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Market Outlook

August 23, 2012

Dealers Diary

Domestic Indices

Indian markets are expected to open flat, tracing flattish opening trades in the SGX
Nifty and mixed openings in the Asian indices. Asian stocks gained strength on
speculation that central banks in the US and China will ease monetary policy to
support the worlds biggest economies.

BSE Sensex

(0.2)

Nifty

(0.2)

(8.2)

5,413

MID CAP

(0.2)

(12.7)

6,160

SMALL CAP

Stocks in the US markets moved mostly lower in morning trading on Wednesday


but regained some ground in the afternoon before ending the day mixed. The early
weakness on Wall Street was partly due to some troubling economic news from
overseas, with a report from Japan showing that the country swung to a trade
deficit in July. Stocks subsequently regained some ground following the release of
the minutes of the Federal Reserve's latest monetary policy meeting, which
suggested that the central bank is losing patience with the pace of the fragile U.S.
economic recovery
Indian shares reversed early gains to end slightly lower on Wednesday, weighed
down by weak global cues as disappointing Japanese trade data added to
evidence that the global economy is slowing. Meanwhile host of important
economic indicators are due for release today (US initial jobless claims and new
home sales, Germany PMI manufacturing, Euro zone consumer confidence) which
could provide direction to the markets for the rest of the week.

Chg (%)

(Pts)

(Close)

(38.4) 17,847

(0.2)

(14.9)

6,635

BSE HC

0.4

27.6

7,364

BSE PSU

0.1

8.9

7,160

BANKEX

0.0

5.3 12,026

AUTO

0.2

METAL

(0.1)

OIL & GAS

(0.3)

(23.0)

8,516

0.1

8.2

5,719

(Pts)

(Close)

BSE IT
Global Indices

Dow Jones
NASDAQ

Chg (%)

(0.2)

23.1

9,672

(7.8) 10,429

(30.8) 13,173

0.2

6.4

3,074

FTSE

(1.4)

(83.3)

5,774

Nikkei

(0.3)

(25.2)

9,132

Hang Seng

(1.1) (212.3) 19,888

Straits Times

(0.5)

(16.3)

3,049

Shanghai Com

(0.5)

(10.6)

2,108

Chg (%)

(Pts)

(Close)

0.0

0.0

$43.5

WIT

(0.9)

(0.1)

$8.1

IBN

0.6

0.2

$35.4

HDB

0.9

0.3

$35.3

Markets Today
The trend deciding level for the day is 17,853 / 5,414 levels. If NIFTY trades above
this level during the first half-an-hour of trade then we may witness a further rally
up to 17,906 17,965 / 5,433 5,452 levels. However, if NIFTY trades below
17,853 / 5,414 levels for the first half-an-hour of trade then it may correct up to
17,794 17,741 / 5,394 5,375 levels.
Indices
SENSEX
NIFTY

S2

S1

PIVOT

R1

R2

17,741

17,794

17,853

17,906

17,965

5,375

5,394

5,414

5,433

5,452

News Analysis

Indian ADRs

INFY

Advances / Declines

BSE

NSE

Advances

1297

654

Declines

1,523

790

143

75

Unchanged

Ranbaxy Labs- Withdrawal of drugs


Result Preview- Shree Cement

Refer detailed news analysis on the following page

Volumes (` cr)

Net Inflows (August 21, 2012)

BSE

2,042

NSE

8,899

` cr

Purch

Sales

Net

MTD

YTD

FII

2,253

2,041

212

2,889

58,581

564

598

(33)

(459)

(8,929)

MFs

FII Derivatives (August 22, 2012)


` cr

Purch

Index Futures

1,118

Stock Futures

2,185

Sales

Net

Open Interest

935

184

17,169

2,399

(214)

26,001

Gainers / Losers
Gainers
Price (`)

chg (%)

64

4.5

Opto Circuits

Jet Air India

397

4.4

Reliance Comm

Ranbaxy Lab

535

4.1

Pidilite Inds

187

NMDC

187

Company
Indian Hotels

www.angelbroking.com

Company

Losers
Price (`)

chg (%)

138

(6.4)

54

(4.7)

United Brew-$

546

(4.4)

3.4

Reliance Power

86

(3.9)

3.3

Shree Renuka Sug

32

(3.9)

Market Outlook
August 23, 2012

Ranbaxy Labs- Withdrawal of drugs


With reference to development relating to withdrawal by Ranbaxy of 27 approved
ANDAs in the USA market appearing on US Regulator website, company has
clarified that the certain products with negligible commercial impact should be
withdrawn which according to the company would enable the organization to
focus resources on other applications that are of greater importance and value to
the US business and healthcare system. Further, according to the company, the
aforesaid ANDAs do not pertain to current business and will have a negligible
impact on the Companys business in USA. We recommend a Neutral on the
stock.

Result Preview
Shree Cement (CMP: `3,245 /TP: /Upside :-)
Shree Cement is expected to announce its 5QFY2012 results. We expect the
topline to grow by 33.7% yoy to `1,383cr due to healthy growth in revenues of
both the cement and power divisions. The growth in cement division is expected to
be lead by a double digit growth in volumes as well as improvement in realization.
Power division too is expected to post healthy revenues due to growth in volumes
aided by 300MW of additional power capacity on a yoy basis. OPM is expected to
grow by 95bp yoy to 26%. Net profit is expected to come in at `161cr (vs. `63cr in
1QFY2012). We remain neutral on the stock.
Y/E

Sales

OPM

PAT

EPS

RoE

P/E

P/BV

EV/EBITDA

EV/Tonne*

March

(` cr)

(%)

(` cr)

(`)

(%)

(x)

(x)

(x)

(x)

FY2013E

5,519

24.5

546

157

22.3

20.8

4.2

7.2

105

FY2014E

6,293

23.7

785

225

26.0

14.5

3.4

5.9

Note: * Computed on TTM basis

Economic and Political News

Nearly `6.50 lakh trademarks applications pending with government


Four states may not buy power based on pooled coal price
PM must take responsibility on coal allocation issue: BJP

