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February 2009
The ABI is the voice of the insurance and investment industry. Its members constitute
over 90 per cent of the insurance market in the UK and 20 per cent across the EU. They
control assets equivalent to a quarter of the UK’s capital. They are the risk managers of
the UK’s economy and society. Through the ABI their voice is heard in Government and
in public debate on insurance, savings, and investment matters. And through the ABI they
come together to improve customers’ experience of the industry, to raise standards of
corporate governance in British business and to protect the public against crime. The ABI
prides itself on thinking for tomorrow, providing solutions to policy challenges based on
the industry’s analysis and understanding of the risks we all face.
Foreword
A new European Commission and European Parliament will be in place over
the next 18 months or so. We all need to be clear about our priorities for Europe
in 2009-2014.
In this paper we have provided a set of principles to guide the future of regulation.
Insurance is fundamentally different from banking. Solutions for banking must not
automatically be applied to them. Insurers will inevitably face challenges over the
coming years but they entered the financial crisis with stronger capital positions than
banks. This has and will continue to assist them to weather the economic storm.
The challenge over the coming months and years is to ensure that regulation is based
on strong principles, not rules. Principles require excellent judgment and high quality
supervision. Neither is easy to achieve but both provide better safeguards than tick-box
regulatory rule keeping. Nor can we allow protectionist pressures to develop. We must
keep markets open and avoid a “fortress Europe” philosophy. Open and liberal capital
markets have been critical to the success of the European Union and will be critical to
Europe’s emergence from the financial crisis.
With an uncertain economic outlook ahead, the need for close engagement with Europe
has never been greater. We will support the new Commission and Parliament as they
seek to restore confidence and trust in the financial services sector.
Stephen Haddrill
Director General, Association of British Insurers
The Insurance Industry: Rebuilding confidence in Europe 1
Contents
Page
Executive Summary 2
Chapter 1: The Economic Context 3
Executive Summary
The economies of all European Union Member States face very challenging times.
The fallout from the financial crisis has spread from the banking sector to the real
economy, increasing unemployment and hitting consumer confidence. However,
insurers have weathered the financial crisis well. We have a key role in protecting
citizens and business from the crisis.
Insurers also have a key role in restoring confidence and getting the economy going
again. The work of the new European Commission and European Parliament needs to
be undertaken with this in mind.
In this paper, we have set out a robust set of principles to guide European policy
makers as they face the challenges ahead. Decisive but considered action is needed
from Brussels. There is a need to restore confidence and trust between supervisors at
European level. We must also avoid rules-based responses. A balanced approach
is needed.
Capital markets are critical to the economic recovery across Europe. They need to be
as deep and liquid as possible and as many categories of investors as possible must
be able to participate. But there is room for improvement in the way such markets
operate; greater transparency for investors is needed in addition to stronger corporate
governance arrangements.
Solutions developed at European level are only part of the answer. The European Union
must work with our international partners and push for a globally agreed approach.
We urge world leaders meeting in London on 2 April to agree concrete proposals to
get the world economy functioning properly again. Leaders should also encourage a
successful conclusion of the Doha Round of trade negotiations as soon as possible.
Given the nature of the financial crisis, there is a need for truly global solutions.
The INsuRaNCe INdusTRy: RebuIldINg CoNfIdeNCe IN euRoPe 3
Although our primary role is to manage risks for our customers, insurers are also
important actors in the wider economy. In the UK, insurance companies have net
investments of approximately £1,599 billion, own around 15% of the shares on the
london stock exchange and control assets equivalent to 25% of the uK’s capital.
This means that insurers are well placed to contribute to the debate in the European
Commission and Parliament.
Challenging times
Difficult times lie ahead. In the UK, we are in the first recession since the early 1990s.
As the graph opposite shows, it seems likely that the effects of the financial crisis will
hit the wider UK economy particularly hard. Unemployment in the UK is also likely
to rise sharply, although it is expected to remain below the rate for the Euro area
(see graph opposite).
