AEC 2015

ASEAN Economic
Community

? ?
?
2015

AEC Blueprint


/

(Market Access : MA)
(National treatment : NT)

 AEC Blueprint
1)
- AFTA CEPT ( )
ATIGA (ASEAN Trade I n Goods Agreement)
CEPT : 2553 6 0%
- 2558 0%
Sensitive List 0% 5%
Highly Sensitive List
- NTPs (Non-Tariff Barriers)

 AEC Blueprint
2)
-
- 4
2553
2556

 AEC Blueprint
(threshold)
- (Priority sectors)
)
51% .. 2551
70% .. 2553
- 49% .. 2551
51% .. 2553 70% .. 2556
- 49%
.. 2551 51% .. 2553 70% .. 2558

 AEC Blueprint
3) /
-
AIA (
)
-

-

- (National Treatment)

 AEC Blueprint
4)
-


-
(Surveyor)

AEC 2015

? ?

AEC 2015

AEC

AEC SCORECARD : ASEAN SUMMIT 13, 20 2550

ASEAN SUMMIT 14,

2552 Economic

Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia

(ERIA) AEC
Scorecard

AEC SCORECARD : ASEAN SUMMIT 13, 20 2550

4

1)


2) E-ASEAN

3) -
SMEs
4)
FTA

AEC 2015

AEC

AEC 2015

? ?

( .)
Extrapolation

AEC 2015

 AFTA
1)

(Trade Creation) )

(Comparative
Advantage)
ASEAN

 AFTA

(Trade Diversion)
AFTA

 AFTA
2) (Economic Welfare)
2558 2547


10 6.6


1.9 1.6

 AFTA
3) (Economic Growth)

0.85
2 1.97

0.32

AEC 2015
Towards ASEAN
Economic Community

 5
-
AFTA

-



(ASEAN Company)

1) AEC
2) AEC
3)
4) CLMV
5) /
6) / / AEC
7) /

 5
1) (Non-Tarriff Barriers : NTBs)
(

)
2)
6 4
3)

The realisation of the AEC in 2015 will open up greater

opportunities for socio-economic growth.
The benefits of AEC

Greater choice of goods and services for consumers through increases in intraregional trade
Larger economies of scale for businesses and industries
increasing productivity while reducing production costs
more competitive pricing of goods
Lowering of production costs can be passed onto consumers
Greater demand for goods and services
jobs in various industries:manufacturing, transport, logistics and Communications
Increased trade and investment
Increased economic integration will strengthen business networks across ASEAN
A higher level of employment in ASEAN

The Driving Force before 2015

ASEAN + 3 Forming : Population 2500 Million

/ HA/DR

CLMV

Larger economies of scale for businesses and industries

Credit Carbon
Global worming
Logistics
Drugs
Terrorisms
Immigration
Renewable & Bio Energy

AEC 2015 ?

,
ASEGDePTC

 AEC
+ + AEC

(SET MAI)

(SET MAI)

(TFET)

(BEX)

(TFET)

(BEX)

++

AEC

ASEGDePTC

 ASEAN,

AEC 2015 ?

,
ASEGDePTC