Escolar Documentos
Profissional Documentos
Cultura Documentos
Intellisys
16 August 2012
Contents
Introduction...................................................................................................................... 3
Aerospace & Defence ........................................................................................................ 4
Automobiles & Parts .......................................................................................................... 4
Banks ............................................................................................................................... 4
Beverages ........................................................................................................................ 4
Chemicals ......................................................................................................................... 4
Construction & Building Materials ....................................................................................... 5
Electronics & Electrical Equipment ...................................................................................... 5
Engineering & Machinery ................................................................................................... 5
Food & Drug Stores ........................................................................................................... 5
Food Producers & Processors ............................................................................................. 6
General Retail ................................................................................................................... 6
Health .............................................................................................................................. 6
Household Goods & Textiles .............................................................................................. 6
Information Technology & Hardware .................................................................................. 6
Insurance ......................................................................................................................... 7
Leisure & Hotels................................................................................................................ 7
Life Assurance .................................................................................................................. 7
Media & Entertainment ...................................................................................................... 7
Mining .............................................................................................................................. 8
Oil & Gas .......................................................................................................................... 8
Personal Care & Household Products .................................................................................. 8
Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology ....................................................................................... 8
Real Estate ....................................................................................................................... 9
Software & Computer Services ........................................................................................... 9
Speciality & Other Finance ................................................................................................. 9
Support Services ............................................................................................................. 10
Telecommunication Services ............................................................................................ 10
Transport ....................................................................................................................... 10
Utilities ........................................................................................................................... 11
DISCLAIMER ................................................................................................................... 12
RISK WARNING .............................................................................................................. 13
www.intellisys.uk.com
Page 2 of 13
Intellisys
16 August 2012
Introduction
The overriding purpose of this daily report is to provide users with a quick guide that will
identify those shares that merit their investment attention in an increasingly time critical and
information noisy trading environment.
The report is published daily and delivered to the subscribers personal email box, typically,
before the official open of the London Stock Markets.
Intellisys has invested considerably in identifying what it believes are the key factors that
influence investment timing. Having identified the key parameters, these have been
established as rules that reflect market dynamics and cut through the daily investment noise.
From an analysis of a years data for 40 stocks within Intellisys stock coverage, the trading
indicators appear to be, on average, about 77% accurate in identifying good trading points as
well as some 74% accurate for overall trend correlation.
The following chart provides an indication the accuracy scores for each of the 40 stocks
analysed.
Individual Stock Rating & Trend Accuracy Scores
120.0%
120.0%
110.0%
110.0%
100.0%
100.0%
90.0%
90.0%
80.0%
80.0%
70.0%
70.0%
60.0%
60.0%
50.0%
50.0%
40.0%
40.0%
30.0%
30.0%
20.0%
20.0%
1
9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40
Best Buy/Sell
Trend
Source: Intellisys
However, like all trading and investment systems active position monitoring is critical for
maximised investment performance.
Therefore, Intellisys recommend that its products should be used in conjunction with, and not
separate from, a subscribers existing trading system as well discussing investment options
with their chosen financial advisers.
www.intellisys.uk.com
Page 3 of 13
Intellisys
16 August 2012
Price
318.8
307
220.9
406.9
860.5
1044
1516
12M Lo
251.4
267.3
165.9
305
558.24
869.5
1305
12M Hi
333
560
239.5
413.5
890
1113
1780
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
0.684
0.560
0.873
1.332
1.085
0.706
0.574
Price
218.2
385.3
68.5
14.75
12M Lo
157
268.6
48
6.8
12M Hi
235.5
418.2
68.5
16.25
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
1.949
1.438
1.295
1.124
Price
183.1
562.2
31.96
221.6
1426.5
12M Lo
138.85
463.5
21.84
173.4
1169.5
12M Hi
256.75
581.7
37.5
291.7
1662.5
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Sell
Neutral
Beta
1.857
1.163
1.840
1.337
1.691
Price
451.1
1708
2808
12M Lo
348
1112
2005
12M Hi
462.3
1737.5
2868.5
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
0.490
0.545
1.007
Price
2445
214
2285
1321
147.8
178
12M Lo
1597
107.5
1522.47
1025
127.4
109
12M Hi
2466
215
2407.16
1516
251
186.5
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
1.052
1.040
1.436
1.149
1.217
0.972
Banks
Stock
BARC LAYS
HSBC HDG. (ORD $0.50)
LLOYDS BANKING GROUP
ROYAL BANK OF SC TL.GP.
