The Accidental Century

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Prominent Energy Accidents in the Last 100 Years

a report by Benjamin K Sovacool Assistant Professor, Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy, National University of Singapore

We live in a risky society, yet have difficulty properly weighing the risks regulation, quality assurance, safety culture and the effectiveness of

that we face. Many politicians consider the spread of HIVIAIDS to be the medical response.

world's most significant public health concern, yet more people perish

from heart disease, influenza, diabetes, suicide and malaria. Policymakers in the US consider the 'war on illegal drugs' a serious endeavour, yet more people die from overusing legal over-the-counter drugs. Millions of people are afraid of flying in an aeroplane, yet prefer private automobiles that place them at greater risk of being killed in an accident.

These examples illustrate that what we perceive as the riskiest activities may not be so, and underscore that the most visible risks may not always be the most significant. One of these types of less visible risk, one growing in frequency and importance, is major accidents in the energy sector. This article takes a hard look at prominent energy accidents by asking 'What have been the most significant energy accidents of the past 100 years?' and 'What are the risks involved with different energy systems?'

Energy Accidents in the Last 100 Years

To answer the first question, two studies, one conducted in Europe and one in the US, provide much food for thought. The first study, conducted by the Paul Scherrer Institute, involved collecting data on major industrial accidents from 1945 to 1996 and recorded 13,914 incidents.' An astounding 31 % of these accidents were related to the energy sector. 2 The managers of the database noted that accident rates were highest in countries not belonging to the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD). They found that the most significant immediate fatality rates were associated with liquid petroleum gas (LPG), followed by oil, coal and natural gas; seven of the 10 accidents with the largest fatalities involved oil or LPG energy systems (see Table 1). They noted that the frequency and severity of accidents differed predominately according to flaws in design,

Benjamin K Sovacool is an Assistant Professor at the Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy at the National University of Singapore. He is also a Research Fellow in the Energy Governance Programme at the Centre on Asia and Globalisation. Dr Sovacool has worked as a researcher, professor and consultant on issues

pertaining to energy policy, the environment and science and technology policy. His research interests are in science and technology studies, with an emphasis on

barriers to new and innovative energy systems. He has worked in advisory and research capacities at the US National Science Foundation's Electric Power Networks Efficiency and Security Program, the Virginia Tech Consortium on Energy Restructuring, the Virginia Center for Coal and Energy Research, the New York State Energy Research and Development Authority, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Semiconductor Materials and Equipment International and the US Department of Energy's Climate Change Technology Program. Dr Sovacool is the co-editor (with Marilyn A Brown) of Energy and American Society: Thirteen Myths (2007) and the author of The Dirty Energy Dilemma: What's Blocking Clean Power in the United States (2008). He is also a frequent contributor to journals such as Electricity lournal and Energy Policy.

Several interesting conclusions relate specifically to the oil and gas sectors. In terms of the oil sector, the authors noted that higher oil consumption over time has increased the number of severe oil-related accidents, resulting in a greater numbers of fatalities. The 'riskiest' stages appeared to be when oil was being distributed through regional pipelines and trucks or transported to refineries. These two stages accounted for more than three-quarters of all oil-related accidents. Maritime accidents were the most frequent type to occur during transportation to refineries, whereas road accidents were the most frequent during regional distribution. The most dangerous environment for offshore oil activities was the North Sea, which had the highest share of severe offshore accidents. Accidents and oil spills related to oil tankers and platforms were less damaging than those caused by industrial river run-off, operational discharges from tankers, sewage disposal and nontanker forms of maritime transportation (such as undersea pipelines). For those accidents related to tankers and platforms, distance from the coast, weather conditions and sensitivity of the areas exposed strongly influenced the extent of environmental and social damages.

In terms of the natural gas, LPG and liquefied natural gas (LNG) sector, the yearly number of accidents increased significantly from 1970 to 1985 but then declined. The stage with the highest number of fatalities was long-distance transport, followed by local and regional distribution. Nearly three-quarters of all natural gas accidents were associated with pipelines, and about 21 % of these accidents involved mechanical failure. When the data on LPG accidents are separated, more than half occurred during transport by road and rail tankers, and the dominant cause was impact failure. Accidents related to natural gas were distributed evenly across many countries.