4 ThE INSUrANCE INDUSTry: rEBUIlDING CONFIDENCE IN EUrOPE
0
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
-1
-2
-3
source: oeCd economic outlook November 2008, oeCd. The years 2008, 2009 and 2010 projections are
based on IMF World Economic Outlook, January 2009.
unemployment (%)
12
10
0
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
The insurance sector is not immune from the effects of the financial crisis. The recent
falls in the value of stock markets have eroded the reserves of many insurers, albeit not
to a critical level. As consumers look to make savings, cutting back on insurance cover
can mistakenly be seen as an easy way to reduce household expenditure. This exposes
consumers to increased financial risks and reduces the premium income of insurers.
The Insurance Industry: Rebuilding confidence in Europe 5
While European banks have needed substantial capital injections funded by taxpayers,
rigorous risk assessment and cautious capital management have ensured that the
insurance business model is fundamentally sound. Insurers, particularly UK insurers,
entered the financial crisis with strong capital positions. They are well placed to weather
the economic storm. The graph below shows the Total Capital Ratios (TCR1) of the main
UK and European insurers. As can be seen, UK and European insurers hold adequate
capital buffers to sustain their business and credit strength ratings. Indeed, insurance
economists expect that investment write-downs directly related to sub-prime mortgage
instruments will not exceed around 3.5% of the global insurance and reinsurance
industry’s capital, or a mere 0.5% of invested assets2.
200%
150%
100%
50%
UK Insurers UK and other European Insurers
September 08 January 09
1
The Total Capital Ratio is the relationship between the amount of capital held by a company and the amount of capital needed to support the
insurer’s business and financial strength rating. Therefore, a TCR above 100% indicates that the insurer is adequately capitalised.
2
http://www.genevaassociation.org/Portals/0/Navigating%20the%20storm.pdf
3
The TCRs allow for diversification benefits unless stated otherwise.
6 The INsuRaNCe INdusTRy: RebuIldINg CoNfIdeNCe IN euRoPe
The insurance industry’s resilience to the financial crisis is reflected in the greater degree
of confidence European capital markets have shown in insurers than they have in banks.
As can be seen in the graph below, the share price of the main insurers outperformed the
share price of the main banks during 2008. Therefore, despite the difficult times ahead,
the capital markets can continue to have confidence in British insurers. So too
can consumers.
15%
10%
5%
0%
Feb 07 Apr 07 Jun 07 Aug 07 Oct 07 Dec 07 Feb 08 Apr 08 Jun 08 Aug 08 Oct 08 Dec 08
-5%
4
Insurance index used is the sXIP and the banking index is the dJ sToXX europe 600 banks (sX7P).
The Insurance Industry: Rebuilding confidence in Europe 7
In light of the challenges ahead, Europe must be prepared to take action to restore
confidence across the Single Market. The unique feature of the European Union is its
binding legal framework, but not all the levers are at the European level. Action needs to
be taken in conjunction with others at the national and international level. Action needs
to be considered and proportionate.
The crisis calls for targeted refinement of regulatory frameworks. But poorly considered,
knee-jerk and prescriptive regulatory responses are only likely to disrupt the business
environment. Such responses are unlikely to provide benefits to consumers and may
simply prolong the economic downturn.
Below we have set out some suggested principles to underpin Europe’s regulatory
response to the financial crisis.
5
http://www.genevaassociation.org/Portals/0/Navigating%20the%20storm.pdf
8 The Insurance Industry: Rebuilding confidence in Europe
Markets evolve and so too must regulation. It is important, therefore, that regulatory
regimes are reviewed at appropriate intervals to ensure that they remain fit-for-purpose.
This must involve an understanding of how regulators have incorporated European
legislation into their national laws. The Commission should demand explanations from
national regulators who do not transpose European Directives correctly.
