Escolar Documentos
Profissional Documentos
Cultura Documentos
OF INDIA
~"l'-::tI('1~
MINIS:1'.R.OF POWER
q:;~I~Ri~~~
CENTRAL ELECTRICITY
AUTHORITY
cfi"
~~~~
q:,lRq)t
REPORT
ON
SEVENTEENTH
ELECTRIC POWER SURVEY
OF
INDIA
(~
2003
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73
(~)
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MARCH,
2007
2007
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NEW DELHI
RAKESH NATH
{:entral Elei~tf"~ciry/\.Ui.~I"Jri~.\
& Ex ot{jdo
S(-ft~'[:-~r"y,
(;i~VL
(li';:
FOREWORD
The forecast of electricity demand is an important input for power sector planning
to optimally utilize the scarce resources. The electrical energy being clean and the most
convenient form of energy, having preference over other forms of energy, is a vital input
for economic development of the country. The Electric Power Survey Committee
conducts surveys for the power demand and holds discussions with all the stakeholders
on regular basis and make demand forecast not only f,lr use in power sector planning but
in other sectors of economy, i.e., coal, rail, industry, etc.
Our country has been continuing to face power shortages in spite of appreciable
growth in generation. The demand for electrical energy is increasing at the faster rate and
shall continue to grow in tune with the projected growth of economy. The forecast of
electricity demand is done on short and long term basis using international methodologies
of time series analysis and end use method duly validated by the results obtained from
economic and electricity growth indicators. The short term electricity demand also
accounted for compensating the shortages in the assumed base year. The T&D loss
reduction programme was introduced in consultation with the State Electricity Rcgulatory
Commissions who furnish the plans of T&D loss reduction for IIth Plan. Wherever such
programme was not available for full period of IIth Plan extrapolated data has been
considered. The inter-regional diversity factor was also applied for peak demand for the
first time in view of the formation of a strong Nation:tl Grid during the I I th Plan.
The Rural-Urban division of the forecast of electricity consumption was also done
for the first time giving spl'cial importance to rural electrification and development in line
with National Electricity Policy. With all these features the utility of the document would
improve over previous editions of Electric Power Survey of India. The forecast of
electrical energy consumption and energy requirement prepared by the 17'h Electric
Power Survey Committee has projected growth rate of about 10% & 8% respectively for
~~'L~~
the period till 11th Plan end against the actual growth rate of less than 5% during 9th &
initial years of 10th Plan. The corresponding peak demand growth is 9% for period upto
II th Plan end against actual achievement of 5.3%.
The report of the 17th EPS unlike earlier EPS Reports has considered National
Electricity Policy for providing power to all by 2012. The various growth rates
considered have given higher weightage to the latest power consumption trend to capture
the technological changes and energy conservation efforts in all categories of electricity
consumption. T&D losses have been a concern for power sector since these have been
very high as compared with other countries. The present T&D losses including
unaccounted energy are about 30% and there is need to reduce these losses through
efficient management and the best operation & maintenance practices of the transmission
and distribution systems so that more energy is made available for actual consumption at
reduced costs. As per the T&D loss reduction programme proposed by the Utilities, these
are assumed to be brought down to about 22% by the end of 2011-12 and gradually
reducing to 16% by 2021-22.
The electricity demand projections are based on achieving higher energy
consumption and wiping of the energy deficit for sustaining 8-10% GDP growth, policy
issues and the present performance of the power sector. To achieve the load growth as per
projected demand is a challenging task for the power sector in general and Discoms in
particular to create necessary distribution network for planned growth in each sector of
electricity consumption. A strong transmission & distribution infrastructure would ensure
availability of reliable and quality power to spur the interests of industrial and
commercial sectors for achieving faster economic growth and planning large sized power
projects.
I hope that the results of the 17th EPS would serve useful guidelines for all State
Govts., utilities, developers, manufacturers and other stakeholders for advance planning
for their growth.
New Delhi
Dated the 30th March, 2007
(Rakesh Nath)
________________________________
:n:-:-;_~_~__
::;~~lr"
Central
Electricity Authority
~'
V.S. VERMA
MEMBER
(PLANNING)
PREFACE
Electricity being clean and convenient source of energy plays a major role at
every stage of development of a nation. The Electricity Act 2003 entrusts CEA with a
function to prepare the National Electricity Plan for next five years and the
perspective plan for the next ten years. In order to complete the above task, it is
imperative to have the forecast of the electric load for the next 10-15 years period.
This would be the basis for preparation of the National Electricity Plan. The load
forecast also serves as a tool for future planning for capacity addition by various
utilities and other stakeholders. The industries get a good guideline to plan for future
growth dependhg on the availability of electricity. CEA has been regularly bringing
out the Electric Power Survey Reports for this purpose. 16th EPS is the latest in the
available series which gives the forecast till the year 2016- 17. The 17th Electric Power
Survey Committee was entrusted with the task of conducting 17th Electric Power
Survey of India by the Central Electricity Authority in November, 2003. The main
task of the Committee was to review the electricity demand projections in detail upto
2011-12 and to project the perspective demand upto 2021-22.
The eminent members of the 17'h Electric Power Survey Committee are the
heads of SEBs, TransCos, Pvt. Licensees & Electricity Departments of States/UTs,
representatives of Central Ministries (Water Resources, Coal, Heavy Industries,
Power), DYC, PGCIL, BBMB, BEE & REC, Planning Commission & Railway
Board, economist from NCAER, Statistical Scientists from C.S.O. & I.S.I., expert
from The Energy Resources Institute (TERI) and representatives of Associations of
Industries (Special Invitees). In the first meeting held in January, 2004, the members
of the Committee adopted the methodology of End Use Technique and Trend
Analysis for electricity demand forecasting.
Unlike before, this Committee had to face the challenge of accommodating the
new dimensions of economic measures. It had to take into account the various policy
decisions of the Govt in the power sector such as rural electrification and electricity to
';.:~!~>
-:?'
all by 2012, achieving a GDP growth rate of about 9-10%, a minimum per capita
consumption of 1000 units / year etc. The key issues considered by the Committee
were energy shortage due to restrictions & unscheduled cuts, per capita availability to
be enhanced to 1000 units by year 2011-12, energy efficiency & conservation
measures, special impetus on rural electrification & irrigation, thrust to economically
weaker States & Regions (North Eastern Region). The rural-urban division was also
an important factor considered in this forecast. The fulfillment of electrification of all
rural households as per the provisions of National Electricity Policy and the
development of commercial and irrigation sector in rural areas shall result into
about 50% share in the total electricity consumption on all India basis during the
year 2011-12.
The Committee at its Regional Power Survey Offices started collection of data
on the basis of rural urban division and working of demand as per the approved
methodology. The Secretariat also interacted with the State Regulators for drawing up
the programme of reduction of T&D losses and expected load factors of the State(s).
The information of projected population was also collected from Registrar General of
India for determining the expected number of domestic customers on rural-urban
basis. The Secretariat also interacted intensively with Railway Board for finalization
of electricity requirement of railways traction.
It was observed that due to recession in the 8th and early 9th Plan Period, the
electricity sector had a very meager growth rate during these periods. It was, however,
decided to match the energy growth with that of the GDP keeping the electricity ratio
between GDP growth and electrical energy growth optimistic. The preliminary
forecast thus reconstructed, was reviewed in the 2nd meeting of the EPS. Most of the
States except very few responded appreciably. The forecast were again reviewed in
the 3rd meeting of the Committee in August, 2006. The Committee had suggested that
the shortages in electrical energy and peak load may be compensated in the assumed
base year of the forecast and have a uniform growth rate to achieve the final targets
derived. The result of the compensated forecast has been graphically represented for
the first time in this report.
At one stage the Committee felt that the results of the forecast may be tested by
adopting Multivariate Econometric Model. A Sub-Committee of Experts was
constituted for the purpose. An expert in the field was appointed for preparing the
background paper for the Expert Sub-Committee. The base paper was submitted by
the expert.
'~~~~"Central
Electricity Authority
;\1'
2.
3.
Forecast of electricity consumption category wise year wise rural-urbanwise, electricity requirement, peak load, T&D Loss and load factor on All
India, Regional and StatefUT basis for short term in tabular form.
4.
5.
6.
All India, regional and State/UT wise annuaVplan wise growth rates of
electricity requirement, electricity consumption, peak electric load for
short and long term.
I wish to express my sincere thanks to all the Members of the 17th Electric
Power Survey Committee for their able guidance and whole-hearted co-operation and
constructive suggestions made during the deliberations of the Committee. The
Committee is deeply indebted to the representatives of the State Electricity Boards
and other Utilitiesl Organizations for their co-operations in finalization of the report. I
would also like to place on record the valuable support given to me by Shri R.C.
Nakul, Chief Engineer, Shri Ashok Kumar, Director and Shri S. Biswas, & Shri B.C.
Mallick, Deputy Directors, CEA and other officials associated in this exercise.
New Delhi
30th March, 2007
(V.S. Verma)
Member (Planning), CEA
Ex Officio Additional Secretary, Govt. of India &
Chairman, 17th Electric Power Survey Committee
a;~",
.;~._~ -f
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
With the unbundling of various utilities, the number of entities which supplied the data increased
and the coordination between various Discoms, generation companies and planning agencies became
more and more complex which resulted in prolonged interaction and finalisation of the electrical energy
forecast. The data bank used for preparation of the forecast mostly pertained to 8th & 9th Plan. The data
supplied by some of the States particularly Eastern and North Eastern States had been inconsistent. This
required lot of efforts to derive the real indicators of growth in these regions.
This report is a result of intensive interaction with the representatives of the utilities who through
various deliberations gave valuable suggestions.
Sh.V.S.Verma, Member (Planning) CEA and the
th
Chairman of the 17 EPS Committee has been the guiding force in adopting various strategies for
formation of this report. Shri Rakesh Nath, Chairperson, CEA took keen interest in the preparation of the
report and had been regularly giving useful suggestions for improving the contents of the report. The
report was also discussed in Planning Commission with Hon'ble Member (Energy) Dr.Kirit S. Parikh and
Sh.Surya P. Sethi, Principal Advisor(Energy) and others who gave valuable suggestions which were
extremely useful for refining the forecast. There had been interaction with MOP and other formations of
th
CEA who have guided on various aspects of the 17 Electric Power Survey Forecast.
The framework of the 17th EPS was prepared by Shri V.B.Gupta, the then Chief Engineer, DMLF
Division who has superannuated during the course of preparation of the report, and Shri Ashok Kumar,
Director. The final report is the out come of the hard work done by various officers of CEA in Planning
Wing. The credit for the report is also to be shared with the family members of the officers who devoted
their holidays and late night hours for bringing out the report. It is not possible to include the names of all
who made exceptional contribution particularly the assistance provided by the PAs, Stenos, clerical staff
and peons of the Planning Wing of CEA.
The study required complex analysis of different issues and the contributions made by the officers
and officials of the Electric Power Survey Group in the Central Electricity Authority are worthy of
appreciation. Any omission and error is responsibility of the Secretariat of the EPS.
The specific contribution by the following officers of CEA is appreciated and acknowledged with
thanks.
Sh. Ashok Kumar
Director
Deputy Director
Deputy Director
Deputy Director
Assistant Director
Assistant Director
Sh. Y. P. Kohli
Assistant Director
Personal Assistant
Personal Assistant
Personal Assistant
Stenographer
V.D.C.
V.D.C.
Peon
Sh. S. C. Maheshwari
Sh. B. Gupta
Sh. D.K. Meena
Smt. Suman Bala
Deputy Director
Assistant Director - I
Assistant Director - II
Assistaut Director-II
,~~~
O.P.
A.P.
D.B.
A.c.
Singh
Puranik
Bisht
Suresh
Sh.
Sh.
Sh.
Sh.
Sh.
T.Rajender Reddy,
C. Venkata Subbaiah
A.Bose,
Thomas K. Chako
A Kesavan
Deputy Director(Retired)
Deputy Director
Assistant Director-I
Assistant Director - I
Assistant Director - II
Deputy Director
Assistant Director-I
Assistant Director - II
Assistant Director-II
(R.C. NAKVL)
Chief Engineer (DMLF) & Member Secretary
17th Electric Power Survey Committee
New Delhi
Dated the 30lh March, 2007
~-------------_.<.""~.~.~-----_
..,~-------------------10
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ADF-IR
ADF-IS
AELF
AI
APEL
CAGR
CEA
EEC
EER
EM
EPS
ER
EPSC
GDP
GWh
GW
HT
IEP
kW
LT
MkWhlMU
MW
NER
NR
PEUM
REDB
RPSO
SCM
SR
TDL
TWh
U
UT
WR
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==
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]1
INDEX OF CONTENTS
W19'1;Ij:
INDEX OF CONTENTS
CHAPTER
DESCRIPTION
Foreword
Pr'Pjilce
0--------
PAGE NO.
3
_~
n_~
nOn
__
~n_n
f __
__
oo
CHAPTER-II
___
_O~~
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.6
23
-n26
-- --
27
_____
29
---------
n_~
3I
40
aIlcfStiteIUT-\Vlsc
n_n
I-Charts
2.2A, 2.2B
. Charts 2.3A, 2.3B
---------------~
Charts 2.4A, 2.4B
Charts 2.5A, 2.5B
Charts 2.6A, 2.6B
Charts 2.7A, 2.7B to
Charts 2.41A, 2.41B:
0_
_____
45
46
48
L()ad-------
49 --
tb\T:t~~h~,TfB---~~~lnfn~~an~:e~~:c~:qa,~i~:%
Forccas(~--------------- -- -------
Taj)je-2.2~-------- -A1Clndw-and-Si"taUrw{se-Forccast:-Peak
2.3
---
25
~---~-_._-----------------~------
All India
-------
-----------------
~oo
no
f-----
- -9
CHAPTER-I
A~.knoJ17edgeill~ril----------~-n----------no-----
~-~---
Abbrel!iaf{rJlls
n_
SO
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15
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__
__
__
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CHAPTER
DESCRIPTION
Chart
Chart
Charts
Charts
2.43.5
Charts
Charts
2.44.35
2.42
2.42.]
2.43
2.43.1 to
2.44
2.44.] to
Chart 2.45
-~
Chart 2.46
-~
Chart 2.47
"..1<',"
PAGE NO
136
136
137
137
142
142
177
178
179
CHAPTER-III
Table 3.]
Table 3.2
Table 3.3
Table 3.4
Table 3.5
Table 3.6
Table 3.7
Table 3.8
]6
183
]84
185
J86
187
188
189
190-
--
CHAPTER
DESCRIPTION
Table 3.<)
]9]
All India and State/UT wise Peak Electric
Load at Power Station Bus Bars (Utilities)
(2003-04 to 2011-12)
-~----192
All India and State/UT wise Electrical Energy
Consumption (Utilities) (2003-04 to 2011-]2)
-----All India and State/UT wise Transmission & Distributi()n
193
(Utilities)
(2003-04
to
2011-12)
Losses
-All India and State/IJT wise Annual Electric Load Factor
194
(Utilities) (2003-04 to 201l-12)
195
All India and Stale/UT wise Electrical Energy
Consumption-Tota]-Rural (Utilities) (2003-04 to 20] ]-12)
All India and State/UT Wise Electrical Energy
I 196
Consumption- Total - Urban (Utilities)
(2003-04 to 2011-l2)
-~ _.~--~
Tables on Category-wise Electricity Consumption
upto 2011-12 (PEUM)
..
PAGE NO.
-~
T:lWe3.10
Table 3.11
Table 3.]2
~M
Table 3.13
'=--~Tab!~ 3.14
-.
Table 3.]5
r-------~
Table 3.16
consumption
- cOlnn1crcia]
________
_____
197
.~-_._.-
__
198
COnSUITICrS
~,-.~---.----u.--u---~-----------.--...-----]99
All India and State/UT wise electrical energy
consumption - public lighting
-~--~-1----All India-and StateiUTwise'electrica] energy _.u_._.
200
Table 3.]tl
consumption - public water works
--- -.------------ ._-.---_.
-All India and State/UT wise electrical energy
201
Table 3.19
consumption - irrigation ~ pump sets/ state tube wells/
irrigation schemes
--_._~'fable 3.20
All India and State/UT wise electrical energy
202
consumption - LT industries
..
20J
_Table 3.21u_u __ ~ All India and State/UT wise electrical energy
consumption - HT industries
-- -------204
Table 3.22
All India and State/UT wise electrical energy
consumption - railway traction
------All India and Statc/UT wise electrical energy
205
Tabfe'3.23
consumption - non-industrial consumers (HT bulk supply)
----All India and State/UT wise electrical energy
"n
/1'ablC'3:f4- -~
206
consumption - Domestic - Rural (Utilities)
2003-04
to 20]] -12
L____
~_
--
__
__
____
._.
___
Table 3.17
..
I~'"
-~
--
-.
17
-----~_.-
.. ~~
'-/---;
,'t--,
--
CHAPTER
DESCRIPTION
Table 3.25
Table 3.26
Table 3.27
CHAPTER-IV
=-,
Table
4.1
Table 4...!
---
Table 4.3
- -~-- ----------
Table 4.4
--
Table 4.5
Table 4.6
---~------------Table 4.7
---------------Table 4.8
------Table 4.9
Table 4.10
Table 4.11
---------------Table 4.12
--.~~--
Table 4.13
~-------
Table 4.14
Table 4.15
STATEWISE
PAGE NO.
207
208
-~
209--
-~
FORECAST
216
f--------
--
217
218
219
f-- ----
~-----
220
22]
Gujarat
223
224
--
Madhya Pradesh
(Utilities)
--
222
225
--
---226
227
-------------------------------------18
'",~~~i,(-'
';':'
CHAPTER
DESCRIPTION
Table 4.16
--
Table 4.17
Table 4.18
Table 4.19
Table 4.20
Table 4.21
~.
Table 4.22
Table 4.23
---_._-.-
Table
Table
Table
(..Table
Table
---.--
4.24
4.25
4.26
4.27
4.28
Table 4.29
Table 4.30
----.-
L-Table4.31
Table 4.32
Table 4.33
Table 4.34
-
Table 4.35
CHAPTER - V
Table 5.1
-
Table 5.2
PAGE NO.
229
230
231
232
233
234
235
236
237
238
239
240
--._--
24]
--242
243
244
245
246
'-'--
247
-- /-.---
19
228
---
251
252
CHAPTER
DESCRIPTION
Table 5.3
-,-----------
------
----
PAGE NO.
Energy
253
------------
Table 5.4
& Distribution
Transmission
254
--
-----------
Table 55
-----
255
~~~~E~~~VI_~
~~~:'~~lt::~E=kctr:i~)-I)~~l~~
~_j
(Utilities)=_
Table 6.1
----------
Table 6.2
259
----
260
261
---- -------r----------------------------r---.
Table 6.3
__________
111ble 6.4
-------
--_
262
------1-----------------------
-'
Annexure
- I
-----
-------
I Aml~xu~e
- II
IAnnc;u-re
':::1"----
C - VI
"
267
--
--
T;;-h1~;;_n-Growth-i~clfconsumption
out of captive Generation
Long-Run
---
Electricity
269
of electricity--
(2003-04
demand
to 2011-12)
Forecast
----------
---~--------
________________ ~
20
71-J
-i
upt" year
Demand
------
on
of Seventeenth
2'O~~-~2Jor
DV.s:
r .4.,,;';,a;,.(,- -- 'Il-
Forecast of electricity
i\'
'.nlICXIHC
263
I Annexul
J.LJtilities_)
----Long Term Forecast : Compounded Annual Growth Rates
of Electrical Energy Requirement and Peak Electric
Load (Utilities)
Tallie 6.5
I~--
J
I
J,
272
273
'I
----,
2gX
CHAPTER-I
"_~~w
J*'~
'.*,i".
CHAPTER - I
BACKGROUND
The 17'h Electric Power Survey Committee was constituted by the Central Electricity
Authority on 24th November, 2003 with the concurrence of the Ministry of Power. A copy of the
Office Order setting up the Committee is placed as Annexure-I. The ternlS of reference of the
Committee were as under:
(i)
To forecast year-wise electricity demand for cach State, Union Tcrritory, Region and All
India in detail up-to the end of 11thPlan i.e. year 2011-2012.
(ii)
To project the perspective electricity demand for the terminal years of 12'h and 13th Five
Year Plans i.e. year 2016-2017 and 2021-2022.
The Committee held its first meeting on 14thJanuary, 2004 and discussed the methodology
to be adoptcd for forecasting the electricity demand on short term (5-7 years) and long timc
frames and the 'proformae' to be used for collecting data from the State Transmission Utilities or
Electricity Departments or Electricity Boards of the 35 States/Union Territories. Based on the
vicws expressed by the members of the Committec, it was decided that thc Partial End Use
Methodology (PEUM) described in the Section-5 of this report would used for conducting 17th
Electric Power Survey of India to work out electricity demand forecast and that the profornlae
circulatcd in the] ,t meeting would be used for collecting data.
The 2nd mecting of the Committee was held on 26th August, 2005 wherein the draft report
of the Committee proposing forecast of electricity demand upto the year 2011-12 for utility
systems was discussed and a decision was taken that the members of the Committee would
furnish their detailcd observations on thc content of the draft report within a fortnight. The
observations and views of the members of the Committee & State Electricity Regulatory
Commissions were incorporated in the forecast of the concerned States / Union Territories and
the revised forecast(s) were sent to the concerned State Transmission Utilities or Electricity
Departments or Electricity Boards of the States / UTs. The forecast of electricity demand were
revised further for certain States / UTs after holding discussions or on the basis of written
conll1lunication.
The 3'd & final meeting of the Committee was held on 23'd August, 2006 wherein the
revised draft report of the Committee circulated as agenda was deliberated upon as per following
record-notes of the meeting:
23
(i)
'~;:{'~'itt'
(ii)
The demand projections made by the 17th Electric Power Survey Committee by partial end
use method were discussed with representatives of the States/UTs. Some states desired that
forecast for their States be improved based on the per capita electricity consumption of
1000 units as spelt out in the National Electricity Policy. It was explained that the per
capita consumption figure appearing in the National Electricity Policy was the national
average and cannot be applied to any particular State as such to work out the demand
figures. The demand projections worked out were already optimistic. Some of the members
also expressed that non-achievable targets may not be projected and they should be in line
with the future developments.
(iii) The draft report/presentation given in the 3'd meeting contained the year wise pcak demand
and energy requirement for the each y~ar upto 2011-2012, for All India and the various
Regions by compensating shortages in the base year (2004-05). Representatives from
States desired that the year wise peak demand and energy requirement demand be
incorporated State/UT wise also.
ChaplL'f]
In']
'(!iJ;.:r;;lli
8: \lethudolog-y
24
/$Ia",
'~:'4~f"
Central
Electricity Authority
(iv) The electricity demand forecast has been made on optimistic consideration so as to achievc
and sustain GDP growth rates of 8-10% during the 11th Plan period. Infrastructure in
transmission and distribution net work for various categories of electricity consumption
would, accordingly, need to be developed at a rapid pace in close co-ordination with stake
holders. It was also decided that the achievements of the infrastructure and the electricity
load growth would be reviewed after two years of the submission of the report so that
necessary initiative could be taken up for meeting the desired growth rate in the electricity
consumption in various sectors. The electricity demand projections would also be reviewed
for the StateslUTs which actually achieve high growth rates in the electricity demand.
The various points discussed in the meeting have been reviewed and incorporated in the
final forecast based on the specific requirement of various StateslUTs at respective Annexures
and Tables.
1.1
The Time series data of electricity consumption used for establishing correlation tt)!
econometric model did not include consumption in industries out of captive generation.
therefore, leading to lower forecast in respect of year 2011-12 and onwards.
(ii)
The indices have been considered for the period when the electricity growth as well as the
GDP growth were low.
The comparison of three sets of forecast, i.e., PEUM, Econometric Model and as made in the
RepOlt on Integrated Energy Policy (August 2006) of the Planning Commission are given at
25
SUNey
Annexure- VI of this Report. It was decided that the report of the 17'h Electric Power Survey
Committee be released after including a comparative statcment showing gaps and the reasons for
gaps between the three sets of energy forecast on All India basis. It was also felt that a separate
study be conducted from an expert regarding forccast of electricity demand using multi-variatc
econometric model by the Authority and the results revised.
The report furnished by the Resource Person on Econometric
Annexure- V.
1.2
Model is enclosed at
THE STATISTICS/DATA
Chapter
26
Jil;@~t
ji~~'f'Central
Electricity Authority
Annual reports brought out by Regional Power Committees were consulted for load
curves and Inter-State Diversity Factors. The annual data regarding electricity demand,
consumption & captive generation and production in respect of more than 4000 HT
Industries(Existing & prospective) with electricity demand of I MW and above, was collected,
examined and compiled for individual industries on annual basis by the four Regional Powcr
Survey Offices of CEA for the purpose of using the same in forecasting exercises.
Region-wise and State/UT wise data-base was created and updated by the f(llIr Regional
Power Survey Offices of the Central Electricity Authority located at New Delhi, Mumbai,
Bangalore and Kolkata with an objective to complete preliminary exercises for forecasting of the
electricity demand.
1.3
The primary objective of the electrical energy forecast is to assess the electricity demand
for States/UTs so that the States/UTs are able to plan and arrange the electrical energy to meet
demand in full and provide electricity connections to all applicants. The States would thus draw
the strategy to install their own generation capacity for availability of electricity and enter into
power purchase agreements with the surplus States/Generating Companies. The EPS forecast
makes projections of the aggregate power demand over the year and also detailed forecast for
various categories of electricity consumption; so that the utilities arc able to plan suitable
infrastructure for transmission & distribution of eleCl1icity. The demand forecast for various
categories of consumption would facilitate States to identify priority sectors and develop
optimum infrastructure within the limited resources. The electricity demand forecast also works
as a tool for planning the Demand Side Management (DSM) strategy on long term basis for
optimizing the peak demand and also plan long term tariff policy.
The 17th Electric Power Survey of India encompasses various features for fulfilling aims
and objectives of the National/State Policies framed by the Govcrnment(s) in their policy
documents and guidelines. Some of the important objectives of policy arc described below:
The National Electricity Policy notified by the Govl. of India lays down followint:
objectives and due consideration has been given to these while formulating the electricity
demand forecast:
(i)
(ii)
Availability of power: Demand to be fully met by 2012. Energy and peuking shortages to
be overcome and adequate spinning reserve (at least 5%) to be available.
(iii)
(iv)
Minimum consumption of I unit per house hold per day as a merit gtJod by year 2012.
27
Chapter
I : Inlroductioll
& Meth()d()l()~_\
.':
tv)
An action plan for reduction of losses with adequate investments and suitable
improvement in governance should be drawn up by State Electricity Regulatory
Commissions so as to bring these in line with International practices by year 2012-
(vi)
In order to reduce the requirement for capacity addition, the difference between electrical
demand during peak periods and off peak periods would have to be reduccd. Suit3ble
load management technique should be adopted for this purpose. Differential tariff
structure for peak and off peak supply and metering arrangements should be conducive to
load management objectives. Regulatory Commissions should ensure adherence to
energy efficiency standards by utilities.
(vii)
The State Governments would prepare a five year plan with annual mile stone to bring
down transmission and distribution losses expeditiously.
(viii)
In agriculture sector, the pump sets and water delivery system engineered for high
efficicncy would be promoted. In the industrial sector, energy efficient tcchnologics
should be used and energy audits carried out to indicate scope for energy conscrvation
measures. Motors and drive systems arc the major source of high consumption in
agricultural and industrial sector. Energy efficient lighting technologies should also be
adopted in industries, commcrcial & domestic establishments.
(ix)
(x)
High voltage distribution system is an effective method for reduction of technical losses,
prevention of theft, improvcd voltage profile & better consumer service. It should be
promoted to rcduce LT/HT ratio keeping in view the techno-economic consideration.
The Central Electricity Authority issued 'Guidelines for reduction of transmission &
distribution losses' in February, 2001 to all Utilities/ Electricity Departments/ Licensees. The
guidelines state that it would be reasonable to aim for the energy losses in between ]O-l 5 % in
di fferent States taking into consideration the Indian conditions such as development in the
transmission and distribution sector to far flung rural areas, quality of T&D equipment and
meters available in the country, maintenance practices, configuration of system, its spatial
jlllisdiction, nature of loads, etc. The guidelines quote that according to a study carried out by
Electric Power Research Institute(USA), the losses of various elements of T&D system are a,;
pel"below:
Step-up transformers and EHV transmission system.
Transformation to intermediate voltage level, transmission system & step
down to suh-trdI1Smission voltage level.
Sub-transmission system and stcp-down to distribution voltage level.
--
(d)
to
3.0
2.25 to 4.5
-----.-----------.----
,, =:1 Tot~!},osses
('harter
1.5
I . Introduction
& Methodology
4.0 to 7.0
28
$~",
I;:\!~;;:~~'"
Central Electricity Authority
However, in the demand forecasting exercise, the T &0 loss for each State ha~. been
decided in consultation with the State Electricity Regulatory Commissions or State Power
Utilities.
Many States/UTs confirmed that the Governments had announced new industrial policy to
promote and boost industrialization at already existing and new up-coming Special Economic
Zones & Industrial Estates.
1.4
DEFINITIONS
1.4.1
Electrical energy requirement of a power system is the sum of annual electrical energy
consumption by all categories of the ultimate consumers and the Transmission & Distribution
losscs in the system during supply of elcctlicity to these consumcrs. The EER would also be
equal to tou!l electrical energy generation plus import of electrical energy from outside the
system minus the auxiliaries energy requirement of the power stations and export of electrical
energy outside the system. The Energy Requirement are depicted in the block diagram below:
L
Consumer End
Generation End
29
Chapter
-r
at bus
I.
Time phasing between areas located at far east and far west.
30
2.
3.
4.
(b)
Variable factors:
I.
2.
METHODOLOGY
1.5.1
All India, Region-wise, State-wise and Category-wise forecast has been made in detail on yearly
basis for the period 2004-05 to 2011-12 for utility systems only.
31
Domestic
(b)
Commercial
(c)
Public Lighting
(d)
(e)
Irrigation
CO
(g)
ih)
The forecast has been carried out for each State & Union Territory for rural & urban area
separatc!y and aggregated to obtain the estimate for the Region/ All-India.
The electricity consumption in these sectors has been estimated on the basis of number oC
electricity consumers (Mid-year) and their specific elcctlical energy consumption (Average
electricity comumption per consumer).
The Electricity Policy provides Corpower to all and accordingly all the households by 2011-2012
have been considered for providing electricity connections Cor working out of the electricity
demand projection.
Electricity consumption per consumer hus been estimated after studying the past trends and
taking into account the anticipated improvements in the life style and electricity supply position.
A gradual decrease in the level of electricity consumption per consumer has been noticed in
majority of the States particularly in the Stales/VTs who have been suffering from serious
electricity ,horrage. The ,pecific consumption reduction has also been noted on account of new
connection in large number. Specific consumption in domestic category is expected to improve
,)11 account of increased avail".bility of electrici'lY. Accordingly. marginalIy rising trend has bcen
Chapter
32
,L
.i~~/Central
Electricity Authority
~:'"
Irrigation Category
Pumpsets/Tubewells
The following formula has been adopted for forecasting the electrical energy consumption of this
category.
Y =
NxSxH
Y =
Where
H =
Average electricity consumption per year per kilowatt of connected electric load
(kWh/kW)
33
Chapter
i~O~~~
j}!t~~{iii'
,.,
Industrial Category
L.T. Industries
34
(g)
Railway Traction
The estimates for this category are based on the requirement of existing railway tracks and the
track electrification programme envisaged by the Railway Authorities/Rail Corporations. The
estimates as supplied by the Railway Board / Metro Rail Corporation were discussed in detail
and finalized.
(h)
Bulk Non-Industrial
HT Supply
The electricity consumption in this category covers electricity used in Research Establishments,
Port Trusts, Military Engineering Services, power projects (construction supply), etc. The
electricity requirements by specific consumers where data was available have been considered
for the forecast. For other loads the projections were based on the past trends.
1.5.1.1.2 Total Electrical Energy Consumption at Consumer End
The estimates of tctal electrical energy consumption at consumers' end have been anived at by
aggregating the sector-wise projections.
1.5.1.1.3 Transmission and Distribution Losses
The pDst trend in T&D losses for each State, Union Territory and All India has been studied. The
factors which have contributed towards setting of trend in losses are:
(i)
Extension
of the L.T.lOistribution
States/UTs.
(ii)
(iii) Introduction of flat rate rariff for agricultural consumers in many of the States.
(iv)
The losses due to first two causes can be termed as 'Technical Losses" and could be brought
down by carrying out system improvements. The losses due to other causes can be termed as
"Unaccounted Energy" which can be brought down only by administrative steps, introduction of
metered supply to reflect t.he true level of electricity consumption by the consumers and energy
andits of electricity supplying feeders, etc. Any reduction in the "Unaccounted Energy" brought
down by above methods could be accompanied by a corresponding increase in the sale of energy.
Therefore, reduction in electrical energy loss during transmission & distribution of electricity has
been considered for future projections as per loss reduction plan informed by State Electricity
Regulatory Ccmmissions / Boards / Utilities. Most of State Electricity Regulatory Commissions
furnished only short tenn targets for reduction.
35
Chapter
The Central Electricity Authority issued 'Guidelines for rednction of transmission & distribution
losses' in February, 2001 to all Utilitiesl Electricity Departmentsl Licensees. The guidelines
stated that it would be reasonable to aim for the energy losses in between 10-15 % in different
States/UTs taking into consideration the Indian conditions such as development
in the
transmission and distribution sector to far flung rural areas, quality of T&D equipment
and meters available in the country, maintenance practices, configuration of system, its
spatial jurisdiction, nature of loads, etc. Above factors have been given due weightage while
deciding the lower limit ofT&D loss under T&D loss reduction programme by 2021-22.
1.5.1.1.4 Electrical Energy Requirement (EER) at Generating End
The electrical energy requirement at generating station bus-bars has been arrived at for each
StatelUnion Territory by adding the T&D losses to the total electrical energy consumption at
consumers end.
1.5.1.1.5 Annual Electric Load Factor (AELf)
The electric load factor of a power system depends on the pattern of utilization of different
classes of load. If the system feeds block indnstrialloads like Aluminium, Fertilizer etc. having
high electric load factor, the overall system ,oad factor would also tend to be high. In regard to
estimation of electric load factor for future, if the pattern of utilization of differerit classes of load
does not differ appreciably from the past in terms of percentage of total electric load, then it was
assnmed that the system load factor of the past may continue. If, however, as is usually the case,
the pattcrn is anticipated to change with respect to total electric load due to gradual withdrawal
of restrictions Icuts I shedding & under frequency conditions, then it is necessary to estimate the
future electric load factor. A study was made to ascertain how the changes in the load mix may
int1uencc the load factor. Since thcre wcrc restrictions on peak demands and on the use of energy
in thesc years, the electric load factor was obtained after making due allowances for the declining
restrictions, power cuts and under freqnency conditions. Based on these studies and analysis of
future electric load mix, the future electric load factor for each StatelUnion Territory has been
determined.
The effect of peaking loads like that of domestic seClor and commercial sector due to accelerated
programme of rural electrification shall cause declining trend in Annual Electric Load Factor
upto the year 2011-2012 depcnding upon the magnitude of rural electrification. In the States like
Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Orissa, Rajasthan, Madhya Prauesh etc. the effect is estimated to be more
pronounced. In some StateslUTs, the load factor may not decline sharply due to implementation
of demand side management, advance technique" of load management & differential tariff for
peak & off peak hours. In few States I UTs, due to increase in the share of hase electric loads like
industrial loads, the load factor is estimated to improve or maintain its present level.
Chapter
36
~~'"
I.S.I.I.n
Annual Peak Electric Load for each StatelUnion Territory has been arrived at by applying the
estimated annual electric load factor on the electrical energy requirement at the generating
station bus-bars.
Regional peak electric load has been arrived at by applying Annual Diversity Factor-Inter-Statc
(ADF-IS) on the aggregate of non-simultaneous peak electric loads of the States and Union
Territories forming part of the Region.
The following ADF-IS have been estimated applying gradual reduction due to expected decrease
in the severity of Inter-State diversity for Regional APEL projections for the year 2011-2012 as
under:
Northern Region
1.08
Western Region
1.07
Southern Region
1.04
Eastern Region
1.04
1.08
All India Peak Electric Load has been worked out by dividing the sum of the non-simultaneous
peak electric loads of all the regions, excluding the islands, by thc ADF-IR and then adding
APELs of islands to it.
An ADF-IR of 1.03 has been estimated for the year 2011-12 applying gradual reduction in the
existing ADF-IR due to expected decrease in the severity of Inter-Regional Diversity.
IS!.!. 7 Steps Taken to over come the Effect of Cuts. Restrictions
Conditions
The category wise forecast of electricity consumption was made adopting high growth rates of
variables to ensure that the projections are made for gradual improvements in power supply
position with emergence of surplus electricity supply position in year 20] 1-2012 having
adequate spinning reserve as laid down in the National Electricity Policy. A separate set of
forecast of electricity demand has been included in this report adding electricity shortage in full
to the electrical energy available and peak met for the year 2004-2005 and then applying uniform
growth rates for assessing the electricity demand for achieving the targets/objectives as per the
Naticlnal Electricity Policy in year 2011-2012.
37
1.5.1.1.8 The PEUM methodology described above has been applied for rural-urban areas
separately for the StateslUTs for which the bifurcated data was made available, otherwise
estimates were made based on rural-urban division of population/ households or other logics.
1.5.1,2
5'//(ir!agc
(olJ1pcJ/satioll
Central Electricity Authority collects hourly data regarding electrical energy not served or peak
demand that could not be met due to scheduled cuts(Restrictions imposed ), unscheduled
cuts(Load shedding) and under-frequency conditions, from the StateslUTs on daily basis and
compiles the information for calculating electricity shortages. These shortages generally affect
the domestic, commercial or LT industrial consumers i.e., the electric loads mainly responsible
for peaking electricity requirement. These shortages have been treated as factual and total.
Therefore, year-wise and StatelUT-wise electrical energy requirement has been worked out upto
year 2011-12 on the basis of 2004-05 data after adding one time shortages in the base year to the
electric peak met and electrical energy available. The forecast is placed under Chapter II of this
report. It is a macro level forecast and, therefore, category-wise consumption & rnral-urban wise
break-up is not available. The forecast has been modulated to achieve the targets/objectives of
the National Electricity Policy in the year 201112.
1.5.1.3 !:"i'OIl.JI}li'lrii'
Mode/ling
Technique
The econometric model selected by Prof. Rao of JNU was a multi variate model using following
economic indicators:
(a)
(b)
(c)
Electricity Intensity
(d)
Electricity Price
(e)
= a + b.Ln(PCGDP)
whers :
Natural Logarithm
Ln
Q
PCGDP
\ 'hapt<.:r I _ k:ruduuioll
Electricity Demanc1
Per Capita Gross Domestic Product
& Methodology
38
electricity
,,;il~~~/
Central Electricity
Authority
\i
Electricity Price
INTEN
SS
a, b, c, d, e--
n
--------
are coefficients
1.5.2.1 The long term electricity demand projections for the period bcyond 2011-2012 upto the
year 2021-2022, following the results obtained using mcthodologies explained under sections
1.5.1.1& 1.5.1.2have been made by applying growth rates of overall electrical energy consumption
of the StatesfUTs as per the guiding factors detailed below, adding TDL having declining
percentage with lower ceiling as per CEA Guidelines and then using AELF having improving
trend.
The growth rates for projection have been determined aftcr studying th" growth rates anticipated
npto the ycar and keeping in view the enlarging base. The peak t'lectric loads have been
cstimated after applying suitable annual electric load fact()j', in thp case of States and Union
39
Chapter
.~.
Central ElectricityAuthoritY.,~~~
I.:
Territories and suitable annual diversity factors in the case of Regions. All India peak electric
load is the sum of the Regional peak electric loads divided by Annual Diversity Factor-InterRegion (ADF-IR) and of Islands of Andaman & Nicobar and Lakshadweep. This method has
been adopted in absence of any indication about the likely development profile in the StatesfUTs.
The Annual Diversity Factor-Inter-State (ADF-IS) is estimated to have a declining trend in 12'h
& l3tl' Five Year Plan period for the reasons already explained in para 1.5.1.1.6of this Report. The
Annual Diversity Factor-Inter-State (ADF-IS)for 2016-17 & 2021-22 for various Regions as
adopted for making long term projections are given below:
..
2021-22
Northern
1.07
1.06
Western
Southern
1.0625
1.035
1.055
1.03
Eastern
North Eastern
1.035
1.07
1.03
1.06
ADF-IR as estimated for the year 2016-17 & 2021-22 shall be 1.025 & 1.02 respectively.
As the long-term forecast is only an indicative forecast which would facilitate identification of
resources of power for advance action, it is to be considered that the present methodology would
meet the requirements. These long-tenn forecasts will have to be reviewed, from timc to time,
when the outlines of the perspective development on a longer time horizon become available.
1.6
ASSUMPTIONS
1.6.1
(a)
('hapter
The year 2003-04 has been assumed as the base year for forecasting the electricity demand.
The figures for the base year 2003-04 correspond to restricted electricity supply conditions.
The energy consumption figures for the base year are the actual electrical energy sold by
the Utilities or Licensees to the consumers. Therefore, in the case of utilities where
restrictionslload shedding lunder-frequency conditions were imposed, the consumption
during the base year would have been more than what has been indicated in the report.
Similarly, the real requirement of electrical energy during the base year would have been
more than what has been indicated in the report. The figures of peak electric load in respect
of base year indicated in the report are recorded ones. Wherever restrictions were imposed,
the recorded peak electric loads would be lower than what would have been recorded under
unrestricted conditions.
40
/,1
~,~/
."i
(b)
The forecast of the electricity demand has been made for the utility systems only and,
therefore, docs not include a portion of demand of the HT Industries that would be met
from captive power plants.
(c)
Gradual
2006 to
surplus
assumed
(d)
National GDP is likely to grow at an average rate of 8 tolO % upto the year 2011-2012,
continue its growth at an average rate of about 8-10 % during 12'h plan period and is
estimated to grow at an average rate of about 8 % during 13th plan.
(e)
(I)
(g)
(h)
(i)
The Annual Electric Load Factor is estimated to improve in the period beyond 20]]-2012
due to improved implementation
of demand side management, advance techniques of load
management & differential tariff for peak & off peak hours.
(j)
Reduction in Transmission & Distribution losses shall continue in the period beyond 20112012 with an estimated achievement of T&D losses indicated in CEA's Guidelines.
(k)
The Indian economy presently maintaining an elasticity ratio of about 0.75 between growth
rates of electricity & GDP shall have gradually declining elasticity ratio.
improvement in power supply position has been considered for the period 20052011-2012 aiming at power supply to all consumers during the year 2011-2012 i.e.
power supply conditions having adequate spinning reserve. It has, therefore, been
that the electricity shortages shall be wiped off completely in the year 2011-2012.
under accelerated
shall be equal
rural
to number
of
(b)
The shortages have been worked out after accounting for the restrictions, cuts and under
frequency compensation as reported by the StatcsfUTs to CEA in their daily reports.
(c)
41
Chapter
CHAPTER-II
SUMMARY AND REVIEW
~:;~11i/
CHAPTER II
The electricity demand forecast is an important input for planning of the power sector to
meet the future power requirement of various sectors of electricity consumption. A planned load
growth in industry, agriculture, domestic and other sectors is necessary to have unified growth in
all sectors of economy and therefore it is necessary that infrastructure is planned in various
sectors of electricity consumption so as to direct the overall growth of economy in rational
manner. The 17'h EPS has considered appropriate growth rate in all sectors of the Indian
economy to remove the constraints in the electricity supply and achieve accelerated GDP growth
over the growth qchieved during the last 5-8 years.
The electricity forecast exercise, the planning of the generation capacity and development
of the infrastructure in various sectors of electricity consumption are complementary to one
another. The capacity addition for generation and development of corresponding EHV
infrastructure is planned by Central Electricity Authority on long term basis. The present plans
for generation and transmission are aiming to meet the electricity requirement in full by 20112012, make power available on demand and also provide for spinning reserve to improve the
quality and reliability of electricity supply.
The electricity consumption by the end consumer is the guiding factor for evaluating thc
electricity demand for the future. The energy consumption pattern are changing with the invent
of technology and energy conservation mcasures initiated by Government and the industrial
sector. Efforts have been made to collect the data on electricity saving on account of energy
conservation measures initiated by HT industries and the results have shown above 1.5% saving
in energy consumption during the year 2004-05. It has not becn possible to capture the electricity
saving in all sections of energy consumption. However, the higher weightage provided to the
latest trends in the energy conservation follows the latest trend in technology and energy
conservation efforts by various stake holders.
The electricity demand projections are based on various assumptions as enumerated in
Chapter-I. However, to achieve the maximum benefit of the forecast it would be necessary to
dcvelop infrastructure for transmission and distribution for uninterrupted flow of power to the
consumcr in all sectors of consumption like industry, agriculture, domestic, etc. particularly rural
sector, commercial, etc.
45
Chapter
II : Summary
and R<.:vi<.:w
CentralElectricityAuthority!~!,""
V
It has be,'1l noticed in the past that there had been a gap between the electricity forecast alld
the aetllal achievements on all Indi~ basis. For some of the States the gap between the demand
projectiolls and the actual loa.d requiremellt had been very large due to scanty growth of the load
demand. There are 8 States for which the load growth had been scanty (less than 4%) while 17
States achieved moderate load growth of 4-1% against] 6'h BPS growth rate of 6.33% and a few
:lchieved high growth rates. The States with lower electricity
demand growth rate arc
comparatively
less developed States and if these States have to catch up with others, then tbey
arc required to accelerate their electricity cOllsumption in industry, commerce and agriculture so
as to generate sustainable economic developmellt.
The electricity demand forecast has been
prepared based on the "forcsaid phi losophy so as to provide equitable growth ill the COUlltry .
2.2
lolectrical Ellergy Requirement and the Peak Load Demand are important elements of the
electrical supply projections. The electrical energy demand represents the productive clement
which goes into the cnpital building of the nRlion while peak demand is the operational
parameter of th~ utilization of electrical energy. The ideal energy requirement
would point
t\,wards constant load throughout the period under consideration and for the purpose of EPS the
same is on yearly hasis. However the energy requirement of various consumers is different for
different season, iiF11~, place C1.1ld process and energy Jnd peak deumnd changes accordingly. The
r:llic) of peak dcnund and tbt~ I)rr-p('a1< demand in the ;\lllndi3
5YStcll1 varies upto iSOC;;; over
sholt period and '.Ipio)OO% (monthly bilsis) over long term (yearly basis) on allnual basis. The
reduction 01' gap IJelw,,,,n IW,'k lo"d "Tld off-peak load wonld mean higher utilization of the
installed generating cnpaeity. The peak demand could be milnaged with prudent Demand Side
1\-1anagement and co-ordination
between various illdustriClI,
agriculture, cOlnmercial and bulk
consumers. Though various State lItilities arc making effort to shave off the peak through various
initiatives like Timc or the Day ('100) metering and imposing load restrictions in various load
centrcs by rotation, it I~as been, however, noted in many States that the peak load growth has
beell much higher than the corresponding
increase in the energy requirement.
While there is
regular pattern in the growth of electrical energy, the peak load has noticed quantum jumps at
il regular intervals over the years. The sudden jump in the peak demand growth are noticeable in
States with high industrialization,
agriculture or commercial activities like Maharashtm, Punjab,
Gujarat, Andhra Pradesh etc. A stndy of the regional Load Duration Curve (LDC) reveals thm
the high peak persists for short period of less than half an hour on an average which contributes
to 5% peak demand, whereas th" },,,I peak persists for over 4 hours a day.
The high peak cai; be managed through various DSM and energy conservation
measures,
thus the 2"<] peek which is of the order of 95% of the high peak is the rea] system peak. Tbe freak
variations of 56% in peak demand can appenr for short duration on State basis. Thus, the
quantum iucrease in the peak Iknland without corresponding
increase in the energy requirement
woult! he harlll()J\iI,(~d nv(':" JOllV perIod alld arc. therefore, treated as freak illcrc,lse in the load
46
,~!1~;~
demand without having significant impact on systcm operation. Such freak variations of peal<
demand could be met by farger thermal generating units of 200/500 MW capacity by resorting to
VWO operating 1 HP heater by passing etc. It would be rather uneconomical to put additional
generating capacity as such to meet such short time peak demands. The summary of the energy
requirement and expected peak demand by the end of year 2011-11 are given below:
(in GWIl) ,
2010-11}2011-12
181203
195359
209137
""---
Weste rn Region
204819
223054
233486
150457
163710
176037
~--
Easte -~_.
rn Region
__ .
North -Eastern
Re io n ~-------ISLAN OS
59015
64498
7145
7812
Lal,sh acJweep
----.-
Ailino iia
.-
126
146
-----
.,"~-.~~
...
77221
70547
602787
n_
-~_._"-~---.-._~""~._.-
_-- ._';'",,'~'~
--
~-
9326
------
84601
10193
-~----- f----~----
..-- f-----
219
193
_._-~---f---------24
654603
215171
256859
.- --.--"
256U75
268307
281220
------- -- ------.189312 1---203606
219001
235582
-----
-.----,=8534
f---~-- ----
---
22
,,-------
239807
244481
----~-_._~
-.-.---
223928
248
f---------
----.~-
28
26
294860
-------1
253443
-------101805
111802
92767
-.---------
11141
--
294841
... ~---~--
12184
13329
.------.-
.---~-----_._281
_._~
31
34
--------,-.
----~697961 -744515
794561 --848:390
....... -~.~--_._~,.--~'--_ .._.~~_w_
....,~._._-"-
__
-----
~-_.~_
Northern f1egion
~.--------.
2004-05
2005-06
27759
30030
Western Region
31256
33142
Southern f1egion
23516
25673
Eastern Region
9317
10322
Norttl-Eastern
1272
1404
2006-07
2007-08
906316
(in MW)I
2008-09- -2009-10-
2010-11 --2011-121
380214-1131-
-=-------------
-~
35143
37264
39513
41898
27441
29854
32192
34715
37434
12670
14037
15552
17230
1710
1888
2083
2299
~j{)-,,--~-----
Andarnan
& Nicobar
Lakshadwe_ep
All India
28
7
90221
..
1549
-----
ISLANDS
--------
11436
._---~
-~----
.. --
43 ----49 ----56
-'71--'--8 ..-~-- 8
9
~;;8i"37I
--44496
----~-'_c_f__---.--------
44427
__
~---------
~O !
---------. ~
9G86~q:
37
Siate/UT----
~4~41
~::-3-1-6~~-
-- ---
--------
33
un.
~-
40367
----19088
---.--2537
-- ..
- --------
---un
6371
--
47108
_.
1-0------11---{\
-.
