CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker: Indiana, April 24, 2016

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Indiana
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error
1084 Registered Voters

April 20-22, 2016
4.6%
1. How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 Presidential primary in Indiana?
Definitely will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .82%
Probably will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9%
Maybe will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
Probably will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
Definitely will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
I already voted early in-person or by mail (absentee) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%
Dont know . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
2. In 2016, are you more likely to vote in the Democratic or Republican Presidential primary?
Democratic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36%
Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 54%
Neither . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .5%
Dont know . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%
3. Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the Indiana Republican Presidential
primary in 2016?
Asked of Republican primary voters
Ted Cruz . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35%

John Kasich . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20%
Donald Trump . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40%
No preference . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .5%
4. Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the Indiana Democratic Presidential
primary in 2016?
Asked of Democratic primary voters
Hillary Clinton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .49%

Bernie Sanders . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44%
No preference . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .7%

Indiana
5. Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Very strong Ive decided . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47%

Strong I probably wont change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33%
Somewhat strong I might still change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%
Not too strong Ill probably keep looking . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%
6. Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Very strong Ive decided . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 56%

Strong I probably wont change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24%
Somewhat strong I might still change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19%
Not too strong Ill probably keep looking . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
7. Regardless of how you are voting, how would you feel about each of these candidates if
they became the Republican nominee?
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Enthusiastic
30%
20%
11%
Satisfied
32%
37%
47%
Dissatisfied
17%
24%
31%
Upset
21%
19%
11%
8. In recent weeks, has your view of each of these candidates...?

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Gotten better
25%
18%
16%
Gotten worse
28%
28%
17%
Stayed the
same
46%
54%
67%

Indiana
9. Which best describes your vote for [First Choice Candidate Name]? Is it mainly because...?
Asked of Republican primary voters who support Kasich or Cruz
You like [First Choice Candidate Name] as the nominee, no matter who the
opposition is . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50%
Youd like to stop Donald Trump from becoming the nominee . . . . . . . . . . . . 23%
Both . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27%
10. Which best describes your vote for [First Choice Candidate Name]? Is it mainly because...?
Asked of Republican primary voters who support Trump
You like [First Choice Candidate Name] as the nominee, no matter who the
opposition is . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 65%
Youd like to stop Ted Cruz or John Kasich from becoming the nominee . . . 8%
Both . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27%
11. Regardless of your own vote, do you think each candidates chances of becoming the
nominee are...?
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Very Likely
64%
9%
2%
Somewhat likely
30%
63%
16%
Not too likely

6%
28%
82%
12. Whats more important to you right now?

The Republican party nominates someone I can fully support, whether or not
they win the Presidency . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44%
The Republican party wins the Presidency, even if I dont entirely like the
candidate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 56%
13. To fix the nations economy, would you prefer a Presidents approach be...?
Do whatever it takes, whether that is the most conservative policy choice or not
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 67%
Do whatever is most conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33%

Indiana
14. Which best describes your approach this year...?
If I find a candidate who agrees with me on the details of policy, that means I
can probably get to like and trust them as a person . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 59%
If I find a candidate who I really like and trust as a person, the policy details will
probably take care of themselves . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41%
15. Overall, do you feel the Republicans process for selecting a nominee in 2016 has generally
been fair or not fair so far?
It has been fair . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53%

It has NOT been fair . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47%
16. As you may know, the Republican party requires a nominee to get 1,237 delegates in
the primaries for the nomination. If Donald Trump does not get 1,237 but Trump still has more
delegates than Ted Cruz, and more delegates than John Kasich, what do you feel Republicans
should do at the convention this summer?
Select Trump, because hell still have more delegates than any other candidate
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47%
Let Trump, Cruz and Kasich fight for delegate support at the convention to
decide the winner . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45%
Turn to someone new who isnt running right now . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .8%
17. If Donald Trump becomes the Republican nominee, how do you think he will approach the
General election campaign this fall?
He will continue to be as outspoken as he is now . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 65%

He will be less outspoken than he is now . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17%
He will become more outspoken than he is now . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18%

Indiana
18. Regardless of how you are voting, how would you feel about each of these candidates if
they became the Democratic nominee?
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Enthusiastic
34%
39%
Satisfied
39%
37%
Dissatisfied
18%
21%
Upset
9%
3%
19. In recent weeks, has your view of each of these candidates...?

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Gotten better
27%
37%
Gotten worse
21%
15%
Stayed the
same
51%
48%
20. Do you mainly see your vote choice right now as...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters who support Clinton
A chance to elect Hillary Clinton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 99%

Mainly a vote against Bernie Sanders . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
21. Do you mainly see your vote choice right now as...?
Asked of Democratic primary voters who support Sanders
A chance to elect Bernie Sanders . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 88%

Mainly a vote against Hillary Clinton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .12%
22. Regardless of your own vote, do you think each candidates chances of becoming the
nominee are...?
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Very Likely
78%
14%
Somewhat likely
17%
45%
Not too likely

5%
41%

Indiana
23. To fix the nations economy, would you prefer a Presidents approach be...?
Do whatever it takes, whether that is the most progressive policy choice or not
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 61%
Do whatever is most progressive . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39%
24. Overall, do you feel the Democrats process for selecting a nominee in 2016 has generally
been fair or not fair so far?
It has been fair . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 65%

It has NOT been fair . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35%
25. Which of the candidates do you feel is the most...?

Electable in
November
Understanding of
people like you
Effective at getting
things done
Authentic
Specific about their
policy ideas
Honest and
trustworthy
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
62%
38%
42%
58%
64%
33%
36%
67%
50%
50%
34%
66%
26. If Hillary Clinton does become the Democratic nominee, do you think the influence of
Bernie Sanderss campaign will have been...?
Positive, by making her adopt even more progressive views . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44%

Negative, by making too many criticisms of her . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12%
Neither positive nor negative, its just politics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39%
I dont think she will become the nominee . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%

Indiana
27. Which best describes your approach this year...?
If I find a candidate who agrees with me on the details of policy, that means I
can probably get to like and trust them as a person . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 55%
If I find a candidate who I really like and trust as a person, the policy details will
probably take care of themselves . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45%
28. How do you feel about the Tea Party movement?

Support . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .25%
Oppose . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32%
Neutral . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43%
29. Would you describe yourself as a born-again or evangelical Christian?

Yes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52%
No . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%
30. In general, how would you describe your own political viewpoint?
Very liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
Somewhat liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
Moderate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23%
Somewhat conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .23%
Very conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%

Indiana
31. Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a...?
Strong Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23%
Not very strong Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%
Lean Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%
Independent . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
Lean Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .11%
Not very strong Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
Strong Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%
32. Are you male or female?

