ani

y
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999

DW

x1
512.22
644.38
584.18
689.79
764.81
435.63
589.05
517.41
516.31
519.89
400.29
673.91
655.14
670.06
388.92
637.86
727.92
551.6
519.57
449.01

x2
386.8
401.03
394.95
405.26
411.66
376.76
395.47
387.43
387.3
387.72
371.52
403.81
402.06
403.46
369.73
400.4
408.59
391.4
387.69
378.64

26.713
33.321
30.311
35.591
39.342
22.884
30.554
26.973
26.918
27.097
21.117
35.116
34.059
34.605
20.748
32.995
37.498
28.772
27.081
23.652

a0+a1x1+a2x2=yt estim
et=yt-ytestimat
511.8338199481
0.3861800519
643.7401691966
0.6398308034
583.8614043978
0.3185956022
688.7160833204
1.0739166796
762.7334658142
2.0765341858
434.4823589643
1.1476410357
588.7103936393
0.3396063607
517.0597201697
0.3502798303
515.955914551
0.354085449
519.5467181051
0.3432818949
398.4757920854
1.8142079146
679.015710217
-5.105710217
658.1856044394
-3.0456044394
669.1994054375
0.8605945625
390.6004974602
-1.6804974602
637.2695469483
0.5904530517
726.3853837068
1.5346162932
553.0197707589
-1.4197707589
519.2296125577
0.3403874423
449.9286282823
-0.9186282823
0.00

1.769231

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.999876
R Square 0.999751
Adjusted R 0.999722
Standard E 1.811773
Observatio
20
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

SS
MS
2 224492.9 112246.5
17 55.80284 3.28252
19 224548.7

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat
Intercept -189.9319 111.0389 -1.710499
X Variable 0.511825 0.340193 1.504514
X Variable 18.85942 0.76104 24.78112

F
Significance F
34195.210790458 2.29318161350765E-031

P-value
0.1053590365
0.1508010816
8.78193419052134E-015

Lower 95%
-424.2034912054
-0.2059191504
17.2537704367

et^2

et-et-1
0.253651
-0.321235
0.755321
1.002618
-0.928893
-0.808035
0.010673
0.003806
-0.010804
1.470926
-6.919918
2.060106
3.906199
-2.541092
2.270951
0.944163
-2.954387
1.760158
-1.259016

0.1491350325
0.409383457
0.1015031577
1.1532970348
4.3119942249
1.3170799469
0.1153324802
0.1226959595
0.1253765052
0.1178424594
3.2913503574
26.0682768203
9.2757064012
0.7406230009
2.8240717138
0.3486348063
2.3550471675
2.015749008
0.1158636109
0.8438779211
55.8028410654 -1.304808

(et-et-1)^2
0.064339
0.103192
0.57051
1.005242
0.862842
0.65292
0.000114
1.4E-005
0.000117
2.163623
47.88527
4.244036
15.25839
6.457149
5.157216
0.891444
8.728403
3.098157
1.585121
98.7281

Upper 95%
Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
44.3396118297 -424.2035 44.33961
1.2295693524 -0.205919 1.229569
20.4650788554 17.25377 20.46508