97269
104867
113059
121891
131413
141678
152746
-------------------------------------~
.-..:
47
Chapter
ll"
Table 2.1
All India and State/UT wise Forecast
Electrical Energy Requirement at Power Station Bus Bars (Utilities only) (in TWh)
State/UT
2004-05
2005-06
2006-07
2007-08
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11
2011-12
Delhi
Harvana
Himachai Pradesh
Jammu & Kashmir
Puniab
Rajasthan
Uttar Pradesh
Ultaranchal
Chandigarh
Sub Total (NR)
Goa
Guiarat
Chhattisqarh
Madhya Pradesh
Maharashtra
D. & N. Hayeli
Daman & Diu
Sub Total (WR)
Andhra Pradesh
Karnataka
Kerala
Tamil Nadu
Pondicherry
Sub Total (SR)
Bihar
Jharkhand
21.157
21.801
4.516
8.138
35.861
30.392
53.033
5.010
1.295
181.203
2.323
60.124
11.750
34.114
93.217
2.105
1.186
204.819
48.928
35.157
12.698
51.449
2.225
150.457
7.201
11.057
13.980
26.573
0.204
59.015
3.810
0.537
1.374
0.330
0.700
0.158
0.236
7.145
22.853
23.890
5.022
9.450
38.642
32.530
56.167
5.398
1.407
195.359
2.560
63.220
13.230
36.920
103 .200
2.542
1.382
223.054
54.683
37.334
13.760
55.479
2.454
163.710
8.327
12.308
15.371
28.274
0.218
64.498
4.182
0.581
1.460
0.367
0.759
0.210
0.254
7.812
24.684
25.858
5.585
9.722
41.639
34.819
59.486
5.816
1.528
209.137
2.821
66.475
14.377
38.748
106.643
2.849
1.573
233.486
59.311
39.646
14.549
59.824
2.707
176.037
9.629
13.700
16.900
30.084
0.234
70.547
4.618
0.629
1.551
0.408
0.822
0.232
0.274
8.534
26.662
27.989
6.212
10.001
44.868
37.268
63.002
6.267
1.659
223.928
3.108
69.898
15.623
40.666
110.201
3.194
1.790
244.481
64.331
42.101
15.384
64.510
2.986
189.312
11.134
15.249
18.582
32.009
0.247
77.221
5.100
0.681
1.648
0.454
0.891
0.257
0.295
9.326
28.799
30.295
6.909
10.289
48.347
39.890
66.725
6.752
1.802
239.807
3.425
73.497
16.977
42.680
113.878
3.580
2.038
256.075
69.775
44.709
16.266
69.563
3.293
203.606
12.874
16.974
20.431
34.058
0.264
84.601
5.632
0.737
1.751
0.505
0.966
0.284
0.318
10.193
31.107
32.791
7.684
10.585
52.096
42.697
70.668
7.275
1.957
256.859
3.774
77.282
18.448
44.793
117.678
4.013
2.319
268.307
75.680
47.477
17.200
75.011
3.633
219.001
14.886
18.894
22.464
36.238
0.285
92.767
6.219
0.797
1.860
0.562
1.046
0.314
0.343
11.141
33.600
35.493
8.545
10.889
56.136
45.701
74.845
7.838
2.125
275.171
4.159
81.261
20.047
47.011
121.604
4.498
2.640
281.220
82.085
50.417
18.186
80.886
4.007
235.582
17.213
21.031
24.699
38.557
0.305
101.805
6.868
0.862
1.976
0.626
1.134
0.348
0.370
12.184
36.293
38.417
9.504
11.202
60.489
48.916
79.268
8.445
2.308
294.841
4.583
85.445
21.785
49.338
125.661
5.042
3.005
294.860
89.032
53.540
19.230
87.222
4.419
253.443
19.905
23.408
27.149
41.020
0.320
111.802
7.585
0.932
2.101
0.698
1.229
0.386
0.398
13.329
0.126
0.022
602.787
0.146
0.024
654.603
0.193
0.219
0.026
0.028
697.961 744.515
0.248
0.031
794.561
0.281
0.034
848.390
0.316
0.037
906.316
0.344
0.040
968.659
Orissa
West Bengal
Sikkim
Sub Total (ER)
Assam
Manipur
Meghalaya
Naqaland
Tripura
Aru"achal Pradesh
Mizoram
48
$r.llll
';("-::J:W~)
Central
Electricity Authority
Table 2.2
All India and State/UT wise Forecast
Peak Load at Power Station Bus Bars (Utilities only) (in GW)
State/UT
Delhi
Harvana
Himachal Pradesh
Jammu & Kashmir
Punjab
Raiasthan
Uttar Pradesh
Uttaranchal
Chandigarh
Sub Total (NR)
Goa
Guiarat
Chhattisaarh
Madhva Pradesh
Maharashtra
D. & N. Haveli
Daman & Diu
Sub Total (WR)
Andhra Pradesh
Karnataka
Kerala
Tamil Nadu
Pondicherry
Sub Total (SR)
Bihar
Jharkhand
Orissa
West Bengal
Sikkim
Sub Total (ER)
Assam
Manipur
Meahalava
Naqaland
Tripura
Arunachal Pradesh
Mizoram
2004-05
2005-06
2006-07
2007-08.
3.626
4.037
0.772
1.316
7.605
4.967
8.057
0.914
0.248
27.759
0.385
10.226
1.893
5.944
14.986
0.391
0.223
31.256
8.168
5.928
2.452
8.215
0.347
23.516
1.154
1.991
2.237
4.723
0.058
9.317
0.663
0.103
0.264
0.074
0.188
0.063
0.071
1.272
3.905
4.353
0.858
1.600
8.016
5.650
8.714
1.000
0.267
30.030
0.422
10.736
2.150
6.650
16.200
0.431
0.254
33.142
8.810
6.275
2.650
9.420
0.383
25673
1.339
2.222
2.454
5.035
0.061
10.322
0.741
0.125
0.283
0.082
0.200
0.D75
0.076
1.404
4.205
4.693
0.953
1.669
8.451
6.046
9.425
1.074
0.288
32.487
0.461
11.271
2.339
6.923
17.042
0.476
0.289
35.143
9.597
6.642
2.779
10.090
0.421
27.441
1.570
2.480
2.717
5.367
0.064
11.436
0.828
0.144
0.303
0.091
0.213
0.081
0.081
1.549
4.529
5.060
1.059
1.741
8.908
6.469
10.193
1.153
0.311
35.145
0.504
11.833
2.545
7.206
17.927
0.525
0.329
37.264
10.454
7.031
2.915
10.807
0.464
29.854
1.842
2.768
3.009
5.721
0.067
12.670
0.925
0.154
0.325
0.101
0.226
0.087
0.087
1.710
4.877
5.456
1.176
1.817
9.390
6.923
11.024
1.238
0.335
38.021
0.551
12.422
2.769
7.501
18.859
0.579
0.374
39.513
11.388
7.442
3.058
11.575
0.511
32.192
2.177
3.089
3.327
6.099
0.071
14.037
1.034
0.165
0.348
0.112
0.240
0.094
0.093
1.888
5.253
5.883
1.306
1.895
9.899
7.408
11.923
1.330
0.361
41.131
0.603
13.042
3.012
7.809
19.839
0.639
0.426
41.898
12.406
7.877
3.207
12.398
0.563
34.715
2.575
3.448
3.674
6.502
0.D76
15.552
1.155
0.177
0.373
0.124
0.255
0.101
0.100
2.083
5.657
6.343
1.451
1.977
10.435
7.927
12.896
1.428
0.389
44.496
0.660
13.692
3.277
8.129
20.870
0.705
0.485
44.427
13.514
8.338
3.364
13.280
0.620
37.434
3.046
3.848
4.051
6.931
0.080
17.230
1.291
0.189
0.400
0.137
0.271
0.109
0.107
2.299
6.092
6.839
1.611
2.063
11.000
8.482
13.947
1.533
0.420
48.137
0.721
14.374
3.565
8.462
21.954
0.778
0.552
47108
14.721
8.826
3.528
14.224
0.683
40.367
3.607
4.296
4.459
7.407
0.083
19.088
1.443
0.203
0.428
0.152
0.282
0.116
0.115
2.537
0.028
0.007
90.221
0.033
0.007
97.269
0.043
0.008
104.867
0.049
0.008
113.059
0.056
0.009
121.891
0.063
0.010
131.413
0.071
0.011
141.678
0.077
0.011
152.746
49
2008-09..2009:10.
2010-11!
Chapter
.20JH2
2.3
The tenth Five Year Plan has witnessed annual GDP growth rate of 8-9%. India has good economic
fundamentals and also could benefit from vibrant Asian economy. India is not only a large market in itself but
also has large technical and skilled human resource pool to attract investment for setting-up manufacturing
facilities for lots of industries including pharmaceuticals and electrical industry. Neighboring Asian countries
particularly China, Taiwan and South Korea have sustained GDP growth rates hovering over 10% and the
Indian economy has recently shown developmental signs that can possibly sustain double digit growth rate.
Electrical energy is the prime-mover of all modem economies. To achieve high GDP growth India has
already opened up and liberalized its economy across aU the sectors and opened its doors for Foreign Direct
Investment. The new policy has encouraged 100% foreign direct investment in generation, transmission,
distribution and trading of electricity. Necessary precautions have been taken to assess the demand of
electricity to enable the achievement of high GDP growth rate. The elasticity ratio between electricity growth
and growth of GDP is anticipated to foUow declining trend as has been visualized in the Report of the Expert
Committee on Integrated Energy Policy (August, 2006). (Chapter II, Section 2.1, para-6)
The electricity demand forecast is a complex exercise and is a direct function of the industrialization,
population, productivity, per capita GDP, geographical & climatic conditions, seasonal variations and of the
present status of electrification, etc. and accordingly, varies from country to country. Another parameter that
plays a crucial role in assessing with demand of electricity is the energy intensity of various economic
activities. Whereas the developed countries have negative population growth and high per capita GDP, the
developing countries have higher population growth and very low per capita GDP growth. Similarly the
demographic and geographical features also have considerable impact on the total energy demand. The growth
rate of energy demand in India, particularly the electricity demand, therefore, does not follow the growth
signature of other countries particularly when alternate energy sources are non-competitive. The growth rate in
electricity demand further gets influenced with high level ofT&D losses in India.
The growth of electricity consumption and generation in India during the past 30 years is shown in the
table below:
'GRO\VTH OF ELECTRICITYCONSUMPTi:ON
Time Period
Elasticity Ratio
Electricity IGDP
Electricity
Gross
GDP(93-94
Consumption
Generation*
prices)"''''
(2)
(3)
(4)
(5)=(2)/(4)
(6)=(3)/(4)
6.87
7.47
5.40
1.27
1.38
6.60
7.36
5.79
1.14
1.27
6.29
7.09
5.83
1.08
1.22
5.40
6.20
5.80
0.93
1.07
4.05
5.58
6.20
0.65
0.90
4.30
4.37
5.90
0.73
0.74
(1)
{
Charter
IN INDIA
CAGR (%)
II Slll11l1laryand
Rl~\,jCv..
50
_~~~:
The table above shows that the rate of growth of electricity demand is gradually decreasing over
the years, however the GOP growth rates are improving thus projecting a declining elasticity ratio. The
same is also corroborated by IEP reporl.
The energy consumption growth rates of other countries are similar to generation growth as the
T&D losses in these countries have been quite stable. The Indian Electricity Sector is suffering from high
T&0 losses on account of poor infrastructure and unaccounted losses there by strangulating the actual
energy available for end use consumption. The electricity consumption is the driver for the GOP growth
and, therefore, for the purpose of working out electricity growth rates electricity consumption data has
been considered from the past. For future projection the energy requirement has been worked out based on
the various T&O loss reduction targets assessed in consultation with the StatefUTs.
A general review of growth of consumption and GDP of developed and developing economies is
given in the table below:
GROWTH OF ELECTRICITY CONSUMPTION OF soMEo
.
,
CountrylEconomies
30 Years CAGR of Electricity
i
Consumptinn ( % ) (1971-2001)
-
--
-R ECONOMlliS
30 years CAGR of GDP
( %) (1971-2001)
China
8.17
8.19
Korea
12.1
7.36
Brazil
4.58
3.95
Africa
5.38
2.51
Middle East
9.96
1.61
OECD Pacific
4.25
3.36
3.15
2.97
OECD Countries
(Data Source: lEA Publications/website)
A list of countries besides above achieved higher rate of 810% growth and developed countries
that have a growth of less than 4% in electricity consumption during past 30 years period from 1971 to
2001 is given in the table below:
- _GROW~THOF ELECTRlCITY>CONSUMPTION IN SOME 9T~ COUNTRlliS
: Country"NAme _
30 Years CAGR of Electricity
;- __
Consumption ( % ) jI9n-2001)
8.00
Egypt
12.58
10.39
10.67
14.95
9.08
19.18
8.22
4.51
2.87
3.03
1.41
Indonesia
M::laysia
Thailand
S.Arabia
Iran
U.A.E.
Hongkong
Argentina
OECO Europe
Nurth America
Former USSR
\Dnta Source: lEA PublicationsJ\\lebsite)
51
"'''~'E
!~'i
The time trend in various countries is exhibiting reduction in the energy consumption growth rates
over the years. China experienced a growth of about 8.2% in electricity consumption and 8.18% average
growth in GDP over the last three decades during 1971-2000. Similarly, Korea has experienced electricity
growth of 12.1% over thc last 30 years vis-a-vis GDP growth of 7.36%. Developed countries in OECD
had electricity growth rate of 3.08% during 1971-2001. The electricity consumption & generation in India
grew by 6.87% & 7.47% respectively for last thirty years 1974-2005 and the corresponding GDP growth
had been 5.4%.
It is expected that after sustaining high GDP growth for over 15 years, the GDP growth would
stabilize with induction of new technologies and high value addition industries. The elasticity ratio of
electricity growth and GDP growth is expected to further improve from 0.95 to 0.78 beyond 13th Plan
period as per the Rcport of the Expert Committee on Integrated Energy Policy (IEP) of the Planning
Commission. (Chapter II, Section 2.1, para 6)
Taking clue from the foregoing, the electrical energy consumption has been assumed to increase at
a CAGR of 10% upto 20]2 as worked out and 9% upto 2022. This growth in electricity consumption is
expected to support an average GDP growth of 9-11 % over the period of forecast. The GDP growth
expectations are based on the electricity growth and elasticity projections in IEP Report (2006) by
Planning Commission.
The long term demand of electrical energy requirement at the power station bus bars for the year
2016-2017 and 2021-2022 are projected to be 1392 TWh and 1914 TWh (Tera Watt Hours) respectively.
To meet above cnergy dcmand, the corresponding gencrating installed capacity would be about 300 GW
and 410 GW (Giga Watts) respectively. The Plan wise projections upto 2021-2022 are given in Table 2.3.
-
Title
_:
Total EEC-U(Alllndia):GWh
755847
1133749
1593266
968659
1392066
191450X
152746
218209
______
______
APEL in MW
f---
----
0.95
10.07
10.60
52
298253
0.X5
9.39
8.69
10.23
~~""W-~VJf/
Central
Electricity Authority
Table 2.3
Long Term Forecast at Power Station Bus Bars (Utilities)
State
Electrical.Energy
Requirement
(GWh)
2021-2022
20212022
36293
38417
9504
11202
60489
48916
79268
8445
2308
52762
54305
13136
15272
82572
67767
110665
11668
3367
73481
73838
17657
21283
107342
92377
150157
16191
4440
6092
6839
1611
2063
11000
8482
13947
1533
420
8729
9375
2194
2790
14441
11404
19623
2085
602
12069
12557
2907
3857
18352
15101
26834
2849
782
294841
411513
556768
48137
66583
89913
Goa
Guarat
Chhattisaarh
Madhva Pradesh
Maharashtra
D. & N. Haveli
Daman & Diu
4583
85445
21785
49338
125661
5042
3005
6880
119083
33076
70445
167227
8204
4890
9082
156842
45116
98987
219910
12243
7842
721
14374
3565
8462
21954
778
552
1083
19670
5375
11772
28348
1266
857
1429
25447
7279
16129
35944
1889
1324
294860
409805
550022
47108
64349
84778
Andhra Pradesh
Karnataka
Kerala
Tamil Nadu
Pondicherry
89032
53540
19230
87222
4419
132118
79996
26332
134755
6868
175590
107471
36134
182825
9639
14721
8826
3528
14224
683
21845
13092
4574
21976
1061
28216
17464
5916
29815
1489
253443
380068
511659
40367
60433
80485
19905
23408
27149
41020
320
32857
36274
39096
60228
487
58248
51741
63098
84499
629
3607
4296
4459
7407
83
5598
6604
6330
10743
120
9567
9129
10074
15072
150
111802
168942
258216
19088
28401
42712
7585
932
2101
698
1229
386
398
13053
1360
2778
1040
1761
557
595
24433
2337
4015
1505
3180
762
764
1443
203
428
152
282
116
115
2292
270
542
222
387
148
162
3985
445
751
319
666
189
196
13329
21143
36997
2537
3760
6180
344
40
968659
537
58
1392066
779
68
1914508
77
11
152746
119
17
218209
132
19
298253
Sub Total
SR
Bihar
Jharkhand
Orissa
West Benoal
Sikkim
Sub Total IERI
Assam
Manipur
Mechalava
Naqaland
Tripura
Arunachal Pradesh
Mizoram
Sub Total (NERI
Andman & Nicobar
Lakshadweep
Total (All India)
53
Chapter
1,100,000
Chart 2.1(A)
All India: Energy Requirement (GWH)
---
1,0'00,000
~_::: 1------~~-----~-~------~~------~~..--~~-----"-.
!""""
.. ---~~
areOO,OOO
~~
~
t 500,000
~'-~~----
----.----
=
r..l
400,000
300,000
200 000
-+-ACluaIAvi.
__
Estimated
1998-99
1999-00
420,315
450,744
I
I
2000-01-
2O?1-02
~-
467,568
483,520
L.
200~-=-0412004-05
I
497,769
---'
Actual Av!.
2005 - 06
2006 - 07
2007-08
2006 - 09
654603
697961
744515
794561
602787
Shortage
2009-10
2010 -11
2011-12
524.2991559.684
. 848390
~!16
Estimated
968659
.-.
Chart 2.1(B)
Alllndia: Peak Demand (MW)
160000 .
150000
140000
,...j
30000
~ 20000
~
=~
10000
"
Q
V>
V>
~ 00000
"
!l.
90000
80000
70000
60000
!-- Actual met 63691 I 67880 I 71262 I 71547 I 75066 I 75842 " 80189 I
I
I
! Estimated ~I
~__
I _'~ __ L
._' ..
90221 I 97269 QCl486711l3~
!
Actual met
_----r
Shortage
!'
,
12l.891I 131413.h41679 :152,7461
Estimated
=
Chart 2.2(A)
Northern Region: Energy Requirement (GWH)
330,000
280,000
S?
~
8
E
tt)
S
d.l
--~-j
230,000
,"&
II,
d.l
,.,
~
180,000
~_~~ __
~__
~__
........fl:-_,
'
..
._1
I
I
I
d.l
'"
130,000
80,000
[Actual Avl.
1998~99
122,492
131,OlJ
134,824
141,948
2oo2~03 2003-04
2004-05
146,500
165,350
154,533
181203
Estimated
Actual AvI.
2005-06
2006-07
2007-08
2011-12
195359
209137
223928
239807
294,841
Shortage
256859
275171
Estimated
Chart 2.2(B)
Northern Region: Peak Demand (MW)
55,000
50,000
45,000
~ 40,000
:::
35,000
""e=o
V>
-.l
30,000
.:.:eo
&:
25,000
20,000
15,000 '
10000
,-
1998-99
I 17.876
~";m",ed_I
-'
IAClU,1met
Co
<
L_.l __,.J.__
Actual met
2005 - 0T006
--'-__
.l..E.759
30030...1 32487
Shortaae
_I
- 07 2007,08.2008
35145
~--I---L-..2802~113!--',""""~8.132J
Estimated
--Chart 2.3(A)
Western Region: Energy Kequirement
(GWH)
320000
I
220000
~-
170000
120000
70000
1998-99
1999-00
2000-01
ActualAvl. 106807
116518
121617
Estimated
233486
244481
"
~
~
~
256075 268307
it'
Actual Avl.
s0
Shortage
~
h
~
'3'
0
'~'
9/
""
Chart 2.3(B)
Western Region: Peak Demand (MW)
50,000
45,000 ~------'--~------'
40,000
6
'0
35,000
1--- -- ---,--,---,---
-----'-,-,-------
I1.,
-----_
"s
v.
'-0
"
I"
Cl
30,000---------
""
"
--------,--,-
---,,-----
----------~---~-~
~
20,000 ---
Actual met
Shortage
Estimated
280000
(GWH)
---------------------------.--.----------.--..
---.-------------------------------------------1
260000 --------
------
-----------~---------------------____J
---Ii
240000
220000
~".
0',
0
-----~---i
200000
-I
180000
~
f<1
160000
-----j
i
--------i
140000
--------(
120000
---I
100000
80000
1998-99 . 1999-oo! 2000-01 2001-02. 2002-03 2003-04
Actual Avl.
108005
120594
127156
131144
134544
137740
163710
Estimated
_ Actual Avl.
Shortage
176037
189312
203606
219001
235582
Estimated
253443!
Chart 2.4(B)
Southern Region: Peak Demand (MW)
45,000
40,000
~5,000
::s~
"0
=e 30,000
"
.:.:
""
!l. 25,000
20,000
,<
Actual met
Shortage
Estimated
=
Chart 2.5(A)
Eastern Region: Energy Requirement (GWH)
?:
e-
90000
,e
--------~
80000
0-
>'"~
c
a:
70000
______
50000
..
4000(1
_______
199899 1999-00_1'
2000-01_ 2001-0~~02-03.
, 456~9 ,~~8
~~stim~_
Actual Avl.
50597 _j.~094!
L-_~
, 20.11-12
~003-04120~~-05~~05-06
54977
---.l
59015 '
L~O~, 64498 I
YEAR
Shortage
70547
n221
84601
101805
Estimated
111802
at
"
S
()
~
0
;;r
rn
iiO
Chart 2.5(8)
Eastern Region: Peak Demand
Q
0
0
~
p
18500
---~-~-~---~~----~---
16500
"c
14500
0\
'"
2:
"
12500
-------------------
---------
--- -
-"----
---
---
-------
0.
/
--- .7---~~-------~----~
10500
8500
------------------
------.----
------
-------------~-------------
-------
--------
6500
r.......-Actualmet
',
EstImated
Actual met
Shortage
Estimated
c
S'
a
,
"
Chart 2.6(A)
North Eastern Region: Energy Requirement
14500 r--------------------------
- -------.---
"_
..
(GWH)
i
13500 --------12500
11500
-----
--
---
----
----------
---------------------
---
-----1
-------------------------
---- - --j
-------"!
10500
---------- - -- ---
9500
-----------------i
i
i
-----~- ----------------J
- - ---------------------------j
1998.991999-002000-01 2001-022002'032003-04
5104
Actual A vI.
5432
5855
6195
6288
2010-_11.2011-12
6674
Shortage
Estimated
i
!
()
~
-->>,,-':,;i'i;"'~.
Chart 2.6(8)
..
North Eastern Region: Peak. Demand
_'1",.,,_'
_-_
..~,.,-_...
i&"
'<,
_.~-------_.__ __ ._,-~~-
_.,-._~-~-_.---"_."-
rn
-I
i
~
I,
---1
------------------1
i,
1200
-------
1000
800
r~'--
--
- --------------1
i
1998-99 1999-00 2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 200+05 2005-06 2006-'07 2007-08 2008'09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12
862
932
1043
1055
1119
1219
1~28
1272
""'*""' Estimated,
1404
. YEAR:
Actual met
Shortage
Estimated
'"
"B:
'"c
"S-
'"
Chandigarh:
Chart 2.7(A)
Energy Requirement
(GWH)
2,500
2,300
2,100 .-.-.-.
--.
1,900 --.---.,----.------------.--
..----.--
1,700
e~ 1,500
r.J
1,300
1,100 -
--
-'
-.-.-------
900
700-------
--
-.--.--.-.-.---.--.----
500
'1998-99
Actual AvI.
922
1999-00 2000-0 I 2001-021 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12
960
967
Estimated
997
i
..l..
Actual AvL
1.059
1.087
1.286
1295
Shortage
1407
1528
1659
1802
1957
Estimated
2125
2.308
Chart 2.7(B)
Chandigarh: Peak Demand (MW)
450
400
350
--.--------.--~--.--.-------
.__ J
.--.-------
I
I
300 -------
-.----------~
.. -----.
--~-
i
J
i
.. ---.--
250
Actual met
..
II
.-_~w
-----, I
._._
Shortage
Estimated
Chart 2.8(A)
Delhi: Energy Requirement (GWH)
40,000
35,000
--------~
----------------
------------
---'
--------
---
-------------------
---
I
I
,..;30,000
~
~
--J
I"i
r.l25,000
--------l
20,000
15,000
1998-99 1999-00 2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009"10 2010-11 2011-12
Actual Avl.
16,184
17,141
17,667
18,741
19,567
20,160
20,952
21157
Estimated
Actual Avl.
22853
Shortalle
24684
26662
28799
31107
Estimated
.33600
36,293
II
Chart 2.8(B)
Delhi: Peak Demand(MW)
6,500'm",--,-,---,-",.--,,
"_,,
__
.,, .m,,,,
__",m
'w_,
6,000
5,500
5,000
6
4,500
4,000
3,500
3,000
2,500
2,000
1998,
99
I'
1999, 2000, I 2001, 12002, 2003--' 2004-1200S -12006 --I 2007-12008J- 2009--12010-1201100 ' 01 ,02
03 1 04
OS 1 06 1 07 ' 08 I 09
10 I II I 12 1
I
-,--~-r----,,-
--+----1-
'--1- - ~----,-----
L_
..J __
Actual met
~' __
J.
36~
Shortage
390S G20S
--L':
1
,'----,
---~--,
' __
! 4S29l4872...U2s3j.2IJS7l6,On
Estimated
"j
Chart 2.9(A)
Haryana: Energy Reqnirement
45,000
(GWH)
------------------------
40,000 --------------
---------------~
-------------
35,000
30,000
e. 25.000
~
r-l
20,000
15,000
10,000
------------
----
5,000
--
Actual A vI.
Est:mated
1998-99
199900
200001
200102
200203
200304
200405
13,808
15,578
16.793
17.839
19.688
19,779
20.562
21801
Actual Avl.
2005-
200607
200708
2008-
09
200910
2010-
06
11
201112
23890
25858
27989
30295
32791
35493
38,417
Shortage
Estimated
Chart 2.9(B)
7,000
8,000
6
5,000
4,000
3,000
1--+-l-t-;;--1-~
i 5060 ~56
I 5883 . 6343 I 6,832J
Actual met
Shortage
Estimated
Chart 2.10(A)
Himachal Pradesh: Energy Reqnirement (GWH)
--'-.-----.----------,
10,000
9,000
'.---- ..." ..
~--~-
----!
!
!
I
1
-
.1
Shortage
7684
8545
Estimated
9,504
Chart 2.10(B)
1,600
1,400
1,200
1,000
800
600
Annal met
Shortag:e
Estimated
=
Chart 2.l1(A)
Jammu & Kashmir: Energy Requirement(GWH)
11,800
10,800
I,
I
I
9,800------
-.--
=:s:
8,800
=ir.1
7,800
I,
6,800
5,800
I
4,800
Actual A vI.
199899
199900
200001
200102
200203
200304
200405
5,429
4,979
5,375
5,606
6,317
6,780
7,387
8138
Estimated
Actual Avl.
Shortage
2005-
200607
2007-
2008-
2011-
08
09
200910
2010-
06
11
12
9450
9722
10001
10289
10585
10889 11,202
Estimated
Jammu
Chart 2.11(B)
& Kashmir: Peak Demand (MW)
2,300
2,100
1,900
::::
I
1,500 ~
1,300
'"
V>
~
"
!
1,700
6
""
0:
Ei
"
.....,
I
I
1,100
"
'.
--+
300 ~--'-~-------'--'----'
,
i,
~
j
700'--~--"---'~
500
, 1998,
I
99
---
'-, ,':--t,
1999,
00,
n._
2000,,2001,'
01 I 02
'-----,~-'
-'-n
"
'
Actual met
999
--,
'
"-~-+--'I-
;_m'~_
1,060,
i
1
__ .'...
--T------
1---'
,
-.
~6_11600i~9
Shortage
'-,-~-C-'~~
I'
~----
.....
~7~U
. ---
1~
~-'~---'--'I
~-.-+_-----:-~-
l,J8~~
1977 ,,].,0<i3.1
Estimated
Chart 2.12(A)
Punjab: Energy Requirement (GWH)
67,000
62,000
67,000
-~-~~
-------
--~-~--
s=-
a:
----j
52,000
________
47,000-
~
Il:l 42,000
r.i
II
37,000
32,000
I
27,000
22,000
1998-
99
199900
200001
200102
200203
2003-
2004-
04
05
200506
200607
200708
200809
200910
201011
201112
38642
41639
44868
48347
52096
56136 60,489
Actual Av!. 24,385 26,286 26,923 28,066 ' 28,333 30,520 32,851
35861
Estimated
Actual Avl.
Shortage
Estimated
Chart 2.12(B)
Punjah: Peak Demand (MW)
-------~----------~-_.
12,000
__
._...
- -'-_'.,-,
..
_--~--~
.....~_.,_.,----,_._.
__
._---"'.._
.._-------_.
__ ._--------'.---------------.!
,
1
.--1
11,000
-j
10,000
!
9,000
~----.--------.--_.--.
8000
7:000
----.
'-'~'~--rY'-
1-
6,000
5,000
4,000
I 1998-
i 2000 - I 2001 - i 2002 - I 2003 - . 2004 - i 2005 - I 2006- I 2007 - I 2008 - i 2009 - I 2010- I 2011 - 1
'
1999-
I.:---j-
99~_OOJ
_01
I 02 -l__
O~L,(),~1_~-IActual met) 4,42.l._W'<129+-4,90~i 4,936..L.5,455j ~622.l6,~_
~mate<l..L-
_....J __
Actual met
L__
!
__
-'-
06
.J_02...l . ....Cls....L09_1_10
1 __
1__
-~~-f_1~J
L __
-1--
7~os..L~~16..L8451....!~908J.
9390
Shortage
t-__
l. 98991.104~El,00ol
Estimated
Chart 2.13(A)
Rajasthan: Energy Requirement (GWH)
51,000
-I
46,000
-I
41,000
i,
~
~
~
"
----~--~-
36,000
--- ---
- --i
r:li
r.i
00
31,000
I
26,000
--.-----~-----.--.
--------------------~
I
21,000
]998-1 ]99999
00
'r
2000- 200]0]
02
2002- . 2003- 2004- 2005- 2006-1 2007- 2008- 2009- 2010- 20]]03
04'
05
06
07 I 08 . 09
]0
]]
]2
L_l_
IEstima~tec!._L_-------1-_
Actual A vI.
..J __
_~
Estimated
48,9]6
Chart 2.13(B)
Rajasthan: Peak Demand (MW)
9,000
8,000
:::
7,000
:;::
~
-e
=
"e
6,000
"
~
--.J
'"
""
'"
5,000
4,000
3.000
Actual met
Estimated
Actual met
Shortage
Estimated
=
Chart 2.14(A)
Uttar Pradesh: Energy Reqnirement (GWH)
90,000
80,000
--~-~--
----,I
70,000
60,000
-------
-----i
~
~
50,000
r.i
ex
40,000
o
30,000
.---
-- .. -----".--
:;..--
---+--
--
~~------_
-\
~------
II
--~-~
-- ----
.. -
Ii
i
20,000
----~--_._-,-------_.
__ ._._---_. --
,
i
---.----
10,000
199899
199900
200001
200102
200203
200304
200405
37,129
37,493
39,785
38,326
41,424
42,581
53033
Estimated
Actual Avl.
200506
200607
200708
200809
200910
201011
201112
56167
59486
63002
66725
70668
74845
79,268
Shortage
Estimated
Chart 2.14(8)
Uttar Pradesh: Peak Demand (MW)
16,000
.---.--
.. -.- ..-.-.-
---------1
"""-'--.-.
14,000
12,000
10,000
00
8,000
--.
6,000
~~_
..
4,000'
,--__.I.~~o_-.~f~'
11\ctualmet.5,1895,525.~5,641-+-?,990
!,:stimatedl_l_
"
._
Actual met
03
Lo~~~I~~_._09
15,750 16,0291
.....
_' ... ....J..
._!_.
6,44~
....
i~57J....8.71~
Shortage
_ .._'
__
942UI0193
"~""~~W
1- r ....1.... __ .'
: 1I02"JJ.l923J..1.2.896113,947j
Estimated
Chart 2.15(A)
Uttaranchal: Energy Reqnirement (GWH)
9,000
8,000
7,000
s
::
~
~
6,000--
5,000
... -.--------.
00
IV
4,000
3,000
2,000
1999- ] 2000-;
01
00
199899
2,250
Actual A v!.
2001-,
02
2,384 f,245
200203
200304
200405
3,808
4,197
4,852
Estimated
-1
Actual Avl.
5010
Shortage
200506
5398
200607
5816
200910
6267
6752
7275
Estimated
201011
2011- .
12
8,445
Chart 2.15(B)
Uttaranchal: Peak Demand (MW)
1.600
1,400
1.200
1.000 -~--.--.
00
800.--.----
600 .-
--
...
--
..
-
~- ...
-
~- --
.-~.-.-
..-
n_.
..
Actual met
Shortaee
Estimated
Chart 2.16(A)
Goa: Energy Reqnirement
(GWH)
::::[h__
38001--------
----
---
----
-------1
-----i
- ---------------------------
33001---------
------l
--------
::::r ------_--_-___~~~_--.
-_-_-------1
------,
1800
1300
I------
--------
800
1998-991
IActual Avl.
1465
1999: 00
1314
1525
Actual AvL
2001-
2003-
02
03
1772
!Estimated
200001
2002-
1845
2004-
2005-
04
05
06
1979
2323
2323
Shortage
200607
2007-
200809
200910
201011
08
2821
3108
3425
3774
4159
201112
I
2560
Estimated
; 4583
Chart 2.16(B)
Goa: Peak Demand (MW)
750
------.----'-------.'"'
..
~,---
~
650
,
iI
II
i
ESO
i------------------
450
-t---
350
250
,
I
\
150
1998- I 1999--"-99
Actual met
IEstimated_1
I
2000- I 2001 -I
2002-
2003-
OOr,<Jl~:-~L.'l3.-~~-~--i--~
Actual met
1_385_L
-'--__
07
1
L2.8~--'-42.z..L 4611
Shortage
08
I
504 L551
09
10
---1--
11
6031660
Estimated
2011- I
12
__
: 721
J
.
90000
Charat 2.17(A)
Gujarat: Energy Requirement (GWH)
--------------------------------------
-----
80000
~_u
------
70000
-----------.-.-------
-------------
60000 --
--
--------
----
--1
--- ------
50000 -----------------
40000
----------------------
------.-----_.~
30000
20000
199899
Actual A vI.
Estimated
i
I
;
1999- 2000- 2001- 2002- 2003- 2004- 2005- 2006- 2007- 2008- 2009- 2010- 201105
07
10
11
12
00
01
02
03
04
06
08
09
!
Actual Avl.
Shortage
Estimated
14,500
12,500
'"=
10,500
...:'"
Q
'"
Il.
8,500
-+
6,500
~.
4,500
Actual met I
IEstimated
1998 -99
199900
2000-01
2001-02
2002- 03
2003 -04
5,877
5,962
6,905
6,700
7.336
7,204
---"-------
2004-05
2005 - 06
20~. 07
10736
1]271
7~~
]0226
I 2007 - 08
I
1]833
I 2010-1]
2011-12
130421\3692
14,374
12422
A~rll~lmet
E tim!'ltp.rl
Chart 2.18(A)
Madhya Pradesh: Energy Requirement (GWH)
-~----------_.-
50000
-.--------------------------.---,
45000
~OOOO
~
.!!l5000
g.
00
00
~
0:
~
1110000
'"
25000
20000
15000
1999-00 2000-01
1998-99
24675
Actual Avl.
25389
25365
2001-02
2002-03
2003-04
2004-05
19386
26493
27171
29401
--.1.
Estimated
Actual A vI.
2005-06
2006-07
2007-08
2008-09
2009-10
36920
38748
40666
42680
44793
34114
Shortage
2010-11
2011-12
47011
49338
Estimated
._--,,
9,500
8,500
7,500 .
E.
'"=
S
6,500
~
""
5,500
..
4,500
3,500 .
2,500
11998'11999,,2000,
2001,'12002'12003,.
00 1 01 I 02
IActual met1 3,558 3,5821 3,951 . 3,298 _~~
4.800
L....2~
~mateU_--.L__ -r--_..
Actual met
2004'12005'12006'12~7',
2008'12009,',2,010'12,011',1
==_i_,_i_.
Shortage
'
Estimated
Chhattisgarh:
Chart 2.19(A)
Energy Reqnirement
(G WH)
23000
I
21000
~
19000
,
I
-i
17000
II
-----,,
15000
~
~
r.i
13000
11000
9000
7000
5000
Actual Avl..
1998-99
1:9-[
200001
200102
8670
9154
9382
6847
Estimated
200405
2002- ,
03
9561
! 11556
i
Actual Avl.
200607
200708
200910
I
I
11750
Shorn"e
14377
15623
18448
Estimated
Chart 2.19(B)
Chhattisgarh: Peak Demand (MW)
4,000
3,500
3,000
."C
=e
~
"
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
'1998-99' 1999-
_I
fActual met
!,212W226
2000-
2001- 1 2002-
2003- 1 2004-
2005-
Actual met
.--L_ --"_.
2006-
2007-
1893-.1'2'150
Shortage
2010- 1 2011-
2008-
f- ~ +-~-,--_()8_j
T- 02 _ ~
~ 04_
Os....
_1_1,329.
__ 1,159.n 1,492 . 1,569 11,749
09
10 ~
11
_1. 2339J.}545
-27691 3012
3277
Estimated
11~
I
3,565l
Maharashtra:
(GWH)
140000
120000
100000
"
'0
80000
""-"~--"--
---"
~
.;
IV
60000
40000
20000
~Vl.:
1"'8_99-00 I
63220
69344
1_
2000-01
71382
,Estiffintedl
..L
Actual AvI.
200 1-02
73934
2004-05
2005-06
2006-07
2007-08
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11
2011-12
103200
106643
110201
113878
117678
121604
125661
82043
93217
Shortage
Estimated
Chart 2.20(B)
Maharashtra: Peak Demand (MW)
----------------,
23,000
I
I
21,000
19,000
e:
17,000
'"
15,000
<=l
""Ii
13,000
"""
11,000
'D
It
I
I
9,000
I,
,,
,
7.000
Actual met
Shortage
Estimated
Chart 2.21(A)
Dadra
5500
& Nagar
----- --- ,---~---
~'---'--,--,-,---~-----
5000 --
---
--
4500
4000
3500
--
--
---
3000--2500
--'
----
------
----,
-------,--
---
--
--
----,-,-
'----------~'----,
------
2000
'------..
1500
1000
500
199899
Actual AvI.
,Estima~_
697
955
'
1~
1099
, L__
'
Actual AvL
i 1504
1821:
L __
,_I
__
2007-
200809
200910
201011
201112
3580
4013
4498
5042
-~-L
2105
,2105 ,2542'
Shortage
Estimated
--l
900
800
700
600
'8
"a
500
"
Q
\0
en
400
"
ll.
300
200
i
100
1998-: 1999-120001_ -
L 1III
ItstlmztC<G
=
2004-'2005-12006-12007-12008-
t....<J~1._
"2009-! 2010-,2011-'
__03_ L04 __
~~.J..rY7.-+""O~L_09_'
_IO""~~E._
130-, __171.. '-190 -'- 201 .1_.3i5 __ _391. -'- __
.1. __
I
1
6
'
..1_
. 391
431J
4"7~ _.22~ .L579.l~9_!_7~
~ 778..J
__99_~0~L
Actual met
i 2001-'2002-12003-;
Actual met
~I-j~2_'I
Shortage
.J--t-----L- _1
'
Estimated
=
Chart 2.22(A)
Daman & Din: Energy Requirement (GWH)
--- .'.---'--~
~_.----..
----.-------,
..
,.. ----.---.--~------~.----..
--..
~--~--.---.-,'.----,'--'-----1
.
3000
------
------~.-.-------.-.
__ .. -- ..-------
...--.--------
..---.-
..--.-~--------
-.~
2500 ----
---
- -
--
2000 ----------------
-- -
--
------
------
------
1500 ---------
----
----
-----------
500
Actual Avl.
592
1999- 200001
00
620
800
...-J_.l
]Estimated
717
200102
Actual Avl.
-------.----------j
1000
199899
---
___
200203
2003- I 200404
05
200506
200607
200708
200809
200910
966
1l()~_t_~1186
. 1186
1382 . 1573
1790
2038
2319 I 2640
____
...--1.-_
Shortage
----i
2010- . 201111 I 12
Estimated
3005
Chart 2.22(B)
Daman & Din: Peak Demand (MW)
500---
400
-'-
-.--------
.. -.-.-.
5
""=
'E"
'"
.:.:
'"
'"
300
_m
_.
__
__
2001-----
__
._
mm
m_~
1001--~-
oL
-----l-
199R99
--
ActuaJll1etL~04
]999 00
-----
__
1 05
2000 01
lOR
140
170
2003 04
2004 -
190
223
05
2005 06
2006 07
2007 08
254
2R9
329
223
!Estimated
Actual met
Shortage
374
~
---i----
426'
485
Estimated
i
:
,
--1---
----~
552
Chart 2.23(A)
Andhra Pradesh: Energy Reqnirement
90000
----------.-
--
80000 ---------
--.--
70000
-----.--,-.--'--.-.-----.----
60000
--------.----
(GWH)
---------,--,-----.
------.-.----.
50000
40000
30000
20000
Actual AvL
1998-99
199900
200001
200102
200203
2003,
04
38787
43695
44685
44890
45788
45916
2004,
05
Actual A v!.
. 200506
200607
200708
2008- . 200910
09
201011
201112
54683
59311
64331
69775
75680
. 82085
89032
48573
48928
Estimated
Shortage
Estimated
Chart 2.23(B)
Andhra Pradesh: Peak Demand (MW)
17,000
15,000
13,000
'"=
11 ,000
"
Cl
..:.:
"
9,000 ------.----
-----------
""
7,000
----
.. --.
Actual met
Shortage
Estimated
'"
'0
Karnalaka
?,
CharI2.24(A)
: Energy Reqniremenl
(GWH)
63000
Ii
\
53000
~
~
i =-:;:
.~.
I s~
0
0
13000
3000
_~
._,._'_.
" __
I
1
1999-
2000-
I',
-.-.--f---+--~-~
22739+261()5_f_37685
L_,..J
LEstimate<f.~I
h998-99
~ctua~vIj
__ .
Actual AvI.
!
I
2001-.,
02
2002200320042005- I 200603 . 04 , 05
~~
I',
29058129541
I
I 3l3~7
I
I 3368U
135157
37334
Shortage
._
200708
2008- 2009-1201009 [ 10 . 11
--1- I -L-'
39646
42101 I 44709
47477
"
201112
50417 I 53540
Estimated
Chart 2.24(B)
Karnataka: Peak Demand (MW)
9,500 -
8,500
7,500
"="e
6,500
CI
'It""
5,500
4,500
-..-"
.... ....-
,,"
3,500 .
,.
1998-'1999-'
,99
00
._._
..
2000-'
01,
li\ctu~met
,Es,timated
'
~.
__
'
._.
"
..L__
Actual met
200102
.__
2004-,2005-'
2006-'2007-'
05 ' ' _06 .. , 07 .__ , 08
..
2008-'
,09
--1-
.~
5,612..:....__
'- __ '__
-,- __
',5928
6275'
6642 i 7031 I 7442
. __
Shorta!e
----'--
__
200910 .
L __,
7877
2010-,2011II .__
12
i
._.
,__ ~
__
..._...
Estimated
.. __
Chart 2.25(A)
Kerala: Energy Requirement (GWH)
19000
~----
18000 --
--.-.--~--
.-~---~-
17000 --------
-.----~~---.---~--~-.
-~~-~
----~-~-
~----~-~-~--~--
..-
..-
-------~-.
.---~-~-~
16000 ----~------------~-----15000
o
N
-----~-
----~--.-~~
-~---~--
12000
11000
Actual AvL
Shortage
Estimated
3,500
3,000
'l:l
o
w
=
"e
2,500
l.
2,000
1,500
1,000
11998 , 99
IActual m~~2.169
'EstimateU
=:
1999 - , 2000 - 1 2001 - I 2002 - 1 2003 -12004 - 12005 - 2006 00 " 01 , 02 , 03 . 04 , 05 " 06 1 07
,------1----r-~
I---+-'
1 2.331 I 2,189 I 2,347 , 2,427 . 2,421 I
1
I'
I, . __
Actual met
,,_.----.-l __
L-...----L
2452
Shortage
2650
2779
I,
I'
2007 - I 2008 08 . 09
2915
I
1
2009 10
2010 I
II
3058 !320713364
Estimated
'
2011 12
=----j
3,528
(GWH)
100000
90000
80000
70000
60000
50000
40000
30000
20000
1998-99
Actual Avl.
34074
00
200001
2001200202 i 03
37464
4069~
428521 4475~-L~450
1999-
Estimated
200304,
---L~I_~~_.1~1449~
Actual Avl.
I
I
200405
200506
200607
200708
200809
51147 ,__
55479 T59824 64510 , 69563
Shortage
200910
,~,
75011
201011
201112
I 80886
8722~
Estimated
14,000
12,000
-------.--.--
..-.--.~---
.. -----~
-----------~
..
.--------~--
10,000
o
v.
,,
..
8,000
6,000
4,000
11998 AC1ualmetJ
~;O;
I,
1999
5,~:0 _6,~~~6,~~
!Estimated'
2001- , 2002
-'- __
Actual met
:],~:3
...
2003
'7,~4
2008 '8,123
821~_
-;
..-.-1-
2009- ..2010 -
..
~ ...
09-LIO_~
2011
I~J..
12:
.._2~.2.<J....j
10090J....l...08071..t..l275_,
12398L_I328~14,224'
Shortage
~,
Estimated
5000
4500
4000
:=e:
"~=i
r.>l
3500
3000
2500
0\
2000
1500
----~-....
--~.~.
~~~-~
~-~~~~-~--.
--~-.~~-~~_.~
..
--~-~.~--~~~-~~
.~~.----~~~---~-~~-~-..
-----~-~----.~-~~~~~~l
..-
.---1
Chart 2.27(B)
Pondicherry: Peak Demand (MW)
800
700
800
6
C
'"e
500
"
0
--.J
Q
.>Ii
400
'"
~
300
200
100
1998- 1999-I- 2000- -2001- 2002- -2003- I 2004- 2005- 2006- ; 2007-12008 - 2009- _2010- ; 2011- _
-I-
o~J~.
I ~8-tz82
..L
._L_. __._-
. 00.,
Actual met
~1~1-~~_~_09
226
~2~+2~+_-tA
347~~
Shortage
t----.L,
J 11 f--.~
.-=1 _..---i-"'-'I-'~
10
421----'-~~J..2.11J
563_,1_62(l_..:..
683
Estimated
=
Chart No:2.28(A) ". 0"
Bihar: Energy Requirement (GWH)
17000
. 15000
o
00
-ill-
2001-02
2002-03
2003-04
6128
5888
5908
2004-05
2006'07
20b1-08
2008'09
2009'10,
2010-11
2011-12
8321.
9629
11134
12814'
14886
17213
19905
6115
7201
Estimated.
200506
YEAR
Actual Avl.
Shortage
Estimated
91
Chart 2.28(B)
Bihar: Peak Demand
4000
3500 -'-'---'--'---'--'---,
-.
3000 -,-----,
__
--'-'-
-/ .)"-~
----
--
/
,-,--L '
2500
-----,-
J"
...,-
--
,-'--
200102
200203
2003-04
1150
1325
788
. ActUal niet
Estimated
----.-,-.,
--- ,7/-- --'.-
j- -- -- -- -----
2000 ---
,-
--
--
2004-051,_2005.06
980
~06.0?
2007-08
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11
2011-12
1881
2213
2605
3065
3607
---<
1154
Ll.358
__
1598
YEAR
Actual met
Shortage
~~
Estimated
Chart2:29(A) .
JhBrkhBnd: Energy Requirement (GWIl)
-----,
______ J
12000
1oo
----------------------
8000
-+- Actual
___
Avl.
E'3timateCl
2001-02
2002-03
2003-04
2004-05
9076
9391
10106
11057
11057
2005-06
2006-07
2007-08
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11
2011-12
12308
13700
15249
16974
18894
21031
23408
YEAR
Actual Avl.
Shortage
Estimated
Chart 2.29(8)
Jharkhand: Peak Demand
-l
--
I
"I
----
-+- Actual
met
2001-02
1694 .
2002-03
2003-04
2004-05
2005-06
1807
1615
1991
1991
2222
,..+'EStimated;
2006-07
2007-08
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11
2011-12
2480
2768
3089
3448
3548
4296
YEAR
Actual met
Shortage
Estimated
Chart 2.30(A)
Orissa:
Energy Requirement
(GWH)
__._ . _......
". """_.
,,
U_"_._."
27000
25000
23000
21000 ---
..--
... -.----
... -.
19000..
17000
15000
~---
13000 ~-----------_._-~
..
11000
---
....--
-e..... __ .
"..
.""
__ .
9000
____
'. 1998-99, 1..999.00~0-01!.2001 ..02 . 20.02-03.1.~~3
.. O<\t.' ~04-0~ 2005-.06;.,.
2006~07l2007.08 2008-09 2~~9.1rl0-l1.l~()12~2.2.J
~_ 12483 : ~37s..~_13858
I_.
'
.. __
:
~m
. ted
.L
J 2246.4
YEAR
Actual Avl .
Shortage
__
2<l.6~.U71~
Estimated
Chart 2.30(8)
OI1~!!!I: Peak Demand
5000
4500
4000
3500
------i
3000
I
I
--I
2500
i
i
-.--j
2000
Actual met
Shortage
Estimated
-------
45000
Chart 2.31(A)
West Bengal: Energy Requirement (GWH)
_n
40000 ---------
----------
I
I
35000 ---------------------.--
---
--
-----
----
-~-~
I,
30000-----
.j>.
25000 -----.---
20000
--------
-~--
15000
-+-Actual
1_
Avl.
30084
Estimated I
2011-12
Actual AvL
Shortage
32009
34058
36238
38557
Estimated
41020
Chart 2.31.(B)
West Bengal: Peak Demand
8000
7500
7000
6500
6000
j
I
5000
4500
::::-~--~-_
..
3000
,.
-j
Ac1ualmet I
:-.If- E"imate~
'998-~99-00~000.ll.'
3473
3649
j __
-~~~--I
399:l-1-
---j
! 200910
4068
44~
L __ L _ -.L_----.L__
47?3
4723
~2010-11
I
5035
Actual met
Shortage
i 201,.,21 !
.
