THE DES MOINES REGISTER/MEDIACOM IOWA POLL

Study #2138
542 Likely Democratic primary voters
Margin of error: 4.2 percentage points

SELZER & COMPANY

May 30-June 2, 2016
2,439 contacts weighted by age, sex, and congressional district

POLL QUESTIONS
Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.
Are you a resident of the state of Iowa?
100
-

Yes
No
Not sure

Continue
Terminate and do not count toward any quota; do not collect age, sex, or
congressional district data

How likely is it you will vote in the Democratic primary election for U.S. Senate and some other offices to be held in
Junewill you definitely vote, probably vote, might or might not vote, probably not vote, or have you already voted?
8
92
-

Already voted
Definitely vote
Probably vote
Might or might not vote
Probably not vote
Refused/not sure

Continue
Collect age, sex, and congressional district and
terminate

I'd like to begin by mentioning the names of some candidates running for statewide office. For each name I read, please
tell me if your feelings toward the person are very favorable, mostly favorable, mostly unfavorable, or very
unfavorable. If you dont know the person, just say so. (Record dont know as not sure. Rotate list.).
Net
Net
Very
Favorable* Unfavorable* Favorable
Tom Fiegen, attorney from Clarence
19
Rob Hogg, state senator from Cedar
37
Rapids
Patty Judge, former lieutenant
50
governor from Albia
Bob Krause, veterans advocate from
23
Fairfield
*Due to rounding, very+mostly may not equal nets.

Mostly
Favorable

Mostly
Unfavorable

Very
Unfavorable

Not
Sure

14

74

13

24

57

15

19

31

35

18

71

If the Democratic primary were held today, which one of the following Democratic candidates for U.S. senator would
you vote for? (Read list. Rotate.)
(Ask only of those who do not name a first-choice candidate): Toward which candidate would you say you are
leaning, or support the most?
Total

Tom Fiegen
Rob Hogg
Patty Judge
Bob Krause
None of these/someone else (VOL)
Not sure

5
25
42
6
6
15

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SELZER & COMPANY
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(If no first-choice candidate in horserace question, do not ask, but code as Could still be persuaded.) When it
comes to your support of [CANDIDATE NAMED IN HORSERACE QUESTION], would you say your mind is made
up, or could you still be persuaded to support another candidate as your first choice?
ALL
n=542
4.2pp

27
72
1

Hogg
n=125
8.8pp

Judge
n=244
6.3pp

32
67
1

36
62
1

Margins of error

Mind is made up
Could still be persuaded
Not sure

Regardless of which candidate you support, which one do you think has the best chance to defeat Chuck Grassley, the
incumbent U.S. senator? (Read list if needed. Rotate.)
5
22
34
4
9
26

Tom Fiegen
Rob Hogg
Patty Judge
Bob Krause
None (VOL)
Not sure

Im going to mention some things you might learn about a U.S. Senate candidate. For each, please tell me if it makes
you more likely or less likely to support that kind of candidate. (Rotate list.)

Has been a long-time advocate of addressing climate change

Opposes expanding ethanol production in Iowa
Was part of an administration that vetoed expansion of collective bargaining for
state employees
Has successfully run multiple times for statewide public office
Supports Bernie Sanders to be the Democratic nominee for president
Has opposed the lawsuit brought by Des Moines Water Works against drainage
districts in northwest Iowa
Is perceived as allied with big agriculture interests
Has been endorsed by many Iowa legislators
Has been endorsed by major labor organizations in Iowa
Has never held statewide office
Has raised the most money from out-of-state party leaders

More
Likely

Less
Likely

Not
Sure

72
34

21
53

7
13

29
53
45

55
27
48

16
21
7

33
37
48
60
28
14

41
51
28
24
51
67

26
13
24
16
21
19

The winner in the Democratic primary will face Chuck Grassley in the general election in November. Have you ever
voted for Chuck Grassley in previous elections? (If yes, ask:) Just once, or more than once?
10
26
60
4

Yes, just once

Yes, more than once
No, never
Not sure

What do you think is most likely to happen in the general electionwill Chuck Grassley or the Democratic nominee
win? (Follow with:) Do you think [GRASSLEY/DEMOCRATIC NOMINEE] will win easily or win in a close race?
19
24
10
36
12

Grassley wins easily

Grassley wins in a close race
Democratic nominee wins easily
Democratic nominee wins in a close race
Not sure

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SELZER & COMPANY
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Im going to mention reasons some say Chuck Grassley should not be re-elected as U.S. senator. For each, please tell
me if this is an excellent reason, a good reason, or not a good reason for Chuck Grassley to be defeated in the general
election in November. (Rotate list.)
Excellent

Good

Not
Good

Not
Sure

48

22

28

42

29

22

35
41
48
26

33
30
18
29

26
25
32
39

6
4
3
6

As chair of the Judiciary Committee, Chuck Grassley has refused to

hold hearings on President Obamas nominee to the Supreme Court
Chuck Grassley has sided with Senate leaderships tactics, which have
led to gridlock in Washington
Chuck Grassley has not taken substantial action to address the budget
deficit and the national debt
Chuck Grassley has supported tax breaks for the wealthy
Chuck Grassley supports Donald Trump for president
Chuck Grassley is currently 82 years old

Now, Im going to mention some other public figures. For each, please tell me if your feelings toward the person are
very favorable, mostly favorable, mostly unfavorable, or very unfavorable. If you dont know the person, just say so.
(Record dont know as not sure. Rotate list.).
Net
Net
Very
Favorable Unfavorable Favorable
Chet Culver, former governor of
Iowa
Tom Vilsack, former governor of
Iowa
Terry Branstad, current governor of
Iowa
Chuck Grassley, U.S. senator

Mostly
Favorable

Mostly
Unfavorable

Very
Unfavorable

Not
Sure

56

25

16

40

15

19

68

18

29

39

10

14

27
26

67
70

11
8

17
18

19
26

49
44

5
4

About the Poll

The Iowa Poll, conducted May 30-June 2 for The Des Moines Register and Mediacom by Selzer & Co. of
Des Moines, is based on telephone interviews with 542 Iowans ages 18 or older who say they will
definitely vote or have already voted absentee in the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate this June.
Interviewers with Quantel Research contacted 2,439 households with randomly selected landline and cell
phone numbers supplied by Survey Sampling International. Interviews were administered in English.
Responses were adjusted by age, sex, and congressional district to reflect the general population based on
recent census data.
Questions based on the subsample of 542 likely Democratic primary voters have a maximum margin of
error of plus or minus 4.2 percentage points. This means that if this survey were repeated using the same
questions and the same methodology, 19 times out of 20, the findings would not vary from the
percentages shown here by more than plus or minus 4.2 percentage points. Results based on smaller
samples of respondentssuch as by gender or agehave a larger margin of error.
Republishing the copyright Iowa Poll without credit to The Des Moines Register and Mediacom is
prohibited.

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SELZER & COMPANY
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