April 1, 2016

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VALUATION WATCH: Overvalued stocks now make up 42.96% of our

stocks assigned a valuation and 12.92% of those equities are calculated to
be overvalued by 20% or more. Five sectors are calculated to be
overvalued.
MARKET OVERVIEW
Index

Started week

Friday PM

Change

Change %

ytd

DJIA

17526.08

17706.8

180.72

1.03%

1.62%

NASDAQ

4785.25

4879.6

94.35

1.97%

-2.55%

RUSSELL 2000

1079.94

1110.99

31.05

2.88%

-2.19%

S&P 500

2037.89

2059.74

21.85

1.07%

0.77%

Summary of VE Stock Universe

Stocks Undervalued

57.04%

Stocks Overvalued

42.96%

Stocks Undervalued by 20%

25.24%

Stocks Overvalued by 20%

13.71%

SECTOR OVERVIEW
Sector

Change

MTD

YTD

Valuation

Last 12-M
Return

P/E
Ratio

Aerospace

0.55%

5.54%

-2.44%

2.49% undervalued

-12.57%

19.54

Auto-Tires-Trucks

0.01%

13.06%

1.30%

2.32% undervalued

-14.21%

13.38

Basic Materials

0.13%

12.13%

15.22%

5.35% overvalued

-4.88%

25.07

Business Services

0.82%

8.21%

2.27%

0.64% undervalued

-9.36%

22.19

Computer and Technology

0.31%

6.12%

3.87%

0.46% undervalued

-7.01%

27.13

Construction

-0.12%

9.44%

3.24%

4.45% undervalued

-3.92%

20.09

Consumer Discretionary

0.12%

6.98%

2.48%

3.56% undervalued

-9.27%

25.14

Consumer Staples

0.54%

5.20%

3.49%

8.10% overvalued

-1.05%

24.43

Finance

0.35%

6.14%

-1.70%

4.28% undervalued

-6.44%

15.8

Industrial Products

0.46%

10.34%

4.72%

3.48% overvalued

-13.55%

18.26

Medical

0.20%

4.87%

-9.71%

12.13% undervalued

-20.60%

26.51

Multi-Sector Conglomerates

0.39%

9.23%

3.47%

5.98% overvalued

-9.16%

17.36

Oils-Energy

0.96%

12.09%

1.60%

7.80% undervalued

-35.09%

22.6

Retail-Wholesale

0.72%

4.93%

1.23%

5.50% undervalued

-13.49%

23.11

Transportation

0.33%

7.43%

1.09%

9.31% undervalued

-23.60%

13.5

Utilities

0.65%

6.44%

7.34%

10.71% overvalued

-1.31%

23.93

Sector TalkTransportation
Below, we present the latest data on leading Transportation Sector stocks from
our Professional Stock Analysis Service. We applied some basic liquidity criteria-share price greater than $3 and average daily volume in excess of 100k shares. We
have been following the sector closely of late because it has been correlated so
tightly to overall equity price moves.

Top-Five Transportation Sector Stocks--Short-Term Forecast Returns

Ticker

Company Name

Market Price

Valuation

Last 12-M Retrn

VA

VIRGIN AMERICA

38.56

N/A

26.84%

SKYW

SKYWEST INC

19.99

2.33%

36.82%

NAT

NORDIC AMERICAN

14.09

-4.92%

18.30%

HA

HAWAIIAN HLDGS

47.19

18.66%

114.26%

VLRS

CONTROLADORA VL

21.07

N/A

89.14%

Top-Five Transportation Sector Stocks--Long-Term Forecast Returns

Ticker

Company Name

Market Price

Valuation

Last 12-M Retrn

VA

VIRGIN AMERICA

38.56

N/A

26.84%

SKYW

SKYWEST INC

19.99

2.33%

36.82%

NAT

NORDIC AMERICAN

14.09

-4.92%

18.30%

HA

HAWAIIAN HLDGS

47.19

18.66%

114.26%

VLRS

CONTROLADORA VL

21.07

N/A

89.14%

Top-Five Transportation Sector Stocks--Composite Score

Ticker

Company Name

Market Price

Valuation

Last 12-M Retrn

DAL

DELTA AIR LINES

48.68

-22.20%

8.27%

JBLU

JETBLUE AIRWAYS

21.12

-18.52%

9.71%

ALK

ALASKA AIR GRP

82.02

-8.18%

23.93%

LUV

SOUTHWEST AIR

44.8

-12.49%

1.13%

SFL

SHIP FIN INTL

13.89

-21.36%

-6.15%

Top-Five Transportation Sector Stocks--Most Overvalued

Ticker

Company Name

Market Price

Valuation

Last 12-M Retrn

YRCW

YRC WORLDWD INC

9.32

300.00%

-48.11%

TDW

TIDEWATER INC

6.83

202.75%

-64.32%

ATSG

AIR TRANSPT SVC

15.38

114.72%

66.81%

LFL

LATAM AIRLINES

89.65%

-13.15%

AYR

AIRCASTLE LTD

22.24

35.84%

-0.98%

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Free Download for Readers

As a bonus to our Free Weekly Newsletter subscribers,
we are offering a FREE DOWNLOAD of one of our Stock Reports
Tesla Motors, Inc. (TSLA) designs, manufactures, and sells electric vehicles and
electric vehicle powertrain components. The Company is headquartered in Palo Alto,
California.
ValuEngine continues its HOLD recommendation on TESLA MOTORS for 2016-0331. Based on the information we have gathered and our resulting research, we feel
that TESLA MOTORS has the probability to ROUGHLY MATCH average market
performance for the next year. The company exhibits ATTRACTIVE Company Size but
UNATTRACTIVE Book Market Ratio.
Read our Complete Detailed Valuation Report on TSLA HERE.

ValuEngine Forecast
Target
Price*

Expected
Return

1-Month

229.67

-0.04%

3-Month

232.11

1.02%

6-Month

236.52

2.94%

1-Year

228.60

-0.51%

2-Year

281.58

22.55%

3-Year

301.56

31.25%

Valuation & Rankings

Valuation

44.82% overvalued

Valuation Rank(?)

1-M Forecast Return

-0.04%

1-M Forecast Return Rank

12-M Return

21.72%

Momentum Rank(?)

Sharpe Ratio

0.81

Sharpe Ratio Rank(?)

5-Y Avg Annual Return

41.67%

5-Y Avg Annual Rtn Rank

Volatility

51.48%

Volatility Rank(?)

Expected EPS Growth

101.96%

EPS Growth Rank(?)

Market Cap (billions)

28.81

Size Rank

Trailing P/E Ratio

n/a

Trailing P/E Rank(?)

Forward P/E Ratio

2,997.00

Forward P/E Ratio Rank

PEG Ratio

0.58

PEG Ratio Rank

Price/Sales

7.12

Price/Sales Rank(?)

Market/Book

26.46

Market/Book Rank(?)

Beta

1.14

Beta Rank

Alpha

0.04

Alpha Rank

5
47
89
96
99
35
89
97
28
1
58
12
5
37
72

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