Male . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 46%
Female . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 54%
33. In what year were you born? [Age recoded from birth year]
18-29 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15%
30-44 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20%
45-64 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44%
65+ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21%
34. What racial or ethnic group best describes you?

White . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 84%
Black . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10%
Hispanic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%
35. What is the highest level of education you have completed?

HS or less . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38%
Some college . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36%
College grad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%
Post grad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12%

Indiana
1. Likelihood of Voting
How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 Presidential primary in Indiana?
Gender
Definitely will vote
Probably will vote
Maybe will vote
Probably will not vote
Definitely will not vote
Already voted early or absentee
Dont know
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
82%
9%
2%
2%
1%
3%
1%
80%
11%
2%
2%
1%
3%
1%
83%
7%
3%
2%
0%
3%
2%
72%
16%
4%
2%
0%
5%
1%
84%
7%
4%
3%
0%
0%
2%
82%
8%
2%
2%
1%
3%
2%
87%
5%
1%
1%
1%
4%
1%
81%
9%
2%
2%
1%
3%
2%
92%
4%
4%
0%
0%
0%
0%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,084)
(500)
(584)
(166)
(213)
(475)
(230)
(914)
(105)
(16)
(50)

Indiana
2. 2016 Primary Turnout

In 2016, are you more likely to vote in the Democratic or Republican Presidential primary?
Gender
Democratic
Republican
Neither
Dont know
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
36%
54%
5%
5%
34%
58%
7%
2%
38%
51%
3%
9%
39%
49%
5%
7%
35%
49%
6%
9%
38%
52%
5%
5%
30%
66%
2%
3%
29%
62%
5%
5%
89%
3%
4%
4%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,084)
(500)
(584)
(166)
(213)
(475)
(230)
(914)
(105)
(16)
(50)

Indiana
3. First Choice Republican Candidate

Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the Indiana Republican Presidential primary in 2016?
Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Donald Trump
No preference
35%
20%
40%
5%
36%
20%
42%
3%
34%
20%
39%
7%
36%
38%
21%
6%
47%
17%
32%
5%
34%
15%
47%
4%
21%
17%
57%
6%
35%
20%
40%
5%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(547)
(276)
(271)
(96)
(132)
(224)
(94)
(530)
(2)
(0)
(15)

Indiana
4. First Choice Democratic Candidate

Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the Indiana Democratic Presidential primary in 2016?
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
49%
44%
7%
49%
47%
4%
49%
41%
10%
21%
69%
10%
41%
55%
5%
60%
30%
10%
64%
35%
1%
44%
48%
8%
61%
34%
5%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(436)
(189)
(247)
(75)
(110)
(188)
(62)
(324)
(76)
(9)
(27)

Indiana
5. Republican Candidate Support

Which best describes your support for [First Choice Candidate Name] right now?
Gender
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
47%
33%
16%
4%
51%
31%
14%
5%
42%
35%
18%
6%
30%
53%
17%
0%
45%
28%
20%
8%
51%
28%
14%
7%
57%
28%
13%
2%
47%
33%
15%
5%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(513)
(262)
(251)
(91)
(125)
(211)
(85)
(497)
(2)
(0)
(14)

Indiana
6. Democratic Candidate Support

Gender
Very strong Ive decided
Strong I probably wont change
Somewhat strong I might still
change
Not too strong Ill probably keep
looking
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
56%
24%
50%
27%
61%
22%
62%
19%
57%
24%
52%
26%
60%
26%
56%
20%
66%
32%
19%
21%
17%
19%
18%
22%
11%
23%
2%
1%
1%
0%
0%
1%
0%
3%
1%
0%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(385)
(173)
(212)
(64)
(102)
(163)
(57)
(281)
(72)
(6)
(26)

Indiana
7. Republican Nominee Satisfaction Donald Trump

Regardless of how you are voting, how would you feel about each of these candidates if they became the Republican nominee?
Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Enthusiastic
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Upset
30%
32%
17%
21%
27%
41%
12%
19%
32%
23%
21%
24%
17%
31%
10%
42%
19%
37%
22%
22%
34%
33%
17%
16%
47%
25%
16%
12%
29%
33%
17%
21%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(546)
(275)
(270)
(96)
(132)
(224)
(94)
(530)
(2)
(0)
(14)

Indiana
8. Republican Nominee Satisfaction Ted Cruz

Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Enthusiastic
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Upset
20%
37%
24%
19%
23%
35%
19%
23%
18%
39%
29%
14%
16%
36%
11%
37%
24%
46%
24%
7%
22%
34%
27%
17%
16%
35%
30%
19%
20%
37%
23%
19%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(545)
(275)
(270)
(96)
(132)
(223)
(94)
(529)
(2)
(0)
(15)

Indiana
9. Republican Nominee Satisfaction John Kasich

Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Enthusiastic
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Upset
11%
47%
31%
11%
11%
51%
25%
13%
10%
43%
37%
10%
16%
55%
22%
7%
4%
52%
35%
9%
10%
44%
33%
13%
16%
40%
28%
16%
11%
47%
31%
11%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(545)
(275)
(270)
(96)
(132)
(223)
(94)
(530)
(2)
(0)
(14)

Indiana
10. Recent View of Republican Candidates Donald Trump

In recent weeks, has your view of each of these candidates...?
Gender
Gotten better
Gotten worse
Stayed the same
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
25%
28%
46%
29%
25%
47%
22%
32%
46%
12%
49%
40%
17%
25%
58%
31%
25%
43%
38%
18%
44%
25%
28%
47%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(536)
(269)
(267)
(95)
(130)
(217)
(94)
(519)
(2)
(0)
(15)
10

Indiana
11. Recent View of Republican Candidates Ted Cruz

Gender
Gotten better
Gotten worse
Stayed the same
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
18%
28%
54%
21%
27%
52%
16%
29%
56%
15%
23%
62%
20%
19%
60%
20%
31%
49%
16%
37%
47%
18%
28%
54%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(536)
(268)
(268)
(96)
(130)
(217)
(93)
(521)
(2)
(0)
(14)
11

Indiana
12. Recent View of Republican Candidates John Kasich

Gender
Gotten better
Gotten worse
Stayed the same
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
16%
17%
67%
17%
22%
61%
15%
12%
72%
3%
13%
84%
10%
15%
75%
21%
17%
61%
27%
22%
51%
16%
16%
67%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(537)
(268)
(268)
(96)
(130)
(217)
(93)
(520)
(2)
(0)
(15)
12

