Ano

1927
1928
1929
1930
1931
1932
1933
1934
1935
1936
1937
1938
1939
1940
1941
1948
1949
1950
1951
1952
1953
1954
1955
1956
1957
1958
1959
1960
1961
1962

Consumo de
Alimentos
per Capita
,q
Preo
de Alimento
Renda
dos Consumidores
88.9
91.7
57.7
88.9
92
59.3
89.1
93.1
62
88.7
90.9
56.3
88
82.3
52.7
85.9
76.3
44.4
86
78.3
43.8
87.1
84.3
47.8
85.4
88.1
52.1
88.5
88
58
88.4
88.4
59.8
88.6
83.5
55.9
91.7
82.4
60.3
93.3
83
64.1
95.1
86.2
73.7
96.7
105.3
82.1
96.7
102
83.1
98
102.4
88.6
96.1
105.4
88.3
98.1
105
89.1
99.1
102.6
92.1
99.1
101.9
91.7
99.8
100.8
96.5
101.5
100
99.8
99.9
99.8
99.9
99.1
101.2
98.4
101
98.8
101.8
100.7
98.4
101.8
100.8
98.8
103.1
101
98.4
105.5

ln consumoln preo
4.487512 4.518522
4.487512 4.521789
4.489759 4.533674
4.48526 4.50976
4.477337 4.410371
4.453184 4.334673
4.454347 4.360548
4.467057 4.434382
4.447346 4.478473
4.483003 4.477337
4.481872 4.481872
4.484132 4.424847
4.518522 4.411585
4.53582 4.418841
4.554929 4.45667
4.571613 4.656813
4.571613 4.624973
4.584967 4.628887
4.565389 4.657763
4.585987 4.65396
4.596129 4.630838
4.596129 4.623992
4.603168 4.613138
4.620059 4.60517
4.60417 4.603168
4.596129 4.617099
4.615121 4.593098
4.612146 4.589041
4.613138 4.593098
4.615121 4.589041

ln renda
4.055257
4.082609
4.127134
4.030695
3.964615
3.793239
3.779634
3.867026
3.953165
4.060443
4.091006
4.023564
4.099332
4.160444
4.300003
4.407938
4.420045
4.484132
4.48074
4.489759
4.522875
4.518522
4.569543
4.603168
4.60417
4.589041
4.62301
4.62301
4.635699
4.658711

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.984464
R Square
0.96917
Adjusted R Square
0.966886
Standard Error
1.031981
Observations
30
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

SS
MS
F
Significance F
2 903.9174 451.9587 424.3808 3.99E-21
27 28.75457 1.064984
29 932.672

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat
P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
Intercept
77.53222 2.827656 27.41926 3.01E-21 71.73035 83.33409 71.73035 83.33409
X Variable 1 -0.05612 0.041034 -1.36753 0.182735 -0.14031 0.02808 -0.14031 0.02808
X Variable 2 0.28765 0.017297 16.63042 1.03E-15 0.25216 0.323139 0.25216 0.323139

n=
k=

30
3

y=

88.9
88.9
89.1
88.7
88
85.9
86
87.1
85.4
88.5
88.4
88.6
91.7
93.3
95.1
96.7
96.7
98
96.1
98.1
99.1
99.1
99.8
101.5
99.9
99.1
101
100.7
100.8
101

X=

1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1

91.7
92
93.1
90.9
82.3
76.3
78.3
84.3
88.1
88
88.4
83.5
82.4
83
86.2
105.3
102
102.4
105.4
105
102.6
101.9
100.8
100
99.8
101.2
98.8
98.4
98.8
98.4

resid' = -0.084 -0.527 -1.0422

sigma2 = resid'.resid/(n-k) =
var(beta) = sigma2[(X'X)^-1] =

57.7
59.3
62
56.3
52.7
44.4
43.8
47.8
52.1
58
59.8
55.9
60.3
64.1
73.7
82.1
83.1
88.6
88.3
89.1
92.1
91.7
96.5
99.8
99.9
98.4
101.8
101.8
103.1
105.5

X' =

1
91.7
57.7

1
92
59.3

1
93.1
62

X'X =

30 2809 2270
2809 3E+05 2E+05
2270 2E+05 2E+05

(X'X)^-1 =

7.508 -0.105 0.032

-0.105 0.002 -6E-04
0.032 -6E-04 3E-04

beta = [(X'X)^-1]X'y =

0.074 -0.073058 -0.122

1.065
7.9956 -0.112 0.033657
-0.1122 0.002 -0.000601
0.0337 -6E-04 0.000299

0.263

77.53
-0.056
0.288

0.549 -2.175

desv-pad(beta) =

2.8277
0.0410
0.0173

1
90.9
56.3

1
82.3
52.7

1
76.3
44.4

X'y =

2821
3E+05
2E+05

1
78.3
43.8

y^ = X.beta =

88.98
89.43
90.14
88.63
88.07
86.02
85.74
86.55
87.57
89.28
89.77
88.93
90.25
91.31
93.89
95.24
95.71
97.27
97.02
97.27
98.27
98.19
99.63
100.6
100.7
100.2
101.3
101.3
101.6
102.4

