SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R
0.1738232956
R Square
0.0302145381
Adjusted R Square
0.0276005611
Standard Error
22.969896706
Observations
373
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

Intercept
X Variable 1

SS
MS
F
1 6098.629977678 6098.6299777 11.558838606
371 195745.5933799 527.61615466
372 201844.2233575

Coefficients
123.01758983
0.0375530381

Standard Error
t Stat
2.4411200837 50.393911649
0.0110455661 3.3998292025

P-value
0.0000
0.0007

Significance F
0.0007475491

Lower 95%
Upper 95%
Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%
118.217423037 127.81775661 118.21742304 127.81775661
0.0158332711 0.0592728051 0.0158332711 0.0592728051

Date

8
9
10
11
12
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
1

Private
Housing Starts
(000)

Aug-75

117.30

Sep-75

111.90

Oct-75

123.60

Nov-75

96.90

Dec-75

76.10

Jan-76

72.50

Feb-76

89.90

Mar-76

118.40

Apr-76

137.20

May-76

147.90

Jun-76

154.20

Jul-76

136.60

Aug-76

145.90

Sep-76

151.80

Oct-76

148.40

Nov-76

127.10

Dec-76

107.40

Jan-77

81.30

Feb-77

112.50

Mar-77

173.60

Apr-77

182.20

May-77

201.30

Jun-77

197.60

Jul-77

189.80

Aug-77

194.00

Sep-77

177.70

Oct-77

193.10

Nov-77

154.80

Dec-77

129.20

Jan-78

88.60

Feb-78

101.30

Mar-78

172.10

Apr-78

197.50

May-78

211.00

Jun-78

216.00

Jul-78

192.20

Aug-78

190.90

Sep-78

180.50

Oct-78

192.10

Nov-78

158.60

Dec-78

119.50

Jan-79

88.20

Times series

MA

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42

115.21
117.59
120.92
122.98
125.50
128.11
128.84
130.73
135.33
139.08
143.53
147.14
151.58
155.58
157.74
161.47
163.78
165.59
166.20
165.27
165.14
166.42
167.23
168.76
168.96
168.70
168.93
168.85
169.17
168.36
168.33
166.93
165.33
162.28
160.46
158.44

CMA

116.40
119.25
121.95
124.24
126.80
128.48
129.78
133.03
137.20
141.30
145.33
149.36
153.58
156.66
159.60
162.62
164.68
165.90
165.73
165.20
165.78
166.82
167.99
168.86
168.83
168.82
168.89
169.01
168.76
168.34
167.63
166.13
163.80
161.37
159.45
157.28

CF

0.77
0.99
1.13
1.19
1.22
1.06
1.12
1.14
1.08
0.90
0.74
0.54
0.73
1.11
1.14
1.24
1.20
1.14
1.17
1.08
1.16
0.93
0.77
0.52
0.60
1.02
1.17
1.25
1.28
1.14
1.14
1.09
1.17
0.98
0.75
0.56

SI

0.75
1.00
1.11
1.16
1.17
1.12
1.10
1.06
1.11
0.90
0.78
0.73
0.75
1.00
1.11
1.16
1.17
1.12
1.10
1.06
1.11
0.90
0.78
0.73
0.75
1.00
1.11
1.16
1.17
1.12
1.10
1.06
1.11
0.90
0.78
0.73

2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

Feb-79

84.50

Mar-79

152.90

Apr-79

161.00

May-79

189.10

Jun-79

191.80

Jul-79

164.20

Aug-79

170.30

Sep-79

163.70

Oct-79

169.00

Nov-79

118.70

Dec-79

91.60

Jan-80

73.10

Feb-80

79.90

Mar-80

85.10

Apr-80

96.20

May-80

91.70

Jun-80

116.40

Jul-80

120.10

Aug-80

129.90

Sep-80

138.30

Oct-80

152.70

Nov-80

112.90

Dec-80

95.90

Jan-81

84.50

Feb-81

71.90

Mar-81

107.80

Apr-81

123.00

May-81

109.90

Jun-81

105.80

Jul-81

99.90

Aug-81

86.30

Sep-81

84.10

Oct-81

87.20

Nov-81

64.60

Dec-81

59.10

Jan-82

47.20

Feb-82

51.30

Mar-82

78.20

Apr-82

84.10

May-82

98.80

Jun-82

91.10

Jul-82

106.80

Aug-82

96.00

Sep-82

106.40

Oct-82

110.50

43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87

156.11
154.39
152.99
151.07
147.74
145.42
144.16
143.78
138.13
132.73
124.61
118.33
114.65
111.28
109.17
107.81
107.33
107.68
108.63
107.97
109.86
112.09
113.61
112.73
111.04
107.41
102.89
97.43
93.41
90.34
87.23
85.52
83.05
79.81
78.88
77.66
78.23
79.04
80.90
82.84
86.53
88.52
92.19
95.94
100.64

155.25
153.69
152.03
149.40
146.58
144.79
143.97
140.95
135.43
128.67
121.47
116.49
112.97
110.23
108.49
107.57
107.50
108.16
108.30
108.91
110.98
112.85
113.17
111.88
109.23
105.15
100.16
95.42
91.88
88.79
86.38
84.28
81.43
79.35
78.27
77.95
78.64
79.97
81.87
84.69
87.53
90.35
94.07
98.29
102.80