5367
5721
6099
6502
YEAR
Estimated
6931
I 7407
Chart 2.32(A)
Sikkim: Energy Requirement (GWH)
350
300 ~--
250 --_.~----~----_
.._----------
200
150 ~----
100
----
132
'
133
"
1~!
r- ~
184
-;-'-,
204'
204
218
234'
247
284
285
305
YEAR
Actual Avl.
Shortage
Estimated
320
Chart 2.32(8)
.--- .. --
90
..--.--)
I
80
70
!i'
~
."C
Be
-.....
t3
~
ll.
50
40
30
i-+-ActuaJ met
j' __
Estimated
84
Actual met
Shortage
67
71
76
Estimated
80
83
Chart 2.33(A)
Arunachal Pradesh :Energy Requirement (GWH)
400
JI
350
I,
300
250
200
i-j
150
I
100
-+-Actual
Avl.
199899
1999-00
2000-01
144
153.08
156.05
2004-05 . 2005-06
. 158.00
158.00
.......- Estimated
Actual Avl.
Shortage
2006-07
2007-08
2008-09
2009-10'
2010-11
201112'
232.00
257.00
284
314.00
348.00
385.52
,
209.85
YEAR
II
Estimated
Chart 2.33(B)
Arunachal Pradesh: Peak Demand
120.00
110.00
100.00
i'
90.00
80.00
:il
70.00
-'0
c3
"-
60.00
50.00
~oo
i
'1998-9911999-00.
i::+-Actual met
"~Estimat~L_.
68.00
__
75.00
2000~i
. 80.00
2001~
2002-03: 2003~2004:~2005~_2006-~2007-~2008.0912009-10
1 94.00_-l-98.00~i~50.00
._~--L__ ._'
__
.----L- __
.L
, 62.00
IlL
f--
~~~
2010-11
81
_
87
i.
94
Actual met
Shortage
--T- ;
~----:;-_1~n011
1~~_~
YEAR
Estimated
2011-12
=
Chart 2.34(A)
.~s~.'l!"_:5.ner!!LflI!Clul!~m':.nt
(GWHL
8000
.__.
..
._. _
7000
6000 -------------------
5000
tv
4000
3000
2000
-+- Actual
__
Avl.
1998-99
1999-00 2000-01
2861
2964
3224
2001-02
2002-03
2003-04
31n
3178
3164
Estimated
2004-05 2005-06
2006-07
2007-08
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11
2011-12
4618
5100
5632
6219
6868
7585
3810
3810
4182
YEAR
Actual AvL
- " _,"
Shortage
Estimated
/t5~.
~'
r~
'C
c:
~E
ID
CIl
'"
'"
..
t:
o
.c
M.><
'
'"
UJ
CIl
t:D..
.c:
''""
<C
"'
c
..,.
c
c
'"
c
c
c
c
'"
c
c
"'
121
Chapter
Chart 2.35(A)
Manipur:Energy Requirement (GWH)
1000
900
800
700
N
N
600
500
400
-+- Actual
.___
Avl.
Estimated
1998-99
1999-00
2000-01
2001-02
2002-03
2003-04
2004-05
445
456
426
448
491
504
469
2005-06
2006-07
2007-08
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11
2011-12
581
629
681
737
797
862
932
537
YEAR
tActual
Av1.
Shortage
Estimated
Chart 2.35(8)
Manipur: Peak Demand
210
190
170
150
130
N
W
-------1
110
i,
;
I
I
90
I
70
~
__
Actual met
Estimated
1998-99 1999-00' 2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12
94
97
87
93
90
121
90
103
125
144
154
165
177
YEAR
Actual met
Shortage
Estimated
189
203
'"""
::
'""3
3
"
'""
Chart 2.36(A)
Meghalaya: Energy Requirement (GWH)
0.
2200
'",,0
<
2000
1800
---------------
-----------
-----
1600
1400 ------
1200
1000
un
800
600
400
1998-99 1999-00 2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 I 2003-04 2004-05 2005-08 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12
493
-+- Actual
__
Avl.
Estimated
583
595
j---
711
936
959
1195
1374
1460
1551
1648
1751
1860
1976
YEAR
Actual Avl.
Shortage
Estimated
2101
Chart 2.36(8)
Meghalaya: Peak Demand
475
425
375
,
3'
325
275
II
::!
'6'
"mE
N
V.
I,
.!
m
m
225
Q.
.----
175
I
I
--!
,
--""----,-----'------
125
Actual met
""",."~.
Shortage
--'---------------
-!
Estimated
Chart 2.37(A)
Mizoram: Energy Requirement (GWH)
450
400
350
--
-----------
---------
----------------------
---------------------------
!!!.
300
:;
go
II:
~
o
250
200
150
1998-99
1999-00
2000-01
2001-02
2002-03
2003-()4
2004-05
187
217
251
284
278
278
222
-+- Actual
__
Avl.
Estimated
2005-08
2006-07
200708
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11
201112
254
274
295
318
343
370
398
238
YEAR
Actual Avl.
Shortage
Estimated
Chart 2.37(8)
Mizoram: Peak Demand
120
110
100
lE'
!.
'tl
~
~
-.)
90
.!l
80
..--
70
-,i
.'
60
199899
f:! ---,"clua!
__
met
72
Estimated
___
1999-00 2000-~
74
~_~
'_2~
_~+_
7~
--L
i 2005.06\2006.07.
2007-08' 200809
200910
2010-11
2011-12
100
107
115
67--l~~
~?1
76
I~~
B7
93
YEAR
Actual met
Shortage
Estimated
=
Chart 2.38.(A)
Nagaland: Energy Requirement (GWH)
750
650---'-~'---'---"
550
~--'--"-~-----'---'"
------
_u __
450
----
----~.---_
.---~--.
..----
---.
'--"--
..----.-------
.. --
-..---
----
..---
------.--
- ---
~
N
00
350
-----.--
250
-------
150
---.
1999-00
2000-01
2001-02
2002-03
2003-04
2004-05
175
204
219
246
292
300
324
Avl.
Estimated
...---
1998-99
-+- Actual
___
..--
-----'-.
Actual Avl.
330
2005-06
2006-07
2007-08
2006-09
367
408
454
505
-YEAR
Shortage
2009-10 - 2010-11
562
Estimated
626
2011-12
698
Chart 2.38(B)
Nagaland: Peak Demand
170
150
110
----
__
.... _
...
.-0
70
------
--
--
50
-~-
Actual met
Shortage
Estimated
Chart 2.39(A)
Tripura: Energy Requirement (GWH)
1300
1200 ------
1100
'";:~
1000
-----
----j
..-"-----.-----
;;
900 ----
BOO
"3
,i
.-.
_.I
0"
a:
'"c
~
------i I
.-.-----)
UJ
700
.. ---
600 ----.
-----
'----,-----
500
1998-99
562
-+-Actual Av!.
___
2004~5
527
Estimated
700
2009~10 2010-11
-I
644
- 759
822
B91
966
1046
YEAR
Actual AvL
Shortage
Estimated
1134
2011-12
1229
Chart 2.39{B)
Tripura: Peak Oemand
310
290---270
250
~
i!!.
---
__
---
..,
E
2l
210
---
---
.-
.=
-----
'"
190
170
150
Actual met
Shortage
Estimated
.g""
!1
'"
'"
B
Chart 2.40(A)
Andaman & Nicobar Islands: Energy Requirement
a
.:1"
""
(GWH)
0.
"'""
400
<
350 -
:0
;:
~
E
.------
.. ---
300 -------
---
----
-----
--
250 -----------
---
---
...-----------.--
--
---
...
-----
---------.---
'3
".
ex:
200
>Cl
<:
w
150
100
50
1998-99
Actual Av1.
98
107
129
2002-03
2003-04
2004-05
135
153
126
126
Estimated
193
2007-08
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11
2011-12
219
248
281
316
344
YEAR
Actual Avi.
Shortage
Estimated
Chart 2.40.(8)
Andaman & Nicobar Islands: Peak Demand
80
70
!i'
60
~
'tl
C
50
'"
ll.
40
30
20
-Actual met
___ Estimated
199899
22
1999- 200000 . 01
24
25
I 200102
2002I 03
I ~
30
.
Actual met
200304
34
2004- I 200505 . 06
28
28
YEAR
Shortage
33
200607
200708
43
49
I 2008- I 200909
10
56
63
Estimated
201011
I 201112
77
,.
()
.lj
&
'"
3'"a
"
1:'
<
Chart 2.41(A)
Lakshdweep: Energy Requirement
"!
0-
(GWH)
45
0'
~
40
35
30 '---,
-.-.---.---
.-
-.-,.-.--
25
20
15 .---------,----,-.--
20
21
22
22
Actual AvL
.2010-11 2011-12
22
Shortage
24
26
28
31
34
37
Estimated
40
Peak Demand(MW)
12.00
11.00
~
~
~
10.00
:E
9.00
'C
c:
w
v,
'"
Q
.I<:
8.00
7.00
6.00
5.00
4.00
____
'1
1998-99
1999- ,2000-,2001-
+-_-+....<JO_J_02...
IActualmetW_I_5_+-IEstimated , __
I__
02
,_0~_1
6,,__
L.......J.
Actual met
I 2002-
'__
'
2003~
164T'~.
200<1- 200505
2006-
~~_~
Shortaqe
2007-
2008-
2009-
I~~--.Cl~i
L_+_
I
__
06
-+ __
I
8.3
,
I
2010- I 2011-
10
1
.;.._...:..
~.
__
:~:Cl....l...98_1.1Q,6
Estimated
-L~3.-'
!
'
11.5...J
~~t
,>
!
17th Electric Power SUNey
/.tli:i
. : ..
;'/
2.42
REVIEW OF FORECAST
(PEUM)
2.42.1
All India Scene: In the year 201 I- 12 the EEC. EER & APEL are estimated to become 208,
185 & 202 % respectively of the corresponding values in 2003-04. TDL shaH decline by 8.83 % and
AELF shaH reduce from 79.01 % to 72.39% during 8 year forecast period upto 2011-12.
EEC 11-12
GWh
GWh,
362799
EEC 03-04
755847
CAGR %
CAGR %
8yrAclual
8yrForecast
3.43
GWh,
EEC 95-96
9.61
277029
GWh
EER 11-12
968659
GWh,
EER 03-04
524299
CACR-%
CAGR%
8yr-Actual
8yr-Forecast
4.98
GWh,
EER 95-96
Particulars
355519
Value
2011-12
Past-Avo Growth
per year - %
30.8
21.97
1.09
-1.10
79.01
72.39
-0.24
-0.83
Value
1995-96
Value
2003-04
22.08
AELF %
80.93
TDL
7.98
MVV.
15274-6
APEL11-12
MVV.
APEL03-04-
75756
CAGR - %
CAGR _ Ok
8yr-Actual
Syr-Foreca~t
S.29
APEL9S-ge
.,
IMVV.
-------
I~f;!~<;--;
136
50146
__
,,/
!L~_n
~
,
2.43
REVIEW OF FORECAST(PEUM)
REGIONAL
SCENE
2.43.1 : Northern Region: In the year 2011-12 the EEC, EER & APEL are estimated to become
227,191 & 215 % respectively of the corresponding values in 2003-04. TDL shall decline by 12.17
% and AELF shall reduce from 78.94 % to 69.92 % during 8 year forecast period upto 201]-12.
EEC 11-12
GWh
222668
EEC 03-04
EEC 95-96
______
~~~6
CAGR-%
CAGR-%
8yr-Actual
8yr-Fore<:ast
3.37
10.82
GWh
294841
EER 11-12
CAGR
EER 03-04
CAGR-%
8)T-Actllal
8yr-Forecasl
4.98
8.41
EER 95-96
Particulars
TDL-%
AELF-%
Value
1995-96
28.33
75.04
Value
2003-04
36.65
78.94
Value
2011-12
24.48
PastAverage
Variation per year- %
1.04
ForecastAverage
Variation per year- %
-1.52
69.92
0.49
-1.13
MVV,
APEL11-12
48137
MVV,
APEL03-04
APEL95-96
22346
CAGR
%
8yr-Actllal
CAGR
4.32
10.07
%
8yr-Forecast
MVV,
15937
137
Chapter
,.:,
Central ElectricityAuthontY~~:
2.43.2: Western Region: In the year 2011-12 the EEC, EER & APEL are estimated to become
191, 172 & 204% respectively of the corresponding values in 2003-04. TDL shall decline by 7.47
% and AELF shall reduce from 84.71 % to 71.45 % during 8 year forecast period upto 2011-12.
EEC 11-12
EEC 03-04
GWh
I 116641
------~--~
IGWh
95462
EEC 95-96
EER 11-12
~~~GWh
'
:"
~--------
GWh
I 171090
EER 03-04
CAGR - %
CAGR - %
8 r-Actual
2.54
8 r-Foreca~l
8.44
294860
EER 95-96
Particulars Value
1995-96
TDL-%
19.98
AELF-%
APEL
80.92
Value
2011-12
24.36
84.71
71.45
Past Average
Variationner year- %
1.48
Forecast-Ayerage
Variation ner year- %
-0.93
0.47
-1.66
11-12
- ,
APEL 03-04
APEL 95-96
Chapter
Value
2003-04
31.83
<
"
>,.
,...
M\N.
~ __ 16830
138
M\N.
47108
M\N.
23055
CAGR-%
CAGR-%
8 r-Actual
4.01
9.34
8 r-Forecast
~~~/
,
2.43.3: Southern Regiou: In the year 2011-12 the EEC, EER & APEL are estimated to become
197,184 & 182 % respectively of the corresponding values in 2003-04. TDL shall decline by 5.55
% and AELF shall improve from 71.06 % to 71.67 % during 8 year forecast period upto 2011-12.
EEC 11-12
I 107427
GWh
EEC 03-04
CAGR'7f
llyr-AcllJ~1
CAGRCy(
RYI'ror~ca'l
--~~~-8.85
4.91
EEC 95-96
_______
~~~4
GWh
253443
EER 11-12
~. __ .
EER 03-04
g~P40
CAGR - %
8yr-Aclual
CAGR-'7f
8yr-Foreca<;t
5.62
7.92
EER 95-96
Particulars
TDL-%
Value
1995-96
17.66
Value
2003-04
22.01
Value
2011-12
16.46
AELF-%
81.12
71.06
71.67
Forecast -Average
Variation per vear- %
-0.69
-1.26
0.08
APEL11-12
APEL
40367
03-04
22127
95-96
1_..
8yr-Acrual
'Ie
llyr-FQ~raSl
7.39
7.MfI
I CAGR - 'ff
!
APEL
O\GR -
112513
139
Chapter
/"1
CentralElectricityAuthority!kc~r
2.43.4 : Eastern Region: In the year 2011-12 the EEC, EER & APEL are estimated to become
237, 204 & 220 % respectively of the corresponding values in 2003-04. TDL shall decline by
10.67 % and AELF shall reduce from 72.04 % to 66.86 % during 8 year forecast period upto
2011-12.
GWh
87521
EEC 11-12
EEC 03-04
_______
EEC 95-96
______
----
:_:;~:
I
CAGR-%
8vr-Actual
2.4S
~~~8
CAGR-%
8vr-Forecast
11.37
GWh
I 30388
EER 11-12
EER 03-04
IGWh
54682
--------
CAGR-%
8yr-Actual
CAGR-%
8yr-Forecast
4.47
9.35
EER 95-96
Value
1995-96
Value
2003-04
TDL-%
2i.l4
AELF-%
72.71
Particulars
PastAverage
Variation per year- %
ForecastAverage
Variation per year- %
32.39
Value
201112
21.72
1.41
-1.33
72.04
66.86
-0.08
-0.65
AF'EL11-12
MVV
190BB
MVV
AF'EL03-04
AF'EL95-96
B664
CAGR-%
8yr-Forecast
4.59
10.38
16~~
-----_~----
CAGR-%
8yr-Actual
l ~_~._.
140
J.~f
//'il
2.43.5: North-Eastern Region: In the year 2011-12 the EEC, EER & APEL are estimated to
become 283, 219 & 228 % respectively of the corresponding values in 2003-04. TDL shall
decline by 17.80% and AELF shall reduce from 62.42 % to 59.98 % during 8 year forecast period
upt02011-12.
~.
EEC 11-12
w~
~
-",.~= ..
".'
:',
""'~GWh
- -,
"
'.<;f~'
''''.
...
10576
IGWh
3742
EEC 03-04
CAGR'~%
CAGR - %
8YT-Aclual
8YT-Forecast
3.69
13.87
EEC 95-96
EER 11-12
jGWh
6080
EER 03-04
EER 95-96
CAGR-%
Ryr-Aclual
CAGR-",{
8yr-Forecast
5.68
10.31
IGWh
3909
------
Particulars
Value
1995-96
Value
2003-04
Value
2011-12
PastVariation
%
Average
per year-
ForecastAverage
Variation per year- %
TDL-%
28.37
38.45
20.65
1.26
-2.22
AELF-%
57.95
62.42
59.98
0.56
-0.31
APEL11-12
- .~-
!'v1VV,
1112
APEL03-04-
APEL95-96
--
IVIVV
-CAG-R - %
2537
CAGR-%
Syr-Actual
8YT-Forecast
4.70
10.86
141
2.44
REVIEW OF FORECAST
~y/
2.44.1 Jammu & Kashmir: In the year 2011-12 the EEC, EER & APEL are estimated to become
229, 165 & 163% respectively of the corresponding values in 2003-04. TDL shall decline by 20.00
% and AELF shall improve from 61.04 % to 62.00 % during 8 year forecast period upt02011-12.
GWh
EEC 11-12
8080
EEC 03-04
CAGR-%
8yr-AcllJ~1
CAGR,
9.43
10.89
I;;
Ryr-Fon'CJ.,(
EEC 95-96
GWh
11202
EER11-12
_________
EER 03-04
IG~~o
I
CAGR _ 'I:
8yr-Actu~1
CMiR _ Of,
gyr-F"rcc~sl
9.38
6.48
EER 95-96
TDL-%
Value
1995-96
48.08
Value
2003-04
47.87
Value
2011-12
27.87
Past- Average
Variation per year- %
-0.03
Forecast- Average
Variation per year- %
-2.50
AELF-%
65.13
61.04
62.00
-0.51
0.12
Particulars
MVV.
APEL11-12
2063
MVV.
1268
APEL03-04
APEL9S-96
~-----
MVV. 580
142
~CAGR~
-,~;
i
8yr-Actual
CAGR-%
8yr-Forecasl
10,27
6.27
2.44.2 Delhi: In the year 2011-]2 the EEC, EER & APEL are estimated to become 229,180 &
185 % respectively of the corresponding values in 2003-04. TDL shall decline by 15.93 % and
AELF shall reduce from 69.97 % to 68.00 % during 8 year forecast period upto 2011-12.
["lJW,1.#I!!:'~~~Wh
EEC 11-12
27207
I GWh
EEC 03-04
CAGR -'i!
~yr-Ao,;l\1al
11903
CAGR',
Syr-Furo,;o,;a,1
7.69
I GWh
EEC 95-96
EER 03-04
10.82
--
6581
20160
IGWh
___________
<{lli:.'SYTr"n~la'l
V 'i,
i CAUT< '~.Hyr-A"wal
------
;I~ -
--.---
5.49
_______
l
EER 95-96
7.63
--_._-~------------
~~~5
Value
1995-96
Value
2003-04
Value
2011-12
Past- Average
Variation per year- %
Forecast- Average
Variation per year- %
TDL-%
49.94
40.96
25.03
-1.12
-2.09
AELF-%
75.98
69.97
68.00
-0.75
Particulars
-0.11
MVV.
APEL11-12
6092
MVV.
AP'EL-03-04
3289
CAGR-%
Ryr-Aetual
6.58
APEL9S-96
CAGR-'k
llyr-Furco,;a~(
18.01
I~~5
143
Chapter
~f
/i
2.44.3 Haryana: In the year 2011-12 the EEC. EER & APEL are estimated to become 222, 194
& 209 % respectively of the corresponding values in 2003-04. TDL shall decline by 9,25% and
AELF shall reduce from 68,88 % to 64.12 % during 8 year forecast period upto 2011-12.
GWh
28639
EEC 11-12
---
EEC 03-04
CAGR - %
8yr-Actual
CAGR-'il
8yr-Forecast
5.60
10.47
EEC 95-96
~'<,.,- ~~~"'-~ ~
<,
EER 11-12
>1
'
EER 03-04
EER 95-96
Particulars
~,~~
>
-~=~<il1Jv"",~>~~"'_._......
_."~~_.'i"""""-"-'
_____
GWh
38417
CAGR - %
8yr-Actual
CAGR - %
8yr-Foreca,t
6.04
8.65
~~~9
TDL-%
Value
1995-96
32.48
Value
2003-04
34.70
Value
2011-12
25.45
Past -Average
Variation per year- %
0.28
Forecast-Average
Variation per vear- %
-1.16
AELF-%
78.66
68.88
64.12
-1.22
-0.59
MVV,
6839
APEL11-12
MVV,
3278
APEL03-04
APEL95-96
Chapler
______
MVV.
! 1795
144
CAGR-%
8yr-Actual
CAGR-%
8yr-Forecast
7.82
9.63
<
il;r.l"
':_:.~.W:'Central Electricity Authority
2.44.4 Himachal Pradesh: In the year 2011-12 the EEC, EER & APEL are estimated to become
278, 237 & 240 % respectively of the corresponding values in 2003-04. TDL shall decline by 12%
and AELF shall rednce from 68.42% to 67.34% during 8 year forecast period upto 2011- 12.
EEC 11-12
GWh
7617
EEC 03-04
IGWh
2737
'.'
ICAGR o/c
llyr-Actual
13.65
6 89
.
IGWh
1606
EEC 95-96
CAGR-'k
8yr-Foreca'l
II
I
I
EER 11-12
........
GWh
9504
.\GWh
4016
i.
EER 03-04
CAGR-%
8yr.Acrual
~76
CAGR-%
8v[ForccaQ
11.37-
IGWh
2209
EER 95-96
Value
1995-96
Value
2003-04
Value
2011-12
Past- Average
Variation per year- %
TDL-%
27.30
31.85
19.85
0.57
Forecast- Average
Variation per year%
-1.50
AELF-%
49.84
68.42
67.34
2.32
-0.13
Particulars
MVV.
1611
APEL11-12
APEL03-04
APEL9S-96
CAGR-%
Syr-Actual
CAGR-%
8yr-Forecast
3.57
11.59
MVV, 506
145
Chapter
CentratEtectricity
AuthoritY4~u
2.44.5 Punjab: In the year 2011-12 the EEC, EER & APEL are estimated to become 211,198 &
196 % respectively of the corresponding values in 2003-04. TDL shall decline by 4.8 % and AELF
shall improve from 61.97 % to 62.77 % during 8 year forecast period upto 2011-12.
EEC 11-12
GWh
47427
GWh
22465
EEC 03-04
CAGR - %
CAGR-
8yr-Acttlal
8yr-Forecast
4.23
9.79
GWh
16130
EEC 95-96
GWh
60489
EER 11-12
GWh
30520
EER 03-04
CAGR-%
8yr-Actual
CAGR%
8yr-Forecast
5.44
8.93
GWh
19981
EER 95-96
Particulars
TDL-%
Value
1995-96
19.27
Value
2003-04
26.39
Value
2011-12
21.59
Past- Average
Varialion Der year - %
0.89
Forecast- Average
Variation oeT vear- %
-0.60
AELF-%
59.40
61.97
62.77
0.32
0.10
--
.A.PEL"1
IVIVV
"11 000
"1-12
.Po..PEL03-04
APEL9S-96
IVIVV
3840
146
CAGR-%
8yr-Actual
CAGI<.-%
8yr-Forecast
4.88
8.7S
//-1.
..
I~)
i;;;!
2.44.6 Rajasthan: In the year 2011-12 the EEC, EER & APEL are estimated to become 247, 184
& 205 % respectively of the corresponding values in 2003-04, TDL shall decline by 19,06 % and
AELF shall reduce from 73,14 % to 65,83% during 8 year forecast period upto 2011-12,
EEC 11-12
MkWh,
36422
GWh
14720
EEC 03-04
CAGR - %
8yr-Actu~1
CAGR 'Ie
3rr-Forecast
1.36
11.99
GWh
13213
EEC 95-96
GWh
48916
EER 11-12
GWh
26570
EER 03-04
CAGR-%
8yr-Actllal
CAGR-%
8yr-ForaaSl
4.52
7.93
GWh
18661
EER 95-96
Particulars
Value
1995-96
Value
2003-04
Value
2011-12
TDL-%
29.19
44.60
AELF-%
77.35
73.14
Forecast- Average
Variation per year - %
25.54
Past - Average
Variation per year%
1.93
65.83
-0.53
-0.91
-2.38
IVIVV
A.PEL11-12
84-82
A.PEL03-04-
A.PEL9S-9e.
CAGR-%
8yr"Actual
CAGR%
8yr-Forecast
5.25
9.36
IVIVV
2754-
147
2.44.7 Ullar Pradesh: In the year 2011-12 the EEC, EER & APEL arc estimated to become 226,
191 & 231 % respectively of the corresponding values in 2003-04. TDL shan decline by 11.3 % and
AELF shall reduce from 78.43% to 64.88% during 8 year forecast period upt02011-J2.
1---
I
GWh
58908
EEC 11-12
GWh
26103
EEC 03-04
CAGR-%
i 8_~r-Aclual
0.72
GWh
24639
EEC 95-96
CMiR-9(
8yr-ForecaSl
10.71
------1
I
GWh
79268
EER 11-12
GWh
1\1424
EER 03-04
Particulars
Value
1995-96
Value
2003-04
Value
2011-12
TDL-%
21.44
36.98
25.68
AELF-%
79.18
78.43
64.88
----
CAGR - 'ii
8yr-Forecasl
3.54
8.45
GWh
31365
EER 95-96
----------
CAGR - 'k
l:!yr-AClual
Past- Average
I Variation per year%
1 __
1.94
--------
_______
.___
~L,.
--.
-----
I
-009
I
----~-----'---------- -....
Forecast- Average
Variation per year- %
-r- ::.~~
APEL11-12
APEL03-04
APEL9S-96
I---------.J
MVV.
CAGR"it
CAGR - 9~
6029
l:!yr-AcluaJ
8yr-Forecas!
MVV,
4522
14/;
!VI VV
13947
~\'-~!~,
2.44.8 Uttaranchal: In the year 2011-12 the EEC, EER & APEL are estimated to become 246. 201
& 208 % respectively of the corresponding values in 2003-04. TDL shal! decline by 14.0 % and
,ore,""
.=:,":~"".,~!
......
GWh
2662
EEC 03-04
6539
CAGR - 'k
Ryr-Actual
CAGR - 'lr
1.91
11.89
Ryr-h>(ccJS(
GWh
2289
EEC 95-96
GWh
8445
EER 11-12
Value
1995-96
Value
2003-04
Value
2011-12
Past - Average
Variation per year - %
II
~JJ
'.U
Forecast-Average
Variation per year- %
..
l
I
._----,
DL-o/~5
"AEiF% I
"YCCO"''']
4.67
GWh
2914
EER 95-96
Particulars
CAGR-'!l
CAGR- 'Ii
Ryr-Actual
GWh
4197
EER 03-04
-66.26
36.56
22.56
1.89
-1.75
65.01
62.87
-0.16
-0.27
,-, -",1
.-.----.,
---------
MVV,
1533
APEL11-12
APEL03-04
737
CAG~;i(jR
_~yr-.~Clllid
4.92
-~k
_~YI-l'()[elast
9.59
___ -.i
APEL95-96
~MVV'
502
--
149
...
----------'
"'-.-'.:?"c'
,'--'~~lc'ii
/i=~~'!Y
2.44.9 Chandigarh: In the year 2011-12 the EEC, EER & APEL are estimated to become 215,
212 & 199 % respectively of the corresponding values in 2003-04. TDL shall decline by 1.09 % and
AELF shall improve from 58.81 % to 62.81 % during 8 yearforecast period upto 2011-12.
EEC 11-12
GWh
1827
GWh
EEC 03-04
849
GWh
EEC 95-96
CAGR-%
Syr-Actual
CAGR-%
8yr-Foreca~t
5.38
10.06
558
EER 11-12
GWh
2308
GWh
1087
EER 03-04
GWh
811
EER 95-96
CAGR-%
8yr-Actual
CAGR-'1(
Syr-Forecast
3.73
9.87
TDL-%
Value
1995-96
31.20
Value
2003-04
21.94
Value
2011-12
20.85
Forecast- Average
Variation per year- %
-0.14
AELF-%
62.98
58.81
62.81
-0.52
0.50
Particulars
APEL11-12
.4-20
APEL03-04-
APEL95-96
CAGR-%
8yr-Actual
CAGR%
Ryr-ForecaSl
4.62
8_97
MVV.14-7
~----------------~--~_._-----------------Chapter
]! .
150
,fL~,'
2.44.10 Goa: In the year 2011-12 the EEC, EER & APEL are estimated to become 252, 232 & 214
% respectively of the corresponding values in 2003-04. TDL shall decline by 6.69 % and AELF
shall improve from 67.04% to 72.53% during 8 year forecast period upto 2011-12.
EEC11-12
GWh
3744
GWh
EEC 03-04
1484
GWh
EEC 95-96
CAGR %
8yr-Ac!ual
CAGR - %
8yr-Forecast
7.36
12.26
CAGR-%
8yr-Actual
CAGR-%
8yr-Forecasl
7.03
11.07
841
EER 11-12
EER 03-04
GWh
EER 95-96
Particulars
1149
TDL-%
Value
1995-96
26.81
Value
2003-04
24.99
Value
2011-12
18.30
AELF-%
64.30
67.04
72.53
Past-Average
Variation per year- %
-0.23
Forecast -Average
Variation per year- %
-0.84
0.34
0.69
APEL11-12
72
MVV
APEL03-04
CAGR-%
8yr-Actua!
CAGR-%
8yr-fnrecast
6.47
9.98
APEL9S-96
______________________
~,~~~:e:::~
151
.?!~_~
2.44.11 Gujarat: In the year 2011-12 the EEC, EER & APEL are estimated to become 172, 170 &
200 % respectively of the corresponding values in 2003-04. TDL shall decline by 1.07 % and AELF
shall reduce from 79.69% to 67.86% during 8 year forecast period upt0201 1-12.
GWh
65425
EEC 11-12
EEC 03-04
IGWh
37972
IGWh
25882
EEC 95-96
CAGR - %
8yr-AclUal
CAGR-%
8yr-ForccaSl
4.91
7.04
GWh
I 85445
EER 11-12
."''''''1 GWh
50292
""
EER 03-04
','
CAGR - %
8yr-Adual
CAGR-'J"
llyr-Forecast
4.74
6.85
IGWh
34733
EER 95-96
Value
1995-96
Value
2003-04
Value
2011-12
TDL-%
25.48
24.50
23.43
-0.12
-0.13
AELF-%
86.50
79.69
67.86
-0.85
-1.48
Particulars
~"'"'_~_"',"
APEL11-12
~ ~~""~
Past - Average
Variation per year- %
~~~
__
;r"
~:._J,;,i.~.ii~:;~.c:.~
.....
""=,,-,, .::.,",-_~",.
IV1 vv .
7204-
APEL03-04
APEL9S-96
f-------,
f--
Forecast -Average
Variation per year- %
IV1VV.
--.J4S84
152
~ ~~~
_I
. IV1 vv .
..J: 14374
..
CAGR-%
8yr-AclUal
CAGR~%
8yr-ForecoSl
5.81
9.02
2.44.12 Chhattisgarh:
In the year 2011-12 the EEC, EER & APEL are estimated to become 245,
217 & 227 % respectively of the corresponding values in 2003-04. TDL shall decline by 8.96 % and
AELF shall reduce from 73.15 % to 69.75% during 8 year forecast period upto 2011-12 .
----.-- -_.-.- .. ----- ------_._---
EEC 11-12
,,<
GWh
.. ...17092
.
.
EEC 03-04
IGWh
6988
CAGR,
'il:
gyrAcrual
..
_.
..
0.46
CAGH.-%
~
8yr-ForccaSl
i1.83-~
IGWh
6737
EEC 95-96
GWh
21785
EER 11-12
IGWh
10055
EER 03-04
TDL-%
AELF-%
CAGR - %
gyrForaasl
GWh
7795
EER 95-96
Particulars
CAGR - k
gyrAclual
Value
1995-96
13.57
--87.15
Value
2003-04
Value
2011-12
30.50
21.54
2.12
73.15
69.75
-1.75
Past- Average
Variation per year- %
Forecast-A verage
Variation per year- %
-1.12
-0.42
Mvv.11
APEL11-12
3565
CAG!?
APEL03-04
APEL9S-96
I,
,;,
gyr-AclUal
CAGI{ - ',',
gyr-hxccaSl
5.52
10.80
I
1
MVV,
!"102"1
153
C!i:;r1tC[- IJ
~'~~i
._~'il!'
.
'.'
2.44.13 Madhya Pradesh: In the year 2011-12 the EEC, EER & APEL are estimated to become
227, 182 & 176 % respectively of the corresponding values in 2003-04. TDL shall decline by 14.68
% and AELF shall improve from 64.62 % to 66.56% during 8 year forecast period upto 2011-12.
GW
3613
EEC 11-12
CAGR
EEC 03-04
GWh
15908
EEC 95-96
GWh
15905
CAGR - %
B)T-Actual
Byr-Forecast
0.00
10.8
GWh
49338
EER 11-12
GWh
27171
EER 03-04
TDL-%
AELF-%
APEL
- %
CAGR - %
Byr-Actual
8yrForecast
3.73
7.74
GWh
20264
EER 95-96
Particulars
CAGR
Value
2002-03
21.51
Value
2003-04
41.45
Value
2011-12
26.77
71.53
64.62
66.56
Past - Average
Variation Der vear- %
Forecast ~Average
Va.i.ation Der vear- %
2.49
-1.84
-0.86
0.24
MVV,
11 -1 2
8462
APEL03-04
CAGR
APEL95-96
Chapter
MVV,
3234
154
- %
CAGR - %
Byr-Actu~l
Byr-Furecast
5.06
7.}4
~~/central
ElectricityAuthority
2.44.14 Maharashtra:
In the year 2011-12 the EEC, EER & APEL are estimated to become 181,
160 & 185 % respectively of the corresponding values in 2003-04. TDL shall decline by 8.72% and
AELF shall reduce from 75.67 % to 65.34 % during 8 year forecast period upto 2011-12
EEC 11-12
GWh
93737
GWh
EEC 03-04
51824
GWh
EEC 95-96
CAGR - %
Ryr-Actual
CAGR - %
8YT-Forecast
1.61
7.69
45597
GWh
EER 11-12
125661
CAGR
GWh
EER 03-04
lEER
78667
CAGR - %
3yr-Forecast
4.62
6.03
GWh
95-96
Particulars
-%
8yr-Actual
54798
TDL-%
Value
1995-96
16.79
Value
2003-004
34.12
Value
2011-12
-25.40
Past - Average
Variation ner vear- %
2.17
Forecast- Average
Variation ner vear- %
-1.09
AELF-%
77.29
75.67
65.34
-0.20
-1.29
MW.
2195
APEL11-12
CAGR-%
M\IV.
APEL03-04
APEL95-96
1 1868
CAGR-%
8yr-Actual
8yr-Forecast
4.90
7.99
MVV,
8094
155
Chapter
2.44.15 D & N Haveli: In the year 2011-12 the EEC, EER & APEL are estimated to become 2S0,
277 & 247 % respectively of the corresponding values in 2003-04. TDL shall decline by O.SS %
and AELF shall improve from 66.0 I % to 74.00 % during 8 year forecast period upta 2011-12.
EEC 11-12
~~~
GWh
1547
EEC 03-04
CAGR - %
CAGR
8yr-ACluaJ
8yrl'orccast
23.93
13.72
'k
GWh
278
EEC 95-96
GWh
EER 11-12
5042
GWh
1821
EER 03-04
CAGR -
'f,
8yr-AclUai
eMiR
-%
8yr-Forl'CaSI
24~~__~_
GWh
EER 95-96
Particnlars
___
TDL-%
307
Value
1995-96
9.45
Value
2003-04
15.08
Value
2011-12
14.20
66.01
74.00
---
AELF-%
77.88
Past-Average
VariatioflJler vear- %
0.70
------1.48
Forecast - Average
Variation Der vear- % __
-0.11
'M
1.00
1----, APEL11-12
77
CAGR %
8yr-Actuul
APEL03-04
CA(iR - ~'r
8yr-Forecast
27.54
u_l~.~
APEL95-96
156
*1311I
,i?L:i~,~j.:,,/
Central
Electricity Authority
2.44.16 Daman & Din: In the year 2011-12 the EEC, EER & APEL arc estimated to become 281,
272 & 291 % respectively of the corresponding values in 2003-04. TDL shall decline by 2.72% and
AELF shall reduce from 66.31 % to 62.13 % during 8 year forecast period upto 201 ] - ]2.
-~---l
I
I
i
GWh
EEC 11-12
2579
I
I
GWh
917
EEC 03-04
CAGR_CkCMiR._'J:
l)yr-'\CIU~l
..----
~yr-Fun'hl
.--------'
19.40
13.Htl
__ L_ ~
I,
!I
GWh
EEC 95-96
Ii
222
Ii
H~_I
I---------__-_~_l=====================~_I
EER 11-12
('jr;;)5
I
I
lEER
l..
I
Cu.:'>
IIY;>\(I[O,,)
20.16
u.
_I
H;';--I'~;"LU";I
I
J.'
__
13.34
'
GWh
EER 95-96
Particulars
C.\(jR
JGWh
1104
03-04
_.J
254
TDL-%
Value
1995-96
12.60
Value
2003-04
16.88
Value
2011-]2
14.]6
AELF-%
64.43
66.31
62.13
Past-Average
Variation per year- %
0.54
Forecast-Aver~-g~-------i
i
Variation per year- (;{
-0.34
-
0.23
APEL11-12
APEL03-04
LAPEL95-96
MVV, 45
157
.. -----
-0.52
-I
J,_, _
Central ElectricityAuthority!~"
2.44.17 Andhra Pradesh: In the year 2011-12 the EEC, EER & APEL are estimated to become
213,200 & 199 % respectively of the corresponding values in 2003-04. TDL shall decline by 5.03
% and AELF shall improve from 68.60% to 69.04 % during 8 year forecast period upto 2011-12.
EEC 11-12
GWh
34085
EEC 03-04
GWh
72766
CAGR-%
CAGR_%
8yrActlial
8yr-Foreust
4.65
9.94
GWh
23694
EEC 95-96
EER 11-12
GWh
89032
GWh
44440
EER 03-04
CAGR-%
8yr-AclUal
EER 95-96
-Particulars
, 5.31
GWh
29376
Value
1995-96
Value
2003-04
Value
2011-12
CAGR-%
8yr-rorecaSI
9.07
TDL-%
19.34
23.30
18.27
0.49
-0.63
AELF-%
78.42
68.60
69.04
-1.23
0.05
MVV,
14721
APEL11-12
CAGR
-%
8yr-Foreca~1
APEL03-04
APEL9S-96
8.99
IMVV
,
4276
---------------~-~-----------------------(harter
II : SUn1JiJaryand Rcv;;:w
158
."L....
~.,'
2.44.18 Karnataka: In the year 2011-12 the EEC, EER & APEL are estimated to become 195,
171 & 161 % respectively of the corresponding values in 2003-04. TDL shall decline by 10.6 % and
AELF shall improve from 65.3% to 69.25 % during 8 year forecast period upto 2011-12.
EEC 11-12
GWh
45241
GWh
23143
EEC 03-04
GWh
16010
EEC 95-96
CAGR-%
8yr-Actual
CAGR%
8yr-Forecast
4.71
8.74
EER 11-12
GWh
53540
GWh
31317
EER 03-04
CAGR
- %
CAGR-%
8yr-Adual
TDL-%
Value
1995-96
16.29
AELF-%
74.08
Particulars
APEL
11-12
APEL
03-04
APEL
6.J6
GWh
19125
EER 95-96
95-96
Value
2003-04
26.10
Value
2011-12
15.50
65.30
69.25
8,.,-F.""_""
-:l
6.93
..
Past Average
Variation per vear- %
1.23
-1.1
0.49
CAGR-%
CAGR-%
8yr-Actual
8yr-Forecast
8.05
Ii.IS
MVV,
2947
159
i(:~s'ta~
/;$',<'_'
2.44.19 Kerala: In the year 2011-12 the EEC, EER & APEL are estimated to become 180. 154 &
145 % respectively of the corresponding values in 2003-04, TDL shan decline by 12,25% and
AELF shall improve from 58,81 % to 62,22% during 8 yearforecast period upto 2011-12.
GWh
16345
EEC 11-12
GWh
9096
EEC 03-04
CAGR -
or
8 -r-A~!'.'!L
GWh
7340
2,72
CAGR
q
8TForcca~1
17,60
--'-~
-----'
I
I
EER 11-12
GWh
12503
EER 03-04
----
CAGR
EER 95-96
---
Particulars
TDL-%
Value
1995-96
20,9 7
AELF-%
67,6 2
____
_ rk
8 h'"""l_
]GWh
3.79 _
9288
Value
I Value
2003-04
I
2011-12
~'-_~,~_...l
27.25 ! 15,00
58,81
________
Past-Average Variation
ner vear - %
0,78
62,22
-LlO
Forecast- Average
Variation oervear- %
-1.53
-- .. -0.43
,_--J-.
APEL11-12
APEL 03-04
CAGR -
MVV,
1568
APEL 95-96
L
('har!~r
IJ .
SUllllll'-lry
and Review
160
'*
R r-Actual
5.61
CAGR - 'k
8 r-Foreca~l
4.79
?:Y-'
;1
j'
!L~
17th Electric Power Survey
~I
l/
2.44.20 Tamil Nadu: In the year 2011-12 the EEC, EER & APEL are estimated to become 188,
184 & 187 % respectively of the corresponding values in 2003-04. TDL shall decline by 1.66% and
AELF shall reduce from 71.14 % to 70.00% during 8 year forecast period upto 2011-12.
EEC 11-12
GWh
39308
EEC 03-04
GWh
73703
CAGRO/[
CAGR-<;\
8 r-Actual
8'f-Forcrasl
5.65
8.17
GWh
25330
EEC 95-96
GWh
87222
EER 11-12
GWh
47450
EER 03-04
Particulars
TDL-%
AELF-%
CAGR-q
8 r-Forecast
5.H3
7.91
GWh
30145
EER 95-96
r-=-~ -
CAGRq,
_ r-Actual
Value
1995-96
15.97
Valu~
2003-04
17.16
2011-12
15.50
76.05
71.14
70.00
---
~--
.-
-----
------~-
-0.14
APEL11-12
APEL 03-04
APEL 95-96
4
- - -
--,.,..- -
MVV,
7614
CAGR - '),.
CAGR-%
~~Acttlal
liT-I:0r.,e..':!l>
6.72
8.12
MVV,
4525
161
Chapter
CentralElectricityAuthoritY""'~J?
I,
!;
2.44.21 Pondicherry:
In the year 2011-12 the EEC, EER & APEL are estimated to become 205,
218 & 211 % respectively of the corresponding
values in 2003-04. TDL shall decline by 1.35%
from year 2004-05 to 2011-12 and AELF shall improve from 71.84 % to 73.92% during 8 year
forecast period upto 2011-12.
EEC 11-12
GWh
1795
EEC 03-04
GWh
EEC 95-96
CAGR-%
CAGR-%
8 r-Actual
8 r-Forecast
9.96
9.38
840
GWh
4419
EER 11-12
GWh
2030
EER 03-04
CAGR-%
8 -Actual
8 r-Forecast
9.51
10.21
GWh
EER 95-96
982
Past-Average
Particulars
Value
Value
Value
TDL-%
1995-96
14.46
2003-04
11.60
2011-12
16.80
68.77
71.84
73.92
AELF-%
CAGR-%
Variation
Der vear - %
-0.36
Forecast -Average
Variation oer year - %
0.65
0.38
0.26
APEL11-12
APEL
APEL
Chapter
CAGR-%
03-04-
95-96
IVIVV. 163
162
CAGR-%
8 r-ActuaJ
8 -Forecast
8.91
9.82
2.44.22 Bihar: In the year 2011-12 the EEC. EER & APEL are estimated to become 401, 337&
45R % respectively of the corresponding values in 2003-04. TDL shall decline by 12% and AELF
shall reduce from 85.59 % to 63% during 8 year forecast period upto 2011-12.
GWh
14929
EEC 11-12
GWh
3722
EEC 03-04
CAGR-%
8 '[-Actual
CAGR-%
8 T"Forecast
0.17
18.96
GWh
3671
EEC 95-96
GWh
19905
EER 11-12
GWh
5908
EER 03-04
TDL-%
AELF-%
CAGR91
2 99
.
16.40
8 [-Forccast
IGWh
EER 95-96
Particulars
CAGR
o/c
8 [Actual
4669
Value Value
Value
1995-96 2003-04 2011-12
21.38
37.00
25.00
75.28
85.59
Past- Average
Variation ocr vear- %
1.95
Forecast-Average
Variation per year- %
-1.50
1.29
63.00
-2.82
APEL11-12
,APEL
03-04
APEL 95-96
CAGR%
CAGR%
8 [-Actual
8 r-Forcca~l
1.35
20.94
J70a
163
Chapter
""7
..
I,..
;
2.44.23 Jharkhand
: In the year 20Il-I2 the EEC, EER & APEL are estimated to become 241,
232 & 237 % respectively of the corresponding values in 2003-04, TDL shall decline by 3,06 % and
AELF shall reduce from 63.56% to 62.20% during 8 year forecast period upto 2011-12.
EEC 11-12
GWh
7618
EEC 03-04
CAGR-%
GWh
6756
EEC 95-96
r~
EER 11-12
CAGR . %
8 -Forecast
11.63
23408
GWh
10106
EER 03-04
GWh
7628
EER 95-96
Particulars
8T-Actual
1.51
TDL-%
Value
1995-96
11.43
Value
2003 04
24.61
AELF-%
81.99
63.56
Value
2011-12
21.55
Past-Average
Variation per year- %
1.65
Forecast - Average
Variation per year- %
-0.38
-2.30
-0.17
62.20
APEL11-12
APEL
APEL
MVV,
03-04
95-96
1815.12
MVV.
1062
164
CAGR-%
CAGR-%
8 r-Actual
8 r-Forecast
6.93
11.37
~~J'central
Electricity
Authority
2.44.24 Orissa: In the year 2011-12 the EEC, EER & APEL are estimated to become 284, 203 &
224 % respectively of the corresponding values in 2003-04. TDL shall decline by 2],49 % and
AELF shall reduce from 76.84 % to 69.50% during 8 year forecast period upto 2011-12.
GWh
20362
EEC 11-12
GWh
7157
EEC 03-04
CAGR-%
R [_Actual
CAGR-%
~r-Forccast
0.10
13.96
GWh
7103
EEC 95-96
EER 11-12
GWh
27149
GWh
13375
EER 03-04
GWh
9648
EER 95-96
~c
Particulars
------Past-Average
Variation per ycar-%
...
Value
1995-96
Value
2003-04
Value
2011-12
CAGR
%
S r-A~~uaJ
CAGR - %
8 [Forecas!
4.17
9.25
-----
Forecast-Average
Variation per year - %
TDL-%
26.38
46,49
25.00
25]
-2.69
AELF-%
68.20
76.84
69.50
L08
-0.92
APEL
11-12
APEL
03-04-
lAPEL
95-96
165
CAGR . ')\,
CAGR - %
8 [-Actual
8 r-Furecast
2.62
10.63
MVV.
1615
2.44.25 West Bengal: In the year 2011-12 the EEC. EER & APEL are estimated to become 183,
163 & 166 % respectively of the corresponding values in 2003-04. TDL shall decline by 8.78 % and
AELF shall reduce from 64.35 % to 63.22% during 8 year forecast period upto 2011-12.
GWh
EEC 11-12
33626
CAGR - %
GWh
EEC 03-04
8 T-Actual
4.65
18380
GWh
EEC 95-96
12777
GWh
EER 11-12
41020
GWh
EER 03-04
25109
GWh
EER 95-96
16492
Value
Value
Value
1995-96
2003-04
2011-12
TDL-%
22.53
26.80
18.02
0.53
-1.10
AELF-%
68.53
64.35
63.22
-0.52
-0.14
APEL
11-12
APEL
03-04
APEL
95-96
Particulars
Past-Average
per year-%
Variation
Forecast-Average
Variation per year- %
MVV,
4454.4
MVV,
2747
166
(~/
2.44.26 Sikkim: In the year 2011-12 the EEC, EER & APEL are estimated to become 267.174 &
157 % respectively of the corresponding values in 2003-04. TDL shall decline by 26.24 % and
AELF shall improve from 39.63 % to 44.01 % during 8 year forecast period upto 2011-12.
GWh
EEC 11-12
240
EEC 03-04
GWh
CAGR-%
90
8 -Actual
1.32
GWh
81,26
EEC 95-96
GWh
EER 11-12
320
GWh
184
EER 03-04
EER 95-96
GWh
Value
1995-96
Value
2003-04
Value
2011-12
TDL-%
16.49
51.13
24.89
4.33
-3.24
AELF-%
31.64
39.63
44.01
1.00
0.49
Particulars
APEL
11-12
APEL
03-04
APEL
95-96
Forecast - Average
CAGR-%
CAGR-%
8 "[-Actual
8 r-Forecast
5.32
5.77
MVV,35
167
Chapter
/1
0'7~iv/
!I~;/
2.44.27 Arunachal Pradesh: In the year 20Il-12 the EEC, EER & APEL are estimated to become
263,221 & 232 % respectively of the corresponding values in 2003-04. TDL shall decline by 12 %
and AELF shall reduce from 39.97 % to 37.94% during 8 yearforecast period uplo 2011-12.
GWh
287
EEC 11-12
GWh
109.42
EEC 03-04
GWh
75.57
EEC 95-96
GWh
EER 11-12
386
EER 03-04
GWh
104
EER 95-96
Particulars
TDL-%
Value
1995-96
26.92
Value
2003-04
37.50
Value
201I-I2
25.50
AELF-%
27.61
39.97
37.94
Forecast Average
Variation Der vear- %
-1.50
1.55
-0.25
APEL11-12
APEL
03-04-
APEL
95-96
MVV,
MvV,
168
4-3
1 1
.'
/.~_
,df!:-ii~i
r
2.44.28 Assam: In the year 2011-12 the EEC, EER & APEL are estimated to become 318. 240 &
218 % respectively Of the corresponding values in 2003-04. TDL shall decline by 19.81 % and
AELF shall improve from 54.56 % to 60 % during 8 year forecast period upto 2011-12.
