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Probability Models
Objectives:
Geometric and Binomial model in
Bernoilli trials
Homework: Read Chapter 17
pg.388-396 solve: Pg.401 # 2, 4, 6
http://www.famousmathematicians.com/daniel-bernoulli/
Copyright 2010 Pearson Education, Inc.
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Do now:
A new sales gimmick has 30% of the M&Ms covered with
speckles. These groovy candies are mixed randomly with
the normal candies as they are put into the bags for distribution
and sale. You buy a bag and remove candies one at a time
looking for the speckles. How many different ways could two
speckled ones be in a handful of five candies? Three?
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Bernoulli Trials
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P(X = x) = qx-1p
1
E(X)
p
Copyright 2010 Pearson Education, Inc.
q
p2
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Whats the probability that the first speckled candy is one of the first
four we look at?
How many do we expect to check, on average to find
a speckled one?
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Independence
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npq
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java applet
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Geometric model
Binomial model
Normal model
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