Corporate News

L&T seeks shareholders' nod to raise up to `3,200cr


Wockhardt gets tentative USFDA nod for anti-psychotic drug
Alstom gets `700cr contract for nuclear power gear
SC to hear Novartis patent case from Sept 11
Sachin Khandelwal quits ICICI to head Magma's home finance biz
Source: Economic Times, Business Standard, Business Line, Financial Express, Mint

www.angelbroking.com

Market Outlook
August 23, 2012

Global economic events release calendar


Date

August 23, 2012

Country

Event Description

Unit

Period

Bloomberg Data
Last Reported

Estimated

US

Initial Jobless claims

Thousands

Aug 18

366.00

365.00

Germany

GDP nsa (YoY)

% Change

2Q F

0.50

0.50

Germany

PMI Services

Value

Aug A

50.30

50.10

Germany

Value

Aug A

43.00

43.40

Value

Aug A

(21.50)

(22.00)

US

PMI Manufacturing
Euro-Zone Consumer
Confidence
New home sales

Thousands

Jul

350.00

365.00

August 24, 2012

UK

GDP (YoY)

2Q P

(0.80)

(0.60)

August 28, 2012

US

Consumer Confidence

Aug

65.90

65.00

August 29, 2012

US

GDP Qoq (Annualised)

% Change
S.A./
1985=100
% Change

2Q S

1.50

1.70

August 30, 2012

Germany

Unemployment change (000's)

Thousands

Aug

7.00

--

August 31, 2012

India

Qtrly GDP YoY%

% Change

2Q

5.30

--

September 01, 2012

China

PMI Manufacturing

Value

Aug

50.10

--

September 03, 2012

India

Imports YoY%

% Change

Jul

(13.46)

--

India

Exports YoY%

% Change

Jul

(5.45)

--

UK

PMI Manufacturing

Value

Aug

45.40

--

Euro Zone

Euro-Zone GDP s.a. (QoQ)

% Change

2Q P

(0.20)

--

UK

BOE Announces rates

% Ratio

Sep 6

0.50

0.50

Euro Zone

ECB announces interest rates

Sep 6

0.75

--

UK

Industrial Production (YoY)

% Change

Jul

(4.30)

--

US

Change in Nonfarm payrolls

Thousands

Aug

163.00

--

US

Unnemployment rate

Aug

8.30

--

China

Industrial Production (YoY)

% Change

Aug

9.20

--

Euro Zone

September 06, 2012

September 07, 2012

September 09, 2012

China

Consumer Price Index (YoY)

% Change

Aug

1.80

--

September 10, 2012

China

Exports YoY%

% Change

Aug

1.00

--

September 12, 2012

UK

Jobless claims change

% Change

Aug

(5.90)

--

India

Industrial Production YoY

% Change

Jul

(1.80)

--

US

Producer Price Index (mom)

% Change

Aug

0.30

--

US

FOMC rate decision

Sep 13

0.25

--

Euro Zone

Aug

2.40

--

% Change

Aug

6.87

--

US

Euro-Zone CPI (YoY)


Monthly Wholesale Prices
YoY%
Industrial Production

Aug

0.65

--

US

Consumer price index (mom)

% Change

Aug

--

--

India

RBI Repo rate

Sep 17

8.00

--

India

RBI Cash Reserve ratio

Sep 17

4.75

--

India

RBI Reverse Repo rate

Sep 17

7.00

--

September 18, 2012

UK

CPI (YoY)

% Change

Aug

2.60

--

September 19, 2012

US

Housing Starts

Thousands

Aug

746.00

--

September 13, 2012

September 14, 2012

India

September 17, 2012

Source: Bloomberg, Angel Research

www.angelbroking.com

Market Strategy
August 23, 2012

Macro watch
Exhibit 1: Quarterly GDP trends
(%)

(%)

9.8

10.0

9.4

7.5

8.0

8.0

9.2
8.5

9.0

6.0

8.2

7.4

6.0

8.0

7.6

3.4

5.3

5.0

2.5

2.7

2.5

6.1

5.9

6.0

1.0

2.0

4QFY12

3QFY12

2QFY12

1QFY12

4QFY11

3QFY11

2QFY11

1QFY11

4QFY10

3QFY10

2QFY10

1QFY10

4QFY09

9.9

Mfg. PMI

Jun-12

May-12

Apr-12

Mar-12

Feb-12

Services PMI

58.0

9.5
7.7

8.0

Jan-12

(5.0)

60.0
10.0

(1.8)

(2.8) (0.9)

(6.0)

Exhibit 4: Manufacturing and services PMI

(%)
9.8

Dec-11

(4.0)

Source: MOSPI, Angel Research

Exhibit 3: Monthly WPI inflation trends


12.0

Nov-11

Oct-11

Sep-11

(2.0)

3.0

Source: CSO, Angel Research

Aug-11

4.0

6.9

7.4

7.7

7.5

7.6

7.3

56.0
6.9

Source: MOSPI, Angel Research

Jul-12

Jun-12

May-12

Apr-12

Mar-12

Feb-12

Jan-12

Dec-11

Nov-11

Sep-11

Source: Market, Angel Research; Note: Level above 50 indicates expansion

Exhibit 5: Exports and imports growth trends


Exports yoy growth

(%)

Jul-11

Jul-12

Jun-12

May-12

Apr-12

Mar-12

Feb-12

Jan-12

Dec-11

48.0

Nov-11

50.0

0.0

Oct-11

2.0

Sep-11

52.0

Aug-11

4.0

Oct-11

54.0

6.0

Aug-11

10.0

4.3

3.7

4.0

6.7

Jul-11

7.0

Exhibit 2: IIP trends

Exhibit 6: Key policy rates

Imports yoy growth

75.0

(%)
9.00

60.0

8.00

45.0

7.00

30.0

Repo rate

Reverse Repo rate

CRR

6.00

15.0

5.00

Source: Bloomberg, Angel Research

www.angelbroking.com

Source: RBI, Angel Research

Aug-12

Jul-12

Jun-12

May-12

Apr-12

Mar-12

Feb-12

Jan-12

Dec-11

Nov-11

Oct-11

Sep-11

Jun-12

May-12

Apr-12

Mar-12

Feb-12

Jan-12

4.00

Aug-11

(30.0)

Dec-11

Nov-11

Oct-11

Sep-11

Aug-11

(15.0)

Jul-11

0.0

Market Outlook
August 23, 2012

Stock Watch
Company Name

Reco

CMP

Target

Mkt Cap

Sales ( cr )

OPM(%)

EPS ( )

( )

Price ( )

( cr )