The second study, published in the May 2008 issue of Energy Policy (and written by the current author), assessed major energy accidents worldwide from 1907 to 20073 The study identified 279 incidents totalling US$41 billion in damages and 182,156 fatalities, with the number of accidents peaking in the decade between 1978 and 1987, which had more than 90 accidents' The study found that accidents at dams were the most dangerous, accidents at nuclear power plants the most expensive and accidents at oil and gas pipelines the most frequent (see Figure 1).

The six most significant energy accidents, in terms of fatalities or property damage, involved different energy systems. The Shimantan hydroelectric facility in China failed catastrophically in 1975, causing almost US$9 billion in property damage and 171,000 deaths. Equipment failures and operator error contributed to the loss of coolant and a partial core meltdown at the Three Mile Island nuclear reactor in Pennsylvania in

132 a TOUCH BRIEFINGS 2009

E: bsovecoolssnus.edu.sq

The Accidental Century - Prominent Energy Accidents in the Last 100 Years

Table 1: Ten Major Energy Accidents with the Largest Immediate Fatalities, 1969-1996

Energy System Date Location Stage of Energy Chain Immediate Fatalities Injuries Evacuees Cost (US$ millions, 1996)
Oil 20 December 1987 Philippines Transport to refinery 3,000 26 a
Oil 1 November 1982 Afghanistan Regional distribution 2,700 400 a
Hydroelectric 11 August 1979 India Power plant 1,500 150,000 1,024
Hydroelectric 27 August 1993 China Power plant 1,250 336 27
Hydroelectric 18 September 1980 India Power plant 1,000
LPG 4 June 1989 Russia Long-distance transport 600 755 a
Oil 2 November 1994 Egypt Regional distribution 580 140
Oil 25 February 1984 Brazil Regional distribution 508 150 2,500
Oil 29 June 1995 South Korea Regional distribution 500 952 a
LPG 19 November 1984 Mexico Regional distribution 498 7,231 200,000 2.9 1979, causing US$2A billion in property damages. A mishandled safety Figure 1: Major Energy Accidents by Decade and Source, 1907-2007

test at the Chernobyl nuclear reactor in Kiev, Ukraine, killed at least 4,056 people and darnaged alrnost US$7 billion of property in 1986. A Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation high-pressure pipeline carrying gasoline ruptured and exploded in 1998, killing more than 1,000 people and inducing US$54 million in property damages. In 1989, the Exxon Valdez ran aground in Prince William Sound and spilled 250,000 barrels of crude oil, causing more than US$4.1 billion in property damage. The oil tanker Prestige ruptured one of its tanks during severe weather in 2002 and spilled 20 rnillion gallons of fuel into the sea near Galicia, Spain, causing US$3.3 billion in property darnages. At least 30 major accidents had rnore than US$100 rnillion in damages, and at least 30 accidents had more than 100 fatalities (see Tables 2 and 3).

Indeed, the associated risks from energy infrastructure have changed and altered over time. Accidents at coal facilities, particularly

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30 • Nuclear
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The Accidental Century - Prominent Energy Accidents in the Last 100 Years

Table 2: Major Energy Accidents with More than US$100 Million in Damages, 1907-2007