Novel funding instruments, for example, deferred government bonds, may be needed
to fund increasing fiscal deficits but they will need to be incorporated into the balance
sheets of insurers. At some stage, national governments’ ownership stakes will need
to be returned to the private sector and this must be accomplished without disrupting
the capital markets. It will also be harder for national governments to fund their
welfare states in the future, meaning private sector funding may be needed. Trust and
partnership between the public and private sectors is just as essential in these difficult
times as it will be in the future.
A return to fragmented national insurance markets is not desirable. Respect for local and
regional markets is paramount, but cross-border financial institutions will spearhead the
recovery of Europe’s real economy. They have business models and structures rooted
in a pan-European vision, which would be costly to unwind. The consumer benefits of
financial integration would also disappear. The supervisory framework underpinning
Europe’s financial services therefore needs to be reinforced, not weakened.
For insurers, the key to increased co-operation is the Solvency II project. Solvency
II introduces an economic basis for the valuation of the liabilities and assets on
insurers’ balance sheets. Capital requirements are to be set on a realistic, market-
based assessment of the risk the insurer carries. Risk is to be calculated using internal
models, thus bringing the information used by management into line with that used by
supervisors. Insurers are to receive credit for diversification of risk.
A large minority of national supervisors have objected to the group support elements
of the Directive. However, it provides an economic and risk-based approach to capital
management within a group. UK insurers believe it must be restored to the Directive in
negotiations between the Council of Ministers and the European Parliament. This needs
to happen before the Parliament is dissolved in time for the Elections in June.
12 The Insurance Industry: Rebuilding confidence in Europe
Solvency II also remains the key project in the medium term. The Commission and
the Committee of European Insurance and Occupational Pensions Supervisors
(CEIOPS) will need to flesh out the Framework Directive with market-consistent
implementing legislation.
Over the next two years, steps should also be taken to increase the resources available
to CEIOPS and the other Level Three Committees. This should provide sufficient policy
support and ensure consistent decision-making by supervisors. We welcome the recent
announcement of additional resources from the European Union’s budget. The initial
mechanism should be a better-defined mediation role for CEIOPS. Depending on the
experience with these arrangements, limited and tightly defined decision-making powers
for CEIOPS may also be considered. We are not convinced that EU Agency status is the
right answer.
Over the longer run, the de Larosière Group should set in motion thinking about the
issues associated with a single European prudential supervisor. This is not a decision to be
taken lightly and needs very careful preparation in advance. The transition from a system
based on twenty-seven national regulators to a single regulatory body would need
thorough and detailed planning. The step should be taken only if all the economic and
political conditions have been met. This is not a decision that can be taken now. Indeed,
we may never get there. But the failure of trust between national regulators makes this
the right time to start the exploratory work.
Two final points for the de Larosière Group. First, insurance is not banking, and does
not require the same supervisory arrangements. It is a major source of frustration for
insurers that, despite their robust business models and risk management, the regulatory
framework continues to be set principally with reference to banking. Insurance
supervision needs dedicated expertise and adequate resources, whatever the institutional
arrangements. We see no case at present for combining the separate Lamfalussy
Committees, CEIOPS (insurance), CESR (securities) and CEBS (banking).
Secondly, Europe’s retail markets in financial services are local, and are likely to remain
so for several years. Regulation of retail markets should therefore be done at local level,
close to the consumer. Changes to the prudential supervisory framework should not
alter this.
The INsuRaNCe INdusTRy: RebuIldINg CoNfIdeNCe IN euRoPe 13
Europe’s capital markets need to be as deep and liquid as possible. This means
maintaining a plurality of market participants. The basis of a modern capital market is
long-term institutional investors, such as insurance companies, pension funds and asset
managers. however, it would be unwise to exclude other categories of investors – hedge
funds, private equity, Sovereign Wealth Funds and individual investors. regulation limiting
participants in the capital markets – and let us be clear that some of the measures
proposed in the European Parliament would do precisely that – would leave Europe
the poorer.