FY13E

FY14E

FY13E

FY14E

FY13E

PER(x)

P/BV(x)

RoE(%)

EV/Sales(x)

FY14E

FY13E

FY14E

FY13E

FY14E

FY13E

FY14E

FY13E

FY14E

Agri / Agri Chemical


Rallis

Neutral

128

2,492

1,466

1,686

14.8

14.8

7.0

8.1

18.3

15.8

3.9

3.3

22.6

22.5

1.8

1.5

United Phosphorus

Buy

109

170

5,013

8,421

9,263

16.5

16.5

15.0

17.0

7.3

6.4

1.1

0.9

15.6

15.5

0.8

0.7

Amara Raja Batteries

Accumulate

381

402

3,253

2,844

3,225

15.4

15.5

31.7

36.6

12.0

10.4

3.1

2.5

28.8

26.2

1.1

0.9

Apollo Tyres

Accumulate

94

99

4,733

13,412

15,041

11.0

11.0

11.5

14.2

8.2

6.6

1.4

1.2

18.7

19.4

0.5

0.4

Ashok Leyland

Buy

22

30

5,880

14,920

16,850

9.0

9.3

2.2

2.8

10.2

8.0

1.9

1.6

13.3

15.6

0.5

0.4

Automotive Axle

Buy

342

430

516

993

1,140

11.6

11.5

36.9

43.0

9.3

8.0

1.8

1.6

21.2

21.3

0.6

0.4

Bajaj Auto

Neutral

1,726

49,936

21,285

23,927

18.2

18.3

108.5

121.3

15.9

14.2

6.6

5.3

46.1

41.3

2.0

1.7

Bharat Forge

Buy

291

351

6,768

7,004

7,985

16.2

16.4

20.3

25.1

14.3

11.6

2.7

2.2

20.0

20.9

1.2

1.0

Bosch India

Neutral

8,754

27,486

9,034

10,286

17.8

18.3

373.6

435.8

23.4

20.1

4.8

4.0

20.5

19.8

2.7

2.3

CEAT

Buy

121

164

413

4,989

5,634

8.7

8.5

32.7

41.1

3.7

2.9

0.5

0.5

15.8

16.9

0.3

0.2

Exide Industries

Buy

127

149

10,821

5,899

6,771

16.0

17.0

7.4

9.1

17.3

13.9

3.1

2.6

19.0

20.2

1.5

1.2

FAG Bearings

Neutral

1,600

2,659

1,505

1,747

17.7

18.0

111.5

130.0

14.4

12.3

3.0

2.4

22.8

21.7

1.5

1.2

Hero Motocorp

Buy

1,934

2,428

38,614

26,097

29,963

15.0

15.3

139.5

151.8

13.9

12.7

6.5

5.0

54.6

44.3

1.2

1.0

JK Tyre

Accumulate

121

135

498

7,517

8,329

6.1

6.3

26.2

38.5

4.6

3.2

0.6

0.5

13.4

17.2

0.4

0.3

Auto & Auto Ancillary

Mahindra and Mahindra Accumulate


Maruti

Neutral

Motherson Sumi

Buy

Subros

Accumulate

Tata Motors

Buy

TVS Motor

Accumulate

784

879

48,124

36,536

41,650

11.6

11.5

49.3

54.9

15.9

14.3

3.3

2.8

22.1

21.1

1.1

0.9

1,183

34,180

42,887

49,079

5.5

6.6

66.8

87.6

17.7

13.5

2.0

1.8

12.1

14.1

0.6

0.5

184

216

7,229

23,342

26,366

7.8

8.2

13.3

18.0

13.9

10.3

3.3

2.6

26.2

28.4

0.5

0.4

30

34

181

1,230

1,378

8.8

8.6

4.5

5.7

6.7

5.3

0.6

0.6

9.8

11.8

0.4

0.3

248

292

66,068 195,096 219,428

12.8

12.8

39.0

43.9

6.4

5.7

1.8

1.4

32.6

28.2

0.4

0.3

39

43

1,869

7,545

8,301

6.2

6.1

4.9

5.4

8.0

7.3

1.4

1.3

18.8

18.2

0.2

0.2

Capital Goods
ABB*

Sell

764

498

16,195

8,760

10,023

5.5

7.5

12.4

20.7

61.5

36.9

5.9

5.2

10.1

15.2

1.8

1.6

BGR Energy

Neutral

272

1,962

3,669

4,561

11.0

11.0

24.7

29.6

11.0

9.2

1.6

1.5

15.3

16.7

0.6

BHEL

Neutral

232

56,833

47,801

43,757

19.4

19.8

25.7

23.9

9.0

9.7

1.9

1.7

22.7

18.3

1.1

0.9

Blue Star

Neutral

185

1,660

3,047

3,328

5.4

6.9

12.5

16.2

14.8

11.4

3.6

2.9

26.1

28.2

0.6

0.5

Crompton Greaves

Accumulate

120

128

7,717

12,691

14,096

7.0

8.5

6.5

9.1

18.5

13.2

2.0

1.8

11.1

14.2

0.6

0.6

Jyoti Structures

Buy

39

67

319

2,622

2,801

10.6

11.0

10.9

13.4

3.6

2.9

0.5

0.4

13.7

14.9

0.3

0.3

KEC International

Buy

59

69

1,513

6,858

7,431

7.5

8.3

9.0

11.5

6.6

5.1

1.2

1.0

26.9

27.2

0.3

0.3

LMW

Neutral

1,930

2,174

2,369

2,727

11.7

11.7

143.4

166.0

13.5

11.6

2.2

2.1

17.4

18.4

0.5

0.3

Thermax

Neutral

496

5,911

5,514

5,559

8.9

9.6

26.9

28.4

18.5

17.5

3.2

2.8

18.4

17.1

1.0

1.0

www.angelbroking.com

Market Outlook
August 23, 2012

Stock Watch
Company Name

Reco

CMP

Target

Mkt Cap

Sales ( cr )

OPM(%)

EPS ( )

PER(x)

P/BV(x)

RoE(%)

EV/Sales(x)

( )

Price ( )

( cr )