Facility Date Location Description Cost (US$ millions,
1996)
Coal mine 6 December 1907 Monongah, West Virginia, US Underground explosion traps workers and destroys 162
railroad bridges leading into the mine
LNG plant 20 October 1944 Cleveland, Ohio, US Explosion at LNG facility destroys one square mile of Cleveland 890
Oil tanker 13 June 1968 Economic Exclusive Zone, The World Glory oil tanker experiences full failure, 110
South Africa spilling 11 million gallons of fuel
Hydroelectric 8 August 1975 Henan Province, China Shimantan Dam fails and releases 15,738 billion tons of water, 8,700
causing widespread flooding that destroys 18 villages and
1,500 homes and induces disease epidemics and famine
Nuclear 24 November 1989 Greifswald, East Germany Electrical error causes fire in the main trough that destroys control UD$443
lines and five main coolant pumps and almost induces meltdown
Hydroelectric 5 June 1976 Idaho Falls, Idaho, US Teton Dam fails and releases 300,000 acre feet of water that 990
floods farmland and towns surrounding Idaho Falls
Oil tanker 15 December 1976 Nantucket, Massachusetts, US The oil tanker Argo Merchant runs aground and spills 7.5 million 267
gallons of fuel, causing an oil slick 100 miles long and 70 miles wide
Nuclear 22 February 1977 Jaslovske Bohunice, Mechanical failure during fuel loading causes severe corrosion 1,700
Czechoslovakia of reactor and release of radioactivity into the plant area,
necessitating total decommission
Oil tanker 16 March 1978 Porstall, Brittany, France The oil tanker Amoco Cadiz experiences steering failure and 111
runs aground, spilling 68 million gallons of fuel
Oil tanker 19 July 1979 Tobago, Caribbean Two very large crude carriers, the Atlantic Empress and 120
Aegean Captain, collide at sea, spilling 111 million gallons of fuel
Nuclear 28 March 1979 Middletown, Pennsylvania, Equipment failures and operator error contribute to los of coolant 2,400
US and partial core meltdown at Three Mile Island nuclear reactor
Oil tanker 6 August 1983 Cape Town, South Africa The oil tanker Castillo de Bellver catches fire, spilling 143
75 million gallons
Nuclear 15 September 1984 Athens, Alabama, US Safety violations, operator error and design problems force 110
six year outage at Browns Ferry Unit 2
Nuclear 9 March 1985 Athens, Alabama, US Instrumentation systems malfunction during start-up, 1,830
convincing the Tennessee Valley Authority to suspend
operations at all three Browns Ferry Units
Nuclear 26 December 1985 Clay Station, California, US Safety and control systems unexpectedly fail at Rancho Seco
nuclear reactor, ultimately leading to the premature closure 672
of the plant
Nuclear 11 April 1986 Plymouth, Massachusetts, US Recurring equipment problems with instrumentation, vacuum 1,001
breakers, instrument air system and main transformer force
emergency shutdown of Boston Edison's Pilgrim nuclear facility
Nuclear 26 April 1986 Kiev, Ukraine Mishandled reactor safety test at Chernobyl nuclear reactor 6,700
causes steam explosion and meltdown, necessitating the
evacuation of 300,000 people from Kiev and dispersing
radioactive material across Europe
Nuclear 4 May 1986 Hamm-Uentrop, Germany Operator actions to dislodge damaged fuel rod at experimental 267
high-temperature gas reactor release excessive radiation to
four square kilometres surrounding the facility
Nuclear 31 March 1987 Delta, Pennsylvania, Philadelphia Electric Company shuts down Peach Bottom units 2 and 400
3 due to cooling malfunctions and unexplained equipment problems
Nuclear 19 December 1987 Lycoming, New York, US Fuel rod, waste storage and water pumping malfunctions force 150
US Niagara Mohawk Power Corporation to shut down Nine Mile
Point Unit 1
Oil platform 6 July 1988 North Sea, UK A natural gas leak causes explosion on Occidental Petroleum'S 190
Piper Alpha oil rig
Nuclear 17 March 1989 Lusby, Maryland, US Inspections at Baltimore Gas & Electric's Calvert Cliff Units 1 120
and 2 reveal cracks at pressurised heater sleeves, forcing
extended shutdowns
Oil tanker 24 March 1989 Prince William Sound, The Exxon oil tanker Valdez runs aground and spills 250,000 4,100
Alaska, US barrels into Prince William Sound
Oil tanker 5 June 1989 Canary Islands, Spain The oil tanker Kharg 5 catches fire and spills 19,500,000 165
gallons of oil
Oil tanker 21 January 1993 Andamen Sea The oil tanker Maersk Navigator collides with the Sanko 169
Honour, spilling two million barrels of oil
Oil tanker 15 February 1996 Pembrokeshire, Wales, UK The oil tanker Sea Empress runs aground and spills 19 million 114
gallons of fuel
Nuclear 20 February 1996 Waterford, Connecticut, US Leaking valve forces Northeast Utilities Company to shut down 254
Millstone Units 1 and 2; further inspection reveals multiple
equipment failures
Nuclear 2 September 1996 Crystal River, Florida, US Balance-of-plant equipment malfunction forces Florida Power 384
Corporation to shut down Crystal River Unit 3 and make
extensive repairs
Nuclear 16 February 2002 Oak Harbor, Ohio, US Severe corrosion of control rod forces 24-month outage 143
of Davis-Besse reactor
Oil tanker 13 November 2002 Galicia, Spain The oil tanker Prestige ruptures one of its tanks during severe 3,300
weather and spills 20 million gallons of oil into the sea and
along French, Spanish and Portuguese beaches 134 EXPLORATION & PRODUCTION - VOLUME 7 ISSUE 2