GWh
6106
EEC 11-12
EEC 03-04
GWh
1768
EEC 95-96
EER 11-12
GWh
7585
GWh
3164
EER 03-04
CAG''" ~
EER 95-96
Particulars
TDL-%
AELF-%
8 r-For~~_~
11.55
GWh
2509
Value
1995-96
29.53
60.68
Value
2003-04
39.31
Value
2011-12
19.50
54.56
60.00
Past-Average
Variation oer vear- %
1.22
-0.76
03-04
APEL
95-96
0.68
MVV,
1443
APEL11-12
APEL
Forecast Average
Variation ocr vear~ %
-2.48
169
Chapter
/.1
17th Electric Power Survey
CentralEleclricity
AUlhority"~t'
2.44.29 Manipur: In the year 2011-12 the EEC. EER & APEL are estimated to become 345.
185 & 168 % respectively of the corresponding values in 2003-04. TDL shall decline by 30.18 %
and AELF shall improve from 47.52 % to 52.40% during 8 year forecast period upto 2011-12.
GWh
605.73
EEC 11-12
EEC 03-04
GWh
175.38
EEC 95-96
GWh
170
EER 11-12
GWh
503.68
EER 03-04
GWh
932
CAGR - %
8 r-Forecast
7.99
CAGR-%
8 T-Actual
5.88
GWh
319
EER 95-96
Particulars
TDL-%
--=:-.:
AELF%
52.02
APEL
11 -12
APEL
03-04
APEL
Chapter
Value
1995-96
46.71
95-96
Value
2003-04
65.18
Value
2011-12
35.00
47.52
52.40
Past-Average
Variation per year- %
2.31
Forecast -Average
Variation per year- %
-3.77
-0.56
i MVV,
i70
70
0.61
CAGR-%
CAGR-%
8 r-AClUal
8 -Forecas
7.08
6.68
/1
,
[,.,
/11;1301.,
~_._~-.~// Central Electricity Authority
2.44.30 Meghalaya: In the year 2011-12 the EEC, EER & APEL are estimated to become 224, 219
& 235 % respectively of the corresponding values in 2003-04, TDL shall decline by 1,89% and
AELF shall reduce from 60% to 56% during 8 year forecast period upto 2011-12,
GWh
1786
EEC 11-12
GWh
797.02
EEC 03-04
GWh
351
EEC 95-96
GWh
2101
EER 11-12
GWh
959
EER 03-04
TDL-%
AELF-%
CAGR-9(
8 'r-Actual
l! r-Forcca~l
12.16
10.30
GWh
383
EER 95-96
Particulars
CAGR-%
Value
1995-96
8.36
Value
2003-04
16.89
Value
2011-12
15.00
50.25
60.00
56,00
APEL
11-12
APEL
03-04
Past-Average
Variation oer year ~ %
1.07
Forecast-Average
Variation oer vear- %
-0.23
-0.50
1.22
MVV,
182.46
CAGR-%
CAGR-%
J1.r-Actua!---+~Forecasl_
9.70
11.26
APEL
95-96
MVV,
87
171
2.44.31 Mizoram: In the year 2011-12 the EEC, EER & APEL are estimated to become 237, 144
& 163 % respectively of the corresponding values in 2003-04. TDL shall decline by 29.93 % and
AELF shall reduce from 44.38 % to 39.47% during 8 year forecast period upto 201 1-12.
GWh
307.4
EEC 11-12
GWh
129.9
EEC 03-04
GWh
102
EEC 95-96
GWh
398
EER 11-12
GWh
275.97
EER 03-04
GWh
136
EER 95-96
Past -Average
Variation per year - %
Forecast -Average
Variation per year- %
Value
1995-96
Value
2003-04
Value
2011-12
TDL-%
25.00
52.93
23.00
3.49
-3.74
AELF- %
33.03
44.38
39.47
1.42
-0.61
Particulars
___
___
MVV,
115.46
APEL
MVV,
03-04
70.99
CAGR - %
8 r-Fore<.:a,(
. 24
lAPEL
Chapter
n : Summary
95-96
anJ Rcview
I MVV,
172
47
.tih.
tv
Ii
2.44.32 Nagaland: In the year 2011 - 12 the EEC, EER & APEL are estimated to become 278, 210
& 162 % respectively of the corresponding values in 2003-04. TDL shall decline by 19.02% and
AELF shall improve from 40.32 % to 52.42% during 8 year forecast period upto 2011-12.
EEC 11-12
GWh
544.39
GWh
196
EEC 03-04
CAGR-%
8 'T-Actual
7.60
CAGR%
8 T-Foreca:;t
13.64
GWh
108.75
EEC 95-96
GWh
698
EER 11-12
. IGWh
332
EER 03-04
GWh
141
EER 95-96
Particulars
TDL-%
Value
1995-96
22.70
Value
2003-04
41.03
Value
2011-12
22.01
AELF-%
44.71
40.32
52.42
Past- Average
Variation per year- %
2.29
CAGRo/(.
CAGR-%
8vr-Aclllal
H r-Foreo:a>t
11.30
9.73
I Forecast-
Average Variation
per year- %
-2.38
~O.55
1.51
APEL11-12
APEL
MVV.
03-04CAGR-%
1'\'[-Actual
12.75
APEL
15
95-96
CAGR-%
8 (-Forecast
6.19
IVIVV.36
173
Chapter
~1,7
fi/
In the year 2011-12 the EEC, EER & APEL are estimated to become 227,183 &
2.44.33 Tripura:
171% respectively
of the corresponding
% and
AELF shall improve from 46.35 % to 49.75% during 8 year forecast period upto 2011-12.
EECll-12
GWh
414.26
EEC 03-04
GWh
223.66
EEC 95-96
GWh
1229
EER 11-12
GWh
670
EER 03-04
lEER
GWh
317
95-96
TDL-%
Value
1995-96
29.34
Value
2003-04
38.17
Value
2011-12
23.50
Past- Average
Variation per vear- %
1.l0
Forecast -Average
Variation per vear - %
-1.83
AELF-%
67.01
46.35
49.75
-2.58
0.43
Particulars
APEL
11 -1 2
APEL
03-04-
APEL
95-96
MVV, 54-
174
CAGR-%
8 r-Actual
CAGR-%
8 r-Forecast
14.98
6.93
/"1
/' ~i
/t'i~_i;n
2.44.34 A & N Islands: In the year 2011-12 the EEC, EER & APEL are estimated to become 246,
225 & 225 % respectively of the corresponding values iu 2003-04. TDL shall decline by 6.95 % and
AELF shall be al same level i.e. 5 I % during 8 year forecasl period upto 20 I I - I 2.
EEC 11-12
Gwh
278.31
GWh
113.21
EEC 03-04
GWh
65.7
EEC 95-96
GWh
343.59
EER 11-12
GWh
152.88
EER 03-04
EER 95-96
IGWh
81
TDL-%
Value
199596
18.52
AELF-%
51.37
Partic:.llars
APEL
11-12
APEL
03-04
lAPEL
95-96
I Value
2003-04
25.95
Value
2011-l2
19.00
51.00
51.00
PastAverage
Variation per year- %
0.93
-0.05
0.0
MVV,
76_91
CAGR-%
CAGR-%
8 f"Actual
8 rForecast
8.36
10.65
!MVV.18
175
Chapter
"~'i?
/:'
;/
2.44.35 Lakshadweep:
In the year 201 1-12 the EEC, EER & APEL arc estimated to become 189,
182 & 183 % respectively of the corresponding values in 2003-04. TDL shall decline by 1.86% and
AELF shall improve from 38.49 % to 40.01 % during 8 year forecast period upto 2011-12.
EEC 11-12
Gwh
36
EEC 03-04
GWh
19
EEC 95-96
GWh
13
CAGR-%
8 r-Fo[ccas\
4.83
8.39
EER 11-12
GWh
40
EER 03-04
GWh
22
EER 95-96
Chapter
CAGR - %
CAGR
8 r-Actual
4.61
8 T-Foreca~t
8.11
GWh
15
Particulars
Value
1995-96
Value
2003-04
Value
2011-12
TDL-%
13.33
11.85
9.99
-0.18
-0.23
AELF-%
--
42.81
38.49
40.01
-0.54
0.19
APEL
11-12
APEL
03-04
APEL
CAGR-%
8 T-Actual
95-96
Forecast
Average
Variation per year- %
w
MVV.
MVV.4
176
11
CAGR-o/c
CAGR-%
8 [-Actual
f!
6.01
7.58
r-Forecast
Chart 2.45
Comparison
1998 - 2003 - 04
2004
- 2011 - 12
16 Nos.
15 Nos.
Punjab
"'<yaM
Orissa
Uttaranchal
9.1
TamU Nadu
5.B3
Uttar Pradesh
AndhniPradesh
5.31
4.62
4.74
4.67
4.52
5.44
5.49
6.04
8.4
9.8
Manlpur
West Bengal
8 Nos.
Maha~ra
Assam
Jharkhand
Bihar
Kerala
Madhya
Pradesh
Chhanisgam
Chandigam
UttarPradesh
<4
2.94
3.58
2.99
3.79
3.73
3.23
3.73
3.54
8.93
8.65
4.61
5.88
5.39
4.17
Lakshadweep
Gujaral
Ultaranchal
Rajasthan
Punjab
Delhi
Haryanll
Delhi
Rajasthan
8 Nos.
Chandigarh
7 Nos.
9.81
9.25
8.33
Mizoram
Sikkim
Pondicherry
Jammu
&
Kashmir
9.51
9.38
4 Nos.
9.07
7.91
6.85
6.03
Orissa
6.93
5.53
TMpura
Kera!a
9.25
7.16
7.88
7.99
West Bangal
6.33
Lakshadweep
8.11
Mlzoram
4.70
Nagaland
9.73
Gujarat
Maharashra
Nagaland;
Megh~;i);.
11.30
,12,~_6
Goo
7.03
Damart&\D1U'~.16
Kamataka
HTmachalPradesh
7.76
o'adiil-&N'kiV$H24~93
=,>4&<7
Andhrapradesh
TamfiNadu
ArunachalPradeshB.73
6.36
MadhYlilPradesh7.7
= or >7&<10
ACTUAL GROWTH
= or >10
7.63
7.93
Kamataka
Sikkim
Manfpur
12 Nos.
Chart 2.46
Com arlson 01 Ei hl Year CAGRs of Actuals and Forecast of Peak Load
1998 - 2003 - 04
2004
- 2011 - 12
laNos.
Lakshadweep
6.01
West Bengal
6.23
TamliNadu
6.72
Jharkhand
6.93
Goo
Chandlgam
6.47
4.62
Assam
Mizoram
Slkklm
Punjab
Rajasthan
Uttaranchal
Gujeral
1.35 Chhattisgarh
4.32
5.29
5.32
4.88
5.25
4.92
5.81
5.52
MadhyaPradesh
5.06
Orissa
Maharashtra 4.9
Kerala
5.61
Oalh:
6.58
5 fJ05.
Bihar
2.62
Himachal Prad8S~
Uttar Pracl8~h
<4
3.57
3.66
",>4&<7
14 Nos.
Madhya Pradesh
9 Nos.
Kerala
Sikkim
7 Nos.
Manpur
7.08
Andhra Pradesh 7.09
Haryana
7.82
Kamataka
5 Nos.
8.05
ACTUAL GROWTH
Kamataka
8.15
Nagaland
6.19
Mlzoram
8.24
Jammu&kash .6.27
Pondicherry
8.91
MeghalaYll
9.70
And.& Nicrobar 8.36
= or >7&<10
4.79
5.n
Manlpur
Trlpura
= or >10
6.68
6.93
7.34
Uk$1\8dweep
7.58
Maharashtra
Deihl
TamliNadu
Punjab
Chandlgarh
7.99
8.01
8.12
8.75
8.97
Andhra Pradesh
8.99
Gujarat
Rajasthan
9.02
9.36
Uttaranchal
Haryana
Pondlcheny
9.59
9.63
9.82
Goo
9.98
12 Nos.
.~",
/' ~
/
.
~'-- ~ Central Electricity Authority
/-----~,;-i;qr
FOR RURAL
The consumption of electrical energy in rural areas in the year 2011-2012 is estimated to
become 2.05 times the consumption in year 2003-2004 thus estimated to grow at a compounded
annual growth rate of 9.42% on All India basis. The consumption in domestic (rural) category shall
become 2.51 times at a CAGR of 12.21%, commercial (rural) 2.36 times at a CAGR of 11.31%,
inigation 1.75 times at a CAGR of 7.28% while other categories (industrial, public lighting, public
water works, etc.) 2.1 9 times at a CAGR of 10.32%.
lBoooO
140000
12oo
10oo
Boooo
60000
40000
20000
2OO3-<l4
2O.H2
15035
AU INDIA-COM
6379
~,.ALL INDIA-COM
35703
89742
54856
120364
t' AU INDIA.QTHERS
All INDIA-IRRIG
jI
....,
151999
2003-04
2004-05
2005-06
2006-07
2007-08
2008-09
2009-, 0
2010-11
2011-12
195220
211784
232739
255899
281053
310257
341924
377141
192955
210470
231n1
255000
281035
309994
342400
378708
179
Chapter
CHAPTER-III
SHORT TERM FORECAST
(CATEGORY WISE)
Table
SUMMARY
3.1
ALL INDIA
OF CATEGORY WISE FORECAST
(PUBLIC UTILITIES)
In Million kwh
Consumption
Categorres
Actual
2003 - 04
(Base Year)
Domestic
Commercial & Miscellaneous
Public Uahtina
Public Water Works
lniaation
L T Industries
HT Industries
Railwav Traction
Non - Industrial
Total Consumption
- MkWh
T&DLossesl%)
T & D Losses - MkWh
Enerav ReQuirement - MkWh
Load Factor
% l
Peak load (MWl
2004 - 05
89932
96686
29576
31872
4196
31834
4668
10098
89884
33133
95977
9216
105087
9814
5499
6934
9511
87059
362799
388175
30.67%
171709
559884
79.99%
79906
30.80%
161500
524299
79.01%
75756
ADF-IS
1.034
PATTERN
2:005 06
106659
34847
4976
10936
96575
36242
113771
11046
7202
422254
29.51%
176742
598996
80.33%
85120
2006 - 07
Forecast
2007 - 08
2008 - 09
119688
38452
5440
134962
42596
11934
104219
13093
112626
44200
136712
12455
8270
510899
26.94%
39893
125449
11717
n17
464510
28.27%
5984
183036
188401
647546
79.02%
93547
699299
77.56%
102919
1.035
1.034
1.036
ALL INDIA
OF UTILIZATION
OF ELECTRICAL
(PUBLIC UTIUTIES)
152653
47305
6674
14393
121658
49086
148876
13381
2009-10
2010-
172443
52663
7397
15845
131357
11
194937
58755
9043
19281
152931
68135
192614
16913
10893
755847
21.97%
212812
968659
72.39%
152746
1.030
8865
14404
9500
562889
25.67%
194397
757287
76.33%
113261
620251
24.44%
200669
820920
75.10%
124780
1.032
1.031
54643
161999
220372
65666
8184
17468
141775
60944
176522
15569
10170
684324
23.21%
206880
891203
73.80%
137860
1.033
2011 - 12
ENER:3Y
p
Consumption
Categories
Actual
2003 - 04
(Base Year)
24.79%
8.15%
Domestic
Commercial
lniaation
IndustlV
Others
Total
24.00%
35.23%
7.83%
100.00%
Utilisation
pattern
ForecaSt
2004 - 05
2005 - 06
2006 - 07
2007 - 08
20d8 . 09
2009 - 10
2010 - 11
2011 -12
24.91%
8.21%
23.16%
25.26%
8.25%
22.87%
35.53%
8.09%
100.00%
25.77%
8.28%
22.44%
35.59%
7.92%
100.00%
26.42%
8.34%
22.04%
35.41%
7.79%
100.00%
27.12%
8.40%
21.61%
35.17%
7.69%
100.00%
27.80%
8.49%
21.18%
34.93%
7.60%
100.00%
28.49%
8.59%
20.72%
34.70%
7.51%
100.00%
29.16%
8.69%
20.23%
34.50%
7.43%
100.00%
35.61%
8.12%
100.00%
Utilisation
2003-04
pattern 2011-12
Oth" .
7.8H
Indu.try
H.S~'
r~r'"~tlQn
20.:n
-----------------------------_.-~~~"--~~~------------~183
,:,~~~t//
Table 3.2
SUMMARY
NORTHERN REGION
OF CATEGORY WISE FORECAST
(PUBLIC UTILITIES)
In Million kwh
Consumpllon
Categories
Actual
2003 - 04
(Base Year)
29893
Domestic
Commercial & Miscellaneous
Public Liohtino
Public Water Works
Irrioation
LT Industries
HT Industries
Railway Traction
Non - Industrial
Total Consumption - MkWh
T & 0 Losses (%)
Forecast
2004 05
2005 - 06
2006 - 07
32110
35769
11644
1002
40221
12952
1084
3749
9565
866
10457
927
2988
21529
9111
3193
23983
9551
20460
1464
4597
19089
1393
3455
97889
36.65%
56644
154533
78.94%
106743
35.36%
58403
22346
165146
75.45%
24988
t.130
1.090
3463
26737
10459
22604
2253
5018
118949
33.73%
60530
179479
76.82%
26670
29537
11460
26329
2412
5426
133170
32.05%
62817
195987
75.43%
29661
1.120
1.110
2007 08
45191
14464
1184
4062
32658
12559
29376
2565
5865
147923
30.44%
64717
212640
74.40%
2008 09
2009 - 10
50729
16126
2010 -11
2011 -12
63711
71246
22377
1716
5594
47519
18168
44430
3649
7967
56886
17982
1420
4768
39591
15097
35908
3091
230756
73.37%
1815B6
27.45%
68689
250274
72.33%
32628
35905
39502
20057
1560
5162
43425
16559
39899
3348
7385
201106
25.96%
70510
271616
71.29%
43495
1.105
1.100
1.095
1.090
1296
4400
36005
13768
32504
2823
6336
163987
28.93%
66769
6842
222668
24.48%
72173
294841
69.92%
48137
1.080
NORTHERN REGION
PATTERN OF UTILIZATION OF ELECTRICAL ENERGY
(PUBLIC
Consumption
Categories
Actual
2003 - 04
(Base Year)
30.54%
9.77%
Domestic
Commercial
Irriaation
Industrv
Others
Total
21.99%
28.81%
8.89%
100.00%
utilisation
pattern
06
2004 - 05
2005
30.08%
9.80%
22.47%
28.12%
9.54%
100.00%
30.07%,
9.79%
22.48%
27.80%
9.87%
100.00%
UTILITIES)
2006 - 07
2009 - 10
30.20%
9.73%
22.18%
28.38%
9.52%
100.00%
30.55%
9.78%
22.08%
28.35%
9.25%
100.00%
31.33%
9.90%
21.80%
28.09%
8.88%
100.00%
30.93%
9.83%
21.96%
28.22%
9.06%
100.00%
Utilisation
2003-04
pattern
Others
B.SO'
O~her"
8.89\
Irdg-~tiQn
n.3U
Irrigation
21.99'
Percentage
Forecast
2007 -08 2008 - 09
\Vise)
184
2010 11
31.68%
9.97"10
21.59'%
28.07%
8.68"10
100.00%
20ll-12
2011 - 12
32.00%
10.05%
21.34%
28.11%
- 8.50%
100,0Q.~
Table 3.3
SUMMARY
WESTERN REGION
OF CATEGORY WISE FORECAST
(PUBLIC UTILITIES)
In Million kwh
Consumption
Categories
Actual
Forecast
2004 ~05
2005 - 06
2006 - 07
2007 - 08
2008 - 09
22496
7830
1007
2892
31177
11314
35759
4010
155
116641
31.83%
54449
171090
84.71%
23055
23824
8631
1045
3041
29764
11774
39849
4253
152
122333
32.70%
59449
181782
85.40%
24299
25973
9264
1140
3273
31041
12636
42688
4471
168
130655
31.71%
60656
191311
82.82%
26370
29119
10248
1262
3569
33011
13922
46442
4740
187
142499
30.71%
63154
205653
80.63%
29117
32508
11360
1429
3907
35161
15525
50515
5047
208
155659
29.43%
64911
220571
78.48%
32083
36307
12640
1628
4291
37335
17312
54947
5400
230
170090
28.16%
66659
236750
76.71%
35232
1.140
1.140
1.110
1.100
1.090
1.085
2003 - 04
2009-10
2010 - 11
2011 - 12
40575
14089
1880
4723
39641
19308
59768
5806
256
186046
26.89%
68419
254465
74.95%
38759
45370
15726
2149
5202
42078
21536
65015
6270
284
203629
25.62%
70148
273777
73.19%
42699
50754
17574
2435
5732
44657
24023
70742
6803
315
223035
24.36%
71824
294860
71.45%
47108
1.080
1.075
1.070
(Base Year)
Domestic
Commercial & Miscellaneous
Public LiQhtinQ
Public Water Works
Irriaation
LT Industries
HT Industries
Railwav Traction
Non Industrial
Total Consumption
MkWh
T & D Losses
%l
T & D Losses - MkWh
Enerav Reauirement
Load Factor ( %
Peak Load MW\
- MkWh
AOF-IS
PATTD'IN
Consumption
Categones
Actual
2003 04
WESTERN REGION
OF UTiLiZATION OF ELECTRICAL
(PUBLIC UTiLiTIES)
ENERGY
Percentage
Forecast
2001- 05
2005 - 06
2006 - 07
2007 - 08
2008 09
1948X 0
7.06%
24.33%
42.20%
6.94%
100.00%
1988X 0
7.09%
23.76%
42.34%
693%
J.QQ ..:. oO%
2043X 0
7.19%
23.17%
42.36%
6.85%
100.00%
20887: 0
7.30%
22.59%
42.43%
6.80%
100.00%
2135X 0
7.43%
21.95%
42.48%
6.79%
100.00/0
2009-10
2010 - 11
2011 -12
(Base Year)
19297: 0
6.71%
26.73%
40.36%
6.91%
100.00%
Domestic
ICommercial
Ilrri ation
Industry
IOthers
ITota!
Utilisation
0
2181 X
2228 '0
2276X 0
7.57%
7.72%
7.88%
21.31%
20.66%
20.02%
42.50"'/0
42.50%
42.49%
6.83%
6,85%
6.81%
1OO.OOO/~- 100!iO%1100,OO%
pattern
-~~---~-l
2011-12
ot.h~r8
6,B51
C.mmercial
6.7H
Inoustry
40.]6\
----
-~---------
//"dg~'i0n
;1, It
- ----
---
185
Chapler
Wise)
CentralElectricityAuthority~'~~_~.
'-~~
Table 3.4
SUMMARY
SOUTHERN REGION
OF CATEGORY WISE FORECAST
(PUBLIC UTILITIES)
In MH!ion kwh
Consumption
Categories
Actual
2003 - 04
(Base Year)
Domestic
Commercial & Miscellaneous
Public Liohtin
Public Water Works
Imaation
L T Industries
HT Industries
Railwav Traction
Non Industrial
Total Consumotion - MkWh
%
T & D Losses
T & D Losses MkWh
EnerQY Ae uirement - MkWh
Load Factor ( %
Peak Load MW)
ADF-IS
2004 -05
26212
28703
9171
2289
8573
1900
2666
2892
32209
9930
33950
10246
25023
23414
1773
821
1727
797
107427
22.01%
30313
137740
71.06%
22127
114868
22.48%
33312
148180
74.18%
22805
1.060
1.050
Forecast
2007 - 08
2008 - 09
06
2006 - 07
31076
9952
2377
3115
38358
33874
10999
2602
3461
38979
12377
37294
41837
13759
45082
15402
28952
31150
33551
2285
964
159708
2005
11210
26962
1887
879
2002
914
12223
41166
13669
2841
3178
3892
4391
2133
949
123815
21.80%
34526
158341
75.98%
23790
134160
20.85%
35341
169501
75.46%
25642
146078
19.81%
182173
74.84%
27788
1.080
1.075
1.070
36095
2009-10
2010 - 11
45514
15376
3481
4958
48650
17366
36175
2443
18.84%
37081
196789
74.22%
30267
50433
17394
3814
5611
55971
19766
52544
19687
39087
56761
22468
42270
2867
1086
2642
1018
2011 -12
1052
4181
6363
174980
192263
211732
18.04%
38517
213497
73.60%
33112
17.28%
232426
72.64%
36527
16.46%
41711
253443
71.67%
40367
1.060
1.050
1.040
1.065
40164
SOUTHERN REGION
PATTERN OF UTILIZATION OF ELECTRICAL ENERGY
(PUBLIC
Consumption
Categones
Actual
2003 - 04
(Base Year)
24.40%
7.98%
29.98%
31.04%
6.60%
100.00%
Domestic
Commercial
lrriQation
Industry
Others
Total
Utilisation
pattern
UTILITIES)
2004 - 05
2005 - 06
2006 - 07
24.99%
7.98%
29.56%
30.70%
6.77%
100.00%
25.10%
8.04%
29.36%
30.83%
6.67%
100.00%
25.25%
8.20%
29.05%
30.81%
6.69%
100.00%
Percentage
Forecast
2007 08
2008 - 09
25.53%
8.37%
28.64%
30.74%
6.72%
100.00%
25.78%
8.56%
28.23%
30.65%
6.79%
100.00%
Utilisation
2003-04
,-
2009 - 10
2010 - 11
2011 -12
26.01%
8.79%
27.80%
30.60%
6.80%
100.00%
26.23%
9.05%
27.33%
30.57%
6.82%
100.00%
26.43%
9.34%
2681%
30.58%
6.85%
100.00%
pattern
othen
6.60'
Irri,,,.tlon
n.8H
186
2011-12
~itiU ..
i#5.rt':-:..,:'
Table 3.5
SUMMARY
EASTERN REGION
OF CATEGORY WISE FORECAST
(PUBLIC UTILITIES)
In Million kwh
Consumption
Categories
Actual
2003 - 04
2004 - 05
2005 06
2006
07
Forecast
2007 08 2008 - 09
2009 - 10
2010 - 11
2011 - 12
(Base Year)
Domestic
Commercial & Miscellaneous
Public Uchtino
Public Water Works
Irrl atlan
LT Industries
HT Industries
Rallwav Traction
Non - Industrial
Total ConsumDtlon
T&DLosses(%l
- MkWh
- MkWh
ADF-IS
9905
3193
364
781
2014
1224
16752
2086
649
36968
32.39%
17714
54682
72.04%
8664
10420
3148
366
819
2096
1365
18650
2325
838
40027
30.75%
17778
57805
70.82%
9317
1.050
1.070
PATTERN
Consumption
1
Categories
1657
20341
2435
587
44009
29.56%
18466
62475
70.94%
10053
14151
3685
414
926
2645
1810
22452
2563
616
49161
28.16%
19269
68430
71.26%
10962
17174
3903
445
983
2807
1977
24300
2710
648
54946
26.98%
20296
75244
69.70%
12323
1.070
1.065
1.060
11941
3482
386
874
2307
EASTERN REGION
OF UTILIZATION
OF ELECTRICAL
(PUBLIC UTILITIES)
Actual
885
61914
25.76%
21481
83394
69.02%
13794
25371
4386
513
1104
3276
2361
28594
3065
724
69394
24.50%
22517
91911
68.30%
15361
30466
4645
549
1177
3506
2577
30880
3310
758
77869
23.10%
23397
101266
67.58%
17105
33441
3593
800
87521
21.72%
24281
111802
66.86%
19088
1.055
1.050
1.045
1.040
21067
4137
478
1040
3055
2160
26418
2873
36373
4918
586
1250
3751
2809
ENERGY
Percentage
Forecast
2003 - 04
2004 - 05
2005 - 06
2006 - 07
2007 - 08
2008 - 09
2009 - 10
2010 - 11
2011 - 12
26.03%
7.87%
5.24%
50.00%
10.86%
100.00%
27.13%
7.91%
5.24%
49.99%
9.73%
100.00%
28.79%
7.50%
5.18%
49.35'%
9.19%
100.00%
31.26%
7.10%
5.11%
47.82%
8.71%
100.00%
34.03%
6.68%
4.93%
46.16%
8.20%
100.00%
36.56%
6.32%
4.72%
44.61%
7.79%
100.00%
39.12%
5.97%
4.50%
42.97%
7.44%
100.00%
41.56%
5.62%
4.29%
41.42%
7.12%
100.00%
(Base Year)
26.79%
8.64%
5.45%
48.63%
10.50%
100.00%
Domestic
Commercial
IrrlQation
IndustlV
Others
Total
Utilisation
pattern
2003-04
Utilisation
pattern
2011-12
Oth~ro
7.12'
Oth~n
10.50'
187
Table 3.6
NORTH EASTERN REGION
SUMMARY OF CATEGORY WISE FORECAST
(PUBLIC UTILITIES)
COflsumpt!on
Categones
Domestic
Commercia! & Miscellaneous
Public Liahtina
Public Water Works
Irriaation
LT Industries
HT Industries
Railway Traction
Non - Industrial
Total Cansum tion - MkWh
T&DLossesl%
T & 0 Losses - MkWh
Enerav Renuirement - MkWh
Load Factor { %
Peak Load (MW)
ADF-IS
Actual
2003 04
(Base Year)
1352
2004 - 05
2005 - 06
2006 - 07
1553
1812
2224
384
52
182
130
249
964
0
428
436
34
152
90
192
3742
8.45%
2338
1105
1176
0
511
0
535
2.42<'/0
1112
1178
1255
1.210
1.140
1.160
1.140
Categories
Domestic
Commercial
Irrigation
IndustrY"
Others
Total
Utilisation
Actual
2003 - 04
(Base Year)
36.14%
10.26%
3.48%
32.42%
17.69%
100.00%
pattern
2412
2004 - 05
38.13%
10.70%
2.20%
31.85%
17.12%
100.00%
38.78%
10.07%
2.86%
31.02%
17.27%
100.00%
41.59%
9.92%
2.77%
29.78%
15.94%
100.00%
.~~,
..--j
188
1554
1641
0
636
0
665
964
109
340
243
657
1731
0
696
7996
23.59%
2469
9176
22.06%
2598
10576
20.65%
2753
10465
60.78%
11774
60.38%
13329
59.98%
1537
9325
61.35%
1735
1966
2226
2537
1,120
1.100
1.090
1.085
1.080
ENERGY
Forecast
2007 - 08
2008 - 09
44.00%
9.91%
2.68%
28.59%
14.82%
100.00%
46.69%
9,83%
2.60%
27.13%
13.75%
100,00%
Utilisation
2005 - 06 2006 - 07
!
2003-04
Iniga'_,,,-
5836
871
100
314
221
575
6970
25.25%
2355
,-
2011 -12
4789
775
91
290
200
502
0
607
6098
27.65%
2331
8428
62.58%
201011
3949
1456
0
580
31.08%
2009 - 10
685
82
269
181
435
1370
0
556
5348
7760
63.84%
1388
3255
604
75
248
164
373
1274
4674
35.07%
2525
7198
65.47%
6080
2683
531
68
228
148
319
4073
40.29%
2749
6822
66.09%
PATTERN
Consumption
471
62
211
134
274
In Million kwh
Forecast
2007 08
2008 - 09
Percentage
-
2009 - 10
2010 -11
2011 -12
49.38%
9.69%
2.50%
25.72%
12.71%
100.00%
52.18%
9.50%
2.41%
24.15%
11.76%
100.00%
55.19%
9.11%
2.30%
22.58%
10.83%
100.00%
pattern
2011~12
,,{!iz~r
Table 3.7
SUMMARY
ISLANDS
OF CATEGORY WISE FORECAST
(PUBLIC UTILITIES)
In Million kwh
ConsumptionCategories
Actual
2003 - 04
200405
2005- 06
2006 07
+
Forecast
2007 - 08 2008 - 09
200910
2010 - 11
201112
(Base Year)
Domestlc
Commercial & MisceUaneous
Public LiqhtinQ
Pcblic Water Works
IrriQation
L T Industries
HT Industries
Railwav Traction
Non - Industrial
Total Consumption
- MkWh
T&DLosses(%)
T & D Losses - MkWh
Enerqy Requirement
MkWh
Load Factor
%)
Peak Load (MW)
74
31
7
1
0
5
0
0
14
132
24.21%
42
174
49.03%
41
74
29
7
1
0
5
0
0
14
130
12.58%
19
149
48.63%
35
PATTERN
Utilisation
pattern
87
34
9
1
0
6
0
0
16
152
20.53%
39
192
49.07%
45
99
38
10
1
- 0
6
0
0
18
172
20.14%
43
215
49.19%
50
113
43
11
-1
0
7
0
0 ___
~
195
19.75%
48
243
49.31%
56
ISLANDS
OF UTILIZATION
OF ELECTRICAL
(PUBLIC UTILITIES)
2003-04
130
49
148
54
13
2
2
0
0
7
8
0
0
Oc0
22
-.--- 24
249
-4-
~-
1_
119.340
18,92%
53
274
149.41%
63
I
58
307
49.49';0
71
-+-
191
68
15
68
61
14
--
Hi
---1=
~~
__~.__ ~2_
o
--------
--1
___
--"-______
0
26 ___.L__ ~_
f---:-::-- 280 _~ __ }J~
18.49%
18.06%
--I
--'. -----3:~
l------
j~~-
L~S5~~=t~~~~:~iI
-~
ENERGY
Percentage
Utilisation
pattern
2011-12
Indu9try
Inigatior.
O.OOt
J.n'
Irrigation
0,00'
COII'illercial
21.5"
".63\
00.74\
2l.45\
189
Wlsl'l
/1
k!~):'
:~~
!
Table 3.8
ELECTRICAL
State
Haryana
Himachal Pradesh
jJammu & Kashmir
Punjab
Rajasthan
!UttarPradesh
Uttaranchal
1Chandigarh
Actual
2003-04
(Base Year)
2004-05
2005-06
2006-07
Forecast
2007-08
200809
2009-10
2Ul0-ll
2011-12
19779
4016
6780
30520
26570
41424
4197
1087
20562
4516
7387
32851
30159
42581
4852
1286
22842
4861
7528
35918
32157
46795
5231
1384
24955
6871
8004
39279
34222
50933
5654
1505
27240
7539
8532
42908
36481
55703
6116
1638
29711
7909
9111
46823
39224
60883
8822
1783
32385
8206
9746
51044
42195
66527
7176
1942
10441
55591
45417
72655
2117
38417
9504
11202]
60489
48916,
792681
8445
2308
154533
165146
179479
195987
212640
230756
250274
271616
294841]
1979
50292
10055
27171
76667
1821
1104
2323
53167
11556
29401
82043
2105
1186
2635
53610
12687
31969
86495
2532
1382
2924
57671
13932
34833
91875
2842
1575
3211
62303
15239
37145
97889
3190
1794
3509
67284
16668
39727
103940
3579
2042
3839
72773
18222
42605
110690
4013
2324
4193
78807
19921
45797
117918
4499
2643
4583
85445]
21785
49338
125661
5042
3005
:Sub Total(WR)
171090
181782
191311
205653
220571
236750
254465
273777
IAndhraPradesh
IKarnataka
Kerala
Tami!Nadu
I Pondicherry
44440
31317
12503
47450
2030
48573
33688
12547
51147
2225
52853
35835
13498
53717
2439
57401
37825
14365
57238
2673
62338
39989
15217
61695
2934
67966
42574
16096
66911
3242
74289
45824
17025
72769
3590
81404
49458
18077
79507
3981
89032
53540.
192301
87222
4419!
:Sub Total(SR)
137740
148180
158341
169501
182173
196789
213497
232426
2534431
'Sub Total(NR)
Goa
IGujarat
IChhattisgartJ
,Madhya Pradesh
I Maharashtra
iD.& N. Haveli
'Daman & Diu
i
35280
87n
n81
294860 :1
Bihar
!Jharkhand
Orissa
West Bengal
ISikkim
5908
10105
13375
25109
i8i!
6115
11057
13856
26573
204
7023
12431
15000
27802
219
8188
13903
16410
29697
232
10070
15249
18076
31601
248
12551
16809
20000
33768
267
14813
18631
22211
35971
286
17286
20801
24508
38370
301
19905
23408
27149j
41020
320,
Sub Total(ER)
54682
57805
62475
68430
75244
83394
91911
101266
1118021
iAssam
'Manipur
Meghalaya
Nagaland
!Tripura
A.runachal
Pradesh
Mizoram
3154
504
959
332
670
175
276
3810
469
1195
324
644
158
222
3862
544
1243
375
688
210
276
4068
589
1397
429
749
233
295
4395
641
1517
483
817
259
316
4922
702
1649
531
896
288
337
5653
766
1791
598
984
320
353
6529
838
1946
646
1084
356
375
7585
932
2101
698
1229
386
398
Sub fotal(N~R)
!ISLANDS
t.ndman & Nir.obar
Lai\shadweep
6080
6822
7198
7760
8428
9325
10465
11774
13329
i53
22
126
22
168
24
190
26
215
28
243
30
274
33
307
36
559884
598996
647546
699299
757287
820920
891203
i,Total
(AllIndia)
::'24299
Wise)
190
344'
40
968659
..
i~1
, Central
/~
Electricity Authority
Table 3.9
ALL INDIA AND STATElUT WISE
PEAK ELECTRIC LOAD AT POWER STATION BUS BARS (UTILITIES)
(2003-04 to 2011-12)
Delhi
Haryana
Himachal Pradesh
Jammu & Kashmir
Punjab
Rajasthan
Uttar Pradesh
Uttaranchal
Chandigarh
3797
4029
824
1213
6595
4985
7231
932
264
4104
4408
1165
7201
5401
8033
1011
285
4431
4819
1278
1434
7853
5863
8971
1097
307
4807
5265
1341
1566
8556
6421
10017
1317
1191
332
InMW
5210
5747
1391
1713
9312
7039
11188
1295
359
22346
24988
26670
29661
32628
35905
39502
43495
Goa
Gujarat
Chhattisgarh
Madhya Pradesh
Maharashtra
D. & N. Haveli
Daman & Diu
337
7204
1569
4800
11868
315
190
385
7642
1749
4846
12464
391
223
415
7780
1882
5157
13390
387
259
460
8566
2100
5676
14498
435
294
505
9475
2334
6113
489
334
552
10484
2594
6605
17062
550
379
604
11625
2883
7157
18543
617
430
660
12915
3205
7773
20169
693
487
3565i
8462
21954!
778'
552
Sub Total
(WR)
23055
24299
26370
29117
321:83
35232
38759
42699
47108
Andhra Pradesh
Karnataka
Kerala
T ami! Nadu
Pondicherry
7395
5475
2427
7614
323
7978
5613
2421
8123
347
8619
5798
2563
8349
365
9382
6103
2712
8966
402
102.3
6480
2856
9741
444
11160
6928
3004
10649
493
12227
7489
3159
11675
549
13429
8118
3335
12860
612
14721,
8826
3528
14224
683i
22127
23097
23790
25642
27788
30267
33112
36527
40367 :
Jharkhand
Orissa
West Bengal
Sikkim
788
1815
1987
4454
53
980
1991
2217
4723
58
1129
2228
2395
4944
61
1335
2344
2638
5294
64
1666
2756
2927
5646
67
2123
3053
3257
6048
72
2562
3398
3633
6460
76
3059
3808
4020
6909
79
8664
9317
10053
10962
12323
13794
15361
17105
662
121
182
94
165
50
71
663
90
229
71
160
63
67
689
117
241
84
164
75
8S
731
134
273
95
177
81
91
796
145
299
107
192
87
96
903
157
327
117
209
94
10;
1049
170
359
131
228
101
105
1227
164
393
141
250
110
110
1443
203
428
152!
282
116
115
1112
1178
1255
1338
1537
1735
1966
2226
2537!
34
6
28
7
38
7
42
7
48
8
54
9
61
10
69
10
77,
11
Sub Total
ISUb Total
(NR)
(SR)
IBihar
Assam
Manipur
iMeghalaya
Nagaland
Tripura
Arunachal
Mizoram
Pradesh
Allindia
75756
80189
85120
93547
191
15720
102919
Charter
113261
124780
137860
48137!
7211
14374:
3607
4296
4459,
7407
83
1
19088
152746
i"
Table 3.10
ALL INDIA AND STATElUT WISE (UTILITIES)
ELECTRICAL ENERGY CONSUMPTION
(2003-04 TO 2011-12)
InMillionkWh
State
'Delhi
Haryana
Himachal Pradesh
Jammu & Kashmir
Punjab
Rajasthan
UttarPradesh
Uttaranchal
Chandigarh
Actual'
2003-042004-052005-062006-072007-082008-09
(Base Year)
11903
12773
14332
15959
12916
13807
15384
17106
2737
3145
3459
4992
3534
3877
4301
4772
22465
24378
26869
29619
14720
16726
18799
21033
26103
27918
31267
34668
2662
3163
3501
3883
849
955
1038
1139
Forecast
2009-10
1n34
19000
5590
5301
32613
23515
38611
4308
1251
19786
21080
5983
5888
35869
26264
42962
2010-112011-12
1374
22036
23365
6331
6542
39409
29308
47777
5306
1510
24484
25878
6903
7270
43254
32682
53086
5890
1661
4760
27207;
28639
7617
8080
47427
36422
58908,,
6539:
1827'
1
97889
106743
118949
133170
147923
163987
181586
201106
Goa
1484
37972
6988
15908
51824
1547
917
1800
36988
8050
17267
55457
1768
1002
2058
37833
9041
19095
59332
2127
1170
2301
41275
10095
21154
53940
2396
1337
2546
45213
11225
23486
68963
2699
1526
2804
49501
12478
26113
74416
3038
1741
3090
54267
13859
29070
80355
3419
1985
3400
59555
15391
32392
86782
3847
2263
116641
122333
130655
142499
155659
170090
186046
203629
34085
23143
9096
39308
1795
37620
24781
9360
41286
1821
41246
26518
10272
43760
2000
45134
28747
11147
46935
2197
49534
31192
12037
50898
2418
54461
34059
12973
55536
2678
59921
37347
13977
60762
2973
66010
41050
15112
66786
3305
107427
114868
123815
134160
146078
159708
174980
192263
211732;
Bihar
Jharkhand
Orissa
West Bengal
Sikkim
3722
7618
7157
18380
90
3944
8446
7815
19716
107
4635
9689
8564
20999
123
5527
10922
9846
22728
138
6948
11994
11388
24460
156
8648
13222
13200
26466
178
10665
14648
15326
28555
201
12705
16339
17646
30962
218
14929
18364
20362
33626
240
36968
40027
44009
49161
54946
61914
69394
77869
87521
Assam
Manipur
Meghalaya
Nagaland
Tripura
Arunachal Pradesh
Mizoram
1920
175
797
196
414
109
130
2250
178
856
183
380
101
126
2514
228
982
225
423
137
163
2868
271
1118
270
479
156
186
3296
320
1229
319
544
177
212
3815
379
1352
366
618
201
239
4438
444
1487
431
704
229
265
5190
519
1635
485
802
260
286
6106
606
1786
544
940
287
307'
3742
4073
4674
5348
6098
6970
7996
9176
105761
113
19
110
20
131
21
149
23
170
25
193
27
219
30
247
33
278,
36
Gujarat
Chhatlisgarh
Madhya Pradesh
Maharashtra
D. & N. Haveli
DamAn & Diu
Sub Total (WR)
Andhra Pradesh
Karnataka
Kerala
Tamil Nadu
Pondicherry
Sub Total (SR)
__~~2?~!;!
388175
------
-.-
422254
464510
]92
510899
562889
620251
684324
222668
3744
65425
17092
36131
93737,
4326!
2579;
223035
72766 '
45241
16345
73703
3677
755847
i $1301
,}fJ/~-~lJr'Central
Electricity Authority
Table 3.11
TRANSMISSION
States
200304
(Base Year)
2004-05
2005~06
2006-07
2007-08
2008-09
"2009-10
2010-11
201112
39.03
32.85
30.35
47.52
25.79
44.54
34.43
34.81
25.75
37.03
32.65
28.85
42.87
25.19
41.54
33.18
33.06
25.05
35.03
31.45
33.03
27.35
25.85
37.87
23.99
35.54
30.68
29.56
23.65
31.03
29.05
24.35
35.37
23.39
33.04
29.43
27.81
22.95
29.03
27.85
22.85
32.87
22.79
30.54
28.18
26.06
22.25
27.03
26.65
21.35
30.37
22.19
25.03
25.45
19.85
27.87
21.59
25.54
25.68
22.56
20.85
I
IDelhi
Haryana
IHimachal Pradesh
;Jammu & Kashmir
Punjab
Rajasthan
Uttar Pradesh
,Uttarnanchal
:Chandigarh
4096
34.70
31.85
47.87
26.39
44.60
36.98
36.56
21.94
36.65
35.36
33.73
40.37
24.59
38.54
31.93
31.31
24.35
32.05
30.25
30.44
28.93
27.45
28.04
26.93
24.31
21.55
25.96
24.48
Madhya Pradesh
Maharashtra
D & N. Haveli
Daman & Diu
24.99
24.50
30.50
41.45
34.12
15.08
16.88
22.50
30.43
30.34
41.27
32.40
16.00
15.56
21.90
29.43
28.74
40.27
31.40
16.0u
15.36
21.30
28.43
27.54
39.27
30.40
15.70
15.16
20.70
27.43
26.34
36.77
29.40
15.40
14.96
20.10
26.43
25.14
34.27
28.40
15.10
14.76
19.50
25.43
23.94
31.77
27.40
14.80
14.56
18.90
24.43
22.74
29.27
26.40
14.50
14.36
18_30
23.43
21.54
26.77
25.40
14.20
14.16
31.83
32.7)
31.71
30.71
29.43
28.16
26.89
25.62
24_36
IAndhra Pradesh
I Karnataka
iKerala
Tamil Nadu
Pondicheny
23.30
26.10
27.25
17.16
11.60
22.5E
26.44
25.40
19,28
18.15
21.96
26.00
23.90
18.50
18.00
21.37
24.00
22.40
18.00
17.80
20.54
22.00
20.90
17.50
17.60
19.87
20.00
19.40
17.00
17.40
19.34
18.50
17.90
16.50
17.20
18.91
17.00
16.40
16.00
17.00
18.27
15.50
15.00
15.50
16.80
22.01
22.48
21.80
20.85
18.81
18.84
18.04
17.28
16.4E
:Bihar
'Jharkhand
iOrissa
:West Bengal
'Sikkim
37.00
24.61
46.49
26.80
51.13
35.50
23.62
43,60
25.80
47.47
34.00
22.06
42.91
24.47
4~.03
32.50
?:1.44
40.00
23.47
40.60
31.00
21.35
37.00
22.60
36.91
29.50
21.34
34.00
21.62
33.44
28.00
21.38
31.00
20.61
29.89
26.50
21.45
28.00
19.31
27.58
25.00
21.55
25.00
18.02
24.89
32.39
30.75
29.56
28.16
28.98
25.76
24.50
23.10
21.72
Assam
Manipur
Meghalaya
Nagaland
ITripura
Arunachal Pradesh
IrJlizoram
,
39.31
65.18
16.89
41.03
38.17
37.50
52.93
40.95
62.13
28.38
43.46
40.99
36.00
43.39
34.90
58.00
20.98
39.95
38.52
34.50
41.00
29.50
54.00
20.00
36.97
36.04
33.00
37.00
25.00
50.00
18.97
33.99
33.46
31.50
33.00
22.50
46.00
18.02
31.06
31.02
30,00
29.00
21.50
42.00
17.00
27.97
28.50
28.50
25.00
20.50
38.00
16.00
24.98
26.02
27.00
24.00
19.50
35.00
15.00
22.01
23.50
25.50
23.00
38.45
40.29
35.07
31.08
27.65
25.25
23.59
22.06
20.65
25.95
11.85
13.00
10.20
22.00
10.14
21.50
10.10
21.00
10.05
20.50
9.99
20.00
10.01
19.50
10.01
19.00
9.99
30.80
3Q.57
29.51
28.27
26.94
25.67
24.44
23.21
21.97
:Goa
'Gujarat
:Chhattisgarh
193
Chapter
Ill'
-----;~/
!t"
Table 3.12
Annual
Stales.
'
Electric
2003-04
2004-052005-062006-072007-082008-092009-10
tn percer,tage
2010-112011-12
(Base Year)
Punjab
Rajasthan
,Uttar Pradesh
! Uttarnanchal
,Chandigarh
69.97
68.88
68.42
61.04
61.97
73.14
78.43
65.01
58.81
68.53
64.82
67.34
72.32
62.07
74.93
75.38
64.27
59.31
68.43 '
64.72
67.34
70.85
62.17
73.63
73.88
64.07
59.81
60.31
68.23
64.52
67.34
67.90
62.37
71.03
70.88
63.67
60.81
68.13
64.42
67.34
66.42
62.47
69.73
69.38
63.47
61.31
68.03
64.32
67.34
64.95
62.57
68.43
67.88
63.27
61.81
68.00
64.22
67.34
63.47
62.67
67.13
66.38
63.07
62.31
68.00
64.12
67.34
62.00
62.77
65.83
64.88
62.87
62.81
'Sub Total
78.94
75.45
76.82
75.43
74.40
73.37
72.33
71.29
69.92
67.04
79.69
73.15
64.62
75.67
66.01
66.31
68.81
79.42
75.41
69.26
75.14
61.46
60.73
72.53
78.66
76.95
70.76
73.74
74.60
60.93
72.53
76.86
75.75
70.06
72.34
74.50
61.13
72.53
75.06
74.55
69.36
70.94
74.40
61.33
72.53
73.26
73.35
68.66
69.54
74.30
61.53
72.53
71.46
72.15
67.96
68.14
74.20
61.73
72.53
69.66
70.95
67.26
66.74
74.10
61.93
72.53
67.86
69.75
66.56
65.34
74.00
62.13
84.71
85.40
82.82
80.63
78.48
76.71
74.95
73.19
71.45
:Andhra Pradesh
Karnataka
Kerala
Tamil Nadu
Pondicherry
68.60
65.30
58.81
71.14
71.84
72.31
68.51
59.15
71.88
73.11
70.00
70.55
60.12
73.45
76.32
69.84
70.75
60.47
72.88
75.92
69.68
70.45
60.82
72.30
75.52
69.52
70.15
61.17
71.72
75.12
69.36
69.85
61.52
71.15
74.72
69.20
69.55
61.87
70.57
74.32
69.04
69.25
62.22
70.00
73.92
!SUb Total
71.06
74.18
75.98
75.46
74.84
74.22
73.60
72.64
71.67
Bihar
Jharkhand
Orissa
West Bengal
Sikkim
85.59
63.56
76.84
64.35
39.63
71.23
63.39
71.34
64.22
40.15
71.01
63.70
71.50
64.19
40.98
70.02
67.72
71.01
64.03
41.38
69.00
63.15
70.50
63.89
42.25
67.49
62.85
70.10
63.74
42.33
66.00
62.59
69.79
63.56
42.96
64.51
62.36
69.60
63.40
43.49
63.00
62.20
69.50
63.22
44.01
,SUb Total
72.04
70.82
70.94
71.26
69.70
69.02
68.30
67.58
66.86
65.61
59.49
59.50
52.09
45.95
28.63
37.82
63.99
53.07
Mizoram
54.56
47.52
60.00
40.32
46.35
39.97
44.38
50.96
47.89
31.94
36.47
63.52
50.15
58.50
51.55
48.31
32.83
36.97
63.03
50.46
58.00
51.53
48.58
33.95
37.47
62.23
51.07
57.50
51.81
48.94
34.92
37.97
61.52
51.44
57.00
52.11
49.27
36.13
38.47
60.74
51.98
56.50
52.30
49.50
36.89
38.97
60.00
52.40
56.00
52.42
49.75
37.94
39.47
Delhi
I.Haryana
:Himachal
Pradesh
(NR)
68.33
64.62
67.34
69.37
62.27
72.33
72.38
63.87
'G08
Gujarat
Chhattis9am
Madhya Pradesh
Maharashtra
I
D. & N. Haveli
I Daman & Diu
'I
(SA)
(EA)
'Assam
Manipur
Meghalaya
,Nagaland
!Tripura
iArunachal Pradesh
59.00
62.42
66.09
65.47
63.84
62.58
61.35
60.78
60.38
59.98
,ISLANDS
;Andman & Nicobar
,Lakshadweep
51.00
38.49
51.00
38.48
51.00
38.72
50.99
38.99
51.00
39.25
51.00
39.50
51.00
39.76
51.00
40.00
51.00
40.01
79.01
79.99
80.33
79.02
77.56
76.33
75.10
73.80
72.39
194
, iO/tm
;'Tr~~~:.<!WCentral
Electricity Authority
Table 3.13
ALL INDIA AND STATE!