FY13E

FY14E

FY13E

FY14E

FY13E

FY14E

FY13E

FY14E

FY13E

FY14E

FY13E

FY14E

FY13E

FY14E

Cement
ACC

Neutral

1,361

25,544

11,220

12,896

20.0

20.6

71.1

81.2

19.1

16.8

3.4

3.0

18.1

19.0

2.0

1.6

Ambuja Cements

Neutral

193

29,773

10,205

11,659

24.6

24.2

10.8

12.0

17.9

16.1

3.7

3.3

19.7

19.8

2.5

2.1

India Cements

Neutral

89

2,722

4,393

4,914

19.3

19.5

10.1

12.7

8.8

7.0

0.8

0.7

8.8

10.6

1.1

0.9

J K Lakshmi Cements

Neutral

96

1,175

1,964

2,278

19.5

20.4

16.3

17.9

5.9

5.4

0.9

0.8

14.7

14.6

0.8

1.1

Madras Cements

Neutral

182

4,330

3,608

3,928

27.4

26.9

15.6

18.1

11.7

10.1

1.8

1.6

16.8

16.9

1.8

1.6

Shree Cements

Neutral

3,260

11,356

5,519

6,293

24.5

23.7

156.6

225.3

20.8

14.5

5.2

4.4

22.3

26.0

1.8

1.4

UltraTech Cement

Neutral

1,736

47,574

20,167

22,752

21.7

23.0

90.8

107.8

19.1

16.1

19.1

16.1

2.0

1.8

260

304

1,367

2,014

2,293

22.4

22.4

22.6

26.7

11.5

9.7

1.2

1.1

11.4

11.9

2.5

2.8

Construction
Ashoka Buildcon

Buy

Consolidated Co

Neutral

15

270

2,262

2,522

6.7

7.5

1.5

2.7

9.8

5.5

0.4

0.4

4.4

7.5

0.4

0.4

Hind. Const.

Neutral

17

1,019

4,239

4,522

9.9

11.2

(2.3)

(1.0)

(7.4)

(17.4)

0.9

1.0

(11.4)

(5.6)

1.1

1.2

IRB Infra

Buy

124

166

4,111

3,964

4,582

42.3

40.2

15.5

16.9

8.0

7.3

1.2

1.1

16.6

15.8

2.6

2.5

ITNL

Buy

168

232

3,272

6,840

7,767

26.4

26.1

24.4

28.4

6.9

5.9

1.0

0.9

16.0

16.2

2.7

2.8

IVRCL Infra

Buy

43

61

1,155

5,510

6,722

8.8

9.0

2.5

4.6

17.1

9.5

0.6

0.5

3.4

5.8

0.7

0.6

Jaiprakash Asso.

Buy

77

91

16,416

15,259

17,502

25.7

24.7

4.2

5.0

18.2

15.4

1.5

1.4

8.5

9.3

2.4

2.1

Larsen & Toubro

Accumulate

1,457

1,553

89,417

60,474

69,091

12.1

11.5

79.7

85.4

18.3

17.1

3.1

2.7

16.3

15.1

1.6

1.4

Madhucon Proj

Buy

34

56

251

2,206

2,502

10.7

10.7

4.6

4.7

7.3

7.3

0.4

0.4

5.2

5.0

0.7

0.7

Nagarjuna Const.

Accumulate

39

45

1,005

5,804

6,513

8.0

8.6

3.0

3.5

12.9

11.2

0.4

0.4

3.2

3.6

0.6

0.7

Patel Engg.

Neutral

78

541

3,609

3,836

13.1

13.1

14.0

14.6

5.5

5.3

0.3

0.3

6.3

6.1

1.0

1.0

Punj Lloyd

Neutral

50

1,672

11,892

13,116

8.9

8.9

1.7

3.1

29.7

16.3

0.6

0.6

1.9

3.4

0.6

0.5

Sadbhav Engg.

Buy

134

182

2,016

2,789

3,147

10.6

10.7

8.4

10.4

15.9

12.9

2.2

1.9

15.0

15.6

0.9

0.8

Simplex Infra

Buy

205

265

1,016

6,732

7,837

8.1

8.4

23.5

29.4

8.7

7.0

0.8

0.7

9.6

11.0

0.5

0.4

Allahabad Bank

Neutral

127

6,333

7,233

8,579

3.1

3.3

40.5

40.9

3.1

3.1

0.6

0.5

19.4

17.0

Andhra Bank

Neutral

97

5,448

4,959

5,787

3.1

3.1

22.7

24.5

4.3

4.0

0.7

0.6

16.0

15.3

Axis Bank

Buy

1,111

1,373

46,026

15,961

19,583

3.1

3.2

117.3

143.1

9.5

7.8

1.8

1.5

20.1

20.8

Bank of Baroda

Buy

645

829

25,261

15,830

19,300

2.6

2.7

118.9

147.1

5.4

4.4

0.9

0.7

16.7

18.0

Bank of India

Buy

279

323

16,006

13,159

15,851

2.4

2.5

61.1

71.1

4.6

3.9

0.8

0.7

16.6

17.0

Bank of Maharashtra

Neutral

Canara Bank

Buy

Central Bank

Neutral

Financials

www.angelbroking.com

46

2,691

3,471

3,889

3.1

3.1

9.0

11.5

5.1

4.0

0.7

0.6

13.7

15.5

341

421

15,104

11,334

13,629

2.2

2.3

75.4

85.1

4.5

4.0

0.7

0.6

15.2

15.3

67

4,961

7,181

8,365

2.5

2.7

16.3

21.8

4.1

3.1

0.7

0.6

12.7

15.1

Market Outlook
August 23, 2012

Stock Watch
Company Name

Reco

CMP

Target

Mkt Cap

Sales ( cr )

OPM(%)

EPS ( )

PER(x)

P/BV(x)

RoE(%)

EV/Sales(x)

( )

Price ( )

( cr )