Indiana
13. Candidate Choice Against Trump

Which best describes your vote for [First Choice Candidate Name]? Is it mainly because...?
Gender
You like [First Choice Candidate
Name] as the nominee, no matter who
the opposition is
Youd like to stop Donald Trump from
becoming the nominee
Both
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
50%
59%
40%
27%
45%
65%
50%
23%
27%
10%
32%
37%
22%
26%
46%
38%
16%
14%
22%
23%
27%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(153)
(146)
(71)
(83)
(110)
100%
(299)
(35)
(291)
(0)
(0)
(7)
13

Indiana
14. Candidate Choice Against Cruz or Kasich

Gender
the opposition is
Youd like to stop Ted Cruz or John
Kasich from becoming the nominee
Both
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
65%
67%
63%
63%
61%
65%
8%
27%
11%
22%
6%
31%
8%
29%
7%
32%
8%
27%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(114)
(106)
100%
(220)
(105)
(53)
(211)
(20)
(42)
(2)
(0)
(7)
14

Indiana
15. Likely Republican Nominee Donald Trump

Regardless of your own vote, do you think each candidates chances of becoming the nominee are...?
Gender
Very Likely
Somewhat likely
Not too likely
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
64%
30%
6%
66%
29%
6%
62%
32%
6%
47%
43%
10%
63%
37%
0%
67%
25%
8%
75%
21%
3%
64%
30%
6%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(546)
(275)
(271)
(96)
(132)
(224)
(94)
(530)
(2)
(0)
(15)
15

Indiana
16. Likely Republican Nominee Ted Cruz

Gender
Very Likely
Somewhat likely
Not too likely
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
9%
63%
28%
8%
61%
30%
9%
64%
27%
4%
66%
31%
9%
63%
29%
12%
61%
27%
6%
64%
30%
9%
63%
28%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(547)
(276)
(272)
(96)
(132)
(225)
(94)
(531)
(2)
(0)
(15)
16

Indiana
17. Likely Republican Nominee John Kasich

Gender
Very Likely
Somewhat likely
Not too likely
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
2%
16%
82%
3%
14%
83%
1%
18%
81%
0%
26%
74%
5%
13%
81%
0%
14%
86%
2%
15%
83%
2%
16%
83%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(547)
(276)
(271)
(96)
(132)
(224)
(94)
(530)
(2)
(0)
(15)
17

Indiana
18. Importance of Winning General

Whats more important to you right now?
Gender
The Republican party nominates
someone I can fully support, whether
or not they win the Presidency
The Republican party wins the
Presidency, even if I dont entirely like
the candidate
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
44%
41%
47%
61%
56%
37%
27%
44%
56%
59%
53%
39%
44%
63%
73%
56%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(544)
(274)
(271)
(96)
(132)
(222)
(95)
(528)
(2)
(0)
(14)
18

Indiana
19. Conservative Approach to the Economy

To fix the nations economy, would you prefer a Presidents approach be...?
Gender
Do whatever it takes, whether that is
the most conservative policy choice or
not
Do whatever is most conservative
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
67%
33%
68%
32%
66%
34%
79%
21%
55%
45%
65%
35%
76%
24%
67%
33%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(547)
(276)
(271)
(96)
(132)
(224)
(95)
(530)
(2)
(0)
(15)
19

Indiana
20. Republican Approach to Candidate Choice

Which best describes your approach this year...?
Gender
If I find a candidate who agrees with
me on the details of policy, that means
I can probably get to like and trust
them as a person
If I find a candidate who I really like
and trust as a person, the policy
details will probably take care of
themselves
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
59%
61%
57%
64%
63%
60%
48%
58%
41%
39%
43%
36%
37%
40%
52%
42%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(547)
(275)
(272)
(96)
(132)
(223)
(95)
(530)
(2)
(0)
(14)
20

Indiana
21. Republican Selection of Nominees

Overall, do you feel the Republicans process for selecting a nominee in 2016 has generally been fair or not fair so far?
Gender
It has been fair
It has NOT been fair
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
53%
47%
58%
42%
48%
52%
53%
47%
65%
35%
49%
51%
47%
53%
54%
46%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(536)
(269)
(266)
(94)
(132)
(216)
(94)
(519)
(2)
(0)
(15)
21

Indiana
22. Republican Convention

As you may know, the Republican party requires a nominee to get 1,237 delegates in the primaries for the nomination. If Donald Trump does not get 1,237 but
Trump still has more delegates than Ted Cruz, and more delegates than John Kasich, what do you feel Republicans should do at the convention this summer?
Gender
Select Trump, because hell still have
more delegates than any other
candidate
Let Trump, Cruz and Kasich fight for
delegate support at the convention to
decide the winner
Turn to someone new who isnt
running right now
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
47%
50%
44%
29%
44%
52%
59%
47%
45%
45%
45%
62%
47%
41%
33%
45%
8%
5%
11%
9%
9%
7%
8%
8%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(548)
(276)
(271)
(96)
(132)
(225)
(95)
(531)
(2)
(0)
(14)
22

Indiana
23. Trump General Election

If Donald Trump becomes the Republican nominee, how do you think he will approach the General election campaign this fall?
Gender
He will continue to be as outspoken
as he is now
He will be less outspoken than he is
now
He will become more outspoken than
he is now
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
65%
63%
67%
56%
72%
64%
67%
65%
17%
24%
9%
22%
11%
18%
18%
17%
18%
13%
23%
21%
18%
18%
14%
18%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(547)
(276)
(270)
(96)
(132)
(224)
(95)
(530)
(2)
(0)
(15)
23

Indiana
24. Democratic Nominee Satisfaction Hillary Clinton

Regardless of how you are voting, how would you feel about each of these candidates if they became the Democratic nominee?
Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Enthusiastic
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Upset
34%
39%
18%
9%
30%
45%
12%
13%
37%
35%
22%
6%
31%
42%
25%
2%
31%
33%
16%
21%
33%
40%
20%
7%
44%
45%
4%
8%
28%
43%
19%
10%
47%
34%
12%
7%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(432)
(188)
(244)
(74)
(106)
(186)
(65)
(318)
(78)
(9)
(27)
24

Indiana
25. Democratic Nominee Satisfaction Bernie Sanders

Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Enthusiastic
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Upset
39%
37%
21%
3%
38%
44%
15%
3%
40%
32%
26%
2%
71%
20%
10%
0%
34%
54%
11%
0%
30%
34%
33%
3%
36%
39%
17%
9%
41%
37%
20%
3%
35%
40%
25%
1%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(419)
(177)
(241)
(74)
(99)
(185)
(60)
(314)
(78)
(8)
(19)
25

