y

x1
x2

fondul de salarii
incasari
profit

x1
300000
240000
192000
420000
498000
672000
420000
294720
243600
354000
366600
356400
996800
348000
300240

x2
1000000
1500000
1200000
2450000
3120000
5680000
2555000
2000000
1825000
2870000
3000000
2563000
4560000
3410500
1750000

525000
456300
256100
700000
700000
1234000
850000
400000
495250
562300
612000
610000
2430000
500000
390000

Tabelul de regresie pentru intreaga perioada

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R
0.986185277
R Square
0.972561401
Adjusted R Sq 0.967988301
Standard Error 36188.85929
Observations
15
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

SS
MS
F
Significance F
2 557039682254 2.7852E+011 212.6701 4.26748E-010
12 15715602439.5 1309633537
14 572755284693

Intercept
X Variable 1
X Variable 2

Coefficients Standard Error

t Stat
P-value
Lower 95%
75990.42833 22474.7881627 3.3811410272 0.005457
27022.0716
0.040678928 0.0109948461 3.699817869 0.003037 0.016723216
0.30373774 0.0261040979
11.6356344 6.8E-008 0.246861797

Upper 95%
124958.785
0.06463464
0.36061368

test student

2.160368656

cu o probab de 95%, incasarile anuale influenteaza semnificativ marimea anua

cu o probab de 95%, profitul anual influenteaza semnificativ marimea anuala a

test fisher

3.885293835

cu o probab de 95%, ansamblul variabilelor explicative incluse in model (incas

Tabelul de regresie pentru prima subperioada

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R
0.971956357
R Square
0.94469916
Adjusted R Sq 0.922578824
Standard Error 43489.37334
Observations
8
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

2
5
7

SS
MS
F
Significance F
161546705631 80773352815 42.70727 0.000719166
9456627969.4 1891325594
171003333600

Intercept
X Variable 1
X Variable 2

Coefficients Standard Error

t Stat
P-value
Lower 95% Upper 95%
88012.00532 39095.1097725 2.251227988 0.074163 -12485.17368 188509.184
0.048776928
0.026203853 1.861441074 0.121745 -0.01858222 0.11613608
0.269697733 0.1280278024 2.106555983 0.08901 -0.05940821 0.59880368

F*
testul chow

0.113782615
3.862548358

cu o probab de 95%, modelul nu e stabil pe intreaga perioada

Lower 95,0% Upper 95,0%

27022.0716 124958.7851
0.01672322 0.06463464
0.2468618 0.360613683

uenteaza semnificativ marimea anuala a fondului de salarii

eaza semnificativ marimea anuala a fondului de salarii

r explicative incluse in model (incasarile si profitul anual) influenteaza semnificativ marimea anuala a fondului de salarii

Tabelul de regresie pentru a doua subperioada

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.99453246
R Square 0.98909482
Adjusted R 0.98364223
Standard E 32795.1792
Observatio
7
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total
Lower 95,0%
-12485.1737
-0.01858222
-0.05940821

e intreaga perioada

Upper 95,0%
188509.1843
0.116136077
0.598803676

SS
2 3.9020E+011
4 4302095109
6 3.9450E+011

MS
F
099083417 181.3991355
1075523777

Coefficients Standard Error

t Stat
P-value
Intercept
69022.3442 50940.42463 1.3549620892 0.246899362
X Variable 0.03696828 0.023737771 1.5573608467 0.194378807
X Variable 0.31143804 0.031733288 9.8142380737 0.000604293

Significance F
0.00011892

Lower 95% Upper 95%Lower 95,0%Upper 95,0%

-72410.9484 210455.6 -72410.948 210455.637
-0.02893834 0.102875 -0.0289383 0.10287489
0.22333231 0.399544 0.22333231 0.39954378