ELECTRICAL
ENERGY
CONSUMPTION-
UT WISE
TOTAL-RURAL
(UTILITIES)
2003-04 - 2011-12
IN MkWh
State
Delhi
Haryana
Himachal Pradesh
Jammu & Kashmir
I
Punjab
i Rajasthan
Uttar Pradesh
Uttaranchal
Chandigarh
Sub Total (NR)
271
6918
1890
1151
10464
6768
9343
1191
42
38039
306
8008
2383
1423
13137
8777
10905
1648
52
336
8853
3434
1589
14563
9884
12406
1831
58
370
9760
3837
1774
16102
11114
14222
2036
64
407
10732
4096
1980
17761
12476
16271
2264
71
447
11775
4320
2209
19545
13984
18571
2519
41399
46639
52952
59178
66057
278
7213
2170
1273
11828
7753
9352
1484
48
540
14085
5157
2746
23516
17505
23956
3124
96
73449
15167R
90724
1391
32615
7484
15116
39374
1368
695
1530
35792
8311
16844
42523
1539
792
1685
39321
9230
18788
45931
1730
903
668
22821
3774
8272
25394
619
321
810
22230
4347
8979
27174
707
351
926
22737
4882
9929
29072
851
409
1036
24806
5451
11000
1146
27173
6062
31331
33792
1079
534
1262
29750
6738
13579
36464
1215
609
61868
64598
68808
7505]
l-lIY99
89617
98042
Andhra Pradesh
Karnataka
Kerala
Tamil Nadu
Pondicherry
Sub Total (SR)
25399
13944
5147
26189
1413
72092
27864
14863
5276
27502
1438
30585
15975
5819
29068
33481
17230
6325
30976
4040S
44447
21942
7952
1578
1732
36760
18520
6829
33272
1905
76943
83025
WJ746
472X6
Bihar
Jharkiland
Orissa
West Bengal
Sikkim
Sub Total 1ER1
1732
854
2949
4196
44
2287
1139
3827
5186
70
3077
1272
Arunachal Pradesh
Assam
Meghalaya
Manipur
! Mizoram
,
; Nagaland
Tripuia
Sub Total (NER)
ISLANDS
Andman & Nicobar
Lakshadweep
: Total (All India)
9775
1801
934
3161
4443
53
10393
24
672
572
100
24
103
248
1744
1847
31.7
93
30,8
9,7
183560
21
761
615
104
23
95
228
195220
1972
1027
3321
4750
61
11130
32
876
691
133
32
117
254
2135
35,9
lOA
211784
195
958
468
12509
4432
5676
82
14540
20101
7368
3594l-\
2099
i05923
4160
1428
5142
6264
96
17091
2011-12 1
12891
4693
2463
21461
15655
21133
2805
87
Goa
Gujarat
Chhattisgarh
Madhya Pradesh
Maharashtra
D. & N. Haveti
Daman & Diu
Sub Total (WA)
12213
2010 II
38866
2317
1]5524
491
1175g8
107331
48924
23999
8604
42191
2561
53888
26263
9313
45980
2833
126279
138276
5068
1613
5971
6887
111
19649
6102
1836
6879
7620
7225
2109
7938
8493
120
22557
132
25897
37
1004
769
160
37
135
287
42
1155
830
191
43
152
325
49
1336
897
229
49
174
367
56
1551
968
271
53
204
418
64
1808
1044
321
58
230
474
71
2119
1128
378
62
259
554
2430
2739
3102
3521
4000
4569
40.4
ILl
45.3
232TN
12,1
255899
50,7
n2
2~!H51
56.4
14.5
310257
62,1
15,9
341924
69,5
17.5
377141
(Category
Wise)
Table 3.14
ELECTRICAL
State
D. & N. Haveli
Daman & Diu
'Sub Total
(ER)
Arunachal Pradesh
Assam
Meghalaya
Manipur
! Mizoram
Nagaland
,Tripura
Sub Total
,ISLANDS
Andman
(UTILITIES)
IN MkWh
Delhi
Haryana
Himachal Pradesh
Jammu & Kashmir
Punjab
Rajasthan
Uttar Pradesh
Uttaranchal
Chandigarh
(NER)
& Nicobar
Lakshadweep
11632
5998
847
2383
12001
7952
16760
1471
807
59851
12495
6594
975
2604
12550
8973
18566
1679
907
65344
14027
7376
1075
2878
13732
10022
20361
1854
985
72310
15622
8254
1558
3184
15056
11149
22262
2053
1081
80218
17365
9240
1753
3527
16511
12401
24389
2273
1186
88645
19380
10347
1887
3909
18109
13788
26691
2516
1303
97930
21589
11591
2011
4334
19865
15324
29206
2786
1432
108137
23993
12987
2210
4807
21793
17027
31953
3085
1574
119428
26667
14554
2460
5334
23912
18918
34952
3415
1731
131944
816
15151
3215
7636
26430
928
596
54772
990
14758
3703
8288
28283
1061
651
57735
1132
15095
4159
9166
30259
1276
760
61847
1266
16469
4644
10154
32610
1438
869
67448
1401
18040
5164
11274
35171
1619
992
73660
1542
19751
5740
12534
37952
1823
1132
80474
1700
21653
6375
13953
40981
2052
1290
88004
1870
23762
7080
15548
44259
2308
1471
96298
2059
26105
7863
17343
47806
2596
1677
105447
8686
9200
3949
13119
382
35335
9755
9918
4084
13784
383
37925
10661
10543
4453
14712
422
40790
11653
11516
4822
15959
465
44414
12773
12672
5208
17626
513
48792
14054
13958
5605
19589
579
53785
15475
15405
6025
21896
655
59456
17086
17051
6508
24594
743
65983
18878
18978
7032
27723
844
73456
1991
6764
4209
14184
45
27193
2143
7512
4653
15273
54
29635
2663
8662
5243
16249
62
32879
3240
9783
6019
17542
68
36652
3871
10722
6955
18783
75
40406
4688
11794
8058
20201
82
44823
5597
13035
9354
21669
90
49745
6602
14503
10767
23341
98
55312
7704
16256
12424
25133
108
61624
85
80
106
119
135
153
173
195
1248
225
75
106
93
165
1997
1489
241
73
103
89
152
2227
1638
291
95
131
109
169
2538
1864
349
111
148
135
192
2918
2141
399
129
169
167
219
3359
2479
455
150
190
192
251
3868
2887
519
173
212
227
285
4475
3382
590
199
228
255
327
5177
3987
658
228'
245
286
387
6007
81.3
9.7
79.2
10.3
95.1
11.0
108.7
11.9
124.7
12.9
142.3
14.1
162.6
15.4
184,3
17.0
208.5
18.7
179239
192955
210470
196
231771
255000
281035
309994
342400
216
378706
4~:i Central
Electricity Authority
:",
Table 3.15
ELECTRICAL
_
State
Actual
2003-04
2009-10
2010
11
In Million kwh
2011-12:
2004-05
2005-06
2006-07
2606
765
1383
5139
3133
9754
1084
307
2842
810
1526
5599
3376
10327
1010
357
3154
860
1719
6087
3873
11468
1137
390
3517
901
1935
6650
4558
12959
1279
436
3922
944
2179
7268
5336
14633
1438
488
4373
989
2453
7945
6220
16503
1617
547
4876
1037
2762
8687
7224
18578
1818
612
3108
9500
8363
2 860
2043
685
6064
1139
3497
10392
9657
23339
2297
766
29893
32110
35769
40221
45191
50729
56886
63711
71246
Goa
Gujarat
Chhattisgarh
Madhya Pradesh
iMaharashtra
D. & N.'Haveli
Daman & Diu
373
5004
1217
3377
12460
26
39
438
5434
1385
3832
12662
30
42
495
5709
1612
4538
13538
36
45
540
6396
1875
5375
14844
41
49
586
7165
2181
6200
16276
47
53
634
8027
2538
7151
17846
53
57
691
8992
2952
8249
19568
61
62
753
10073
3435
9515
21456
70
67
818
11285
3996
10976
23526
80
73
22496
23824
25973
29119
32508
36307
40575
45370
50754
IAndhra Pradesh
Karnataka
Kerala
Tamil Nadu
:Pondicherry
7526
4479
4014
9920
273
8098
4928
4297
11093
288
8801
5100
4584
12276
315
9645
5300
4932
13654
343
10628
5526
5327
15436
377
11750
5762
5754
17471
429
13003
6008
6215
19795
493
14434
6265
6713
22453
569
16035
6532
7251
25495
657
26212
28703
31076
33874
37294
41166
45514
50433
55971
iorissa
West Bengal
iSlkklm
1138
615
2627
5488
37
1209
884
2663
5622
42
1668
1055
2868
6303
47
2250
1385
3481
6983
53
3329
1821
4224
7740
60
4891
2399
5127
8583
67
6388
3163
6222
9523
76
8084
4174
7550
10571
86
9940
5512
9162
11663
96
9905
10420
11941
14151
17174
21067
25371
30466
36373
Assam
:Manipur
I Meghalaya
Nagaland
Tripura
iArunachal Pradesh
,Mizoram
697
104
159
113
156
41
82
884
113
172
120
148
31
85
992
124
221
127
183
56
107
1241
148
287
140
217
67
123
1553
177
328
147
257
80
141
1942
210
376
167
304
95
160
2429
250
430
189
359
113
178
3039
297
492
213
425
134
189
3801
352
564
242
528
150
201
1352
1553
1812
2224
2683
3255
3949
4789
5836
60
13
60
14
72
15
83
16
97
17
112
18
129
19
148
21
169
22
89932
96686
106659
119688
134962
152653
172443
194937
220372
(Base Year)
Haryana
Himachal Pradesh
Jammu & Kashmir
Punjab
Rajasthan
Uttar Pradesh
Uttarnancha!
Chandigarh
,lSub Total (NR)
5438
1087
Bihar
Jharkhand
197
Chaplcr
;~"'-;':';,;:fif:'
~'/
Table 3.16
ALL INDIA AND STATEJUT WISE
ENERGY CONSUMPTION
COMMERCIAL
ELECTRICAL
2714
755
244
485
1810
1489
2094
574
311
iDelhi
I
Haryana
Himachal
Jammu
Pradesh
& Kashmir
IPunjab
Rajasthan
~Uttar Pradesh
:Uttamanchal
IChandigarh
CONSUMERS
4611
1238
368
885
2658
2200
3122
844
400
9565
10457
11644
12952
14464
16126
17982
20057
22377
,Goa
I Gujarat
I Chhattisgarh
IMadhya Pradesh
Maharashtra
,D. & N. Haveli
!Daman & Diu
97
1834
211
712
4937
14
26
126
2034
242
830
5364
16
28
146
2116
278
929
5717
46
32
172
2439
307
1064
6181
50
35
202
2812
352
1218
6683
55
39
237
3269
403
1401
7226
61
43
281
3802
461
1619
7812
67
48
333
4421
528
1871
8447
74
53
396
5140
604
2162
9133
81
59
7830
8631
9264
10248
11360
12640
14089
15726
17574
Kerala
Tamil Nadu
Pondicherry
1762
1582
1277
3887
85
1894
1765
1310
4115
87
2159
1913
1462
4322
96
2491
2192
1639
4572
105
2866
2513
1828
4901
114
3298
2881
2039
5326
125
3794
3304
2275
5866
137
4366
3790
2538
6551
150
5024
4348
2831
7399
164
8573
9171
9952
10999
12223
13669
15376
17394
19766
284
185
518
2184
22
301
199
535
2089
24
323
218
544
2370
26
351
241
585
2479
29
382
267
629
2593
32
417
296
678
2712
35
464
324
732
2838
38
495
352
786
2970
42
640
382
841
3109
46
3193
3148
3482
3685
3903
4137
4386
4645
4918
229
12
31
15
36
53
7
279
12
39
18
33
49
7
276
14
61
23
37
53
7
304
15
87
20
40
58
8
334
17
116
22
44
63
9
367
19
149
24
49
68
10
404
21
186
26
54
74
11
441
23
228
28
60
80
12
480
25
263
30
66
86
13
384
436
471
531
604
685
775
71
964
27
4
25
4
29
5
33
5
37
6
42
7
47
7
52
8
58
10
29576
31872
34847
38452
42596
47305
52663
58755
65666
Sub Total
(WR)
iAndhra Pradesh
,Kamataka
Bihar
;Jharkhand
:Orissa
West Bengal
8ikkim
Sub Total (ER)
Assam
:Manipur
:IMeghalaya
Nagaland
ITripura
Arunachal Pradesh
IMizoram
,
I
ISLANDS
,Andman & Nicobar
,Lakshadweep
I
Total
(All India)
..---
198
Table 3.17
ELECTRICAL
WISE
PUBLIC LIGHTING
In Million kwh
State
Actual
2003
04
(Base Year)
2004
2005
2006
188
37
10
44
100
103
344
27
13
11
12
246
46
13
49
108
114
322
46
15
54
59
116
128
352
125
144
385
51
16
Sub Total
866
927
21
176
39
128
632
8
3
31
193
47
130
632
8
3
Goa
Gujarat
Chhattisgarh
Madhya Pradesh
Maharashtra
D. & N. Haveli
Daman & Diu
Sub Total
(WR)
1007
'Andhra Pradesh
Karnataka
Kerala
Tamil Nadu
Pondicheny
Sub Total
776
569
169
371
15
(SR)
1045
1035
627
187
423
17
234
06
Delhi
Haryana
Himachal Pradesh
Jammu & Kashmir
Punjab
Rajasthan
Uttar Pradesh
iUttarnanchal
~Chandigarh
(NR)
223
38
05
42
49
16
1002
35
203
46
166
678
9
4
1140
980
685
209
485
17
40
221
49
184
753
9
5
271
258
48
14
65
134
172
422
52
15
71
144
207
461
57
18
54
17
1184
1296
45
241
52
204
871
10
6
52
263
55
226
1014
11
7
2009
285
55
16
77
155
248
505
60
19
10
2010 - 11
299
59
18
84
166
298
552
63
19
1420
1560
60
287
57
250
1206
12
8
68
313
60
277
1408
13
10
2011 - 12
314
84
19
92
179
357
604
67
20
1716
78
341
63
307
1621
13
12
1262
1429
1628
1880
2149
1068
745
236
535
18
1184
810
256
592
18
1269
1383
1508
1644
1086
1201
2602
2841
3178
888
279
723
19
982
303
793
20
Bihar
Jharkhand
Orissa
West Bengal
Sikkim
28
43
45
228
20
29
46
47
215
29
31
51
51
218
35
33
66
55
234
37
34
62
60
250
40
36
68
64
268
42
38
74
69
286
45
40
80
75
306
48
42
87
81
326
51
ISub Total
364
366
386
414
445
478
513
549
586
Assam
Manipur
! Meghalaya
Nagaland
Tripura
Arunachal Pradesh
Mizoram
16
3
2
4
8
7
12
7
3
1
1
7
9
6
16
4
2
5
8
16
12
16
4
3
6
9
17
13
18
4
3
7
9
19
15
19
5
3
8
10
22
16
20
5
4
9
11
24
18
21
6
4
10
12
27
20
23
6
5
12
13
30
22
Sub Total
ISLANDS
52
34
62
66
75
82
91
100
109
6
1
6
1
8
1
8
1
9
2
10
2
11
2
12
2
12
2
(NER)
4196
l~~t~~~_llndia~_
-----------
4668
4976
5440
-------
6674
5984
7397
3814
358
957
21
2289
3481
329
870
20
2435
1900
(ER)
2377
1084
07
Forecast
2007 - 08
2008 - 09
8184
4181
9043
-----------
199
Wise)
....."1ii..
Table 3.18
ELECTRICAL
Actual
Stare
'
Forecast
2005-06
2006-07
2007-08
2008-09
200910
2010-11
2011-12"
328
349
313
339
311
1010
621
166
26
344
390
350
366
338
1082
672
178
361
436
393
396
368
1159
727
191
29
32
379
487
440
427
400
1241
786
204
36
398
544
492
461
435
1330
850
218
40
418
608
544
498
472
1424
919
233
44
439
680
606
538
513
1526
994
250
21
312
316
271
314
285
943
574
156
23
2988
3193
3463
3749
4062
44()0
4768
5162
5594
Goa
;Gujarat
Chhattisgarh
Madhya Pradesh
Maharashtra
10. & N. HaveJi
Daman & Diu
109
746
69
470
1493
3
1
125
778
78
510
1545
3
1
143
790
80
565
1689
4
1
163
874
88
602
1836
5
1
186
964
97
659
1995
5
2
211
1072
107
726
2168
6
2
250
1193
117
798
2356
6
2
297
1328
129
879
2561
6
2
354
1478
142
967
2783
7
3
iSub Total
(WR)
2892
3041
3273
3569
3907
4291
4723
5202
5732
IAndhra Pradesh
Karnataka
Kerala
Tamil Nadu
Pondicherry
411
1277
228
728
22
536
1414
157
760
24
514
1562
205
808
25
568
1749
223
893
27
628
1969
252
1015
29
694
2222
283
1160
31
768
2510
319
1327
33
850
2838
360
1528
35
940
3211
406
1768
38
:Sub Total
2666
2892
3115
3461
3892
4391
4958
5611
6363
184
50
134
413
190
54
142
434
204
59
160
451
235
71
187
488
2
252
78
203
504
2
271
85
220
219
65
173
469
1
291
93
238
552
4
313
100
258
575
4
781
819
874
926
983
1040
1104
1177
1250
60
8
26
3
62
6
19
37
9
25
0
56
8
18
65
10
43
3
61
7
23
70
12
44
4
66
7
25
76
14
46
4
72
8
28
82
16
48
5
73
8
31
88
19
51
6
85
9
32
95
21
53
6
93
10
36
103
25
55
7
101
10
38
182
152
211
228
248
269
290
314
340
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0
2
0
9511
10098
10936
11934
13093
14393
15845
17468
19281
2003-04
J
'Deihl
Haryana
Himachal Pradesh
Jammu & Kashmir
:Punjab
i Rajasthan
:Uttar Pradesh
,Uttarnanchal
300
317
251
286
252
863
567
131
IChandigarh
i
(SR)
200405
(Base Year)
49
!Bihar
;Jharkhand
IOrissa
West Bengal
'Sikkim
;Sub Total
(ER)
Assam
Manipur
Meghalaya
i Nagaland
!Tripura
Arunachal Pradesh
Mizoram
iSub Total (NEA)
i ISLANDS
IAndman & Nicobar
! Lakshadweep
IiTatal
(AU India)
---
-----
..--.
200
ti25
/~~?central
nrl
Electricity Authority
Table 3.19
ELECTRICAL
TUBEWELLSIIRRIGATION
SCHEMES
In Million kwh
State
Deihl
Haryana
'Himachal Pradesh
Jammu & Kashmir
IPunjab
IRajasthan
,Uttar Pradesh
,Uttarnanchal
Chandigarh
Actual
200304
(Base Year)
91
5514
20
116
6243
4274
4952
318
2
2004-05
2005-06
2006-07
72
5682
72
6331
6990
72
Forecast
2007-08
2008-09
72
2009-10
2010-11
72
8438
59
207
11647
7887
7029
664
3
72
9230
70
236
12909
8580
7775
717
3
72
10068
2011-12
72
10955
93
306
15699
10081
9474
836
25
32
41
128
7411
5322
4853
488
2
142
8354
6029
5248
527
2
159
9372
6613
5720
569
2
7692
50
182
10468
7232
6346
615
3
21529
23983
26737
29537
32658
36005
39591
43425
47519
IGUiarat
Chhattisgarh
IMadhya Pradesh
iMaharashtra
& N. Haveli
:Daman & Diu
18
14361
637
5583
10572
5
2
17
12090
1058
5859
10733
5
3
18
12177
1184
6243
11410
6
3
20
12902
1377
6652
12049
7
3
22
13652
1519
7236
12721
8
4
24
14339
1659
7872
13427
9
4
27
15078
1790
8563
14168
10
4
30
15858
1911
9316
14947
12
5
34
16683
2024
10134
15764
13
5
i Sub
Tolal (WR)
31177
29764
31041
33011
35161
37335
39641
42078
44657
IAndhra Pradesh
Karnataka
Kerala
;Tami! Nadu
IPondiCherry
13467
9006
212
9406
118
14433
9371
201
9825
120
15722
10032
233
10248
123
17101
10753
251
10747
126
18603
11506
273
11326
129
20236
12457
296
11960
133
22013
13548
322
12629
137
23946
14768
352
13336
142
26049
16099
384
14082
146
32209
33950
36358
38979
41837
45082
48650
52544
56761
1029
56
181
749
0
1061
61
183
792
0
1142
71
254
840
0
1286
79
288
892
0
1443
89
326
949
0
1577
98
369
1011
0
1674
106
417
1079
0
1772
114
470
1150
0
1871
123
530
1227
2014
2096
2307
2545
2807
3055
3276
3506
3751
50
1
0
0
79
0
0
18
0
1
0
71
0
0
50
2
1
0
80
0
2
55
2
1
0
88
0
2
61
3
1
0
97
0
3
67
4
1
0
106
0
4
73
5
1
0
117
0
5
81
5
1
0
129
0
5
88
6
1
0
142
0
6
130
90
134
148
164
181
200
221
243
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
87059
89884
96575
104219
112626
121658
131357
141775
152931
10.
IBihar
!Jharkhand
!Orissa
'West Bengal
ISikkim
81
269
14259
9311
8588
774
3
iAssam
;Manipur
iMeghalaya
;Nagaland
ITriPura
Arunachal Pradesh
,Mizoram
Sub Total (NER)
ISLANDS
IAndman & Nicobar
,Lakshadweep
I
201
,I _= ...
,.
Table 3.20
ALL INDIA AND STATE/UT WISE
ELECTRICAL ENERGY CONSUMPTION IN LT INDUSTRIES
Actual
Forecast,
2003 -04
200405
2005
2006 -07
2007 -08
2008 - 09
2009 - 10
2010 - 11
Uttar Pradesh
Uttamanchal
'Chandigarh
951
208
211
2119
1324
2293
90
83
948
246
225
2210
1485
2386
93
92
1045
281
249
2388
1660
2630
103
103
1153
322
275
2582
1856
2900
115
116
1271
368
304
2793
2075
3197
128
130
1401
420
336
3020
2319
3525
142
146
1545
480
372
3267
2593
3886
158
164
1703
549
411
3533
2899
4264
176
185
3021
1877
627
454
3821
3241
4724
196
207
ISUb Total
9111
9551
10459
11460
12559
13768
15097
16559
18168
58
5331
298
670
4724
115
118
70
5609
328
690
4818
125
134
78
5738
380
746
5262
255
175
88
6305
416
829
5786
301
197
98
7103
467
921
6362
353
220
110
8003
525
1023
6995
412
244
126
9017
590
1137
7691
478
270
146
10159
663
1263
8457
553
297
169
11445
744
1403
9299
638
325
(WR)
11314
11774
12636
13922
15525
17312
19308
21536
24023
Andhra Pradesh
Karnataka
Kerala
Tamil Nadu
I Pondicherry
2084
2347
540
4877
82
2221
2459
545
4933
88
2663
2048
668
5133
97
3028
2889
734
5619
107
3443
3794
794
6110
118
3915
3779
860
6718
130
4451
4370
931
7470
144
5061
5073
1008
8386
158
5755
5957
1092
9489
175
9930
10246
11210
12377
13759
15402
17366
19687
22468
135
128
263
688
11
140
147
271
794
13
165
170
298
1011
15
191
195
328
1079
17
220
224
361
1154
19
252
256
397
1234
21
286
293
436
1322
24
322
334
480
1414
28
360
381
528
1509
31
1224
1365
16::.7
1810
1977
2160
2361
2577
2809
124
8
5
36
73
3
2
105
7
5
4
65
5
2
16i
21
8
22
55
6
2
190
25
9
25
60
6
3
228
29
11
29
65
7
3
271
34
13
33
71
8
4
318
40
15
38
9
5
369
46
18
44
83
10
5
426
52
20
51
90
11
6
249
192
274
319
373
435
502
575
657
5
0
4
0
5
0
6
1
6
1
7
1
7
1
7
1
8
2
31834
33133
36242
39893
44200
49086
54643
60944
68135
State
06
In Million kwh
'
2011 - 12
(Base Year)
8 0
Haryana
Himachal Pradesh
I:Jammu & Kashmir
I
IPunjab
i
'I'
Rajasthan
(NR)
Goa
Gujarat
.Chhattisgarh
Madhya Pradesh
1
1'
Maharashtra
D. & N. Haveli
Daman & Diu
I,sub Total
I
iBihar
Jharkhand
,Orissa
:West Bengal
,Sikkim
I
ISUb Total
(ER)
,Assam
:Manipur
IMeghalaya
! Nagaland
Tripura
' Arunachal
Pradesh
I
Mizoram
---.--
V'/ise)
202
,/ '~l;if~,:'
,it.r.~:.,/
~"
Table 3.21
ALL INDIA AND STATElUT WISE
ELECTRICAL ENERGY CONSUMPTION
HT INDUSTRIES
In Million kwh
1083
:4664
3512
963
10299
6552
7225
1403
207
1148
5270
3848
1078
11325
7338
8092
1571
228
1217
5955
4305
1208
12453
8219
9063
1760
251
32504
35908
39899
44430
1407
12501
5854
5448
21882
2220
1203
1534
13689
6439
6001
23414
2487
1383
1656
14989
7083
6610
25053
2785
1591
1772
16413
7791
7282
26807
3120
1829
1896
17972
8570
8022
28683
3494
2104
46442
50515
54947
59768
65015
70742
8999
4362
2765
9515
1321
9737
4893
2977
9880
1465
10615
5337
3143
10429
1625
11612
5822
3287
11027
1804
12705
6364
3426
11678
2002
13905
6958
3614
12386
2223
15223
7606
3813
13158
2469
25023
26962
28952
31150
33551
36175
39087
42270
649
5816
2815
7471
0
679
6275
3314
8381
0
747
7252
3707
8635
0
822
8051
4216
9362
2
904
8568
4837
9987
3
994
9089
5550
~0779
5
1094
9612
6361
11521
6
1203
10142
7117
12411
8
79G2
13484
9
16752
18650
20341
22452
24300
26418
28594
30880
33441
Assam
Manipur
Meghalaya
Nagaland
Tripura
Arunachal Pradesh
Mizoram
513
0
451
0
0
0
0
619
1
486
0
0
0
0
650
13
513
0
0
0
1
682
16
546
29
0
0
1
716
19
576
58
0
0
2
752
24
606
72
0
0
2
787
27
637
101
0
0
3
823
33
667
115
0
0
3
862
38
698
130
0
0
4
964
1105
1176
1274
1'370
1456
1554
1641
1731
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
95977
105087
113771
125449
136712
148876
161999
176522
192614
Delhi
Haryana
Himachal
783
2289
1141
491
6516
3395
3803
566
104
809
2531
1347
546
6409
3718
4174
796
129
858
2860
1438
612
7047
4164
4592
891
142
909
3232
2794
685
7748
4664
5143
998
156
984
3852
3201
768
8519
5223
5760
1118
171
1022
4127
3386
860
9367
5850
6451
1252
188
(NR)
19089
20460
22604
26329
29376
Goa
iGujarat
!Chhattisgarh
IMadhya Pradesh
Maharashtra
D. & N. Haveli
Daman & Diu
809
9963
3944
3701
15239
1376
728
993
10222
4324
4076
17863
1581
791
1142
10426
4838
4490
19113
1770
909
1279
11417
5321
4945
20451
1983
1046
35759
39849
42688
6827
3680
2522
9221
1163
8100
4013
2527
9192
1191
23414
Pradesh
I Sub
Total
Sub Total
Andhra
(WR)
Pradesh
Karnataka
Kerala
,Tamil Nadu
i Pondicherry
I
Sub Total
(SR)
:Sihar
iJharkhand
:Orissa
;West Bengal
Sikkim
Sub Total
Total
(ER)
(All India)
-------
____
1323
10663
__
203
Wise)
/-;
CentralElectricityAuthority,t?~/
Table 3.22
ELECTRICAL
TRACTION
In Million kwh
Actual
State
2003-04
2004-052005-062006-07
Forecast
2007-0B
200B-09
2009-10
2010-112011-12
(Base Year)
260
209
234
209
294
o
o
71
266
587
115
279
627
o
o
1393
Goa
Gujarat
Chhattisgarh
Madhya Pradesh
Maharashtra
D. & N. Haveli
Daman & Diu
340
230
367
241
484
253
593
266
672
279
774
293
o
o
o
o
128
308
1406
136
323
1497
144
340
1602
153
357
1722
162
374
1860
171
393
2018
o
o
o
o
o
o
o
o
o
o
o
o
1464
2253
2412
2565
2823
3091
3348
3649
0
420
574
1267
1749
0
0
0
477
588
1339
1849
0
0
0
504
623
1419
1925
0
0
0
534
661
1505
2040
0
0
0
568
704
1602
2173
0
0
0
608
753
1714
2325
0
0
0
654
B09
1843
2500
0
0
0
706
874
1990
2700
0
0
0
766
948
2160
2929
0
0
4010
4253
4471
4740
5047
5400
5806
6270
6B03
Andhra Pradesh
Kamataka
f<.erala
T3mi! Nadu
F'ondicherry
1132
37
53
505
0
1173
38
47
515
0
1250
38
49
550
0
1330
40
52
580
0
1415
43
55
620
0
1510
45
59
670
0
1620
49
64
710
0
1750
53
69
770
0
1900
57
75
835
0
1727
1773
1887
2002
2133
2285
2443
2642
2867
276
726
251
832
0
335
780
334
876
0
355
814
338
927
0
376
851
358
978
0
401
892
382
1035
0
429
938
408
1098
0
461
990
439
1175
0
498
1049
474
1289
0
540
1116
515
1423
0
2086
2325
2435
2563
2710
2873
3065
3310
3593
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
9216
9814
11046
11717
12455
13381
14404
15569
16913
IDelhl
Haryana
'Himachal Pradesh
Jammu & Kashmir
Punjab
Rajasthan
Uttar Pradesh
Uttarnanchal
Chandigarh
Bihar
Jharkhand
Oris:'ia
West Bengal
Sikkim
Pradesh
219
121,
293
1326
204
>i.~~;/
!
.L.~._~._.-; __
r
Table 3.23
ELECTRICAL
State
Delhi
Haryana
Himachal Pradesh
Jammu & Kashmir
Punjab
Rajasthan
Uttar Pradesh
Uttarnancha!
;Chandigarh
iSub Total (NR)
IGoa
IGujarat
iChhattisgarh
Actual
2003-04
(Base Year)
2004-05
260
338
119
581
370
279
485
191
624
431
307
534
252
674
457
338
587
272
728
485
372
646
289
786
514
409
711
304
849
545
450
782
316
577
495
860
324
990
612
1763
2560
2765
2986
3225
3483
3762
4063
4388
2005-06
2006-07
Forecast
2007-08
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11
2011-12
917
544
946
326
1069
649
25
27
29
31
34
36
39
42
46
3455
4597
5018
5426
5865
6336
6842
o
o
o
o
o
0
168
0
0
0
0
0
0
187
0
0
0
0
0
0
208
0
0
0
0
0
0
230
0
0
0
0
0
0
256
0
0
0
0
0
7385
7967
284
315
o
o
o
o
o
o
o
o
o
Madhya Pradesh
Maharashtra
10. & N. Haveli
'Daman & Diu
0
137
0
0
19
0
0
155
152
168
187
208
230
256
284
315
'Andhra Pradesh
! Karnataka
,
I Kerala
IT amil Nadu
130
166
89
430
6
159
175
95
443
6
165
171
193
109
469
7
178
203
115
482
7
184
212
122
494
7
190
221
128
505
Pondicherry
100
166
82
413
36
196
229
135
518
7
797
821
879
914
949
984
1018
1052
Bihar
iJharkhand
,
o
o
0
0
362
0
0
382
264
2
0
0
405
275
5
0
0
429
287
8
o
o
0
0
343
243
0
o
o
IOrissa
'West Bengal
Sikkim
0
0
322
327
0
455
299
4
485
312
4
649
838
587
616
648
585
724
758
800
IAssam
! Manipur
231
41
123
25
0
0
8
302
32
128
40
308
49
141
46
315
68
155
57
0
0
13
318
78
163
63
0
0
14
324
102
180
73
0
10
311
58
148
52
0
0
12
321
90
171
305
41
134
44
0
0
10
428
511
535
556
b80
607
14
0
14
16
0
18
0
20
0
22
0
I
1
Meghalaya
Nagaland
iTripura
IArunachal Pradesh
I Mizoram
I
5499
152
325
513
o
o
o
6934
7202
184
102
456
253
'J
7717
205
'3270
8865
68
1086
o
o
15
17
636
665
696
24
0
26
29
9500
10170
10893
CentralElectricity
Authoritykt~~/
:'l!
.~'"
Table 3.24
ELECTRICAL
(UTILITIES)
2003-04 -2011-12
IN MkWh
State
Delhi
Haryana
Himachal Pradesh
Jammu & Kashmir
Punjab
i Rajasthan
i Uttar Pradesh
:Uttaranchal
,Chandigarh
,Sub Total (NR)
188
1137
576
458
2297
1029
3098
354
25
9161
212
1241
613
520
2453
1204
3486
405
27
10161
Goa
Gujarat
i Chhattisgarh
! Madhya Pradesh
Maharashtra
D. & N. Haveli
Daman & Diu
Sub Talai (WR)
179
2402
584
1621
5981
12
19
10798
210
2608
665
1839
6078
15
20
11436
Andhra Pradesh
Karnataka
,Kerala
ITamil Nadu
i Pondicherry
,SUb Tolal (SR)
3416
1536
2394
5151
117
12615
'Bihar
'Jharkhand
iOrissa
:West Bengal
Sikkim
,Sub Tolal (ER)
262
85
1182
1514
26
3070
Arunachal Pradesh
Assam
Meghalaya
Manipur
Mizoram
Nagaland
iTripura
,Sub Total (NER)
IISLANDS
i Andman & Nicobar
:Lakshadweep
ITotal (All India)
240
644
590
2629
1443
4148
463
31
11563
269
1527
675
669
2817
1718
4912
530
34
13152
302
1695
708
759
3019
2035
5782
606
38
14944
339
1880
743
860
3235
2399
6758
693
43
16950
379
2086
780
976
3466
2817
7833
792
48
19176
905
54
21618
238
2740
774
2178
6498
17
22
12467
259
3070
900
2580
7125
20
24
13977
281
3439
1047
2976
7812
22
25
15604
330
4174
1320
3719
9280
28
30
18880
359
4676
1535
4289
10175
32
32
21099
392
5238
1786
4948
11157
36
35
23592
426
58681
2078'
5707
12233
42
38
26392
3705
1748
2558
5857
122
139B9
40Bl
1804
2741
6500
128
15254
4604
1872
2957
7115
133
16681
5242
1954
3191
6797
2130
3715
9331
161
22134
7740
2224
4009
10213
177
24362
8813
2322
4325
11179
140
18315
5969
2040
3443
B525
149
20126
26833 '
278
126
1198
1483
30
3115
320
157
1113
1672
33
3296
442
206
1351
1889
37
3925
1020
269
1640
2135
42
5106
1906
351
1990
2413
47
6707
2646
459
2415
2726
53
8299
3504
599
2931
3081
59
10174
4440
7831
3557,
3499'
67
12346
13n
n88
423
2315
819
1106
3714
3296,
89871
193]
17
13
22
26
31
37
43
50
55
279
87
73
16
62
86
620
354
94
79
17
66
82
704
402
118
85
22
71
101
823
497
154
103
26
77
120
1002
614
176
123
30
76
142
1191
758
201
147
34
86
168
1431
936
231
176
36
98
199
1718
1156
264
209
38
111
235
2064
1428
302
249
41
126
292
2493
20.5
6.5
20.5
6.8
23.7
7.1
26.7
7.6
30.5
B.l
34.6
8.7
39.2
9.3
44.1
10.0
49.5
10.8
35703
38433
42031
206
47183
53406
62131
70248
79423
89742
i:
,1
lP:~II'
!a;~ /C
tiEl
en ra
.. A h '/y
ectnclty ut on
1,,-
f
Table 3.25
ELECTRICAL
(UTILITIES)
2003-04 -2011-12
IN MkWh
II
,-
Delhi
Haryana
Himachal Pradesh
Jammu & Kashmir
Punjab
Rajasthan
Uttar Prade~h
Uttaranchal
i Chandigarh
Sub Tolal (NR)
0
226
108
85
248
195
126
45
9
1042
0
258
119
93
271
215
106
57
9
1129
0
287
131
103
298
240
183
63
10
1314
0
322
146
113
329
267
276
69
11
1533
0
362
162
125
362
297
395
76
11
1790
0
406
180
137
399
331
533
84
12
2082
0
455
200
152
439
368
697
93
13
2417
0
509
222
168
484
410
892
103
14
2801
0
571
247
185
533
456
1122
113
15
3242
Goa
Gujarat
Chhattisgarh
Madhya Pradesh
! Maharashtra
:D. & N. Hav:~ii
I Daman & D,u
Sub Tolal (WR)
19
275
32
142
987
3
5
1464
25
305
36
166
1071
3
6
1612
29
317
42
186
1143
9
6
1733
34
366
46
213
1236
10
7
1912
40
422
53
244
1337
11
8
2114
47
490
60
280
1445
12
9
2344
56
570
69
324
1562
13
10
2605
67
663
79
374
1689
15
11
2898
79
771
91
432
1827
16 .
12 .
3228
Andhra Pradesh
Tamil Nadu
Pondicherry
Sub Tolal (SR)
628
241
647
1411
37
2964
668
270
671
1523
38
3170
760
292
750
1613
42
3458
883
322
839
1719
46
3810
1025
356
934
1868
51
4234
1189
392
1039
2070
57
4748
1381
433
1157
2337
63
5370
1603
477
1287
2688
70
6125
1861
527
1433
3142
77
7040
jSihar
;Jharkhand
iOrissa
West Bengal
Sikkim
Sub Talai (ER)
68
37
233
482
2
823
72
40
241
426
2
781
78
43
241
521
3
886
84
48
259
553
3
947
92
53
278
586
3
1012
100
59
300
621
3
1083
109
64
324
658
4
1159
119
70
348
698
4
1238
130
76
372
740
1322
6
28
10
2
1
8
20
76
6
33
13
2
1
10
18
84
6
29
19
3
1
13
20
91
7
31
26
3
2
10
22
101
7
33
34
3
2
12
24
115
8
36
43
4
2
13
26
131
8
38
52
4
2
14
29
148
9
40
63
5
2
15
33
166
9
43
75
5
3
16
36
186
8.0
2.1
7.4
2.2
8.4
2.4
9.5
2.6
10.3
11.1
3.2
11.9
3.6
12.8
4.1
13.7
! Karnataka
I Kerala
I
I Arunachal
Pradesh
IAssam
Meghalaya
Manipur
Mizoram
I N~gajand
:Tripura
(NEtt)
i Sub Total
,ISLANDS
Andman & tJicobar
Lakshadweep
I
I~olal (~ii:nd~a)
6379
6786
7493
8314
------------
207
2.8
9278
10402
11714
13246
4.6
15035
--.-
Wise)
Table 3.26
ALL INDIA AND STATE! UT WISE
ELECTRICAL ENERGY CONSUMPTIONIRRIGATION-RURAL
2003-04 - 2011-12
(UTILITIES)
IN MkWh
State
Delhi
Haryana
Himachal Pradesh
Jammu & Kashmir
,Punjab
Rajasthan
Uttar Pradesh
Uttaranchal
Chandigarh
Jharkhand
Orissa
West Bengal
!Sikkim
iSub Total
(ER)
Arunachal
Assam
Pradesh
Meghalaya
,Manipur
Mizoram
Nagaland
Tripura
54
5513
20
116
6243
4274
4676
286
1
21183
43
5678
25
128
7411
5322
4585
439
1
23633
43
6321
32
142
8354
6029
4958
474
1
26354
43
6971
41
159
9372
6613
5404
512
2
29116
43
7661
50
182
10468
7232
5995
553
2
32185
43
8392
59
207
11647
7887
6640
597
2
35475
43
9164
70
236
12909
8580
7345
645
2
38994
43
9980
81
269
14259
9311
8113
697
2
42754
43
10839
93
306
15699
10081
8950
753
2
46765
18
14361
637
5583
10572
5
2
31177
17
12090
1058
5859
10733
5
3
29764
18
12177
1184
6243
11410
6
3
31041
20
12902
1377
6652
12049
7
3
33011
22
13652
1519
7236
12721
8
4
35161
24
14339
1659
7872
13427
9
4
37335
27
15078
1790
8563
14168
10
4
39641
30
15858
1911
9316
14947
12
5
42078
34
16683
2024
10134
15764
13
5
44657
13467
9006.4
212
9406
118
32209
14433
9371
201
9825
120
33950
15722
10032
233
10248
123
36358
17101
10753
251
10747
126
38979
18603
11506
273
11326
129
41837
20236
12457
296
11960
133
45082
22013
13548
322
12629
137
48650
23946
14768
352
13336
142
52544
26049
16099
384
14082
146
56761
962
52
172
741
0
1927
992
57
174
784
1068
66
241
831
1202
74
274
883
1349
83
310
939
1474
92
351
1001
1565
99
396
1068
1657
107
447
1139
1749
115
504
1214
2006
2207
2433
2681
2918
3128
3348
3582
60
1
4
4
66
1
5
5
72
1
a
a
50
1
2
2
0
54
1
3
3
45
1
2
2
79
1
6
6
0
71
88
80
129
88
143
97
158
106
175
117
193
129
213
142
234
a
a
151999
0
16
1
45
0
1
a
a
79
125
a
a
86621
89441
96088 103681
--
208
-----
'~I!",'
&'!f;[;:':'1/
,I"
Table 3.27
ALL INDIA AND STATE! UT WISE
ELECTRICAL ENERGY CONSUMPTION-OTHERS-RURAL
2003-04 - 2011-12
(UTILITIES)
IN MkWh
State
2003-04
Delhi
Haryana
Himachal Pradesh
Jammu & Kashmir
Punjab
I Rajasthan
1Uttar Pradesh
Uttaranchal
i Chandigarh
I
"Goa
Gujarat
1Chhattisgarh
Madhya Pradesh
I Maharashtra
I
Andhra Pradesh
Karnataka
Kerala
Tamil Nadu
Pondicherry
Sub Total (SR)
Bihar
Jharkhand
I Orissa
. West Bengal
Sikkim
I
Sub Total
(ER)
, Arunach"j Pradesh
I
Assam
:Meghalaya
Manipur
Mizoram
Nagaland
Tripura
Sub Total
ISLANDS
(NER)
I Lakshadweep
45
137
1219
536
1834
1363
1615
481
10
7241
47
140
1450
595
1848
1186
1563
634
12
7476
50
159
1607
659
2032
1304
2279
706
14
8810
54
182
2604
727
2233
1561
2578
786
15
10741
57
209
2950
799
2454
1867
2921
876
17
12151
61
240
3148
876
2696
2223
3317
976
19
13556
65
275
3307
960
2961
2638
3772
1088
21
15087
70
316
3610
1051
3252
3117
4295
1213
23
16946
451
5783
2521
926
7854
599
295
18429
558
7227
2588
1115
9292
884
322
21786
641
7502
2883
1323
10021
818
378
23566
722
8488
3128
1556
10920
922
434
26151
802
9661
3443
1758
11922
1038
497
29120
860
10747
3699
1708
12311
1166
567
31058
948
12291
4090
1940
13468
1312
649
34697
1042
14033
4534
2206
14730
1476
742
38763
7889
3159
1895
10221
1140
24304
9059
3474
1847
10296
1159
25834
10022
3846
2095
10707
1285
27956
10894
4283
2278
11395
1427
30276
11891
4703
2432
12289
1585
32900
13014
5212
2589
13393
1760
35968
14256
5831
2758
14569
1956
39370
15636
6529
2956
15954
2173
43248
159991
5037
2514
16108,
16591,
848
43311,
1
17165
7316,
3170j
17576',
2416
47642
440
680
1362
1458
16
3955
459
711
1548
1750
21
4490
507
760
1726
1725
25
4742
559
811
1943
1861
30
5204
616
867
2205
2016
37
5741
679
927
2502
2230
45
6383
748
991
2836
2434
54
7063
823
1060
3153
2703
56
7796
9051
1135'
3506
3040
62
8648
1.47
320
474
25
6
33
64
923
2.34
359
507
22
5
19
57
970
3.12
400
553
43
7
33
53
1093
3.60
427
588
52
8
48
58
1184
4.12
454
620
62
8
64
62
1274
4.72
483
652
75
9
75
67
1365
5.36
511
684
87
10
92
73
1463
6.06
539
717
101
11
104
78
1557
84
6.
569
750
117
13
117
84
1656
3.2
0.7
3.0
0.8
3.8
0.9
4.2
1.0
4.5
1.1
4.9
1.3
5.3
1.5
5.8
1.8
6.2
2.1
60560
66171
108317
120364!
54856
73561
209
81192
88337
97688
74
3621
3998
1149
3570
3672
4897
13521
251
19099
1147
CHAPTER-IV
STATEWISE FORECAST
(SHORT TERM)
~~W.'I
' Central
Electricity Authority
Table 4.1
Deihl
SUMMARY OF CATEGORYWISE FORECAST
(UTILITIES)
Consumption Categones
Actual
2003-04
2004-05
Consumption/requirement
in MkWh
Forecast
2005-06
2006-07
2007-08
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11
2011-12
Base Year
5723
2466
188
300
91
1832
783
260
260
11903
40.96
8257
20160
69.97
3289
6284
2714
223
312
72
1867
809
234
279
12773
39.03
8179
20952
68.53
3490
7081
3159
234
328
72
1999
858
294
307
14332
37.03
8430
22762
68.43
3797
7985
3583
246
344
72
2142
909
340
338
15959
35.03
8606
24565
68.33
4104
26483
68.23
4431
~ral Consumption
Urban Consumption
271
11632
278
12495
306
14027
336
15622
~37()
407
17:3()S
1!J3f:lO
Domestic
Commercial & Miscellaneous
Public Lighting
Public Water Works
Irrigation
LT Industries
,HT Industries
!Railway Traction
INon Industrial
:Total Consumption MkWh
8982
4065
258
361
72
2294
984
367
372
17734
33.03
8749
68.13
11293
5230
285
398
72
2633
1083
593
450
22036
29.03
9016
31052
68.03
12627
5933
299
418
72
2820
1148
672
495
24484
27.03
9072
33556
68.00
4807
5210
5633
10081
4611
271
379
72
2458
1022
484
409
19786
31.03
8904
28690
44?