Indiana
26. Recent View of Democratic Candidates Hillary Clinton

Gender
Gotten better
Gotten worse
Stayed the same
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
27%
21%
51%
24%
19%
57%
30%
22%
48%
21%
26%
53%
16%
30%
54%
32%
18%
50%
40%
10%
51%
24%
24%
51%
38%
8%
54%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(427)
(179)
(249)
(75)
(101)
(187)
(64)
(320)
(79)
(9)
(19)
26

Indiana
27. Recent View of Democratic Candidates Bernie Sanders

Gender
Gotten better
Gotten worse
Stayed the same
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
37%
15%
48%
43%
15%
42%
32%
16%
52%
59%
7%
34%
43%
5%
51%
27%
20%
53%
27%
27%
46%
40%
16%
44%
20%
10%
70%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(428)
(184)
(244)
(75)
(109)
(183)
(62)
(316)
(78)
(8)
(27)
27

Indiana
28. Candidate Choice Against Sanders

Do you mainly see your vote choice right now as...?
Gender
A chance to elect Hillary Clinton
Mainly a vote against Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
99%
1%
98%
2%
100%
0%
98%
2%
98%
2%
100%
100%
100%
(121)
100%
(93)
100%
(214)
(16)
(45)
(114)
(40)
(141)
(46)
(8)
(19)
28

Indiana
29. Candidate Choice Against Clinton

Gender
A chance to elect Bernie Sanders
Mainly a vote against Hillary Clinton
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
88%
12%
87%
13%
88%
12%
100%
0%
85%
15%
79%
21%
92%
8%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(89)
(101)
(52)
(60)
(56)
100%
(189)
(21)
(156)
(26)
(1)
(7)
29

Indiana
30. Likely Democratic Nominee Hillary Clinton

Gender
Very Likely
Somewhat likely
Not too likely
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
78%
17%
5%
87%
13%
0%
71%
20%
9%
57%
38%
5%
73%
23%
4%
83%
10%
7%
96%
3%
1%
75%
20%
5%
82%
11%
6%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(435)
(186)
(249)
(75)
(110)
(188)
(63)
(321)
(79)
(9)
(27)
30

Indiana
31. Likely Democratic Nominee Bernie Sanders

Gender
Very Likely
Somewhat likely
Not too likely
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
14%
45%
41%
3%
45%
51%
22%
44%
34%
41%
43%
17%
17%
44%
39%
5%
46%
49%
3%
45%
53%
14%
43%
43%
18%
47%
34%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(433)
(185)
(248)
(75)
(110)
(188)
(61)
(320)
(79)
(8)
(27)
31

Indiana
32. Progressive Approach to the Economy

Gender
the most progressive policy choice or
not
Do whatever is most progressive
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
61%
39%
67%
33%
56%
44%
33%
67%
65%
35%
65%
35%
76%
24%
61%
39%
65%
35%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(434)
(187)
(247)
(75)
(110)
(186)
(63)
(319)
(79)
(9)
(27)
32

Indiana
33. Democrats Selection of Nominees

Overall, do you feel the Democrats process for selecting a nominee in 2016 has generally been fair or not fair so far?
Gender
It has been fair
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
65%
35%
65%
35%
65%
35%
51%
49%
60%
40%
69%
31%
78%
22%
63%
37%
68%
32%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(430)
(189)
(241)
(75)
(110)
(181)
(63)
(316)
(77)
(9)
(27)
33

Indiana
34. Democratic Candidate Traits Electable in November

Which of the candidates do you feel is the most...?
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
62%
38%
66%
34%
60%
40%
41%
59%
50%
50%
71%
29%
83%
17%
60%
40%
65%
35%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(430)
(187)
(243)
(75)
(107)
(185)
(63)
(315)
(79)
(9)
(27)
34

Indiana
35. Democratic Candidate Traits Understanding of people like you

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
42%
58%
40%
60%
44%
56%
18%
82%
36%
64%
52%
48%
52%
48%
33%
67%
68%
32%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(418)
(184)
(234)
(75)
(106)
(175)
(63)
(305)
(77)
(9)
(27)
35

Indiana
36. Democratic Candidate Traits Effective at getting things done

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
64%
36%
68%
32%
62%
38%
42%
58%
54%
46%
73%
27%
83%
17%
60%
40%
77%
23%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(420)
(186)
(234)
(75)
(106)
(176)
(63)
(304)
(79)
(9)
(27)
36

Indiana
37. Democratic Candidate Traits Authentic

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
33%
67%
30%
70%
35%
65%
12%
88%
30%
70%
40%
60%
45%
55%
26%
74%
49%
51%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(420)
(185)
(235)
(75)
(106)
(177)
(63)
(305)
(79)
(9)
(27)
37

Indiana
38. Democratic Candidate Traits Specific about their policy ideas

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
50%
50%
45%
55%
54%
46%
30%
70%
47%
53%
55%
45%
64%
36%
45%
55%
63%
37%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(423)
(188)
(235)
(75)
(106)
(177)
(65)
(308)
(79)
(9)
(27)
38

Indiana
39. Democratic Candidate Traits Honest and trustworthy

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
34%
66%
29%
71%
38%
62%
10%
90%
30%
70%
41%
59%
51%
49%
28%
72%
50%
50%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(419)
(183)
(236)
(75)
(107)
(177)
(61)
(306)
(79)
(8)
(27)
39

Indiana
40. Influence of Sanders on Clinton Campaign

If Hillary Clinton does become the Democratic nominee, do you think the influence of Bernie Sanderss campaign will have been...?
Gender
Positive, by making her adopt even
more progressive views
Negative, by making too many
criticisms of her
Neither positive nor negative, its just
politics
I dont think she will become the
nominee
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
44%
51%
39%
39%
33%
51%
49%
47%
41%
12%
17%
8%
9%
22%
5%
17%
10%
9%
39%
30%
46%
34%
43%
42%
31%
37%
48%
5%
2%
7%
17%
2%
2%
3%
6%
3%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(435)
(189)
(246)
(75)
(107)
(188)
(65)
(320)
(79)
(9)
(27)
40

Indiana
41. Democratic Approach to Candidate Choice

Gender
them as a person
themselves
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
55%
67%
46%
62%
58%
53%
48%
52%
61%
45%
33%
54%
38%
42%
47%
52%
48%
39%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(426)
(188)
(237)
(75)
(103)
(183)
(65)
(316)
(76)
(7)
(27)
41

Indiana Likely Republican Voters
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error
548 Likely Republican Primary Voters

