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@A ? =IIAI K F=H= = = EI=H FH F H AI @= E@=@AI @= L=HE LA I JE?=I 2 @A GK= @ IE@AH= KEJ I GKA I @=@ I @=@ I K FAH EJE@ B= AH FAH= AI =HEJ H@A =H =I ?=JAC HE=I A H@E =EI =GKA =I @=I GK=EI HAIK J=

I L=HE LAEI GK= JEJ=JEL=I I

J=CA I @A ABA?JEL I @A ? =IIAI ABA?JK=H IA I E AC JE = A H= AI @A @EIJ IA JE@ =I A IK>JH=? AI

@= H@A =

AIJA JEF @A AI?= = = @ELEI AIJA JEF @A AI?= = AC JE B= =H A

=H>EJH HE ?E=I

?= = E JAHL= =H
@ I E JAHL= I IA @ 3K= @ AI I

FHAIAHL=@= = @EIJ IEC E ?=@ B IE? A = AIJAI F @A

?E= = F EJK@A @A H@A = IAH A@E@ I A I B= =H

0 IEC E ?= =KI ?E= @A JA


=I IK>JH=? AI =I H= AI J K AI?= = =>I KJ=

AI?= = @A H=
) AI?= = @A 5JALA JEF @A =

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@ >H @A = JAH = F=HJA @A >=IJ= JA E F HJ= JA K = LA GKA FAH EJA FAH?A>AH GKA  B= AH F=H= I @=@ I A ?=KI= EIA IA F @AH  K

@=@ I

HE? I AI?= =

E =

& 5A = = L=HE LA A ?=KI= HA =JEL= = ? H @ I IJH= @A # ?HE=

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*H=C=
+ A ? IE@AH= @ K = = JH= =I E JH @K E I I @=@ I GKA IA K = AI?= = =FA =I E = B= A @

I?= MD=J    ?=I ?=I ?=I ?=I ?=I LAH ?=I ?=I LAH

# 4A=@ # EJA I ? =II   ?D=H=?JAH @A   ?D=H=?JAH


+ AIJAI @=@ I F @A I ? IJHKEH K = J=>A = ? I ABA?JEL I A ?=@=

? =IIA K ?=JAC HE=

J=> J=> A J=> = ?=I % "

FH LAH ! $
CH ?= @AIJAI @=@ I =C H= HC= E =@ I A CH ? ?EH?K =H B= A @ ?=JAC HE=I K

) HAFHAIA J=

? =IIAI F @A IAH =JH=L I @A K

FEAJ=> ? =E ? H @ I

?> KA >H M  > =?  CHAA  D I @A # ?HE= ?=I

  8=HE LAEI AIJ=J IJE?=I -I?= =I @A 5JALA


cor dos olhos de 50 criancas

'

cas az

pr

ver

K =JH=L I @A K

CH

? @A >=HH=I

>=HF =E

JJ=> ?

?> KA >H M  > =?  CHAA  D I @A # ?HE= ?=I


cor dos olhos de 50 criancas

? H @ I

10

15

20

az

cas

pr

ver

JA GKA I CH DK =

? I ?EH?K =HAI @ALA KEJ > = =L= E=

IAH KI=@ I ?

?=KJA = ,A B=?J AIJ=

IAH

@A HA=I HA =JEL=I

A@E@= I

 CH 5KF ? I @A >=HH=I @ALA D= IAH FHABAHE@ I F=H= I E JAHAII=@ I HAIK C

 -IJ=J IJE?= ,AI?HEJEL= @AIJA JEF @A @=@ I AH =II ?E=@ ? H@ I

I =C H= GKA AIJ= IA I @=@ I

D I 1 JH @K =

CA B B B

I?= MD=J  B B B B B "" B B B B B B B B B B B B B

 B B

# 4A=@ # EJA I
2=H= ?HK = A J @= E B H = I? @=I @K=I L=HE LAEI ?=JAC HE?=I A AI?= =

E = F @A

IJHKEH =I IACKE JAI J=>A =I

J=>A = J=> ACA J=>A = J=> A J=>A = CA = B ! " ?=I FH LAH  !  & &

 CA 

J=>A = J=> A J=>A = CA B = FH !  & " ?=I  ! LAH &

CA 

  8=HE LAEI AIJ=J IJE?=I -I?= =I @A 5JALA +K I CH ? I =II ?E=@ I F @A IAH

>=HF JJ=>A = >AIE@A 6 ACA @ JAN ? A E = H=F=  =E ? H @ I D I F H C AH  N => ? H @ I D I O => BHAGKA ?E= ? ?FE  > KA

@A IA ?

IACKA ?

F=H=H ?=@= ? H @A

D IA

A E

IA

A E =I

cor dos olhos por gnero

12

menina rapaz

frequencia

10

az

cas cor dos olhos

pr

ver

CH

? HA =JEL

KJH= J=>A =

>=HF

JJ=>A =

>AIE@A 6 ACA @ JAN ?= K  ?=IJ= D  LAH@A FHAJ  D I F H C AH  N => C AH  ?> KA >H M  CHAA  > =? 

=E ? H @ I

O => BHAGKA ?E= ?

= K@= = LEIK= E =H = @EIJHE>KE

@= ? H @ I

D IF HC

AH

 -IJ=J IJE?= ,AI?HEJEL=


cor dos olhos por gnero

12

frequencia

10

azul castanho verde preto

f gnero

JH=J= A J AIJ=J IJE? E E?E= @A @=@ I A KEJ HAIJHEJEL + LE I? ? I ?EH?K =HAI K @A >=HH=I

AI?= =

E = A

=JKH=

A JA

IEIJA = IK= HC= E =

J=>A =I A CH

   6H=J= A J @A @=@ I GK= JEJ=JEL I -I?= = E JAH L= =H A AI?= = =>I KJ=


, IA A @A @EIJHE>KE =? ?E=I @A BHAGK ?E=I = ? K J @A J @ I I L= HAI ?E=I ? HHAIF

GKA = L=HE LA J @A JA BHAGK 2 @A ? BHAGK

K J= A JA ?

AH @A ? HH

IJHKEH IA K = J=>A = @A BHAGK ?E= ni ?


ni n

?E=I GKA E ? KE CAH= A JA =


?=@= ?=JAC HE= BHAGK
i k=1

@ I L= HAI xi GKA = L=HE LA x J J=CA JEL= fi = BHAGK


Ni n

= F=H= ?=@= i = 1, . . . , n = HAIFA?JEL= ?E= HA =

@ I ABA?JEL I A

?E= =?K K =@= Ni =

nk A = BHAGK ?E= =?K K =@=

HA =JEL= Fi =

  8=HE LAEI AIJ=J IJE?=I -I?= =I @A 5JALA



/H

? I @A >=HH=I A @A E D=I 0EIJ CH= =I


@ I @=@ I @EIJHE>KE I @=@ I I B H= A F HE?= BHA ? I 3K= @ @EI?HAJ I

2=H= @=H K = I JAIA LEIK= @= @EIJHE>KE HA? HHA IA BHAGKA JA A JA = CH GKA JA KJE E =H IA I CH K CH ? I @A E D=I

? I @A >=HH=I GKA

HABAHE@ I = JAHE H A JA

K
+

ANA F
IJH= @ AH @A ?=I I @A E J NE?= K = B >HE?=

IE@AHA = IACKE JA =

@A FH @KJ I GK

E? I @KH= JA ! @E=I

o o

@A ?=I I @A @E=I

 

  "

" 

# 

$ 

.= =

CH

? @A E D=I

K ?=I I

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K @E=I ?  " E J HAF K ?=I I J=> E J E J     F " ! "  $  K

J=> E J J=> AE JJ=>A =

J K ?=I I

@E=I ! JOFA D =E =E

?=I I @A E J NE?= ?E=

I

N => 

AH @A E J NE?= @=H > KA ?

AI O => BHAGK

HA =JEL= ?

@=H > KA

"
casos de intoxicao num ms
0.4

 -IJ=J IJE?= ,AI?HEJEL=

frequncia relativa

0.0 0

0.1

0.2

0.3

nmero de intoxicaes

3K= @ A AL=@

I @=@ I I @ALA

J K I K ?

AH @A ?=JAC HE=I

KEJ

IA =CHKF=H I @=@ I A

? =IIAI 6A HE?= A JA AIJ=I ? =IIA IK> =?A JA = I @=@ I A >I?KHA?AH

Cj = [cj , cj +1 [, j = 1, . . . , k @ALA
=I L=HE= AI ?=IK=EI

JAH K = = F EJK@A h @A B H = = HA= =H =I

FHE ?EF=EI ?=H=?JAH IJE?=I @= @EIJHE>KE

3K= J=I ? =IIAI


AH @A ? =IIAI k @ALA IAH = @E A I @= = A H E JAEH J= GKA 2k > n, @A n

IJH= HACH= @A 5JKHCAI

3K= = = F EJK@A @A ?=@= ? =IIA


,A JA IA F H x(n) NE @= = IJH= A x(1) E F H AN?AII @ GK ?E

) = F EJK@A h @A ? =IIA @ALA IAH = =FH NE = A JA


x(n) x(1) . k

AIJ= IEJK= 7 DEIJ CH= =

CH

? =@AGK=@ CH

DEIJ CH= = ?= F H HA?J CK I ?K = >=IA = BHAGK = ?E= FH F H?E

K = HAFHAIA J=

= F EJK@A @A ?=@= K = @=I ? =IIAI A ?K = HA=

  8=HE LAEI AIJ=J IJE?=I -I?= =I @A 5JALA @= ? =IIA

2=H= GKA = HA= J J= @ DEIJ CH= = IA = 1 = = JKH= @A ?=@= >=HH= @ALAH IAH
fi h

GKA IA >J

KI= @

=HCK A J BHAG .) 5- = BK

DEIJ
I HA

-NA F
= =

   + IE@AHA

I AI

IACKE JA ?

K J @A @=@ I HA =JEL

?AEJ=I 1000 AKH I@ I 25

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BE AI  $  !

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distribuio das receitas
0.15 freq corrigida 0.00 0 0.05 0.10

10

15 classes

20

25

30

AIJA DEIJ CH= = =I = JKH=I @=I >=HH=I HAFHAIA J= = @ELE@EH FA = = F EJK@A @A ?=@= ? =IIA A I F ?= ?K =@ I ? 2 @A >=IA = HACH= @A 5JKHCAI DEIJ CH= = ? F J I @A GKA>H= I B= AH K

=I BHAGK

?E=I HA =JEL=I

J I @A GKA>H= @=I ? =IIAI I ? =IIAI AIFA? ? I

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DEIJBE ?

AI BHAG .) 5- >HA= I ?  @EIJHE>KE

! " #  

=NBE

AI

> KA =E

@=I HA?AEJ=I N => ? =IIAI

O => BHAG ? HHECE@=

distribuio das receitas

freq corrigida

0.0 0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

10

15 classes

20

25

30

2 @A

I =E @= @E AH IE F AI A JA GK= J=I ? =IIAI GKAHA

DEIJBE

AI >HA= I ! K IE F AI A JA DEIJBE

AI !

distribuio das receitas


0.08 freq corrigida 0.00 0 0.02 0.04 0.06

10

15 classes

20

25

30

  8=HE LAEI AIJ=J IJE?=I -I?= =I @A 5JALA 2 @A =I I =I BHAGK I F J I I JAH =?AII = E B H = ? IJHK @ I 2 @A @E I  E@I =HCK A J F @AJ= D=@= =?AH?= @ I I=>AH GK=EI I I F 2 @A @ ?

% I DEIJ CH=

J I @A GKA>H= >HA= I J @=I =

?E=I =>I KJ=I ? K JI =I BHAGK

?E=I HA =JEL=I E JA IEJEAI @A IEJO AGKE@EIJ .) 5- 6K@ EIJ

I =E @= I=>AH IA =I ? =IIAI J

AI = = F EJK@A AGKE@EIJ 647- K F=II= @

J .) 5-

DEIJBE AI F J .) 5-

>HA= I  ? K JI 

 

#  #    

# !

E JA IEJEAI   #!&"$ !  %$' !&  #!&"$#  %$' !&    #!&"$# @A IEJO   #!&"$ !  %$' !&  #!&"$#  %$' !&    #!&"$#  E@I  # % #  # % # # % #

N = A  BE AI AGKE@EIJ  647=JJH ? =II  DEIJ CH= 

& 7 KJH CH ? KEJ JE = IF C F C

 -IJ=J IJE?= ,AI?HEJEL= @A BHAGK ?E=I GKA IA >J

K E @ F H K = E D= F EC

J I

@E I @=I ? =IIAI @A BHAGK ?E=I

-NA F



?

IJHK

@ F

4A =JEL= A JA = ANA F CH= = A E @E?=H GKA GKAHA BK

= JAHE H ?

A?A

I F H @=H K

A = DEIJ

I E D=I GKA>H=@=I

GKA ? HHAIF @A = KI=H =

E AI 8A = D N DEIJBE

I?

AI =ND N>HA= I > KA

E AI? E D N>HA= I D N E@I ? D N@A IEJO  JOFA   ?

