Escolar Documentos
Profissional Documentos
Cultura Documentos
2011
2012
4,500
6,860
Revenue Growth
52.4%
Production Costs
Fixed Production Expense (excl depreciation)
Variable Production Costs
Depreciation
Total Production Costs
575
575
2,035
3,404
152
152
2,762
4,131
1,250
1,155
1,735
1,250
3,917
5,866
583
994
3.0%
3.0%
59.2x
59.2x
7.7x
8.3x
30.8x
30.9x
1,470
952
152
2010
2011
2012
Operating Profit
(1,250)
800.00
(800.00)
(1250.00)
(1250.00)
0.00
(800.00)
(1470.00)
(3520.00)
(3520.00)
18956.34
8.40%
135.00
76.05
359.66
127.35
443.37
356.63
205.80
115.94
500.12
189.84
632.02
(188.65)
582.80
(233.12)
349.68
152.20
356.63
(952.20)
500.00
406.31
994.00
(397.60)
596.40
152.20
(188.65)
(152.20)
406.31
407.75
407.75
$7,783
3.2
27%
5.84 Years
NPV
9%
10%
11%
12%
13%
14%
15%
16%
17%
18%
19%
20%
21%
22%
23%
24%
25%
26%
27%
28%
29%
30%
31%
7282
6507
5800
5155
4565
4026
3531
3078
2662
2280
1928
1604
1306
1030
776
540
322
120
-67
-241
-402
-553
-693
(3520.00)
(3113.69)
(2705.94)
(1867.95)
(1258.74)
(601.34)
108.69
875.43
1703.47
2597.76
3563.58
8000
7000
6000
5000
4000
3000
2000
1000
0
-1000
9%
-2000
4000.00
3000.00
2000.00
1000.00
0.00
2010
(1000.00)
(2000.00)
(3000.00)
(4000.00)
2011
800.00
(800.00)
443.37
356.63
-3520 406.31369
9%
1155.272053
1.328202288
15%
8.816289405
Rate
NPV
5%
6%
7%
8%
9%
10%
11%
12%
13%
14%
15%
16%
17%
18%
19%
20%
21%
22%
23%
24%
$2,327
$1,998
$1,695
$1,415
$1,155
$915
$692
$485
$292
$113
-$54
-$210
-$355
-$491
-$619
-$738
-$850
-$955
-$1,054
-$1,147
632.02
(188.65)
407.7463
Expansion
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
8,409
9,082
9,808
10,593
11,440
12,355
13,344
22.6%
8.0%
8.0%
8.0%
8.0%
8.0%
8.0%
587
598
610
622
635
648
660
4,291
4,669
5,078
5,521
6,000
6,519
7,079
152
152
164
178
192
207
224
5,029
5,419
5,853
6,321
6,827
7,373
7,963
2,102
2,270
2,452
2,648
2,860
3,089
3,336
7,132
7,690
8,305
8,969
9,687
10,462
11,299
1,277
1,392
1,503
1,623
1,753
1,893
2,045
3.0%
3.0%
3.0%
3.0%
3.0%
3.0%
3.0%
59.2x
59.2x
59.2x
59.2x
59.2x
59.2x
59.2x
12.7x
12.7x
12.7x
12.7x
12.7x
12.7x
12.7x
31.0x
31.0x
31.0x
31.0x
31.0x
31.0x
31.0x
152
334
361
389
421
454
491
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
252.26
142.11
396.01
229.97
560.41
71.61
272.45
153.48
426.72
247.97
604.68
(44.27)
294.24
165.76
460.86
267.81
653.04
(48.37)
317.78
179.02
497.72
289.24
705.29
(52.24)
343.20
193.34
537.54
312.38
761.71
(56.42)
370.66
208.81
580.56
337.37
822.65
(60.94)
400.31
225.51
626.99
364.36
888.46
(65.81)
1277.30
(510.92)
766.38
152.20
71.61
(152.20)
1391.80
(556.72)
835.08
152.20
(44.27)
(333.80)
1503.10
(601.24)
901.86
164.40
(48.37)
(360.50)
1623.46
(649.38)
974.08
177.50
(52.24)
(389.30)
1753.27
(701.31)