0.54
0.99
1.06
1.27
1.31
1.13
1.18
1.16
1.25
0.92
0.75
0.63
0.71
0.77
0.89
0.85
1.08
1.11
1.20
1.27
1.38
1.00
0.85
0.76
0.66
1.03
1.23
1.15
1.15
1.13
1.00
1.00
1.07
0.81
0.76
0.61
0.65
0.98
1.03
1.17
1.04
1.18
1.02
1.08
1.07

0.75
1.00
1.11
1.16
1.17
1.12
1.10
1.06
1.11
0.90
0.78
0.73
0.75
1.00
1.11
1.16
1.17
1.12
1.10
1.06
1.11
0.90
0.78
0.73
0.75
1.00
1.11
1.16
1.17
1.12
1.10
1.06
1.11
0.90
0.78
0.73
0.75
1.00
1.11
1.16
1.17
1.12
1.10
1.06
1.11

11
12
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
1
2
3
4
5
6
7

Nov-82

108.90

Dec-82

82.90

Jan-83

91.30

Feb-83

96.30

Mar-83

134.60

Apr-83

135.80

May-83

174.90

Jun-83

173.20

Jul-83

161.60

Aug-83

176.80

Sep-83

154.90

Oct-83

159.30

Nov-83

136.00

Dec-83

108.30

Jan-84

109.10

Feb-84

130.00

Mar-84

137.50

Apr-84

172.70

May-84

180.70

Jun-84

184.00

Jul-84

162.10

Aug-84

147.40

Sep-84

148.50

Oct-84

152.30

Nov-84

126.20

Dec-84

98.90

Jan-85

105.40

Feb-85

95.40

Mar-85

145.00

Apr-85

175.80

May-85

170.20

Jun-85

163.20

Jul-85

160.70

Aug-85

160.70

Sep-85

147.70

Oct-85

173.00

Nov-85

124.10

Dec-85

120.50

Jan-86

115.60

Feb-86

107.20

Mar-86

151.00

Apr-86

188.20

May-86

186.60

Jun-86

183.60

Jul-86

172.00

88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
108
109
110
111
112
113
114
115
116
117
118
119
120
121
122
123
124
125
126
127
128
129
130
131
132

104.95
111.29
118.13
122.70
129.43
133.48
137.54
139.80
141.92
143.40
146.21
146.45
149.53
150.01
150.91
150.95
148.50
147.97
147.38
146.57
145.78
145.48
142.59
143.22
143.48
142.60
140.87
140.75
141.86
141.79
143.52
143.34
145.14
145.99
146.98
147.48
148.51
149.88
151.58
152.52
152.78
153.30
151.78
151.08
150.45

108.12
114.71
120.42
126.07
131.45
135.51
138.67
140.86
142.66
144.80
146.33
147.99
149.77
150.46
150.93
149.73
148.23
147.68
146.98
146.18
145.63
144.03
142.90
143.35
143.04
141.73
140.81
141.30
141.83
142.65
143.43
144.24
145.57
146.48
147.23
147.99
149.19
150.73
152.05
152.65
153.04
152.54
151.43
150.76
150.01

1.01
0.72
0.76
0.76
1.02
1.00
1.26
1.23
1.13
1.22
1.06
1.08
0.91
0.72
0.72
0.87
0.93
1.17
1.23
1.26
1.11
1.02
1.04
1.06
0.88
0.70
0.75
0.68
1.02
1.23
1.19
1.13
1.10
1.10
1.00
1.17
0.83
0.80
0.76
0.70
0.99
1.23
1.23
1.22
1.15

0.90
0.78
0.73
0.75
1.00
1.11
1.16
1.17
1.12
1.10
1.06
1.11
0.90
0.78
0.73
0.75
1.00
1.11
1.16
1.17
1.12
1.10
1.06
1.11
0.90
0.78
0.73
0.75
1.00
1.11
1.16
1.17
1.12
1.10
1.06
1.11
0.90
0.78
0.73
0.75
1.00
1.11
1.16
1.17
1.12

8
9
10
11
12
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
1
2
3
4

Aug-86

163.80

Sep-86

154.00

Oct-86

154.80

Nov-86

115.60

Dec-86

113.00

Jan-87

105.10

Feb-87

102.80

Mar-87

141.20

Apr-87

159.30

May-87

158.00

Jun-87

162.90

Jul-87

152.40

Aug-87

143.60

Sep-87

152.00

Oct-87

139.10

Nov-87

118.80

Dec-87

85.40

Jan-88

78.20

Feb-88

90.20

Mar-88

128.80

Apr-88

153.20

May-88

140.20

Jun-88

150.20

Jul-88

137.00

Aug-88

136.80

Sep-88

131.10

Oct-88

135.10

Nov-88

113.00

Dec-88

94.20

Jan-89

100.10

Feb-89

85.80

Mar-89

117.80

Apr-89

129.40

May-89

131.70

Jun-89

143.20

Jul-89

134.70

Aug-89

122.40

Sep-89

109.30

Oct-89

130.10

Nov-89

96.60

Dec-89

75.00

Jan-90

99.20

Feb-90

86.90

Mar-90

108.50

Apr-90

119.00

133
134
135
136
137
138
139
140
141
142
143
144
145
146
147
148
149
150
151
152
153
154
155
156
157
158
159
160
161
162
163
164
165
166
167
168
169
170
171
172
173
174
175
176
177

