEN WOM
IND
MEN WOM WHTE HISP
YES
NO
REP PART
--------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------TOTAL
678
325
353
41
75
122
163
278
583
278
306
95
48
47
606
31
91
587
299
310
100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
JEFF FLAKE
304
44.9
167
51.5
137
38.8
21
52.3
27
36.2
45
36.9
72
44.3
139
49.9
267
45.9
145
52.3
122
40.0
37
38.8
22
46.8
14
30.6
273
45.0
16
52.8
54
59.7
250
42.6
146
48.7
130
41.9
DEFINITELY FLAKE
214
31.6
116
35.7
98
27.9
15
36.3
20
26.6
29
23.5
51
31.4
100
36.0
190
32.7
102
36.9
88
28.8
24
25.3
14
28.9
10
21.6
192
31.6
14
43.9
38
42.1
176
30.0
104
34.7
92
29.7
PROBABLY FLAKE
90
13.2
51
15.8
39
10.9
7
16.1
7
9.6
16
13.4
21
12.9
39
13.9
77
13.2
43
15.4
34
11.2
13
13.6
9
18.0
4
9.1
81
13.4
3
8.9
16
17.6
74
12.6
42
14.0
38
12.3
158
23.3
80
24.5
78
22.2
8
18.6
18
24.3
34
27.5
33
20.2
66
23.7
139
23.9
69
24.7
71
23.1
19
19.9
11
23.4
8
16.4
137
22.6
8
26.1
12
13.3
146
24.9
66
22.1
83
26.9
DEFINITELY CARDON
106
15.6
55
16.8
51
14.4
6
14.7
10
13.9
22
17.7
21
13.2
46
16.7
95
16.3
46
16.7
49
16.0
11
11.1
8
17.7
2
4.3
90
14.9
5
17.4
7
8.1
98
16.8
45
15.0
56
18.0
PROBABLY CARDON
52
7.7
25
7.7
27
7.7
2
3.9
8
10.4
12
9.8
11
7.0
20
7.1
44
7.5
22
8.1
22
7.1
8
8.8
3
5.7
6
12.0
47
7.7
3
8.7
5
5.2
48
8.1
21
7.1
27
8.8
OTHER CANDIDATE
108
16.0
47
14.5
61
17.3
13
17.6
26
21.5
27
16.6
42
15.1
82
14.1
40
14.3
43
14.0
26
27.3
8
15.9
18
38.9
94
15.5
5
15.3
8
9.1
100
17.1
52
17.4
43
13.9
UNDECIDED
107
15.8
31
9.5
76
21.7
16
22.0
17
14.1
31
18.8
31
11.2
94
16.1
24
8.7
70
22.8
13
14.0
7
13.9
7
14.1
103
16.9
2
5.8
16
18.0
91
15.5
35
11.8
54
17.3
WIL CARDON
12
29.1
Table 7-2
T7. If the Republican primary election for the United States Senate were being held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were Wil Cardon, Jeff Flake or some other candidate?
CARDON IMG
FLAKE IMG
BALLOT TEST
CONGRESSIONAL DIST.
RATING
RATING
-------------------- ------------------- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------UN
UN
CAR
DEF PROB
FLA
DEF PROB
TOTAL
FAV
FAV
FAV
FAV
DON CRDN CRDN
KE FLKE FLKE
OTH
--------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------TOTAL
678
164
215
299
184
158
106
52
304
214
90
108
107
88
122
95
20
95
108
34
115
100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
JEFF FLAKE
304
44.9
23
14.2
161
74.6
256
85.7
13
6.8
304
100.0
214
100.0
DEFINITELY FLAKE
214
31.6
11
6.9
142
65.8
204
68.3
3
1.7
214
70.5
214
100.0
PROBABLY FLAKE
90
13.2
12
7.2
19
8.8
52
17.4
9
5.1
90
29.5
158
23.3
121
74.1
2
0.8
18
6.0
112
60.7
158
100.0
106
100.0
DEFINITELY CARDON
106
15.6
95
58.2
1
0.4
11
3.6
85
45.9
106
66.9
106
100.0
PROBABLY CARDON
52
7.7
26
15.8
1
0.4
7
2.4
27
14.8
52
33.1
OTHER CANDIDATE
108
16.0
6
3.5
45
20.9
10
3.5
46
24.9
UNDECIDED
107
15.8
14
8.3
8
3.6
14
4.8
14
7.6
WIL CARDON
90
100.0
90
100.0
52
100.0
52
100.0
108
100.0
107
100.0
44
50.4
48
39.3
48
50.3
6
27.6
55
57.4
57
52.4
8
22.7
39
34.2
32
36.0
33
26.7
27
28.2
5
23.3
43
45.8
41
37.4
6
17.4
29
24.9
13
14.4
15
12.6
21
22.1
1
4.2
11
11.7
16
15.0
2
5.3
11
9.3
21
23.9
34
28.1
15
16.2
8
41.0
13
13.4
24
22.5
15
44.8
27
23.2
17
19.4
23
18.9
9
9.1
4
20.4
11
11.9
17
15.7
7
20.3
18
15.2
4
4.5
11
9.2
7
7.2
4
20.6
1
1.5
7
6.8
8
24.5
9
8.0
15
16.6
19
15.5
15
15.7
3
13.0
14
14.3
16
15.1
6
18.8
21
18.1
8
9.0
21
17.1
17
17.8
4
18.5
14
14.8
11
10.0
5
13.6
28
24.5
Table 8-1
T10. Do you identify yourself more closely with the traditional Republican Party or do you identify yourself more closely with the tea party movement?
