Vt

Tt
1000
1620
850
1890
2100
1340
550
1345
1900
2310
2000
1460
1800
1430
1580

Ct
300
610
870
500
530
720
1200
410
320
100
470
1000
60
180
890

25
21
30
19
15
23
36
12
10
5
18
29
0
11
22

y teoretic
1104.20
1444.72
1111.86
1495.05
1708.86
1394.38
960.86
1804.73
1864.11
2014.84
1531.53
1220.75
2247.03
1750.70
1521.37

et
-104.20
175.28
-261.86
394.95
391.14
-54.38
-410.86
-459.73
35.89
295.16
468.47
239.25
-447.03
-320.70
58.63
0

et-(et-1)
279.48
-437.14
656.81
-3.81
-445.52
-356.48
-48.87
495.61
259.27
173.31
-229.22
-686.27
126.33
379.32

(et-(et-1))^2
78108.97
191095.43
431399.17
14.49
198491.45
127074.47
2388.08
245633.49
67222.43
30034.71
52540.70
470971.29
15958.57
143886.48
2054819.74

Regresie pt datele initiale

SUMMARY OUTPUT

DW
tab DW

Regression Statistics
Multiple R
0.7430379764
R Square
0.5521054344
Adjusted R Sq 0.4774563401
Standard Error 350.41179909
Observations
15

ro

ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

Intercept
X Variable 1
X Variable 2

SS
MS
2 1816288.853 908144.42635
12 1473461.147 122788.42894
14
3289750

F
Significance F
7.396009821 0.00807337

Coefficients Standard Error

t Stat
P-value
Lower 95%
Upper 95%
2219.8726048
198.58447 11.178480395 1.06131E-007 1787.19421 2652.55099531
0.4525483423 0.605500514 0.7473954714 0.4692178184 -0.86672395 1.7718206297
-50.057549075 20.93355671 -2.3912586747 0.0340570635 -95.667851 -4.4472471979

Regresie pt datele transformate

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R
0.737179006
R Square
0.5434328869
Adjusted R Sq 0.4604206845
Standard Error 347.3617921
Observations
14

ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

Intercept
X Variable 1
X Variable 2

a0

SS
MS
2 1579785.306 789892.65292
11 1327262.361 120660.21461
13 2907047.667

Coefficients
1542.6186873
0.5448808038
-51.936455445

2212.3485208

F
Significance F
6.546421747 0.01340527

Standard Error
t Stat
P-value
Lower 95%
Upper 95%
149.9942901 10.284516073 5.58168E-007 1212.48348 1872.75389366
0.919630685 0.5924995901 0.5654968052 -1.47921268 2.5689742925
32.32623479 -1.606634852 0.1364357746 -123.086018 19.2131075626

et^2
yt-ro(yt-1) x1t-ro(x1t-1) x2t-ro(x2t-1)
10857.30 1317.28
519.18
13.43
30723.58
359.59
685.34
23.64
68572.33 1632.69
236.63
9.92
155982.86 1527.85
378.64
9.25
152990.51
704.28
559.56
18.46
2957.60
144.35
982.04
29.04
168804.99 1178.50
46.73
1.10
211348.76 1492.84
195.88
6.37
1287.91 1734.83
3.13
1.97
87119.61 1300.71
439.73
16.49
219459.98
854.55
857.72
23.55
57239.59 1358.02
-242.72
-8.78
199831.80
885.10
161.84
11.00
102847.38
1147.11
835.51
18.67
3436.94
1473461.15

1.395
d1
d2
0.3027234756

0.946
1.543

Lower 95,0% Upper 95,0%

1787.19421421 2652.551
-0.8667239451 1.771821
-95.6678509529 -4.447247

3.054
2.457

Lower 95,0% Upper 95,0%

1212.48348091 1872.754
-1.479212685 2.568974
-123.086018453 19.21311