149.58
149.21
148.39
145.98
143.60
141.88
140.24
138.56
138.39
137.08
137.35
135.05
132.81
131.76
130.73
130.22
128.73
127.68
126.39
125.83
124.08
123.75
123.27
124.00
125.83
125.46
124.54
122.56
121.85
121.27
121.08
119.88
118.06
117.64
116.28
114.68
114.60
114.69
113.92
113.05
112.17
110.05
108.09
106.46
105.11

149.39
148.80
147.19
144.79
142.74
141.06
139.40
138.48
137.74
137.22
136.20
133.93
132.28
131.24
130.47
129.48
128.20
127.03
126.11
124.95
123.92
123.51
123.63
124.91
125.64
125.00
123.55
122.20
121.56
121.17
120.48
118.97
117.85
116.96
115.48
114.64
114.65
114.30
113.48
112.61
111.11
109.07
107.28
105.78
103.61

1.10
1.03
1.05
0.80
0.79
0.75
0.74
1.02
1.16
1.15
1.20
1.14
1.09
1.16
1.07
0.92
0.67
0.62
0.72
1.03
1.24
1.14
1.21
1.10
1.09
1.05
1.09
0.92
0.77
0.83
0.71
0.99
1.10
1.13
1.24
1.18
1.07
0.96
1.15
0.86
0.68
0.91
0.81
1.03
1.15

1.10
1.06
1.11
0.90
0.78
0.73
0.75
1.00
1.11
1.16
1.17
1.12
1.10
1.06
1.11
0.90
0.78
0.73
0.75
1.00
1.11
1.16
1.17
1.12
1.10
1.06
1.11
0.90
0.78
0.73
0.75
1.00
1.11
1.16
1.17
1.12
1.10
1.06
1.11
0.90
0.78
0.73
0.75
1.00
1.11

5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
1

May-90

121.10

Jun-90

117.80

Jul-90

111.20

Aug-90

102.80

Sep-90

93.10

Oct-90

94.20

Nov-90

81.40

Dec-90

57.40

Jan-91

52.50

Feb-91

59.10

Mar-91

73.80

Apr-91

99.70

May-91

97.70

Jun-91

103.40

Jul-91

103.50

Aug-91

94.70

Sep-91

86.60

Oct-91

101.80

Nov-91

75.60

Dec-91

65.60

Jan-92

71.60

Feb-92

78.80

Mar-92

111.60

Apr-92

107.60

May-92

115.20

Jun-92

117.80

Jul-92

106.20

Aug-92

109.90

Sep-92

106.00

Oct-92

111.80

Nov-92

84.50

Dec-92

78.60

Jan-93

70.50

Feb-93

74.60

Mar-93

95.50

Apr-93

117.80

May-93

120.90

Jun-93

128.50

Jul-93

115.30

Aug-93

121.80

Sep-93

118.50

Oct-93

123.30

Nov-93

102.30

Dec-93

98.70

Jan-94

76.20

178
179
180
181
182
183
184
185
186
187
188
189
190
191
192
193
194
195
196
197
198
199
200
201
202
203
204
205
206
207
208
209
210
211
212
213
214
215
216
217
218
219
220
221
222

102.12
100.85
99.38
95.49
93.18
90.28
88.68
86.73
85.53
84.88
84.21
83.67
84.30
83.82
84.50
86.09
87.73
90.88
91.54
93.00
94.20
94.43
95.69
97.31
98.14
98.88
99.97
99.88
99.53
98.18
99.03
99.51
100.40
101.16
102.15
103.19
104.15
105.63
107.31
107.78
108.53
111.76
113.41
115.73
116.39

101.48
100.12
97.44
94.33
91.73
89.48
87.70
86.13
85.20
84.55
83.94
83.98
84.06
84.16
85.30
86.91
89.31
91.21
92.27
93.60
94.31
95.06
96.50
97.73
98.51
99.43
99.92
99.70
98.85
98.61
99.27
99.95
100.78
101.65
102.67
103.67
104.89
106.47
107.55
108.15
110.14
112.58
114.57
116.06
116.91

1.19
1.18
1.14
1.09
1.01
1.05
0.93
0.67
0.62
0.70
0.88
1.19
1.16
1.23
1.21
1.09
0.97
1.12
0.82
0.70
0.76
0.83
1.16
1.10
1.17
1.18
1.06
1.10
1.07
1.13
0.85
0.79
0.70
0.73
0.93
1.14
1.15
1.21
1.07
1.13
1.08
1.10
0.89
0.85
0.65

1.16
1.17
1.12
1.10
1.06
1.11
0.90
0.78
0.73
0.75
1.00
1.11
1.16
1.17
1.12
1.10
1.06
1.11
0.90
0.78
0.73
0.75
1.00
1.11
1.16
1.17
1.12
1.10
1.06
1.11
0.90
0.78
0.73
0.75
1.00
1.11
1.16
1.17
1.12
1.10
1.06
1.11
0.90
0.78
0.73

