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Study #2062 SELZER & COMPANY 1,007 general population 18 and over September 21-24, 2012 Margin of error: 3.1 percentage points Weighted by race, education, and marital status Includes 789 likely voters: Margin of error on likely voter questions: 3.5 percentage points Methodology September 25 (Bloomberg) -- The Bloomberg National Poll, conducted Sep 21-24 for Bloomberg News by Selzer & Co. of Des Moines, IA, is based on interviews with 1,007 U.S. adults ages 18 or older. Interviewers contacted households with randomly selected landline and cell phone telephone numbers. Percentages based on the full sample may have a maximum margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points. Percentages based on the subsample of 789 likely voters may have a maximum margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points Responses were weighted by race, education, and marital status to reflect the general population based on recent census data. Results based on smaller samples of respondentssuch as by gender or agehave a larger margin of error. Republishing the copyrighted Bloomberg National Poll without credit to Bloomberg News is prohibited. Poll Questions In general, do you think things in the nation are headed in the right direction, or have they gotten off on the wrong track?
Right direction Wrong track Not sure
33
60
Which of the following do you see as the most important issue facing the country right now? (Read list. Rotate.) 3 11 14 3 4 6 7 43 4 1 4 Immigration Health care The federal deficit Terrorism Taxes The situation in the Middle East Gas prices Unemployment and jobs Other (VOL) (specify:) None of these (VOL) Not sure
Now, Im going to mention some people and groups in the news recently. For each, please tell me if your feelings are very favorable, mostly favorable, mostly unfavorable, or very unfavorable. If you dont know enough to answer, just say so. (Record dont know as not sure. Rotate list.)
Net Net Very Mostly Mostly Very Favorable Unfavorable Favorable Favorable Unfavorable Unfavorable Barack Obama, president of the United States The Republican Party The Democratic Party Mitt Romney, Republican candidate for president and former governor of Massachusetts Ben Bernanke, chairman of the Federal Reserve George W. Bush, former president of the United States Bill Clinton, former president of the United States The Mormon Church Paul Ryan, the Republican candidate for vice-president Joe Biden, the vice-president Ann Romney, wife of presidential candidate Mitt Romney Michelle Obama, wife of President Barack Obama Not Sure
52 41 46 43 29 46 64 33 41 42 49 63
44 49 45 50 28 49 29 27 41 45 29 29
29 14 19 19 6 17 34 8 20 16 21 35
23 27 27 24 23 29 30 25 21 26 28 28
13 25 20 19 15 19 15 13 17 21 16 12
31 24 25 31 13 30 14 14 24 24 13 17
4 10 9 7 43 5 7 40 18 13 22 8
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president? (Follow with:) Do you approve or disapprove of the job he is doing:
Approve Disapprove Not Sure
49 41
46 53
5 6
In politics as of today, do you consider yourself a Republican, Democrat, or independent? (If independent, ask:) Do you lean more toward the Republicans or more toward the Democrats, or are you totally independent?
Republican Among all Among likely voters Lean Republican Totally independent Lean Democrat Democrat Other (VOL) Refused/ Not sure
22 24
11 12
25 21
10 8
27 30
1 1
4 4
In thinking about the upcoming election in November, would you describe yourself as very enthusiastic, fairly enthusiastic, just somewhat enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic?
(Asked of likely Nov. 2012 voters only; n=789. MoE: 3.5 percentage points.) Very enthusiastic Not Fairly Just somewhat enthusiastic enthusiastic enthusiastic Not sure
50
Among Obama supporters Among Romney supporters 52 52
19
18 18
21
20 22
9
9 6
1
1 2
If the general election for president were held today and the candidates were [Barack Obama for the Democrats] and [Mitt Romney for the Republicans], for whom would you vote? (Rotate candidates.)
(Asked of likely Nov. 2012 voters only; n=789. MoE: 3.5 percentage points.)
Obama Romney Someone else (VOL) Would not vote (VOL) Not sure
49
43
Would you say your mind is made up, or could you still be persuaded to vote for another candidate?
(Asked of likely Nov. 2012 voters only who support Obama, Romney, or someone else; n=745. MoE: 3.6 percentage points.) Among Obama supporters (n=402) Among Romney supporters (n=332)
All
87 12 1
89 11 -
86 13 1
Mind is made up Could still be persuaded to vote for another candidate Not sure
The candidates are both saying the other is out of touch with average Americans. Who do you think is more out of touch[Barack Obama] or [Mitt Romney]? (Rotate names.)
(Asked of likely Nov. 2012 voters only; n=789. MoE: 3.5 percentage points.)
40 49 11
For each of the following, please tell me which candidate do you think would be best[Barack Obama] or [Mitt Romney]? (Rotate candidate names. Rotate list.)
(Asked of likely Nov. 2012 voters only; n=789. MoE: 3.5 percentage points.)
Barack Obama Mitt Romney Not Sure
In understanding your problems and struggles In creating jobs In handling immigration In appearing regularly on your TV or computer screen for the next four years On health care On womens issues On improving the economic situation for the middle class On making the U.S. energy independent On dealing with gasoline prices On reviving the housing market
51 45 46 48 49 54 49 45 39 44
38 47 42 39 43 34 44 43 46 44
11 8 12 13 8 12 7 12 15 12
Do you think Mitt Romneys background as a private equity executive does or does not make him better prepared to create jobs as president? (Asked of likely Nov. 2012 voters only; n=789. MoE: 3.5 percentage points.)