April 20-22, 2016
6.6%
1. First Choice Republican Candidate

Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the Indiana Republican Presidential primary in 2016?
Ideology
Tea Party
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Donald Trump
No preference
35%
20%
40%
5%
56%
6%
35%
2%
28%
23%
42%
6%
11%
39%
45%
5%
48%
4%
42%
6%
28%
28%
40%
4%
42%
15%
37%
6%
26%
27%
42%
5%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(547)
(198)
(238)
(93)
(189)
(355)
(312)
(200)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Donald Trump
No preference
35%
20%
40%
5%
36%
20%
42%
3%
34%
20%
39%
7%
36%
38%
21%
6%
47%
17%
32%
5%
34%
15%
47%
4%
21%
17%
57%
6%
39%
20%
38%
3%
21%
23%
48%
8%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(547)
(276)
(271)
(96)
(132)
(224)
(94)
(419)
(96)

2. Republican Candidate Support

Ideology
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
47%
33%
16%
4%
50%
31%
16%
3%
44%
32%
16%
8%
44%
38%
14%
4%
57%
29%
11%
2%
41%
34%
18%
6%
42%
34%
16%
8%
51%
31%
16%
1%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(513)
(192)
(220)
(87)
(176)
(335)
(293)
(188)
Gender
Very strong
Strong
Somewhat strong
Not too strong
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
47%
33%
16%
4%
51%
31%
14%
5%
42%
35%
18%
6%
30%
53%
17%
0%
45%
28%
20%
8%
51%
28%
14%
7%
57%
28%
13%
2%
46%
32%
17%
5%
50%
31%
13%
7%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(513)
(262)
(251)
(91)
(125)
(211)
(85)
(399)
(88)

3. Republican Nominee Satisfaction Donald Trump

Ideology
Tea Party
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
Enthusiastic
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Upset
30%
32%
17%
21%
30%
37%
17%
16%
29%
27%
22%
21%
28%
35%
5%
32%
33%
39%
13%
15%
28%
29%
18%
25%
27%
29%
19%
24%
29%
38%
15%
18%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(546)
(198)
(237)
(93)
(188)
(356)
(312)
(200)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
Enthusiastic
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Upset
30%
32%
17%
21%
27%
41%
12%
19%
32%
23%
21%
24%
17%
31%
10%
42%
19%
37%
22%
22%
34%
33%
17%
16%
47%
25%
16%
12%
29%
32%
19%
20%
32%
33%
12%
23%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(546)
(275)
(270)
(96)
(132)
(224)
(94)
(419)
(95)

4. Republican Nominee Satisfaction Ted Cruz

Ideology
Tea Party
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
Enthusiastic
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Upset
20%
37%
24%
19%
45%
35%
11%
8%
6%
50%
27%
17%
6%
14%
43%
37%
38%
42%
15%
5%
11%
35%
29%
26%
25%
41%
19%
15%
13%
34%
27%
26%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(545)
(198)
(236)
(93)
(188)
(355)
(312)
(199)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
Enthusiastic
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Upset
20%
37%
24%
19%
23%
35%
19%
23%
18%
39%
29%
14%
16%
36%
11%
37%
24%
46%
24%
7%
22%
34%
27%
17%
16%
35%
30%
19%
22%
39%
22%
17%
11%
34%
33%
22%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(545)
(275)
(270)
(96)
(132)
(223)
(94)
(418)
(95)

5. Republican Nominee Satisfaction John Kasich

Ideology
Tea Party
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
Enthusiastic
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Upset
11%
47%
31%
11%
12%
38%
37%
13%
8%
53%
27%
13%
15%
53%
28%
5%
8%
36%
33%
22%
12%
53%
29%
5%
12%
43%
33%
12%
9%
52%
28%
11%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(545)
(198)
(236)
(93)
(187)
(356)
(312)
(199)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
Enthusiastic
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Upset
11%
47%
31%
11%
11%
51%
25%
13%
10%
43%
37%
10%
16%
55%
22%
7%
4%
52%
35%
9%
10%
44%
33%
13%
16%
40%
28%
16%
10%
50%
32%
8%
10%
38%
32%
19%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(545)
(275)
(270)
(96)
(132)
(223)
(94)
(418)
(96)

6. Recent View of Republican Candidates Donald Trump

Ideology
Gotten better
Gotten worse
Stayed the same
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
25%
28%
46%
23%
29%
49%
26%
26%
49%
29%
34%
36%
28%
25%
47%
24%
30%
46%
23%
30%
47%
27%
27%
46%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(536)
(197)
(231)
(92)
(187)
(347)
(303)
(198)
Gender
Gotten better
Gotten worse
Stayed the same
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
25%
28%
46%
29%
25%
47%
22%
32%
46%
12%
49%
40%
17%
25%
58%
31%
25%
43%
38%
18%
44%
23%
30%
47%
31%
25%
44%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(536)
(269)
(267)
(95)
(130)
(217)
(94)
(410)
(95)

7. Recent View of Republican Candidates Ted Cruz

Ideology
Gotten better
Gotten worse
Stayed the same
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
18%
28%
54%
28%
19%
53%
17%
29%
55%
6%
42%
53%
26%
23%
51%
14%
31%
55%
22%
25%
54%
13%
33%
55%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(536)
(196)
(232)
(92)
(187)
(347)
(304)
(198)
Gender
Gotten better
Gotten worse
Stayed the same
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
18%
28%
54%
21%
27%
52%
16%
29%
56%
15%
23%
62%
20%
19%
60%
20%
31%
49%
16%
37%
47%
20%
25%
54%
13%
37%
50%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(536)
(268)
(268)
(96)
(130)
(217)
(93)
(409)
(95)

8. Recent View of Republican Candidates John Kasich

Ideology
Gotten better
Gotten worse
Stayed the same
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
16%
17%
67%
9%
20%
71%
16%
16%
68%
28%
12%
61%
6%
26%
68%
22%
12%
66%
18%
18%
64%
13%
16%
71%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(537)
(196)
(233)
(92)
(188)
(347)
(304)
(198)
Gender
Gotten better
Gotten worse
Stayed the same
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
16%
17%
67%
17%
22%
61%
15%
12%
72%
3%
13%
84%
10%
15%
75%
21%
17%
61%
27%
22%
51%
15%
14%
71%
16%
29%
54%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(537)
(268)
(268)
(96)
(130)
(217)
(93)
(410)
(95)