In difficult times the battle against protectionism has to be fought again. This applies
to the capital markets just as much as elsewhere. We understand the Commission’s
reasons for restricting investors’ freedom to invest overseas in the Credit rating Agencies
regulation. But this is a slippery slope that will rapidly bring up barriers around the world.
If regulators begin to trust only those decisions made by the agencies they supervise,
retaliatory, protectionist regulation will be the result. The recovery of the global economy
depends on capital flowing freely across borders.
All wholesale market participants should be bound by the same market conduct rules.
There should be no special rules for particular classes of market participant, for example
no particular restrictions on sovereign wealth funds. The market rules should be applied
to all. If market abuse is suspected, it should be investigated and rigorously enforced in
all jurisdictions.
regulatory proposals have their part to play in the renewal of confidence. But regulation
is not the only tool, and needs to be approached with care. As we argued in Chapter 2,
the extraordinary circumstances of the financial crisis have not changed the need for
effective regulation: careful analysis of the objective to be achieved, means proportionate
to that end, rigorous cost-benefit analysis, and thorough industry consultation.
We are supporters in principle of fair value and of mark to market disciplines. We agree
that greater understanding is needed in marking financial instruments to market in
circumstances where no market exists for them. However, we should avoid far-reaching
changes to accounting rules that undermine confidence in the integrity of the accounts.
The purpose of financial reporting is to show things as they are, not an improved
“stable” version of a business.
The Commission is also consulting on the ownership of auditors. One of the major
difficulties with the audit markets is that only the “Big Four” networks have the
resources to cope with a complex audit. This limits audit capacity and competition in
the audit market, and it drives up prices. At present only qualified auditors are allowed
to own audit companies. This is an old-fashioned restriction that prevents the entry of
capital into the audit market.
The role of Credit Rating Agencies has been heavily criticised in the wake of the
financial crisis. The Commission has brought forward a proposal for a Regulation on the
registration of the agencies. Care is needed here. Agencies’ ratings are just opinions.
They form a part, but only a part, of due diligence when investing. Investors would be
unwise to rely entirely on agencies’ ratings. There is a risk that the Regulation will draw
the agencies further into a quasi-regulatory role.
In any event, the Regulation needs be revised in several areas. First, the protectionist
clause that restricts investors to securitisations domiciled in the EU should be removed.
Secondly, the implications for business of withdrawal of an agency’s registration need
to be properly thought through. Finally, we remain concerned that the supervision
arrangements leave too much room for quasi-political interference in ratings. Freedom
from political interference is paramount if ratings are to be trusted by the market.
The Commission has also launched a consultation on hedge funds. We believe that
the hedge fund industry would benefit from material improvements in terms of
transparency to investors. However, we recommend a self-regulatory response to this
issue. In the UK, this has been led by the Hedge Fund Standards Board. Understandable
desires to impose regulatory solutions should be tempered, and in the first instance,
encouragement should be given to the sector to continue to seek enhancements to
transparency, and improved adherence to best practice.
The Insurance Industry: Rebuilding confidence in Europe 15
British insurers wish to contribute constructively to the debate about the role of
shareholders in the run-up to the financial crisis. Some stakeholders have suggested
that institutional shareholders should have mounted a more robust opposition to
the executive remuneration structures in banks. Or that they could have opposed the
investment policies that allowed financial institutions to take on the level of leverage
and risk that they did. In the light of such a far-reaching crisis we agree that it is right to
conduct a thorough examination of corporate governance arrangements. As guardians
of the Company Law Directives and the accompanying Recommendations, the EU
institutions have an important role to play in this process.
However, it is important that we do not call into question the fundamental principles of
corporate governance that have been developed over decades. These have, on the whole,
served the needs of Europe’s industrial and service companies well.
Perhaps the most important principle is that the system of corporate governance is
largely voluntary. It is enforced not through the courts but through peer pressure on
the principle of “comply or explain”. There will inevitably be calls for further elements
of the corporate governance codes to be enshrined in legislation. The current would
be a retrograde step that would remove flexibility and bog down relations between
shareholders and management in empty formal exchanges. This flexibility is an important
element of competitive advantage that Europe holds over the prescriptive US approach
to corporate governance, best known through the self-defeating requirements of
Sarbanes-Oxley.