The Accidental Century - Prominent Energy Accidents in the Last 100 Years

underground coal mines, dominated the period from 1907 to 1927. A fourth and final period from 1968 to today witnessed the rise of the

During these two decades, industrial centres throughout the world modern energy landscape, with a diverse portfolio of technologies and

relied predominately on coal to provide energy services, including during therefore a diverse array of risks. This final era is marked by the rise of the

World War One. Throughout this period, ensuring an adequate supply 'portfolio approach' in energy policy where no single technology

of efficiently distributed coal was considered a military priority to power dominates the agenda. In terms of technologies, the past four decades

the wartime effort and maintain industrial productivity. have seen the introduction of combined-cycle natural gas turbines,

improved alloys and turbines for conventional steam turbines, catalytic

Frorn 1928 to 1947, regulators prornoted rnassive electrification converters for autornobiles, cornbined heat and power plants, various

projects as an essential component of modernisation, needed to renewable electricity generators and alternative fuels, to name just a few.

distribute the modern blessings of electricity to the millions of

households that did not have it. In the US, these projects came as part A Closer Look at Three Energy Systems

of the New Deal and other programmes intended to stimulate the The result has been a diversification of energy technologies and strategies,

American economy out of the Great Depression. Near the middle of and a consequent diversification of energy risks and accidents across

this period, natural gas began to compete as a cleaner-burning form energy systems. Consider the present-day risks from just three forms

of fuel, challenging coal in cities such as New York, Kansas City and of energy infrastructure: pipelines, coal mines and nuclear power plants.

Pittsburgh, corresponding with the introduction and rise of natural-

Oil and Gas Pipelines

Oil and gas pipelines are prone to catastrophic mechanical failure from

The period 1948-1967 saw the introduction of nuclear power, the within and impact failure (things crashing into pipelines) from without.

Atoms for Peace project and the start of the Cold War. The Atomic Faulty joints connecting pipeline components, malfunctioning valves,

Energy Act of 1954 in the US encouraged private corporations to build operator error and corrosion induce frequent leaks and ruptures. Looking

nuclear reactors and President Dwight Eisenhower publicly pledged to back from 2007 to 1907, my Energy Policy study noted that natural gas

"strip the military casing of the atom and adapt it to the art of peace". pipelines are the most frequent type of energy infrastructure to fail,

A significant learning phase followed with a slew of early meltdowns accounting for 33% of all major energy accidents worldwide.

and accidents at experimental reactors and research facilities, leading Internationally, between 20 million and 430 million gallons of oil were

to the introduction of the Price-Anderson Act in 1957, an implicit spilled in reported incidents each year between 1978 and 1997, with the

admission that nuclear power provided risks that producers were number of significant spills ranging from 136 to 382 annually over this

unwilling to assume without federal backing. period. The US Department of Transportation has noted that oil and gas

gas-related accidents.