Histogram of filmes
0.15 Density 0.00 0 0.05 0.10

10

15 filmes

20

25

30

?= E =

AI?= = A B H =
@A @=@ I GK= JEJ=JEL I @ALA IJH=EI @= @EIJHE>KE  @E= ? A ?EA JA @A L=HE= 6=EI A@E= = GK=HJEI @= I AIJK@=H =I IA @EIFAHI IJH= = A@E@=I HABAHA

2=H= @AI?HALAH K = @EIJHE>KE FHE ?EF=EI ?=H=?JAH IJE?=I = AIIA ?E= L=HE A JA ?= E = ?E= @AILE F=@H

= F EJK@A =

F EJK@A E JAH GK=HJEI A

B H = =IIE AJHE= A =?D=J= A J  @= @EIJHE>KE

?= E =

AI?= = A B H = IJH=EI I ? I=>A

' I AIJE =JEL=I @=I ? HHAI @= IJH=

-IJ=I ?=H=?JAH IJE?=I = F F FK =

@A JAI ?=H=?JAH IJE?=I F FK =?E IK> =?A JA = I @=@ I = @E= = IJH= 

=EI @AJAH E =@=I FA = @EIJHE>KE @E= =HEJ = I @=@ I I JE?= @ I @=@ I FH LA EA JAI =

2 H ANA F @EIJHE>KE

K = AIJE =JEL= @= F FK =?E

@E= F FK =?E = @= GK=

?=H=?JAH IJE?= JA HE?= =II ?E=@=

?= E =
@E= @A E@= F H

x=
F

1 n

xi ,
i=1

J @A AGKE >HE @=I >IAHL= AI A ?E= I= =JHE>KJ IAH H@A =@ I @E= = IJH= @A K ?

AIIA IA JE@

?= E =

?A JH=

F H AN?A 4 >JA

K J @A @=@ I KI= @ = BK AI?= = H@E = I @=@ I

A=
3K= @ F @A GK= JEJ=JEL K GK= EJ=JEL A

x(1) , x(2) , . . . , x(n) x(i)


= AIJ=J IJE?= @A H@A IJH=EI 3K= J L= H ?A JH= @= =

x(1) x(2) x(n)


I ANJHA = I A@E= =

i i = 1, . . . , n x(1) A x(n) I
F @A IAH @A K IA = ?= E = ?A JH= JA IKFAHE HAI
n 2 n 2

) F=HJEH @=I AIJ=J IJE?=I @A H@A JE?=I = GKA

E@=I KJH=I ?=H=?JAH I L= H F=H= GK= 50%

I F H ANA F

IJH= H@A =@=

@=I >IAHL= AI I

E BAHE HAI A 50% I

q1/2 =
+ F=H= @ = ? ?K @=

1 2

x( n ) + x( n +1) , 2 2
= @E= B=?E

N /N
? KE GKA A GK= J F=H= GKA AIJ= L=HEA =

x n ([ 2 ]+1) ,

A@E= = ?

A JA IA ?

@E= >=IJ= = JAH=H K = >IAHL=

! A@E= = FA K = ) @A E@= ? A K = IK= F IE E K = IK?AII @E=

 -IJ=J IJE?= ,AI?HEJEL= H@A =@= @A >IAHL= AI =IIE

GKA AIJ A@E@= A@E= =

I IK AEJ=

?E= @A >IAHL= AI ANJHA =I CAH=

=EI HAIEIJA JA GKA =

?=I F=HJE?K =H @ I GK= JEI @A E@ F H

GK= JE A F HE?

@A H@A

p,

0<p<1 qp =

1 2

x(np) + x(np+1) , np N np /N
IJH= ?

x ([np]+1) ,
A@E= = = K >JA

1 ? KE I ?=I I F=HJE?K =HAI @=


2

p=
4

1 2

A @ I GK=HJEI q 1
4

FHE AEH GK=HJE  q 1 IACK @ GK=HJE 4 @=@ K ? K J @A @=@ I F H ANA F

A@E= = A q 3 JAH?AEH GK=HJE  I I GK= JEI HA? HHA @ BK

GK= JE A B= A @ GK= JE A@=@ I GK= JE A@=@ I GK= JE A@=@ I


JAH?AEH GK=HJE A ) BK ?= E =

# F=H= #

FHE AEH GK=HJE A@E= = A@E= = FHE AEH GK=HJE =

# K A@E= @=@ I F=H= = # %# '# F=H=


GK= JE 95

IK =HO =F E?=@= = I @=@ I @AL LA I L= HAI @=I N(1) G(1/4) G(1/2)


x

A@E@=I @A @E=CH= = IEIJA

G(3/4)
?

N(n)
A E @E?= K A JA I @=@ I A ?

CH

? @A ANJHA

I A GK=HJEI

GKA KI= AIJ=I ?=H=?JAH IJE?=I F=H= HAIK EH LEIK= HA?J= LAHJE?= ? HHAIF @A HA?J=I GKA K A HAIFA?JEL I ,A B=?J A IA ANEIJEHA @A JA A@E= = ? JE@ NE

K = ?=EN= @A E EJ=@= FA I FHE AEH A JAH?AEH GK=HJEI K I GK= JEI .25 A .75

IAC A J @A I

= ?=EN= @ EI IAC A J I = I L= HAI ANJHA

>IAHL= AI
KJ EAH A =

KEJ @EI?HAF= JAI A


=E H L= H GKA

HA =

=E HE=  KJ EAHI =GKA AI IAC A J I @A HA?J= F @A


H L= H GKA JEL= A JA I KJ EAHI ?=

EH =FA =I =J =

KJ EAH HAIFA?
I

AIJA @E=CH= = HAFHAIA J=@ I F H FAGKA

?= E =

AI?= = A B H =

!

? H?K I

-NA F

 + IE@AHA

I = @=J= BH= A =EHGK= EJO @= F=? =CA LA ?E@=@A

)55

I L= HAI @= L=HE LA 9E @ GKA IA HABAHA

@E= @ LA J A

E D=I F H D H= A JHA =I % A =I  D H=I

=AH F HJ @A =/K=H@E=

@=J==EHGK= EJO =EHGK= EJO =JJ=?D=EHGK= EJO = AI=EHGK= EJO   > NF A GKA I A 5 =H 4 9E @ J= 6 =E 6A F LA  JD ,=O J9E @ D HE ?E@=@A KJ EAHI @E= @ LA J 

E@A JEBE?=@ I CH=BE?= A JA


velocidade mdia do vento

10

15

20

+ @A =

IA F @A LAH IAH ?EJ I FA EIA @ I @=@ I ? HAIK J=@

@E=CH= = D JH I F GKA A IA @ALA = )

J I GKA B H= HA =

E@A JE?=@ I ? = I KJH I F E F=?J GKA EIA ,ALA IA B= AH =

KJ EAHI -IJAI L= HAI =FAI=H @A @EI?HAF= JAI A


AIJAI L= HAI @A @EII K

IAH HAJEH=@ I @= =

@ = =L= E=H

AIJAI J

KJ EAH F @A IAH

 -IJ=J IJE?= ,AI?HEJEL=

CH

@AH=@ IA AIJELAH B H= @ E JAHL=


q1/4 1.5(q3/4 q1/4 ), q3/4 + 1.5(q3/4 q1/4 )
? F H @ABAEJ K IA KI=H I GKA IAH =IIE = =@ =HCK A J H= CA  # = BK

> NF
K

IALAH IA AIJELAH B H= @ E JAHL= q1/4 3(q3/4 q1/4 ), q3/4 + 3(q3/4 q1/4 )


? IA KI=H I @AIJ= BAEJ= GKA IAH =IIE = =@ CH =HCK A J H= CA ! = HABAHE@= BK

> NF
)IIE

J
F=II= @ =HCK A J H= CA ECK= = 3

AIJA ANA F

> NF

J9E @ D HE

J=

=E LA

?E@=@A

@E= @

LA J  H= CA ! > H@AH > KA


velocidade mdia do vento

10

15

20

LAHE ?= IA GKA I KJ EAHI A

?=KI= I

J @ I

@AH=@ I =H =HCK A J

2=H= I=>AH GKA L= HAI @=@ I I

KJ EAHI >=IJ= =??E

F J .) 5- = BK
,A B=?J

> NF

?= E =

AI?= = A B H =

!!

> NF IJ=JI

J9E @ F 

J .

  ? 

 %  #! B  ' %$ &#

% " !

' %

"

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$ $



!%# E@A JEBE?= I KJ EAHI

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  & "  %

CH KF      = AI  
I HAIJ= JAI L= HAI J = LAH ? =? IJHK @ CH ? 5A LA = I

E 9E @ GK= JE A9E @ GK= JE A9E @ %# # % " # ' % %#  #  $ $
2 @A CH ? I FHAF=H=H = = A = CH

# GK= JE A9E @

#  %

=N9E @ 9E @ & "  

?= @A

@ = GKA JA D=

=EI @ GKA K

!" 5=>A CH =K JHK 8A = JHA I GKA F H @ABAEJ =FA =I K K = =JHE LA?J H ? @ I CH I = J JK CH ?

 -IJ=J IJE?= ,AI?HEJEL= @AIA D=@ =I LA @ = = A =

?= ?

KI= @ = BK

F=H ?
>JA AI = = A =

=HCK A J I AIF=

BH M ECK=
F=H= = ? I

@A E D=I
@A ANA F ?

@A ? K =I
F @A

? I FHAJA @E@ I K =

I A => H=H K

@E=CH= = @A AN

I A GK=HJEI A K

DEIJ CH= = IE K J= A= A JA

F=H BH M ? =@ = =@

FHAF=H= = = A = F=H= HA?A>AH @ EI CH BE? I @K=I ? K =I J= =E 6 > H@AH HA@ @EIJHE>KE @= LA ?E@=@A HA@

7 = E D=

> NF J9E @ D HE DEIJ9E @ BHAG .) 5N => LA

?E@=@A @ LA J  O => BHAG ? HHECE@= ?

distribuio da velocidade
0.12 freq corrigida 5 10 15 20 0.00 0 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.10

10

15

20

velocidade do vento

 5A JA

?= E =

AI?= = A B H =

!# I = @=J= BH= A =EHGK= EJO

=HCK A J @= BK I

> NF J E JH @K EH

F=H BH M ?  > NF J=EHGK= EJO D HE J= 6 =E > NF J =EHGK= EJO

boxplot airquality

Ozone 0

Wind

Temp

Month

Day

50

100

150

200

250

300

-IJAI CH

? I B= A

IA JE@ F=H= J @=I =I L=HE LAEI A

?=KI=

KIJE GKA

? ?K @=I FHE ?EF=EI

A@E@=I @A

?= E =

=II ?E=@=I = I @=@ I 9E @

A= 9E @  ' '#%#$ @E= @= LA ?E@=@A @E= @ LA J

!$

 -IJ=J IJE?= ,AI?HEJEL=

H@ I HJ9E @  = IJH= H@A =@= A CJD9E @  %$ # H@ %%  ' % A CJD9E @ "   !& # FHE AEH GK=HJE  >IAHL=  A@E= =

H@ !'  % " !

A CJD9E @ "

 " %# H@ #   # JAH?AEH GK=HJE

= JAH =JEL= KI= @ = BK

GK= JE A

GK= JE A9E @  # # ' % GK= JE A9E @  #

?= E =

AI?= = A B H =

!%

# % " GK= JE A9E @  %# %#  #


2 @A I =E @= >JAH @A B H = IE F AI AIJAI L= HAI ? = BK

IK

=HO

IK =HO9E @ E  % IJ 3K % " A@E= ' % A= !H@ 3K ' '#&  # =N  %

,EIFAHI
)I IK= K@= ,=I HA = A@E@=I @A @EIFAHI ?= E = =I @A )IIE ?= E =  K AI?= = K = LA GKA =EI KI=@=I @AIJ=?= = I = L=HE ?E= K @E IJH= @E= @ I @AILE I @ I @=@ I A LEI= =L= E=H = @EIFAHI @ I @=@ I A IA = HA = IA I LAEI =

@A AIFAH=H GKA AIJ=I

A@E@=I

A@E@=I @A @EIFAHI @E= =

@AILE GK=@H JE?

1 = n1 = 1 n1
I=>A

(xk x)2
k=1 n 2 x2 k nx k=1

 

A ?E=

@AILE F=@H @AILE F=@H

GKA JA

I = H=

GK=@H=@= F IEJEL= @= L=HE L=HE ?E= @A AIJ=H =

= L= J=CA

HA =JEL= A JA @E=

AI = K E@=@A @A

A@E@= @ I @=@ I A @=

!& ) L=HE ?E= A @AILE F=@H = L=HE F @A

 -IJ=J IJE?= ,AI?HEJEL= IAH >JE@ I HA? HHA @ = 4 =F E?= @ I A@E@=I @A L=HE=>E E@=@A => K@= =I @A GK= A@E@=I = @A A JA = L=HE=>E E@=@A @A @EIJHE

= I @=@ I =I BK A J= J I KJ= @AFA @A

AI L=H A I@ HAIFA?JEL= A JA ?E= A @AILE F=@H I? IA F=H=H @=I K E@=@AI KJE E =@=I IA @ IA I LAEI = =EI B=?E

AI?= = 2=H= F @AH JE@=@AI IA @AILE F=@H I ?= E =

>KE AI @EBAHA JAI KI= A

A@E@=I @A L=HE=>E E@=@A HA =JEL= GKA I A@E@= @A L=HE=>E E@=@A J= ? J= ? =I = I @E= -IJ=I F=H= K@= ?= E =

K E@=@AI >=IA=@=I K = KJH= @A K@= = @A AI?= =

E L=HE= JAI F=H=

) A@E@= =EI KI=@= F=H= = L=HE=>E E@=@A HA =JEL= ? A ?EA JA @A L=HE= s ANFHAII A FAH?A J=CA I @ALA @ IAH KI=@ GK= @ =I >IAHL= AI x J J @=I AI IE = K = LA GKA AIJ @A E@ F=H= x = 0 KJH=I A@E@=I @A @EIFAHI =>I KJ= I = = F EJK@A @= = 4 ? I @A = BK IJH=

=N@=@ I

E @=@ I GKA IA >J


I GK=HJEI F @A

@EBB =F E?=@=
>JE@= =F E?= @ A@E@= @A

= H= CA@=@ I A = = F EJK@A E JAHGK=HJEI q3/4 q1/4

134 = I @=@ I 7I= @


@EIFAHI HA =JEL= F H

EH K = KJH=

q3 q1
4 4

q1
2

=EI HAIEIJA JA @ GKA

? A ?EA JA @A L=HE=

. H =
/A AHE?= A JA @A A IA A J A F HE? @A H@A

mk =
JA GKA m1 = x

1 n

xk i
i=1

A J A F HE? ?A JH=@ @A H@A

@=@ F H

mk =

1 n

(xi x)k
i=1

?= E =

AI?= = A B H = ?E= ? HHECE@= J K = @EIJHE>KE

!'