Does make him better prepared Does not make him better prepared
Not sure
49
43
Im going to mention some things the presidential candidates have said they would do if elected. For each, please tell me if you are confident or skeptical they will make this happen. (Rotate candidate names. Rotate list. After each, ask: Are you confident or skeptical he will make this happen?)
(Asked of likely Nov. 2012 voters only; n=789. MoE: 3.5 percentage points.)
Confident Skeptical Not Sure
Barack Obama has said if re-elected he will cut the budget deficit without raising taxes on middle-class Americans Mitt Romney has said he will cut income tax rates for individuals and corporations without raising the federal budget deficit, by reducing tax breaks that primarily benefit the wealthy
36
62
42
55
Which candidate do you think is running the more negative campaign[Barack Obama] or [Mitt Romney]? (Alternate candidate names.)
(Asked of likely Nov. 2012 voters only; n=789. MoE: 3.5 percentage points.)
38 44 18
Whom do you think has laid out a better vision for a successful economic future for the U.S.[Barack Obama] or [Mitt Romney]? (Rotate candidate names.)
Barack Obama Mitt Romney Neither (VOL) Not sure
48
39
Is it your sense that Mitt Romneys economic policies would or would not be a revival of those of former president George W. Bush? 45 37 18 Would be a revival of George W. Bushs policies Would not be a revival of George W. Bushs policies Not sure
Is it your sense that Barack Obamas economic policies are or are not be a revival of those of former president Bill Clinton? 40 43 17 Are a revival of Bill Clintons policies Are not a revival of Bill Clintons policies Not sure
The candidates are debating two main approaches to stimulating the economy. [Barack Obama says resources and tax breaks should target the middle class so that they can spend more and earn more and create demand that will produce new jobs.] [Mitt Romney says resources and tax breaks should target higher income earners and corporations, who he calls the job creators, so they will invest and hire more workers.] Regardless of whom you support, whose approach do you think would do the most good for the economy[Barack Obamas] or [Mitt Romneys]? (Rotate candidate positions and names.) 52 40 8 Barack Obamas approach Mitt Romneys approach Not sure
Gov. Mitt Romney has told donors that 47 percent of Americans think of themselves as "victims" who are dependent on government programs. Which best describes your reaction? (Read list. Rotate.) 41 51 8 Hes right and more people should be able to make it on their own Hes wrong and most Americans work hard and sometimes need some help from the government Not sure
Are you better off or worse off than you were at the beginning of 2009?
Better off Worse off About the same (VOL) Not sure
43
33
23
Not sure
33
21
45
Turning to the health care law passed in 2010, what is your opinion of the law? (Read list.)
It may need small modifications, but we should see how it works
It should be repealed
Not sure
34
40
19
In 2009, Congress passed a set of rules and regulations for the financial industry known as the Dodd-Frank law. [President Obama supported Dodd-Frank and signed it into law.] [Mitt Romney has promised to repeal it if elected.] Regardless of who you support in this election, which candidate has it right[Barack Obama] or [Mitt Romney]? (Rotate candidate names and sentences in brackets.) 38 35 27 Barack Obama Mitt Romney Not sure
12 8 8 14 17 19 22 -
9 8 8 13 19 19 24 -
44 28 18 10 -
38 31 19 12 -
High school graduate or less Some college College degree Postgraduate work or degree Refused/not sure
59 41 -
62 38 -
30 70 -
29 71 -
49 50 1
49 50 1
Which of the following best describes your religious beliefsCatholic, Protestant, some other kind of Christian, Jewish, Muslim, other, or none?
Gen pop Lkly voters
25 30 25 1 2 14 3
24 33 24 1 2 13 3
Catholic Protestant Some other kind of Christian Jewish Muslim Other None Refused/not sure
(Ask all.) Do you attend church services at least weekly, less often than weekly, or never?
Gen pop Lkly voters
41 32 26 1
44 32 23 1
(Ask all.) Would you describe yourself as a "born again" or evangelical Christian, or not?
Gen pop Lkly voters
37 57 6
37 56 7
29 19 50 2
29 22 48 1
A city with over 50,000 people A suburb A small city or rural area Refused/not sure
With what racial or ethnic group do you identify mostWhite, Black, Hispanic, Asian, or some other group?
Gen pop Lkly voters
72 10 9 2 2 5
73 10 7 2 2 6
Is your total annual household income before taxes above or below $50,000 per year?
Gen pop Lkly voters
Is it above or below $25,000 per year? Is it above or below $75,000 per year? Is it above or below $100,000 per year?
20 22 20 12 15 11
18 20 21 12 17 12
Below (<$25,000) Above ($25,000-$49,999) Below ($50,000-$74,999) Below ($75,000-$99,999) Above ($100,000 and over) Refused/not sure
Sex:
Gen pop Lkly voters
49 51
49 51
Male Female
17 24 37 22
17 25 35 23