9. Candidate Choice Against Trump

Ideology
the opposition is
Both
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
50%
70%
34%
78%
35%
52%
46%
23%
27%
10%
20%
38%
28%
8%
13%
30%
34%
27%
21%
19%
35%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(124)
(123)
100%
(299)
(98)
(199)
(179)
(106)
(46)
Gender
the opposition is
Both
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
50%
59%
40%
27%
45%
65%
51%
23%
27%
10%
32%
37%
22%
26%
46%
38%
16%
14%
22%
24%
25%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(153)
(146)
(71)
(83)
(110)
100%
(299)
(35)
(246)
(42)

10. Candidate Choice Against Cruz or Kasich

Ideology
the opposition is
Both
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
65%
69%
67%
71%
62%
62%
72%
8%
27%
2%
28%
7%
27%
3%
26%
11%
27%
10%
28%
6%
22%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(70)
(100)
100%
(220)
(80)
(140)
(115)
(84)
(42)
Gender
the opposition is
Both
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
65%
67%
63%
63%
61%
64%
8%
27%
11%
22%
6%
31%
8%
29%
7%
32%
8%
28%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(114)
(106)
100%
(220)
(105)
(53)
(158)
(20)
(42)
(46)
10

11. Likely Republican Nominee Donald Trump

Ideology
Very Likely
Somewhat likely
Not too likely
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
64%
30%
6%
64%
32%
4%
65%
30%
5%
62%
30%
8%
66%
32%
2%
63%
30%
7%
65%
28%
7%
61%
36%
3%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(546)
(198)
(238)
(93)
(189)
(356)
(312)
(200)
Gender
Very Likely
Somewhat likely
Not too likely
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
64%
30%
6%
66%
29%
6%
62%
32%
6%
47%
43%
10%
63%
37%
0%
67%
25%
8%
75%
21%
3%
64%
30%
6%
66%
31%
3%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(546)
(275)
(271)
(96)
(132)
(224)
(94)
(420)
(95)
11

12. Likely Republican Nominee Ted Cruz

Ideology
Very Likely
Somewhat likely
Not too likely
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
9%
63%
28%
15%
64%
21%
5%
69%
27%
4%
48%
48%
14%
63%
23%
5%
63%
32%
11%
65%
25%
4%
62%
34%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(547)
(198)
(238)
(93)
(189)
(356)
(313)
(201)
Gender
Very Likely
Somewhat likely
Not too likely
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
9%
63%
28%
8%
61%
30%
9%
64%
27%
4%
66%
31%
9%
63%
29%
12%
61%
27%
6%
64%
30%
9%
61%
30%
5%
73%
22%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(547)
(276)
(272)
(96)
(132)
(225)
(94)
(420)
(96)
12

13. Likely Republican Nominee John Kasich

Ideology
Very Likely
Somewhat likely
Not too likely
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
2%
16%
82%
4%
11%
86%
1%
14%
85%
0%
32%
68%
1%
5%
94%
2%
22%
76%
3%
11%
86%
0%
22%
77%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(547)
(198)
(238)
(93)
(189)
(356)
(313)
(200)
Gender
Very Likely
Somewhat likely
Not too likely
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
2%
16%
82%
3%
14%
83%
1%
18%
81%
0%
26%
74%
5%
13%
81%
0%
14%
86%
2%
15%
83%
2%
15%
83%
0%
23%
77%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(547)
(276)
(271)
(96)
(132)
(224)
(94)
(420)
(96)
13

14. Importance of Winning General

Whats more important to you right now?
Ideology
the candidate
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
44%
29%
43%
75%
24%
55%
43%
46%
56%
71%
57%
25%
76%
45%
57%
54%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(544)
(197)
(237)
(93)
(189)
(353)
(312)
(199)
Gender
the candidate
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
44%
41%
47%
61%
56%
37%
27%
39%
59%
56%
59%
53%
39%
44%
63%
73%
61%
41%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(544)
(274)
(271)
(96)
(132)
(222)
(95)
(419)
(94)
14

15. Conservative Approach to the Economy

Ideology
not
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
67%
33%
44%
56%
79%
21%
79%
21%
51%
49%
75%
25%
61%
39%
75%
25%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(547)
(199)
(238)
(92)
(189)
(355)
(313)
(199)
Gender
not
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
67%
33%
68%
32%
66%
34%
79%
21%
55%
45%
65%
35%
76%
24%
65%
35%
72%
28%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(547)
(276)
(271)
(96)
(132)
(224)
(95)
(419)
(96)
15

16. Republican Approach to Candidate Choice

Ideology
them as a person
themselves
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
59%
67%
55%
56%
61%
58%
59%
63%
41%
33%
45%
44%
39%
42%
41%
37%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(547)
(199)
(236)
(93)
(188)
(356)
(312)
(200)
Gender
them as a person
themselves
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
59%
61%
57%
64%
63%
60%
48%
60%
54%
41%
39%
43%
36%
37%
40%
52%
40%
46%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(547)
(275)
(272)
(96)
(132)
(223)
(95)
(420)
(95)
16

17. Republican Selection of Nominees

Overall, do you feel the Republicans process for selecting a nominee in 2016 has generally been fair or not fair so far?
Ideology
It has been fair
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
53%
47%
61%
39%
47%
53%
52%
48%
64%
36%
47%
53%
54%
46%
50%
50%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(536)
(196)
(234)
(87)
(189)
(345)
(302)
(199)
Gender
It has been fair
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
53%
47%
58%
42%
48%
52%
53%
47%
65%
35%
49%
51%
47%
53%
55%
45%
42%
58%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(536)
(269)
(266)
(94)
(132)
(216)
(94)
(410)
(94)
17

18. Republican Convention

As you may know, the Republican party requires a nominee to get 1,237 delegates in the primaries for the nomination. If Donald Trump does not get 1,237 but
Trump still has more delegates than Ted Cruz, and more delegates than John Kasich, what do you feel Republicans should do at the convention this summer?
Ideology
candidate
decide the winner
running right now
Totals
(Weighted N)
Tea Party
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
47%
41%
50%
51%
45%
48%
43%
51%
45%
52%
42%
38%
48%
43%
48%
41%
8%
6%
8%
10%
7%
9%
9%
8%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(548)
(199)
(238)
(93)
(189)
(356)
(313)
(200)
Gender
candidate
decide the winner
running right now
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
47%
50%
44%
29%
44%
52%
59%
45%
51%
45%
45%
45%
62%
47%
41%
33%
48%
39%
8%
5%
11%
9%
9%
7%
8%
7%
10%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(548)
(276)
(271)
(96)
(132)
(225)
(95)
(420)
(95)
18