GEND
AGE
REPUBLICANS
INDEPENDENTS
RACE
MORMON
TRAD REP
VS. TEA
PARTY
-------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ -------------------- ------------------- -------------------65
TOT
REP
REP
TOT
IND
IND
TRAD
TEA
TOTAL
MEN WOM 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 PLUS
REP
MEN WOM
IND
MEN WOM WHTE HISP
YES
NO
REP PART
--------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------TOTAL
678
325
353
41
75
122
163
278
583
278
306
95
48
47
606
31
91
587
299
310
100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
TEA PARTY MOVEMENT
310
45.7
165
50.8
145
41.1
9
22.8
41
54.4
56
46.2
82
50.3
122
43.9
274
47.0
142
51.0
132
43.3
36
38.1
24
49.3
12
26.6
272
44.9
14
46.2
30
33.1
280
47.7
TRADITIONAL
REPUBLICAN
299
44.1
132
40.4
168
47.6
20
48.7
26
34.5
51
41.4
67
41.5
136
48.8
257
44.1
115
41.4
142
46.5
42
44.5
17
34.9
26
54.3
272
44.9
17
53.8
48
53.0
251
42.8
UNSURE
NO OPINION
69
10.1
29
8.8
40
11.3
12
28.5
8
11.2
15
12.4
13
8.2
20
7.3
52
8.9
21
7.6
31
10.1
17
17.4
8
15.8
9
19.1
62
10.2
13
13.9
56
9.5
310
100.0
299
100.0
Table 8-2
T10. Do you identify yourself more closely with the traditional Republican Party or do you identify yourself more closely with the tea party movement?
CARDON IMG
FLAKE IMG
BALLOT TEST
CONGRESSIONAL DIST.
RATING
RATING
-------------------- ------------------- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------UN
UN
CAR
DEF PROB
FLA
DEF PROB
TOTAL
FAV
FAV
FAV
FAV
DON CRDN CRDN
KE FLKE FLKE
OTH
--------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------TOTAL
678
164
215
299
184
158
106
52
304
214
90
108
107
88
122
95
20
95
108
34
115
100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
TEA PARTY MOVEMENT
310
45.7
95
58.1
80
37.0
131
43.9
91
49.1
83
52.7
56
52.9
27
52.2
130
42.8
92
42.9
38
42.4
43
39.8
54
50.1
51
58.0
51
41.4
52
55.1
8
39.5
33
34.3
44
40.3
22
64.4
50
43.4
TRADITIONAL
REPUBLICAN
299
44.1
59
36.0
116
54.0
139
46.4
82
44.3
66
41.9
45
42.5
21
40.6
146
47.9
104
48.4
42
46.7
52
48.1
35
32.9
30
34.2
63
52.0
38
39.8
10
49.6
46
48.3
51
47.1
9
26.3
52
45.0
UNSURE
NO OPINION
69
10.1
10
5.9
19
9.0
29
9.7
12
6.6
9
5.5
5
4.6
4
7.2
28
9.4
19
8.7
10
10.8
13
12.1
18
17.1
7
7.8
8
6.6
5
5.0
2
10.9
17
17.5
14
12.6
3
9.3
13
11.6
Table 9-1
T11.