STANDARD C HARTERED
Beverages
Stock
BARR (AG)
DIAGEO
SABMILLER
Chemicals
Stock
C RODA INTERNATIONAL
ELEMENTIS
JOHNSON MATTHEY
VIC TREX
YULE C ATTO
ZOTEFOAMS
www.intellisys.uk.com
Page 4 of 13
Intellisys
16 August 2012
Price
296.1
146.6
877.5
1464
486.3
262
43
223.25
638
495
1295
58
81.5
641
682.5
138.3
94.7
50.65
1065
2476
12M Lo
214.6
67.5
540.5
1025
326.5
235.5
35.5
180
383.75
239.25
1095
38
76
510
374
103.5
76.95
28.71
715
1404
12M Hi
311
151.5
877.5
1464
518.5
361.9
79.75
247.5
653
495
1489
72
103.75
725
706.5
138.3
123.2
52.75
1125
2558
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
0.829
1.459
1.057
0.687
1.103
1.105
0.762
0.615
1.036
1.272
1.003
1.096
1.297
0.866
1.141
1.002
1.636
1.528
1.882
1.412
Price
1080
586
121.5
249.6
214
1289
1556
1658
0.1
166.25
252
12M Lo
685
434.3
86.75
180.9
128.5
714
800
1039
0.08
120.5
185
12M Hi
1120
670
149.5
277.5
225.2
1310
1556
1902
0.24
203.5
277
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
0.736
1.178
1.275
1.394
2.122
0.977
1.257
1.441
0.810
1.587
1.106
Price
69
341.8
335
584.5
389
409.9
322
884.5
5.5
262.1
2294
204.5
154
2044
643
1710
12M Lo
62.5
225.6
252.5
395.8
280
306.3
235
636.5
5.13
224
1501
135.6
140
1650
488
1375
12M Hi
98.75
437.1
338.5
747.5
483.7
431.9
345
1022
9.12
360
2322
213
219.5
2334
690
2236
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
1.254
1.562
0.972
2.215
1.454
0.758
1.345
1.377
0.822
1.792
1.015
1.695
1.000
0.847
1.455
1.388
Price
506
285.3
329.6
332.6
23.5
12M Lo
457
263
263.5
297.05
9.5
12M Hi
558
328
329.6
411.25
48.5
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
0.478
0.414
0.665
0.724
0.828
www.intellisys.uk.com
Page 5 of 13
Intellisys
16 August 2012
Price
1294
837
344.2
311.2
66.5
657.5
2274
12M Lo
1020
588.5
290.4
232
32.9
567.5
1922
12M Hi
1295
858
368.9
332.2
180
720.5
2334
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
0.598
0.594
0.885
0.308
1.405
0.618
0.588
Price
23
274.5
1374
612
16.61
3.73
20.88
237.7
3.3
677.5
50.25
285.2
354.3
44.75
215
3605
990
49
12M Lo
16.88
222.4
1092
375
9.36
2.2
19.5
189
3.3
570
38
222
301.8
31.25
127.3
2153
633
21.5
12M Hi
24
291
1586
728.5
19.64
7.39
103
342.3
22.5
874.5
112.9
313.8
389.5
51
379
3605
990
49
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Sell
Neutral
Beta
0.700
0.515
1.332
0.962
1.535
0.927
1.021
0.648
0.847
0.475
1.252
0.958
0.733
1.018
0.439
0.725
0.546
1.290
Price
730
57.63
670
12M Lo
498
35.25
540.5
12M Hi
730
57.63
678.5
ST Rec
Sell
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
0.490
0.675
0.375
Price
635
290
85
12M Lo
405
233.25
70.25
12M Hi
635
306
141.5
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
0.397
0.924
0.737
Price
584
332.9
31
545
87.25
147
222
12M Lo
469
154.1
14.5
296.9
41
105.8
96
12M Hi
645
338.4
35
717
87.75
174
222
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
0.755
1.197
0.782
1.076
1.327
0.973
0.988
General Retail
Stock
ASHLEY(LAURA) HOLDINGS
BROWN (N) GROUP
BURBERRY GROUP
C ARPETRIGHT
DIXONS RETAIL
FINDEL
FRENC H C ONNEC TN.GROUP
HALFORDS GROUP
JJB SPORTS
JD SPORTS FASHION
DARTY
KINGFISHER
MARKS & SPENC ER GROUP
MOSS BROTHERS GROUP
MOTHERC ARE
NEXT
TED BAKER
TOPPS TILES
Health
Stock
C ONSORT MEDIC AL
C ORIN GROUP
SMITH & NEPHEW