491
14096j'
6730 ,
3141
439'
72
3021
1217
774
544'
272071
25.03
9086
36293
1
68.001
6092
041
2fj(;D7
21589
23993
__________
2009 - 10
2010 - 11
2011 - 1:->
51.25%
23.73%
0.33%
16.86%
7.83%
100.00%
51.57%
24.23%
0.29%
16.21%
7.69%
100.00%
51.81%
24.74%
0.26%
15.58%
7.61%
100.00%
Pattern of utilisation
------------------
--------
Domestic
Commercial
Irrigation
Industry
Others
Total
",-l.U"atlon
2003 - 04
2004 05
48.08%
20.72%
0.76%
21.97%
8.47%
100.00%
49.04%
21.24%
0.56%
20.95%
6.21%
100.00%
for
50.03%
22.45%
0.45%
19.12%
7.95%
100.00%
2007
OB
50.65%
22.92%
0.40%
18.37%
7.66%
100.00%
200e - 09
50.95%
23.30%
0.36%
17.59%
7.80%
100.00%
2003-04
Others
Others
7.61\
8.47\
Industry
21.97\
Irrigation
Domestic
0.26\
48.08%
Irrigation
0.76\
213
Dof"estic.:
51.81\
'f'
Table 4.2
Haryana
SUMMARY OF CATEGORYWISE
FORECAST
(UTILITIES)
2606
656
37
317
:Domestic
i Commercial & Miscellaneous
,Public Lighting
IPublic Water Works
Irrigation
LT Industries
HT Industries
Railway Traction
I Non Industrial
:Total Consumption - MkWh
iT & D Losses ( % )
'T & 0 Losses - MkWh
Energy Requirement - MkWh
;Load Factor ( % )
Peak Load (MW)
5514
951
2289
209
338
2842
755
38
316
5682
948
2531
3154
849
42
349
6331
3517
962
45
390
6990
3922
1091
48
436
7692
7458
22842
31.45
7849
241
646
19000
30.25
8240
4373
1238
52
487
8438
1401
4127
253
711
21080
29.05
8631
1045
2860
1153
1271
3652
24955
27240
29711
32385
35280
64.72
4029
64.62
4408
64.52
64.42
64.32
4819
5265
5747
64.22
6271
8008
7376
8853
8254
9760
9240
10732
10347
11775
11591
12891
12987
15384
32.65
19779
6755
20562
68.88
64.82
3278
3621
6918
7213
5998
6594
34.70
6863
3232
230
587
219
534
209
485
13807
32.85
12916
Consumption/requirement
17106
in MkWh
4876
5438
6064
1403
1591
59
608
10068
18051
55
544
9230
1545
4664
1703
5270
266
782
279
860
23365
27.85
25878
64'
680
10955
1877
5955
293
946
28639
25.451
26.65
9403
9020
9778
384171
64.12
6839
I
,
Rural Consumption
Urban Consumption
14085]
14554:
-----
Pattern of utilisation
---------
Domestic
Commercial
Irrigation
Industry
Others
Total
ut.i lisatioIl
2003 - 04
2004 - 05
2005 - 06
2006 - 07
2007 - 08
2008 - 09
2009 - 10
2010 - 11
20.17%
5.08%
42.69%
25.08%
6.97%
100.00%
20.58%
5.47%
41.16%
25.20%
7.59%
100.00%
20.50%
5.52%
41.16%
25.39%
7.43%
100.00%
20.56%
5.63%
40.86%
25.63%
7.32%
100.00%
20.64%
5.74%
40.48%
25.91%
7.22%
100.00%
20.75%
5.87%
40.03%
26.23%
7.13%
100.00%
20.87%
6.01%
39.50%
26.57%
7.05%
100.00%
21.01%
6.15%
38.91%
26.95%
6.98%
100.00%
tor
2003-04
utilisation
for
2011 - 12
2011-12
Others
Others
6.92%
6.97%
Industry
2~.08%
Industry
27.35%
commercial
commercial
5.08%
6.30%
/
/
//
Irrigation
Irrigation
42.69%
38.25%
214
21.17%
6.30%
38.25%[
27.35% i
6.92%1
1~~.~~o
Table 4.3
Himachal Pradesh
SUMMARY OF CATEGORYWISE FORECAST
(UTILITIES)
ConsumptIon Categories
Domestic
iCommerciat & Miscellaneous
Public Lighting
:Public Water Works
:Irrigation
!LT Industries
HT Industries
i Railway Traction
jNon Industrial
iTotal Consumption - MkWh
& D Losses ( % )
T & D Losses - MkWh
Energy Requirement - MkWh
.Load Factor ( % )
.Peak Load (MW)
Actual
2003 - 04 2004 - 05
(Base Year)
765
810
244
224
10
11
271
251
iT
!
i Rural
Consumption
I Urban~~_~~mption
20
25
208
1141
246
1347
2005 - 06
Consumption/requirement
Forecast
2006 - 07 2007 - 08
2008 - 09
944
332
14
393
50
368
3201
989
368
15
440
59
420
3386
860
270
12
313
32
281
1438
901
299
13
350
41
322
2794
2009 -10
2010 - 11
2011 - 12
1037
408
16
492
70
480
3512
1087
453
18
544
81
549
3848
1139
502
19
606
93
627
4305
316
6331
22.85
1875
324
6903
21.35
1874
8777
67.34
1488
326
119
2737
31.85
1279
4016
68.42
670
191
3145
30.35
1370
272
4992
27.35
1879
6871
67.34
1165
289
5590
25.85
1949
304
5983
24.35
1926
7539
7909
8206
67.34
765
252
3459
28.85
1402
4861
67.34
824
67.34
1278
67.34
1::111
67.34
1391
1890
847
2170
975
2383
1075
3434
1558
3837
,-OS2'837
4516
1753
in MkWh
7617
19.85
1886
9504
67.34
1611
'~32G<
4693
5157
2011
2210
24EO
1()
2010 - 11
Pattern of utilisation
-----
2003 - 04
2004 - 05
2005 " 06
2006 - 07
2007 - 08
2CCS - OS
27.96%
8.17%
0.71%
49.29%
13.87%
100.00%
25.75%
7.77%
0.80%
50.67%
15.01%
100.00%
24.88%
7.80%
0.94%
49.71%
16.67%
100.00%
18.06%
5.99%
0.81%
62.42%
12.72%
100.00%
16.89%
5.94%
0.89%
63.84%
12.45%
100.00%
16.54%
6.15%
0.99%
63.63%
12.69%
100.00%
Domestic
Commercial
Irrigation
Industry
Others
Total
for
16.38%
6.45%
1.10%
63.05%
13.03%
100.00%
15.74%
6.56%
1.17%
63.70%
12.83%
100_00%
20i 1
2003-0'\
Others
12.49%
Domestic
Commercial
6.59%
Irrigation
1.22%
Commercial
8.17%
Irrigation
'ndU~
49.29%
---
0.71%
Industry
64.75%
215
{ . !~.q' 1 .-;
:\
I ~
14.95%
6.59%
1.22%
64.75%
12.49%
100.00%
-----
----
ut.ilisation
20C0
Table 4.4
Consumption Categones
2003-04
(Base Year)
iCommercial & Miscellaneous
IPublic Lighting
Public Water Works
Irrigation
i LT Industries
HT Industries
Railway Traction
Non Industrial
ITotal Consumption - MkWh
!T & 0 Losses (%)
,T & 0 Losses - MkWh
,Energy Requirement - MkWh
Load Factor ( % )
'Peak Load (MW)
FORECAST
Actual
2004-05
Forecast
2007-08
422
44
286
116
211
491
0
581
3534
47.87
3246
6780
61.04
1268
2005-06
2006-07
513
54
339
142
249
612
0
674
4301
465
49
314
128
225
546
0
624
3877
47.51
42.87
3510
3228
7528
70.85
1213
7387
72.32
1166
Consumption/requirement
565
59
366
159
275
685
0
728
4772
40.37
3231
8004
69.37
1317
3231
8532
67.90
1434
1589
3184
3527
2008-09
622
65
396
182
304
768
0
786
5301
37.87
2009-10
685
71
427
207
336
860
0
849
5888
35.37
3223
9111
66.42
1566
755
77
461
236
372
963
0
917
6542
32.87
3204
1980
3909
2010-11
831
84
498
269
411
1078
0
990
7270
30.37
9746
3171
10441
64.95
1713
63.47
1878
2209
4334
2463
4807
in MkWh
2011-12
916
92
538
306
454
1208
0
1069
8080
27.87
3122
11202
62.00
2063!
IRural Consumption
IUrban Consumption
1151
2383
1273
1423
2604
2878
- --
1774
2746
5334]
-------
Pattern of utilisation
-----
----
39.12%
11.95%
3.28%
19.86%
25.80%
100.00%
39.35%
12.00%
3.29%
19.90%
25.46%
100.00%
-------
----------
2005 .06 2006 .07 2007 .08 2008 .09 2009 - 10 2010 - 11 2011 - 12
39.96%
11.92%
3.30%
20.02%
24.81%
100.00%
40.56%
11.83%
3.33%
20.13%
24.16%
100.00%
41.12%
11.73%
3.42%
20.22%
23.51%
100.00%
41.67/0
11.64%
3.52%
20.31%
22.87%
100.00%
----
utilisation
42.21%
11.54%
3.61%
20.40%
22.24%
100.00%
42.75%
11.44%
3.70%
20.48%
21.63%
100.00%
----
for 2003-1)4
utilisation
for 2011-1?
Domestic
39.12%
43.28%
Industry
20.57%
Irrigation
3.26%
Commercial
Irrigation
3.79%
11.95%
216
Commercial
11.34%
43.28%
11.34%
3.79%
20.57%
21.03%
100.00%
,~~~,/
Table 4.5
Punjab
SUMMARY OF CATEGORYWISE FORECAST
(UTILITIES)
Consumption Categones
Actual
2003-04
2004~05
(Base Year)
Domestic
Commercial & Miscellaneous
Public Lighting
Public Water Works
Irrigation
L T Industries
HT Industries
I Railway Traction
I Non Industrial
Total Consumption - MkWh
.T & D Losses ( %)
iT & D Losses - MkWh
I Energy Requirement - MkWh
! Load Factor ( % )
Peak Load (MW)
'1'
2005-06
Forecast
2007-08
2006-07
5139
1655
100
252
6243
2119
6516
71
370
22465
26.39
8055
30520
61.97
5622
5599
1810
108
285
7411
2210
6409
115
431
24378
25.79
8473
32851
62.07
6042
6087
1990
116
311
8354
2388
7047
121
457
26869
25.19
9049
35918
62.17
6595
10434
12031
11828
12550
13137
13782
2008
7268
2413
134
368
6650
2191
125
338
9372
2582
Consumption/requirement
7748
10468
2793
8519
128
485
29619
24.59
9660
136
514
32613
23.99
10295
39279
42908
09
2009-10
7945
2658
144
400
2010-11
8687
2928
155
435
12909
3267
14259
10299
153
577
39409
22.79
11634
51044
62.57
9312
11325
62.27
62.37
7201
7853
14563
15056
16102
16511
17761
18109
2011-12
9500
3225
166
472
11647
3020
9367
144
545
35869
23.39
10953
46823
62.47
8556
in MkWh
10392
3552
179
513
15699
3821
12453
3533
171
649
162
612
43254
22.19
12338
47427
62.67
10126
21.59
13061
60489
62.77
11000
19545
19865
21461
21793
23516'
239121
2009 - 10
2010 - 11
2011 - 12
21.96%
7.46%
32.97%
34.35%
3.27%
100.00%
21.91%'
7.49%:
33.10%,
34.31%
3.19%
100.00%
55591
Rural Consumption
Urban Consumption
---.------
Pattern of utilisation
--
Domestic
Commercial
Ilrrigation
ilndustry
Others
;Total
utiligation
-------------
2003 - 04
2004 - 05
2005 - 06
22.88%
7.37%
27.79%
38.44%
3.53%
100.00%
22.97%
7.42%
30.40%
35.36%
3.85%
100.00%
22.65%
7.41%
31.09%
35.11%
3.74%
100.00%
...
22.45%,
7.40%
31.64%
34.88%
3.63%
100.00%
22.29%
7.40%
32.10%
34.68%
3.53%
100.00%
for 2003-04
22.15%
7.41%
32.47%
34.53%
3.44%
100.00%
22.04%
7.43%
32.76%
34.42%
3.35%
iOO.OO%
utiliuatiou
for 2011 12
Others
3.19%
Others
3.:;3%
Domestic
Industry
34.31%
Industry
38.44%
Commercial
7.49%
Commercial
7.37%
Irrigation
Irrigation
33.10%
:7.79%
217
Chapter
(Short Term)
Table 4.6
Rajasthan
SUMMARY OF CATEGORYWISE FORECAST
(UTILITIES)
:Domestic
I Commercial & Miscellaneous
Public lighting
Public Water Works
Irrigation
LT Industries
HT Industries
Railway Traction
Non Industrial
Tolal Consumption - MkWh
T&DLosses(%)
T & D Losses - MkWh
i Energy Requirement - MkWh
Load Factor ( % )
'Peak Load (MW)
3133
1363
103
863
3376
1489
114
943
4274
1324
5322
1485
3395
266
0
14720
44.60
3718
279
0
4164
16726
44.54
18799
41.54
13433
74.93
4595
13358
32157
73.63
4985
7753
8973
10022
11850
26570
73.14
1010
6029
1660
293
0
30159
4147
6768
Rural Consumption
Urban Consumption
3873
1642
128
7952
8777
4558
1810
144
1082
5336
6613
1856
4664
7232
2075
5223
308
0
21033
38.54
13189
34222
72.33
323
0
23515
Consumption/requirement
6220
2200
207
1241
1995
172
1159
7224
2426
248
1330
8580
7887
2319
5850
340
0
35.54
2593
8363
298
9657
2948,
357
1424
9311
2899
1526'
100811
3241
8219
393
0
36422
48916
2674
26264
33.04
29308
30.54
12960
12887
7338
374
0
32682
28.04
12735
39224
42195
45417
69.73
68.43
7039
67.13
13984
15324
15655
5401
12965
36481
71.03
5863
9884
11149
11114
12401
12476
2007 - 08
2008 - 09
22.69%
8.49%
30.75%
31.03%
7.04%
100.00%
23.68%
8.38%
30.03%
31.11%
6.81%
100.00%
6552
357
0
6421
13788
in MkWh
25.54
12493
65.83
8482
7723
17505
18918
17027
Pattern of utilisation
------
,Domestic
Commercial
Irrigation
Industry
Others
Total
utilisation
2003 - 04
2004 - 05
21.28%
9.26%
29.04%
32.06%
8.37%
100.00%
20.18%
8.90%
31.82%
31.10%
7.99%
100.00%
20.60%
8.73%
32.07%
30.98%
7.61%
100.00%
21.67%
8.61%
31.44%
31.00%
7.29%
100.00%
for 2003-04
2010 - 11
201-1-~12-
25.59%
8.18%
28.49%
31.32;;'
6.41%
100.00%
26.51%
8.09%
27.68%
31.46%
6.25%
100.00'%
------
utilisat'.on
2009-1C
24.65%
8.28%
29.27%
31.20%
6.60%
100.00%
for
JOlJ.-L:
I
!
Others
6.25%
Others
8.37%
IndU"ry(
31.46%
Industry
Commercial
9.26%
32.06%
Commerclal
8.0n
Irrigation
29.04%
Chapter IV : Statewisc
Irrigation
27.68%
218
Table 4.7
Uttar Pradesh
SUMMARY OF CATEGORYWISE FORECAST
(UTILITIES)
Consumption Categones
Domestic
Commercial & Miscellaneous
Public Lighting
I,Public Water Works
'Irrigation
!LT Industries
'HT Industries
Railway Traction
Non Industrial
Total Consumption - MkWh
,T & D Losses (%)
IT & D Losses * MkWh
:Energy Requirement - MkWh
:'Load Factor ( % )
Peak Load (MW)
2003-04
(Base Year)
9754
2040
344
567
4952
2293
3803
587
1763
26103
36.98
15321
41424
78.43
6029
Actual
2004-05
10327
2094
322
574
4853
2386
4174
627
2560
27918
34.43
14662
42581
75.38
6448
2005-06
Forecast
2007-08
2006-07
11468
2264
352
621
5248
2630
4592
1326
2765
31267
33.18
15529
46795
73.88
7231
Consumption/requirement
2008-09
14633
2805
422
727
6346
3197
5760
1497
3225
38611
30.68
17092
55703
70.88
8971
12959
2496
385
672
5720
2900
5143
1406
2986
34668
31.93
16265
50933
72.38
8033
2009-10
16503
3122
461
786
7029
3525
6451
1602
3483
42962
29.43
17920
60883
69.38
10017
2010-11
18578
3475
505
850
7775
3886
7225
1722
3762
47777
28.18
18750
66527
67.88
11188
20860
3867
552
919
8588
4284
8092
1860
4063
53086
26.93
19569
72655
66.38
12495
in MkWh
2011-12
23339
4304
604
994
9474i
4724
9063
2018
4388
58908
25.68
20359 i
79268 !
64.88
13947
1
Rural Consumption
Urban Consumption
9634
18285
9494
16610
10758
20509
11893
22774
13208
25404
14653
28309
16247
31530
18000
35086
19915'
38993
2008 - 09
2009 - 10
2010 - 11
2011 - 12
38.41%
38.88%
7.27%
7.27%
16.36'''10
16.27%
23.22%
23.26%
14.31%
14.74%
100.00%
100.00%
39.29%
7.28%
16.18%
23.31%
13.93%
100.00%
39.62%
7.31%'
16.08%
23.40%
13.59%
100.00%'
Pattern of utilisation
Domestic
Commercial
Irrigation
Industry
Others
Total
utilisation
2003 - 04
2004 - 05
2005 - 06
2006 - 07
2007 - 08
37.37%
7.82%
18.97%
23.35%
12.49%
100.00%
36.99%
7.50%
17.38%
23.50%
14.63%
100.00%
36.68%
7.24%
16.78%
23.10%
16.20%
100.00%
37.38%
7.20%
16.50%
23.20%
15.72%
100.00%
37.90%
7.26%
16.43%
23.20%
15.20%
100.00%
for 2003 04
utilisation
for
2011-U
Others
12.49%
Domestic
37.37%
]9.62%
Industry
Industry
23.35%
23.40%
Irrigation
18.97%
Commercial
7.82%
Irrigation
16.08%
219
7.]1%
Chapter IV Statcwlsc
, I
Central ElectricityAuthoritY,~~~,,;'
'--un'f
Table 4.8
Uttarnanchal
SUMMARY OF CATEGORYWISE FORECAST
(UTILITIES)
Consumption Categones
Actual
2003-04
2004-05
(8ase Year)
1084
1010
446
574
27
46
131
156
318
488
90
93
566
796
DomestIc
HT Industries
Railway Traction
Non Industrial
:Total Consumption
o
o
2662
36,56
1535
4197
65,Q1
737
- MkWh
1191
1471
Rural Consumption
Urban Consumption
2005-06
1137
628
49
166
527
103
891
1279
693
51
178
569
115
998
o
o
o
3163
34.81
1689
4852
64,27
862
1484
1679
Forecast
2007-08
2006-07
Consumption/requirement
2008-09
1438
765
54
191
615
128
1118
1617
844
57
204
664
142
1252
o
o
2009-10
201Q-ll
1818
932
60
218
717
158
1403
in MkWh
2011-12
2043
1028
63
233
774
176
1571
2297,
1135'
o
o
o
o
67
250
836
196
1760
3501
33,06
1729
5231
64,07
932
3883
31,31
1770
5654
63,87
1011
4308
29,56
1808
6116
63,67
1097
4780
27,81
1842
6622
63-47
1191
5306
26,06
1870
7176
63,27
1295
5890
24,31
1892
7781
63,07
1408
6539,
22,56
1905
8445
62,87
1533
1648
1854
1831
2053
2036
2273
2264
2516
2519
2786
2805
3085
3124
3415
2010 - 11
2011 - 12
35.12%
17.35%
12.79%
29.90%
4.84%
100.00%
_________
.n
Pattern of utilisation
-------------
2003 - 04
Domestic
,Commercial
I Irrigation
ilndustry
40.72%
16.75%
11.96%
24.64%
5.93%
100.00%
i Others
ITotal
- --------
2004 - 05
2005 - 06
31.94%
18.15%
15.43%
28.10%
6.39%
100.00%
32.47%
17.93%
15.05%
28.40%
6.15%
100.00%
07
2007 - 08
2008 - 09
32.93%
17.84%
14.66%
28.66%
5.91%
100.00%
33.38%
17.75%
14.27%
28.92%
5.68%
100.00%
33.83%
17.66%
13.89%
29.17%
5.46%
100.00%
2006
- --------------
fo!'
34.26%
17.56%
13.51%
29.42%
5.25%
100.00%
-------
34.7m'o
17.46%
13.15%
29.66%
5.04%
100.00%
----------
------
utilisation
2009-10
2003-04
--------
Others
4.84%
Others
5.93%
/
Industry
rndUe,ry(
Domestic
24.64%
29.90%
40.72%
Irrigation
12.79%
Cormnercial
16.75%
220
Commercial
17 .35%
Table 4.9
Chandigarh
SUMMARY
OF CATEGORYWISE
FORECAST
(UTILITIES)
Consumption/requirement
Consumphon
Categones
Actual
2003 - 04
in MkWh
Forecast
2004 - 05
2005 - 06
2006 - 07
2007 - 08
2008 - 09
2009 - 10
307
294
13
357
311
15
390
330
16
436
352
16
488
375
21
23
26
29
32
547
400
18
36
2
83
104
2
92
129
2
103
142
2
116
156
3
130
171
146
188
612
427
19
40
3
164
207
29
1038
25.05
347
1384
59.81
264
31
1139
24.35
367
1505
60.31
285
34
849
21.94
238
1087
58.81
211
27
955
25.75
331
1286
59.31
248
42
807
48
907
52
985
58
1081
2010 -11
2011 - 12
(Base Year)
Domestic
Commercial & Miscellaneous
Public Lighting
Public Water Works
Irrigation
LT Industries
HT Industries
Railway Traction
Non Industrial
Total Consumption MkWh
T&DLosses(%)
T & D Losses MkWh
Energy
Requirement
o
25
- MkWh
Load Factor ( % )
:Peak Load (MW)
'l
Rural Consumption
Urban Consumption
------------
17
685
455
19
44
3
185
228
7661
4851
20
49'
4
207
251
39
42
1251
23.65
387
1638
60.81
307
36
1374
22.95
409
1783
61.31
332
1510
1661
21.55
456
2117
46
1827
61.81
359
64
1186
71
1303
1432
22.25
432
1942
78
2085,
481
2308
388
62.81
420
87
1574
96
1731
62.31
---------
Pattern of utilisation
i-----j
-----------
Domestic
:Commercial
II'
2003 - 04
2004 - 05
2005 - 06
2006 - 07
2007 - 08
2008 - 09
2009 - 10
2010 - 11
36.24%
34.62%
0.21%
22.07%
6.87%
100.00%
37.36%
32.55%
0.20%
23.10%
6.78%
100.00%
37.57%
31.83%
0.20%
23.60%
6.80%
100.00%
38.31%
30.91%
0.20%
23.86%
6.71%
100.00%
39.05%
30.01%
0.20%
24.11%
6.63%
100.00%
39.78%
29.12%
0.20%
24.36%
6.54%
100.00%
40.50%
28.24%
0.20%
24.61%
6.45%
100.00%
41.22%
27.38%
0.20%
24.85%
6.36%
100.00%
:~~~~~~n
Others
Total
_n
- -------
------------
utilisation
201112
41.93"'/0
26.53%
0.19%
25.08%
6.27%~
100.00%
---------------------
for 2003-04
utilisation
for 2011-12
Others
6.27%
Others
6.87%
DomeCltic
41.93%
Irrigation
0.21%
Irrigation
0.19%
Commercial
34.62%
Commercial
26.53%
_
221
TCll11)
Table 4.10
Goo
SUMMARY OF CATEGORYWISE
FORECAST
(UTILITIES)
-
----
-----
--
Consumption Categories
Actual
2004-05
2003-04
(Base Yea!L_~
Domestic
Commercial & Miscellaneous
Public Lighting
Public Water Works
Irrigation
LT Industries
HT Industries
Railway Traction
jNon Industrial
iTotal Consumption - MkWh
iT & 0 Losses ( %)
:T & 0 Losses - MkWh
;'Energy Requirement - MkWh
,Load Factor ( % )
Peak Load (MW)
373
2005-06
2006-07
109
18
58
809
495
146
35
143
18
78
1142
o
o
1484
24.99
495
1979
67.04
337
1800
22.50
523
2323
68.81
385
2058
668
816
810
990
21
2008-09
in MkWh
-
2009-10
2010-11
2011-12
438
126
31
125
17
70
993
97
Consumption/requirement
Forecast
2007-08
--
540
172
163
586
202
45
186
20
22
88
1279
98
1407
o
o
211
24
110
1534
o
o
o
o
21.90
577
2635
72.53
2301
21.30
623
2924
72.53
2804
20.10
705
3509
72.53
415
460
2546
20.70
665
3211
72.53
505
552
691
281
60
250
27
126
1656
0
0
3090
19.50
749
3839
72.53
604
926
1132
1036
1266
1146
1401
1262
1542
1391
1700
40
634
237
52
753
333
63
297
30
146
1772
0
0
3400
18.90
792
4193
72.53
660
37441
18.301
839
4583'
72.53
721
1530
1870
1685
2059
818
396
78,1
354'
34
169,
1
189~1
,Rural Consumption
l'Urban Consumption
Pattern of utilisation
2003 - 04
:Domestic
,Commercial
!Irrigation
Industry
Others
Total
2004 - 05
2005 - 06
2006 - 07
2007 - 08
2008 - 09
25.13%
24.33%
6.53%
7.02%
1.23~t~ 0.93%
56.36%
59.05%
8.76"/0
8.68%
iOO.OO'/"
100.00%
24.06%
7.09%
0.89%
59.30%
8.65%
100.00%
23.45%
7.46%
0.88%
59.40%
8.81%
100.00%
23.02%
7.93%
0.87%
59.12%
9.06%
100.00%
22.63%
8.47%
0.87%
58.62%
9.41%
100.00%
2009-10
2010 - 11
22.35%
9.08%
0.88%
57.67%
10.02%
100.00%
2011 - 12
22.16%
9.80%
0.89%
56.41%
10.75%
100.00/0
21.86%1
10.56%1
0.90%1
55.16%'
11.52%
100.00"/0'
i
ucilisation
[or )003-01
utilisation
for 2011-12
Others
Others
8.76%
11.52%
Domestic
(
i
Conunercial
Contrnercial
\,
6.53%
Irrigation
10.56%
Irrigation
1.23%
0.90%
Industry
58.36%
Industry
55.16%
222
-....,
Table 4.11
Gujarat
SUMMARY OF CATEGORYWISE
(UTILITIES)
---
Consumption Categories
Domestic
Commercial & Miscellaneous
Public Lighting
Public Water Works
Irrigation
LT Industries
iHT Industries
:Railway Traction
Non Industrial
Total Consumption - MkWh
T&DLosses(%)
T & D Losses - MkWh
Energy Requirement - MkWh
Load Factor ( % )
Peak Load (MW)
iRural Consumption
IUrban Consumption
2003-04
(Base Year)
5004
1834
176
746
14361
5331
9963
420
137
37972
24.50
12320
50292
79.69
7204
Actual
2004-05
22821
15151
FORECAST
Consumption/requirement
--
2005-06
2006-07
--
Forecast
2007-08
2008-09
in MkWh
--
2009-10
2010-11
2011-12
5434
2034
193
778
12090
5609
10222
477
152
36988
30.43
16179
53167
79.42
7642
5709
2116
203
790
12177
5738
10426
504
168
37833
29.43
15777
53610
78.66
7780
6396
2439
221
874
12902
6305
11417
534
187
41275
28.43
16396
57671
76.86
8566
7165
2812
241
964
13652
7103
12501
568
208
45213
27.43
17090
62303
75.06
9475
8027
3269
263
1072
14339
8003
13689
608
230
49501
26.43
17783
67284
73.26
10484
8992
3802
287
1193
15078
9017
14989
654
256
54267
25.43
18506
72773
71.46
11625
10073
4421
313
1328
15858
10159
16413
706
284
59555
24.43
19253
78807
69.66
12915
11285'
5140
341
1478,
16683
11445'
17972
766
315
65425
2343
20020
85445 ;
67.86'
143"14
22230
14758
22737
15095
24806
16469
27173
18040
29750
19751
32615
21653
35792
23762
39321
26105
2010 - 11
2011 - 12
Pattern of utilisation
2003 - 04
"Domestic
! Commercial
;Irrigation
ilndustry
Others
Total
2004 - 05
2005 - 06
2006 - 07
14.69%
5.50%
32.69%
42.80%
4.32%
100.00%
15.09%
5.59%
32.19%
42.73%
4.40%
100.00%
15.50%
5.91%
31.26%
42.93%
4.40%
100.00%
13.18%
4.83%
37.82%
40.28%
3.90%
100.00%
2007 - 08
15.85%
6.22"/0
30.19%
43.36%
4.38%
100.00%
2008 - 09
16.21%
6.60%
28.97%
43.82%
4.39%
100.00%
2009"1U
16.57%
7.01%
27.78%
44.24%
4.40%
100.00%
16.91%
7.42%
26.63%
44.62'%
4.42%
100.00%
17.25%'
7.86%
25.50%
44.96%
4.43%
100.00%
utilisation
Others
3.90%
for 2003-04
u~i~iGation
for 2011-1~
Others
uomestic
4.43%
Domestic
13.18%
4.83%
Commercial
7.86%
Industry
40.28%
Industry
44.96%
/ ~ Irrigation
,
37.82%
__
223
(:haplcr
IrrigatioE
2~.SO%
IV . Statcwisc
u.. ut':
Table 4.12
Madhya Pradesh
SUMMARY OF CATEGORYWISE
(UTILITIES)
Consumption Categones
Actual
2003 - 04 200405
{Base Year)
3377
3832
712
830
128
130
510
470
5583
5859
670
690
3701
4076
1267
1339
Domestic
Commercial & Miscellaneous
Public Lighting
Public Water Works
Irrigation
LT Industries
HT Industries
Railway Traction
Non Industrial
Total Consumption - MkWh
T&DLosses(%)
T & 0 Losses - MkWh
Energy Requirement" MkWh
Load Factor ( % )
Peak Load (MW)
Rural Consumption
Urban Consumption
2005 - 06
FORECAST
Consumptionlrequirement
Forecast
200708
200607
in MkWh
2008 - 09
2009 - 10
2010 - 11
2011 - 12
7151
1401
226
726
7872
1023
6001
1714
8249
1619
250
798
8563
1137
6610
1843
9515
1871
277
879
9316
1263
7282
1990
109761
2162
307
967
101341
1403
8022
2160,
4538
929
166
565
6243
746
4490
1419
5375
1064
184
602
6652
829
4945
1505
6200
1218
204
659
7236
921
5448
1602
26113
34.27
13615
39727
68.66
6605
29070
31.77
13536
42605
67.96
7157
32392
29.27
13405
45797
67.26
7773
36131
26.771
13208 ~
49338'
66.66
8462
21678
14452
15908
41.45
11263
27171
64,62
4800
17267
41.27
12134
29401
69.26
21154
39.27
13679
34833
70.06
4846
19095
40.27
12874
31969
70.76
5157
5676
23486
36.77
13658
37145
69.36
6113
9545
6363
10360
6907
11457
7638
12693
8462
14092
9395
15668
10445
17442
11628
19435
12957
O!
1
Pattern of utilisation
Domestic
Commercial
Irrigation
1Industry
Others
!Total
2003 " 04
2004 - 05
2005 - 06
2006 - 07
2007 - 08
2008 - 09
2009 - 10
2010 - 11
2011 - 12 1
21.23%
4.47%
35.10%
27.48%
11.72%
100.00%
22.19%
4.81%
33.93%
27.60%
11.46%
100.00%
23.77%
4.86%
32.69%
27.42%
11.26%
100.00%
25.41%
5.03%
31.44%
27.30%
10.83%
100.00%
26.40%
5.18%
30.81%
27.12%
10.49%
100.00%
27.39%
5.36%
30.15%
26.90%
10.21%
100.00%
28.38%
5.57%
29.46%
26.65%
9.95"/"
100.00%
29.37%
5.78%
28.76%
26.38%
9.71%
100.00%
30.38% '
5.98%
28.05%
26.09% ;
9.50%1
100.00%:
___
____
----------.--
utilisation
for 7.003-04
utilisation
for 2011-12
Others
Others
11.72%
9.50%
Domestic
Industry
27.48%
Industry
Commercial
26.09%
4.47%
\\~
----------------/ /
Irrigation
35.10%
Irrigation
28.05%
Forecast
(Short Term)
224
5.98%
:,,"~1)7central
Electricity Authority
W
Table 4.13
Chhattisgarh
SUMMARY OF CATEGORYWISE
(UTILITIES)
Consumption Categones
Domestic
!Commercial & Miscellaneous
Public Lighting
Public Water Works
!lrrigation
:LT Industries
!HT Industries
Railway Traction
Non Industrial
!Total Consumption - MkWh
,IT & 0 Losses (%)
:T & 0 Losses - MkWh
'IEnergy Requirement - MkWh
Load Factor ( % )
.'peak Load (MW)
!
Actual
2003 - 04 2004 ~05
(Base Year)
1217
1385
211
39
69
637
298
I
'I'
2005 - 06
328
278
46
80
1184
380
3944
4324
4838
574
588
0
8050
30.34
623
0
9041
28.74
3506
3646
11556
75.41
1749
12687
76,95
1882
1058
6988
30.50
2862
10055
73.15
1569
Consumption/requirement
Forecast
2007 - 08
,
1875
2181
200607
1612
242
47
78
FORECAST
307
49
88
352
52
97
1519
467
1377
416
5321
661
5854
704
0
10095
11225
26.34
2008 - 09
200910
2538
403
55
107
1659
525
6439
753
0
15239
74.55
2334
6062
5164
2952
461
57
117
1790
590
7083
809
0
1911
663
7791
874
0
6738
5740
7484
6375
8311
7080
2009 - 10
2010 - 11
2100
23.94
4362
18222
72.15
3996
604
63
142
2024
744
528
60
129
2883
4014
13859
201112
3435
15391
22.74
4530
19921
70.95
3205
27.54
3837
13932
75.75
12478
25.14
4190
16668
73.35
2594
2010- 11
in MkWh
8570
948
0
17092
21.5<'
4692:
21785
69.75
3565
3774
321ti
Rural Consumption
:Urban Consumption
4347
-3703
4882
5451
4159
4644
9230
7863
Pattern of utilisation
2003 - 04
2004 - 05
2005 - 06
17.42
3.02%
9.11%
60.70%
9.76%
100.00%
17.21%
3.01%
13.14%
57.79%
8.85%
100.00%
17.83%
3.08%
13.10%
57.71%
8.28%
100.00%
IDomestic
Commercial
Irrigation
I Industry
,Others
iTotal
utilisation
18.57%
3.04%
13.64%
56.83%
7.91%
100.00%
19.43%
3.13%
13.53%
56.31%
7.60%
100.00%
f0r 2003-04
Others
utilisation
;~'76%
22.32/c,
3.43%
12.42%
54.93%
6.91%
100_00%
23.38%
3.53%
11.84%
54.50%
6.75%
100.00%
for 2011-12
Domestic
38%
':'.2.c.:w"'.rCia.l
3.02%
Commercial
3.53%
',Irrlgatlon
'I
--
21.30%
3.33%
12.91%
55.36%
7.10%
100.00%
Othet'S
6.75%
Domestic
20.34%
3.23%
13.30%
55.81%
7.33%
100.00%
2011 - 12
9.11%
Industry
"'"
54.50%
In:igation
E.84%
Industry
60.70%
225
Table 4.14
Maharashtra
SUMMARY OF CATEGORYWI$E
(UTILITIES)
Consumption Categories
Domestic
Commercial & Miscellaneous
Public Lighting
Public Water Works
Irrigation
LT Industries
HT Industries
Railway Traction
Non Industrial
Total Consumption - MkWh
T&DLosses(%)
T & 0 Losses - MkWh
Energy Requirement - MkWh
Load Factor ( % )
Peak Load (MW)
Rural Consumption
Urban Consumption
Actual
2003-04
2004-05
(Base Year)
12460
4937
632
1493
200506
5717
678
1689
11410
5262
19113
1925
0
59332
31.40
17863
1849
0
1749
19
51824
55457
32.40
26586
82043
34.12
26843
78667
Forecast
2007-08
2006-07
13538
1545
10733
4818
4724
15239
Consumption/requirement
2008-09
2009-10
in MkWh
2010-11
201112
12662
5354
632
10572
FORECAST
14844
6181
753
1836
16276
6683
871
1995
12049
5786
20451
12721
6362
21882
2173
0
68963
29.40
2040
0
63940
30.40
27164
27934
91875
72.34
14498
17846
7226
1014
2168
13427
6995
23414
2325
19568
7812
1206
2356
21456
8447
1408
2561
23526
9133
1621
2783
14168
14947
8457
157641
26807
2700
0
86782
26.40
286831
7691
25053
2500
0
80355
27.40
30334
110690
31136
117918
9299
2929
0
937371
25.40
28725
97689
74416
28.40
29524
103940
70.94
15720
17062
68.14
18543
66.74
20169
26045
48370
28124
52231
30374
32808'
56408
60929
75.67
75.14
11868
12464
86495
73.74
13390
18138
33686
19410
20766
22379
24137
36047
38566
41561
44826
69.54
---
31924'
125661
65.34
21954
i
I
------
Pattern of utilisation
Domestic
Commercial
Irrigation
Industry
Others
Total
2003 - 04
2004 - 05
2005 - 06
2006 - 07
2007 - 08
2008 - 09
2009 - 10
2010 - 11
2011 - 12
24.04%
9.53'%
20.40%
38.52%
7.51%
100.00%
22.83%
9.65%
19.35%
40.90%
7.26%
100.00%
22.82%
9.64%
19.23%
41.08%
7.23%
100.00%
23.22%
9.67%
18.84%
41.03%
7.24%
100.00%
23.60%
9.69%
18.45%
40.96%
7.31%
100.00%
23.98%
9.71%
18.04%
40.86%
7.40%
100.00%
24.35%
9.72%
17.63%
40.75%
7.54%
24.72%
9.73%
17.22%
40.64%
7.68%
100.00%
25.10%
9.74%'
16.82%
utilisation for'2011-12
Others
7.82%
Othen1
7.51%
100.00%
Domestic
Domestic
04%
!
Industry
38.';2%
Indue'ry (
Commercial
9.53%
Commercial
4052%
IrrigaLion
20.40%
9.74%
~_
Irrigat.ion
16.82%
226
40.52%1
7.82%
100.00%
Table 4.15
Daman & Diu
SUMMARY OF CA TEGORYWISE FORECAST
(UTILITIES)
Consumption Categories
Domestic
Commercial & Miscellaneous
I
,Public
Lighting
I Public Water Works
ilrrigation
L T Industries
HT Industries
,Railway
Traction
I
I Non Industrial
ITotal Consumption - MkWh
iT & D Losses ( % )
T & 0 Losses - MkWh
Energy Requirement - MkWh
Load Factor ( % )
Peak Load (MW)
I
'Rural Consumption
IUrban Consumption
Actual
.
2003-04
2004-05
2005-06
(Base Year)
42
45
39
26
28
32
4
3
3
1
1
1
2
3
3
118
134
175
728
791
909
0
0
0
0
0
0
917
1002
1170
15.56
15.36
1688
186
185
212
1382
1104
1186
66.31
60.93
60.73
190
223
259
321
596
2006-07
409
760
351
651
Forecast
2007-08
ConsumptionJrequirement in MkWt.
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11
2011-12
49
35
5
1
3
197
1046
0
0
1337
15.16
239
1575
61.13
294
53
39
6
2
4
220
1203
0
0
1526
14.96
268
1794
61.33
334
57
43
7
2
4
244
1383
0
0
1741
14.76
301
2042
61.53
379
62
48
8
2
4
270
1591
0
0
1985
14.56
338
2324
61.73
430
67
53
10
2
5
297
1829
0
0
2263
14.36
379
2643
61.93
487
73:
59
12
3'
5
325
2104,
0'
0
2579
14.16
425
3005 ,
62.13
552!
468
869
534
992
609
1132
695
1290
792
1471
903,
1677
Pattern of utilisation
2003 - 04
2004 - 05
2005 - 06
2006 ~07
2007 - 08
2008 - 09
2009 - 10
2010 - 11
2011 - 12 '
4.24%
2.80%
0.22%
92.27%
0.47%
100.00%
4.19%
2.80%
0.26%
92.29%
0.46%
100.00%
3.88%
2.70%
0.25%
92.70%
0.46%
100.00%
3.67%
2.62%
0.24%
92.98%
0.47%
100.00%
3.48%
2.55%
0.24%
93.25%
0.49%
100.00%
3.30%
2.48%
0.23%
93.49%
0.50%
100.00%
3.13%
2.41%
0.22%
93.72%
0.52%
100.00%
2.97%
2.35%
0.22%
93.94%
0.53%
100.00%
2.81%1
2.28%1
0.21%'
94.15%'
0.55%
100.00%,
,-------------------------------------------------DO:Tlestic
:Commercial
:lrrigation
:lndustry
Others
Total
utilisation
Others
for 2003 04
Domestic
for 2011-12
Domestic
2.81%
Others
0.55%
Commercial
2.80%
7'r"
\
utilisation
Irrigation
0.22%
Commercial
2.28%
IrTig<ltion
0.21%
"",Industry
92.27%
Industry
94.15%
227
Table 4.16
Dadra & Nagar Haveli
SUMMARY OF CATEGORYWISE FORECAST
(UTILITIES)
Consumption Categones
200304
(Base Year)
26
14
8
3
5
115
1376
0
0
1547
15.08
275
1821
66.01
315
Domestic
Commercial & Miscellaneous
Public Lighting
Public Water Works
Irrigation
LT Industries
HT Industries
Railway Traction
Non Industrial
;Total Consumption - MkWh
iT & 0 Losses (%)
iT & 0 Losses - MkWh
:Energy Requirement - MkWh
Load Factor ( % )
Peak Load (MW)
I
,Rural Consumption
Urban Consumption
Actual
2004 - 05
2005 - 06
30
16
8
3
5
125
1581
0
0
1768
16.00
337
2105
61.46
391
36
46
9
4
6
255
1770
0
0
2127
16.00
405
2532
74.60
387
707
1061
851
1276
619
928
Consumption/requirement
in MkWh
Forecast
2006 - 07 2007 - 08
2008 - 09
2009 - 10
2010 - 11
41
50
9
5
7
301
1983
0
0
2396
15.70
446
2842
74.50
435
47
55
10
5
8
353
2220
0
0
2699
15.40
491
3190
74.40
489
53
61
11
6
9
412
2487
0
0
3038
15.10
540
3579
74.30
550
61
67
12
6
10
476
2785
0
0
3419
14.80
594
4013
74.20
617
70
74
13
6
12
553
3120
0
0
3847
14.50
652
4499
74.10
693
80
81
13
71
13
638
3494:
0:
0
4326
14.20
716
5042i
74.00;
778
958
1438
1079
1619
1215
1823
1368
2052
1539
2308
1730,
2596
2011 - 12
I
-------
---------
--------
Pattern of utilisation
-
-------
2003 - 04
2004 - 05
2005 - 06
2006 - 07
2007 - 08
2008 - 09
2009 - 10
1.68%
0.89%
0.31%
96.43%
0.69%
100.00%
1.71%
0.90%
0.31%
96.44%
0.64%
100.00%
1.67%
2.15%
0.29%
95.25%
0.64%
100.00%
1.70%
2.10%
0.29%
95.32%
0.59%
100.00%
1.73%
2.05%
0.29%
95.36%
0.57%
100.00%
1.76%
2.00%
0.29%
95.40%
0.54%
100.00%
1.79%
1.96%
0.30%
95.44%
0.51%
100.00%
Domestic
Commercial
Irrigation
Industry
Others
Total
utilisation
-------
for 2003-04
utilisation
1
1.85%1
1.87%
0.30%1
95.50%
0.47%:
100.00%
fOr 2011-12
r:~
Commercial
Domestic
Others
Commerc ia 1
Others
0.69%
Domestic
1.68%
0.47%
0.89%
'\
//
//
I'
~;".i;.
0.31%
IH. igaoion
1.87%
1.85%
)
//
Indust.ry
Industry
96.43%
L
Chapter IV: Statcwisc Forecast (ShOJi Term)
228
95.50%
I
1
_nJ
-';
_/ )--"-"-~.v
~
"
Table 4.17
Andhra Pradesh
SUMMARY OF CATEGORYWISE
(UTILITIES)
Domestic
Commercial & Miscellaneous
Public Lighting
i Public Water Works
Irrigation
LT Industries
HT Industries
Railway Traction
:Non Industrial
otal Consumption - MkWh
T&DLosses(%)
iT & 0 Losses - MkWh
Energy Requirement - MkWh
Load Factor ( % )
Peak Load (MW)
!Aural Consumption
l~_rbanc::sum~:n
in MkWh
411
13467
2084
6827
1132
100
34085
23.30
10354
44440
68.60
7395
8801
2159
980
514
15722
2663
8999
1250
159
41246
21.96
11606
52853
70.00
8619
9645
2491
1068
568
17101
3028
9737
1330
165
45134
21.37
12267
57401
69.84
9382
10628
2866
1164
628
18603
3443
10615
1415
171
49534
20.54
12804
62338
69.68
10213
11750
3298
1269
694
20236
3915
11612
1510
178
54461
19.87
13505
67966
69.52
11160
13003
3794
1383
768
22013
4451
12705
1620
184
59921
19.34
14367
74289
69.36
12227
14434
4366
1508
850
23946
5061
13905
1750
190
66010
18.91
15393
81404
69.20
13429
16035
5024:
1644'
940
26049.
5755
15223
1900
196:
72766,27
18. 1
16266
89032 i
69.04
147211
25399
8686
27864
9755
30585
10661
33481
11653
36760
12773
40408
14054
44447
15475
48924
17086
538881
18878,
n6
Consumption/requirement
8098
1894
1035
536
14433
2221
8100
1173
130
37620
22.55
10953
48573
72.31
7668
7526
1762
IT
FORECAST
----
Pattern of utilisation
----------
2003 - 04
IDomestic
ICommercia'
Irrigation
2005 - 06
21.53%
5.03%
38.37%
27.43%
7.64%
100.00%
21.34%
5.24%
38.12%
28.27%
7,04%
100.00%
22.08%
5.17%
39.51%
26.14%
7.10%
100.00%
Industry
!Others
iTotal
-----------
2004 - 05
2006 . 07
21.37%
5.52'%
37.89%
28.28%
6.94%
100.00%
-----
utilisation
2007 - 08
2008 - 09
21.46%
5.79%
37.56%
28.38%
6.82%
100.00%
21.58%
6.06%
37.16%
28.51%
6.70%
100.00%
2009-10
21.70%
6.33%
36.74%
28.63%
6.60%
100.00%
2010 - 11
2011 - 12
21.87%
6.61%
36.28%
28.73%
6.51%
100.00%
22.04%:
6.90%!1
35.80% I
28.83% '
6.43%1
1_~~~%1
-------------
for 2003-04
Others
7.10%
utilisation
Others
6.43%
for 2011-12
Domestic
~
22.04%
Domestic
22.08%
rndUoOry( /
rndustry(
26_14\
28_83%
Commercial
5.17%
\::
commercia.
6.90%
Irrigation
39.51%
Irrigation
lli__l!Q.%
229
f'
Table 4.18
Kerala
SUMMARY OF CATEGORYWISE
(UTILITIES)
Consumption Categories
FORECAST
Consumption/requirement
Actual
2003-042004-052005-062006-07
(Base Year)
4014
Domestic
Commercial & Miscellaneous
Public Lighting
Public Water Works
Irrigation
LT Industries
HT Industries
Railway Traction
Non Industrial
Total Consumption - MkWh
T & D Losses ( /0 )
T & D Losses - MkWh
Energy Requirement - MkWh
Load Factor ( % )
,Peak Load (MW)
4297
1310
187
157
201
545
2527
47
89
9360
1277
169
228
212
540
2522
53
82
9096
Rural Consumption
Urban Consumption
Forecast
2007-0B
4584
1462
209
205
233
668
2765
49
95
10272
23.90
3226
4932
1639
236
223
251
734
5327
1828
256
252
273
794
2977
3143
52
102
55
109
11147
12037
22.40
3218
20.90
3180
200B-09
2009-10
5754
2039
279
283
296
860
3287
59
115
12973
19.40
in MkWh
2010-112011-12
6215
2275
303
319
322
931
3426
64
122
13977
6713
2538
329
360
352
1008
3614
69
128
15112
15.40
17.90
3047
17025
7251
2831
358'
4061
3B41
1092
3813
75!
1
1351
16345!
25.40
3407
3187
12503
12547
13498
14365
15217
3123
16096
58.81
2427
59.15
2421
60.12
2563
60.47
2712
60.82
2856
61.17
3004
61.52
3159
61.87
3335
5147
3949
5276
5819
6325
6829
7952
8604
93131
4084
4453
4822
5208
7368
5605
6025
6508
7032i
15.001
2884
2965
18077
19230
62.22
3528!
1
Pattern of utilisation
-------
2003 - 04
Domestic
Commercial
Irrigation
Industry
Others
Total
---
----
---
---
2006 - 07
2007 - 08
2008 - 09
2009 - 10
2010 - 11
2011 - 12
44.63%
14.23%
2.27%
33.43%
5.44%
100.00%
44.25%
14.70%
2.26%
33.29%
5.51%
100.00%
44.26%
15.19%
2.26%
32.71%
5.58%
100.00%
44.35%
15.72%
2.28%
31.97%
5.68%
100.00%
44.47%
1628%
2.31%
31.17%
5.78%
100.00%
44.42%
16.79%
2.33%
30.59%
5.87%
100.00%
44.36%
17.32%
2.35%
30.01%
5.96%
100.00%
44.13%
14.04%
2.33%
33.66%
5.85%
100.00%
utilisation
45.90%
14.00/0
2.15%
32.82%
5.13%
100.00%
for 2003-04
utilisation
for 2011-12
Others
5.96%
Others
5.85%
Industry
Industry
33.66%
Domestic
44.13%
,I
30.01%
Domest_i,.
44.36%
27.25
Irrigation
2.35%
Irrigation \
2.13%
Commercial
14.0n
Commercial
11.32%
230
}f!~~>
Central Electricity Authority
Table 4.19
Karnataka
SUMMARY OF CATEGORYWISE
(UTILITIES)
Consumption Categones
Consumption/requirement
Actual
Forecast
2003-042004-052005-062006-072007-082008-09
(Base Year)
_
4479
1582
569
Domestic
i Commercial
& Miscellaneous
Public Lighting
Public Water Works
Irrigation
LT Industries
;;HT industries
[Railway Traction
INon Industrial
Total Consumption - MkWh
T&DLosses(%)
T & D Losses - MkWh
I
Energy Requirement - MkWh
Load Factor ( % )
Peak Load (MW)
4928
1765
627
1414
9371
2459
4013
1277
9006
2347
3680
37
166
23143
26.10
8174
31317
65.30
5475
!Rural Consumption
:Urban Consumption
--
FoRECAST
2648
4362
14963
9918
28747
24.00
35835
37825
43
193
31192
70.75
22.00
8798
39989
70.45
6103
6480
17230
11516
18520
12672
9078
70.55
5798
5613
11506
3294
5337
15975
10543
-------
2010-112011-12
888
2222
6008
3304
982
2510
12457
3779
5822
45
13548
4370
6364
49
2881
1969
184
175
26518
26.00
9317
5762
5526
2513
810
4893
40
38
26.44
8907
33688
68.52
9200
5300
2192
745
1749
10753
2889
685
1562
10032
38
166
24781
13944
----
5100
1913
2009-10
in MkWh
6265
6532
3790
4348
1086
2838
14768
5073
6958
53
221
41050
1201
3211
16099
5957
7606
57
229
203
34059
20.00
8515
37347
18.50
8477
8408
8299
42574
45824
49458
53540
212
70.15
6928
17.00
7489
69.55
8118
21942
15405
23999
17051
69.85
20101
13958
45241
15.50
69.25
8826
26263
18978
-------
Pattern of utilisation
-------
:Domestic
Commercial
irrigation
Industry
jOthers
ilTotal
I
-----------
---------
2003 - 04
2004 - 05
2005 . 06
2006 - 07
19.35%
6.84%
38.92%
26.04%
8.85%
100.00%
19.89%
7.12%
37.81%
26.12%
9.06%
100.00%
19.23%
7.21%
37.83%
26.44%
9.28%
100.00%
18.44%
7.63%
37.41%
27.07%
9.46%
100.00%
2007 - 08
17.72%,
8.06%
36.89%
27.67%
9.67%
100.00%
2008 -09
2009-10
16.92%
8.46%
36.57%
28.19%
9.86%
100.00%
2011 - 12
201011
16.09%
8.85%
36.28%
28.74%
10.05%
100.00%
15.26%
9.23%
35.98%
29.31%
10.22%
100.00%
14.44%
9.61%
35.58%
29.98%
10.39%
100.00%
---
T
,
utilisation
for
2003-04
utilisation
fo~
20l1-12
Domestic
14.44%
Others
10.39%
Others
8.85%
Industry
Conunercial
26.04%
Conunercial
6.84%
Indus",' (
29.98'
9.61%
'v:..