2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

Feb-94

83.50

Mar-94

134.30

Apr-94

137.60

May-94

148.80

Jun-94

136.40

Jul-94

127.80

Aug-94

139.80

Sep-94

130.10

Oct-94

130.60

Nov-94

113.40

Dec-94

98.50

Jan-95

84.50

Feb-95

81.60

Mar-95

103.80

Apr-95

116.90

May-95

130.50

Jun-95

123.40

Jul-95

129.10

Aug-95

135.80

Sep-95

122.40

Oct-95

126.20

Nov-95

107.20

Dec-95

92.80

Jan-96

90.70

Feb-96

95.90

Mar-96

116.00

Apr-96

146.60

May-96

143.90

Jun-96

138.00

Jul-96

137.50

Aug-96

144.20

Sep-96

128.70

Oct-96

130.80

Nov-96

111.50

Dec-96

93.10

Jan-97

82.20

Feb-97

94.70

Mar-97

120.40

Apr-97

142.30

May-97

136.30

Jun-97

140.40

Jul-97

134.60

Aug-97

126.50

Sep-97

139.20

Oct-97

139.00

223
224
225
226
227
228
229
230
231
232
233
234
235
236
237
238
239
240
241
242
243
244
245
246
247
248
249
250
251
252
253
254
255
256
257
258
259
260
261
262
263
264
265
266
267

117.43
118.93
119.90
120.51
121.43
121.42
122.11
121.95
119.41
117.68
116.16
115.08
115.18
114.85
114.21
113.84
113.33
112.85
113.37
114.56
115.58
118.05
119.17
120.38
121.08
121.78
122.31
122.69
123.05
123.08
122.37
122.27
122.63
122.28
121.64
121.84
121.60
120.13
121.00
121.68
121.76
122.83
123.58
124.12
125.13

118.18
119.42
120.20
120.97
121.43
121.76
122.03
120.68
118.55
116.92
115.62
115.13
115.02
114.53
114.03
113.58
113.09
113.11
113.96
115.07
116.81
118.61
119.78
120.73
121.43
122.05
122.50
122.87
123.06
122.72
122.32
122.45
122.45
121.96
121.74
121.72
120.86
120.56
121.34
121.72
122.30
123.21
123.85
124.63
125.24

0.71
1.12
1.14
1.23
1.12
1.05
1.15
1.08
1.10
0.97
0.85
0.73
0.71
0.91
1.03
1.15
1.09
1.14
1.19
1.06
1.08
0.90
0.77
0.75
0.79
0.95
1.20
1.17
1.12
1.12
1.18
1.05
1.07
0.91
0.76
0.68
0.78
1.00
1.17
1.12
1.15
1.09
1.02
1.12
1.11

0.75
1.00
1.11
1.16
1.17
1.12
1.10
1.06
1.11
0.90
0.78
0.73
0.75
1.00
1.11
1.16
1.17
1.12
1.10
1.06
1.11
0.90
0.78
0.73
0.75
1.00
1.11
1.16
1.17
1.12
1.10
1.06
1.11
0.90
0.78
0.73
0.75
1.00
1.11
1.16
1.17
1.12
1.10
1.06
1.11

11
12
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
1
2
3
4
5
6
7

Nov-97

112.40

Dec-97

106.00

Jan-98

91.20

Feb-98

101.10

Mar-98

132.60

Apr-98

144.90

May-98

143.30

Jun-98

159.60

Jul-98

156.00

Aug-98

147.50

Sep-98

141.50

Oct-98

155.50

Nov-98

124.20

Dec-98

119.60

Jan-99

106.80

Feb-99

110.20

Mar-99

147.30

Apr-99

144.60

May-99

153.20

Jun-99

149.40

Jul-99

152.60

Aug-99

152.90

Sep-99

140.30

Oct-99

142.90

Nov-99

127.40

Dec-99

113.60

Jan-00

104.00

Feb-00

119.70

Mar-00

133.40

Apr-00

149.50

May-00

152.90

Jun-00

146.30

Jul-00

135.00

Aug-00

141.40

Sep-00

128.90

Oct-00

139.70

Nov-00

117.10

Dec-00

100.70

Jan-01

106.40

Feb-01

108.20

Mar-01

133.20

Apr-01

151.30

May-01

154.00

Jun-01

155.20

Jul-01

154.60

268
269
270
271
272
273
274
275
276
277
278
279
280
281
282
283
284
285
286
287
288
289
290
291
292
293
294
295
296
297
298
299
300
301
302
303
304
305
306
307
308
309
310
311
312

125.35
125.93
127.53
129.32
131.07
131.26
132.63
133.62
134.75
136.05
136.81
138.03
138.01
138.83
137.98
137.70
138.15
138.05
137.00
137.27
136.77
136.53
137.33
136.17
136.58
136.55
136.29
134.83
133.87
132.92
132.65
131.79
130.72
130.92
129.96
129.94
130.09
130.18
130.93
132.56
132.57
132.92
132.93
133.25
133.58

125.64
126.73
128.43
130.19
131.16
131.95
133.13
134.18
135.40
136.43
137.42
138.02
138.42
138.41
137.84
137.93
138.10
137.53
137.13
137.02
136.65
136.93
136.75
136.37
136.56
136.42
135.56
134.35
133.39
132.78
132.22
131.25
130.82
130.44
129.95
130.02
130.14
130.55
131.74
132.56
132.74
132.92
133.09
133.41
133.74