www.intellisys.uk.com
Page 6 of 13
Intellisys
16 August 2012
Insurance
Stock
ADMIRAL GROUP
AMLIN
BEAZLEY
C ATLIN GROUP
HISC OX
JARDINE LLOYD THOMPSON
RSA INSURANC E GROUP
NOVAE GROUP
Price
1182
380.2
168.3
455.6
455.2
783.5
114.3
377
12M Lo
787
270.6
109.6
336
340.5
596.5
97.65
285
12M Hi
1548
385
168.3
455.6
457.5
785.5
118.2
384
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
0.573
0.508
0.561
0.333
0.490
0.304
0.450
0.484
Price
2191
57.75
205.3
730
576.5
169.1
1667
484.2
269.4
95
8
121
320
473.4
2140
307.1
112.2
12M Lo
1742
26.5
136.7
621
411.4
114
955
371.2
215.6
93.2
5.61
109.5
263
371.3
1429
183.3
84.6
12M Hi
2369
70
210.2
740
611
181.4
1725
513
280.9
174
12.5
150.9
328.3
473.4
2165
314.6
112.5
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
0.987
1.647
0.972
0.406
0.897
0.959
1.194
1.348
1.045
1.240
1.208
0.890
0.848
0.770
1.008
0.930
1.202
Price
323.4
170.5
131.8
170.3
823
359.5
12M Lo
255.3
155.25
89.8
98.48
509
294
12M Hi
382.6
226
135
170.3
824
375
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Beta
1.291
0.657
1.671
1.623
1.715
0.845
Price
237.5
143
756.5
33.25
478.5
764.5
406
199
85.2
5.75
1209
46
275
29.54
91.88
75.5
41.75
686
104
856
1.21
12M Lo
116.17
91.25
618.5
28.5
343.4
522.5
313.9
157.7
51.65
4.11
1038
36.25
205.87
26.21
76.25
67.5
25.5
416
78.5
578
1.08
12M Hi
237.5
144
766
45.13
478.5
828
451
240.6
89.9
7.9
1294
62.25
377.5
30.81
119.5
95.25
54.25
686
106
880
6.27
ST Rec
Sell
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
1.303
0.422
0.570
0.981
1.048
0.955
1.558
1.423
1.537
1.284
0.655
0.810
0.256
0.536
0.782
1.312
1.410
1.336
0.818
1.299
1.117
Life Assurance
Stock
AVIVA
C HESNARA
LEGAL & GENERAL
OLD MUTUAL
PRUDENTIAL
ST.JAMES'S PLAC E
www.intellisys.uk.com
Page 7 of 13
Intellisys
16 August 2012
Mining
Stock
ANGLO AMERIC AN
ANGLO PAC IFIC GROUP
ANTOFAGASTA
BHP BILLITON
LONMIN
RANDGOLD RESOURC ES
RIO TINTO
UK C OAL
VEDANTA RESOURC ES
XSTRATA
Price
1939.5
262
1092
1936.5
695
6130
3038
5.61
0
926.9
12M Lo
1854
221.25
900.5
1667
662.5
4596
2712.5
5.5
832.5
764
12M Hi
2910
340
1399
2206.5
1313
7565
3988
47
1502
1283
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
1.716
1.011
1.443
1.434
1.947
0.311
1.430
0.903
2.139
1.761
Price
1321
450
297.8
9.34
783
89
138.25
390.2
2263
2346
344.4
1372
826.5
12M Lo
1144
363.2
248.2
8.3
530
87
93
310
1883.5
1890.5
254.9
945.5
469.9
12M Hi
1547
504.6
379.03
12.13
968
209
192.75
449.7
2402
2489
363.8
1601
827
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
0.771
1.064
1.370
0.914
1.272
1.452
1.255
1.390
0.916
0.915
0.532
1.096
1.360
Price
124.75
305
3588
12M Lo
105
285
3100
12M Hi
135.12
374.2
3660
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
0.835
0.721
0.349
Price
3.34
3019
338
478
1484
2.24
6.63
2018
98
24.88
12M Lo
2.54
2591
238
392.5
1242.5
2.16
5.88
1743
31
18.75
12M Hi
4.4
3111.5
423
524.84
1507.5
6.4
9.5
2300
101.5
38.25
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Buy
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
1.022
0.485
0.647
0.276
0.487
0.673
0.927
0.665
0.700
0.836
www.intellisys.uk.com
Page 8 of 13
Intellisys
16 August 2012
Real Estate
Stock
BIG YELLOW GROUP
BRITISH LAND
C APITAL & REGIONAL
C LS HOLDINGS
DERWENT LONDON
DEVELOPMENT SEC S.