Irrigation
38.92%
Irrigation
35.58%
231
ChapIn
Table 4.20
Tamil Nadu
SUMMARY OF CATEGORYWISE FORECAST
(UTILITIES)
Consumption Categories
Domestic
Commercial & Miscellaneous
Public Lighting
i Public Water Works
I Irrigation
:LT Industries
I HT Industries
! Railway Traction
iNon Industrial
Total Consumption - MkWh
T&DLosses(%)
T & 0 Losses - MkWh
Energy Requirement - MkWh
Load Factor ( % )
:Peak Load (MW)
Actual
2003-04
2004-05
(Base Year)
9920
11093
3867
4115
371
423
728
760
9406
9825
4877
4933
9221
9192
505
515
413
430
39308
41286
17.16
19.28
8142
9861
47450
51147
71.14
71.88
7614
8123
2005-06
Consumption/requirement
Forecast
2006-07
2007-08
2008-09
2009
10
2010-11
in MkWh
2011-12
12276
4322
485
808
10248
5133
9515
550
443
43780
18.50
9938
53717
73.45
8349
13654
4572
535
893
10747
5619
9880
580
456
46935
18.00
10303
57238
72.88
8966
15436
4901
592
1015
11326
6110
10429
620
469
50898
17.50
10797
61695
72.30
9741
17471
5326
723
1160
11960
6718
11027
670
482
55536
17.00
11375
66911
71.73
10649
19795
5866
793
1327
12629
7470
11678
710
494
60762
16.50
12007
72769
71.15
11675
22453
6551
870
1528
13336
8386
12386
770
505
66786
16.00
12721
79507
70.58
12860
25495 :
7399.
957
1768'
140821
9489
13158
835
518 ;
73703 ;
15.50
13519;
87222 i
70.00!
14224:
29068
14712
30976
15959
33272
17626
35948
19.589
38866
21896
42191
24594
45980
27723
2007 - IJS
2008 - 09
2009 - 10
20~O - 11
2011 - 12
31.46%
9.59%
21.54%
31.95%
5.46%
100.00%
32.58%
9.65%
20.79%
31.51%
5.47%
100.00%
Rural Consumption
I,Urban Consumption
26189
13119
27502
13784
-----------
Pattern of utilisation
----
------
Domestic
! Commercial
:Irrigation
I Industry
~Others
'Total
--------
2003 - 04
2004 - 05
2005 . 06
25.24%
9.84%
23.93%
35.87%
5.13%
100.00%
26.87%
9.97%
23.80%
34.21%
5.15%
100.00%
28.04%
9.87%
23.41%
33.46%
5.22%
100.00%
- ---------
2006 - 07
29.09%
9.74%
22.90%
33.02'%
5.250/0
100.00%
30.3:1%
9.63%
22.25%
32.49%
5.30%
100.00%
-------
utilisation
for
33.62%
9.81%
19.97%
31.10%
5.50%.
100.00%
34.59%;
10.04%1
19.11%1
30.73%
-----------
utilisation
2003-04
for 2011-12
Others
Others
5.13%
5.53%
Domestic
34.59%
Industry
30.73%
Industry
35.87%
Irrigation
19.11%
Irrigation
23.93%
Commercial
10.04%
232
/j
5.53
~00.0~0~0
,~~t/-'Central
Electricity Authority
if;:
i'
Table 4.21
Pondicherry
SUMMARY OF CATEGORYWISE FORECAST
(UTILITIES)
Consumption Categories
Actual
Forecast
2003-042004-052005-062006-072007-082008-09
(Base Year)
T&DLosses(%)
T & 0 Losses - MkWh
i Load Factor ( %
i Peak Load
Consumption/requirement
(MW)
85
15
22
118
82
1163
0
36
1795
11.60
236
2030
71.84
323
87
17
24
120
88
1191
0
6
1821
18.15
404
2225
73.11
347
105
18
27
126
107
1465
0
6
2197
17.80
476
2439
2673
76.32
365
1413
382
1438
383
1578
422
96
17
25
123
97
1321
0
6
2000
18.00
439
75.92
402
114
18
29
129
118
1625
0
7
2418
17.60
516
2934
75.52
444
1732
465
1905
513
2009-10
125
19
31
133
130
1804
0
7
2678
17.40
564
2010-112011-12
75.12
493
137
20
33
137
144
2002
0
7
2973
17.20
618
3590
74.72
549
0
7
3305
17.00
677
3981
74.32
612
2099
579
2317
655
2561
743
3242
in MkWh
150
20
35
142
158
164
21
38
146
175
2469
0
7
3677
16.80
742
4419
73.92;
683:
2223
Rural Consumption
Urban Consumption
,~
I
2833
844
Pattern of utilisation
I'Domestic
Commercial
Irrigation
Industry
I
;Others
Total
utilisation
2003 - 04
2004 - 05
2005 - 06
2006 - 07
2007 - 08
2008 - 09
2009 - 10
2010 - 11
2011 - 12
15.20%
4.76%
6.56%
69.39%
4.10%
100.00%
15.81%
4.79%
6.59%
70.23%
2.58%
100.00%
15.74%
4.82%
6.13%
70.87%
2.44%
100.00%
15.62%
4.77%
5.71%
71.55%
2.34%
100.00%,
15.58%
4.73%
5.34%
72.12%
2.23%
100.00%
16.02%
4.67%
4.97%
72.22%.
2.12%
100.00%
16.58%
4.60%
4.62%
72.19%
2.01%
100.00%
17.21%
4.53%
4.29%
72.07'%
1.90%
100.00%
17.87%
4.45%
3.97%,
71.90%
1.80%
100.00%
11
I'
for 2003-04
utilisation
for 2011 12
Others
1.80%
Others
4.10%
(/~r;
..~'5.20:o~e"ia'
-)'
\
\
Industry
69.39%
17
4.76%
\.
Irrigation
6.56%
J/
~_
87%
Domestic
\"
Domestic
\
~~
Irrigati()[l
"J .97%
Industry "'""-..
----
Commercial
4.45%
,,//
"11.90%'
233
Chapter
IV: Statewise
"~lt
Table 4.22
Bihar
SUMMARY
OF CATEGORYWISE
FORECAST
(UTILITIES)
Consumption
Categories
Consumption/requjrement
Actual
200304
in MkWh
Forecast
'
2004-05
2005-06
2006-07
200706
2006-09
2009-10
2010-11
2011-12
1209
301
2250
351
33
382
6388
454
38
271
1674
286
1094
461
8084
495
9940
540
(Base Year)
1138
284
,Domestic
Commercial
& Miscellaneous
Public Ughtjng
Public Water Works
:Irrigation
I
'ILT Industries
HT Industries
RaHway Traction
iNon Industrial
Total Consumption
- MkWh
:T & D Losses ( %)
:T & D Losses - MkWh
iEnergy Requirement
- MkWh
Consumption
28
29
184
1029
135
649
276
190
1061
140
679
335
1668
323
31
204
1142
165
747
355
3722
37.00
2186
5908
85.59
788
3944
35.50
2171
6115
71.23
980
4635
34.00
2388
7023
71.00
1129
1732
1991
1801
2143
1972
2663
---,-----_
..
33
34
219
1286
191
822
376
235
1443
220
904
401
489
417
36
252
1577
252
994
429
5527
32.50
2661
8188
70.00
1335
6948
31.00
3122
10070
69.00
1666
8848
29.50
3702
12551
67.50
2123
10665
28.00
4148
14813
66.00
2562
12705
26.50
4581
17286
64.50
3059
14929
25.00
4976.
19905'1'
63.00
3607
2287
3240
3077
3871
4160
4688
5068
5597
6102
6602
7225
7704
--------
Pattern
----
Domestic
Ilndustry
!Others
!Total
uti1isatiol'
----
2004 - 05
2005 - 06
2006 - 07
2007 - 08
2008 - 09
30.57%
7.63%
27.64%
21.05%
13.11%
100.00%
30.66%
7.64%
26.89%
20.77%
14.05%
100.00%
35.99%
6.97%
24.64%
19.67%
12.73%
100.00%
40.71%
6.35%
23.27%
18.33%
11.35%
100.00%
47.91%
5.50%
20.77%
16.18%
9.64%
100.00%
55.28%
4.71%
17.82%
14.08%
8.11%
100.00%
2003-04
utilisation
2009-10
59.90%
4.26%
15.70%
12.93%
7.22%
100.00%
for
2010 - 11 --2-011=12]
63.63%
3.90%
13.95%
12.00%
6.52%
100.00%
2011-12
Others
5.99%
Others
Industry
13.11%
Irrigation~1.28%
12.53%
'\
/
If...
,,
Industry
Commercial
3.62%
21.05%
"
\,/
I
\.
'\,_ Domestic
66.58%
IrrigatiOn
27.64%
of utilisation
2003 - 04
fOI
42
313
1871
360
1323!
540
--------------
-----
Commercial
IIrrigation
40
291
1772
322
1203
498
234
66.58% I
3.62%
12.53%
11.28%
5.99%
100.00%
I
~~~ir/
SUMMARY
Table
4.23
West
Bengal
OF CATEGORYWISE
FORECAST
(UTILITIES)
Domestic
Commercial
& Miscellaneous
Public Lighting
Public Water Works
Irrigation
L T Industries
HT Industries
5622
2089
215
434
792
794
8381
876
513
7471
Railway Traction
Non Industrial
Total Consumption
T&DLosses(%)
5488
2184
228
413
749
686
MkWh
832
327
18380
26.80
6729
19716
25109
26573
25.80
6857
64.35
64.22
4723
4454
4443
4196
Rural Consumption
Urban Consumption
15273
14184
6303
Consumption/requirement
6983
2479
234
469
892
1079
9362
978
253
2370
218
451
840
1011
8635
927
243
20999
7740
2593
250
488
949
1154
9987
1035
264
24460
22728
23.47
24.47
27802
29697
64.19
4944
4750
16249
268
504
1011
1234
10779
11521
1098
275
1175
287
26466
28555
20.61
7415
21.62
22.60
7141
6969
6803
9523
2838
286
525
1079
1322
8583
2712
7302
33768
31601
35971
in MkWh
10571
11663
2970
306
552
3109
326
575
1150
1414
12411
1227
1509
13484
1423
1289
299
30962
19.31
312
33626
18.02
7409
38370
64.03
63.89
63.74
63.56
63.40
5294
5646
6048
6460
6909
5186
17542
5676
18784
6264
20201
6887
21669
23341
08
2008 09
7394
41020
63.22,
7407
7620
8493
25134
----
Pattern
------
of utilisation
. -------
2004 - 05
2005 - 06
2006 - 07
:Domestic
29.86%
28.51%
30.02%
30.72%
31.64%
32.43%
33.35%
34.14%
34.68%;
]Commercial
11.88%
4.07%
10.60%
11.29%
4.00%
45.94%
10.91'%
3.92%
10.60%
3.88%
45.55%
10.25%
9.94%
3.78%
9.59%
3.71%
44.65%
9.25%:
3.65%:
44.59%,
7.90%
100.00%
7.84%;
100.00%
Ilrrigation
ilndustry
'Others
Total
44.39%
9.80%
100.00%
utilisation
4.02%
46.54%
10.33%
100.00%
8.76%
100.00%
45.94%
8.51%
100.00%
2007
12
2003 - 04
i
I
3.82%
45.39%
8.11%
8.33%
100.00%
for 2003-04
200910
44.98%
7.96%
100.00%
100.00%
utj.lisation
2010 - 11
for
2011
2011-12
Others
Others
9.80%
7.84%
,/
Domestic
34.6fl%
\
Industry'
~4. 59%
Irrigation
4.07%
lrriqalion
3.65%
235
Chapter
I Commercial
9.2:>%
/'1
"-~j$?'
i~
!Y'
Table 4.24
Jharkhand
SUMMARY OF CATEGORYWISE
(UTILITIES)
Consumption Categories
Actual
2003-042004-05
(Base Year)
IDomestIc
:Commercial & Miscellaneous
Public Lighting
Public Water Works
Irrigation
:LT Industries
! HT Industries
! Railway T faction
i Non Industrial
ITotal Consumption MkWh
IT & 0 Losses ( % )
!T & D Losses MkWh
Energy Requirement - MkWh
Load Factor ( % )
jpeak Load (MW)
884
199
43
50
56
46
54
61
128
147
5816
726
6275
780
1055
218
51
1821
267
62
71
79
170
7252
814
195
8051
851
224
8568
892
8446
23.62
2612
11057
9689
63.39
1991
1385
241
56
65
71
89
59
7618
24.61
1815
Consumption/requirement
in MkWh
Forecast
2005062006072007-082008-092009-102010-112011-12
615
185
2487
10106
63.56
FORECAST
22.06
2742
o
10922
2399
296
3163
324
4174
352
68
78
74
85
80
93
98
256
9089
938
106
293
114
334
10142
1049
990
3~;1'
100
123
381
10663,
1
11161
O'
11994
21.35
13222
14648
16339
18364
21.38
3984
18631
21.45
21.55
4463
5044
23408
3398
3256
15249
63.70
21.44
2981
13903
67.72
63.15
21.34
3587
16809
62.85
2228
2344
2756
3053
12431
9612
5512
20801
62.59
62.36
3808
62.20
4296
,Rural Consumption
iUrban Consumption
,
Domestic
Commercial
Irrigation
Industry
Others
Total
utilisation
OLhers
10 '/5%
{or 2003-04
utilisation
Others
7.0n
DomGstic
8.07%
Commercial
2.42%
Domestic
/
/~0\'n;Y;4tion
T\
i
\
"
.......
for 2011-12
30.02%
I
:',;.
Industry
60.14%
Industry
\ \, cormnercial
\
2.08%
Irrigation
0.67%
78.02%
_nnJ
(Short Tcrm)
236
~~)::/
Table 4.25
Orissa
SUMMARY OF CATEGORYWISE FORECAST
(UTILITIES)
Consumption Categories
utilisation
Consumption/requirement
Actual
Forecast
2003-042004-052005-062006-072007-082008-09
(Base Year)
for 2003-04
2009-10
utilisation
in MkWh
2010-112011-12
for 2011-12
Others
6.58%
Others
10.51%
Domestic
45.00%
Irrigation
7.24%
Industry
41.69%
Irrigation
2.60%
2.53%
Cumnercial
4.13%
237
Table 4.26
Sikkim
SUMMARY OF CATEGORYWISE
(UTILITIES)
Consumption Categories
.
.
Actual
2003 - 04 2004 - 05
(Base. Year)
22
iT
Rural Consumption
'Urban Consumption
2005 - 06
20
24
29
26
35
o
o
o
o
o
o
11
13
15
o
o
o
o
FORECAST
Consumption/requirement
Forecast
2006 - 07 2007 - 08
29
17
2
19
3
o
o
o
90
51.00
94
184
40.00
53
107
47.50
97
204
40.50
58
123
44.00
96
219
41.00
61
138
40.50
94
232
41.50
64
44
45
53
54
61
62
70
68
2008 - 09
2009 - 10
2010 - 11
2011 - 12
35
42
2
38
45
3
42
48
4
46
21
5
24
6
28
5
178
33.50
89
267
42.50
72
8
201
30.00
85
286
43.00
76
4
218
27.50
83
301
43.50
79
96
82
111
90
120
98
2008 - 09
2009 - 10
2010 - 11
37.90%
19.57%
0.00%
14.60%
27.92%
100.00%
37.87%
19.00%
0.00%
15.14%
27.99%
100.00%
39.26%
19.13%
0.00%
16.11%
25.49%
100.00%
32
40
2
37
1
o
o
2
156
37.00
92
248
42.00
67
in MkWh
82
75
51,
~I
31
91
01I
4.
240:
2500
1
80
3201
44.00'1
83
132
'~I
Pattern of utilisation
Domestic
Commercial
'Irrigation
Industry
Others
,Total
utilisation
2003 - 04
2004 - 05
40.99"10
24.61%
0.00%
12.29%
22.12%
100.00%
38.83%
22.53%
0.00%
11.91%
26.73%
100.00%
for
2005 - 06
38.31%
21.59%
0.00%
11.8We:
28.22':i6
lOG.OO%
2006 - 07
200708
3f~.c1d%
~1.04%
0.00%
13.12%
27.40%
100.00%
38.18%
20.3010
0.00%
13.98%
27.55%
100.00%
200304
utilisation
for
2011-'
18.99%1
0.00%
16.77%
24.11%1
1~.~~O%
2011-12
Domestic
40.13%
0.00%
Industry
12.29%
Irrigation
conunerciill
0.00%
24.61%
Commercial
18.99%
238
40.13%'
Others
24.11%
Irrigation
12
~mll!
j'ii~::"~Central
Electricity Authority
Table
ConsumptIon Categones
Domestic
Commercial & Miscellaneous
Public
Lighting
- MkWh
IUrban Consumption
2003-04
(Base Year)
697
229
16
4.27
Assam
SUMMARY OF CATEGORYWISE
(UTILITIES)
FORECAST
Actual
2004-05
Forecast
2007-08
2005-06
884
279
7
37
18
105
619
60
50
124
513
Ccnsumption/requirement
2006-07
992
276
16
65
1241
304
16
70
55
190
50
161
650
682
2008-09
2009-10
in MkWh
2010-11
2011-12
1553
334
18
1942
367
19
2429
404
76
82
88
95
61
228
716
67
271
752
73
81
369
823
3801
480
23
103
88
426
862
20
318
787
3039
441
21
231
1920
39.31
1244
3164
54.56
662
302
2250
40.95
1560
3810
65.60
663
305
2514
34.90
1348
3862
64.00
689
308
2868
29.50
1200
4068
63.50
731
311
315
3815
22.50
4922
62.25
903
318
4438
21.50
1215
5653
61.50
1049
321
5190
20.50
1338
6529
60.75
1227
324
6106
19.50
1479,
7585!
60.00
1443
672
1248
761
1489
876
1638
1004
1864
1336
2479
1551
2887
1808
3382
2119
3987
2010 - 11
2011 - 12
58.54%
8.50%
1.55%
22.98%
8.43%
100.00%
62.25%
7.86%
1.44%
21.10%
7.36'%
100.00%
3296
25.00
1099
4395
63.00
1107
796
1155
2141
Pattern of utilisation
2003 - 04
36.28%
11.95%
2.63%
33.18%
15.97%
100.00%
Domestic
Commercial
Irrigation
Industry
Others
Total
utilisatiGn
2004 - 05
39.28%
12.38%
0.78%
32.16%
15.40%
100.00%
2005 - 06
39.47%
10.97%
1.99%
32.23%
15.34%
100.00%
2006 - 07
2007 - 08
43.29%
10.59%
1.92%
30.43%
13.n%
100.00%
2008 - 09
47.11%
10.14%
1.84%
28.64%
12.28%
100.00%
for 2003-04
2009-10
54.74%
9.10%
1.65%
24.91%
9.60%
100.00%
50.92%
9.63%
1.74%
26.83%
10.88%
100.00%
utilisation
for
2011 12
Others
7.36%
Industry
21.10%
-.LnUustry
~ \\
13.18%
Cormnercial
"~
7.86%
Domestic
62.25%
Irrigation
2.63%
Coromercial
11.95%
239
~~Iv;
.-------!~/
Table 4.28
Arunachal Pradesh
SUMMARY OF CATEGORYWISE FORECAST
(UTILITIES)
Consumption Categones
Actual
2003-04
2004-05
(Base Year)
53
7
6
49
53
9
8
16
7
2005-06
2006-07
Forecast
2007-08
o
o
o
o
o
o
o
o
o
o
o
109
37.50
66
175
40.00
50
101
36.00
57
158
2863
63
137
34.50
72
210
32.00
75
156
33.00
77
233
33.00
81
24
85
21
80
32
106
37
119
------
-------
2009-10
68
22
8
o
o
o
2008-09
63
19
8
58
17
7
Consumption/requirement
2010-11
2011-12
74
24
9
80
27
10
86'
10
11
o
o
o
in MkWh
30!
10
o
1
o
o
o
o
o
o
177
31.50
82
259
34.00
87
201
30.00
288
35.00
94
229
28.50
91
320
36.00
101
27.00
96
356
37.00
110
0'
287
25.51
98
386
38.00
116'
42
135
49
153
56
173
64
195
71;
2161
86
260
01,
Rural Consumpti?n
,Urban Consumption
I
Pattern of utilisation
--------------
Domestic
Commercial
Irrigation
Industry
'Others
Total
2003 - 04
2004 - 05
2005 - 06
2006 - 07
2007 - 08
2008 - 09
37.82%
48.42%
0.00%
2.41%
11.35%
100.00%
30.93%
48.30%
0.00%
4.45%
16.32%
100.00%
40.98%
38.68%
0.00%
4.10%
16.24%
100.00%
43.19%
36.94%
0.00%
4.08%
15.79%
100.00%
45.34%
35.28%
0.00%
4.03%
15.34%
100.00%
47.44%
33.69%
0.00%
3.98%
14.89%
100.00%
2009-10
49.48%
32.18%
0.00%
3.90%
14.45%
100.00%
2010 - 11
51,47%
30.73%
OPO%
3;80%
14100%
100.00%
2011 -12
52.18%
30.11%
0.00%;
3.80%'
13.91%
100.00%
------
utilisation
for 2003-04
utilisation
Irrigation
0.00%
Others
for 2011-12
others
13.91%
Irrigation
0.00%
11.]5%
Domestic
52.18%
Commercial
]0.11%
48.42%
240
il;~1I[
Table 4.29
ConsumptIon Categories
Domestic
Commercial & Miscellaneous
Public Lighting
Public Water Works
IIrri9alion
L T Industries
HT Industries
'Railway Traction
I Non Industrial
,Total Consumption - MkWh
'T & 0 Losses ('Yo)
& 0 Losses MkWh
energy Requirement - MkWh
I Load Factor ( % )
Peak Load (MW)
IT
I.RuraJ Consumption
i urban Consumption
--
200304
(Base Year)
104
12
3
8
1
8
0
0
41
175
65.18
328
504
47.65
121
Manipur
SUMMARY OF CATEGORYWISE
(UTILITIES)
FORECAST
Actual
200405
200506
200607
Forecast
2007 -08
113
12
3
9
0
7
1
0
32
178
62.13
291
469
59.52
90
124
14
4
10
2
21
13
0
41
228
58.00
315
544
53.22
117
148
15
4
12
2
25
16
0
49
271
54.00
318
589
50.00
134
177
17
4
14
3
29
19
0
58
320
50.00
320
641
50.50
145
104
73
133
95
160
111
191
129
100
75
Consumption/requirement
2008 - 09
.
210
19
5
16
4
34
24
0
68
379
46.00
323
702
51.00
157
229
150
in MkWh
2009 -10
2010 -11
201112
250
21
5
19
5
40
27
0
78
444
42.00
322
766
51.50
170
297
23
6
21
5
46
33
0
90
519
38.00
318
838
52.00
184
352
25
6
25
6
52
38
0
102
606
35.00
326
932
52.50
203
271
173
321
199
378
228
----
Pattern of utilisation
I
2003 04
2004 - 05
2005 - 06
2006 - 07
2007 - OS
54.40%
6.00%
0.69%
14.75%
24.16%
100.00%
54.77%
5.62%
0.83%
14.81%
23.97%
100.00%
55.14%
5.27%
0.92%
14.96%
23.71%
100.00%
?'1G[,
"::0
:o'CO_? - oS
2010 - 11
56.26%
4.63%
1.02%
15.11%
22.98%
100.00%
57.12%
4.36%
1.03%
15.04%
22.44%
100.00%
2011
12
1
Domestic
iCommercial
I Irrigation
ilndustry
',Others
iTotal
59.12%
6.69%
0.35%
4.56%
29.28%
100.00%
63.8]0/0
6.93%
0.12%
4.53%
24.56%
100.00%
55.45%
4.92%
0.98%
15.30%
23.35%
100.00%
58.10%:
4.11%'
1.04%1
14.85%,
21.91%
100.00%'
i.._
utilisation
foe 2003-04
.::: 2'vl1-1".i
Others
21.91%
Domestic
59.12%
Industry
4.56%.,
"
Industry ,
14.85%
Irrigation
0.35%
Domestic
58.10%
Irrigation
/
1.04%
Commercial
6.69%
Commercial
4.11%
241
Chapter
I V . Stalcwisc
:9'im~
Consumption/requirement
in MkWh
Table 4.30
Meghalaya
SUMMARY OF CATEGORYWISE FORECAST
(UTILITIES)
Consumption Categories
Domestic
Commercial & Miscellaneous
Public Lighting
,Public Water Works
IIIrrigation
LT Industries
HT Industries
IRailway Traction
I'Non Industrial
Total Consumption - MkWh
T & D Losses (%)
T & D Losses - MkWh
I,Energy Requirement - MkWh
Load Factor ( % )
,Peak Load (MW)
Actual
2003 - 04 2004 - 05
(Base Year)
159
172
31
39
2
1
26
25
0
1
5
5
451
486
0
0
123
128
797
856
16.86
28.35
162
339
959
1195
60.00
59.50
182
229
2005 - 06
Forecast
2006 - 07 2007 - 08
2008 - 09
2009 - 10
2010 - 11
2011 - 12
430
186
4
51
1
15
637
0
163
1487
17.00
304
1791
57.00
359
492
228
4
53
1
18
667
0
171
1635
16.00
311
1946
56.50
393
564
263
5
55
1
20
698
0
180
1786
15.00
315
2101
56.00
428
968
519
1044
590
1128
658
328
116
3
46
221
61
2
43
1
8
513
0
134
982
21.00
261
1243
59.00
241
287
87
3
44
1
9
546
0
141
1118
20.00
279
1397
58.50
273
148
1229
19.00
288
1517
58.00
299
376
149
3
48
1
13
606
0
155
1352
18.00
297
1649
57.50
327
691
291
769
349
830
399
897
455
11
576
i
I
Rural Consumption
Urban Consumption
572
225
615
241
Pattern of utilisation
I
2003 - 04
2004 ~05
2005 - 06
2006 - 07
2007 - 08
2008 - 09
2009 - 10
2010 - 11
2011 - 12 :
19.95%
3.92%
0.06%
57.20%
18.87%
100.00%
20.05%
4.50%
0.11%
57.35%
17.99%
100.00%
22.53%
6.20%
0.05%
52.98%
18.24%
100.00%
25.67%
7.75%
0.05%
49.71%
16.82%
100.00%
26.71%
9.42%
0.05%
47.76%
16.06%
100.00%
27.80%
11.01%
0.05%
45.81%
15.33%
100.00%
28.94%
12.52%
0.05%
43.85%
14.64%
100.00%
30.13%
13.96%
0.05%
41.89%
13.98%
100.00%
31.57%
14.731
0.04%:
40.22%1
13.44%
100.00%1
:Domestic
Commercial
,Irrigation
!Industry
,'Others
'Total
utilisation
for
utilisation
2003-04
for 2011-12
Others
13.44%
Domestic
19.95%
Domestic
31.57%
Commercial
3.92%
Irrigation
0.06%
Industry
40.22%
Industry
'57.7.0%
Commercial
Irrigation
0.04%
Chapter
rv: Statewisc
242
14.73%
i~13'111 '
lEI
'A
'.J~~>~~i,;'
Centra
ectriclty
uthority
Table 4.31
Mizoram
SUMMARY OF CATEGORYWISE FORECAST
(UTILITIES)
Consumption Categones
(Base
82
7
:Public
19
Works
Consumption
- MkWh
T&DLosses(%)
1 & 0 Losses - MkWh
Energy Requirement
! Load Factor
(% )
- MkWh
Consumption
2010-112011-12
85
7
6
18
o
2
o
o
107
7
12
123
23
25
2
2
1
2
3
1
8
13
141
9
15
28
3
3
2
160
10
16
31
4
4
2
178
11
18
32
5
5
3
201
13
22
38
6
6
4
189
12
20
36
5
5
3
8
130
52,93
146
276
44,38
71
9
126
43,39
96
222
37,82
67
10
163
41,00
113
276
36A7
86
10
186
37.00
109
295
36,97
91
12
212
33,00
104
316
37.47
96
13
239
29,00
98
337
37.97
101
14
265
25.00
88
353
36.47
105
15
286
24.00
110
17
307
23,00
92
398
39,47
115
24
106
23
103
32
131
37
148
43
169
49
190
53
212
58
228
62
245
Railway Traction
:Non Industrial
I
'Total
12
Irrigation
!L T Industries
HT Industries
2009-10
in MkWh
Yearl
IDomestIc
ICommercial
& Miscellaneous
:Public Lightmg
Water
ConsumptionJrequirement
Actual
Forecast
2003-042004-052005-062006-072007-082008-09
90
376
38.97
Pattern of utilisation
..~-----_._-----i
Domestic
"Commercial
Irrigation
'Industry
IOthers
Total
uttlJEeti0~
2003 - 04
2004 - 05
63.33%
5.43%
0.00%
1.28%
29.95%
100.00%
67.41%
5.20%
0.00%
1.54%
25.85%
100,00%
2005 - 06
2006 - 07
2007 - 08
2008 - 09
2009 -10
2010 - 11
66.34%
4.28%
1.24%
2.05%
26.10%
100.00%
66.45%
4.13%
1.46%
2.29%
25.66%
100.00%
66.90%
4.04%
1.63%
2.51%
24.92%
100.00%
67.30%
4.02%
1.74%
2.71%
24.24%
100.00%
66.22%
4.10%
1.89%
2.94%
24.85%
100.00%
2011 - 12
65.92%
4.42%
0.92%
1.74%
27.00%
100.00%
f0r. 200)-04
utili8ati0~
for
2011-12
65.45%1
4.20%
2.02%
3.17%,
25.16%1
100.00%1,
Others
25.16%
0.00%
Industry
3.17%
Industxy
1.28%
In:"igdtion
Domestic
63.33%
Irrigation
2.02%
COll1lflrcial
4.20%
Domestic
65.45%
5.43%
243
Chapter
IV . Statcwise
Table 4.32
Nagaland
SUMMARY OF CATEGORYWISE
(UTILITIES)
Consumption Categories
Domestic
"commercial & Miscellaneous
Public Lighting
Public Water Works
I
'Irrigation
LT Industries
HT Industries
I Railway Traction
iNon Industrial
Total Consumption - MkWh
T&DLosses(%)
iT & 0 Losses - MkWh
Energy Requirement - MkWh
Load Factor ( % )
I
;Peak
Load (MW)
i
Rural Consumption
Urban Consumption
I
----.
Actual
2003-04 2004-05
(Base Year)
113
120
15
18
4
1
0
3
0
0
4
36
0
0
0
0
25
40
196
183
43.46
41.03
136
141
332
324
40.32
52.29
94
71
103
93
FORECAST
Consumption/requirement
Forecast
2006-07
2007-08
2005-06
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11
201112
127
23
5
3
0
22
0
0
44
225
40.00
150
375
51.17
84
140
20
6
4
0
25
29
0
48
270
37.00
159
429
51.40
95
147
22
7
4
0
29
58
0
52
319
34.00
164
483
51.60
107
167
24
8
5
0
33
72
0
67
366
31.00
165
531
51.80
117
189
26
9
6
0
38
101
0
63
431
28.00
167
598
52.00
131
213
28
10
6
0
44
115
0
68
485
25.00
161
646
52.20
141
242
30
12
7
0
51
130
0
73
544
22.00
154
698
52.40
152
117
109
135
135
152
167
174
192
204
227
230
255
259
286
95
89
----
"'---
in MkWh
---
----
Pattern of utilisation
---
Domestic
Commercial
Irrigation
Industry
IOthers
Tota
i
'-_
I
'I
2003 - 04
2004 - 05
2005 - 06
2006 - 07
2007 - 08
2008 - 09
2809 - 10
57.82%
7.76%
0.00%
18.15%
16.28%
100.00%
65.52%
9.98%
0.00%
1.99%
22.50%
100.00%
56.58%
10.30%
0.00%
9.77%
23.35%
100.00%
51.71%
7.23%
0.00%
20.01%
21.05%
100.00%
46.21%
6.96%
0.00%
27.19%
19.64%
100.00%
45.68%
6.55%
0.00%
28.81%
18.96%
100.00%
43.77%
6.01%
0.00%
32.34%
17.88%
100.00%
--
2010 - 11
43.96%
5.77%
0.00%
32.91%
17.36%
100.00%
201 i
44.42%1
5.52%,
0.00%
33.16%
16.91%
100.00%
----
Htilisat,ion
for
201.1-12
Others
16.91%
Others
16.28\
Industry
18.15\
Domestic
44.42%
Domestic
57.82\
Industry
33.16%
Irrigation
0.00\
Commercial
7.76%
Irrigation
0.00\
forecast
(Short Term)
244
Commercial
5.52%
,,;l
, asm-i,-
,;if;:';'~~}
Table 4.33
Tripura
SUMMARY OF CA TEGORYWISE FORECAST
(UTILITIES)
ConsumptIonCategones
Domestic
Commercial & Miscellaneous
Public Lighting
Public Water Works
Irrigation
,LT Industries
HT Industries
Railway Traction
Non Industrial
Total Consumption - MkWh
T&DLosses(%)
I
.T
& D Losses - MkWh
'Energy Requirement - MkWh
Load Factor ( % )
Peak Load (MW)
Actual
2003-04
2004-05
(Base Yearl
156
148
36
33
8
7
2005-06
Forecast
2007-08
2006-07
183
37
Consumption/requirement
2008-09
217
257
304
40
9
44
9
49
66
72
88
60
97
2009
10
359
117
93
129
528
66
13
101
142
77
83
90
56
79
71
73
65
65
10
78
106
71
o
o
o
8
61
80
55
o
o
o
o
o
o
o
o
o
o
o
o
o
o
o
414
38.21
256
670
46.42
165
380
423
38.50
265
688
48.00
164
479
36.00
270
749
48.30
177
544
41.00
264
644
46.00
160
33.50
273
817
48.60
192
618
31.00
278
896
48.90
209
704
28.50
280
984
49.20
228
248
166
228
152
254
169
267
192
324
219
367
251
417
287
~al
Consumption
Urban Consumption
----
____
2011-12
425
54
62
2010-11
in MkWh
60
12
11
85
o
o
o
o
o
o
o
o
o
802
26.00
282
1084
49.50
250
940
23.50
289
1229
49.80
262
474
326
553
367
---
Pattern of utilisatlon
[----
IDomestic
Commercial
,Irrigation
~stry
Others
Total
utilisation
____
-------
2003 - 04
2004 - 05
2005 - 06
2006 - 07
2007 - 08
2008 - 09
2009 - 10
2010 - 11
37.70%
8.80%
19.00%
17.50%
17.00%
100.00%
39.07%
8.62%
18.68%
17.10%
16.54%
100.00%
43.31%
8.64%
18.91%
12.96%
16.18%
100.00%
45.25%
8.32%
18.37%
12.50%
15.55%
100.00%
47.19%
8.08%
17.81%
12.01%
14.92%
100.00%
49.11%
7.88%
17.23%
11.49%
14.29%
100.00%
51.05%
7.68%
16.65%
10.95%
13.67%
100.00%
52.99%
7.47%
16.07%
10.41%
13.06%
100.00%
-------.-
for 2003-0~
utilisati0n
20"11 - 12
56.13%1
7.06%,
15.07%1
9.61%
12.13%1
100.00% :
far 2011-12
Ot.hers
12.13%
Others
17.00%
Industry
17.50%
Irrigat.ion
15.07%
Domest.ic
56.13%
Irrigat.ion
19.00%
Commercial
8.80%
Commercial
7.06%
245
Table 4.34
Andaman & Nicobar
SUMMARY OF CATEGORYWISE FORECAST
(UTILITIES)
Consumption Categones
,Domestic
i Commercial & Miscellaneous
Public Ughting
IPUblic Water Works
,Irrigation
i LT Industries
HT Industries
' Railway Traction
I Non Industrial
iTotal Consumption - MkWh
'T & 0 Losses (%)
iT & D Losses - MkWh
Energy Requirement" MkWh
I Load Factor ( % )
:Peak Load (MW)
2003-04
(Base Year)
60
27
6
1
0
5
0
0
14
113
25.95
40
153
51.00
34
Rural Consumption
m
2005-06
60
25
6
1
0
4
0
0
14
110
13.00
16
126
51.00
28
72
29
8
1
0
5
0
0
16
131
22.00
37
168
51.00
38
2006-07
83
33
8
1
0
6
0
0
16
149
21.50
41
190
51.00
42
31
79
36
95
40
109
32
81
IUrban Consumption
____
Actual
2004~05
Consumption/requirement
in MkWh
Forecast
2007-08
200809
'
2009-10
2010-11
2011-12
97
37
9
1
0
6
0
0
20
170
21.00
45
215
51.00
48
112
42
10
2
0
7
0
0
22
193
20.50
50
243
51.00
54
129
47
11
2
0
7
0
0
24
219
20.00
55
274
51.00
61
148
52
12
2
0
7
0
0
26
247
19.50
60
307
51.00
69
169
58
12
2
0
8
0
0
29
276
19.00
65
344
51.00
77
45
125
51
143
56
162
63
184
69
209
Pattern of utilisation
2003 - 04
2004 - 05
53.25%
23.62%
0.00%
4.20'%
18.93%
100.00%
54.84%
22.28%
0.00%
3.87%
19.02%
100.00%
2005 - 06
2006 - 07
2007 - 08
2008 - 09
2009 - 10
2010 - 11
2011 - 12 I
55.80%
22.14%
0.00%
3.79%
18.27%
100.00%
56.88%
21.87%
0.00'%
3.57%
17.69%
100.00%
57.82%
21.67%
0.00%
3.37%
17.14%
100.00%
58.80%
21.45%
0.00%
3.18%
16.56%
100.00%
59.74%
21.19%
0.00%
3.01%
16.06%
100.00%
60.60%!
20.94%
O.OO%i ,
2.85%1
15.61%'
100.00%
,Domestic
i Commercial
I Irrigation
'Industry
',Others
iTotal
tor
utilisati,on
55.09%
22.11%
0.00%
4.03%
18."16%
100.00%
2003-04
utilisation
for 2011-12
Others
15.61%
I
Irrigat ion
0.00%
Irrigation
0.00%
Domestic
53.25%
Commercial
20.94%
Domestic
60.60%
23.62%
L
ChapterlV
_
S:atev'"isc rorccast
(Short 1Clm)
246
-a;'itt-m
i4:ti~,>;#
Table 4.35
lakshadweep
SUMMARY OF CATEGORYWISE FORECAST
(UTILITIES)
Consumptlon Categones
Actual
2003-04
2004-05
(Base Year)
14
13
4
4
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
20
19
11.85
10.20
2
3
22
22
38.50
38.50
7
6
Domestic
'Commercial & Miscellaneous
Public Lighting
Public Water Works
Irrigation
LT Industries
HT Industries
! Railway Traction
'Non Industrial
:Total Consumption - MkWh
iT & D Losses ( % )
iT & D Losses - MkWh
Energy Requirement - MkWh
Load Factor ( % )
Peak Load (MW)
i
IRural Consumption
~_~an Cons_~::npti~
in MkWh
2005-06
2006-07
15
5
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
21
10.15
2
24
38.75
7
16
5
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
23
10.10
3
26
39.00
7
17
6
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
25
10.05
3
28
39.25
8
16
7
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
27
10.00
3
30
39.50
9
19
7
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
30
10.00
3
33
39.75
10
21
6
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
33
10.00
4
36
40.00
10
22
10
2
0
0
2
0
0
0
36
10.00
4
40
40.00
10
11
11
12
12
13
13
14
14
16
17
17
10
10
9
10
Consumption/requirement
Forecast
2007-08
----
2008-09
200910
2010-11
2011-12
15
11
19
-----
Pattern of utilisation
-
Domestic
Commercial
Irrigation
Industry
Others
Total
2003 - 04
2004 - 05
2005 - 06
2006 - 07
2007 - 08
2008 - 09
2009 - 10
69.83%
22.42%
0.00%
2.16%
5.59%
100.00%
70.59%
21.75%
0.00%
2.10%
5.57%
100.00%
69.36%
22.55%
0.00%
2.30%
5.80%
100.00%
68.68%
22.90%
0.00%
2.46%
5.96%
100.00%
67.52%
23.56%
0.00%
2.78%
6.13%
100.00%
66.22%
24.29%
0.00%
3.21%
6.28%,
100.00%
64.83%
24.99%
0.00%
3.71%
6.46%
100.00%
----
-----
utilisation
for 2003-04
-..ltilisat.i::m
2011 - i2
201011
63.39%
25.68%
0.00%
4.28%
6.64%
100.00%
61.84%
26.33%
0.00%
4.94%
6.89/.,
100.00%
-I
I
Others
Others
5.59%
Industry
6.89%
4.94%
Irrigation
Irrigation
0.00%
0.00%
Commercial
22.42%
Commercial
26.33%
Domestic
69.83%
Domestic
61.84%
---~
-----------------------------------------------~~
247
I'
CHAPTER- V
LONG T.ERM FORECAST
-asl'tt~_
ourl1ey
Table 5.1
2021-22
Title
2011 -12
294841
411513
556768
294860
409805
550022
253443
380068
511659
111802
168942
258216
13329
21143
36997
968659
1392066
1914508
.-
2016-17
Load in MW
2021-22
Title-
2011 -12
2016 -17
48137
66583
89913
47108
64349
84778
40367
60433
80485
19088
28401
42712
2537
3760
6180
218209
298253
152746
251
~-
Chapter V
--
Table
State
AT POWER STATION
Requirement
5.2
(GWh)
2021-2022
2011 -2012
2016 - 2017
2021-2022
36293
38417
9504
11202
60489
48916
79268
8445
2308
52762
54305
13136
15272
82572
67767
110665
11668
3367
73481
73838
17657
21283
107342
92377
150157
16191
4440
6092
6839
1611
2063
11000
8482
13947
1533
420
8729
9375
2194
2790
14441
11404
19623
2085
602
12069
12557
2907
3857
18352
15101
26834
2849
782
294841
411513
556768
48137
66583
89913
Goa
Guiarat
Chhattis arh
Madhva Pradesh
Maharashtra
D. & N. Haveli
Daman & Diu
4583
85445
21785
49338
125661
5042
3005
6880
119083
33076
70445
167227
8204
489C
9082
156842
45116
98987
219910
12243
7842
721
14374
3565
8462
21954
778
552
1083
19670
5375
11772
28348
1266
857
1429
25447
7279
16129
35944
1889
1324
294860
409805
550022
47108
64349
84778
Andhra Pradesh
Karnataka
Kerala
Tamil Nadu
Pondicherrv
89032
53540
19230
87222
4419
132118
79996
26332
134755
6868
175590
107471
36134
182825
9639
14721
8826
3528
14224
683
21845
13092
4574
21976
1061
28216
17464
5916
29815
1489
253443
380068
511659
40367
60433
80485
19905
23408
27149
41020
320
32857
36274
39096
60228
487
58248
51741
63098
84499
629
3607
4296
4459
7407
83
5598
6604
6330
10743
120
9567
9129
10074
15072
150
111802
')0:';942
258216
19088
28401
427';2
Delhi
Harvana
Himachal Pradesh
Jammu & Kashmir
Puniab
Rajasthan
Uttar Pradesh
Uttarnanchal
ChandiQarh
7585
932
2101
698
1229
386
398
13053
1160
2778
1040
1761
557
595
24433
2337
4015
1505
3180
762
764
1443
203
428
152
282
116
115
2292
270
542
222
387
148
162
3985
445
751
319
666
189
196
13322
2: ~ 143
36997
2537
3760
6180
I
Sub Total (NERl
:
Andman & Nicobar
Lakshadweeo
T ota; Al.ndia
344
537
40 I
58
968C591
139"0661
______________
=~~~.~
..
Chapter \ : Long Tenll ForCf:dst
779
68
19145081
252
77
11
1527461
119
17
218209/
132
19
298253
~_.
_~E~~~~-
-as-raw
__,,,,'...:
__
;-i
Table 5.3
LONG n::RM FORECAST:
(GWh)
27207
28639
7617
8080
47427
36422
58908
6539
1827
41664
43199
10857
11779
66806
53847
86391
9619
2749
58759
59660
14770
16628
87921
77097
120975
13510
3681
222668
326910
453001
3744
65425
17092
36131
93737
4326
2579
5731
97731
26779
56870
133104
7146
4222
7711
129896
37653
81793
181635
10725
6791
223035
331583
456204
Andhra Pradesh
Karnataka
Kerala
T ami! Nadu
Pondicherrv
72766
45241
16345
73703
3677
110028
67996
22408
114205
5783
148865
91887
30786
155401
8212
211732
320420
435153
Bihar
Jharkhand
Orissa
West BenQal
Sikkim
14929
18364
20362
33626
240
26286
29564
31277
49387
383
49511
44239
53633
69289
519
87521
136896
217192
6106
606
1786
544
940
287
307
10834
1020
2389
837
1444
442
473
20524
1846
3453
1249
2687
610
626
10576
17438
30996
278
36
448
52
653
68
755847
1133749
1593266
Delhi
Harvana
Himachal Pradesh
Jammu & Kashmir
Puniab
Rajasthan
Uttar Pradesh
Uttarnanchal
Chandigarh
Sub Total (NR
Goa
Guiarat
Chhattisaarh
M':!dhva Pradesh
Maharashtra
D. & N. Havelf
Daman & Diu
Assam
Manipur
Meghalaya
Naaaland
Trioura
Arunachal Pradesh
Mizoram
Sub Total (NERI
Andman & Nicobar
Lakshadweeo
Total (All India)
253
Table 5.4
LONG TERM FORECAST:
TRANSMISSION
& DISTRIBUTION
1__
___
----
(%) (UTILITIES)
Delhi
Harvana
Himachal Pradesh
Jammu & Kashmir
Puniab
Raiasthan
Uttar Pradesh
Uttarnanchal
IChandiqarh
LOSSES
25.03
25.45
19.85
27.87
21.59
25.54
25.68
22.56
20.85
21.03
20.45
17.35
22.87
19.09
20.54
21.93
17.56
18.35
20.03
19.20
16.35
21.87
18.09
16.54
19.43
16.56
17.10
20.56
18.64
I
:,
"
24.48
--------f--.
~.b-I.<>I!'I-.LNR)
1-:-- ~~.~~
r-----~~
Goa
~!.::~~
21.54
26.77
Chhattisqarh
Madhya_Pradesh
~?harB:shtra
D. & N. Haveli
Daman & Diu
25.40
~Ub Tolal (~
24.36
14.20
14.16
-----
-.---------
--_.:~
t---
16:7017.93
19.04
19.27
20.40
12.90
13.66
19.09
------
..
1I
j=J
17.37
17.40
12.40-1
_
13.6
-~7--i
-.-~.e--l
1522-.....j
16.72
15.00
14.90
15.25
15.80
14.50
14.80
15.00
14.80
16.46
15.69
14.96
Bihar
Jharkhand
Orissa
West Bengal
Sikkim
25.00
21.55
25.00
18.02
24.89
20.00
18.50
20.00
18.00
21.25
15.00
14.50
15.00
18.00
17.50
21.72
18.97
15.98
Assam
ManiDur
Mechalava
Naaaland
TriDura
Arunachal Pradesh
Mizoram
19.50
35.00
15.00
22.01
23.50
25.50
23.00
17.00
25.00
14.00
19.50
18.00
20.75
20.50
16.00
21.00
14.00
17.00
15.50
20.00
18.00
20.65
17.52
16.22
19.00
9.99
16.50
10.00
14.00
10.00
21.97
18.56
16.81
__
Andhra Pradesh
Karnataka
Kerala
Tamil Nadu
Pondicherrv
Sub Tolal
(SR)
Total (Allindial
1827 .
15.50
15.00
15.50
16.80
254
--I
_.
,
,5.10 -~_~
17.18
,
- I
16.54
-'
Table
LONG TEAM FOAECAST
State
Delhi
Harvana
Himachal Pradesh
Jammu & Kashmir
Pun' ab
Rajasthan
Uttar Pradesh
Uttarnanchal
ChandiQarh
; ANNUAL
5.5
ELECTAIC
2011-12
68.00
64.12
67.34
62.00
62.77
65.83
64.88
62.87
62.81
LOAD FACTOR
2016 -17
69.00
66.12
68.34
62.50
65.27
67.83
64.38
63.87
63.81
(%) (UTILITIES)
2021-22
69.50
67.12
69.34
63.00
66.77
69.83
63.88
64.87
64.81
Sub Total (N Al
69.92
70.55
70.68
Goa
Guiarat
Chhattisaarh
Madhva Pradesh
Mahara..>htra
D. & N. Haveli
Daman & Diu
72.53
6/.86
69.75
66.56
65.34
74.00
62.13
72.53
69.11
70.25
68.31
67.34
74.00
65.13
72.G~j---j
71.45
72.70
Andhra Pradesh
Karnataka
KeraJa
Tamil Nadu
Pondicherrv
69.04
69.25
62.22
70.00
73.92
69.04
69.75
65.72
70.00
73.92
7104
70.25
69.72
70.00
73.92
71.67
71.79
72.58
Bihar
Jharkhand
Orissa
West BenQaJ
5ikkim
63.00
62.20
69.50
63.22
44.01
67.00
62.70
70.50
64.00
46.50
69.50
64.70
71.50
64.00
47.75
66.86
67.90
68.67
Assam
Maniour
Meahalava
Nagaland
Tripura
Arunachal Pradesh
Mjzoram
60.00
52.40
56.00
52.42
49.75
37.94
39.47
65.00
57.50
58.50
53.40
52.00
43.00
41.97
70.00
60.00
61.00
53.90
54.50
46.00
44.47
59.98
64.20
67.58
51.00
40.01
51.5C'
39.99
52.00
40.00
72.39
72.83
73.32
70.36 .__
70.75
70.0~
69.84
74.00
67.63
255
-~~-J
I
I
hJr\.:'c<J<.;t
CHAPTER-VI
GROWTH RATES
Table 6.1
GROWTH IN ELECTRICAL
BUS BARS(2003-tl4
Growth
States
2003-04
(Base Year)
'DeIhl
IHaryana
IHimachal Pradesh
IJammu & Kashmir
iPunjab
Rajasthan
IUttar Pradesh
IUttarnanchal
IChandigarh
I
'ISUb Total
(NR)
2004-05
3.93%
3.96%
12.44%
8.95%
7.64%
13.51%
2.79%
15.62%
18.33%
6_87"."
20Q5~06
8.64%
11.09%
7.66%
1.91%
9.33%
6.62%
9.90%
7.80%
7.62%
8,68".';'
TO 2011-12)
Rate (/0)
2006-072007082008-092009-102010-112011-12
7.92%
9.25%
41.33%
6.31%
9.36%
6.42%
8.84%
8.09%
8.75%
9.20"."
7.81%
9.16%
9.73%
6.60%
9.24%
6.60%
9.37%
8.18%
8.61%
8.34%
4.90%
6.79%
9.12%
7.52%
9.30%
8.27%
8.87%
8.50G~
8_52~~
9.07%
8.16'70!