19. Trump General Election

If Donald Trump becomes the Republican nominee, how do you think he will approach the General election campaign this fall?
Ideology
as he is now
now
he is now
Totals
(Weighted N)
Totals
(Weighted N)
Evangelical
Total
Very conservative
Conservative
Moderate
Yes
No
Yes
No
65%
74%
57%
65%
65%
65%
64%
65%
17%
13%
23%
12%
15%
18%
19%
14%
18%
13%
20%
24%
20%
17%
17%
21%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(547)
(198)
(237)
(93)
(189)
(355)
(313)
(200)
Gender
as he is now
now
he is now
Tea Party
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Republican
Independent
65%
63%
67%
56%
72%
64%
67%
65%
56%
17%
24%
9%
22%
11%
18%
18%
17%
23%
18%
13%
23%
21%
18%
18%
14%
18%
22%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(547)
(276)
(270)
(96)
(132)
(224)
(95)
(419)
(96)
19

Indiana Likely Democratic Voters
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error
439 Likely Democratic Primary Voters

April 20-22, 2016
8.2%
1. First Choice Democratic Candidate

Which candidate are you most likely to vote for in the Indiana Democratic Presidential primary in 2016?
Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Non-white
49%
44%
7%
32%
66%
2%
55%
38%
7%
55%
41%
4%
44%
48%
8%
65%
30%
5%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(436)
(68)
(121)
(159)
(324)
(112)
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
No preference
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
49%
44%
7%
49%
47%
4%
49%
41%
10%
21%
69%
10%
41%
55%
5%
60%
30%
10%
64%
35%
1%
54%
37%
9%
35%
62%
3%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(436)
(189)
(247)
(75)
(110)
(188)
(62)
(339)
(82)

2. Democratic Candidate Support

Ideology
change
looking
Totals
(Weighted N)
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Non-white
56%
24%
78%
17%
66%
24%
36%
24%
56%
20%
58%
36%
19%
4%
10%
39%
23%
7%
1%
0%
0%
1%
1%
0%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(385)
(60)
(110)
(145)
(281)
(104)
Gender
change
looking
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
56%
24%
50%
27%
61%
22%
62%
19%
57%
24%
52%
26%
60%
26%
54%
27%
59%
15%
19%
21%
17%
19%
18%
22%
11%
18%
23%
1%
1%
0%
0%
1%
0%
3%
0%
2%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(385)
(173)
(212)
(64)
(102)
(163)
(57)
(296)
(78)

3. Democratic Nominee Satisfaction Hillary Clinton

Ideology
Race
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Non-white
Enthusiastic
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Upset
34%
39%
18%
9%
33%
37%
23%
7%
40%
35%
13%
11%
29%
49%
15%
7%
28%
43%
19%
10%
50%
29%
13%
8%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(432)
(67)
(121)
(162)
(318)
(114)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
Enthusiastic
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Upset
34%
39%
18%
9%
30%
45%
12%
13%
37%
35%
22%
6%
31%
42%
25%
2%
31%
33%
16%
21%
33%
40%
20%
7%
44%
45%
4%
8%
39%
41%
16%
4%
15%
36%
19%
30%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(432)
(188)
(244)
(74)
(106)
(186)
(65)
(341)
(82)

4. Democratic Nominee Satisfaction Bernie Sanders

Ideology
Race
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Non-white
Enthusiastic
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Upset
39%
37%
21%
3%
76%
14%
7%
2%
48%
32%
20%
0%
23%
53%
22%
2%
41%
37%
20%
3%
34%
38%
26%
3%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(419)
(66)
(117)
(152)
(314)
(105)
Gender
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
Enthusiastic
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Upset
39%
37%
21%
3%
38%
44%
15%
3%
40%
32%
26%
2%
71%
20%
10%
0%
34%
54%
11%
0%
30%
34%
33%
3%
36%
39%
17%
9%
34%
41%
23%
2%
51%
27%
16%
6%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(419)
(177)
(241)
(74)
(99)
(185)
(60)
(327)
(81)

5. Recent View of Democratic Candidates Hillary Clinton

Ideology
Gotten better
Gotten worse
Stayed the same
Totals
(Weighted N)
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Non-white
27%
21%
51%
24%
35%
41%
29%
16%
56%
23%
15%
62%
24%
24%
51%
38%
11%
51%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(427)
(67)
(119)
(154)
(320)
(107)
Gender
Gotten better
Gotten worse
Stayed the same
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
27%
21%
51%
24%
19%
57%
30%
22%
48%
21%
26%
53%
16%
30%
54%
32%
18%
50%
40%
10%
51%
33%
14%
53%
8%
42%
50%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(427)
(179)
(249)
(75)
(101)
(187)
(64)
(331)
(82)

6. Recent View of Democratic Candidates Bernie Sanders

Ideology
Gotten better
Gotten worse
Stayed the same
Totals
(Weighted N)
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Non-white
37%
15%
48%
42%
11%
47%
39%
18%
43%
40%
14%
46%
40%
16%
44%
28%
13%
59%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(428)
(67)
(116)
(160)
(316)
(113)
Gender
Gotten better
Gotten worse
Stayed the same
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
37%
15%
48%
43%
15%
42%
32%
16%
52%
59%
7%
34%
43%
5%
51%
27%
20%
53%
27%
27%
46%
36%
15%
49%
35%
20%
45%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(428)
(184)
(244)
(75)
(109)
(183)
(62)
(333)
(82)

7. Candidate Choice Against Sanders

Ideology
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Non-white
99%
1%
97%
3%
100%
0%
98%
2%
100%
0%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(66)
(87)
(141)
(73)
100%
(214)
(22)
Gender

Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
99%
1%
98%
2%
100%
0%
98%
2%
99%
1%
100%
100%
100%
(121)
100%
(93)
100%
(214)
(16)
(45)
(114)
(40)
(183)
(29)

8. Candidate Choice Against Clinton

Ideology
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Non-white
88%
12%
84%
16%
92%
8%
100%
100%
(65)
(156)
100%
(189)
(45)
(47)
Gender
Totals
(Weighted N)
(34)
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
88%
12%
87%
13%
88%
12%
100%
0%
85%
15%
79%
21%
92%
8%
78%
22%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(89)
(101)
(52)
(60)
(56)
100%
(189)
(126)
(51)
(21)

9. Likely Democratic Nominee Hillary Clinton

Ideology
Very Likely
Somewhat likely
Not too likely
Totals
(Weighted N)
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Non-white
78%
17%
5%
68%
24%
8%
83%
17%
1%
87%
12%
0%
75%
20%
5%
86%
10%
4%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(435)
(68)
(121)
(162)
(321)
(115)
Gender
Very Likely
Somewhat likely
Not too likely
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
78%
17%
5%
87%
13%
0%
71%
20%
9%
57%
38%
5%
73%
23%
4%
83%
10%
7%
96%
3%
1%
82%
13%
5%
66%
33%
1%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(435)
(186)
(249)
(75)
(110)
(188)
(63)
(341)
(80)