FY13E

FY14E

FY13E

FY14E

FY13E

FY14E

FY13E

FY14E

FY13E

FY14E

FY13E

FY14E

FY13E

FY14E

Financials
Corporation Bank

Buy

376

436

5,571

5,067

5,998

2.1

2.3

105.6

111.0

3.6

3.4

0.6

0.5

17.6

16.3

Dena Bank

Buy

90

107

3,149

3,177

3,595

2.8

2.8

25.2

25.4

3.6

3.6

0.6

0.6

18.9

16.4

Federal Bank

Accumulate

437

459

7,469

2,697

3,171

3.4

3.4

47.9

58.0

9.1

7.5

1.2

1.1

13.6

14.7

HDFC

Reduce

727

671

110,263

7,340

8,805

3.5

3.5

31.5

37.8

23.1

19.2

4.6

4.1

34.8

32.2

HDFC Bank

Neutral

597

140,761

21,936

27,454

4.4

4.4

28.7

36.0

20.8

16.6

4.0

3.4

20.7

22.0

ICICI Bank

Buy

974

1,169

111,904

22,356

27,157

2.9

3.0

68.7

82.0

14.2

11.9

1.7

1.6

14.2

15.5

IDBI Bank

Buy

87

101

11,071

7,952

9,876

1.9

2.2

18.5

23.6

4.7

3.7

0.6

0.5

12.8

14.7

Indian Bank

Accumulate

165

190

7,111

6,294

7,191

3.4

3.4

40.6

44.9

4.1

3.7

0.7

0.6

18.1

17.4

IOB

Accumulate

72

80

5,722

7,473

8,732

2.5

2.5

16.7

22.6

4.3

3.2

0.5

0.5

11.8

14.4

J & K Bank

Accumulate

951

1,026

4,609

2,625

2,921

3.6

3.5

194.4

191.9

4.9

5.0

1.0

0.8

21.2

18.0

LIC Housing Finance

Accumulate

254

279

12,806

1,867

2,338

2.4

2.4

21.1

28.5

12.0

8.9

2.0

1.7

17.5

20.4

Oriental Bank

Buy

235

278

6,842

6,518

7,458

2.8

2.9

61.3

65.1

3.8

3.6

0.6

0.5

15.2

14.3

Punjab Natl.Bank

Buy

710

950

24,077

20,116

23,625

3.3

3.4

152.8

173.9

4.7

4.1

0.8

0.7

18.2

18.0

South Ind.Bank

Buy

23

27

2,561

1,514

1,717

2.8

2.7

4.0

4.2

5.7

5.4

1.1

0.9

20.5

18.5

St Bk of India

Buy

1,913

2,270

128,347

64,470

75,940

3.5

3.5

224.4

258.7

8.5

7.4

1.4

1.2

17.6

17.8

Syndicate Bank

Buy

96

119

5,770

6,840

7,996

2.9

3.0

25.7

29.2

3.7

3.3

0.6

0.6

17.9

17.8

UCO Bank

Neutral

68

4,533

5,488

6,338

2.4

2.5

17.3

17.7

4.0

3.9

0.8

0.7

17.0

15.3

Union Bank

Buy

164

230

9,040

10,299

12,227

2.9

3.0

42.1

49.3

3.9

3.3

0.7

0.6

16.7

17.1

United Bank

Buy

53

79

1,908

3,634

4,194

2.8

2.9

18.2

23.0

2.9

2.3

0.4

0.4

15.0

16.7

Vijaya Bank

Neutral

52

2,569

2,579

3,028

2.1

2.3

8.8

11.6

5.9

4.5

0.7

0.6

11.1

13.3

Yes Bank

Buy

357

453

12,680

3,255

4,228

2.8

3.0

34.2

42.7

10.5

8.4

2.2

1.8

23.3

23.8

3,691

35,403

11,198

13,184

16.3

16.3

121.0

144.8

30.5

25.5

10.2

8.0

37.4

35.3

3.1

2.6

475

584

5,673

5,835

6,824

5.7

6.0

20.7

25.4

22.9

18.7

9.0

6.9

43.1

41.9

0.9

0.7

1,182

16,079

3,018

3,429

20.9

22.3

34.6

41.0

34.2

28.9

31.5

23.9

99.5

94.1

5.2

4.5

FMCG
Asian Paints

Neutral

Britannia

Buy

Colgate

Neutral

Dabur India

Neutral

119

20,757

6,124

7,030

17.0

16.8

4.5

5.2

26.7

23.0

11.0

8.7

43.2

41.5

3.4

2.9

GlaxoSmith Con*

Neutral

2,859

12,022

3,124

3,663

17.1

17.6

104.5

123.8

27.4

23.1

8.5

6.8

34.4

32.8

3.5

2.9

Godrej Consumer

Neutral

666

22,679

6,097

7,233

18.4

18.6

21.9

26.5

30.5

25.2

6.8

5.6

25.5

25.4

3.9

3.2

HUL

Neutral

512

110,591

25,350

28,974

13.9

13.9

14.3

16.5

35.9

31.1

21.4

16.4

70.9

59.8

4.2

3.6

ITC

Neutral

262

204,913

29,513

33,885

35.4

35.8

9.3

10.8

28.2

24.3

9.3

7.8

35.6

35.0

6.6

5.7

www.angelbroking.com

Market Outlook
August 23, 2012

Stock Watch
Company Name

Reco

CMP

Target

Mkt Cap

Sales ( cr )

( )

Price ( )

( cr )

FY13E

OPM(%)

EPS ( )

FY14E

FY13E

FY14E

FY13E

PER(x)

P/BV(x)

FY14E

FY13E

FY14E

FY13E

RoE(%)

EV/Sales(x)

