Resultados

Ajuste de una serie de datos a la distribucin log-Pearson tipo III

Serie de datos X:
---------------------------------------N
X
---------------------------------------1
1967.0
2
125.0
3
140.0
4
153.0
5
110.0
6
80.0
7
71.0
8
167.0
9
129.0
10
77.0
11
95.0
12
85.0
13
58.0
14
65.0
15
70.0
16
140.0
17
98.0
18
90.0
19
136.0
20
102.0
21
150.0
22
145.0
23
106.0
24
73.0
25
90.0
26
98.0
27
135.0
28
73.0
29
91.0
30
140.0
31
110.0
32
126.0
33
121.0
34
144.0
35
147.0
36
93.0
37
122.0
38
65.0
39
112.0
40
85.0
41
119.0
42
179.0
43
118.0
44
84.0
45
89.0
46
102.0

47
122.0
48
122.0
49
121.0
50
105.0
----------------------------------------

Clculos del ajuste Smirnov Kolmogorov:

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------m
X
P(X)
G(Y) Ordinario G(Y) Mom Lineal Delta
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------1
58.0
0.0196
0.0000
0.0001
0.0195
2
65.0
0.0392
0.0000
0.0205
0.0188
3
65.0
0.0588
0.0000
0.0205
0.0384
4
70.0
0.0784
0.0000
0.0615
0.0169
5
71.0
0.0980
0.0000
0.0719
0.0261
6
73.0
0.1176
0.0000
0.0945
0.0232
7
73.0
0.1373
0.0000
0.0945
0.0428
8
77.0
0.1569
0.0000
0.1448
0.0121
9
80.0
0.1765
0.0000
0.1853
0.0088
10
84.0
0.1961
0.0000
0.2407
0.0446
11
85.0
0.2157
0.0000
0.2546
0.0389
12
85.0
0.2353
0.0000
0.2546
0.0193
13
89.0
0.2549
0.0000
0.3095
0.0546
14
90.0
0.2745
0.0000
0.3229
0.0484
15
90.0
0.2941
0.0000
0.3229
0.0288
16
91.0
0.3137
0.0000
0.3362
0.0225
17
93.0
0.3333
0.0000
0.3624
0.0290
18
95.0
0.3529
0.0000
0.3878
0.0349
19
98.0
0.3725
0.0000
0.4246
0.0520
20
98.0
0.3922
0.0000
0.4246
0.0324
21
102.0
0.4118
0.0000
0.4707
0.0590
22
102.0
0.4314
0.0000
0.4707
0.0394
23
105.0
0.4510
0.0000
0.5031
0.0522
24
106.0
0.4706
0.0000
0.5135
0.0429
25
110.0
0.4902
0.0000
0.5530
0.0628
26
110.0
0.5098
0.0000
0.5530
0.0432
27
112.0
0.5294
0.0000
0.5715
0.0421
28
118.0
0.5490
0.0000
0.6224
0.0733
29
119.0
0.5686
0.0000
0.6302
0.0616
30
121.0
0.5882
0.0000
0.6453
0.0571
31
121.0
0.6078
0.0000
0.6453
0.0375
32
122.0
0.6275
0.0000
0.6526
0.0252
33
122.0
0.6471
0.0000
0.6526
0.0056
34
122.0
0.6667
0.0000
0.6526
0.0140
35
125.0
0.6863
0.0000
0.6736
0.0127
36
126.0
0.7059
0.0000
0.6803
0.0256
37
129.0
0.7255
0.0000
0.6994
0.0261
38
135.0
0.7451
0.0000
0.7339
0.0112
39
136.0
0.7647
0.0000
0.7392
0.0255
40
140.0
0.7843
0.0000
0.7592
0.0251
41
140.0
0.8039
0.0000
0.7592
0.0448

42
140.0
0.8235
0.0000
0.7592
0.0644
43
144.0
0.8431
0.0000
0.7774
0.0657
44
145.0
0.8627
0.0000
0.7817
0.0810
45
147.0
0.8824
0.0000
0.7900
0.0923
46
150.0
0.9020
0.0000
0.8018
0.1002
47
153.0
0.9216
0.0000
0.8128
0.1088
48
167.0
0.9412
0.0000
0.8555
0.0857
49
179.0
0.9608
0.0000
0.8830
0.0777
50
1967.0
0.9804
0.0000
1.0000
0.0196
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Ajuste con momentos lineales:
------------------------------------------------------Como el delta terico 0.10876, es menor que el delta tabular 0.1923. Los datos se ajustan a la
distribucin Log-Pearson tipo 3, con un nivel de significacin del 5%
----------------------------------------------------------------Los 3 parmetros de la distribucin Log-Pearson tipo 3:
----------------------------------------------------------------Con momentos ordinarios:
Parmetro de localizacin (Xo)= 4.4754
Parmetro de forma (gamma)= 0.2492
Parmetro de escala (beta)= 0.9876
Con momentos lineales:
Parmetro de localizacin (Xol)= 4.0339
Parmetro de forma (gammal)= 3.1895
Parmetro de escala (betal)= 0.2156
-----------------------------Caudal de diseo:
-----------------------------El caudal de diseo para un periodo de retorno de aos, es