AIJA ?=I m1 = 0 A m2 = s 2 L=HE )I BHAGK A@E@=I @A =IIE AJHE= IE JAJE = ?E=I K E @=

=J GKA F JHE?=

@A

A LEAI=@= @AB H =@= K =IIE @E= A@E= = A

) =IIE AJHE= @A K = @EIJHE>KE HA =JEL= @= )IIE .E = F=H= IA m < q1/2 < x = @EIJHE>KE

@= F @A IAH @A@K E@= FA = F IE =IIE =IIE IE JHE?= F IEJEL= JHE?= AC=JEL= JHE?= B=?E EJ= = ? ?E=

3K= @ x < q1/2 < m = @EIJHE>KE A J= J AIJA FH ?AII F K? ?

A JA IA x = q1/2 = m = @EIJHE>KE

@ K = LA GKA @=@ F H

@=I =IIE AJHE=I @A @EBAHA JAI @EIJHE>KE AI @A BHAGK

? A ?EA JA @A =IIE AJHE= A F HE?

b1 =
A ? ?EA JA @A =IIE AJHE= @A 2A=HI

m3 s3
@=@ F H

g=
=EI K = LA AIJAI ? A ?EA JAI = JAH =JEL= F @A F H I KI=H

xm . s
I HAIEIJA JAI = L= HAI ANJHA I +

? A ?EA JA @A =IIE AJHE= @A ;K A

A @= @=@

=
)I

(q3/4 q1/2 ) (q1/2 q1/4 ) (q3/4 q1/4 )


= E B H = I >HA @A

A@E@=I @A ?KHJ IA IE JAJE =

=?D=J= A J @=
E@ ?

@EIJHE>KE

? A ?EA JA @A =?D=J= A J

K ?KHJ IA

b2 =
GKA IA @ IA FHA F IEJEL = ECK= = ! )IIE IA b2 > 3, JA IK ?

m4 s4
= ?KHJ IA @= @EIJHE>KE H

F=H=@ ?

CH= @A =?D=J= A J @EIJHE>KE

KEJ FE?=@=

" A = @EIJHE>KE A J @EIJHE>KE @EIJHE>KE I @=@ I @E IA @E IA AFJ ? HJE?= 5A b2 < 3, JA

 -IJ=J IJE?= ,AI?HEJEL= I K FAGKA =?D=J=

=J A = @EIJHE>KE AI ? HJE?=


E L=HE= JAI F=H=

@E IA F =JE? HJE?= K@= =I @A

5A b2 = 3, = A AI?= =

I ? A ?EA JAI b1 A b2 I

?= E =

-NAH? ?E
+ IE@AHA I @=@ I GK= AI GKA IA A ? JH= = F=? =CA@=J=IAJI I > =

B H = @A K = @=J= BH= A - => HA K = = A AIJK@ K -II= = CH= = ? ? EIA E E?E= @A @=@ I F=H= K = @=I L=HE LAEI GK= JEJ=JEL=I JAH = ? =IIE ?= @= L=HE LA JEF AI?= = K DEIJ EIA IK= AI? D= EIA @ALA ? AH @A ? =IIAI =@AGK=@ @A KJ EAHI @A = CK =I @E=CH= = @A ANJHA I A GK=HJEI ? KI AI

E@A JE ?=

@AH=@ I A IALAH I ?=I ANEIJ=  = A@E@=I @AI?HEJEL=I A ?

@= =IIE AJHE= @ I @=@ I ? ?K

-NAH? ?E I )

EIA 1 E?E= @A @=@ I


@A JAI AI?= =I ? I GKA @ALA @A JA A GKA

 + =IIE GKA =I IACKE JAI L=HE LAEI A E @EGKA =I ? HHAIF @A A@E@= 2=H= ?=@= K = @=I L=HE LAEI E @EGKA I CH A F HE?= ? HHAIF IJH=EI F @A ?= ?K =H KJE E =H F=H= HAFHAIA J=H = @EIJHE>KE ?=H=?JAH IJE?=I =

= D H= @A ?DAC=@= @ FHE AEH ? EA JA @ @E= = K = > FAH ? AJH ?AB E? AH @A H=F= AI A B= ?=I=@ E=I @A $ D I LE L  =@K J 

@ AIJ=@ ?ELE I JAEH A ? =IIA AJ HE= ?HE=

@EL H?E=@ LA

= =@ AI?A JA

?= E =

AI?= = A B H = = A J I @A K AGKE E>H=@ FH F H?E = =i @=@ KI= @ = BK

"

5E K A  =

I= F A GK= @

@=@

= FH >=>E E@=@A @A I=EH = FE J= i

= - => HA J=>A =I A HAFHAIA J= AI CH AI = = A = CH > 3K= GK= = L= H @E= A

?=I =@AGK=@=I @ I @ EI ? ? I @A ?=@= JEF =

K J I @A @=@ I >JE@ I - => HA I @ EI CH ?= F=H BH M ? @E @ 


= >JE@ I = A J @A K IJH= @= I 4AIF

AH @A FE J=I + A F HE?

@=@ AGKE E>H=@  AI =I GKAIJ AI ? JAH

@AILE F=@H

>=IA AIJ= =

@AILE F=@H

?=I @ @=@ IAH LE?E=@ ? K J =FHAIA J=

L ?E =?E =

I HA =JEL I GKA ?

=E H @EIFAHI IA ? F HJ= @A @A

! 5=>A IA GKA =? H@ ?

FAI @ I H=F= AI @A @AJAH E =@= HACE = AE H = ? L= H

@E @A 60 C A @AILE F=@H

10 C
= ? >JA D= @A B H = FIAK@ = A=J HE= FAI I @A 200 HACE - => HA K DEIJ CH= = A K 5 >HAF CH ? @A ANJHA I @=@ I >JE@ I H = AIFAH=@= > ? K J @A @=@ I A @A ?=KI= ? J KJ EAHI JA?AH @A @AH=@ I K K @A LA I @=GKA = I A GK=HJEI

D= = DEIJ CH= = = @A IE@=@A

IALAH I

3K= = FH >=>E E@=@A @A J= =? B H N (0, 1) - K IJ= JAI = =

N (60, 10) - IA

N (, )

? 4A =JEL= A JA = I @=@ I ? @E= = A@E= = =?D=J= A J A

IJH= >JE@= ?= ?K A = ? A ?EA JA @A =K =

@AILE F=@H

I GK=HJEI

? A ?EA JA @A =IIE AJHE= A F HE? I ,A

" BK 4 GKA ?= ?K A @A B H = =KJ

 -IJ=J IJE?= ,AI?HEJEL= JE?= I ? A ?EA JAI @A

=IIE AJHE= A @A =?D=J= A J  @ + IE@AHA IK>? K J ? IJEJK @ FA I FAI I IKFAHE HAI = 60 JA HE?= A JA IAH IKFAHE A ? JH=@= = = IJH= =

C 3KA FAH?A J=CA

@A FAI I @ALA

HAI GKA A L= H 3K= = FAH?A J=CA A - => HA K = = = " + A= = JAHE H EIA E ?E= F=H= IK>?

K J @A @=@ I >JE@

IE@AHA GKA = FH >=>E E@=@A @A K = B= D ? D I = KEI E=I ? =GKA =I ?=H=?JAH IJE?=I A ?

E= ?

@AJAH E =@=I ?= IE@AHA = F FK = D I

H=?JAH IJE?=I JAH K @=I B=

0.4 +
#

= ,EC=

GKA A JA @A F H ?

IE@AH=H K = =

IJH= = A=J HE= @A @E


4 >JA D= K IE@AH=@ ?

A I
?

# HAJEH=@= @=GKA = F FK =


@=GKA = =

7I= @

K J @A # @=@ I @A B H = = GKA F II= IAH ? IJH= = A=J HE=

K = HA= E =
> ,A =? H@ ? A JA K =? JA?AH

I @=@ I >JE@ I GK= J=I B= D ? D I = KEI

E=I J

AN=?J=

3K= = FH >=>E E@=@A @A J=

? 2=H= > HA K @ CH

AH @A

D I? F=HA =I ?

D I = KEI A =I BHAGK

# ?= ?K A =I BHAGK ?E=I >IAHL=@=I - =

?E=I AIFAH=@=I A ?

? A K?E@=JEL D I @A + D I = KEI JA == K = B= E= ? #

@E= GK= J I D I @=GKA A JEF

GKA @AILE F=@H

3KA L= HAI >J

F=H= AIJ=I ?=H=?JAH IJE?=I ? A ,AI?HAL= CH= ?= A JA @ I @=@ I IE JHE?=

IJH= GKA CAH K K J @A @=@ I ) @EIJHE>KE += ?K A

IAK ?

-IFAH=L= GKA B IIA

2 HGK

 ! ,EIJHE>KE AI F H =

IJH=CA F=HA AIJA L= H ?

"! L= H JA HE?

? A ?EA JA @A =IIE AJHE= + ? HHAIF # + @A JA

IE@AHA I @=@ I B=EJDBK ? I =@AGK=@ I F=H= =I = K J @A AHKFJE IJH=I AHKFJE

= - => HA CH

I A M=EJE C

> 4AFEJ= F=H= IK>?

I @=I AHKF AI IKFAHE HAI =


IJH=EI + A JA

2.9

+= ?K A =I FHE ?EF=EI ?=H=?JAH IJE?=I = =IIE AJHE= IK>?

GK= J

? 4AFEJ= F=H=

K J @A M=EJE C B H =@ FA I JA F I @A =EI @A 2.9 E 3K= ?=KI= = =EI L=HE LA

AIFAH= =II ?E=@ I I AHKF AI GKA @KH= @=I @K=I L=HE LAEI A

 ! ,EIJHE>KE AI F H =
-IJ= IA? AIJK@=@ I A

IJH=CA
JA @ I FH CH= JE? I F=H= ?=

@AIJE = IA = B= AH K = I JAIA @A ?

6A HE= @=I 2H >=>E E@=@AI IAHLE @ @A FHAF=H=

F JK@ @A -IJE = 4A? H@A GKA K = = K = F FK = ?

IJH= = A=J HE= = =  @A @E A I


K LA?J H n @E A IE = ? =

n FH LA EA JA @A
@A X A

A JH=@=I E @AFA @A JAI AI = @EIJHE>KE

IJEJK @ F H n L = E @AFA @A JAI A ?

E@A JE?= A JA @EIJHE>K @=I 4A =JEL= A JA = K = = = (X1 , . . . , Xn ) FH LA EA JA @A X ? KB F ?=I @EI?HAJ  f = IK= @EIJHE>KE E@= F H B@F AB@F @A FH >=>E E@=@A F @A IAH @A

.K .K

@A @EIJHE>KE

F (x1 , x2 , . . . , xn ) =

n i=1

F (xi )

@A IE@=@A @A FH >=>E E@=@A K BK


n i=1

=II= @A FH >=>E E@=@A

?=I @EI?HAJ  f (x1 , x2 , . . . , xn ) =

f (xi )

""
n 5KF HJA SX = SX1 SX2 . . . SXn

 -IJ=J IJE?= ,AI?HEJEL= @A SXi = SX IKF HJA @A

?=@= K = @=I L=HE LAEI Xi

) @EIJHE>KE
) @EIJHE>KE KIK= @A E E C=KIIE= =

H =

K @A /=KII
? J K= =EI KI=@= FA GKA

= @EIJHE>KE

= @EIJHE>KE

H = IA @ = IK= F FK =HE@=@A @ALE@= =

AH=I H= AI A JHA =I GK=EI IA @AIJ=?=

IE F E?E@=@A @A KI
IA JE@ A GKA

=I L = I C=KIIE= =I I F II LA

J @=I @ C=KIIE= =

AI

JEF

>JAH F H JH= IB H = AI E A=HAI K =

L=HE LA C=KIIE= = = F=HJEH @A KJH= J= >

IE F E?E@=@A @A

@A = >A

JA HA = ?A JH= @= JA HE= @= FH >=>E ? @E AI KEJ CAH=EI = I = @A =FH NE =@= F H K = C=KIIE= = @A C=KIIE= >EL=HE=@ E A=H IA ? FH L=@ = HACHAII

E@=@A ? IIE?= AIJ=>A A?A GKA A L=HE LAEI = A=J HE=I E E @I

IE F E?E@=@A @A FHA@E
@= L=HE LA HAIF IJ= = L=HE LA ? ) GKA @EII @ F

JH =@=

J @A LEIJ= @=I =F E?= AI A F HE?=I JA F FK = AI H= =LA A JA D C A=I

KEJ I =JHE>KJ I @A @AJAH E =@=I F FK = AI J=EI ? A@E@= @A @AJAH E =@=I CH= @A =I B IE?=I I

FAI I  K = JK K @EIJHE>KE HAFHAIA J= >A

H=I @A E @EL @K I A @ I AHH I @A

@ I F H L = I C=KIIE= =I

,A

 !  ,E IA GKA K = L =
F=H

X JA

@EIJHE>KE

H =

K @A

/=KII ?