-0.778 -1.373 -0.326

1.446

1
84.3
47.8

1
88.1
52.1

resid =

1.987

1.205

1
88
58

1
88.4
59.8

1
83.5
55.9

1
82.4
60.3

83
64.1

-0.083821228
-0.527226111
-1.04215329
0.073995978
-0.073058163
-0.122258466
0.262562303
0.548656332
-2.174998593
-0.777743392
-1.373066668
-0.326198646
1.446415637
1.987016048
1.20514841
1.460696449
0.987865682
0.728238502
-0.917120165
0.830313882
0.832687635
0.908466685
0.166021087
0.871884686
-0.768103379
-1.058067161
-0.27075329
-0.593199479
-0.844697904
-1.357503382
1.460696449 0.987866 0.728239

-0.91712 0.830314

1
102.4
88.6

1
105.4
88.3

0.832688 0.908467 0.166021 0.871885

-0.7681

86.2
73.7

1
105.3
82.1

1
102
83.1

1
105
89.1

1
102.6
92.1

1
101.9
91.7

1
100.8
96.5

-1.05807

-0.27075

-0.5932

-0.8447

1
100
99.8

-1.3575

1
99.8
99.9

1
101.2
98.4

98.8
101.8

98.4
101.8

98.8
103.1

98.4
105.5

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.986457
R Square 0.973098
Adjusted R Square
0.971105
Standard Error
0.010309
Observations
30
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

SS
MS
F
Significance F
2 0.103793 0.051896 488.3147 6.34E-22
27 0.002869 0.000106
29 0.106662

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat
P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
Intercept
4.047253 0.135988 29.76183 3.52E-22 3.768229 4.326278 3.768229 4.326278
X Variable 1 -0.11889 0.040356 -2.94617 0.006553
-0.2017 -0.03609
-0.2017 -0.03609
X Variable 2 0.241154 0.013435 17.9495 1.55E-16 0.213587 0.26872 0.213587 0.26872

n=
k=

30
3

y=

4.488
4.488
4.49
4.485
4.477
4.453
4.454
4.467
4.447
4.483
4.482
4.484
4.519
4.536
4.555
4.572
4.572
4.585
4.565
4.586
4.596
4.596
4.603
4.62
4.604
4.596
4.615
4.612
4.613
4.615

X=

1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1

4.5185
4.5218
4.5337
4.5098
4.4104
4.3347
4.3605
4.4344
4.4785
4.4773
4.4819
4.4248
4.4116
4.4188
4.4567
4.6568
4.625
4.6289
4.6578
4.654
4.6308
4.624
4.6131
4.6052
4.6032
4.6171
4.5931
4.589
4.5931
4.589

resid' = -5E-04 -0.007 -0.0137

sigma2 = resid'.resid/(n-k) =
var(beta) = sigma2[(X'X)^-1] =

4.055
4.083
4.127
4.031
3.965
3.793
3.78
3.867
3.953
4.06
4.091
4.024
4.099
4.16
4.3
4.408
4.42
4.484
4.481
4.49
4.523
4.519
4.57
4.603
4.604
4.589
4.623
4.623
4.636
4.659

X' =

1
4.519
4.055

1
4.522
4.083

1
4.534
4.127

X'X =

30
136.1
128.6

136.1
617.3
584

128.6
584
553.8

(X'X)^-1 =

0.002 -0.001631

0.0001
0.0185 -0.005 0.001363
-0.0054 0.002 -0.000471
0.0014 -5E-04 0.000181

174 -50.49 12.83

-50.49 15.32 -4.434
12.83 -4.434 1.698

beta = [(X'X)^-1]X'y =

0.007

0.014

4.047
-0.119
0.241

0.014 -0.021

desv-pad(beta) =

0.1360
0.0404
0.0134

1
4.51
4.031

1
4.41
3.965

1
4.335
3.793

X'y =

136.3
618.1
584.7

1
4.361
3.78

1
4.434
3.867

1
4.478
3.953

y^ = X.beta =

4.488
4.494
4.503
4.483
4.479
4.447
4.44
4.453
4.468
4.494
4.501
4.491
4.511
4.525
4.554
4.557
4.563
4.578
4.574
4.577
4.587
4.587
4.601
4.61
4.61
4.605
4.616
4.616
4.619
4.625

resid =

-0.011 -0.019 -0.007

0.007

0.011 6E-04

1
1
1
1
1
4.477336814 4.481872 4.424847 4.411585 4.418841
4.060443011 4.091006 4.023564 4.099332 4.160444

-0.000455384
-0.006663123
-0.013740193
0.002173939
-0.001630689
0.006544216
0.014065089
0.01447828
-0.020763196
-0.011112289
-0.019073967
-0.007330346
0.007211819
0.010634691
0.000586225
0.015037564
0.008332324
0.006696878
-0.008630168
0.009340792
0.008747787
0.008983474
0.002427967
0.010262373
-0.006106283
-0.008841873
-0.000896225
-0.004353273
-0.005938456
-0.009987952
0.015037564 0.008332 0.006697

-0.00863 0.009341

1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
4.45667 4.656813 4.624973 4.628887 4.657763 4.65396 4.630838 4.623992 4.613138 4.60517
4.300003 4.407938 4.420045 4.484132 4.48074 4.489759 4.522875 4.518522 4.569543 4.603168

0.008748 0.008983 0.002428 0.010262

-0.00611

-0.00884

-0.0009

-0.00435

-0.00594

-0.00999

1
1
1
1
1
1
4.603168 4.617099 4.593098 4.589041 4.593098 4.589041
4.60417 4.589041 4.62301 4.62301 4.635699 4.658711