"Matthew Goodwin - far left/right"

FIELDWORK DATES: 19TH - 20TH AUGUST 2012

Prepared by YouGov plc On behalf of Matthew Goodwin

YouGov plc 2012

BACKGROUND This spreadsheet contains survey data collected and analysed by YouGov plc. No information contained within this spreadsheet may be published without the consent of YouGov Plc and the client named on the front cover. Methodology: This survey has been conducted using an online interview administered members of the YouGov Plc GB panel of 185,000+ individuals who have agreed to take part in surveys. An email was sent to panellists selected at random from the base sample according to the sample definition, inviting them to take part in the survey and providing a link to the survey. (The sample definition could be "GB adult population" or a subset such as "GB adult females"). YouGov Plc normally achieves a response rate of between 35% and 50% to surveys however this does vary dependent upon the subject matter, complexity and length of the questionnaire. The responding sample is weighted to the profile of the sample definition to provide a representative reporting sample. The profile is normally derived from census data or, if not available from the census, from industry accepted data. YouGov plc make every effort to provide representative information. All results are based on a sample and are therefore subject to statistical errors normally associated with sample-based information. For further information about the results in this spreadsheet, please contact YouGov Plc (+44)(0)20 7 012 6000 or email enquiries@yougov.com quoting the survey details EDITOR'S NOTES - all press releases should contain the following information All figures, unless otherwise stated, are from YouGov Plc. Total sample size was 1,725 adults. Fieldwork was undertaken between 19th - 20th August 2012. The survey was carried out online. The figures have been weighted and are representative of all GB adults (aged 18+).

NOTE: All press releases or other publications must be checked by YouGov Plc before use. YouGov requires 48 hours to check a press release unless otherwise agreed. Please note, multiple press releases will require longer. - YouGov is registered with the Information Commissioner - YouGov is a member of the British Polling Council Any percentages calculated on bases fewer than 50 respondents must not be reported as they do not represent a wide enough cross-section of the target population to be considered statistically reliable. These figures will be italicised.

YouGov/Matthew Goodwin Survey Results

Sample Size: 1725 GB Adults Fieldwork: 19th - 20th August 2012 Voting intention Total Weighted Sample Unweighted Sample 1725 1725 % Con X 445 % Lab X 538 % Lib Dem X 109 % Con 512 538 % 2010 Vote Lab 442 425 % Lib Dem 374 396 % Gender Male 840 813 % Female 885 912 % Age 18-24 25-39 40-59 210 118 % 440 502 % 588 647 % 60+ 486 458 % Social grade ABC1 983 1172 % C2DE 742 553 % London 221 275 % Rest of South 561 545 % Region Midlands / Wales 369 364 % North 424 397 % Scotland 150 144 %

Would you be more or less likely to vote for a party that promised to do each of the following or would it make no difference? (Please tick one question on each row) Stand up to political and business elites More likely Less likely It would make no difference Don't know Stop all immigration into the UK More likely Less likely It would make no difference Don't know Prioritise traditional British values over other cultures More likely Less likely It would make no difference Don't know Reduce the number of Muslims/presence of Islam in British society More likely Less likely It would make no difference Don't know Do you think that the current economic crisis in Europe will lead to an increase or decrease in support for far-right/far-left parties or will this make no difference? Increase in support for far-right/far-left parties Decrease in support for far-right/far-left parties Make no difference Don't know