AJH I A > 0 GK= @ = IK= B @ F

f (x) =
I F=H IAK L= H

1 2 2

exp{

1 (x )2 }, x, R, 2 R+ 2 2
H = A 2 I HAIFA?JEL= A JA

AJH I @= @EIJHE>KE

@E A L=HE

?E=

 ! ,EIJHE>KE AI F H =

IJH=CA H = IE JHE?= FA F GKA 0.5 = m = AN

"#

) @EIJHE>KE
A IF

J I A + I E@ I @= BK

J I @A E

@= @A IE@=@A N (, ) =@ EJA ANFHAII AI

I E JACH=EI @A JAH I @A BK HE?= A JA @EIJHE>KE

C=KIIE= = GKA @ALA

AI IE F AI FA A JA GKA

IAH ?= ?K =@ I K A

=JKH=

F II LA ANF E?EJ=H = IK= BK

6A HA =  !

AIJ= @=H@E =

@= /=KIIE= =

5A Y N (, ) A J

Y d = Z N (0, 1) Y K = LA GKA > 0 = P (Y y + ) = FY (y + ).

,A

IJH=

) B @ @A

F Y (y ) := P

Y y

,AHEL= @

F=H= >JAH = B @ F

f Y (y ) = fY (y +) =

1 1 exp 2 2

y +

1 2 1 = A 2 y , x R , 2

GKA

= B @ F @A K = N (0, 1)

8= HAI @A HABAH
5A = X N (, ) - J

?E= @= @EIJHE>KE

H =

12( < X + ) = 0.68 12( 2 < X + 2 ) = 0.95 12( 3 < X 3 ) = 0.999 =IIE A @K KEJ F K? FH L LA = L= H @E K @A H = >JAH L= HAI IKFAHE HAI

=EI JH I LA AI

@AILE F=@H

"$

 -IJ=J IJE?= ,AI?HEJEL=

 !  ) KIJ= A J A F HE? =
) E F HJ ?E= @ EIJ @A K = HA= E = H = AL=

@A

H =
J @ FKH= ? K J @A

I = =FHAIA J=H K

A JA A F HE? GKA FAH EJA @A K = B H = H FE@= =L= E=H IA K

n @=@ I
6= ? I EIJ

@A K = = @A H = ?

IJH= = A=J HE= @A @E A I K J @A @=@ I = H = A J @A JA = IJH= ?

F @A IAH FH LA EA JA @A K J @ >=IAE= IA ?HAJ= A

B=?J @A GKA IA @A

?=KI= B H FH LA EA JA @ @A x(i) = q i1 I
n1

I GK= JEI A F HE IJH= H@A =@=

I GK= JEI ?= ?K =@ I =JH=L I @= ? HHAIF @A ?=I @ =@ I ? @A

(x(1) , x(2) , . . . , x(n) )


JA HE? I pi @ HA = LAH CH ? I KIK= )I BK

=FH NE =@= A JA ECK=EI = I GK= JEI H = K = LA GKA ANEIJA K = I GK= JEI = KIK= IJH=EI @A JAH I I GK= JEI @= N (0, 1) @A pi

E A=H A JHA I ? K J @A F
i3/8 n+1/4

@A I N (, ) A N (0, 1) J I {pi , x(i) }

AIJ=H E A=H A JA HA =?E

A JA >JE@ =JH=L I E D= HA?J=

@= ANFHAII GKA F=II= FA

@ALA =FHAIA J=H IA =FH NE =@= A JA A ? I JH= =H IA J= > F=H= JH= =H I CH

AIJA JEF @A CH

A IE K J= A= A JA = HA?J= ? IA ?=KI= I

FHE AEH A JAH?AEH GK=HJEI

AI @ 4 GKA IA KI=

GG

H A

GG E A

-NA F
F @A IAH ? @A

!!

K J @A @=@ I 9E @ ? IJ= JA = @=J= BH= A =EHGK= EJO J @A LEIJ= A F HE?  ? FH LA EA JA @

IE@AH=@ @ F

H =

@=J==EHGK= EJO =JJ=?D=EHGK= EJO GG ? H 9E @ =E =E CH BE? GK= JE GK= JE HA@ H =  N => GK= JEI JA HE? I O => GK= JEI A F HE? I @=H > KA GG E A9E @ ?

 ! ,EIJHE>KE AI F H =

IJH=CA

"%

grfico quantilquantil normal

quantis empricos

10

15

20

0 quantis tericos

)FAI=H @A D=LAH K H ?E=

=B=IJ= A J @ I F

J I HA =JEL= A JA ?

HA?J= @A HABA

= F=HJA IKFAHE H @EHAEJ= @ CH ? IE@AH=H = FH LA E ?E= A JA IAH JAIJ=@= ?

GKA F @A IAH KIJE ?=@ FA = IJH= =FHAIA J= F= H = @AIJAI @=@ I -IJ= DEF JAIA

=IIE AJHE= F IEJEL= GKA = @EIJHE>KE HA?A AC JE @ALA =JKH=

A F HE?= @AIJ= =

BAHH= A J=I @= AIJ=J IJE?= E BAHA ?E=

!
) BK A

.K

CAH=@ H= @A
A J I BC

A J I 6H= IB H =@= @A

. KHEAH A 6H= IB H =@= @A =F =?A


CAH=@ H= @A
@=@= F H @A K = L = X ? B @ F f @A E@=

M (t) = 1- A
ANEIJE @ @AI@A 5A ANEIJEH M (t) ?
+

tX

Ax t f (x)dx,

|Axt f (x)| dx <


E JAHL=

HA= A F IEJEL= F=H= J @ t K

(t0 , t0 )

t0 > 0 IA @ @EBAHA ?E=LA A


ANEIJEH F=H= t = 0

t=0

JA GKA M (0) = 1 M (t) F @A

"&

 -IJ=J IJE?= ,AI?HEJEL=

6A HA =  ! " 5A = X K = L = F=H= = GK= ANEIJA = BC


A J @A H@A

- J

r @A X

@=@ F H

r =

r M (t) |t=0 tr M (t) @EBAHA ?E LA =J etX t


H@A

,A
A

IJH=
t=0 )

5A M ANEIJA A J @EII

r(> 0)

1- AtX = 1t

F=H= J @ t (t0 , t0 )

r 1- AtX tr

= 1t=0

r etX tr

t=0

= 1- X r AtX

t=0

= 1- (X r )

) BK

CAH=@ H= @A
M (t) =

A J I @= @EIJHE>KE
+

H =
t2 2 2

exp(tx)f (x)dx = At+

GKA +

>LE= A JA F IEJEL= F=H= J @ t R B=?E A JA IA @A@K I FHE AEH I GK=JH A J I @= N (, ) I

, 2 + 2 , 3 + 3 2 , 4 + 62 2 , 3 4
) BK >KE CAH=@ H= @A @A 2=HAJ ? F=H A J I A IA FHA ANEIJA ,A B=?J F=H= = @EIJHE E

AJH @A B H = > 0 A L= H

k ?K = B@F

f (x) = k x(+1) , @A
= BC ANEIJA JA F H GKA J=

E@= F=H= x (k, +) IEC E ?= GKA ANEIJA ANEIJ= =J H@A

A J I 2H L= IA GKA I

A J I @AIJ= @EIJHE>KE

k < 4 IA @ ECK=EI =

4 , 2, 4, 3
B@F f @A E@= F H

) BK

?=H=?JAH IJE?= @A K = L = X ?

 ! ,EIJHE>KE AI F H =

IJH=CA
itX +

"'

(t) = 1- A
F=H= J @ t R HA = BC = BK
+

Ai x t f (x)dx,

?=H=?JAH IJE?= JA

= L= J=CA

@A ANEIJEH F=H=

J @ t R
+

,A B=?J

|Ai x t f (x)| dx < K = LA GKA |Ai x t | = 1 A


IA =F E?= IA B= A @ A I BK AI

f (x)dx = 1
AI ?=H=?JAH IJE?=I J= > H = ,  >J At+
t2 2 2

)I FH FHEA@=@AI @=I BK CAH=@ H=I @A )IIE = BK

A J I @AI@A GKA ANEIJ=  K = LA GKA X (t) = M (it) ?=H=?JAH IJE?= @=

,
?=H=?JAH IJE?=

t = it

K IA = IA X N (, ) = IK= BK

X (t) = Ait
) JH= IB H =@= @A =F =?A 6

t2 2 2

@A K = L = X ?
+

B @ F f @A

E@= A

R+ 0

@=@= F H

L(t) = 1- AtX =

Ax t f (x)dx AC=JEL=I ) @EII F AN

) JH= IB H =@= @A =F =?A =FH FHE=@= F=H= L = ?

f AIJ =FA =I @A
@EIJHE>KE

E@= F=H= L= HAI @A x > 0 K IA x B H ? @A 2=HAJ ?K = BC ?


+

F=H= L= HAI @A Re(x) > 0 ANEIJA IA FHA 8 J= @ GKA @A ANEIJA K = LA GKA E JACH= A M @ELAHCA JA JH= IB H =@= @A =F =?A

L(t) =
0

At x k x(+1) dx = k t (), EIA ? IIE?= @A E@= F=

@A ?

= BK

C= = @A -K AH KIK= @= =

F AN A @=@= F H

(z ) =
0

tz1 At dt.

# JA GKA IA M ANEIJA A J F=H= M A L @AI@A GKA ANEIJ=


FH FHEA@=@AI @=I BK

 -IJ=J IJE?= ,AI?HEJEL=

L(t) = M (t)
AI ?=H=?JAH IJE?=I I E@=I L E@ I K AIJA = @A

I HAIK J=@ I @A IACKE@= =FHAIA J=@ I F=H= BK

AI ?=H=?JAH IJE?=I

7 E?E@=@A -NEIJA K = ? HHAIF


)IIE = BK

?E= E A?JEL= A JHA = BK

?=H=?

JAH IJE?= A = B @ F @A K = L = X ?=H=?JAH IJE?= ?=H=?JAHE = = L = K = LA GKA

X (t) = Y (t) X = Y 5A =I L = I X1 , . . . , Xn I
E @AFA @A JAI

X1 +...+Xn (t) = X1 (t) . . . Xn (t) X (t) = X (t) F=H= GK= GKAH R (t) = Ait F=H= GK= GKAH R
F II LA >JAH I A J I @A H@A
(r)

r @A X @AI@A GKA ANEIJ=

=JH=L I @= HA =

X (0) = ir 1- (X r ) ,
GKA FAH EJA =E @= = ANF= I @A X (t) A I HEA @A =? =KHE

X (t) = 1 + it1-(X ) +

(it)2 1-(X 2 ) + . . . 2

!! 5

=I @A L=HE LAEI

H =EI

6A HA =  ! # 5A =

X N (x , x ) A Y N (y , y ) - J
2 + 2Cov (X, Y ) + 2 . x y

X + Y N x + y ,

 ! ,EIJHE>KE AI F H =

IJH=CA

#

5A A

F=HJE?K =H X A Y I

E @AFA @A JAI A J
2 + 2 . x y

X + Y N x + y ,
) E F HJ ?E= @AIJA JA HA = LA

@ B=?J @A = H =H GKA = I H =

= @A L = I

H =EI E @AFA @A JAI K @AFA @A JAI

+ H

HE  ! $ 5A {Xn }n1 B H K = IK?AII


n

@A L =I

H =EI E E @ I A

GKA ?=@= Xi N (, ) A J

Sn =
i=1

Xi N n,

Xn =

1 Sn N n

, n

,A

IJH=

6H=J= @ IA @A L=HE LAEI = A=J HE=I E @AFA @A JAI = BK = @AIJ=I L = I IE F AI A JA = @EII I FH @KJ @=I ? HHAIF E @ JA
n

?=H=?JAH IJE?= @= I @A JAI BK

AI ?=H=?JAH IJE?=I +

(2n Xi ) (t) = i=1


@A X N (, ) A F HJ= J

X (t)
2 2 t 2

X (t) = Ait
i=1

)IIE

(2n
JH=J= @ IA @= BK

int Xi ) (t) = A

n 2 2 t 2

?=H=?JAH IJE?= @A K = AE N (n,


n

n )

1 3K= J = Z = X n = n

Xi
i=1

Z (t) = (2n
GKA = = BK

(t/n) i=1 Xi )

= Aint/n

n 2 t2 2n2

= Ait 2n t

2 2

?=H=?JAH IJE?= @A K = AE N , n

1 JAHFHAJ= @ =

H = ?