The Accidental Century - Prominent Energy Accidents in the Last 100 Years

Table 3: Major Energy Accidents with More than 100 Fatalities, 1907-2007
Facility Date Location Description Fatalities
Coal mine 6 December 1907 Monongah, West Virginia, US Underground explosion traps workers and destroys 362
railroad bridges leading into the mine
Coal mine 27 February 1908 San Juan de Sabinas, Coahuila, Mexico Mine shaft completely collapses 201
Coal mine 30 September 1908 Palau Coal Mine, Coahuila, Mexico Explosion and fire collapse multiple shafts 100
Coal mine 16 February 1909 Stanley, England, UK Explosion and fire destroy entire mine 168
Coal mine 13 November 1909 Cherry, Illinois, US Fire and explosion collapse multiple shafts 259
Coal mine 22 October 1913 Dawson, New Mexico, US Fire induces explosion that buries workers 263
Coal mine 14 October 1913 Cardiff, Wales, UK Mine shaft completely collapses 439
Coal mine 19 June 1914 Hillcrest, Alberta, Canada Fire and explosion collapse multiple shafts 189
Hydroelectric 1 December 1923 Valle di Scalve, Italy Gleno's Dam completely fails, flooding the local countryside 202
Coal mine 8 March 1924 Castle Gate, Utah, US Three explosions destroy entire mine 172
Coal mine 22 September 1934 Gresford, Wrexham, Wales, UK Fire and explosion destroy entire mine 266
Natural gas 18 March 1937 New London, Texas, US Natural gas explosion destroys entire high school 309
pipeline
LNG plant 20 October 1944 Cleveland, Ohio, US Explosion at LNG facility destroys one square mile of Cleveland 130
Coal mine 19 June 1945 Rancagua, Chile Smoke from fire suffocates miners 355
Coal mine 25 March 1947 Centralia, Illinois, US Fire and explosion destroy entire mine 111
Coal mine 21 December 1951 West Frankfort, Illinois, US Main shaft caves in, trapping workers 119
Coal mine 8 August 1956 Marcinelle, Belgium Fire and explosion destroy facility 262
Coal mine 7 February 1962 Volkingen, Germany Simultaneous methane and coal dust explosion destroys 299
half of the facility
Coal mine 31 March 1969 Coahuila, Mexico Flooding causes avalanche at Mina de Barroteran coal mine 176
Coal mine 26 February 1972 Logan County, West Virginia, US Coal slurry impoundment dam fails and releases 132 million 125
gallons of black wastewater into the surrounding communities
Hydroelectric 8 August 1975 Henan Province, China Shimantan Dam fails and releases 15,738 billion tons of water, 171,000
causing widespread flooding that destroys 18 villages and
1,500 homes and induces disease epidemics and famine
Oil platform 27 March 1980 Ekofisk oilfield, North Sea, UK The oil rig Alexander Keilland breaks apart under fatigue 123
and capsizes, killing entire crew
Nuclear 26 April 1986 Kiev, Ukraine Mishandled reactor safety test at Chernobyl nuclear reactor 4,056
causes steam explosion and meltdown, necessitating the
evacuation of 300,000 people from Kiev and dispersing
radioactive material across Europe
Oil platform 6 July 1988 North Sea, UK A natural gas leak causes explosion on Occidental Petroleum'S 167
Piper Alpha oil rig
Oil pipeline 4 June 1989 Ufa, Russia Sparks from passing trains ignite gas leaking from petroleum 643
pipeline, causing multiple explosions that derail both trains
Oil pipeline 17 October 1998 Niger Delta, Nigeria Petroleum pipeline ruptures and explodes, destroying two 1,078
villages and hundreds of villagers scavenging gasoline
Coal mine 14 February 2005 Fuxin, China Gas explosion destroys Liaoning coal mine, trapping workers inside 210
Oil pipeline 12 May 2006 Lagos, Nigeria An oil pipeline ruptures and spills dirty diesel fuel, causing a 143
fire that destroys three villages
Oil pipeline 26 December 2006 Lagos, Nigeria Oil pipeline explodes, causing widespread fires that destroy 466
more than 300 homes
Coal mine 19 March 2007 Novokuznetsk, Russia Methane gas causes explosion at Ilyanovskaya mine 110 pipelines fail so often in the US that they expect 2,241 major accidents and an additional 16,000 spills every 10 years. Company records for the single Trans-Alaska Pipeline in the Arctic show 642 spills totalling 1.2 million gallons of spilled petroleum since operation began in 1977.

Coal Mines

Notwithstanding improved safety regulations and medical treatment, underground coalmining is still a very dangerous industry. Miners frequently encounter pockets of underground methane gas, which is highly explosive and produced in significant quantities when coal is removed. Shifting and unpredictable geological conditions often make the roofs of mines unstable, and miners face the ever-present risk of flooding and fire, hazards that have increased in recent years as miners dig deeper to reach coal reserves.' Coalmining is so risky that the World Wildlife Foundation reported in 2007 that more than 3,300 accidents occurred in Chinese coal mines, leading to 5,938 deaths in 2005, followed by 4,746 mining deaths in 2006 and an additional 163 deaths per year resulting from coal-related pneumoconiosis." At the Sago mine in West Virginia, 12 miners lost their lives in January 2006 after an explosion forced them to barricade themselves in the mine to await rescue.