GRAINGER
GREAT PORTLAND ESTATES
HAMMERSON
HELIC AL BAR
LAND SEC URITIES GROUP
C APITAL SHOPC TS.GROUP
MC KAY SEC URITIES
MUC KLOW (A & J) GROUP
QUINTAIN ESTATES & DEV.
SAVILLS
SHAFTESBURY
SEGRO
ST MODWEN PROPS.
TOWN C ENTRE SEC URITIES
UNITE GROUP
WARNER ESTATE
WORKSPAC E GROUP
Price
308
544
23
715.5
2007
148.25
97.6
429.6
456
202.5
806
330.1
137
363.5
52.5
377.9
537.5
244.8
208
182
216.5
2.38
252
12M Lo
218
444
23
520
1400
121.75
77.3
312.9
345.2
163.5
612
288.7
108.5
280.25
32.5
256.2
445.2
195
103.5
130
152.9
1.75
212.5
12M Hi
330
549.5
38.13
715.5
2021
204.75
116
443.5
474.5
234.25
812
354.2
141
390
53.5
392.9
549
259.5
208
189.5
228
4.13
254
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Beta
1.107
1.025
0.782
0.669
1.189
0.94
1.443
1.036
1.124
0.71
1.133
1.088
0.695
0.472
1.124
0.66
0.982
1.63
1.439
0.962
1.705
1.004
0.991
Price
20.75
125.6
1831
360.5
272.5
19.25
104.8
544.5
210.25
82
1428
302.1
12M Lo
18.25
57.75
1298
292.4
225
16.75
58.95
257.71
154.75
41.5
1394
231.7
12M Hi
27
132.3
1869
461.9
341
22.25
110.9
549
231.75
105
1766
312.4
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
0.690
0.862
1.409
1.042
1.132
0.848
1.144
0.808
0.874
0.523
0.820
0.735
Price
277
152.8
9848
295.5
179.5
785.5
90.6
1
108.7
333.2
286.2
394.9
1009
79.4
1302
1407
1134
12M Lo
167.8
113.7
8800
240
115.63
590
56.05
0.87
90.55
301.1
197.9
310.4
756.5
63.25
977
1166
966
12M Hi
283.8
177
10250
297.5
187
812
90.6
3.22
142
488.6
303.9
441.7
1093
240.1
1373
1650
1309
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
1.105
0.752
0.810
0.954
0.691
0.850
0.892
0.646
1.459
1.053
1.604
1.534
1.145
1.291
0.770
1.340
1.279
www.intellisys.uk.com
Page 9 of 13
Intellisys
16 August 2012
Support Services
Stock
AC AL
AGGREKO
AMEC
ASHTEAD GROUP
BABC OC K INTL.
BRITISH POLYTHENE INDS.
BUNZL
UK MAIL GROUP
C APITA
C OMMUNISIS
C OMPASS GROUP
BERENDSEN
DE LA RUE
DIGNITY
DIPLOMA
ELEC TROC OMP.