= AE @ I AHH I A

GKA

> A?JEL

 A@EH

 -IJ=J IJE?= ,AI?HEJEL= E JAHAII= JA J=H GKA B= IA JE@ B= AH ANFAHE ?E=I HAFAJE@=I K = LA

GKA =? I

@AILE F=@H @= @E= @E E KE =FAI=H @A B= AH KEJ A J= A JA F= D= 1/ n ,A B=?J F=H= HA@K EH @AILE F=@H = K @ ?E A?AII HE=I 100 >IAHL= AI A F=H= HA@K EH @A L = K @ ?E I =EI 9900

A?AII HE=I

!"
) I I = A=J HE= =A

6A HA = E EJA +A JH=
= @A L = I Xi i = 1, . . . , n F @A IAH =FH NE =@= F H K = L=HE LA H = ? GKAIJ A IAH I = LAHI ? AI @E AI L= H @E A AI @AILE F=@H =I @= KEJ CAH=EI J=EI ? = @=I ?=K@=I

P (|X | > x)
)FHAIA J=

KEJ FAI=@= @ 6A HA = @ E EJA +A JH= @A E @A>AHC ALO GKA = @AJAH E = @A AEI E EJAI

@E HAIFAEJ = IK?AII AI @A L = I {Xn }nN E @AFA @A JAI A E@A JE?= A JA @EI JHE>K @=I -IJ= LAHI @A AIJ=J IJE?=I J=EI ? ?K = AE F @A IAH @AI? ? I > = DEF JAIA E E @ I=>A K = ? FE= @A X )IIE HAIK J=@ @= ) ) JAI @A A K ?E=H HA? H@=H K F=HJE?K =H A JA JE = @E= = IJH= HAJEH=@= @A K = F FK =

DA?E@= )IIK E @ GKA 1-(X ) = A Var (X ) = 2 I GKA ?=@= L=HE LA A I JA HA = A

{Xn }nN F @A IAH LEIJ=


GKAIJ L= I =FA =I

1-(Xi ) = A Var (Xi ) = 2 F=H= ?=@= i N EIA ? IIE?= GKA AIJ=>A A?A GKA AH I ? F AN I J=EI GKA n an 0 F=H= J @ x

I A FH L=H

,=@= K = IK?AII ? F AN

{an }nN @A

GK= @ n JA @A F=H=

K IA = an = o(1/n) A J

1+

x + an n

Ax .

6A HA =  ! % 

6A HA = @

E EJA +A JH= 
L=HE ?E= EJ=

5A = {Xn }n1 K = IK?AII

@A L = I E E @ I ?

 ! ,EIJHE>KE AI F H =

IJH=CA
n

#!

Var (Xi ) = , i ,A
2

JA IA 1-(Xi ) = , i A IA = Sn = LA EA JA A JA
i=1

Xi
LAHCA F=H=

3K= @ n = B @ @A Sn ? K =B@ H =

H = E =@= ?

Sn n d Z N (0, 1). n
,AJAH E A I = BK
n

,A

IJH=

?=H=?JAH IJE?= @A

1 Sn n = n n 1
2n
Xk

k=1

Xk ,

k=1

(t) =
n

2n
) L=

Xk k=1

t t ( ) = Xk ( ) n n

Xk

JA

L= H A

@E 0 A L=HE I HEA @A

?E= 1 ) IK= BK

?=H=?JAH IJE?=

Xk =@ EJA ANF= I

=? =KHE

u2 Xk (u) = 1 + o(u2 ), u 0. 2
)IIE F=H= GK= GKAH t R
n n

Xk (t/ n) =

t2 2

+o

1 n

A 2

t2

JH=J= @ IA @= BK

?=H=?JAH IJE?= @= N (0, 1)

F @AH @ 6A HA = @

E EJA +A JH= HAIE@A

B=?J @= @EIJHE>KE EE@ A J

@A =I

JAH GKA IAH ? DA?E@= JA GKA IA =I L = I Xk B HA Xk L = I Yk = J= > I n Sn )IIE = @E= = IJH= X n = JA E EJA @EIJHE>KE n IA @ A?AII HE GKA =I F=H?A =I IA = H =EI K IA =

H = 

Xn
n

Z N (0, 1).

#"

 -IJ=J IJE?= ,AI?HEJEL=

)I L = I GKA F @A ? ? IAGK

IAH @A?

F IJ=I ?

=I @A F=H?A =I E E @ I F @A L=HE ?E= EJ=

IAH =FH NE =@=I FA = @EIJHE>KE ?E= @ 6A HA = @

H = @AI@A GKA JA D= E EJA +A JH=

)FH NE = L = I Yi I )IIE FA

@= >E

E= FA =

H =

7 = L = Xn >E

E= (n, p) F @A IAH AI?HEJ= ? K E(p) E EJA +A JH=

Xn =

n i=1

Yi

@A =I

E @AFA @A JAI A ?=@= Yi *AH 6A HA = @

Xn 1-(Xn ) Var (Xn )

Z N (0, 1)

6= >

= @EIJHE>KE K =I

@A 2 EII H =

JA

FH FHEA@=@AI =@EJEL=I GKA FAH EJA IA X P o() A J 6A HA = @

K = =FH NE = ANFHAII= ? +

,A B=?J

X F @A IAH
E EJA +A JH=

= @A n L = E E @ I P o(/n)

1-(X ) = A Var (X ) = IACKA IA FA

GKA IA X P o()

Z N (0, 1).

-IJ=I L = I F H IAHA >=>E E@=@AI ? KJH=I L = I J=EI ? @A L = E E @ I ANF AE H = ? F=H

@EI?HAJ=I AIJ =I GKA J

IK AEJ=I A

JAH

I @A ? ?K JE KE@=@A

@A FH =

>=IA @= AE E EJA = ? HHA? AI @A ? @EIJHE>KE A ?E=EI K 3KE GK=@H=@ AJH I =@AGK=@ I F @A

/= = >JE@= ?

K =I

IAH =FH NE =@=I FA =

"

@A I HA =?E

=@ I ?

@A

H =

##

" =

@A I HA =?E

=@ I ?

@A

 "  ) @EIJHE>KE
L = Y = Z2 @A

GKE GK=@H=@
@AH y = z 2 ) JA GKA IKF HJA @AIJ= L =

5A = X N (0, 1) A g : R R J= GKA = ?=@= z B= ? HHAIF E =@= @A GKE GK=@H=@

R+ 0
8A = + I GK= = IK= @A IE@=@A @A FH >=>E E@=@A A?A I F H ?= ?K =H = BK @A @EIJHE>KE

FY (y ) = 12 Z 2 y = 12 (|Z | y ) = 12( y Z y ) = FZ ( y ) = FZ ( y ) FZ ( y ).
,AHEL= @ =C H= AIJ= ANFHAII LA A 2 1(0,+) = 2y @EIJHE>KE
y

1 1 fY (y ) = fZ ( y ) fZ ( y ) 2 y 2 y
8A = ) BK I I =C H= = AE @A n L = I E @AFA @A JAI ? ?=H=?JAH IJE?= @A ?=@= K = @AIJ= L =I BK ?=H=?JAH IJE?=
n

(t) =

= @A n L = I E E @ JA

1 )IIE 1 2it

2 1

(t) =
JH=J= @ IA @= BK @A E>AH@=@A + ? ?K = BK

1 1 2it

= (1 2it)n/2 n CH=KI

?=H=?JAH IJE?= @A K = AE @ GKE GK=@H=@ ?

?=H=?JAH IJE?= ?=H=?JAHE = ?

F AJ= A JA = AE @A K = L = @EIJHE>KE

I GKA = I

= @A n L = I E @AFA @A JAI ? B=

2 1 JA

@EIJHE>KE ) @EIJHE>KE

2 n 2 n FAHJA ?A
E= @A @EIJHE>KE AI /= = AIJ= @EIJHE>KE AJH I F IEJEL I A  ,A B=?J = @EIJHE>KE

@AFA @A @A @ EI F=H

2 n K =

#$

 -IJ=J IJE?= ,AI?HEJEL= ANF A ?E= K = /= =(1, )

/= =(n/2, 1/2) 4A? H@A GKA = @EIJHE>KE


FA GKA = @EIJHE>KE BK >J ANF A ?E= @A F=H K = 2 2 ? @EIJHE>KE

AJH 1/2 F @A IAH LEIJ= ? @EIFAHI A B H = @AIJ=

?=H=?JAH IJE?= (t) = (1 2it)1 ?= E = E 6A IA =JH=L I @= @A IA GKA IA X 2 n

)I ?=H=?JAH IJE?=I FHE ?EF=EI HA =JEL=I

1-(X ) = n Var (X ) = 2n 1 = 2 2/n HALA = K = =IIE AJHE= F IEJEL= GKA IA J H =


A I =H

?=@= F=H= CH= @AI L= HAI @A n

2 = 3 + 12/n

=?D=J= A J

IA FHA

=E H GKA

@= AE

H =

=FH NE = @ IA @A ! F=H= CH= @AI L= HAI @A

"
7 = L=

) @EIJHE>KE

J @A 5JK@A J
L =I E @AFA @A JAI J=EI Z

Z Tn = n @A Z A Xn I Xn N (0, 1) A Xn 2 @EIJHE>KE n @E IA GKA JA


E>AH@=@A IKF HJA @AIJ= L =

t @A 5JK@A J ?

n CH=KI @A

R A = IK= B @ F ((n + 1)/2) (n/2) n 1+

@=@= F H

x2 n

(n+1)/2

.
IE JHE?= A JA ?=K@=I

-IJ= @EIJHE>KE =EI FAI=@=I GKA =

JA H =

@E= K = F=H= n 2

1-(X ) = 0 Var (X ) = 1 = 0
n n 2

F=H= n 3

"

@A I HA =?E

=@ I ? F=H= n 4

@A

H = IA FHA =E H GKA

#% @= AE

2 = 3 +

6 n4

=?D=J= A J

H = =FH NE = @ IA @A ! F=H= CH= @AI L= HAI @A 3K= @ n = 1 JA IA = @EIJHE>KE @A +=K?DO

 " ! ) @EIJHE>KE
) L=HE LA = A=J HE= Wm,n =

. @A .EIDAH 5 A@A? H
@EIJHE>KE

U/m ? U A V E @AFA @A JAI A ? V /n 2 HAIFA?JEL= A JA 2 IKF HJA R A B @ F @=@= F H m A n JA nn/2 mm/2 ((m + n)/2) (m2)/2 x (n + mx)(m+n)/2 (m/2)(n/2)

A @E IA GKA JA E>AH@=@A

@EIJHE>KE

. @A .EIDAH 5 A@A? H ?

CH=KI @A

JA GKA IA Wm,n Fm,n A J

Wn,m =

V /n W/m

Fn,m
A 

1 LAIJECKA = CK =I @=I IK=I ?=H=?JAH IJE?=I F=H= L HE I L= HAI @A

 " " )I @EIJHE>KE AI 2 t A F A


+ IE@AHA I (X1 , . . . , Xn ) K = =

@A

H =
@A @E=

N (, ) 5A =
A = L=HE ?E= =

IJH= = A=J HE= FH LA EA JA @ n 1 2 HAIFA?JEL= A JA X n A S = (Xi X n )2 = n 1 i=1 IJH= @A (X1 , . . . , Xn ) 6A IA GKA E @AFA @A JAI

X n A S2 I

(n 1)S 2 2 n1 2 X n tn1 S
IJH=I E @AFA @A JAI (X1 , . . . , Xn ) A (Y1 , . . . , Ym ) FH @A I N (x , x ) A N (y , y ) HAIFA?JEL= A JA A J
2 2 /x Sx Fn1,m1 2 / 2 Sy y

,=@=I @K=I =
LA EA JAI @ I

#&

 -IJ=J IJE?= ,AI?HEJEL=

 " # -NAH? ?E I
 + IE@AHA K = = IJH= = A=J HE= @A @E A I IJHA KI= @ = B C

n FH LA EA JA @A K =
GKA X n JA @EIJHE>KE

F FK =

Exp(1)

Gama(n, n)
2H LA GKA K = = IJH= = A=J HE= @A @E A I n FH LA EA JA @A K = nM (2) F FK = N (0, ) = L = JA @EIJHE>KE 2 L= H n 1 @EGKA 2 n 1 (2) (2) @E A = L=HE ?E= @A M JA GKA M = A J Xi2 n i=1 @A H@A @A X ! 4AFHAIA JA CH= ?= A JA = @A IE@=@A J @A 5JK@A J ? CH " ? ? ACA @= @A 25000 L= HAI FIAK@ = A=J HE I FH LA EA JAI K EB H A E JAHL= H = HA@K E@= A @A IE@=@AI tn

F=H= @ =I F=H= @ELAHI I L= HAI @A n - => HA

>JA D= K = IK?AII @A K = @EIJHE>KE K = = + BK =

(0, 1)

HC= E A I @=@ I

=JHE  =JHE @=@ I ?

 E D=I A # ? K =I K == ? IJH= @A @E A I #

IE@AHA =C H= GKA ?=@= E D= @ 4 H M A= I F=H= >JAH IJH= @=I

FH LA EA JA @A K = F FK =

AE K EB H A (0, 1)

7IA =

L= H >IAHL=@ @A X @A ?=@=

> -N= E A = @EIJHE>KE CH

@E=I = A@E@=I

IJH=EI >JE@=I A

JAH

? I A ?= ?K = @ = CK =I

? 8AHE GKA IA JE@ I J H = K

F II LA = H =H A FEHE?= A JA GKA I @=@ I > ? F HJ= A J @A =? H@ ? HAIK J=@ >JE@ A@E@=I A F HE?=I GKA ?= ?K K AIJ K = @EIJHE>KE

KIJE GKA

I L= HAI >JE@ I F=H= =I @A =? H@ ?