66 5 21 9 41 28 22 9

62 6 22 10 54 19 19 8

70 5 20 5 32 36 26 6

70 9 19 3 18 56 20 6

63 6 22 9 55 17 19 8

70 4 21 5 36 31 28 5

73 4 18 6 29 41 22 8

66 8 20 7 39 32 22 8

66 3 21 11 44 25 22 10

56 10 15 19 23 50 10 17

55 6 24 14 31 35 21 13

67 5 23 5 46 22 25 6

78 3 16 3 54 20 23 4

67 5 19 8 33 36 21 9

64 5 22 9 52 18 22 8

64 10 20 7 35 40 18 8

68 4 21 8 44 28 21 7

64 5 18 13 41 23 20 16

65 4 23 8 45 25 23 6

67 8 20 5 31 35 29 6

55 14 24 8

73 5 17 5

42 20 32 5

36 30 27 7

74 4 16 6

47 15 33 5

44 20 27 8

53 16 24 8

56 12 24 8

32 32 18 18

44 16 26 13

59 11 26 4

68 7 22 2

51 18 24 8

60 8 25 8

45 21 25 10

62 11 22 5

53 10 25 12

58 12 25 5

37 27 29 7

37 23 31 9

50 15 27 8

29 31 34 6

16 52 27 5

49 14 30 8

34 25 36 5

25 35 31 9

36 26 31 7

39 21 30 10

27 42 13 18

25 32 28 15

40 17 37 6

49 15 32 3

32 30 29 9

45 14 33 9

29 31 31 9

39 22 31 7

38 20 28 14

42 20 32 6

25 33 34 8

46 5 27 23

52 4 27 17

47 7 27 19

54 5 27 14

50 4 28 19

45 6 30 20

49 3 25 23

56 5 25 15

36 5 28 31

35 10 19 37

42 6 24 29

46 3 33 19

54 4 26 17

54 4 22 19

35 5 32 28

49 5 24 22

47 4 29 21

42 4 27 27

48 4 24 23

38 9 31 21

2012 YouGov plc. All Rights Reserved

www.yougov.com

YouGov/Matthew Goodwin Survey Results

Sample Size: 1725 GB Adults Fieldwork: 19th - 20th August 2012 Age group and party Total Weighted Sample Unweighted Sample 1725 1725 % 18-24 Con 32 20 % 18-24 Lab 62 34 % 18-24 Lib Dem 9 4 % 25-39 Con 110 115 % 25-39 Lab 131 143 % 25-39 Lib Dem 39 48 % 40-59 Con 153 168 % 40-59 Lab 204 218 % 40-59 Lib Dem 31 30 %

Would you be more or less likely to vote for a party that promised to do each of the following or would it make no difference? (Please tick one question on each row) Stand up to political and business elites More likely Less likely It would make no difference Don't know Stop all immigration into the UK More likely Less likely It would make no difference Don't know Prioritise traditional British values over other cultures More likely Less likely It would make no difference Don't know Reduce the number of Muslims/presence of Islam in British society More likely Less likely It would make no difference Don't know Do you think that the current economic crisis in Europe will lead to an increase or decrease in support for far-right/far-left parties or will this make no difference? Increase in support for far-right/far-left parties Decrease in support for far-right/far-left parties Make no difference Don't know

66 5 21 9 41 28 22 9

47 5 13 36 28 39 10 22

61 15 15 8 5 81 5 9

42 22 36 0 0 53 22 25

49 9 31 11 45 20 24 11

64 4 23 9 26 44 25 6

63 10 22 6 15 66 12 7

59 7 28 6 57 20 18 6

68 5 22 4 38 26 29 7

76 9 12 3 19 45 34 2

55 14 24 8

47 26 7 20

16 45 24 14

0 75 0 25

69 3 19 9

32 26 33 8

34 26 35 6

71 5 20 3

47 16 34 3

41 25 27 6

37 23 31 9

29 34 8 29

7 67 13 13

0 78 22 0

41 20 29 10

18 39 32 11

12 56 27 5

47 14 33 6

34 23 39 4

13 47 30 9

46 5 27 23

52 0 21 28

43 14 19 24

64 36 0 0

53 4 25 17

42 9 25 24

46 6 38 10

49 3 31 17

43 5 34 18

57 0 25 18

2012 YouGov plc. All Rights Reserved

www.yougov.com

YouGov/Matthew Goodwin Survey Results

Sample Size: 1725 GB Adults Fieldwork: 19th - 20th August 2012 Age group and party Total Weighted Sample Unweighted Sample 1725 1725 % 60+ Con 143 142 % 60+ Lab 168 143 % 60+ Lib Dem 28 27 %

Would you be more or less likely to vote for a party that promised to do each of the following or would it make no difference? (Please tick one question on each row) Stand up to political and business elites More likely Less likely It would make no difference Don't know Stop all immigration into the UK More likely Less likely It would make no difference Don't know Prioritise traditional British values over other cultures More likely Less likely It would make no difference Don't know Reduce the number of Muslims/presence of Islam in British society More likely Less likely It would make no difference Don't know Do you think that the current economic crisis in Europe will lead to an increase or decrease in support for far-right/far-left parties or will this make no difference? Increase in support for far-right/far-left parties Decrease in support for far-right/far-left parties Make no difference Don't know