0.89
0.84
0.71
0.78
1.01
1.10
1.08
1.19
1.15
1.08
1.03
1.13
0.90
0.86
0.77
0.80
1.07
1.05
1.12
1.09
1.12
1.12
1.03
1.05
0.93
0.83
0.77
0.89
1.00
1.13
1.16
1.11
1.03
1.08
0.99
1.07
0.90
0.77
0.81
0.82
1.00
1.14
1.16
1.16
1.16

0.90
0.78
0.73
0.75
1.00
1.11
1.16
1.17
1.12
1.10
1.06
1.11
0.90
0.78
0.73
0.75
1.00
1.11
1.16
1.17
1.12
1.10
1.06
1.11
0.90
0.78
0.73
0.75
1.00
1.11
1.16
1.17
1.12
1.10
1.06
1.11
0.90
0.78
0.73
0.75
1.00
1.11
1.16
1.17
1.12

8
9
10
11
12
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
1
2
3
4

Aug-01

141.50

Sep-01

133.10

Oct-01

139.80

Nov-01

121.00

Dec-01

104.60

Jan-02

110.40

Feb-02

120.40

Mar-02

138.20

Apr-02

148.80

May-02

165.50

Jun-02

160.30

Jul-02

155.90

Aug-02

147.00

Sep-02

155.60

Oct-02

146.80

Nov-02

133.00

Dec-02

123.10

Jan-03

117.80

Feb-03

109.70

Mar-03

147.20

Apr-03

151.20

May-03

165.00

Jun-03

174.50

Jul-03

175.80

Aug-03

163.80

Sep-03

171.30

Oct-03

173.50

Nov-03

153.70

Dec-03

144.20

Jan-04

124.50

Feb-04

126.40

Mar-04

173.80

Apr-04

179.50

May-04

187.60

Jun-04

172.30

Jul-04

182.00

Aug-04

185.90

Sep-04

164.00

Oct-04

181.30

Nov-04

138.10

Dec-04

140.20

Jan-05

142.90

Feb-05

149.10

Mar-05

156.20

Apr-05

184.60

313
314
315
316
317
318
319
320
321
322
323
324
325
326
327
328
329
330
331
332
333
334
335
336
337
338
339
340
341
342
343
344
345
346
347
348
349
350
351
352
353
354
355
356
357

133.91
134.93
135.34
135.13
136.09
136.52
136.63
137.08
138.96
139.54
140.54
142.08
142.70
141.81
142.56
142.76
142.72
143.90
145.56
146.96
148.27
150.49
152.22
153.98
154.53
155.93
158.14
160.50
162.38
162.20
162.72
164.56
163.95
164.60
163.30
162.97
164.50
166.39
164.93
165.35
166.21
167.92
168.38
168.89
170.88

134.42
135.13
135.24
135.61
136.30
136.57
136.85
138.02
139.25
140.04
141.31
142.39
142.25
142.18
142.66
142.74
143.31
144.73
146.26
147.61
149.38
151.35
153.10
154.25
155.23
157.03
159.32
161.44
162.29
162.46
163.64
164.25
164.28
163.95
163.13
163.73
165.45
165.66
165.14
165.78
167.06
168.15
168.64
169.89
170.85

1.05
0.98
1.03
0.89
0.77
0.81
0.88
1.00
1.07
1.18
1.13
1.09
1.03
1.09
1.03
0.93
0.86
0.81
0.75
1.00
1.01
1.09
1.14
1.14
1.06
1.09
1.09
0.95
0.89
0.77
0.77
1.06
1.09
1.14
1.06
1.11
1.12
0.99
1.10
0.83
0.84
0.85
0.88
0.92
1.08

1.10
1.06
1.11
0.90
0.78
0.73
0.75
1.00
1.11
1.16
1.17
1.12
1.10
1.06
1.11
0.90
0.78
0.73
0.75
1.00
1.11
1.16
1.17
1.12
1.10
1.06
1.11
0.90
0.78
0.73
0.75
1.00
1.11
1.16
1.17
1.12
1.10
1.06
1.11
0.90
0.78
0.73
0.75
1.00
1.11

5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12

May-05

197.90

Jun-05

192.80

Jul-05

187.60

Aug-05

192.00

Sep-05

187.90

Oct-05

180.40

Nov-05

160.70

Dec-05

136.00

Jan-06

153.00

Feb-06

145.10

Mar-06

165.90

Apr-06

160.50

May-06

190.20

Jun-06

170.20

Jul-06

160.90

Aug-06

146.80

Sep-06

150.10

Oct-06

130.60

Nov-06

115.20

Dec-06

112.40

Jan-07

95.00

Feb-07

103.10

Mar-07

123.80

Apr-07

135.60

May-07

136.50

Jun-07

137.80

Jul-07

127.00

Aug-07

119.20

Sep-07
Oct-07
Nov-07
Dec-07

358
359
360
361
362
363
364
365
366
367
368
369
370
371
372
373
374
375
376
377
378
379
380
381
382
383
384
385

170.81
172.69
172.34
173.18
172.85
173.66
171.65
171.01
169.13
166.90
163.13
159.98
155.83
152.04
150.08
145.24
141.74
138.23
136.16
131.68
128.98
126.16
123.86

