Tropical Storm/Hurricane Sandy Briefing Overview Updated 300 pm October 28, 2012 Information Sources Used in this Overview

Sandy Overview Rainfall Forecasts Winds

Storm Surge/ Coastal Flooding Sandy Briefing Page HURREVAC Hourly Forecasts Forecast Maps 5 day total rainfall Forecast Winds NWS Wakefield Rainfall forecasts NHC Wind Probabilities

NWS Wakefield Tides and Coastal Flooding Page

Locations
Coastal NE NC Inland NE NC Southside Hampton Roads Va Peninsula Middle Peninsula

Rainfall
(thru Wed)

Winds
Sus: 45 mph Gusts: 60+ mph Sus: 35 mph Gusts: 55 mph Sus: 40-45 mph Gusts: 60+ mph Sus: 40-45 mph Gusts: 50-60+ mph Sus: 40-45 mph Gusts: 50-60+ mph highest near Bay Sus: 40-50 mph Gusts: 55-65 mph highest near Bay Sus: 30 mph Gusts: 45-55 mph Sus: 30-35 mph Gusts: 50 mph Sus: 40-45 mph Gusts: 60+ mph Sus: 40-50 mph Gusts: 60-70+ mph

Storm Surge
Ocean: 4ft Record Sound: 2ft Mod 2ft Moderate Ocean: 4ft Severe
Bay: 3-4ft Mod/Svr

(Coastal Flood)

Timing (peak)
Wind: Sun-Mon Surge: Sun-Mon Wind: Sun-Mon Surge: Sun-Mon Wind: Sun-Mon Surge: Sun-Mon Wind: Sun-Mon Surge: Sun-Mon Wind: Sun-Tue Surge: Sun-Mon; blowout byTue Wind: Sun-Tue Surge: Sun-Mon; blowout byTue Wind: Late Sun-Tue Wind: Sun -Tue

Waves
Ocean: 15 ft+ Currituck 3-4 ft Albemarle: 5 ft

5" - 7"+ 1" - 4" 5" - 7" 5" - 8" 5" - 8"

Ocean: 15 ft+ Bay: 6 - 10 ft 6 ft - 10 ft 6 ft - 10 ft

3-4 ft Mod-Svr 2-3 ft Moderate to Severe 2-3 ft Moderate to Severe None None Ocean: 4ft Severe
Bay: 2.5-3ft Severe

Northern Neck
I-95 Corridor West to the eastern Piedmont

6" - 8" 1" - 6"

highest RIC north

6 ft - 10 ft N/A N/A

Western Tidewater/ Interior SE VA VA Eastern Shore

3" - 6" 8" - 10"

Lower MD Eastern Ocean: 4ft Severe 8" - 10"+ Bay: 2.5-3ft Severe Shore General Impacts: Rainfall - Significant flooding from rainfall is expected in coastal areas and areas inland from the Bay/coast. Mostly minor flooding expected along the I-95 corridor. Sharp decrease in rain SW of Farmville to Edenton line. Winds - Forecast wind gusts 50-60+ along the coast and Bay, 60-70+ Lower Md Eastern Shore (outside chance hurricane gust) and 40-45 mph along I-95. Areas along and even inland from the coast could experience significant trees and power lines down Sun-Tue, resulting in power outages. Winds will remain strong well into Tue. Storm Surge - Surge potential of 3-4 feet across the lower Bay, or 1.0-1.5 ft. below Hurricane Irene, but close to the Ash Wed Storm of 1962. Severe coastal flooding LIKELY along the entire coast from NC to MD with a 4-4.5 ft surge (rivals Isabel south/Gloria on MD coast). Moderate flooding is expected along the Peninsulas and Northern Neck. MD Bay counties & bay side Accomack could experience a prolonged period of moderate to low end severe flooding. Highest potential is through mid afternoon Mon (ocean) and today through Tue (bay). Waves - 15 ft+ waves (coast) and 6-9ft (Bay) will result in significant beach erosion.

Wind: Sun-Tue Ocean: 15 ft+ Surge: Sun-Tue Bay: 6 ft - 10 ft Wind: Sun-Tue Ocean: 15 ft+ Surge: through Tue Bay: 6 - 8 ft