GEM2900, 2013/2014 Semester II Answers 1. The answer is (c).

Number of ways to choose 2 days out of 7 days: Number of ways to choose 2 weekdays out of 5: Required probability is then 5 7 / 2 2 2. The answer is (c). = 10 0.476. 21 7 . 2 5 . 2

Assignment 02

For the rst blouse, there are six blouses of which one is red, so the chance of selecting a red blouse is 1/6. For the second blouse, we condition on whether this rst blouse chosen is red or not. Let Ri denote the event that the ith blouse is red.
c c P (R2 ) = P (R2 |R1 )P (R1 ) + P (R2 |R1 )P (R1 ) = 0 1/6 + 1/5 5/6 = 1/6.

So the two probabilities are the same. 3. The answer is (d). Let A be the event that the wallet originally contained a $5 note. Let B be the event that the note removed is a $5 note. The desired probability is given by 1 1/2 P (B |A)P (A) = = 2/3 0.67. c c P (B |A)P (A) + P (B |A )P (A ) 1 1/2 + 1/2 1/2

P (A|B ) =

4. (a) Inductive reasoning. The experiment (mice data) leads to a hypothesis (inhibition of tumour growth). (b) Inductive reasoning. The experiments (leukaemia cells) lead to a hypothesis (certain substances induce programmed cell death). (c) Deductive reasoning. The hypothesis (DLC1 gets reactivated) makes a clear prediction (dierent tumour cell lines should be aected dierently by the herb). 5. The answer is (b). Note that X N(34, 12). Hence P [4X 2 110] = P [4X 112] = P [X 28] = P [N(34, 12) 28] = P [N(0, 12) 6] = P [N(0, 1) 6/12] = (0.5) 0.3085.

(1)

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GEM2900, 2013/2014 Semester II

Assignment 02

6. The sample mean is 156, the sample standard deviation is 28.5. The standard error is 6.91 (rounded to three signicant digits, e.g. 4.32). Our rule-of-thumb interval around the sample mean is given by [ 145.6 , 166.4 ] (rounded to four signicant digits, e.g. 143.2)

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