FY14E

FY13E

FY14E

FY13E

FY14E

FMCG
Marico

Neutral

189

12,153

4,840

5,643

13.1

13.1

6.8

8.5

27.8

22.3

7.7

5.8

31.4

29.7

2.5

2.1

Nestle*

Neutral

4,580

44,163

8,610

10,174

20.9

21.2

114.8

139.8

39.9

32.8

24.1

16.8

71.2

60.3

5.2

4.3

Tata Global

Neutral

132

8,150

7,207

7,927

9.7

10.0

6.6

7.9

19.9

16.8

2.0

1.9

8.6

9.5

1.0

0.9

HCL Tech

Accumulate

553

585

38,368

24,400

27,049

18.6

17.5

41.1

45.0

13.5

12.3

3.0

2.6

22.7

21.1

1.5

1.3

Hexaware

Accumulate

123

133

3,635

1,947

2,161

22.0

21.4

11.4

12.1

10.8

10.1

2.8

2.4

26.4

24.0

1.6

1.4

Infosys

Neutral

2,429

139,504

39,151

41,743

31.6

31.9

161.9

174.5

15.0

13.9

3.6

3.1

23.8

22.1

3.0

2.7

Infotech Enterprises

Neutral

179

1,989

1,889

2,065

18.0

17.5

18.0

19.7

9.9

9.1

1.4

1.3

14.5

13.7

0.7

0.6

KPIT Cummins

Neutral

136

2,427

2,149

2,331

15.6

14.8

10.7

11.2

12.7

12.1

2.7

2.2

20.6

17.8

1.1

1.0

Mahindra Satyam

Neutral

99

11,668

7,574

8,062

19.6

18.4

9.5

9.7

10.5

10.3

1.7

1.4

16.1

14.1

1.1

1.0

Mindtree

Accumulate

673

708

2,744

2,341

2,513

18.6

17.1

66.5

70.8

10.1

9.5

2.2

1.8

22.3

19.3

1.0

0.9

Mphasis

Neutral

389

8,171

5,704

6,009

18.6

17.7

36.0

37.1

10.8

10.5

1.5

1.3

14.0

12.6

1.0

0.8

NIIT

Buy

34

40

567

1,162

1,304

14.8

15.1

7.1

8.8

4.8

3.9

0.8

0.7

16.7

18.4

0.3

0.2

Persistent

Neutral

380

1,521

1,193

1,278

25.6

24.3

42.6

44.3

8.9

8.6

1.5

1.3

17.2

15.5

0.9

0.8

TCS

Neutral

1,292

252,883

61,046

67,507

29.3

29.1

67.3

72.4

19.2

17.8

6.1

5.1

31.9

28.3

3.9

3.5

Tech Mahindra

Neutral

855

10,907

6,148

6,434

18.4

17.6

91.8

97.6

9.3

8.8

2.2

1.8

23.4

20.2

1.7

1.6

Wipro

Buy

354

420

87,177

43,492

48,332

19.4

19.3

25.1

28.0

14.1

12.6

2.6

2.3

18.6

18.0

1.7

1.4

D B Corp

Buy

185

236

3,399

1,597

1,785

22.9

24.2

11.1

13.9

16.7

13.3

3.2

2.7

20.2

22.1

2.0

1.8

HT Media

Buy

86

113

2,031

2,111

2,263

15.2

15.2

7.3

8.1

11.8

10.6

1.3

1.1

11.2

11.2

0.5

0.4

Jagran Prakashan

Buy

91

112

2,892

1,506

1,687

22.5

23.2

6.2

7.0

14.7

13.1

3.5

3.2

25.0

25.7

2.1

1.9

PVR

Neutral

188

488

625

732

17.4

17.1

13.3

15.6

14.1

12.0

1.5

1.4

13.2

13.8

1.2

1.0

Sun TV Network

Neutral

305

12,014

1,981

2,239

77.0

76.7

18.6

21.3

16.4

14.3

4.1

3.6

27.1

27.5

5.5

4.7

Bhushan Steel

Neutral

469

9,966

11,979

14,584

31.6

31.0

49.2

61.4

9.5

7.6

1.3

1.1

14.1

15.2

2.8

2.4

Coal India

Accumulate

355

385

224,452

69,808

75,550

27.4

27.4

26.0

28.3

13.7

12.6

4.0

3.2

32.5

28.1

2.3

1.9

Electrosteel Castings

Buy

19

23

657

1,984

2,074

11.2

12.6

2.5

2.9

7.7

6.6

0.4

0.1

5.1

5.7

0.5

0.5

Hind. Zinc

Accumulate

130

144

55,098

12,446

13,538

52.3

52.9

14.3

15.5

9.1

8.4

1.7

1.5

20.5

18.9

2.6

2.0

Hindalco

Neutral

113

21,596

84,855

92,446

8.7

9.3

13.2

16.2

8.5

7.0

0.6

0.6

7.8

8.9

0.6

0.6

JSW Steel

Neutral

720

16,056

38,740

41,459

17.3

17.0

79.9

89.4

9.0

8.1

0.9

0.8

10.4

10.6

0.8

0.8

MOIL

Accumulate

251

271

4,224

918

993

50.7

50.9

24.5

26.1

10.3

9.6

1.6

1.4

16.0

15.5

2.3

2.0

Monnet Ispat

Buy

292

379

1,878

2,511

3,303

23.8

26.0

46.3

57.3

6.3

5.1

0.7

0.6

12.4

13.7

1.7

1.2

IT

Media

Metals & Mining

www.angelbroking.com

Market Outlook
August 23, 2012

Stock Watch
Company Name

Reco

CMP

Target

Mkt Cap

( )

Price ( )

( cr )

Sales ( cr )
FY13E

OPM(%)

EPS ( )

FY14E

FY13E

FY14E

FY13E

PER(x)

P/BV(x)

RoE(%)

FY14E

FY13E

FY14E

FY13E

FY14E

FY13E

EV/Sales(x)