10. Likely Democratic Nominee Bernie Sanders

Ideology
Very Likely
Somewhat likely
Not too likely
Totals
(Weighted N)
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Non-white
14%
45%
41%
27%
39%
35%
18%
45%
37%
6%
50%
44%
14%
43%
43%
14%
49%
37%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(433)
(68)
(119)
(159)
(320)
(113)
Gender
Very Likely
Somewhat likely
Not too likely
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
14%
45%
41%
3%
45%
51%
22%
44%
34%
41%
43%
17%
17%
44%
39%
5%
46%
49%
3%
45%
53%
13%
45%
42%
19%
38%
43%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(433)
(185)
(248)
(75)
(110)
(188)
(61)
(338)
(81)
10

11. Progressive Approach to the Economy

Ideology
not
Totals
(Weighted N)
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Non-white
61%
39%
40%
60%
65%
35%
68%
32%
61%
39%
61%
39%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(434)
(68)
(121)
(161)
(319)
(115)
Gender
not
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
61%
39%
67%
33%
56%
44%
33%
67%
65%
35%
65%
35%
76%
24%
58%
42%
72%
28%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(434)
(187)
(247)
(75)
(110)
(186)
(63)
(339)
(80)
11

12. Democrats Selection of Nominees

Overall, do you feel the Democrats process for selecting a nominee in 2016 has generally been fair or not fair so far?
Ideology
It has been fair
Totals
(Weighted N)
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Non-white
65%
35%
55%
45%
73%
27%
67%
33%
63%
37%
69%
31%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(430)
(68)
(121)
(153)
(316)
(114)
Gender
It has been fair
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
65%
35%
65%
35%
65%
35%
51%
49%
60%
40%
69%
31%
78%
22%
70%
30%
50%
50%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(430)
(189)
(241)
(75)
(110)
(181)
(63)
(333)
(82)
12

13. Democratic Candidate Traits Electable in November

Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Non-white
62%
38%
49%
51%
73%
27%
66%
34%
60%
40%
69%
31%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(430)
(68)
(121)
(162)
(315)
(115)
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
62%
38%
66%
34%
60%
40%
41%
59%
50%
50%
71%
29%
83%
17%
67%
33%
49%
51%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(430)
(187)
(243)
(75)
(107)
(185)
(63)
(335)
(80)
13

14. Democratic Candidate Traits Understanding of people like you

Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Non-white
42%
58%
29%
71%
44%
56%
41%
59%
33%
67%
66%
34%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(418)
(68)
(120)
(152)
(305)
(113)
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
42%
58%
40%
60%
44%
56%
18%
82%
36%
64%
52%
48%
52%
48%
46%
54%
28%
72%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(418)
(184)
(234)
(75)
(106)
(175)
(63)
(326)
(78)
14

15. Democratic Candidate Traits Effective at getting things done

Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Non-white
64%
36%
52%
48%
74%
26%
67%
33%
60%
40%
76%
24%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(420)
(67)
(119)
(154)
(304)
(115)
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
64%
36%
68%
32%
62%
38%
42%
58%
54%
46%
73%
27%
83%
17%
69%
31%
48%
52%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(420)
(186)
(234)
(75)
(106)
(176)
(63)
(328)
(77)
15

16. Democratic Candidate Traits Authentic

Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Non-white
33%
67%
24%
76%
25%
75%
38%
62%
26%
74%
51%
49%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(420)
(67)
(121)
(154)
(305)
(115)
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Total
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
33%
67%
30%
70%
35%
65%
12%
88%
30%
70%
40%
60%
45%
55%
36%
64%
24%
76%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(420)
(185)
(235)
(75)
(106)
(177)
(63)
(327)
(79)
16

17. Democratic Candidate Traits Specific about their policy ideas

Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Non-white
50%
50%
43%
57%
64%
36%
46%
54%
45%
55%
63%
37%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(423)
(67)
(120)
(154)
(308)
(115)
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
50%
50%
45%
55%
54%
46%
30%
70%
47%
53%
55%
45%
64%
36%
56%
44%
31%
69%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(423)
(188)
(235)
(75)
(106)
(177)
(65)
(327)
(81)
17

18. Democratic Candidate Traits Honest and trustworthy

Ideology
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Non-white
34%
66%
25%
75%
34%
66%
34%
66%
28%
72%
51%
49%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(419)
(67)
(120)
(152)
(306)
(113)
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
34%
66%
29%
71%
38%
62%
10%
90%
30%
70%
41%
59%
51%
49%
40%
60%
15%
85%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(419)
(183)
(236)
(75)
(107)
(177)
(61)
(324)
(81)
18

19. Influence of Sanders on Clinton Campaign

If Hillary Clinton does become the Democratic nominee, do you think the influence of Bernie Sanderss campaign will have been...?
Ideology
criticisms of her
politics
nominee
Totals
(Weighted N)
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Non-white
44%
59%
54%
36%
47%
37%
12%
8%
16%
13%
10%
17%
39%
22%
29%
49%
37%
45%
5%
11%
0%
2%
6%
2%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(435)
(68)
(121)
(162)
(320)
(115)
Gender
criticisms of her
politics
nominee
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
44%
51%
39%
39%
33%
51%
49%
45%
40%
12%
17%
8%
9%
22%
5%
17%
10%
20%
39%
30%
46%
34%
43%
42%
31%
40%
35%
5%
2%
7%
17%
2%
2%
3%
5%
4%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(435)
(189)
(246)
(75)
(107)
(188)
(65)
(338)
(82)
19

20. Democratic Approach to Candidate Choice

Ideology
them as a person
themselves
Totals
(Weighted N)
Total
Very liberal
Liberal
Moderate
White
Non-white
55%
61%
56%
57%
52%
65%
45%
39%
44%
43%
48%
35%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(426)
(68)
(115)
(162)
(316)
(110)
Gender
them as a person
themselves
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race
Age group
Party ID
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Democrat
Independent
55%
67%
46%
62%
58%
53%
48%
54%
62%
45%
33%
54%
38%
42%
47%
52%
46%
38%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(426)
(188)
(237)
(75)
(103)
(183)
(65)
(329)
(82)
20

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker: Indiana, April 24, 2016

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CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker: Indiana, April 24, 2016

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CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

1084 Registered Voters

Ted Cruz . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35%

Hillary Clinton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .49%