Are you Mormon?
GEND
AGE
REPUBLICANS
INDEPENDENTS
RACE
MORMON
TRAD REP
VS. TEA
PARTY
-------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ -------------------- ------------------- -------------------65
TOT
REP
REP
TOT
IND
IND
TRAD
TEA
TOTAL
MEN WOM 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 PLUS
REP
MEN WOM
IND
MEN WOM WHTE HISP
YES
NO
REP PART
--------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------TOTAL
678
325
353
41
75
122
163
278
583
278
306
95
48
47
606
31
91
587
299
310
100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
YES
91
13.4
46
14.2
45
12.8
17
43.0
12
15.9
16
13.0
16
9.7
30
10.9
86
14.8
42
15.1
44
14.5
5
5.1
4
8.6
1
1.6
84
13.8
2
7.0
NO
587
86.6
279
85.8
307
87.2
23
57.0
63
84.1
106
87.0
147
90.3
248
89.1
497
85.2
236
84.9
261
85.5
90
94.9
44
91.4
46
98.4
523
86.2
29
93.0
91
100.0
587
100.0
48
16.1
30
9.7
251
83.9
280
90.3
Table 9-2
T11.
Are you Mormon?
CARDON IMG
FLAKE IMG
BALLOT TEST
CONGRESSIONAL DIST.
RATING
RATING
-------------------- ------------------- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------UN
UN
CAR
DEF PROB
FLA
DEF PROB
TOTAL
FAV
FAV
FAV
FAV
DON CRDN CRDN
KE FLKE FLKE
OTH
--------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------TOTAL
678
164
215
299
184
158
106
52
304
214
90
108
107
88
122
95
20
95
108
34
115
100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
YES
91
13.4
20
12.2
32
14.6
56
18.7
15
8.3
12
7.7
7
7.0
5
9.0
54
17.9
38
17.9
16
17.9
8
7.6
16
15.3
20
22.8
10
7.8
9
9.6
4
17.3
16
17.3
25
23.2
1
3.9
6
5.1
NO
587
86.6
144
87.8
184
85.4
243
81.3
169
91.7
146
92.3
98
93.0
48
91.0
250
82.1
176
82.1
74
82.1
100
92.4
91
84.7
68
77.2
112
92.2
86
90.4
17
82.7
78
82.7
83
76.8
33
96.1
109
94.9
Table 10-1
GEND
AGE
REPUBLICANS
INDEPENDENTS
RACE
MORMON
TRAD REP
VS. TEA
PARTY
-------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ -------------------- ------------------- -------------------65
TOT
REP
REP
TOT
IND
IND
TRAD
TEA
TOTAL
MEN WOM 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 PLUS
REP
MEN WOM
IND
MEN WOM WHTE HISP
YES
NO
REP PART
--------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------TOTAL
678
325
353
41
75
122
163
278
583
278
306
95
48
47
606
31
91
587
299
310
100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
FEMALE
353
52.0
MALE
325
48.0
353
100.0
325
100.0
18
45.2
44
59.4
57
46.7
96
58.8
137
49.4
306
52.4
22
54.8
30
40.6
65
53.3
67
41.2
141
50.6
278
47.6
306
100.0
278
100.0
47
49.5
48
50.5
47
100.0
48
100.0
318
52.5
17
53.4
45
49.5
307
52.4
168
56.0
145
46.7
288
47.5
15
46.6
46
50.5
279
47.6
132
44.0
165
53.3
Table 10-2
CARDON IMG
FLAKE IMG
BALLOT TEST
CONGRESSIONAL DIST.
