TABEL "MULA" (HASIL PENGAMATAN)

Bulan ke

MTTF; jam

xi

yi

1.0

65.0

2.0

32.0

yi (MTTF; jam)

3.0

21.0

70.0

4.0

16.0

60.0

5.0

12.0

6.0

9.0

7.0

7.0

8.0

6.0

9.0

5.0

10

10.0

4.0

11

11.0

3.0

12

12.0

2.0

No.

log y = ao + b/x

y = c eb/x

50.0
40.0
30.0
20.0

10.0
0.0

10

11

12

xi (Bulan ke; t)

TABEL "PERSIAPAN" (TRANSFORMASI DATA DARI TABEL "MULA")

1/Bulan ke

Log MTTF; jam

1/xi

log yi

1.00

1.81

0.50

1.51

0.33

1.32

0.25

1.20

1.40

0.20

1.08

1.20

0.17

0.95

1.00

0.14

0.85

0.13

0.78

0.11

0.70

0.20

10

0.10

0.60

0.00

11

0.09

0.48

12

0.08

0.30

No.

log y = ao + b/x

y = c eb/x
yi (log MTTF)
2.00
1.80
1.60

0.80
0.60

0.08
0.09
0.10
0.11
0.13
0.14
0.17
0.20

0.40

10

11

12

xi (1/bulan ke); t

0.30
0.48
0.60
0.70
0.78
0.85
0.95
1.08

0.25
0.33
0.50
1.00

1.20
1.32
1.51
1.81

ANALISIS REGRESI LINIER (DARI TABEL "PERSIAPAN")

t.975 (f = 4) =
No.

1/xi

log yi

xi2

yi2

xi yi
Ymin

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12

1.00
0.50
0.33
0.25
0.20
0.17
0.14
0.13
0.11
0.10
0.09
0.08

1.81
1.51
1.32
1.20
1.08
0.95
0.85
0.78
0.70
0.60
0.48
0.30

1.00
0.25
0.11
0.06
0.04
0.03
0.02
0.02
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.01

3.287
2.265
1.748
1.450
1.165
0.911
0.714
0.606
0.489
0.362
0.228
0.091

1.813
0.753
0.441
0.301
0.216
0.159
0.121
0.097
0.078
0.060
0.043
0.025

2.228
0.588 +

Harga empirik Y =
Y
2.04607
1.31701
1.07399
0.95248
0.87957
0.83097
0.79625
0.77021
0.74996
0.73376
0.72051
0.70946

1.59125
1.11429
0.92128
0.80599
0.72926
0.67513
0.63515
0.60451
0.58033
0.56078
0.54466
0.53114

1.458 x

Ymaks
2.50090
1.51973
1.22670
1.09897
1.02989
0.98681
0.95736
0.93592
0.91959
0.90674
0.89635
0.88778

0.53114
0.54466
0.56078
0.58033
0.60451
0.63515
0.67513
0.72926
0.80599
0.92128
1.11429
1.59125

Perhitungan parameter garis regresi empirik Y = (a - b x) + b x = ao + b x

k=
Sx = S xi

12
3.103

Sy = S yi

11.580

x = Sx / k
y = Sy / k = a
SPxy = S xi yi

0.259
4.106

SPDxy = SPxy - (Sx Sy) / k

SSx = S xi2

1.112
1.565

SSDx = SSx - (Sx2) / k

0.762

b = SPDxy / SSDx
SSy = S yi2

1.458

SSDy = SSy -

(Sy2)

/k

rxy = SPDxy / SSDx SSDy (rxy mendekati 1 atau -1)

SPDy|x = SSDy - (SPDxy2 / SSDx)
s2 = SPDy|x / (k-2)
2
s= s
2
s 2a = s / k

sa = s

Garis Empirik Y = 0.589 + 1.456 x

0.965

2
a

s2b = s2 / SSDx
s b = s 2b
t.975 (f = k-2) = t.975 (f = 12 - 2) = t.975 (f = 10); tabel distribusi - t
amaks = a + t.975 sa

yi (log MTTF)
3.0
2.5

13.315

2.0

2.139
0.871
0.518

1.5

0.052
0.228
0.004

1.0
0.5
0.0
1

0.068

amin = a - t.975 sa

0.819

bmaks = b + t.975 sb

2.039

bmin = b - t.975 sb

0.877

10

11

12

xi (1/bulan ke); t

0.066
0.261
2.228
1.111

isi dengan manual (lihat tabel distribusi- t)

0.70946
0.72051
0.73376
0.74996
0.77021
0.79625
0.83097
0.87957
0.95248
1.07399
1.31701
2.04607

0.88778
0.89635
0.90674
0.91959
0.93592
0.95736
0.98681
1.02989
1.09897
1.22670
1.51973
2.50090

TABEL "AKHIR"
(TRANSFORMASI KEBALIKANNYA MENJADI VARIABEL ASLINYA)
Bulan ke

MTTF; jam

xi

yi

Ymin

Ymaks

1.0

65.0

39.016

111.192

316.886

2.0

32.0

13.011

20.750

33.092

3.0

21.0

8.342

11.857

16.854

4.0

16.0

6.397

8.964

12.560

5.0

12.0

5.361

7.578

10.712

6.0

9.0

4.733

6.776

9.701

7.0

7.0

4.317

6.255

9.065

8.0

6.0

4.023

5.891

8.628

9.0

5.0

3.805

5.623

8.310

10

10.0

4.0

3.637

5.417

8.068

11

11.0

3.0

3.505

5.254

7.877

12

12.0

2.0

3.397

5.122

7.723

No.

Harga Empirik Y = 0.589 + 1.586 x

yi (MTTF)

340
320
300
280
260
240
220
200
180
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0

10

11

12

xi (bulan; t)

Berdasarkan hasil analisis di atas, persamaan garis regresi dapat dituliskan, sbb:

MTTF =

3.9 x 10

1.5 / t

MTTF
12 5.2007336
24 4.5036497
36 4.2927073
Lamda

1/MTTF
12
0.192
24 0.2220421
36 0.2329532

Reliability
12 0.099523
24 0.0048489
36 0.000228

9.952297092
0.48488621
0.022796554