Europe needs to re-affirm the principles of comply or explain, and proportionality over
the longer term. Within this overall context, British insurers have identified a number of
issues for consideration in the light of the financial crisis.
Secondly, we need more transparency about the ownership of companies. The widespread
practice of stock lending and the increasing use of derivatives and contracts for difference
has complicated the issue. There have been occasions recently when, in the run-up to
a controversial vote, company management has found that its share register bore very
little relation to those actually empowered to vote. There is nothing wrong in principle
with stock lending or with the use of derivatives, but there should be clearer and quicker
obligations on those holding voting rights through these routes to declare their interest.
There are, and always have been, limits to the effectiveness of corporate governance
and it should not be seen as a substitute for regulation where regulation is necessary.
Ownership of equities has become more fragmented in recent years. For example,
British insurers now own only around 15 per cent of the London market. Pension funds
own somewhat less. With other owners sometimes less concerned about governance,
this makes it easier for companies to override efforts by concerned shareholders to
achieve change. It is important, therefore, that the European institutions work to build
consensus in the shareholder community in all Member States about the need to hold
boards to account. The future of corporate governance will require continuing dialogue
and partnership between national and European authorities, and representatives of
shareholders. It would be easy for stakeholders to point to shortcomings on all sides but
trust and a constructive attitude are more likely to deliver a lasting constructive solution.
18 The INsuRaNCe INdusTRy: RebuIldINg CoNfIdeNCe IN euRoPe
The graph opposite shows that Europe is suffering from the world’s economic downturn.
In Chapter 3 we set out a three-step approach for reinforcing the european supervisory
framework. The economic downturn forecast in the Euro area makes this even more
important. But in an inter-dependent world, Europe must work with our international
partners to address the financial crisis. A global problem requires global solutions.
The Insurance Industry: Rebuilding confidence in Europe 19
Advanced economies
BRIC economies**
Euro area
UK
World output
-4 0 4 8 12
2007 2008* 2009*
Notes: (*) Projections. (**) The term ‘BRIC’ refers to the fast-growing developing economies of
Brazil, Russia, India and China. In the chart, this category shows the simple average of the four annual
percent changes.
Even so, any happy conclusion to the Doha Round is unlikely to deliver much by way of
liberalisation in financial services. It may well be that trade talks are not the right place
to develop the necessary confidence between financial services regulators. Insurers lay
great store by the regulatory dialogues between the EU, US, China and other major
jurisdictions. For financial services, these dialogues are likely to prove more fruitful forums
for liberalisation in future than trade talks. However, the participants need to recognise
the importance of these talks to raise their game on transparency and to ensure that
there is a broadly consistent outcome.
Summary
Like many other sectors, the insurance industry has not been immune from the effects
of the financial crisis. But the business model for insurance is fundamentally different
from that of banking. Undoubtedly there will be difficult times ahead but insurers are
well placed to withstand future economic shocks.
The current turmoil has inflicted serious damage on the institutional framework
governing financial services regulation in Europe. Confidence in financial markets has
been lost. Trust between national regulators has been seriously eroded. There is a risk of
further fragmentation of supervision along national lines. All of these have the potential
to set the Single Market back decades.
Given the right framework, insurers as investors have an important role to play in
the renewal of confidence in European capital markets. Effective corporate engagement
is an important part of the framework. So too is regulation. But we face a real risk of
regulatory overkill in an effort to prevent another financial crisis. Action is needed at
the European level, recognising that a knee-jerk regulatory response will only prolong
the downturn.
As the voice of the UK insurance industry and with tough economic times ahead,
the ABI stands ready to work with the new European Commission and Parliament to face
the challenges ahead and turn today’s crisis into tomorrow’s success.
For more information, contact:
www.abi.org.uk