RATING
RATING
-------------------- ------------------- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------UN
UN
CAR
DEF PROB
FLA
DEF PROB
TOTAL
FAV
FAV
FAV
FAV
DON CRDN CRDN
KE FLKE FLKE
OTH
--------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------TOTAL
678
164
215
299
184
158
106
52
304
214
90
108
107
88
122
95
20
95
108
34
115
100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
FEMALE
353
52.0
80
48.6
101
46.9
131
43.7
96
51.9
78
49.5
51
48.2
27
52.1
137
45.0
98
45.8
39
42.9
61
56.5
76
71.2
51
57.9
63
51.9
58
61.0
12
56.9
41
43.5
55
50.4
14
42.4
59
50.8
MALE
325
48.0
84
51.4
114
53.1
168
56.3
89
48.1
80
50.5
55
51.8
25
47.9
167
55.0
116
54.2
51
57.1
47
43.5
31
28.8
37
42.1
59
48.1
37
39.0
9
43.1
54
56.5
54
49.6
20
57.6
57
49.2
Table 11-1
GEND
AGE
REPUBLICANS
INDEPENDENTS
RACE
MORMON
TRAD REP
VS. TEA
PARTY
-------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ -------------------- ------------------- -------------------65
TOT
REP
REP
TOT
IND
IND
TRAD
TEA
TOTAL
MEN WOM 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 PLUS
REP
MEN WOM
IND
MEN WOM WHTE HISP
YES
NO
REP PART
--------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------TOTAL
678
325
353
41
75
122
163
278
583
278
306
95
48
47
606
31
91
587
299
310
100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
18-34
41
6.0
22
6.8
18
5.2
35-44
75
11.0
30
9.3
44
12.6
45-54
122
18.0
65
20.0
57
16.2
55-64
163
24.0
67
20.6
96
27.1
65 PLUS
278
41.0
141
43.2
137
38.9
41
100.0
75
100.0
122
100.0
163
100.0
278
100.0
35
6.1
19
6.9
16
5.4
5
5.5
71
12.2
30
10.9
41
13.4
3
3.5
102
17.6
58
20.8
45
14.6
20
20.7
142
24.3
59
21.2
83
27.1
232
39.9
112
40.2
121
39.6
3
6.7
2
4.3
37
6.1
4
11.8
17
19.2
23
4.0
20
6.6
9
3.0
3
7.0
57
9.3
9
28.8
12
13.0
63
10.7
26
8.6
41
13.1
7
15.2
12
26.3
106
17.5
3
9.9
16
17.3
106
18.1
51
16.9
56
18.2
21
22.4
8
17.2
13
27.6
145
24.0
9
29.7
16
17.3
147
25.0
67
22.5
82
26.4
45
47.9
29
60.8
16
34.8
261
43.1
6
19.8
30
33.2
248
42.2
136
45.4
122
39.3
Table 11-2
CARDON IMG
FLAKE IMG
BALLOT TEST
CONGRESSIONAL DIST.
RATING
RATING
-------------------- ------------------- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------UN
UN
CAR
DEF PROB
FLA
DEF PROB
TOTAL
FAV
FAV
FAV
FAV
DON CRDN CRDN
KE FLKE FLKE
OTH
--------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------TOTAL
678
164
215
299
184
158
106
52
304
214
90
108
107
88
122
95
20
95
108
34
115
100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
18-34
41
6.0
11
6.4
5
2.2
15
4.9
7
3.6
8
4.8
6
5.6
2
3.1
21
7.0
15
6.9
7
7.3
12
11.0
2
2.3
5
3.8
9
9.7
35-44
75
11.0
18
10.7
13
6.2
25
8.5
18
9.6
18
11.4
10
9.8
8
14.8
27
8.9
20
9.2
7
8.0
45-54
122
18.0
37
22.4
37
17.4
50
16.8
37
19.9
34
21.2
22
20.4
12
22.9
45
14.8
29
13.4
55-64
163
24.0
33
20.2
67
31.1
78
26.0
46
25.0
33
20.8
21
20.3
11
21.9
72
23.7
65 PLUS
278
41.0
66
40.2
93
43.1
131
43.8
77
42.0
66
41.7
46
43.9
20
37.4
139
45.6
10
11.0
5
5.1
2
4.7
7
6.2
13
12.1
16
15.3
8
8.6
14
11.1
13
14.0
2
8.0
5
5.4
19
17.4
5
14.1
10
8.5
16
18.2
26
24.2
17
16.1
9
10.7
18
14.3
10
10.6
6
27.3
20
21.4
27
24.7
7
19.8
26
22.3
51
23.8
21
23.4
27
25.0
31
28.6
23
25.7
21
17.3
28
29.0
6
31.4
27
28.1
23
21.1
8
24.4
27
23.6
100
46.7
39
43.1
42
38.7
31
29.1
46
52.7
65
53.4
35
36.8
7
33.4
32
34.0
35
31.8
13
37.0
45
39.3
Table 12-1
T14. For statistical purposes only, what is your race? Press 1 if you are white, Press 2 if you are Hispanic or Latino, press 3 if you are another ethnic group.