171.75
172.52
172.76
173.02
173.25
172.65
171.33
170.07
168.01
165.02
161.56
157.91
153.94
151.06
147.66
143.49
139.99
137.20
133.92
130.33
127.57
125.01

1.15
1.12
1.09
1.11
1.08
1.04
0.94
0.80
0.91
0.88
1.03
1.02
1.24
1.13
1.09
1.02
1.07
0.95
0.86
0.86
0.74
0.82

1.16
1.17
1.12
1.10
1.06
1.11
0.90
0.78
0.73
0.75
1.00
1.11
1.16
1.17
1.12
1.10
1.06
1.11
0.90
0.78
0.73
0.75

CMAt

123.28
123.32
123.36
123.39
123.43
123.47
123.51
123.54
123.58
123.62
123.66
123.69
123.73
123.77
123.81
123.84
123.88
123.92
123.96
123.99
124.03
124.07
124.11
124.14
124.18
124.22
124.26
124.29
124.33
124.37
124.41
124.44
124.48
124.52
124.56
124.59

CF

0.94
0.97
0.99
1.01
1.03
1.04
1.05
1.08
1.11
1.14
1.18
1.21
1.24
1.27
1.29
1.31
1.33
1.34
1.34
1.33
1.34
1.34
1.35
1.36
1.36
1.36
1.36
1.36
1.36
1.35
1.35
1.33
1.32
1.30
1.28
1.26

FTSD

87.68
119.05
135.96
144.66
148.00
143.85
143.27
141.22
151.63
127.77
112.95
108.54
115.69
156.40
177.94
189.34
192.21
185.74
182.95
175.39
183.22
150.84
130.56
122.71
127.17
168.53
188.30
196.78
196.97
188.48
185.04
176.36
181.04
145.91
123.92
114.29

Exponential
smoothning

72.50
81.20
99.80
118.50
133.20
143.70
140.15
143.03
147.41
147.91
137.50
122.45
101.88
107.19
140.39
161.30
181.30
189.45
189.62
191.81
184.76
188.93
171.86
150.53
119.57
110.43
141.27
169.38
190.19
203.10
197.65
194.27
187.39
189.74
174.17
146.84
117.52

0.5

alpha

124.63
124.67
124.71
124.75
124.78
124.82
124.86
124.90
124.93
124.97
125.01
125.05
125.08
125.12
125.16
125.20
125.23
125.27
125.31
125.35
125.38
125.42
125.46
125.50
125.53
125.57
125.61
125.65
125.68
125.72
125.76
125.80
125.83
125.87
125.91
125.95
125.98
126.02
126.06
126.10
126.13
126.17
126.21
126.25
126.28

1.25
1.23
1.22
1.20
1.17
1.16
1.15
1.13
1.08
1.03
0.97
0.93
0.90
0.88
0.87
0.86
0.86
0.86
0.86
0.87
0.89
0.90
0.90
0.89
0.87
0.84
0.80
0.76
0.73
0.71
0.69
0.67
0.65
0.63
0.62
0.62
0.62
0.63
0.65
0.67
0.69
0.72
0.75
0.78
0.81

116.94
153.43
169.50
173.96
171.08
162.11
158.93
149.64
149.67
116.34
94.40
84.65
85.09
110.04
120.95
125.24
125.47
121.10
119.55
115.62
122.65
102.04
87.95
81.30
82.28
104.97
111.67
111.10
107.23
99.41
95.35
89.48
90.00
71.75
60.83
56.64
59.23
79.83
91.28
98.60
102.15
101.16
103.84
104.35
113.61

101.01
126.95
143.98
166.54
179.17
171.68
170.99
167.35
168.17
143.44
117.52
95.31
87.60
86.35
91.28
91.49
103.94
112.02
120.96
129.63
141.17
127.03
111.47
97.98
84.94
96.37
109.69
109.79
107.80
103.85
95.07
89.59
88.39
76.50
67.80
57.50
54.40
66.30
75.20
87.00
89.05
97.92
96.96
101.68
106.09

126.32
126.36
126.40
126.43
126.47
126.51
126.55
126.59
126.62
126.66
126.70
126.74
126.77
126.81
126.85
126.89
126.92
126.96
127.00
127.04
127.07
127.11
127.15
127.19
127.22
127.26
127.30
127.34
127.37
127.41
127.45
127.49
127.52
127.56
127.60
127.64
127.67
127.71
127.75
127.79
127.82
127.86
127.90
127.94
127.97

0.86
0.91
0.95
1.00
1.04
1.07
1.10
1.11
1.13
1.14
1.15
1.17
1.18
1.19
1.19
1.18
1.17
1.16
1.16
1.15
1.15
1.13
1.12
1.13
1.12
1.11
1.11
1.11
1.11
1.12
1.13
1.13
1.14
1.15
1.15
1.16
1.17
1.18
1.19
1.19
1.20
1.19
1.18
1.18
1.17

97.76
89.15
87.50
94.96
131.23
151.08
161.46
164.40
159.73
159.85
155.35
163.56
135.42
116.93
109.68
112.78
147.98
164.64
171.13
170.61
163.05
159.00
151.71
158.43
129.34
110.15
102.32
106.44
141.58
159.05
167.00
168.35
162.98
161.70
156.30
163.56
134.90
117.14
110.49
114.98
152.78
170.07
176.31
175.96
167.96