Nuclear Power Plants

Because nuclear power plants are so large and complex, accidents onsite tend to be very expensive. The study in Energy Policy found that 63 nuclear accidents occurred worldwide between 1947 and 2007. The study documented that nuclear plants ranked first in economic cost among all energy accidents, accounting for 41 % of energy-accidentrelated property damage from 1907 to 2007 (or US$16.6 billion). These numbers translate to more than one incident and US$332 million in damages every year for the past three decades. Twenty-nine accidents have occurred since the Chernobyl disaster in 1986, and 71 % of all nuclear accidents (45 out of 63) occurred in the US, refuting the notion that severe accidents cannot happen within a highly regulated country or that they have not happened since Chernobyl. Such accidents have involved meltdowns, explosions, fires and loss of coolant, and have occurred during both normal operation and extreme, emergency conditions (such as droughts and earthquakes).

Nor are the risks of nuclear power plants confined to this generation. Using some of the most advanced probabilistic risk assessment tools available, an interdisciplinary team at the Massachusetts Institute of

136 EXPLORATION & PRODUCTION - VOLUME 7 ISSUE 2

The Accidental Century - Prominent Energy Accidents in the Last 100 Years

Technology (MIT) identified possible reactor failures and predicted that the best estimate of core damage frequency was around one every 10,000 reactor years. In terms of the expected growth scenario for nuclear power from 2005 to 2055, the MIT team estimated that at least four serious core damage accidents will occur and noted "both the historical and probabilistic risk assessment data show an unacceptable accident frequency. The potential impact on the public from safety or waste management failure ... makes it impossible today to make a credible case for the immediate expanded use of nuclear power. '"

The US Government Accountability Office (GAO) also recently conducted a survey of nuclear power plant safety since, in the US, 103 operating commercial nuclear power plants located at 65 sites in 31 states provide 20% of the country's electricity. After conducting a physical inspection of plant equipment and assessing indicators of plant performance, the GAO found that from 2001 to 2006 more than 150 incidents occurred when individual nuclear power plants were not performing within acceptable safety quidelines."

Conclusion

Two perhaps uncomfortable conclusions seem to emerge. First, there is no such thing as a 'safe' energy system, much in the same way there is no perfectly 'safe' automobile or aeroplane. Our industrialised and even post-industrialised society has come to rely heavily on the services provided by electricity and petroleum. As people in the developing world embrace higher standards of living and economic growth, to a certain degree they will also be embracing the risk associated with energy infrastructure. Energy accidents will therefore remain an inevitable feature of our modernised environment. Second, improvements can be made. While energy systems do provide a bounty of benefits, energy accidents degrade human health and welfare, destroy the natural environment and exact a toll on society. They are an often-dismissed negative consequence associated with energy conversion and use. This conclusion may seem quite bland to some, given how fully energy systems have been integrated into modern society, yet it also reminds us that with every benefit yielded from energy supply comes some type of cost. •

1. Hirschberg 5, Spiekerman G, Dones R, Severe Accidents in the Energy Sector (1 st Edition, PSI Report No. 98-16, Paul Scherrer Institute, Vii ligen, Switzerland, November, 1998); Hirschberg 5, Strupczewski A, Comparison of Accident Risks in Different Energy Systems: How Acceptable?, IAfA Bulletin 199;41 :25-30; Hirschberg 5, Burgherr P, Spiekerman G, Dones R, Severe Accidents in the Energy Sector: Comparative Perspective, J Hazardous Materials, 2004;111 :57-65.

2. The architects of this database define a "severe accident" as one which involves one of the following: at least five fatalities, at least 10 injuries, 200 evacuees, 10,000 tons of

hydrocarbons released, more than 25 square kilometers of cleanup, or more than $5 million in economic losses.

3. Sovacool BK, The Costs of Failure: A Preliminary Assessment of Major Energy Accidents, 1907 to 2007, Energy Policy, 2008;36(5):1802-20.

4. The study defined a "major energy accident" as one that resulted in either death or more than $50,000 of property damage.

5. U.S. Government Accountability Office, Additional Guidance and Oversight of Mines' Emergency Response Plans Would Improve the Safety of Underground Coal Miners, April 2008, GAO-08-

424.

6. World Wildlife Foundation, Coming Clean: The Truth and Future of Coal in the Asia Pacific, Washington, DC: WWF, 2007.

7. Beckjord ES, et ai, The Future of Nuclear Power: An Interdisciplinary MIT Study, Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, 2003. at. 22 and 48.

8. U.S. Government Accountability Office, Oversight of Nuclear Power Plant Safety Has Improved, But Refinements are Needed, September 2006, GAO-06-1029.