FILTRONA
G4S
HAYS
HOMESERVE
INTERSERVE
INTERTEK GROUP
JOHNSON SERVIC E GROUP
MANAGEMENT C NSL.GP.
MENZIES (JOHN)
MIC HAEL PAGE INTL.
MITIE GROUP
MOUC HEL GROUP
OFFIC E2OFFIC E
PAYPOINT
PREMIER FARNELL
REGUS
RENTOKIL INITIAL
REXAM
RIC ARDO
ROBERT WALTERS
RPC GROUP
RPS GROUP
SERC O GROUP
SHANKS GROUP
SPEEDY HIRE
TRIBAL GROUP
TRIFAST
VP
WYG
Price
182.5
2266
1095
267
899.5
380
1110
245
738.5
34.5
711.5
522
1048
920
428.5
224.1
536.5
267
81.4
228.2
335.2
2781
28
23.25
615
372.7
281.3
1.21
154
694
186.5
102
79
441
368.75
188
421.5
237.4
577
81.5
26
88.5
45.88
311.25
42.5
12M Lo
166.25
1522
740.5
99.4
570.5
295
686
192.25
602
23.75
512.5
402.7
772
727
284
182.2
311.7
219.9
58.85
137.5
270.1
1744
25.25
21.25
475
323
208
0.96
124.75
465
144.5
64
58.2
299.8
304.5
158.25
300.5
156.6
458
75.8
18.5
40.5
36.25
191
42
12M Hi
248
2316
1171
272
899.5
392.5
1167
275.25
767
39.75
711.5
540.5
1070
929
460.5
263
540
292.1
92.5
490.3
339.2
2842
32.25
41.25
652
497
296.7
52
166.5
740
228.8
117.5
89.9
442.1
385
264.63
421.5
250
602
116.5
30.5
92.63
49.5
311.25
63
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
0.856
1.102
1.095
1.558
0.454
0.768
0.532
0.289
0.495
0.774
0.697
1.007
#NA
0.185
0.982
1.043
1.105
0.575
1.062
0.908
1.255
0.824
1.079
0.698
1.410
1.397
0.558
0.799
0.425
0.713
1.278
1.417
1.296
0.882
0.813
1.233
0.793
1.545
0.584
1.454
1.259
0.509
0.929
0.895
0.774
Price
217.7
33.52
560
78
830
188.75
12M Lo
161
27.28
389.3
65.6
612
157.5
12M Hi
232.1
45.16
561
79
890
191.25
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
0.900
0.669
0.545
1.268
0.027
0.553
Price
186.3
385
1310
547
243.2
625
1310
218.4
210.25
291.9
47.75
12M Lo
156
282
1015
309.27
187.4
460
1086
180
159.6
230.4
31
12M Hi
218.8
450
1390
572.5
370.2
629.5
1583
252
293
291.9
107.75
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Sell
Beta
1.308
0.993
0.787
0.796
1.022
0.815
0.945
1.356
1.410
0.955
0.890
Telecommunication Services
Stock
BT GROUP
C ABLE & WIRELESS C OMMS.
INMARSAT
KC OM GROUP
TELEC OM PLUS
VODAFONE GROUP
Transport
Stock
BBA AVIATION
BRAEMAR SHIPPING SVS.
C LARKSON
EASYJET
FIRST GROUP
FISHER(JAMES)& SONS
GO-AHEAD GROUP
NATIONAL EXPRESS
NORTHGATE
STAGEC OAC H GROUP
WINC ANTON
www.intellisys.uk.com
Page 10 of 13
Intellisys
16 August 2012
Utilities
Stock
C ENTRIC A
NATIONAL GRID
PENNON GROUP
SSE
SEVERN TRENT
UNITED UTILITIES GROUP
Price
325.7
696.5
764
1332
1770
728
12M Lo
278.8
589.5
623.5
1209
1407
571.5
www.intellisys.uk.com
12M Hi
329.3
699.5
796
1445
1796
728
ST Rec
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Neutral
Beta
0.470
0.526
0.546
0.440
0.351
0.495
Page 11 of 13
Intellisys
16 August 2012
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Intellisys
16 August 2012
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