107.50
95.20
93.25
94.77
114.69
125.24
150.07
161.64
161.62
169.21
162.05
160.68
148.34
128.32
118.71
124.35
130.93
151.81
166.26
175.13
168.61
158.01
153.25
152.78
139.49
119.19
112.30
103.85
124.42
150.11
160.16
161.68
161.19
160.94
154.32
163.66
143.88
132.19
123.90
115.55
133.27
160.74
173.67
178.63
175.32

128.01
128.05
128.09
128.12
128.16
128.20
128.24
128.28
128.31
128.35
128.39
128.43
128.46
128.50
128.54
128.58
128.61
128.65
128.69
128.73
128.76
128.80
128.84
128.88
128.91
128.95
128.99
129.03
129.06
129.10
129.14
129.18
129.21
129.25
129.29
129.33
129.36
129.40
129.44
129.48
129.51
129.55
129.59
129.63
129.66

1.17
1.16
1.15
1.13
1.11
1.10
1.09
1.08
1.07
1.07
1.06
1.04
1.03
1.02
1.02
1.01
1.00
0.99
0.98
0.97
0.96
0.96
0.96
0.97
0.97
0.97
0.96
0.95
0.94
0.94
0.93
0.92
0.91
0.90
0.89
0.89
0.89
0.88
0.88
0.87
0.86
0.84
0.83
0.82
0.80

164.91
157.97
162.67
130.92
110.93
102.50
105.00
138.24
153.56
159.77
158.96
149.95
146.03
139.33
144.20
117.07
99.64
92.31
94.99
124.74
138.16
143.80
144.30
139.86
138.70
132.70
136.55
110.50
94.47
88.05
90.75
118.76
131.39
136.18
134.78
128.35
126.56
121.35
125.42
101.82
86.35
79.26
80.81
105.60
115.52

169.56
161.78
158.29
136.94
124.97
115.04
108.92
125.06
142.18
150.09
156.49
154.45
149.02
150.51
144.81
131.80
108.60
93.40
91.80
110.30
131.75
135.98
143.09
140.04
138.42
134.76
134.93
123.97
109.08
104.59
95.20
106.50
117.95
124.82
134.01
134.36
128.38
118.84
124.47
110.53
92.77
95.98
91.44
99.97
109.49

129.70
129.74
129.78
129.81
129.85
129.89
129.93
129.96
130.00
130.04
130.08
130.12
130.15
130.19
130.23
130.27
130.30
130.34
130.38
130.42
130.45
130.49
130.53
130.57
130.60
130.64
130.68
130.72
130.75
130.79
130.83
130.87
130.90
130.94
130.98
131.02
131.05
131.09
131.13
131.17
131.20
131.24
131.28
131.32
131.35

0.78
0.77
0.75
0.73
0.71
0.69
0.67
0.66
0.66
0.65
0.65
0.65
0.65
0.65
0.65
0.67
0.69
0.70
0.71
0.72
0.72
0.73
0.74
0.75
0.75
0.76
0.76
0.76
0.76
0.75
0.76
0.76
0.77
0.78
0.78
0.79
0.80
0.81
0.82
0.82
0.84
0.86
0.87
0.88
0.89

118.16
116.85
109.09
104.14
97.38
98.89
79.30
66.94
61.92
63.69
83.79
93.63
97.87
98.22
95.50
95.94
94.81
100.81
83.43
72.74
68.54
71.60
96.34
108.95
114.70
116.04
111.87
110.06
104.95
108.98
89.76
77.68
73.23
76.57
102.50
115.58
122.13
124.27
120.41
119.39
116.93
124.43
103.60
90.20
84.96

115.29
116.55
113.87
108.34
100.72
97.46
89.43
73.41
62.96
61.03
67.41
83.56
90.63
97.01
100.26
97.48
92.04
96.92
86.26
75.93
73.76
76.28
93.94
100.77
107.99
112.89
109.55
109.72
107.86
109.83
97.17
87.88
79.19
76.90
86.20
102.00
111.45
119.97
117.64
119.72
119.11
121.20
111.75
105.23
90.71

131.39
131.43
131.47
131.50
131.54
131.58
131.62
131.65
131.69
131.73
131.77
131.81
131.84
131.88
131.92
131.96
131.99
132.03
132.07
132.11
132.14
132.18
132.22
132.26
132.29
132.33
132.37
132.41
132.44
132.48
132.52
132.56
132.59
132.63
132.67
132.71
132.74
132.78
132.82
132.86
132.89
132.93
132.97
133.01
133.04

0.90
0.91
0.91
0.92
0.92
0.93
0.93
0.92
0.90
0.89
0.88
0.87
0.87
0.87
0.86
0.86
0.86
0.86
0.86
0.87
0.88
0.90
0.91
0.91
0.92
0.92
0.93
0.93
0.93
0.93
0.92
0.92
0.92
0.92
0.92
0.92
0.91
0.91
0.91
0.92
0.92
0.93
0.93
0.94
0.94