GEND
AGE
REPUBLICANS
INDEPENDENTS
RACE
MORMON
TRAD REP
VS. TEA
PARTY
-------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ -------------------- ------------------- -------------------65
TOT
REP
REP
TOT
IND
IND
TRAD
TEA
TOTAL
MEN WOM 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 PLUS
REP
MEN WOM
IND
MEN WOM WHTE HISP
YES
NO
REP PART
--------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------TOTAL
678
325
353
41
75
122
163
278
583
278
306
95
48
47
606
31
91
587
299
310
100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
WHITE
606
89.4
288
88.5
318
90.3
37
91.0
57
76.0
106
87.0
145
89.2
261
94.0
526
90.1
251
90.5
274
89.8
81
85.0
37
76.9
44
93.3
HISPANIC
LATINO
31
4.6
15
4.5
17
4.7
4
9.0
9
12.0
3
2.5
9
5.7
6
2.2
27
4.7
12
4.4
15
4.9
4
4.2
2
4.8
2
3.5
ANOTHER ETHNIC GROUP
41
6.0
23
7.0
18
5.0
9
12.0
13
10.4
8
5.1
11
3.8
30
5.2
14
5.1
16
5.3
10
10.9
9
18.4
2
3.2
606
100.0
31
100.0
84
91.6
523
89.1
272
91.0
272
87.7
2
2.4
29
4.9
17
5.6
14
4.6
5
6.0
35
6.0
10
3.4
24
7.7
Table 12-2
T14. For statistical purposes only, what is your race? Press 1 if you are white, Press 2 if you are Hispanic or Latino, press 3 if you are another ethnic group.
CARDON IMG
FLAKE IMG
BALLOT TEST
CONGRESSIONAL DIST.
RATING
RATING
-------------------- ------------------- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------UN
UN
CAR
DEF PROB
FLA
DEF PROB
TOTAL
FAV
FAV
FAV
FAV
DON CRDN CRDN
KE FLKE FLKE
OTH
--------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------TOTAL
678
164
215
299
184
158
106
52
304
214
90
108
107
88
122
95
20
95
108
34
115
100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
WHITE
606
89.4
143
87.4
190
88.4
267
89.5
161
87.5
137
86.6
90
85.4
47
88.8
273
89.7
192
89.3
81
90.7
94
86.7
103
95.5
80
90.8
114
93.4
89
94.1
18
90.6
82
86.7
99
91.5
25
73.6
98
85.0
HISPANIC
LATINO
31
4.6
7
4.1
14
6.5
15
5.2
10
5.2
8
5.1
5
5.1
3
5.2
16
5.4
14
6.4
3
3.1
5
4.4
2
1.7
4
4.2
4
3.2
1
1.3
1
4.2
6
6.3
3
2.6
6
18.3
6
5.6
ANOTHER ETHNIC GROUP
41
6.0
14
8.5
11
5.1
16
5.3
13
7.3
13
8.3
10
9.4
3
6.0
15
4.9
9
4.3
6
6.2
10
8.9
3
2.8
4
5.0
4
3.4
4
4.7
1
5.1
7
7.0
6
5.8
3
8.0
11
9.4
Table 13-1
REGIONS
GEND
AGE
REPUBLICANS
INDEPENDENTS
RACE
MORMON
TRAD REP
VS. TEA
PARTY
-------------------- ----------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------- ------------------------------ -------------------- ------------------- -------------------65
TOT
REP
REP
TOT
IND
IND
TRAD
TEA
TOTAL
MEN WOM 18-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 PLUS
REP
MEN WOM
IND
MEN WOM WHTE HISP
YES
NO
REP PART
--------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------TOTAL
678
325
353
41
75
122
163
278
583
278
306
95
48
47
606
31
91
587
299
310
100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
CD01
88
13.0
37
11.4
51
14.5
2
5.1
8
10.2
9
7.7
23
13.9
46
16.7
77
13.2
30
10.8
47
15.4
11
11.7
7
14.7
4
8.7
80
13.2
4
11.8
20
22.0
68
11.6
30
