We have been learning about GDP over the course of the last week, now we are going to learn about the cycle businesses tend to follow as a result of our national income. The Business Cycle:
Stages of the Business Cycle Peak:
Contractionary (Recession):
Trough:
Expansion (Recovery):
Contraction and Trough Phases:
Expansion and Peak Phases:
Reasons for the Business Cycle Forecasting Difficulties: economic forecasting is very inaccurate - economic indicators (GDP, Unemployment Rate, CPI, etc.) do not always tell the complete story Political Considerations: politicians often act or fail to act, due to fear of consequences from the public (tax rates, programs, government spending, etc.) Reasons for the Business Cycle Variable Effectiveness: Monetary Policy & Fiscal Policy are not always reliable or consistent in helping to regulate the business cycle External Factors: foreign economic conditions and activities will have an effect on the domestic economy (sometimes a very drastic effect)