GKA JA HE?= A JA IA AIFAH=

+=F JK -IJE =
+ I=>A I @=@= K = L = X @AIEC =@ I F=H L= H @E

= L=HE

?E= 2 = =IIE I F H

AJHE= 1 AJ? I 3K= @ IA B= = A ANA F E=EI F=H ? -IJAI F=H AJH I B= B=

AJH I @= @EIJHE>KE
I AIJ=H = HABAHEH ? H =EI B= E= @=I @EIJHE>KE AI >E DA?E A J @ I IJH=

B=

E= @A @EIJHE>KE AI F @A

E= @=I @EIJHE>KE AI E= @=I @EIJHE>KE AI ANF

A ?E=EI AJ? IA

AJH I F @AH

IAH AIJE =@ I GK= @ IA @EIF A @A K = =

?HAJ= (x1 , x2 , . . . , xn ) HA= E =

@A n L = I (X1 , X2 , . . . , Xn ) ? FE=I E @A FA GKA = AI? D= @ GKA = = IJH=CA

FA @A JAI @= F FK = ) = FH ?AII @A = IJH=CA

X
BK @= A J= IJEJKA == ?=I A IJH= I IJH=I ? =

IJH= @ALA IAH HAFHAIA J=JEL= @= F FK =

= A=J HE= =I n L = I GKA ?

E @AFA @A JAI A E@A JE?=

A JA @EIJHE>K @=I -IJA FH ?AII @AIEC = IA F H =

IJH=CA

= A=J HE=  K
= AI = GKA EHA

?=IK=  IE F AI IA J @=I =I F II LAEI =


FH >=>E E@=@A @A IAHA I? ? IE@AH=H = IA A??E

nAA A J IJ
JEF @A = = IJH=CA

=@=I -IJA

C @= @EI?EF E = )IIE

IJH= = A=J HE= @AIEC = K AI = @EIJHE>KE

K J @A L=HE LAEI = A=J HE=I E @AFA @A JAI A ? #'

$ 7 F AI @ I FH ?A@E A J I KJE E =@ I F=H= FH ?A@AH IJH= @A =? H@ ? @A = J= ? FH ?AII @A = IJH=CA =JH=L I @= KJE E = IA A? IJH=CA

-IJE = @ I AA A J I = = A=J HE= IE == IJH=CA

E ? KEH = =

AH I FIAK@ = A=J HE I = A=J HE= IE F AI A =F E?=@ GK= @ ANEIJA = CK = E LAEI @A HA @E A J I @= F FK = @A = ? A IJH=I @E A @A JH @A ?=@=

7 = = JAH =JEL= E F HJ= JA B H = A K I >HA = F FK =

AIJH=JE ?=@= -IJA JEF @A FH ?A@E A J CHKF I AJ HE I A D HA=I CA CH IJH=CA

= IK= @ELEI

?=I AJ? ) ? =IIE ?= AIJH=JE ?=@= = F FK = B= IA JE@ GK= @ AIJK@ =I GKA L=HE= AIJ=I ? 6= HA @E A J

? =IIAI K AIJH=J I  KJK= A JA AN? KIEL I GKA =FHAIA J= CA AE@=@A ) = = IA A? = A=J HE=I IE F AI E @AFA @A JAI @A E @EL @K I A I AI FH F H?E ) AIJH=JE ?= =EI I GKA ANEIJA @A K = F FK = L=HE LA A

?=@= CHKF

F II LA E@A JE ?=H F K? @A JH @A @E AI K = = I IJH=

IK>F FK = AI GKA L=HE= GKA @E HAIFAEJ IE D

KEJ A JHA IE DAJAH CA AE@=@A A JHA AIJH=J I

CA AE@=@A @A JH @A ?=@= AIJH=J  K J @= F FK = E@=@A C AH

JH= AIJH=JE ?=@= F @A B H A?AH HAIK J=@ I IE F AI ANJH= @= @ ? HE LAEI ? CA CH F H ANA F IA = L=HE LA = IAH AIJH=JE ?=@= IA A ? ?= AJ?

=EI FHA?EI I @ GKA K = = =E @= =@= ?

=EI E F HJ= JA KJH=I L= =

JH=H ? HHA =?E

AIJ=JKJ I ?E=

GKA FAH EJEH AIJH=JE ?=H IE K J= A= A JA IACK @ L HE=I

L=HE LAEI @AI@A GKA IA =IIACKHA K = =@AGK=@= HAFHAIA J=JELE@=@A @ I AIJH= J I ANEIJA JAI = F FK = 6= > IA F @A FH ?A@AH = IJH=CA C F H CHKF I GK= @ = F FK = A I A JHA IE E @EL @K I ? J @ ? IJH=CA =I IEIJA A = A=J HE= I@= F @ELE@E@= A IA A??E IE F AI =H K CHKF I ? KIJAHI D @AJAH E =@

AI =I ?=H=?JAH IJE?=I A DAJAH C I CHKF I @ALAH

A I @A JH @A IE AH @A CHKF I F H =

J= J GK= J F II LA IAH  E?H ? I

 -IJE = FK = A A A

JK= @A F=H

AJH I =

$ IA = A=J HE= A JA = CK I @ I CHKF I IJH=CA IJH=CA ?=IK= IE F AI ANECA IA =FA =I ? IJH=CA I @A K = = @ K = @=I JKH =I

= AIJK@=H 2HE AEH IA A??E IACKE@= E ? KA IA = = ? KIJAH ? =@ I 6H=J= IA @A K

IJH= J @ I I E @EL @K I FAHJA ?A JAI = I FH ?AII @A = AIJA JEF @A =

CHKF I IA A??E GKA IA @EIF F FK = ?=I A A ?=I @=I = AI? = F FK = CHKF I @A = K = J @ I I=K I

GKA ?=@= K E@=@A

D= @A K = EIJ=CA K = EIJ=CA

@ I CHKF I @A E @EL @K I K A A A J I @= F AJ= @ I A A A J I @= F FK = ANA F @=CA @AIJA JEF @A = @A FE E = I=K

IJH=CA I = JAHE HAI 7

GKA IA FHAJA @A B= AH K = I I 7 = =

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IJH= = A=J HE= @A JKH =I A E GKEHE @

@A JH @A ?=@= JKH = AI? DE@=

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7 AE B 5KF F=H?E= F D= A JA ?

2
DA?E@= +

JK= @A F=H
IEIJA A DA?A IA = ANFHAII AJH I 1 , 2 , . . . , n I DA?A DA?E@

AJH I
?K = CAH= @= IK= B @ F  K @AI? DA?E@ I

@ I FH > A =I @= -IJ=J IJE?= ? =I I L= HAI @ I F=H F=H

AIJK@=H K = F FK =

I F=H= IE F E ?=H GKA ? IEIJA A @A EH K = BK

I = B H = @= B @ F f @A X GKA @ IJH= DA

@AFA @A =FA =I @A K ) E@AE= ?

AJH @AI?

T @= = = (X1 , . . . , Xn ) @A X @A
I @A IAK L= H F=HJE?K =H @=@= K = = @AFA @A @A F=H AJH I @AI? E =

GKA = L = T = T (X1 , . . . , Xn ) =IIK = L= HAI FH NE ) L = T @E IA K ? -IJ=I L = BK ?E@ I J K AIJE =@ H @A A AI @= = F=FA IJH= GKA ?HAJ= t = t(x1 , . . . , yn ) @E IA K = AIJE =JEL= @A KEJ E F HJ= JA A

-IJ=J IJE?= A @A

IA AI

J=J IJE?=I

-IJE =

-NA F

  5KF D=
?K I A = LA

I GKA IA FHAJA @A = = EI=H = FAH?A J=CA @AJAH E =@= F FK = LA KI= ?K I ?

@A

LA I GKA KI= K EF GKA J L= H   =

5A = Xi = L = @A *AH FH >=>E E@=@A p A 4AJEH=@= K = JA IA GKA ?K I = E= ?

L= H  

KI= ?K I ?

FH >=>E E@=@A 1 p

IJH= = AJ HE= @A @E A I
n

n (X1 , . . . , Xn ) @= F FK =
AH @A

=
i=1

Xi

= AIJ=J IJE?= GKA HAFHAIA J= ?

LA I ? >E

IJH= -IJ= AIJ=J IJE?= JA

IA I=>A @EIJHE>KE

F=H

AJH I n A p @AI? DA?E@ 


n

1 Xn = Xi = AIJ=J IJE?= GKA E @E?= = FH F H n i=1 LA I ? IE@AH= @ I n E @EL @K I @= = IJH=

@AI?

DA?E@= @A

) CK I ANA F I @A AIJ=J IJE?=I

@E= =

1 IJH= X n = n
IJH= 

Xi
i=1 n 2 2

L=HE

?E= =
n

1 ? HHECE@= S = M2 = n

Xi X n
i=1

=
A J

1 2 = Xi2 X n = M 2 (M 1 )2 n i=1 = IJH= ?A JH=@ @A H@A k A M


= IJH= @A H@A ?E= = E NE @= = @= =

@A Mk HAFHAIA J=
k

HAFHAIA J=

A J IE F AI

k
n 2

L=HE

1 IJH= ? HHECE@= S = n1

Xi X n
i=1

IJH= X(1) = min (X1 , . . . , Xn ) IJH= X(n) = max (X1 , . . . , Xn ) IJH= 1 =

=IIE AJHE= @= =

M3 M2
3/2

-IJ=J IJE?=I 5K ?EA JAI

$!

?KHJ IA @= =
6A =

IJH= 2 = BK

M4 2 M2
AI @A A J I IE F AI K ?A JH=@ I @=

I AIJ=J IJE?=I GKA I IJH=

4A? H@A GKA I F H 1-(X k ) 5=>A @A H@A L= H

A J I F FK =?E J= >

=EI IE F AI @A H@A EJ AI

k @A X I

@=@ I A J I

I =E @= GKA IA ANEIJEH A B H ANEIJA

A J @A H@A

k @A K = L = X A J
E BAHE H = k A J F FK =?E

EJ I J @ I I

= ?A JH=@ @A H@A FHE AEH

@=@ F H 1- X 1-(X )k ?E=

@E @= L = X IACK @

A J IE F AI @A X A = L=HE

2 @= L = X

A J ?A JH=@ @A X

-IJ=J IJE?=I 5K ?EA JAI


) E@AE= @A IK ?E ) = >IAHL=H ?E= @A K = AIJ=J IJE?= = IACKE JA @AFA @A @A =JH=L I @A K = I K = L = X ?K = @EIJHE>KE

IJH= (X1 , . . . , Xn ) K @A K = BK @AII= = IJH= F H ANA F =JH=L I n 1 Xi IA A DK = E B H = =?AH?= @A @A T = T (X1 , . . . , Xn ) = X n = n i=1 FAH@E@= A J T @E IA K = AIJ=J IJE?= IK ?EA JA

,A

 7 = AIJ=J IJE?= T = T (X1 , . . . , Xn ) @E IA IK ?EA JA F=H=


E= @A @EIJHE>KE AI IA A I IA = @EIJHE>KE = AI = F=H= J @ I I A A A J I @= B= ? @E?E E= E A = @A X @=@ @AFA @A

K = B= @A
+ IE@AHA ?=I ?

L= H @A T

I @A J K

E AI AGKEL= A JAI

= JAHE H F=H=

?=I @EI?HAJ A F=H=

,A

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$"

-IJE =

GKA T ?

K = AIJ=J IJE?= IK ?EA JA F=H= IA F=H= J @ A F=H= J @ I =I IJH= (x1 , . . . , xn )

?HAJE = AI @= =

12(X1 = x1 , X2 = x2 , . . . , Xn = xn )|T = t(x1 , . . . , xn )

@AFA @A @A

-NA F
K = F FK =

! 5A = (X1 , . . . , Xn ) K = =
*E
n

IJH= = A=J HE= FH LA EA JA @A

E= ?

F=H

AJH I m A

IJHA GKA T =

Xi
i=1

K = AIJ=J IJE?= IK ?EA JA F=H=

4AI K
FHE AEH

KC=H

JA GKA K = LA GKA I Xi I IA J

E @AFA @A JAI

Xi Bi(nm, ) 6A

12 X1 = x1 , X2 = x2 , . . . , Xn = xn T = t(x1 , . . . , xn ) =

= m x1

m xn

xn (1 )mxn

x1 (1 )mx1 . . . mn t

t (1 )mnt

xi = 0, 1, . . . , m A

xi = t
JA IA m m m ... x1 x2 x1 mn t @EII I L= HAI GKA ?=@= Xi F @A ?=KI= IK ?EA JA J =H

5E F E ?= @ AIJ= ANFHAII

GKA @AFA @A

@AFA @A @A ) @A

C = AIJ=J IJE?= A

-IJ=J IJE?=I 5K ?EA JAI

$#

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?

E
?

