Constituency Profile

Belfast South

September 2010
Using the latest data available through the Northern Ireland Neighbourhood Information Service (NINIS) www.ninis.nisra.gov.uk, this report provides an up-to-date statistical profile of the Constituency of Belfast South. It includes information on the demographics of people living in Belfast South as well as key indicators of Health, Education, the Economy, Employment, Housing, Crime and Poverty. For each indicator, this profile presents: The most up-to-date information available for Belfast South; How this compares with Northern Ireland as a whole; The ranking of the Constituency; and Information on the lowest and highest ranking wards where available.

This report presents a statistical profile of the Constituency of Belfast South which comprises of the 19 wards shown below.

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Shaftesbury Woodstock Ravenhill Blackstaff Botanic Windsor Ballynafeigh Stranmillis Rosetta Malone

10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18

Musgrave Newtownbreda Galwally Upper Malone Finaghy Beechill Cairnshill Minnowburn Knockbracken

BELFAST SOUTH: KEY FACTS

Demographics An estimated 91,500 people live in Belfast South, the Constituency with the 7th lowest population in 2008. The greatest proportion (52.0%) of people living in Belfast South are of Protestant community background (41.4% were of Catholic, 6.6% other). Belfast South has higher proportion of people in the 15 34 year age band compared to Northern Ireland as a whole. Health Life expectancy in Belfast South is 76.6 years for males and 81.8 years for females. Compared to Northern Ireland as a whole, Belfast South has a higher: Death rate due to cancer. Rate of cancer diagnosis. Hospital admission ratio due to self harm. Compared to Northern Ireland as a whole, Belfast South has a lower: Death rate due to respiratory and circulatory disease. Proportion of people in receipt of at least one disability-related benefit. Teenage birth rate. Prevalence of coronary heart disease, hypertension, hyperthyroid, obesity, diabetes mellitus and chronic kidney disease for those attending GPs in Belfast South. Education A higher proportion of post-primary pupils have a Statement of Special Educational Need compared to all Northern Ireland pupils (18.4% vs. 14.9%), the Constituency with the 4th highest proportion of pupils with a SEN. A much higher proportion of Belfast South school leavers achieve at least two ALevels compared to all Northern Ireland school leavers the Constituency with the highest proportion of school leavers achieving this level. A higher proportion of Belfast South school leavers achieve at least five GCSEs at grades A*-C compared to all Northern Ireland school leavers the Constituency with the 2nd highest proportion of school leavers achieving this level. The Economy Belfast South was the Constituency that received the 2nd highest amount of financial assistance from Invest NI in 2008/09 totalling 21.0 million.

A lower proportion Invest NI Start a Business participants from Belfast South were offered financial assistance compared to the Northern Ireland figure, the Constituency with the 4th lowest proportion.

Employment 99,360 employee jobs are located in Belfast South. Belfast South has a lower proportion of jobs in manufacturing and construction and a higher proportion of jobs in services compared to all employee jobs in Northern Ireland. In 2009, Belfast South was the Constituency with the 4th highest number of redundancies with a total of 443 redundancies in the area. Housing There are 42,180 properties in Belfast South. Belfast South has a higher proportion of terraced properties and apartments and a lower proportion of detached properties compared to Northern Ireland. In 2008, 959 new planning applications were received for Belfast South. A slightly lower proportion of planning applications were approved in Belfast South when compared to the proportion of Northern Ireland approvals. Crime Compared to the Northern Ireland rates, Belfast South has: A much higher overall crime rate the Constituency with the highest rate. Higher rates of violent rime (highest rate) burglary (highest rate), theft (highest rate) and criminal damage (3rd highest rate). A higher rate of anti-social behaviour incidents (2nd highest rate). Poverty Belfast South has the 5th highest proportion of people (20%) living in the most deprived Super Output Areas in Northern Ireland. A lower proportion of people in Belfast South are claiming at least one benefit.

2010 Westminster Election Results 59,524 people eligible to vote, 57.4% turnout slightly higher than Northern Ireland turnout of 56.7%. SDLP candidate Alasdair McDonnell won the Belfast South seat. 2007 Assembly Election Results 48,923 people were eligible to vote, the turnout at 62.0% turnout was similar to the Northern Ireland figure of 62.3%. The SDLP won 2 seats. The DUP, UUP, Sinn Fin and Alliance won 1 seat each.

Table of Contents
Section Indicator Page 6 8 10 14 15 16 17 18 20 21 22 24 25 26 27 29 30 31 32 33 34 36 37 38 39 41 44 45

Demographics Population Size, Community Background, Age Profile Health Life Expectancy of males and females Death due to Cancer, Respiratory Disease, Circulatory Disease, Suicide and Undetermined Intent Cancer Diagnoses Hospital Admissions due to Self Harm Mood and Anxiety Disorders Disability-Related Benefit Claimants Births to Teenage Mothers Quality Outcomes Framework Disease Prevalence Statement of Special Educational Need Highest Qualifications of School Leavers Participation in Further Education Participation in Higher Education Invest NI Assistance Invest NI Start a Business Programme Employee jobs (based on employer address) Employee jobs by Sector (based on employer address) Redundancies Unemployment Claimant Count Housing Type Planning Applications and Decisions Overall Crime Violent Crime, Burglary, Theft, Criminal Damage Anti-social Behaviour Incidents Northern Ireland Multiple Deprivation Measure 2010 Benefit Claimants 2010 Westminster Election Results 2007 Assembly Election Results

Education

The Economy

Employment

Housing

Crime

Deprivation & Poverty Election Results

1. DEMOGRAPHICS This section presents information on the population size, community background and age profile of those living in Belfast South. Population Size As at June 2008, an estimated 91,500 people live in Belfast South, representing 5.2% of the Northern Ireland population (Source: NISRA, Mid-Year Estimates). