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Joint Operating Environment 2010

Joint Operating Environment 2010

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Publicado porSilendo

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Published by: Silendo on Mar 17, 2010
Direitos Autorais:Attribution Non-commercial

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04/02/2014

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The European Union has solidifed Europe economically to a degree not seen since the Roman Empire.
For the next quarter century, Europe will exercise considerable clout in economic matters. The Union’s
economy as a whole by the 2030s will likely be greater than that of the United States. From a security
standpoint, the NATO alliance will have the potential to feld substantial, world-class military forces and
project them far beyond the boundaries of the continent, but this currently seems a relatively unlikely
possibility, given demographic shifts between native-born Europeans and immigrants from the Middle
East and Southwest Asia. Europe is undergoing a major cultural transformation, making it less willing to
project military power into likely areas of confict.

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Perhaps this will change with the recognition of a perceived threat. The next 25 years will provide two
good candidates: Russia and continued terrorism fueled by global violent extremism. Russia has been
discussed already in this document. The Baltic and Eastern European regions will likely remain fashpoints
as a number of historical issues such as ethnicity or the location of national boundaries, which have led to
confict in the past, continue to simmer under the surface. Russian efforts to construct a gas pipeline to
Western Europe under the Baltic Sea rather than a less costly land route through Eastern Europe suggests
a deliberate aim to separate the Central and Western European NATO countries from the Baltic and
Eastern European members of NATO.

Continued terrorist attacks in Europe might also spark a popular passion for investing in military forces.
Should violent extremists persist in using this tactic to attack the European continent with increasing
frequency and intensity, there might be a response that includes addressing this threat on a global scale
rather than as an internal security problem.

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