" 5A = (X1 , . . . , Xn ) K = =
T

IJH= = A=J HE= >JE@= @A K =

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J K= f (x; ) 5A = T = T (X1 , . . . , Xn ) K = AIJ=J IJE?= IK ?EA JA F=H= IA A I IA

B @ F fT - J

f (x1 ; ) f (x2 ; ) . . . f (xn ; ) fT (t(x1 , x2 , . . . , xn ); )


@AFA @A @A F=H= J @ L= H @A t N @A IJH= = A=J HE= >JE@= @A K = ) @EII I L= HAI GKA ?=@=

Xi F @A

=H

@AFA @A

-NA F
@EIJHE>KE

# 5A = (X1 , . . . , Xn ) K = =
ANF A ?E= JHK ?=@= FHE AEH KC=H

@A fXi (x) = Ax , IK ?EA JA F=H= JA GKA ?=@= Xi JA


x

x>
B@

IJHA GKA Y = min (X1 , . . . , Xn )

4AI K

FXi (x) =
) @EII = B @ @A Y

Ax dx = 1 Ax

@=@= F H

FY (y ) = 12(Y y ) = 112(Y > y ) = 1(P (X1 > y ) P (X2 > y ) . . . P (Xn > y ))
C

FY (y ) = 1 (1 FX (y ))n = 1 An(y)
FA GKA = B @ F @A Y

fY (y ) = nAn(y) ,
)IIE = @EIJHE>KE

F=H= y > = =Y =y
2

@A X1 , . . . , Xn ? @E?E

A x i Ax1 Ax2 . . . Axn = nAn(y) nAny

xi > y A i = 1 , . . . , n
@AFA @A @A =IIE ? I L= HAI @A xi C Y K =

-IJ= ANFHAII

AIJ=J IJE?= IK ?EA JA F=H=

$$

-IJE =

 +HEJ HE @A .EIDAH
6A HA =
ANEIJEHA

AO =
? IK ?EA JA F=H= IA A I IA IJH= IA AI?HALAH ?

$ 5A = (X1 , . . . , Xn ) K = = = HAJEH=@= @A K = F FK =
AI g A h J=EI GKA = B @ F @= = AI A

B @ F f (x; ) ) AIJ=J IJE?= T = T (X1 , . . . , Xn ) @K=I BK FH @KJ @A @K=I BK

GKA =FA =I K = @AFA @A @A EIJ

f (x1 , . . . , xn ; ) = g (t(x1 , . . . , xn ); )h(x1 , . . . , xn )


@A F=H= ?=@= L= H N @A t(x1 , . . . , xn ) h @AFA @A @A ) @AFA @A @EII @A

I L= HAI @A x1 , . . . , xn F=H= I GK=EI f (x1 , . . . , xn ; ) > 0

-NA F
F H

% 4AJ

ANA F ANF
n

= JAHE H ) @A IE@=@A ?

K J= @A @=@=

X1 , . . . , Xn GK= @ ?=@= Xi

A ?E= JHK ?=@= @A F=H

AJH

f (x1 , . . . , xn ) =
i=1

Axi , x1 > , x2 > , . . . , xn >

K IA =

f (x1 , . . . , xn ) = An

xi

= A

xi n

A ,

IA min (x1 , . . . , xn ) >

! 2H FHEA@=@AI @ I AIJE =@ HAI


)I AIJE =JEL=I FH LA EA JAI @A K @ LAH@=@AEH L= H @ F=H @EIJHE>KE @ F=H @EIFAHI AJH +=I ? @ AIJE =@ H AIJA = >  AIJE =@ H @ALA @ALA AIJ=H FH NE =I I FHAJA @AH GKA = LAH@=@AEH L= H A HB H= AJH = AIJE =H )IIE

=EI F II LA ?A JH=@=

JH HE =HHEI?=  A

I = >JAH IK>AIJE =@ HAI K I A D H GK= J =E H FHA?EI  -IJ=I @K=I I AIJE =@ HAI

>HAIJE =@ HAI + =H GKA K @= IK= @EIJHE>KE IAH ? FH FHEA@=@AI @ALA

AIJE =@ H IAH J= J H @EIFAHI IE@AH=@=I ?

K J= A JA 3KAHA

! 2H FHEA@=@AI @ I AIJE =@ HAI ?A JH=@ I ) @EBAHA LAH@=@AEH L= H @ F=H = A JHA AIJE =@ H A @E F=H @A AJH A ? AJH L=HE ?E= FAGKA = AHH A K =

$%

AHH

@E=

GK=@H JE?= K AHH GK=@H JE?

E@ =>=EN

A@E@= @= FAH

B H = ?A @ AIJE =@ H

,A

!  ,=@= K = = = (X1 , . . . , Xn ) @A X ?
K

B @ F f ( x | ) K =

AIJ=J IJE?= T = t(X1 , . . . , Xn )

AIJE =@ H ?A JH=@ @A IA 1-(T ) = AIJE =@ H T @A = @EBAHA = A JHA

,A

E
F=H

LE I K *1)5 @A K AJH

1-(T ) A

BIAS(T ) = 1-(T )

,A
@A

E
E@ ?

! ! ,=@= K = = = (X1 , . . . , Xn ) @A X ?
AHH GK=@H JE?

B @ F f (x; ) A K @E -3 K 5-

AIJE =@ H T = T (X1 , . . . , Xn ) @A

MSE = 1- (T )2
JA GKA 1- (T )2 = 1- ((T 1-(T )) + (1-(T ) ))2 = 1- (T 1-(T ))2 +(1-(T ) )2 6A I =IIE

MSE(T ) = Var (T ) + BIAS2 (T )


5A = ) A ?E

T1 A T2 AIJE =@ HAI @
?E= HA =JEL= @A T2 A

AI HA =

F=H = T1

AJH 5A T1 JA @=@= F H

5-

H GKA

5- @A T2 T1

=EI A ?EA JA GKA T2


MSE(T1 ) MSE(T2 )

+=I = > I I AIJE =@ HAI IA = =FHAIA J=H A H L=HE

?A JH=@ I IAH ?E= HA =JEL=

=EI A ?EA JA =GKA A GKA AIJA ?=I GK ?EA JA

?E= A = A ?E

$& @=I L=HE ?E=I I AIJE =@ HAI = ?

-IJE =

7 = KJH= FH FHEA@=@A @AIA LA K = FH FHEA@=@A =IIE FJ JE?=

IEIJ
T?

?E= GKA
IA @

2=H= GKA IA A JA @= AIJ= FH FHEA@=@A FHA?EI= K @ I A A A J I @A K = IK?AII E CK=CA JH= ? HHA JA @E A I GKA K

I @A FA I=H A ?

@A AIJE =@ HAI {Tn }nN AIJE =@ H IEIJA JA IA GK= @ @A JH=H =H>HEJ=HE= A JA FH NE

n
E

CH= @A = FH >=>E E@=@A @A Tn IA A ? EJ  =EI B H = A JA

IA A ?

KEJ FH NE = @A 1 JA @A @ F=H= 1 GK= @ n JA @A F=H=

,A

!" 7
n

AIJE =@ H Tn = T (X1 , . . . , Xn ) @A F=H= J @


LAHC

IEIJA JA IA

lim 12 (|Tn | ) = 0
?E= ?

>0
?E= A A J FH >=>E E@=@A K = @A E =

-IJA JEF @A ? 5A X JA JAH =JEL=

LAHC

IA I=>A ?

A J @A IACK @= H@A
= JAHE H

EJ

,A

!# 7

AIJE =@ H Tn = t(X1 , . . . , Xn ) @A
n

IEIJA JA IA

lim 1- (Tn )2 = 0

K IA = H=

AIJE =@ H EJ

IEIJA JA IA

5- @A Tn JA @A F=H= AH GK= @ n

JA @A F=H= E

5- @A Tn JA @A F=H= AH IA Tn B H =IIE FJ JE?= A JA ?A JH=@ A

IA = IK= L=HE

?E= @A?HAI?AH F=H= AH GK= @ n JA @A F=H= E ?E= E =

EJ

-IJE =@ HAI ?A JH=@ I @A L=HE


5=>A AJH ?=KI= F=H AJH I GKA K =I A ? ?

K J @A AIJE =@ HAI ?A JH=@ I @A @AJAH E =@ F=H A H L=HE ?E= ? K J A K J @A J @ I I AIJE =@ HAI ?A JH=@ I @A @AJAH E =@

A D H AIJE =@ H =GKA A GKA JELAH

! 2H FHEA@=@AI @ I AIJE =@ HAI

$'

,A

! $ 7 AIJE =@ H ?A JH=@ T @A @E IA @A L=HE ?E=


?E= B H A H K ECK= L=HE

E =

IA = IK= L=HE

?E= @A GK= GKAH KJH AIJE =@ H

@A F=H= J @
5A B H F II LA AIJ=>A AH K @A @AJAH E =@= = IA = L=HE E F=H= = L=HE E A J ?E= @A K AIJE =@ H BK ?E= E =

IJH= = A=J HE= A @A K = AE @A FH >=>E E@=@A =II ?E=@= JAH L=HE

?E= @ AIJE =@ H B H AIIA E F=H= = L=HE

) @AIECK= @=@A @A +H= LAH =@E= JA K K BK F=H @A K = = K

H 4= AIJ=>A A?A I > = CK =I ? @E AI  =


?E= @A K AIJE =@ H ?A JH=@ T @A AJH 5KF D= ? I GKA T B@F

AJH K @A K = BK AIJE =@ H @A () 6A

@AIIA F=H
IA GKA

IJH= = A=J HE= FH LA EA JA @A K = F FK =

f ( x; )

Var (T ) n1F II LA FH L=H I > = CK =I ? 1-NEIJA


d log f (X ; ) dx

( ())2
dlog f (X ;) d 2

@E AI =@E?E
2

=EI GKA

= 1-

2 log f (X ; ) 2
@AH JHE?=I ANEIJA IA FHA K

=C H= GKAIJ AI GKA E F HJ= HAIF

 2=H= GK= GKAH B= AIJE =@ H @A L=HE + ) HAIF J= =  ?=KI= FAHJA ?AH ?KHI  ) HAIF IJ= = >JAH K

E= @A @EIJHE>KE AI F=H= ?E= E = ?E=

AIJE =@ H @A L=HE

E = @= F FK = A

AC=JEL= 6= I B= E= ANF

LAH@=@A IA = @EIJHE>KE A ?E= @A @EIJHE>KE AI 

=> H@=@= AIJA

F=II= F H K

HAIK J=@ GKA AIJ=>A A?A = ECK= @=@A @= @AIE

CK= @=@A =?E = IA A I IA ANEIJEH K = BK

K (n, ) J= GKA

log f (Xi ; ) = K (n, ) (t(x1 , . . . , xn ) ())

% AIJE =@ H T = T (X1 , . . . , Xn ) @A () AIJE =@ H @A L=HE

-IJE = ?E= E =

-NA F
K = F FK =

! % 5A = (X1 , . . . , Xn ) K = =
X ?
B@F

IJH= = A=J HE= FH LA EA JA @A

f (x; ) = (1 + x)(1+) , x > 0


?

> 0 @AI?
 3K=

DA?E@ H 4= F=H= = L=HE ?E= @ I AIJE =@ HAI

E EJA E BAHE H @A +H= 1 ?A JH=@ I @A () = >JAH ?=I ANEIJ= K 1 () =

AIJE =@ H ?A JH=@ @A L=HE

?E=

E = F=H=

4AI K
 ) @A IAH KJE E =@= = @AIECK= @=@A @A +H= H 4= JA I GKA

( ())2 = 2=H= 1C @A

1 4
E =@ H

d2 log f (X ; ) d2

= 1H 4=
1 4 n 12

1 log (1 + X )

1 2

E EJA E BAHE H @A +H=

1 n2

) ANFHAII

d log f (xi ; ) = d
ECK= =

1 log (1 + xi ) 1 n

log (1 + xi )

log (1 + xi )

! 2H FHEA@=@AI @ I AIJE =@ HAI

%

?K

I A J

GKA

AIJE =@ H

T =
AIJE =@ H @A L=HE
8= I =C H= ?

1 n

log (1 + xi ) 1
@A F=H

?E=

E = F=H= () =
J @ I

IE@AH=H @ EI @ I

=EI KIK=EI @A AIJE =

AJH I

!

J @ @ I
@A E@= A

A J I
JAH I @A r F=H J @ @ I AJH I 1 , 2 , . . . , r A J I >J IA HAI I AJH I FA

5A = K = @EIJHE>KE LA @

AIJE =@ HAI @AIJAI F=H

IACKE JA IEIJA = @A r AGK= AI A r E ? C EJ=I 1-(X k ) = Mk ,

k = 1, . . . , r
A J JA HE? @= @EIJHE>KE A J A F HE?

K IA =

AIJE =@ H @A k J= GKA k IE ECK= = k IE

f (x; 1 , 2 , . . . , r )

-NA F
@A

! & 5A = X1 , . . . , Xn K = =

IJH= = A=J HE= FH LA EA JA @ J @ @ I A J I F=H=

N (, ) ?

A @AI? DA?E@ I 7IA

>JAH AIJE =@ HAI F=H= A 2

4AI K
1 1-(X ) = = M1 = n
n

Xi = X n
i=1

1-(X 2 ) = Var (X ) + (1-(X ))2 = 2 + 2 = M2 =

1 n

Xi2
i=1

,= FHE AEH= AGK=

LA

E A@E=J= A JA

= Xn

-IJE =

A @= FHE AEH= A IACK @= AGK= AI JA

2
-IJ= + F=H L=HE JE = ECK= @=@A AJH I @ ?E= = IJH= @A

1 = n

Xi2 X n
i=1

= L=HE H = I ? HHECE@=

?E=

? HHECE@= @A X M2 J @ I @ I A J I @A A 2 @E= = IJH= A = HAIFA?JEL= A JA =

? KI

I AIJE =@ HAI >JE@ I FA

?=I @ ANA F @ALA IA HA? HHAH =

IACKE JA =FAI=H @A IA FHAJA @AH AIJE =H =FA =I K A J @A H@A

F=H

AJH

-NA F
L=

! ' + IE@AHA K = F FK =
3K= >=IA K = =

X ?K = AE
>J

K EB H A FA

E JAH J @ @ I

[, ]
A J I ?