66 5 21 9 41 28 22 9

78 4 12 7 66 11 17 6

80 1 18 0 41 25 31 3

83 3 15 0 26 55 16 3

55 14 24 8

84 2 13 1

54 10 33 2

47 27 22 3

37 23 31 9

63 8 24 5

38 22 38 2

29 42 25 4

46 5 27 23

53 4 27 15

57 5 23 15

61 0 20 19

2012 YouGov plc. All Rights Reserved

www.yougov.com

Fieldwork: 19th - 20th August 2012 Voting intention Total Weighted Sample Unweighted Sample And suppose there was an increase in support for far-right/far-left parties in Europe... How worried, if at all, would you be by this? Very worried Fairly worried TOTAL WORRIED Not very worried Not at all worried TOTAL NOT WORRIED Don't know 16 39 55 18 7 25 20 14 40 54 24 6 30 15 22 41 63 16 5 21 16 25 50 75 16 3 19 6 14 40 54 23 7 30 17 21 39 60 15 7 22 18 20 45 65 15 4 19 16 16 41 57 22 10 32 11 17 37 54 14 4 18 28 15 31 46 17 9 26 28 13 35 48 21 6 27 26 13 42 55 19 7 26 18 24 42 66 14 7 21 13 17 43 60 19 5 24 15 15 33 48 16 8 24 27 18 41 59 19 5 24 18 18 39 57 18 6 24 19 14 32 46 19 8 27 26 15 43 58 16 9 25 17 16 45 61 16 4 20 19 1725 1725 % Con X 445 % Lab X 538 % Lib Dem X 109 % Con 512 538 % 2010 Vote Lab 442 425 % Lib Dem 374 396 % Gender Male 840 813 % Female 885 912 % Age 18-24 25-39 40-59 210 118 % 440 502 % 588 647 % 60+ 486 458 % Social grade ABC1 983 1172 % C2DE 742 553 % London 221 275 % Rest of South 561 545 % Region Midlands / Wales 369 364 % North 424 397 % Scotland 150 144 %

*Any percentages calculated on bases fewer than 50 respondents do not represent a wide enough cross-section of the target population to be considered statistically reliable. These figures will be italicised.

2012 YouGov plc. All Rights Reserved

www.yougov.com

Fieldwork: 19th - 20th August 2012 Age group and party Total Weighted Sample Unweighted Sample And suppose there was an increase in support for far-right/far-left parties in Europe... How worried, if at all, would you be by this? Very worried Fairly worried TOTAL WORRIED Not very worried Not at all worried TOTAL NOT WORRIED Don't know 16 39 55 18 7 25 20 9 47 56 6 13 19 25 17 43 60 19 7 26 14 38 62 100 0 0 0 0 8 36 44 30 9 39 17 20 39 59 17 2 19 22 26 37 63 25 5 30 7 10 40 50 28 6 34 16 20 41 61 17 5 22 17 16 62 78 10 5 15 6 1725 1725 % 18-24 Con 32 20 % 18-24 Lab 62 34 % 18-24 Lib Dem 9 4 % 25-39 Con 110 115 % 25-39 Lab 131 143 % 25-39 Lib Dem 39 48 % 40-59 Con 153 168 % 40-59 Lab 204 218 % 40-59 Lib Dem 31 30 %

*Any percentages calculated on bases fewer than 50 respondents do not represent a wide enough cross-section of the target population to be considered statistically reliable. These figures will be italicised.

2012 YouGov plc. All Rights Reserved

www.yougov.com

Fieldwork: 19th - 20th August 2012 Age group and party Total Weighted Sample Unweighted Sample And suppose there was an increase in support for far-right/far-left parties in Europe... How worried, if at all, would you be by this? Very worried Fairly worried TOTAL WORRIED Not very worried Not at all worried TOTAL NOT WORRIED Don't know 16 39 55 18 7 25 20 25 42 67 19 3 22 11 28 42 70 12 6 18 12 29 52 81 13 0 13 6 1725 1725 % 60+ Con 143 142 % 60+ Lab 168 143 % 60+ Lib Dem 28 27 %

*Any percentages calculated on bases fewer than 50 respondents do not represent a wide enough cross-section of the target population to be considered statistically reliable. These figures will be italicised.

2012 YouGov plc. All Rights Reserved

www.yougov.com