FY14E

FY13E

FY14E

Metals & Mining


Nalco

Reduce

NMDC

Accumulate

52

48

13,505

7,401

7,841

16.7

19.2

3.4

4.1

15.3

12.8

1.1

1.1

7.4

8.4

1.4

1.3

187

214

74,219

12,934

14,266

79.4

80.1

21.1

23.4

8.9

8.0

2.4

1.9

29.6

26.5

3.9

3.3

SAIL
Sesa Goa

Neutral

85

35,068

47,252

60,351

14.2

14.8

9.6

11.7

8.9

7.2

0.8

0.7

9.4

10.6

1.2

1.0

Neutral

191

16,574

7,704

8,034

33.6

34.6

42.0

43.1

4.5

4.4

0.9

0.8

22.3

19.2

0.4

Sterlite Inds

Neutral

112

37,706

41,680

45,382

24.2

23.2

16.3

16.9

6.9

6.6

0.7

0.7

11.3

10.7

0.6

0.4

Tata Steel

Buy

393

481

38,130 145,799 150,431

10.3

11.2

48.6

63.3

8.1

6.2

0.8

0.7

10.5

12.4

0.5

0.5

Sarda

Accumulate

129

148

464

1,251

1,321

22.7

23.4

33.0

37.1

3.9

3.5

0.6

0.5

15.1

14.8

0.7

0.7

Prakash Industries
Godawari Power and
Ispat
Oil & Gas

Buy

60

73

804

2,694

2,906

14.6

16.6

17.9

22.6

3.4

2.7

0.4

0.3

11.4

12.8

0.5

0.4

Buy

122

161

389

2,341

2,425

15.6

17.3

33.8

43.8

3.6

2.8

0.4

0.4

13.2

14.4

0.5

0.5

Cairn India

Accumulate

334

380

63,698

16,605

17,258

75.4

71.7

57.0

54.9

5.9

6.1

1.1

0.9

20.2

16.3

2.9

2.2

GAIL

Neutral

367

46,578

50,176

55,815

15.5

15.8

35.4

36.5

10.4

10.1

1.8

1.6

18.9

17.0

0.1

ONGC

Accumulate

286

312

244,815 147,139 154,821

33.9

33.7

30.7

32.3

9.3

8.9

1.6

1.5

18.3

17.2

1.4

1.3

Reliance Industries

Neutral

808

264,600 362,700 380,031

Gujarat Gas

Neutral

303

Indraprastha Gas

Neutral

260

3,641

Petronet LNG
Gujarat State Petronet
Ltd.
Pharmaceuticals

Buy

151

176

11,318

74

4,156

Alembic Pharma

Buy

68

91

Aurobindo Pharma

Buy

107

156

Aventis*

Neutral

2,171

Cadila Healthcare

Accumulate

Cipla

Accumulate

Dr Reddy's

Neutral

Dishman Pharma

Neutral

GSK Pharma*

Neutral

Indoco Remedies

Buy

61

92

561

Ipca labs

Buy

400

475

5,049

Lupin

Accumulate

577

647

25,787

Orchid Chemicals

Buy

112

178

789

Neutral

www.angelbroking.com

7.9

8.0

61.5

64.3

13.2

12.6

1.3

1.2

10.3

9.9

0.7

0.7

3,267

16.1

11.5

21.2

19.2

14.3

15.8

4.9

4.2

33.4

28.7

1.5

1.1

3,040

3,135

24.3

26.7

24.8

27.9

10.5

9.3

2.4

2.0

25.5

23.6

1.2

1.1

22,696

29,145

8.1

6.6

14.1

14.2

10.7

10.6

3.2

2.6

34.1

26.9

0.6

0.4

1,041

939

91.8

91.9

8.5

7.4

8.7

10.0

1.5

1.3

18.1

14.0

4.9

5.4

1,280

1,624

1,855

14.2

15.6

6.6

9.1

10.3

7.5

2.5

2.0

27.9

29.2

0.9

0.8

3,119

5,243

5,767

14.6

14.6

11.8

12.6

9.1

8.5

0.9

0.4

17.9

16.4

1.1

0.9

5,000

1,482

1,682

15.5

15.5

95.0

104.0

22.9

20.9

4.1

3.2

18.6

17.0

3.2

2.7

876

953

17,941

6,148

7,386

18.6

19.6

36.0

46.1

24.3

19.0

5.7

4.6

25.8

26.8

3.1

2.6

360

399

28,925

8,031

9,130

23.4

22.4

18.4

20.0

19.6

18.0

3.2

2.8

17.8

16.6

3.4

2.9

1,677

28,456

10,696

11,662

20.7

21.0

83.7

92.9

20.0

18.1

4.1

3.5

22.4

21.0

2.9

2.6

90

723

1,280

1,536

17.8

17.8

9.2

11.3

9.7

7.9

0.7

0.7

7.7

8.5

1.2

1.0

2,089

17,695

2,651

2,993

31.7

31.2

76.0

82.4

27.5

25.4

7.9

7.1

20.1

26.3

5.9

5.1

685

837

15.2

15.2

7.4

8.9

8.2

6.8

1.3

1.1

16.4

17.0

1.0

0.8

2,850

3,474

20.7

20.7

29.2

36.6

13.7

10.9

3.2

2.6

26.1

26.1

1.9

1.6

8,426

10,082

19.7

20.0

27.4

32.4

21.1

17.8

5.1

4.1

26.0

24.7

3.1

2.5

2,117

2,434

17.7

17.7

16.7

22.2

6.7

5.1

0.6

0.6

9.5

11.5

1.0

0.8

3,883

2,472

Market Outlook
August 23, 2012

Stock Watch
Company Name

Reco

CMP

Target

Mkt Cap

Sales ( cr )

OPM(%)

EPS ( )

PER(x)

P/BV(x)

RoE(%)

EV/Sales(x)

( )

Price ( )

( cr )