1051.96
191.70
(56.42)
(420.50)
1893.30
(757.32)
1135.98
207.10
(60.94)
(454.10)
2045.00
(818.00)
1227.00
223.60
(65.81)
(490.50)
837.99
609.21
657.39
710.03
766.74
828.04
894.29
837.99
609.21
657.39
710.03
766.74
828.04
894.29
NPV
11% 12% 13% 14% 15% 16% 17% 18% 19% 20% 21% 22% 23% 24% 25% 26% 27% 28% 29% 30% 31%
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
560.41
71.61
604.68
(44.27)
653.04
(48.37)
705.29
(52.24)
761.71
(56.42)
822.65
(60.94)
888.46
(65.81)
828.0394002 894.29067
NPV
$3,000
$2,500
$2,000
$1,500
$1,000
$500
$0
-$500
-$1,000
-$1,500
5%
6%
7%
8%
9%
10%
11%
12%
13%
14%
15%
16%
2020
14,411
8.0%
674
7,685
242
8,600
3,603
12,203
2,209
3.0%
59.2x
12.7x
31.0x
530
2020
432.34
243.56
677.16
393.51
959.54
(71.08)
2208.50
(883.40)
1325.10
241.50
(71.08)
(529.70)
965.82
15392.76
16358.58
NPV
31%
0.00
888.46
1854.281381
NPV
16%
17%
18%
19%
20%
21%
22%
23%
24%
2011
2012
6,000
1,650
2,250
Revenue
Revenue Growth
Production Costs
Development Costs
435
Depreciation
Total Production Costs
310
435
4,210
1,201
1,240
1,201
435
5,450
(1,201)
(435)
Operating Profit
550
3.0%
59.2x
12.2x
33.7x
Capital Expenditures
4,610
310
2010
2011
2012
0.00
1000.00
(1000.00)
180.00
101.40
345.62
161.86
465.17
534.83
(1201.00)
(435.00)
(1201.00)
(435.00)
(4610.00)
(5811.00)
(1000.00)
480.40
0.00
(954.60)
550.30
(220.12)
330.18
309.70
534.83
174.00
(309.70)
1039.01
(954.60)
1039.01
(5811.00)
25530.54
DISCOUNT RATE
9%
21%
22%
23%
24%
25%
26%
27%
28%
29%
30%
31%
Cash Flow vs TIME
Years
Net Cash Flow
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
8187.48
2.41
20%
8.49
8187
7050
6015
5072
4214
3430
2715
2061
1463
915
413
48
471
859
1217
1546
1849
2129
2387
2625
2845
3049
3237
10000
8000
6000
4000
2000
0
9%
10%
11%
12%
13%
2000
4000
4000
5811
6766
5727
5273
5930
4740
3480
2145
730
2000
0
2010
2000
2011
2012
14%
2000
2019
2020
770
2360
4000
6000
-5811
0.09
-754.4894272
0.870161861
7%
8.486650881
$1,025
$520
$58
-$366
-$754
-$1,112
-$1,441
-$1,743
-$2,022
-$2,280
-$2,518
-$2,738
-$2,941
-$3,130
-$3,304
-$3,467
-$3,617
-$3,757
-$3,888
-$4,009
1000 465.1705
-1000 534.8295
-954.6 1039.01
NPV Project 2
1025
520
58
-366
-754
-1112
-1441
-1743
-2022
-2280
-2518
-2738
-2941
-3130
-3304
-3467
-3617
-3757
-3888
-4009
2327
1998
1695
1415
1155
915
692
485
292
113
-54
-210
-355
-491
-619
-738
-850
-955
-1054
-1147
4000
3000
2000
1000
-1000
-2000
-3000
-4000
-5000
-6000
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
14,360
20,222
21,435
22,721
24,084
25,529
27,061
28,685
139.3%
40.8%
6.0%
6.0%
6.0%
6.0%
6.0%
6.0%
1,683
1,717
1,751
1,786
1,822
1,858
1,895
1,933
7,651
11,427
12,182
12,983
13,833
14,736
15,694
16,712
310
310
436
462
490
520
551
584