AIJE =@ H @A > 0 GKA IA IJH= X1 , . . . , Xn @A X >=IA=@=

4AI K
F II LA KI=H K = AGK= K = LA GKA 1-(X ) = 0 3KAHA I J= GKA
1-(X 2 ) = M2

FHE AEH

A J A F HE?

H= AIJA ?=I 1-(X 2 ) = Var (X ) =

2 FA GKA 3 2 1 = Xi2 3 n
H@A = LA GKA AIJE =@ H GKA IA FHA

4AI LA @ AIJ= AGK= JA @A

=
8A =

1 n

Xi2 =

3M2
=FA =I AIJE =JEL=I

I =C H= KJH I ANA F I A A?AII HE IACKEH

GKA IA FHAJA @A

2=H= J= @EB ?E @A ?

>JAH = ANFHAII

CAH= @ AIJE =@ H F H LA AI

! 2H FHEA@=@AI @ I AIJE =@ HAI

%!

-NA F
HA= E =

!  .=?A = K
@A =

K J @A @=@ I {3, 4, 8, 10, 12, 18, 22, 35}

IJH= = A=J HE= FH LA EA JA @A K = L = X

 3K= = AIJE =JEL= @A IA X Exp(1/) 3K=EI =I AIJE =JEL=I @A A 2 IA X ! 3K= = AIJE =JEL= @A IA X P o() C H =

4AI K
 AGK= J @ @ I A J I F=H= >JA @ AIJE =@ H @A >=IA=@ =

1 1-(X ) = M1 = (3 + 4 + . . . + 35) = 14 8
C H = JA C

) @EIJHE>KE 5=>A

2 F=H

AJH I FA

GKA A?AIIEJ=

I @A

@K=I AGK= AI A L LA @ I GKA IA Y

A J I F=H= >JAH =I IK=I AIJE =JEL=I H = (, ) A J

Y = exp(X ) ?

X N (, ) )IIE
1-(Y ) = A+
2 /2

Var (Y ) = A2+2 A2+ = 1-(X 2 ) (1-(X ))2

6A

IA J

GKA HAI LAH IEIJA = A+2 /2 = 1 (3 + 4 + . . . + 35) = 14 8 A2+22 = 1 (32 + 42 + . . . + 352 ) = 295.75
8

K IA =

+ 2 /2 = log (14) 2 + 2 2 = log (295.75)


HECA =

GKA @

= 2.433 2 = 0.411
@A 2 EII = IK= @E= 6A IA J

F=H

AJH @= @EIJHE>KE

= 1-(X ) = 1 (3 + 4 + . . . + 35) = 14 8

%"

-IJE =

"

J @ @=
I ANF E?=

NE = 8AH IE E D=
@AIJA J @ L= IJH= I? = @A K = =

=
A =H F H @A EH

) JAI @A FH ?A@AH

GKA IA A JA @A F H LAH IE E D=

,A
?

"  5A = X1 , . . . , Xn K = = = HAJEH=@= @A K = F FK =
F = @= =

B@F KB

?=I @EI?HAJ  f (x; ) A x1 , . . . , xn I ? HHAIF @A JAI IJH= = BK IA GKA


n

L= HAI >IAHL=@ I ) LAH IE E D=  K BK @A IE@=@A @A FH >=>E E@=@A ? K J= K J= =II= @A FH >=>E E@=@A ? J=@= F H L 6A ?=I @EI?HAJ  ?= ?K =@= A

x1 , . . . , xn @A

L(; x1 , . . . , xn ) = L(; x) = fX1 ,...,Xn (x; ) =


i=1

f (xi ; )
@ F=H

) AJH

J=

L(; x1 , . . . , xn ) = L(; x) HALA =


@=@= K = = IJH= ?

B=?J @A L IAH BK

?HAJ= >IAHL=@=

,A

"

7 = AIJE =JEL= @A

NE = LAH IE E D=
= BK @= = @A 

= @A

L= H GKA

=NE E = = BK

@A LAH IE E D=

AIJE =@ H = (X1 , . . . , Xn ) AIJ=J IJE?= BK

IJH= @E IA AIJE

=@ H @A
6H=@E?E J= =

NE = LAH IE E D=

=
NE = LAH IE E D= =I @A

A JA AIJE =@ H A AIJE =JEL= @A AI I > @AFA @A @ @ ? AH 

J=@ I FA

JANJ @ALA IAH ? =H IA AI I = B= =H @ IAK L= H

I = B= =H @A K = L =  AIJE =@ H K IA AIJ=

>IAHL=@ AIJE =JEL= K

2=H= IA >JAH NE @= BK @A LAH IE E D= = HA? HHA IA I K @= dL dlog L AGK= = 0 K A = JAH =JEL= = = 0 ,A B=?J IA @ = BK log K = BK ?HAI?A JA GK= @ L ?HAI?A log L J= > ?HAI?A A GK= @ L @A?HAI?A log L J= > @A?HAI?A

"

J @ @=

NE = 8AH IE E D=

%#

-NA F
@A ? L= H == 8A = J=CA

"! +
I > ? @E ECK= L=HE J=

I=>A ?E=

@A

@A 2 EII

=@=FJ= IA = IEJK= AI

@E AI @A HACK =HE@=@A IA @ ?=H=?JAHE =@ F H JAH AH @A L I F IJ I F H # J=HJ=HKC=I + >=IA

5A = X = L = GKA ? KEJ =B=IJ=@ I

IJH= >IAHL=@= x = (53, 60, 50, 62, 45) x = 54 A s2 x = 49.5 L= HAI I GK= = AIJE =JEL= @A = @= = IJH= A NE = LAH IE E D= ?=KI= = F=H= L= H @E @A

X
) LAH IE E D=

L(, x) = 12(X1 = 5, X2 = 60, X3 = 50, X4 = 62, X5 = 45) = = A 53 45 . . . A 53! 45!

L(, x) = c A5 270
FA GKA A ? JH=H L= H @A GKA =NE E = AIJ= BK AGKEL= A JA =

dL(, x) 270 = 0 c(5A5 270 + 270A5 269 ) = 0 = = 54 = x d 5


2 @AH = K == I JAH =NE E =@ = BK @A C LAH IE E D= = = AIJA ?=I @=@=

IJH= x = (x1 , x2 , . . . , xn ) = BK
n

@A LAH IE E D=
n

L(, x) =
k=1

xk log L(, x) = xk !

( + xk log () log (xk !))


k=1

6A

IA J

d : log L(, x) = 0 d
FA GKA

k=1

xk 1 +
n

1 = 0 n +

xk = 0
k=1

1 n

xk = x n
k=1

%$ + ?K IA J GKA GK= @ X 2 EII  AIJE =@ H @A

-IJE = NE = LAH

IE E D=

= @A =II ?E=@ = K = =

IJH= @A @E A I

= Xn
-IJA FH ?A@E A J @= BK KIK= GK= @ ?=I @ IK NE ANA F GKA IA FH ?A@AH NE ? HHAH = BH = ? HHA EIA @= BK E JAHE H @ @ @A LAH IE E D= E J @ =

JAEH= @ IKF HJA

=@AGK=@ A JA @EHA?J= A JA 8A =

-NA F
BK

" " 5A = X U [0, ] ,=@= = =


L(, x) =

IJH= x = (x1 , x2 , . . . , xn ) =

@A LAH IE E D= =
1 n

0 xi , i = 1, 2, . . . , n
?=I ? JH HE 5AH J= J =E H

) BK GK= J 6 = A

1 n

@A?HAI?A JA F=H= L= HAI @A F IEJEL I HB H @ELEI H 6A I GKA AI? DAH GKA IAH = A A

H F II LA A A J=

GKA 0 xi J @=I =I >IAHL= AI J IA J AIJE =@ H @A


+ IE@AHA

HAI GKA 

= max (x1 , x2 , . . . , xn )
NE = LAH IE E D=

= X(n)
= I? = ?AEJ I @A AIJ=

I =C H=

IACKE JA HAIK J=@ GKA HA =?E

J IJE?= IK ?EA JA A @A AIJE =@ H @A

NE = LAH IE E D=

6A HA =
? BK

" # 5A = X1 , . . . , Xn K = = = HAJEH=@= @A K = F FK =
AIJE =@ H @A NE = LAH IE E D= = @A A J

@A IE@=@A f (x; ) 5A ANEIJEH K = AIJ=J IJE?= IK ?EA JA T = T (X1 , . . . , Xn )

F=H= A IA ANEIJEH @A T

"

J @ @=

NE = 8AH IE E D=

%%

" +

@E AI @A HACK =HE@=@A A FH FHEA@=@AI @ I AI L


@E AI @A HACK =HE@=@A @= B @ F F H ANA F = ANEIJ ?E= @ 1+4

JE =@ HAI @A
+ A = >=IA=@=I = B 

I F H =FHAIA J=H =I ? L GKA C=H= JA

f (x, )

d log (f (x, )) d d d

ANEIJA F=H= J @ x A J @

. . . log L(x, ) dx =

...

d log L(x, ) dx d

d d

. . . t(x)log L(x, ) dx =
2 d log f (x, ) d

...

d t(x) d log L(x, ) dx

" 0 < 1-

< +
NE = LAH IE E D= L I = I=JEIB= L HE=I FH FHEA@=

J @ @A AIJE = @AI IA =I ? ?=

@A

@E AI @A HACK =HE@=@A B HA

I=JEIBAEJ=I A JHA =I GK=EI @AIJ=

I GKA I AIJE =@ HAI @A

IEIJA JAI

)IIE FJ JE?= A JA ?A JH=@ I )IIE FJ JE?= A JA


H =EI ANEIJA H L=HE ?E= KJH I AIJE =@ HAI AIJA ?=I = L=HE AIJ=I

)IIE FJ JE?= A JA A ?EA JAI


? @E AI GKA JA D= 1+4 E A A ?E@A ?

?E= ? E

2 = Var ()

1 n1d log f (X, )2 d

1 L=HE= JAI
@A

AIJE =@ H @A AIJE =@ H @A

NE = LAH IE E D=

= @A ()

( )

NE = LAH IE E D=

= @A

%&

-IJE =

"
 +

-NAH? ?E I
IE@AHA K = = = X1 , . . . , Xn FH LA EA JA @= F FK =

X?

B@F

f (x; ) = x( + 1)x , 0 < x < 1


= 3K= > 3K= E D= + AIJE =@ H F=H= >JE@ FA AIJE =@ H F=H= >JE@ FA = @A J @ @ I J @ @= A J I NE = LAH IE

IE@AHA K = = = X1 , . . . , Xn FH LA EA JA @ DA?E@ AIJE =@ H @A

N (0, ) ?

@AI?

= ,AJAH E A

NE = LAH IE E D=

= @A 2 A AIJK@A

=I FH FHEA@=@AI AN=?J=I A =IIE FJ JE?=I @ AIJE =@ H > 3K= @=I AIJ=J IJE?=I M2 A S 2 2 HGK 8AHE GKA IA = CK L=HE ! + B@ ?E= @AIJAI AIJE =@ HAI AIJE =@ H ?A JH=@ @A ?E= ? E ?E@A ? 1+4 E = @A 2 A IA = IK= L=HE IJH= = A=J HE= @A @E A I K AIJE =@ H A D H F=H= 2

IE@AHA K = =

n FH LA EA JA @A X ?

1 exp((x )), x F (x; ) = 0, x<


GKA K F=H AJH @AI? DA?E@

=

IJHA GKA X Exp(1) AIJE =@ H @A FA = @= = J @ @ I IJH= A AI> ?A A J I IAK CH ?

> ,AJAH E A

? += ?K A = LAH IE E D= @ +

F=HA I AIJ E =@ HAI 1 = X 1 A 2 = X(1) GK= @ I @ EI AD H

KIJE ?= @

1 n

,EC=

"

J @ @=

NE = 8AH IE E D=

%'

" + ?E@ = > ?

IE@AHA K = = ,AJAH E A

IJH= = A=J HE= @A @E A I

n FH LA EA JA @A X ?
AJH @AI? DA

B @ F f (x; ) = (1 + x)(1+) , x > 0, ?

> 0 F=H

AIJE =@ H @A FA AIJE =@ H @A

J @ @ I J @ @=

A J I NE = LAH IE E D= =

1 FA

1+4 F=H= = L=HE

?E= @A AIJE =@ HAI ?A JH=@ I @A ?E=

1 1
E=

@ K

AIJE =@ H ?A JH=@ @A L=HE

E = ?=I ANEIJ= F=H=

# 5A = X1 , . . . , Xn K = = = FH LA EA JA @A K = F FK =

X *E

(n, p)
= ,AJAH E A =I ANFHAII AI F=H= =I BK C LAH IE E D= > >JA D= KIJE GKA ? 3K= AIJE =@ H F=H= (1 p)5 = @= = IJH= NE = LAH IE E D= = @A p A LAHE GKA ? IEIJA JA AI @A LAH IE E D= = A @A

AIJE =@ H @A

GKA AIJA AIJE =@ H

?A JH=@

AIJE =@ H >JE@

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