FY13E

FY14E

FY13E

FY14E

FY13E

FY14E

FY13E

FY14E

FY13E

FY14E

FY13E

FY14E

FY13E

FY14E

Pharmaceuticals
Ranbaxy*

Neutral

535

22,570

12,046

11,980

18.0

15.8

35.7

29.8

15.0

17.9

5.8

4.7

39.1

28.9

1.9

1.8

Sun Pharma

Neutral

665

68,739

9,752

12,134

41.6

41.6

26.0

28.2

25.6

23.6

4.8

4.1

20.3

18.8

6.3

4.9

CESC

Accumulate

319

342

3,982

5,218

5,644

24.2

23.8

44.6

47.6

7.2

6.7

0.8

0.7

11.0

10.6

1.1

1.1

GIPCL

Buy

NTPC

Neutral

Power
65

77

988

1,557

1,573

29.3

28.7

10.8

11.0

6.1

5.9

0.6

0.6

10.8

10.2

1.1

0.9

172

141,410

74,111

85,789

23.2

23.6

12.4

14.0

13.9

12.2

1.7

1.6

13.0

13.5

2.6

2.4

Real Estate
Anant Raj

Buy

DLF

Neutral

46

78

1,357

657

875

52.0

56.1

8.4

12.7

5.5

3.6

0.3

0.3

6.3

8.9

3.3

2.5

215

36,484

9,878

12,033

44.7

46.1

9.6

13.4

22.4

16.0

1.4

1.4

6.4

8.7

6.2

HDIL

Buy

5.1

80

115

3,331

2,441

3,344

55.1

48.2

22.7

26.6

3.5

3.0

0.3

0.3

8.8

9.4

3.2

MLIFE

2.4

Accumulate

349

396

1,425

813

901

26.2

26.6

32.0

37.1

10.9

9.4

1.1

1.0

10.4

11.0

2.1

1.8

Bharti Airtel

Neutral

249

94,445

79,542

87,535

30.9

32.2

10.3

15.0

24.2

16.5

1.8

1.6

7.2

9.6

1.9

1.6

Idea Cellular

Neutral

76

25,006

22,988

25,333

26.4

26.9

3.5

4.9

21.8

15.5

1.8

1.6

8.1

10.2

1.5

1.3

Rcom

Neutral

54

11,208

21,553

22,494

31.0

30.7

3.5

4.5

15.6

12.2

0.3

0.3

1.9

2.4

2.1

1.8

Abbott India

Neutral

1,597

3,394

1,602

1,833

10.4

11.8

54.7

71.7

29.2

22.3

5.5

4.7

20.0

22.7

1.9

1.6

Bajaj Electricals

Buy

178

234

1,778

3,569

4,172

8.1

8.8

16.3

21.3

11.0

8.4

2.2

1.9

21.7

24.6

0.5

0.4

Cera Sanitaryware

Neutral

354

447

396

470

16.7

16.5

28.0

33.2

12.6

10.7

2.6

2.1

23.8

23.1

1.3

1.1

Cravatex

Buy

440

785

114

302

364

5.7

6.0

49.0

71.0

9.0

6.2

2.7

1.9

29.8

30.7

0.5

0.4

CRISIL

Neutral

923

6,477

982

1,136

34.3

34.3

34.3

40.0

26.9

23.1

12.2

9.7

50.9

46.9

6.2

5.2

Finolex Cables

Buy

39

61

595

2,334

2,687

8.8

9.3

7.6

10.2

5.1

3.8

0.7

0.6

13.7

16.1

0.2

0.1

Force Motors

Buy

438

591

571

2,214

2,765

4.5

5.4

39.5

73.9

11.1

5.9

0.5

0.5

4.4

7.6

0.1

0.1

Goodyear India

Accumulate

340

370

785

1,543

1,646

8.1

9.2

32.3

39.4

10.5

8.6

2.1

1.8

21.7

22.4

0.3

0.2

Graphite India

Buy

81

113

1,586

2,158

2,406

18.1

18.9

12.4

14.0

6.5

5.8

0.9

0.8

14.0

14.3

0.9

0.7

Greenply Industries

Buy

190

309

459

1,925

2,235

10.6

10.9

29.6

44.1

6.4

4.3

1.1

0.9

16.8

21.0

0.5

0.4

HEG

Accumulate

207

229

827

1,586

1,685

17.9

18.1

16.1

25.7

12.9

8.1

1.0

0.9

7.5

11.6

1.2

1.1

Hitachi

Accumulate

113

130

260

868

977

3.9

6.6

2.7

10.9

41.4

10.5

1.5

1.3

3.7

13.6

0.4

0.3

Honeywell Automation

Buy

2,425

2,842

2,144

1,847

2,162

4.3

7.3

61.0

120.0

39.8

20.2

3.2

2.7

9.3

16.3

1.1

0.9

INEOS ABS India

Accumulate

670

744

1,178

1,056

1,081

8.1

10.6

33.8

46.5

19.8

14.4

2.7

2.3

14.7

17.5

1.1

1.0

ITD Cementation

Neutral

232

267

1,451

1,669

12.3

12.4

32.4

41.5

7.2

5.6

0.6

0.6

9.4

10.9

0.6

0.6

Jyothy Laboratories

Accumulate

136

145

2,191

1,248

1,468

9.8

10.4

5.9

7.2

22.9

19.0

3.3

3.0

15.0

16.6

2.1

1.8

MCX

Buy

1,163

1,440

5,929

553

624

65.3

66.3

62.5

72.0

18.6

16.1

5.1

4.4

27.5

27.4

7.7

6.4

Telecom

zOthers

www.angelbroking.com

Market Outlook
August 23, 2012

Stock Watch
Company Name

Reco

CMP

Target

Mkt Cap

Sales ( cr )

OPM(%)

EPS ( )

( )

Price ( )

( cr )

FY13E

FY14E

FY13E

10,996

12,884

4,663

11,804

12,727

10.4

10.5 1,289.9 1,431.3

8.5

7.7

3,176

3,542

887

1,108

18.3

18.6

95.0

120.9

33.5

26.3

FY14E

FY13E

PER(x)

FY14E

FY13E

P/BV(x)

FY14E

FY13E

RoE(%)

EV/Sales(x)

FY14E

FY13E

FY14E

FY13E

FY14E

1.7

1.4

21.3

19.4

0.5

0.5

17.5

14.2

57.4

59.5

4.0

3.2

zOthers
MRF

Buy

Page Industries

Neutral

Relaxo Footwears

Buy

576

684

692

1,019

1,208

12.3

13.0

51.0

68.4

11.3

8.4

3.0

2.2

30.3

30.2

0.8

0.7

Sintex Industries

Buy

60

79

1,632

4,751

5,189

16.3

16.6

13.6

15.8

4.4

3.8

0.6

0.5

12.9

13.2

0.7

0.6

Siyaram Silk Mills

Buy

298

392

280

1,042

1,173

12.4

12.5

66.3

78.5

4.5

3.8

0.9

0.7

21.1

20.8

0.5

0.4

S. Kumars Nationwide

Buy

24

45

711

7,279

8,290

21.0

21.0

15.0

17.6

1.6

1.4

0.2

0.2

13.7

13.9

0.7

0.6

SpiceJet

Buy

37

43

1,775

5,720

6,599

5.3

6.8

3.6

5.4

10.2

6.8

14.7

4.7

0.4

0.4

TAJ GVK

Buy

65

108

407

300

319

35.8

36.2

7.9

9.1

8.2

7.1

1.1

1.0

13.9

14.4

1.7

1.4

Tata Sponge Iron

Buy

325

424

501

787

837

16.2

17.5

58.5

66.9

5.6

4.9

0.8

0.7

14.9

15.1

0.3

0.2

TVS Srichakra

Accumulate

318

335

244

1,476

1,643

7.1

8.2

24.7

42.8

12.9

7.4

1.6

1.3

16.6

24.8

0.4

0.3

United Spirits

Neutral

947

12,386

10,289

11,421

13.5

14.3

31.0

42.9

30.5

22.1

2.4

2.2

8.1

10.3

1.9

1.7

Vesuvius India

Neutral

355

721

560

611

16.1

17.0

24.7

28.8

14.4

12.4

2.1

1.9

15.8

16.2

1.2

1.1

Source: Company, Angel Research; Note: *December year end; #September year end; &October year end; Price as on August 22, 2012

www.angelbroking.com

Market Outlook
August 23, 2012

www.angelbroking.com

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