10.1
51
16.5
CD02
122
18.0
59
18.0
63
18.0
5
11.5
14
18.1
18
14.3
21
13.0
65
23.5
110
18.8
53
19.2
56
18.5
12
12.9
5
11.3
7
14.5
114
18.8
4
12.6
10
10.5
112
19.2
63
21.2
51
16.3
CD03
95
14.0
37
11.4
58
16.4
9
22.6
13
17.8
10
8.2
28
16.9
35
12.5
86
14.7
33
11.7
53
17.4
9
9.8
5
9.4
5
10.3
89
14.7
1
3.8
9
10.0
86
14.6
38
12.6
52
16.9
CD04
20
3.0
9
2.7
12
3.3
2
2.2
6
4.5
6
3.9
7
2.4
14
2.4
5
1.8
9
3.0
6
6.5
4
7.8
2
5.2
18
3.0
1
2.8
4
3.9
17
2.9
10
3.4
8
2.6
CD05
95
14.0
54
16.5
41
11.7
10
25.7
5
6.9
20
16.6
27
16.4
32
11.6
81
13.9
45
16.3
36
11.7
14
14.7
8
17.6
6
11.8
82
13.6
6
19.3
16
18.0
78
13.4
46
15.3
33
10.5
CD06
108
16.0
54
16.5
55
15.5
5
13.5
19
25.3
27
21.9
23
14.0
35
12.4
91
15.6
49
17.5
42
13.9
17
18.3
5
10.8
12
26.0
99
16.4
3
9.2
25
27.6
83
14.2
51
17.1
44
14.1
CD07
34
5.0
20
6.0
14
4.1
2
3.9
5
6.4
7
5.5
8
5.1
13
4.5
30
5.2
17
5.9
14
4.5
4
3.9
3
6.3
1
1.4
25
4.1
6
20.0
1
1.4
33
5.6
9
3.0
22
7.0
CD08
115
17.0
57
17.4
59
16.6
7
17.7
10
13.1
26
21.1
27
16.7
45
16.3
94
16.2
46
16.6
48
15.7
21
22.1
11
22.1
10
22.1
98
16.2
6
20.6
6
6.5
109
18.6
52
17.3
50
16.1
Table 13-2
REGIONS
CARDON IMG
FLAKE IMG
BALLOT TEST
CONGRESSIONAL DIST.
RATING
RATING
-------------------- ------------------- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------UN
UN
CAR
DEF PROB
FLA
DEF PROB
TOTAL
FAV
FAV
FAV
FAV
DON CRDN CRDN
KE FLKE FLKE
OTH
--------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------- --------- -------- --------- --------TOTAL
678
164
215
299
184
158
106
52
304
214
90
108
107
88
122
95
20
95
108
34
115
100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
CD01
88
13.0
24
14.9
32
14.9
42
14.0
30
16.2
21
13.3
17
16.2
4
7.6
44
14.6
32
14.8
13
14.2
15
13.5
8
7.4
CD02
122
18.0
33
20.0
30
13.9
44
14.6
37
20.1
34
21.7
23
21.8
11
21.3
48
15.8
33
15.2
15
17.1
19
17.5
21
19.5
CD03
95
14.0
18
11.3
31
14.3
40
13.3
19
10.1
15
9.7
9
8.1
7
13.0
48
15.7
27
12.5
21
23.3
15
13.8
17
15.7
CD04
20
3.0
7
4.5
4
1.9
7
2.3
10
5.4
8
5.3
4
3.9
4
8.0
6
1.8
5
2.2
1
1.0
3
2.4
4
3.5
CD05
95
14.0
16
10.0
42
19.4
50
16.6
22
12.2
13
8.0
11
10.7
1
2.7
55
17.9
43
20.3
11
12.3
14
12.5
14
13.1
CD06
108
16.0
24
14.7
42
19.4
62
20.8
30
16.3
24
15.5
17
16.2
7
14.0
57
18.7
41
18.9
16
18.2
16
15.1
11
10.1
CD07
34
5.0
10
6.4
5
2.4
10
3.3
9
4.9
15
9.6
7
6.5
8
15.9
8
2.5
6
2.8
2
2.0
6
5.9
5
4.3
CD08
115
17.0
30
18.3
30
13.8
45
15.1
27
14.8
27
16.9
18
16.6
9
17.6
39
12.9
29
13.4
11
11.9
21
19.2
28
26.4
88
100.0
122
100.0
95
100.0
20
100.0
95
100.0
108
100.0
34
100.0
115
100.0

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July 18, 2012

Magellan ID# AZGOPSEN-071612 Arizona US Senate Republican Primary Survey Results

Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027

Magellan ID# AZGOPSEN-071612 Arizona US Senate Republican Primary Survey Results

Magellan Strategies | 1685 Boxelder St. Suite 300 | Louisville, CO 80027

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