89.02
119.21
134.02
140.85
141.72
136.33
134.71
128.12
131.02
105.72
89.86
83.66
86.64
114.33
127.13
132.25
131.99
126.64
125.80
122.16
129.10
107.25
93.09
87.73
91.47
121.84
136.58
143.06
143.63
137.40
135.03
130.00
135.34
110.28
94.62
88.45
91.04
120.36
135.28
141.72
142.74
137.95
136.72
132.31
138.42

87.11
110.70
124.15
136.48
136.44
132.12
135.96
133.03
131.81
122.61
110.55
97.53
89.56
96.68
106.79
118.65
121.02
125.06
130.43
126.42
126.31
116.75
104.78
97.74
96.82
106.41
126.50
135.20
136.60
137.05
140.63
134.66
132.73
122.12
107.61
94.90
94.80
107.60
124.95
130.63
135.51
135.06
130.78
134.99
136.99

133.08
133.12
133.16
133.19
133.23
133.27
133.31
133.34
133.38
133.42
133.46
133.49
133.53
133.57
133.61
133.65
133.68
133.72
133.76
133.80
133.83
133.87
133.91
133.95
133.98
134.02
134.06
134.10
134.13
134.17
134.21
134.25
134.28
134.32
134.36
134.40
134.43
134.47
134.51
134.55
134.58
134.62
134.66
134.70
134.73

0.94
0.95
0.96
0.98
0.98
0.99
1.00
1.01
1.02
1.02
1.03
1.03
1.04
1.04
1.03
1.03
1.03
1.03
1.03
1.02
1.02
1.02
1.02
1.02
1.02
1.02
1.01
1.00
0.99
0.99
0.99
0.98
0.97
0.97
0.97
0.97
0.97
0.97
0.98
0.99
0.99
0.99
0.99
0.99
0.99

113.61
98.50
93.32
98.07
130.94
147.11
155.00
156.61
151.60
150.61
145.89
152.54
125.16
107.57
100.17
103.89
137.86
153.33
159.67
159.92
153.00
151.16
145.17
150.72
123.48
106.02
98.51
101.20
133.16
148.04
153.95
153.19
146.47
143.99
137.96
143.69
117.67
101.46
95.73
99.85
132.52
148.19
154.96
155.71
149.74

124.70
115.35
103.27
102.19
117.39
131.15
137.22
148.41
152.21
149.85
145.68
150.59
137.39
128.50
117.65
113.92
130.61
137.61
145.40
147.40
150.00
151.45
145.88
144.39
135.89
124.75
114.37
117.04
125.22
137.36
145.13
145.71
140.36
140.88
134.89
137.29
127.20
113.95
110.17
109.19
121.19
136.25
145.12
150.16
152.38

134.77
134.81
134.85
134.88
134.92
134.96
135.00
135.03
135.07
135.11
135.15
135.18
135.22
135.26
135.30
135.33
135.37
135.41
135.45
135.49
135.52
135.56
135.60
135.64
135.67
135.71
135.75
135.79
135.82
135.86
135.90
135.94
135.97
136.01
136.05
136.09
136.12
136.16
136.20
136.24
136.27
136.31
136.35
136.39
136.42

1.00
1.00
1.00
1.01
1.01
1.01
1.01
1.02
1.03
1.04
1.05
1.05
1.05
1.05
1.05
1.05
1.06
1.07
1.08
1.09
1.10
1.12
1.13
1.14
1.14
1.16
1.17
1.19
1.19
1.20
1.20
1.21
1.21
1.21
1.20
1.20
1.22
1.22
1.21
1.22
1.23
1.23
1.24
1.25
1.25

148.38
143.46
149.46
122.62
105.93
99.24
103.09
137.79
155.25
163.05
164.93
159.43
157.04
150.95
157.67
129.07
111.38
105.17
110.17
147.36
166.54
176.23
178.68
172.71
171.36
166.71
176.08
145.98
126.13
118.06
123.26
163.97
183.15
190.89
190.40
183.32
182.64
175.87
182.51
149.90
129.84
122.19
127.03
169.60
190.48

146.94
140.02
139.91
130.46
117.53
113.96
117.18
127.69
138.25
151.87
156.09
155.99
151.50
153.55
150.17
141.59
132.34
125.07
117.39
132.29
141.75
153.37
163.94
169.87
166.83
169.07
171.28
162.49
153.35
138.92
132.66
153.23
166.37
176.98
174.64
178.32
182.11
173.06
177.18
157.64
148.92
145.91
147.50
151.85
168.23

136.46
136.50
136.54
136.57
136.61
136.65
136.69
136.72
136.76
136.80
136.84
136.87
136.91
136.95
136.99
137.02
137.06
137.10
137.14
137.18
137.21
137.25

1.26
1.26
1.27
1.27
1.27
1.26
1.25
1.24
1.23
1.21
1.18
1.15
1.12
1.10
1.08
1.05
1.02
1.00
0.98
0.95
0.93
0.91

199.97
201.35
193.43
190.99
183.93
190.82
154.92
132.17
122.09
124.30
161.28
176.05
179.23
176.31
165.32
158.40
148.61
151.63
121.09
101.29
92.70
94.16

183.06
187.93
187.77
189.88
188.89
184.65
172.67
154.34
153.67
149.38
157.64
159.07
174.64
172.42
166.66
156.73
153.41
142.01
128.60
120.50
107.75
105.43