PRODUKSI PADI

Th
Produksi Padi (ku)
1993
10,820,862
1994
9,860,375
1995
10,722,717
1996
10,747,659
1997
10,352,650
1998
9,795,638
1999
9,993,014
2000
10,749,868
2001
9,237,593
2002
9,166,872
2003
8,776,889
2004
9,602,302
2005
9,787,217
2006
9,418,572
2007
9,914,019
2008
10,111,069
2009
10,620,613

Curah Hujan (mm)

1896
1896
1903
1987
1484
2819
1860
1870
2458
1650
1755
1816
2658
2658
2527
1733
1162

Lama Penyinaran (jam)

3351
3351
3022
3170
3333
2760
2896
2867
2878
3320
3776
3584
3352
3164
2791
3062
2389

Hasil Perhitungan dari Data Analysis: Regression

Variabel Y: Produksi Padi, Variabel X: Curah Hujan (mm)

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R
0.306109443
R Square
0.093702991
Adjusted R Square
0.03328319
Standard Error
612775.8094
Observations
17

ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

1
15
16

SS
MS
F
Significance F
5.82341E+11 5.82E+11 1.550866
0.232111196
5.63241E+12 3.75E+11
6.21475E+12

Untuk mengetahui apakah F hitung signifikan atau non signifikan, bandingkan dengan F tabel.
F tabel didapat dari fungsi "=finv(probabilitas; derajat bebas regression; derajat bebas residual)
Sebagai contoh, ada di sheet berikutnya (Hasil Perhitungan)

Intercept

Coefficients
Standard Error
t Stat
P-value
10818263.32
688506.2791 15.71266 1.01E-10

Lower 95%
Upper 95%
9350746.935 12285779.71

Curah Hujan (mm)

-416.9927841

334.8431794

-1.24534 0.232111

Persamaan regresi sederhana didapat dari persamaan Y=b0+b1x

-1130.694123 296.7085551

Hasil Perhitungan dari Data Analysis: Regression

Variabel Y: Produksi Padi, Variabel X: Lama Penyinaran (jam)
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R
0.409573205
R Square
0.16775021
Adjusted R Square
0.112266891
Standard Error
587209.6527
Observations
17
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

Intercept
Lama Penyinaran (jam)

1
15
16

SS
MS
F
Significance F
1.04253E+12 1.04E+12 3.023435
0.102545089
5.17223E+12 3.45E+11
6.21475E+12

Coefficients Standard Error

t Stat
P-value
12321848.07
1353722.37 9.102197
1.7E-07
-749.908253
431.278506
-1.7388 0.102545

Lower 95% Upper 95%

9436457.153 15207239
-1669.156624 169.3401

Upper 95%

Hasil Perhitungan dari Data Analysis: Regression

Variabel Y: Produksi Padi, Variabel X: Curah Hujan (mm) dan Lama Penyinaran (jam)

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R
0.529058537
R Square
0.279902936
Adjusted R Square
0.177031927
Standard Error
565383.9436
Observations
17
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

Intercept
Curah Hujan (mm)
Lama Penyinaran (jam)

2
14
16

SS
1.73953E+12
4.47523E+12
6.21475E+12

MS
F
Significance F
8.7E+11 2.720912
0.100400825
3.2E+11

Coefficients Standard Error

t Stat
P-value
13371074.96
1484504.299 9.007097 3.36E-07
-457.2712684
309.670974 -1.47664 0.161911
-791.9240926
416.2222416 -1.90265 0.077858

Lower 95%
10187129.91
-1121.449449
-1684.632013

Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%

16555020 10187129.91
16555020
206.9069121 -1121.449449 206.9069121
100.7838276 -1684.632013 100.7838276

Ringkasan Hasil Perhitungan

Regresi Linear Sederhana
Curah Hujan:
Y = 10818263.32 - 416.99X
r = 0.306
r = 0.094

ANOVA

Lama Penyinaran:
Y = 12321848.07 - 749.91X
r = 0.410
r = 0.168

ANOVA

df
1
15
16

SS
MS
F hit
5.82E+11 5.82E+11 1.550866
5.63E+12 3.75E+11
6.21E+12
* = signifikan
ns = non signifikan

Regresi
Sisa
Total

df
1
15
16

SS
MS
F hit
1.04E+12 1.04E+12 3.023435
5.17E+12 3.45E+11
6.21E+12
* = signifikan
ns = non signifikan

Regresi Berganda
ANOVA
Y = 13371074.96 - 457.27X1 - 791.92X2
X1: curah hujan
Regresi
X2: lama penyinaran
X1/X2
X2/X1
r = 0.529
Sisa
r = 0.280
Total

df
2
1
1
14
16

SS
MS
F hit
1.74E+12 8.7E+11 2.720912
6.97E+11 6.97E+11 2.180453
1.16E+12 1.16E+12 3.620066
4.48E+12 3.2E+11
6.21E+12
* = signifikan
ns = non signifikan

Regresi
Sisa
Total

ns

ns

ns
ns
ns

F0.05
4.543077

F0.05
4.543077

F0.05
3.738892
4.60011
4.60011