8.89%;
8.29%,
7.29%'
9.27%
8.36%
8.93%
8.06%
8.94%
6.95%
7.13%
8.91%
7.64%
9.21%
8.44%
8.98%
8.4$"-;-
853~
8_55"
8.23%
9.00%
3.76%
6.97%
9.02%
7.58%
16.48%
9.81%,
8.03%
9.38%
6.64%
6.33%
12.23%
13.90%
9.29%
8.00%
9.37%
6.95%
6.40%
12.19%
13.83%
6,25%
5,24".;'
7.50%
7.25L>.,
7,33'-
IAndhra Pradesh
Karnalaka
Kerala
ITamil Nadu
i Pondicherry
9.30%
757%
0.35%
7.79%
9.58%
8.81%
6.37%
7.58%
5.02%
9.63%
8.61%
5.55%
6.42%
6.55%
9.58%
8.60%
5.72%
5.94%
7.79%
9.77%
9,03%
6.46%
5.77%
8.45%
10.50%
9.30%
7.64%
5.77%
8.76%
10.73%
9,58%
7.93%
6.18%
9.26%
10.90%
9.70%1
11.00%
ISub Total
7,58%
6,86%
7-05b
7.41:1"
8_02c
S.49,-
88]'0'"
B_OFe'"
3.50%
9.42%
3.59%
5.83%
10.87%
14.85%
12.42%
8.26%
4.63%
7.35%
16.60%
11.84%
9.40%
6.82%
5.94%
22.98%,
9.68%
10.15%
6.41%
6.90%
24.64'%
10.22%
10,65%
6.86%
7.66%
18.02%
10,84%
11.05%
6.52%
7.12'%
16.70%
11.65%
10.34%
6.67%
5.24%
15.15%
12.53%:
5.7110
8_08%
9,53,,,
9_96~o
10,83",
10.21" ~'
10,18<;"
lOAO'
20.42%
-6.89%
24.61%
*2.41%
-3.88%
-!:l.75%
-19.56%
1.36%
15.98%
4.02%
15.74%
6.83%
32.82%
24.48%
5.32%
8.23%
12.39%
14.40%
8.87%
11.02%
6.82%
8.05%
8.87%
8.59%
12.59%
9.08%
11.07%
7.15%
11.99%
9.58%
8.70%
9.94%
9.67%
11.13%
6.45%
14.85%
9.07%
8.61%
12.62%
9.82%
11.17%
4,90%
15.49"/0
9.38%
8.65%
8.03%
10,16%
11.21%
6.45%
16.17%
11.22%1
12.21'%
5,51%
7.80~';'
8,62%
1064':',
12.23~Q
12,51%
13.20~"i
-17.33%
3.58%
32.71%
6.73%
13.06%
7}i7%
13.41%
8,33%
13,10%
9.38%
12.51%
9.63%
12.17%
9.78%
11.93%
10.01%
6.79%
6.99%
6.11%
7_99%
8.29%
8.40%
8.56%
8.69'};"
13.44%
0.83%
9.79%
8.73%
5.43%
20.26%,
(WR)
9.22%
8.29%
9.32%
7.49%
6.53%
12.11%
13.73%
8.52%
9.04%!
10.96%
7.58%
9.81%
8.96%
6.22%
12.26%
13.99%
17.39%
5.72%
14.92%
8.21%
4.29%
15.58%
7.49%
IGoa
'IGujarat
Chhattisgarh
IMadhya Pradesh
! Maharashlra
:10. & N. Haveli
Daman & DIu
9.38%
8.16%
9.32%
7.24%
6.49%
12.15%
13.77%
8.81%
7.70%,
9.10%,
9.31%
8.42%
9.36/1
7.73%
6.57%1
12.07%;
13.71%
'ISub Total
7.48~
759'\,
7,"(Y
(SR)
9.37%;
8.25%
6.38%1
;Bihar
IJharkhand
,lOrissa
IWest Benga!
jSikkim
I
,SUb Total
(ER)
IAssam
i Manipur
i Meghalaya
,Nagaland
!Tripura
IArunachal
Pradesh
IMizoram
ISub Total
(NER)
IISLANDS
1Andman & Nicobar
ILakshadweefJ
10.78%i,
6.91%
6.31/J
7.97%i
8.05%
13.38%1
8.44%i
5.99%
259
Table 6.Z
GROWTH IN PEAK ELECTRIC
States
2003-04
2004-0S
200S-06
2006-07
2007~08
(Base Year)
6.11%
10.46%
14.2S%
-8.04%
7.47%
10,79%
6.96%
16.94%
17.33%
Andhra Pradesh
Karoataka
Kerala
Tamil Nadu
Pondicherry
9.16"/"
8.51%
12.13%
8.14%
6.72%
8.08%
9.42%
41.33%
8.58%
9.18%
8.34%
11.10%
8.42%
7.84%
7.97%
9.32%
9.73%
8.92%
9.06%
8.55%
11.68%
8.52%
7.91%
11.82%
6.73%
11.22%
14.37%
6.08%
7.62%
1.81%
10.96%
10.09%
11.48%
0.96%
5,02%
7.59%
6.43%
7.43%
11.55%
10.05%
8.27%
24.13%
17.37%
-0.91%
16.10"!c,
5.39%
8.52%,
7.88'%
8.04%
3,30%
2.52%
-0.23%
2009-10
2010-11
201112
Delhi
Haryana
Himachal Pradesh
Jammu & Kashmir
Punjab
Rajasthan
Uttar Pradesh
Uttarnanchal
Chandigarh
2008-09
8.80%
11.26%
7.66%
4.03%
8.49%
9.24%
4.90%
8.39%
9.17%
3.76%
9.16%
8.9S%
9.52%
9.40%
8.84%
9.62%
8.74%
9.72%
11.66%
11.69%
11.68%
8.61%
7.98%
8.70%
8.04%
8.79%
8.11%
10.00%
10.04%
10.02%
10.11%
10,67/.,'
9.81%
9.29%
10.65%
9.38%
10.88%
9.22%
12-41%
13.62%
8.43%
12.38%
13.53%
11.16%
8.04%
8.54%
12.34%
13.46%
11.14%
8.35%
8.68%
12.30%
13.40%
9.31%,'
11.300h
11.24%1
10.42%
10.19%
9.81%
10.01%
8.85%
8.85%
6.18%
9.28%
6.91%
9.55%
8.10%
10.62%
11.14%
7.71%
8.11%
9.11%
8.16%:
9.06%1
6.9S%
9.62%
8.29%;
9.84%
8.64%1
11.09%
11.17%
8.61%
9.83%;
11.62%'
8.87%1
8.17%
8.76%
12.26%
13,36%
8.87%1
8.85%
12.22%'
13.34"/;'
10.17<>./"
10.33%
9.83%
9.63%
8.72%
5.84%
5.26%
5.81%
2.78%
5.03%
7.40%
10.15%
5.17%
9.32%
11.09%
5.17%
6.68%
7.67%
5.33%
8.64%
10.35%
8.40%
5.58%
9.63%
11.33%
10.15%
11.49%
10.60%
11.60%
4,38%
3.00%
7.78%
8.37%
8.92%
9.40%
10.32%
10.51%'
24.37%
9.70%
11.58%
9.43%
5.17%
18.25%
5.21%
10.15%
7.08%
4.92%
24.79%
17.61%
10.96%
6,65%
4.69%
27.43%
10.75%
11.27%
7.10%
7.46%
20.68%
11.31%
11.54%
6.82,;,
:::'.56%
19.40%
12.05%
10.65%
6.95%
3.95%
17.91%
12.83,%1
6.04%
15.20%
11.88%
8.03%
4.67%
7.54%
7.90%
9.04%
12.41~';'
1'.93%
11.35%
11.35%
11.59i'l
0.15%
-25.62%
25.65%
-24.47%
-3.03%
26.00%
5.6'1%
3.92%
30.00%
4.90%
18.31%
2.50%
19.05%
29.09%
6.10%
14.53%
13.35%
13.10%
7.93%
8.00%
5.37%
8.89%
8.21%
9.53%
12.63%
8.47%
7.41%
5.72%
13.44%
8.28%
9.65%
8.85%
8.05%
5.05%
16.17%
8.28%
9.56%
11.97%
9,09%
7.45%
3.53%
16.97%
8.24%
9.62%
7.63%,
9.65%
8.91",-;'
5.09%
5.97%
6.52%
10.54'%
10.81"-;'
12.86%
13.28"'0
13.25S'o
5.78"10'
,
Bihar
Jharkhand
Orissa
West Bengal
Sikkim
Sub Total (EA)
Assam
Manipur
,Meghalaya
'Nagaland
Tripora
Arunachal Pradesh
Mizoram
9.35%
10.92"101
7.20%
5.06%:
,
17.60%1,
10.33%1
8.93%11
7.80%1
12.80%
5.45/;,1
4.64%1
I
13.95":""
ISLANDS
-----
----
-17.33%
3.61%
32.70%
6.05%
13.08%
6.85%
13.40%
7.61%
13.09%
8.68%
12.51%
8.90%
12,18%
9.12%
------
11.93%1;
9.99%
5.85%
6.15%
9.90%
10.02%
~O.05<;'o
1017%
10.48%
10,80%1
--
260
--
/[~]-!y~;?
Central
Electricity Authority
Table 6.3
GROWTH
IN TOTAL
(2003-04
TO 2011-12)
States
2003-04
(Base Year)
loelhi
2004-05
2005-06
2006-07
2007-08
2008-09
2011-:~2
7.31%
6.90%
14.91%
9.70%
8.52%
13.63%
6.95%
18.81%
12.56%
9.04%
12.20%
11.42%
9.98%
10.93%
10.22%
12.39%
11.99%
10.69%
8.64%
11.43%
11.35%
11.20%
44.31%
10.97%
10.23%
11.88%
10.88%
10.91%
9.76%
11.96%
11.13%
11.07%
11.99%
11.07%
10.11%
11.80%
11.38%
10.94%
9.81%
11.08%
11.57%
10.95%
7.02%
11.09%
9.98%
11.69%
11.27%
10.96%
9.86%
10.8&'/"
11.37%
10.84%
5.82%
11.11%
9.87%
11.59%
11.21%
10.98%
9.92%
10.73%
11.11%
10.75%
9.03%
11.12%
9.76%
11.51%
11.11%
11.01%
9.97%
10.75%
11.12%
10.67%
10.35%
11.14%
9.65%
11.44<;'0
10.97%
11.03%
10.02%
10.72%
21.29%
-2.59%
15.19%
8.54%
7.01%
14.32%
9.21%
14.32%
2.28%
12.31%
10.59%
6.99%
20.26%
16.75%
11.81%
9.10%
11.66%
10.78%
7.77%
12.66%
14.26%
10.65%
9.54%
11.19%
11.03%
7.86%
12.63%
14.17%
10.12%
9.48%
11.16%
11.18%
7.91%
12.59%
14.09%
10.20%
9.63%
11.07%
11.32%
7.98%
12.54%
14.04%
10.04%
9.74%
11.05%
11.43%
8.00%
12.50%
14.00%
10.12%
9.86/~
11.06%
11.54%
8.02%
12.46%,
13.97%
4.88%
6.80%
9.07%
9.24%
9.27%
9.38%
9.45%
9.53%
IAndhra Pradesh
Karnataka
IKerala
10.37%
7.08%
2.90%
5.03%
1.46%
9.64%
7.01%
9.74%
6.04%
9.84%
9.43%
8.41%
8.52%
7.21%
9.84%
9.75%
8.51%
7.98%
8.44%
10.04%
9.95%
9.19%
7.78%
9.11%
10.77%
10.03%
9.65%
7.74%
9,41%
11.00%
10.16%
9.92%
8.12%
9.91%
11.16%
10.24%
10.21%
8,16%
10.36%
11.27%
6.93%
7.79%
8.36%
8.88%
9.33%
9.56%
9.88%
10.13%,
5.96%
10.86%
9.18%
727"'/0
19.17%
17.52%
14.72%
9.59%
6.51%
14.38%
19.25%
12.73%
14.97%
8.23%
12.42%
25.71%
9.81%
15.66%
7.62%
13.55%
27.35%
10.24%
15.92%
8.20%
13.57%
20,53%
10.78%
16,10%
7.90%
12.83%
19.13%
11,55%
15.14%
8.43%
8.72%
17.50%,
12.40%
15.39%
8.61%
10.25%
8.28%
9.95%
11.71%
11.77%
12.68%
12.08~;'
12.21%
12.40%
17.16%
1.26%
7.38%
-6.44%
-8.27%
-7.59%
-3.26%
11.74%
28.64%
14.77%
22.92%
11.31%
35.93%
29.74%
14.06%
18.54%
13.78%
20.09%
13.25%
13.56%
14.06%
14.95%
18.34%
9.98%
17.91%
13.48%
13.56%
13.95%
15.72%
18.34%
9.98%
14.82%
13.69%
13.56%
12.81%
16.33%
17.15%
9.97%
17.65%
13.84%
13.55%
10.81%
16.96%
16.92%
9.97%
12.51%
13.98%
13.55%
7.87%
17.63%
16.61%
9.25%
12.34%
17.23%
10.67%
7.38%
8.85%
14.73%
14.42%
14.02%
14.31%
14.72'%
14.76%
15.25%
-2.87%
5.53%
18.98%
6.80%
13.78%
7.62%
14.13%
8.38%
13.82%
9.45%
13,22%
9.62%
12.87%
9.78%
10.02%
6.99%
8.78%
10.01%
9.99%
10.18%
10.19%
'10.33%
10.45%;
IHaryana
,Himachal
Pradesh
Pradesh
i Maharashtra
10.
& N. Haveli
,,Daman & Diu
iTamil Nadu
Pondicherry
Pradesh
261
12.63"/:0
Central
Electricity
AuthOrity
);."~,
,.,;;?
_"o., __
Table 6.4
LONG TERM FORECAST: COMPOUNDED ANNUAL GROWTH RATES (%) OF ELECTRICAL
ENERGY REQUIREMENT AND PEAK ELECTRIC LOAD (UTILITIES)
State
Delhi
Harvana
Himachal Pradesh
Jammu & Kashmir
Puniab
Rajasthan
Uttar Pradesh
Uttarnanchal
Chandiaarh
Sub TotalfNR
6.90
6.23
6.70
6.19
Madhva Pradesh
Maharashtra
D. & N. Haveli
Daman & Diu
8.46
6.86
8.71
7.38
5.88
10.23
10.23
5.71
5.66
6.40
7.04
5.63
8.34
9.91
8.46
6.47
8.56
6.83
5.25
10.23
9.20
5.71
5.28
6.25
6.50
4.86
8.34
9.08
6.81
6.06
6.44
5.67
Andhra Pradesh
Karnataka
Kerala
T ami! Nadu
Pondicherrv
8.21
8.36
6.49
9.09
9.22
5.85
6.08
6.53
6.29
7.01
8.21
8.21
5.33
9.09
9.22
5.25
5.93
5.28
6.29
7.01
Sub TotalISR\
8.44
6.13
8.40
5.90
10.54
9.16
7.57
7.98
8.76
12.13
7.36
10.05
7.01
5.27
9.19
8.98
7.26
7.72
7.57
11.31
6.69
9.74
7.01
4.71
8.61
8.86
8.27
8.50
11.47
7.85
5.74
8.30
7.46
7.65
8.34
13.36
11.44
7.65
7.68
12.55
6.46
5.13
9.70
5.87
4.82
7.90
6.51
4.99
7.01
11.69
10.49
6.75
7.47
11.50
5.04
3.92
9.67
11.84
8.19
10.46
9.32
7.71
7.52
7.75
3.03
6.58
9.11
7.72
7.39
2.05
3.02
6.45
Gaa
Guiarat
Chhattisoam
Bihar
Jharkhand
Orissa
West Benaal
Sikkim
Sub TatalIER\
Assam
Maniour
Meohalava
Naaaland
Trioura
Arunachal
Mizoram
Pradesh
TolalfAlltndia)
262
,~~,:
.. 'F'
Table 6.5
LONG TERM FORECAST:
('Yo) OF ELECTRICAL
-
State
Delhi
Harvana
Himachal Pradesh
Jammu & Kashmir
Puniab
Ralasthan
Uttar Pradesh
Uttarnanchal
Chandiaarh
12TH PLAN
(2012-17)
8.90
8.57
7.34
7.83
7.09
8.13
7.96
8.02
8.51
-13TH PLAN(2017-22)
7.12
6.67
6.35
7.14
5.65
7.44
6.97
7.03
6.01
7.98
6.74
8.89
8.36
9.39
9.50
7.26
10.56
10.36
6.12
5.86
7.05
7.54
6.41
8.46
9.97
Sub TotaiIWR)
8.25
6.59
Andhra Pradesh
Karnataka
Kerala
Tamil Nadu
Pondicherry
8.62
8.49
6.51
9.15
9.48
6.23
6.21
6.56
6.35
7.27
8.64
6.31
11.98
9.99
8.96
7.99
9.79
13.50
8.39
11.39
7.01
6.25
9.36
9.67
Assam
Manipur
Meghalaya
Nagaland
Tripura
Arunachal Pradesh
Mizoram
12.15
10.98
5.99
8.99
8.96
8.99
9.03
13.63
12.60
7.65
8.34
13.23
6.66
5.78
10.52
12.19
9.99
7.71
7.83
5.22
8.45
7.04
Sub TotalINR)
Goa
Gularat
Chhaltisoarh
Madhva Pradesh
Maharashtra
O. & N. Haveli
Daman & Diu
Bihar
Jharkhand
Orissa
West Benaal
Slkklm
Sub Total (ERI
263
ANNEXURES
tsh
,A~L_;'2';
~>
ANNEXURE-I
COpy
GOVERNMENT
OF INDIA
CENTRAL ELECTRICITY
AUTHORITY
MINISTRY OF POWER
SEW A BRA WAN, R.K.PURAM
NEW DELHI-Il0066
No.541 (37)/Secy-2003/330
ORDER
Chairman
Adviser (Energy)
Planning Commission
New Delhi
Member
Member
ChairmenlManaging DirectorslHeads
Of all State Electricity BoardslTransmission
CorporationslElectricity
Departments
Member
Member
Member
Joint Secretary(Coal)
Ministry of Coal,
New Delhi.
Member
---------------------------~,~~~-----------267
Anncxure:';
Commissioner (GR&MI)
Ministry of Water Resources
New Delhi.
Member
Director General,
National Cooncil of Applied
Economic Research NCAER),
Ncw Delhi.
Member
Director
Central Statistical Organization,
New Delhi.
Member
Director General
Indian Statistical Institute
Kolkata
Member
Member
Member
Director General
TERI - The Energy & Resources Institute,
New Delhi.
Member
Member-Secretary
3. The Committee will submit its report within a period of 24 months from the date of
issue of this Order.
SdI(GURDIAL SINGH)
SECRETARY,CEA
To: As per list.
Anl1cxures
268
i~~i
'!~~/
ANNEXURE-II
COpy
GOVERNMENT OF INDIA
MINISTRY OF POWER
CENTRAL ELECTRICITY AUTHORITY
OFFICE OF MEMBER (PLANNING)
2ND FLOOR, SEW A BOAWAN, R.K.PURAM
NEW DELHI-II0066
No.CENPLG/LFI21l7
EPS/439-48
I.
An Expert Cormniltce having following composition is herehy constituted under the
aegis of 17th Electric Power Survey Committee for forecasting electricity demand of the
country using econometric methodology in accordance with provisions of para 3.3 of the
National Electricity Policy:
1. Shri Surya P.Sethi, Advisor {Encrgy),Planning
Commission, Delhi
2. Sh.G.S.N.Morty, Joint Director, Central
Statistical Organization, Delhi
Member
Member
4.
Mcmber
5.
o.
Member
7.
Member
8.
Member
Confederation
269
Member
Memher
Antll:XUr...
II.
10.
Member
I I.
Member-Secretary
To forecast year wise electricity demand of the country up-to 2021-22 usiog
econometric
methodology
and considering demand-influencing
factors for
which economic indicators shall be available.
Projected Growth Rates of
different sectors of economy will be taken into account in this exercise.
ii.
The Expert Committee shall submit its Report within a period of six months.
Sd/(V.S.VERMA)
MEMBER(PLANNING),CEA
&
CHAIRMAN OF 17m ELECTRIC POWER
SURVEY COMMITTEE
Forwarded
Policy to:
Anncxures
270
~::'_~t
ANNEXURE-III
GROWTH OF SELF CONSUMPTION (GWh) OF ELECTRICITY OUT OF CAPTIVE GENERATION
ST ATElUTI
2003-0412004-05/2005-0612006-071
Haryana
786
54
0
621
Himachal Pradesh
Jammu & Kashmir
Punjab
Rajasthan
Uttar Pradesh
Uttaranchal
Chandigarh
Delhi
Sub- Total(NR)
Gujarat
Madhya Pradesh
Chhattisgam
Maharashtra
155
0
12
Goo
Daman & Diu
o & N Haveli
Sub- Tot.I(WR)
Andhra Pradesh
Kamataka
Kerala
Tami! Nadu
Pondicherry
Lakshadweep
Sub-Tot.I(SR)
Bihar
Jharkhand
Orissa
West Bengal
A & N Islands
Sikkim
Sub-Tot.I(ER)
2845
6437
369
3
2
111171
10540
2151
3410
4486
Assam
Manipur
Meghalaya
Nagaland
Tripura
ArunCl.chalPradesh
207631
4526
3131
429
3941
49
0
120761
178
3327
7011
1922
0
0
124381
1013
0
0
0
0
0
Sub-Tot.I(NER)
0
10131
573971
Mizoram
806
55
0
679
3214
7209
443
3
2
124111
12226
2156
3665
5248
176
0
13
234871
5386
3475
472
4414
59
0
138061
231
3493
7432
2153
0
0
133091
1104
0
0
0
0
0
0
11041
64117\
827
57
0
741
3616
8038
525
3
2
138081
14060
2161
3956
6125
203
0
14
265211
630'::
3823
517
4899
69
0
156101
294
3668
7840
2400
0
0
142021
1198
0
0
151121
1294
0
0
0
0
0
0
11981
713401
2007-0812008-0912009-1012010-11\2011-12
849
58
0
807
4050
8922
614
3
2
153051
16028
2166
4295
7043
230
0
15
297771
7247
4167
563
5389
80
0
174471
364
3851
8232
2664
0
0
0
0
0
0
12941
789361
271
873
59
0
877
4516
9859
709
3
2
168991
18112
2171
4681
8030
257
898
61
0
952
4968
10845
809
3
2
185371
20285
2176
5103
9073
285
0
16
332671
8169
4500
611
5874
92
0
192671
441
4044
0
17
369401
9090
4815
660
6344
103
8603
2944
0
0
160321
1391
0
0
0
0
0
0
13911
868551
0
210121
520
4246
8947
3238
0
0
169521
1488
0
0
0
0
0
0
14881
949291
983
66
0
1202
6612
14044
1106
3
2
24018
26997
2191
6608
12408
370
0
21
48595
11131
0
226231
598
4458
9260
3546
0
0
178631
1585
0
0
0
0
0
954
64
0
1114
6038
12944
1010
3
2
221291
24768
2186
6063
11280
342
0
19
446591
10601
5360
759
7196
122
0
240381
670
4681
9538
3865
0
0
187551
1680
0
0
0
0
0
0
15851
1031221
0
16801
1112601
0
1773
119200
925
62
0
1031
5489
11875
910
3
2
202971
22517
2181
5562
10162
314
0
16
407541
9908
5104
710
6789
113
5574
809
7556
129
0
25199
730
4915
9776
4194
0
0
19616
1773
0
0
0
0
0
Anncxures
/:
17th Electric Power Survey
ANNEXURE-IV
f--
DVe
..
(WEST
BENGAL
PORTION)
ESTIMATED
Category
HT Industries - 1 MW & above (Direct)
Railway Traction (Direct)
Point Loads of WBSEB (IV + OV)
Point Loads of DPSCO
Point Loads of CESC
Additional Prosoective Load
Total ConsumPtion
(GWhl
T&
IT &
D
D
Loss (%)
Loss - GWh
(GWhl
04-05
1458.30
156.30
614.23
595.00
0.00
0.00
2823.83
05-06
1889.30
165.40
637.39
613.00
0.00
0.00
3305.09
06-07
2260.20
175.00
661.86
631.00
0.00
0.00
3728.06
07-08
2485.40
185.20
687.69
650.00
0.00
0.00
4008.29
08-09
2720.20
195.90
714.76
669.00
0.00
0.00
4299.86
09-10
2948.60
207.40
743.38
688.00
0.00
0.00
4587.38
10-11
3174.60
219.40
773.07
707.00
0.00
0.00
4874.07
11-12
3364.70
232.24
804.43
728.00
0.00
0.00
5129.37
3.70
108.50
3.70
126.99
3.70
143.24
3.70
154.00
3.70
165.21
3.70
176.25
3.70
187.27
3.70
197.08
2932.33
3432.08
3871.30
4162.29
4465.07
4763.63
5061.34
5326.45
65.00
514.99
65.00
602.75
65.00
579.89
65.00
731.00
65.00
784.17
65.00
836.61
65.00
888.89
65.00
935.45
DVe
(JHARKHAND
PORTION)
~
i
ESTIMATED
Cateaorv
Domestic (Direct)
HT Industries - 1 MW & above (Direct)
Railwav Traction (Direct)
Point Loads (IV + OV)
Additional Prospective Load
Total Consumption(GWh)
T&
D Loss (%)
T&DLoss-GWh
Total Enerav
Reaulrement
(GWh
04-05
05-06
07-08
08-09
09-10
43.78
3336.3
362.6
2016.4
143.5
5902.58
50.6
3481.95
372.1
2132.9
903
6940.55
53
3631.5
332.1
22ti6.9
1476.3
7799.8
55.8
3781.65
392.7
2387.4
1763.3
8380.85
586
3930.92
403.9
2526.7
2049.6
8969.72
61.5
4076.38
416
2673
2336.6
9563.48
3.7
226.79
3.7
266.67
3.7
299.68
3.7
322.01
3.7
344.63
3.7
367.44
6129.37
7207.22
8099.48
8702.86
9314.35
9930.92
65
1076.46
65
1265.76
65
1422.46
65
1528.43
65
1635.82
65
1744.1
Dve
06-0"7
10-11
11-12
64.6
67.8
4224.26
4399.14
428.9
442.5
2828.9
2994
2622.9
2866.5
10169.6 10769.94
3.7
390.73
3.7
413.8
10560.3 11183.74
65
1854.63
65
1964.13
(TOTAL)
ESTIMATED
Cateaory
Total Consumption (GWh)
T & D Loss (%)
T & 0 Loss GWh
Total Energy
RequirementCGWh)
i\nnexurcs
04-05
8726.41
3.70
335.29
05-06
10245.64
3.70
31;3.66
06-07
07-08
08-09
11527.86
12389.14
13269.58
3.70
442.92
3.70
476.01
3.70
509.84
09-10
I 10-11
I 11-12
3.70
578.00
3.70
610.88
9061.70
10639.30
11970.78
12365.15
13779.42
14694.55 15621.63
16510.19
65.00
1591.45
65.00
1868.51
65.00
2102.35
65.00
2259.43
65.00
2419.99
65.GO
65.00
2580.71 2743.52
65.00
2899.58
272
A~;'~!'):centra'
Electricity
17th Electric
Authority
Power
Survey
,;'.'
ANNEXURE-V
273
AllJ:Cxures
CentralElectr;cdyAuthontYA1~
!
The focus of this paper is to develop a forecasting model that could be used for analyzing
relationships between electricity consumption and macroeconomic variables. To achieve
this, an aggregate approach using macroeconomic data at the national and sector level is
considered suitable.
A. Main Factors Determining
Electricity Demand
The following four factors have been identified for their significant contribution to longterm electricity demand in India.
I. Per Capita Gross Domestic Product
Per Capita GDP is considered to be the most important determinant for electricity
consumption in the literature. Economic growth and its impact on living standards is the
main driving force of electricity consumption growth. Empirical studies show that there
should be a significant and stable positive correlation between per capita GDP and
electricity consumption.
2. Electricity Prices
As with income effects, electricity price is another important factor affecting electricity
demand. However, electricity tariffs in India have been set administratively. Setting
electricity tariff in India is a complicated and sensitive sector issue due to the presence of
many stakeholders. Despite this, electricity tariffs are an important variable in the
electricity demand function because of its impact on electricity consumption. Electricity
tariffs in the India are set separately in each state and tariff adjustments require extended
periods of evaluation and consensus making, further complicated.
3. Structural Changes in the Economy
Market refonns have become an important aspect of macroeconomic policy in India. There
is high correlation between the growth of electricity demand and the growth of service
sector in India. Ongoing structural changes in the economy toward service-and-exportoriented sectors will have had a major impact on the electricity demand growth. Thus, the
variable (SS), which is the total service share in GDP, is included to reflect the structure
change occurring in India.
4. Efficiency Improvement
Annual per capita energy consumption in India is relatively low of the world average. The
energy intensity rate is still quite high. Energy intensity declined during the] 990s, when
GDP grew by more than 6 per cent per year and energy consumption grew at 2.3 per cent
per yea,. As a result, the energy intensity index (Expressed as unit of energy consumed per
unit of GDP in 1980-81 qonstant prices, with the index set at 100 for 1980-81) dropped
from 15 j in 1994-95 to ] 22 in 2001-02. These indicate that energy conservation measures
have produced significant positive results. Therefore, efficiency improvement, that is,
value-added produced by economy divided by electricity consumed by the economy, is
AnnCXUT',::S
274
,,
ii'L
,ttf
,
17th Electric Power Survey
P, SS, INTEN)
(I)
275
Annexurcs
CentralElectricityAuthOrity!~11
;,'
",:-':,\.:~" \r~if"~i"\\hether
,,',
!; .p'
,!!,'!'
'/'!',",
-.,
!;-,
1
f:
;<i(jii
VClj'i;:i,hIC,
dhe
turai
i~~
per capita GDP. S,(- represents
IXl rcprcsenls
natural logarithm,
we obl.iln:
, " " ~
(2,,08)'"
t X.l)) I
PCGDP
l(,~,:..;it'J
''..-
}J!'iCC,
\~'icant
1,0.13)
(28.32)*
(1.6\)
J)
(5)
,1\
,i'l'
"~,,i""
'C'," _''';Siil~~
'i'
h...;"~.'Gr:';~i.~11~{
."
!"
i~
F=61395
1;';':'
~L.;'
\q\,~'
Test
Annexurcs
276
~.
'\.
!"Central
Electricity Authority
! J':igenvaJue
i-
...--.-.
Likelihood
Ratio
5 Per cent
Critical Value
I'0 .()75i7=1146.4487
.~.~-_._.
1 Per cent
Critical Value
-'-'~-'-
Hypothesized
No. of CE(s)
~~_._~._
76.07
None**
68.52
154.46
At most] ** ..___ . ~7.2]
1-o ,9]:m~J?9.8534
10 .778035
36.0474]
29.68
35.65
At most 2 **
I.~
8.953] 9]
]5.41
20.04
At most 3
r-Q .362031
.046804
0.862823
3.76
6.65
At most 4
-~~
(**)d."'I1otes rejection of the hypothesis at 5%( 1%) significance level
L.~"tcstlrldicatesl
cointegrating-".quation(s) at 5% si'!ificance leve_' '-'~-T--------
o.on,
-0.00824, -0.(1)
The,,,' arc normalized for Ln(Q), Ln(PCGOP), Ln(P), INTEN and SS. Thc equation
presented as
LQ
IS
Equation (6) indicatcs the longterm equilihrium relation among the variahles. Thc results
indicatc that there exists a stahle long-nrn relationship among thc variahles in the modcl
over the sample period. The results indicate that the per capita GOP elasticity is cstimated
at 1.4 for the sample period. This is consistent with eff(Jrts on energy requirement and
more rapid structural changes in the economy. Further, hoth efficicncy and structural
change variahles contribute more to electricity demand. Electricity price movements
capture somc prices effects on electricity demand.
Forecasting at 4ggrq;ate Level
Using co-integration Eqt:ation given in para 5. 1.3 of Chapter - I of this report, aggregate
electricity demand can be projected lIplO 2021-2022. The first problem of this procedure
is to project the trend;: of the variables in the right-hand side in Equations. PCGOP
growth is assumed to grow at the ratc of 6, 7 and 7.5 percent per year. As for data J(lr
other variables time series technique is used to predict for eiectricity intensity on the basis
of last seven years, electricity prices arc assumed to grow at the rate of two pcrcent per
277
Annexures
year at constant prices. Finally, electricity consumption is forecasted using the long-term
Equations. The forecasting results are provided in Table V-A. We have made in total
twelve scenarios for electricity forecasting. In all these scenarios it has been assumed that
the share of service sector would remain constant, i.e., it would be around 55 percent.
These scenarios are:
1. PCGOP grow at 6 per cent, electricity price grow at the rate of two per cent per year
and the electricity intensity declines on the trend basis.
2. PCGOP grow at 7 per cent, electricity price grow at the rate of two per cent per year
and the electricity intensity declines on the trend basis.
3. PCGOP grow at 7.5 per cent, electricity price grow at the rate of two per cent per year
and the electricity intensity declines on the trend basis.
4. PCGOP grow at 6 per cent per year, electricity price remain at the level of 2001-02
and the electricity intensity declines on the trend basis.
5. PCGOP grow at 7 per cent per year, electricity price remain at the level of 2001-02
and the electricity intensity declines on the trend basis.
6. PCGOP grow at 7.5 per cent per year, electricity price remain at the level of 2001-02
and the electricity intensity declines on the trend basis.
7. PCGOP grow at 6 per cent per year, electticity price remain at the level of 2001-02
and the electricity intensity remains at the level of 2003-04.
8. PCGOP grow at 7 per cent per year, electricity price remain at the level of 2001-02
and the electricity intensity remains at the level of 2003-04.
9. PCGDP grow at 7.5 per cent per year, electricity price remain at the level of 2001-02
and the electricity intensity remains at the level of 2003-04.
10. PCGOP grow at 6 per cent, electricity price grow at the rate of two per cent per year
and the electricity intensity remains at the level of 2003-04.
II. PCGDP grow at 7 per cent, electricity price grow at the rate of two per cent per year
and the electricity intensity remains at the level of 2003-04.
12. PCGOP grow at 7.5 per cent, electricity price grow at the rate of two per cent per year
and the electrieity intensity remains at the level of 2003-04.
The forecasting results arc presented in Table V-A.
Forecasting at Sectoral Level
For the sectoral forecasting, price information and the sectoral decomposition of GDP
could be collected only since 1992-93. Therefore, in sectoral analysis, OLS rather than
co-integration techniques could be used for forecasting. In the sectoral analysis it has
been assumed that the sectoral consumption is the function of sectoral GDP (Seetoral
GDP from manufacturing sector is taken as a proxy for the GDP of industrial sector and
sectoral GOP from finance, insurance, real estate and business is taken as a proxy for the
GDP of commercial sector, and for the income of domestie sector the aggregate GDP is
considered as the proxy of income in that sector) and tariff rate in that sector. Moreover,
trend analysis has been used for forecasting the consumption of electricity for railways,
Annexurcs
278
/1-__
."
public lighting and water sectors. Table V-B presents the sectoral estimates of income
and price elasticties. In each of the major sectors, the consumption of electricity income
is statistically significant and elastic but the price elasticity of consumption is found to
be statistically insignificant for most of the sectors and even in some sectors it has been
observed that the signs of price elasticity are not as expeeted. Similar kind of behaviour
is ohserved at the aggregate level even using the co-integration technique for
forecasting. Here it should be noted that the estimation is very poor for the eommereial
sector as the co-efficient of none of the independent variables is statistically significant
and even the overall fit is very poor. Therefore, the forecasting results for commercial
sector are erroneous.
Tahle V-C presents the OLS estimates for public lighting, railways and water sectors.
The Tables V-O to V-H presents the sectoral forecasting results. Thc sectoral forecasting
results are based on the following assumption or for forecasting these scenanos are
generated.
f)oftlestic Sector
I. GOP grows at the rate of 8 per cent and tariff grows at the rate of 2 per cent per year.
2. GOP grows at the rate of 9 per eent and tariff grows at the rate of 2 per cent per year.
3 GOP grows at the rate of 8 per cent per year and tariff remains at the level of 200102.
4. GOP grows at the rate of 9 per cent per year and tariff remains at the level of 200102.
"-lgricliiture Sector
5. Sectoral GOP
per year.
6. Sectoral GDP
per year.
7. Scctorai GOP
of 2001-02.
8. Sectoral GOP
of 2001-02.
grows at the rate of 3 per cent and tariff grows at the rate of 2 per cent
grows at the rate of 4 per cent and tariff grows at the rate of 2 per cent
grows at the rate of 3 per cent per year and tariff remains at the level
grows at the rate of 4 per cent per year and tariff remains at the level
I ndusi."ial Sector
9. Sectoral GOP grows at the rate of ]0 per cent and tariff grows at the rate of 2 per
cent per year.
10. Sectoral GOP grows at the rate of 12 per cent and tariff grows at the rate of 2 per
cent per year.
II. Sectoral GOP grows at the rate of 10 per cent pcr year and tariff remains at the level
of 2001-02.
279
Annexures
12. Sectoral GOP grows at the rate of 12 per cent per year and tariff remains at the level
of 200 1-02.
Commercial Sector
13. Sectoral GOP
cent per year.
14. Sectoral GOP
cent per year.
15. Sectoral GOP
of2001-02.
16. Sectoral GOP
of 2001-02.
grows at the rate of 10 per cent and tariff grows at the rate of 2 per
grows at the rate of 12 per cent and tariff grows at the rate of 2 per
grows at the rate of 10 per cent per year and tariff remains at the level
grows at the rate of 12 per cent per year and tariff remains at the level
CONCLUSION
Based on the model, aggregate electricity is estimated to increase by 6.41 'X
compounded annual growth rate between 2005-06 to 2021-22 when per capita income
grows at the rate of 7.5 per cent per year assuming the tariff rate and electricity intensity
at the level of 2001-02 and 2003-04 respectively. The empirical results indicate that thc
electricity demand growth mainly rcllects thc changing expectations of per capita GOP
growth, structural changes, and efficiency improvcment. The main conelusions of thc
cconolnetric Inodcl forecasting are:
(i)
(ii)
(iii)
(iv)
(v)
Annexures
There exists a stable long-run relationship among the variables in the model over
the sample period. As expected, the relationship among variables is more stable
and significant.
The demand elasticity of per capita GDP is estimated at about 1.356. Price and
income (per capita GOP) are important in the electricity demand function. The
structural changes in Indian economy have significant impact on elcctricity
demand, particularly in the period of rapid economic adjustments.
The electricity demand growth rates are projected to be about 6.41 % CAGR
between 2005-06 to 2021-22 when per capita income grows at the rate of 7.5 per
cent per year while assuming the tariff rate and electricity intensity arc at the
level of2001-02 and 2003-04 respectively.
The forecast using the econometric model might have been affected for nonaccounting of industrial consumption of electricity out of captive generation by
the industries which has signillcam contribution to GOP growth, resulting into
lower forecast for the later part of 11th Plan period and onwards.
A comparative statement giving gaps and reasons for the gaps between the three
scts of forecast of electricity demand is enclosed at Annexure-VI.
280
Table No,V A
FORECAST OF ALL INDIA ELECTRICITY CONSUMPTION AT AGGREGATE LEVEL
Figures in GWh
SCENARIO
10
11
12
402896.3
407045.2
411393.5
415950.9
420727.4
425733.6
430980.4
436479.5
442243.0
448283.5
454614.5
461249.8
468204.1
475492.8
483131.9
4911383
499529.6
407555.4
413189.7
419173.0
425527.0
432274 .6
439440.1
447049.6
455130.4
463711.7
472824.7
482502.1
492779.0
503692.6
515282.1
527589.6
540659.5
554539.0
409961.3
416393.8
423269.6
430619.1
438475.0
446872.1
455847.8
465441.9
475697.0
486658.7
498375.7
510900.0
524287.1
538596.7
553892.1
570241.4
587717.2
403264.8
407560.5
412069.1
416801.3
421767.9
426980.8
432452,0
4381945
444221.5
450547.4
457186.7
464155.2
471469.0
479145.4
487202.3
495658.5
504533.9
407943.8
413740.1
419904.1
426459.3
433430.5
440844.0
448727.9
457112.2
466028.4
475510.4
485594.1
496317.7
507721.7
519849.4,
532746.6
546462.3
561048.2
410359.9
416962.4
424029.9
431595.0
439692.8
448360.9
457639.4
467571.2
478202.5
489582.3
501763.6
514802.6
528759.8
543699.9
559692.0
576810.3
595134.0
413522.0
421760.0
430698.2
440396.2
450918.4
462335.0
474721.9
4881617
502743.9
518565.4
535731.7
554357.1
574565.6
596491 .8
620281.5
646093.3
674099.0
418754.8
428904.2
440062.0
452328.4
465813.6
480638.5
496936.3
514853.3
534550.5
556204.6
580010.2
606180.9
634951.7
666581.1
701352.9
739579.4
781603.8
520117.0
542618.0
567606.7
595358.2
626178.0
660405.1
698416.5
740630.4
787511.5
839575.8
897396.4
961609.7
1032922.0
1112119.0
1200073.0
1297750.0
1406227.0
411933.8
419890.0
428510.2
437849.8
447968.8
458932.4
470810.9
483680.8
497624.7
512732.4
529100.8
546835.4
566049.9
586868.1
60Q4t,;,
417080.8
426907.1
437694.4
449536.6
462536.9
476808.5
4924758
509675.2
528556.6
549284.5
572039.4
597019.6
624442.6
6545474
419738.6
430566.3
442530.7
455751.1
470359.4
486501.3
5043m]
524046.81
545824.9
YEAR
tv
ox
200506
200607
200708
200809
200910
201011
2011-12
201213
201314
201415
201516
201617
201718
201819
201920
202021
202122
)"
l",,"
633861.5
660338.9
56988931
596480.01
625862.2 :
658329.01
694204.1 [,
a ',I 733845.61
"7\9
~)d,'- ''''.~i
723877.11 777648.61
76370591 826050.1!
J'
('
17th Electric
Power SLiNey
'~
Table V - B
ALL INDIA SECTORAL ESTIMATION OF CONSUMPTION OF ELECTRICITY
-
DEPENDANT
VARIABLE
INDEPENDENT VARIABLES
INTERCEPT
Ln(Sectoral
GDP)
Ln
(Sectoral
price)
Adj. R
F- Stat
Ln (QA)
Ln (QC)
-3.617(-1.23)
1.29(5.35)*
-0.40(-5.11)*
0.81
19.64
-11.86(-0.95)
1.55(1.91)***
0.72(0.88)
0.16
1.87
Ln (QI)
8.44(18.08)'
-5.73(-4.87)*
0.32(6.23)*
1.18(11.28)*
-0.12(-1.23)
0.9
42.85
0.08(1.08)
0.98
201
Ln (QD)
Table V-C
ALL INDIA PARAMETER ESTIMATES FOR PUBLIC LIGHTING,
RAILWAYS & WATER SUPPLY SECTORS
DEPENDANT
VARIABLE
INDEPENDENT VARIABLES
INTERCEPT
Ln (QR)
Ln (QP)
Ln (QW)
Adj. R2
F- Stat
TREND
8.51(406)*
0.055(16.19)*
0.97
262
7.43(368)*
0.077(23.67)*
0.059(19.51)*
0.98
560
381
8.35(442)*
0.98
Annexures
2R2
._'~~rc
>
..
A ul honly
.
enlra lEI eClncl1y
Table V - 0
FORECAST OF ALL INDIA ELECTRICITY CONSUMPTION IN
DOMESTIC SECTOR
Figures in GWh
SCENARIO
2
1
3
4
YEAR
2005-06
116353.04
121548.29
115639.56
120802.95
134822.61
126680.47
133789.97
2006-07
127658.24
2007-08
149546.63
138775.53
148173.18
140061.87
165878.65
152025.39
164102.66
2008-09
153670.69
2009-10
168601.77
183994.30
166540.31
181744.65
204088.37
182441.07
201283.26
2010-11
184983.60
226376.91
222922.38
2011-12
202957.13
199859.99
246887.84
2012-13
222677.02
251099.59
218942.01
273429.72
2013-14
244312.96
278522.24
239845.92
308939.72
262745.68
302825.01
2014-15
268051.10
342679.11
287831.83
335380.46
2015-16
294095.71
371435.82
2016-17
322670.89
380103.18
315313.13
421614.35
345418.26
411367.33
2017-18
354022.51
378397.74
455591.72
2018-19
388420.35
467658.96
2019-20
518732.11
414526.00
504570.48
426160.38
575382.98
454103.67
558814.75
2020-21
467567.34
638220.70
497460.10
618890.60
2021-22
512997.51
2R3
Annexurcs
CentralElectricityAuthorityc""~f;
Table V - E
FORECAST OF ALL INDIA ELECTRICITY CONSUMPTION IN
AGRICULTURE SECTOR
Figures in GWh
2/
SCENARIO
1
4
3
YEAR
2005-06
93948.47
98741.0S
97011.27 --, 101960.07
100774.01
2006-07
96812.97
103025.20
107240.41
2007-08
99764.8
107495.24
104682.69
112794.21
2008-09
112159.23
108742.99
102806.63
118635.63
2009-10
105941.21
117025.58
112960.76
124779.57
109171,36
2010-11
122103.07
117342.13
131241.70
.
2011-12
112500.00
127400.86
121893.44
138038.49
2012-13
115930.13
132928.52
126621 .28
145187.27
2013-14
119464.84
131532.49
138696.00
152706.27
2014-15
123107.33
144713.73
136634.20
160614.68
2015-16
126860.88
150992.55
141933.78
168932.64
14742,8.92
2016-17
130728.87
157543.79
177681.38
2017-18
134714.80
164379.28
153157.58
18688320
171511.35
2018-19
138822.26
159098.05
196561.57
2019-20
178952.86
165268.93
206741.17
143054.96
2020-21
171679.16
147416.71
186717.25
217447.94
2021-22
151911.45
194818.51
178338.02
228709.21
c ___
Annexures
284
._
4
~
Table V - F
FORECAST OF ALL INDIA ELECTRICITY CONSUMPTION IN
INDUSTRIAL SECTOR
Figures,--'in GWh
SCENARIO
1
2
4
3
YEAR
2005-06
122129.71
124911.79
123326.75
126136.10
129099.87
127055.38
130683.49
2006-07
125515.73
2007-08
128995.63
133428.36
130896.75
135394.82
137901.98
134854.26
140275.99
2008-09
132572.00
2009-10
136247.53
142525.59
138931.41
145333.15
2010-11
147304.23
143131.84
150572.62
140024.96
2011-12
143907.13
152243.08
147459.26
156000.98
2012-13
147896.92
157347.53
151917.51
161625.04
2013-14
151997.33
162623.12
156510.55
167451.85
2014-15
156211.42
168075.59
161242.46
173488.74
173710.87
166117.44
179743.26
2015-16
160542.35
171139.80
2016-17
164993.35
179535.09
186223.26
2017-18
169567.75
185554.59
176314.00
192936.88
191775.92
181644.64
199892.53
2018-19
174268.98
2019-20
179100.55
198205.83
187136.45
207098.95
2020-21
184066.08
204851.33
192794.30
214565.16
2021-22
189169.27
211719.63
198623.20
222300.55
285
Annex urcs
~tf'
,~.
Table V - G
FORECAST OF ALL INDIA ELECTRICITY CONSUMPTION IN
COMMERCIAL SECTOR
Figures in GWh
2
4
SCENARIO
1
3
YEAR
94679.69
79985.77
2005-06
84666.68
89445.20
114488.67
2006-07
99559.36
92727.25
106632.06
2007-08
117071.63
138442.09
107498.41
127121.36
2008-09
137664.26
167407.06
124622.58
151547.68
202432.12
144474.57
2009-10
161879.10
180667.51
2010-11
190353.27
244785.15
167488.92
2153820.70
2011-12
223835.98
295999.32
194169.38
256768.39
2012-13
263208.23
357928.56
225099.96
306106.34
2013-14
309505.97
432814.70
260957.69
364924.54
302527.44
2014-15
363947.37
523368.57
435044.65
2015-16
427964.90
632868.22
350719.12
518638.30
2016-17
503242.96
765277.47
406587.59
618294.44
2017-18
591762.27
925389.51
471355.73
737099.46
2018-19
695851.93
1119000.34
546441 .24
878732.82
2019-20
818250.73
1353118.59
633487.63
1047580.98
2020-21
962179.20
1636219.28
734400.25
1248873.24
2021-22
1131424.36
1978550.54
851387.93
1488843.72
Anncxures
286
"
ll~'
,~
TABLE V - H
FORECAST OF ALL INDIA ELECTRICITY CONSUMPTION IN PUBLIC
LIGHTING, WATER SECTOR & RAILWAYS
Figures in GWh
YEAR
2005-06
2006-07
2007-08
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11
2011-12
2012-13
2013-14
2014-15
2015-16
2016-17
2017-18
2018-19
2019-20
2020-21
2021-22
PUBLIC LIGHTING
4932.292
5326.246
5751.667
6211.067
6707.161
7242.879
7821.386
8446.099
9120.711
9849.205
10635.886
11485.401
12402.769
13393.409
14463.174
15618.385
16865.864
WATER SECTOR
9668.002
10258.655
10885.392
11550.419
12256.075
13004.842
13799.353
14642.404
15536.96
16486.168
17493.366
18562.097
19696.121
20899.427
22176.246
23531.071
24968.667
287
RAILWAYS
10687.841
11287.385
11920.561
12589.256
13295.461
14041.282
14828.941
15660.783
16539.289
17467.076
18446.907
19481.703
20574.547
21728.695
22947.585
24234.851
25594.327
Anncxures
PEUM/SCM-U
NU
EPS (U+NU)
IEP'
Energy
GWh
COMPONENT
GWh
GWh
GWh
Shortage
GWh
2006-07
697961
80000
12011-12
968659
b016-17
1
2003-04
Shortage
compensated
IEP($)
GWh
5
592000
6
40000
777961
712000
68000
780000
110000
1078659
1026000
1026000
1392066
130000
1522066
1425000
1425000
1914.508
140000
2054508
1980000
1980000
7=5+6
8=(4-7)*100/(4)
632000
-0.26
4.88
,-----
6,38
1'2021-22
---.---.-
.--.-.--."-
---- ..--
3.63
U = Utilities:
NU = Non Utilities
The percentage gap bet::,'een the results of above two planning excercises
of two different methodoloqies
based on different sets of assumptions.
b")
',--'Ii'_'"
<'f,:-~foptfon
..
Year
I
PEUM/SCM-U
..
OF FORECASTS OF ALL INDIA ELECTRICAL ENERGY REQUIREMENT USING PARTIAL END USE METHODI
SHORTAGE COMPENSATION METHOD(PEUM/SCM) AND ECONOMETRIC MODEL(EM)
NU COMPONENT
EPS (U+NU)
EM'
EM ( U+NU)
GWh
GWh
GWh
GWh
Gap (EPS-EM)
(U+NU)
GWh
,
,2
1, ,
(%)
7=( 4-6)*100/(4)
697961
80000
777961
756473
836473
-7.52
i20i
-- 'i -12 i
968659
110000
-
1078659
895062
1005062
6.82
12016-17 !
'-----
1392066
130000
1522066
1180759
1310759
13.88
2021-22
1914508
140000
2054508
1690380
1830380
10.91
f2006-07
Reason(s)
NU ~ Non Utilities
for gaps between EPS and EM forecasts
The Time series data of electricity consumption iJsed for establishing correlation for econometric model die! flot include consuniptlon
industries out of captive generation
in
therefore. leading to lower forecast in respect of year 2011-12 and onwards. The indices hal,'e been
considered for the period when the electricity grmvth as well as the GOP growth were low
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