9,644
13,454
14,369
15,231
16,145
17,113
18,140
19,229
2,922
4,044
4,287
4,544
4,817
5,106
5,412
5,737
12,566
17,498
18,656
19,775
20,962
22,219
23,553
24,966
1,794
2,724
2,779
2,946
3,123
3,310
3,509
3,719
3.0%
3.0%
3.0%
3.0%
3.0%
3.0%
3.0%
3.0%
59.2x
59.2x
59.2x
59.2x
59.2x
59.2x
59.2x
59.2x
12.3x
12.6x
12.7x
12.7x
12.7x
12.7x
12.7x
12.7x
33.8x
33.9x
33.9x
33.9x
33.9x
33.9x
33.9x
33.9x
310
2,192
826
875
928
983
1,043
1,105
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
430.80
242.69
785.96
371.77
1087.68
(622.51)
811.83
457.34
1426.12
693.95
2001.36
(113.29)
860.54
484.78
1511.70
735.58
2121.44
(120.09)
3719.00
(1487.60)
2231.40
583.80
(120.09)
(309.70) (2191.50)
454.07
(657.96)
(1105.00)
1590.11
23170.24
24760.36
454.07
606.65
341.75
1065.21
515.55
1498.06
(410.38)
(657.96)
643.04
362.26
1129.61
549.66
1585.25
(87.19)
681.63
383.99
1197.41
582.65
1680.38
(95.12)
722.53
407.03
1269.25
617.61
1781.20
(100.82)
765.88
431.46
1345.39
654.66
1888.07
(106.87)
(825.70)
1190.83
(875.30)
1259.46
(927.80)
1335.04
(983.40) (1042.50)
1415.29 1500.05
1190.83
1259.46
1335.04
1415.29
1500.05
NPV
14%
15%
16%
17%
18%
19%
20%
21%
22%
23%
24%
25%
26%
27%
28%
29%
30%
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
NPV
$2,000
$1,000
$0
5%
-$1,000
-$2,000
-$3,000
-$4,000
-$5,000
6%
7%
8%
9%
6%
7%
8%
9%
10%
11%
12%
13%
14%
15%
16%
17%
18%
Rate
NPV
30%
31%
9%
10%
11%
12%
13%
14%
15%
16%
17%
18%
19%
20%
21%
22%
23%
24%
25%
26%
27%
28%
29%
30%
31%
NPV
7282.045
6506.988
5800.219
5154.991
4565.283
4025.717
3531.487
3078.287
2662.261
2279.949
1928.244
1604.354
1305.767
1030.218
775.6679
540.275
322.3759
120.467
-66.813
-240.697
-402.302
-552.643
-692.642
8187.478
7049.649
6014.717
5072.432
4213.651
3430.209
2714.812
2060.928
1462.711 10000
914.9173
412.84
-47.7487 8000
-470.651
-859.29
-1216.75 6000
-1545.81
-1848.98
4000
-2128.53
-2386.52
-2624.79
2000
-2845.03
-3048.76
-3237.38
0
9%
-2000
-4000
2020
Net Cash Flow
10%
11%
12%
13%
14%
15%
NPV
t terminal value)
18%
19%
20%
21%
22%
23%
24%
Project 1
Project 2
Sensitivity Chart
15%
16%
17%
18%
19%
20%
21%
22%
23%
24%
25%
26%
27%
28%
29%
30%
Project 1
Project 2
30%
31%
Q3a
Briefly present the business cases for each project. Which one is the most compelling and why?
Q3b
How do the capital budgeting metrics you calculated in Q1 and Q2 influence Emily's deliberations?
Which project creates more value for Heritage Doll Company?
Q3c
Does Emily need additional information to complete her analysis, and if so,
what questions should she put to the sponsors of each prioject.
Q3d
As Emily, using the information you have and your professional judgment, make the recommendation and justify it.
eliberations?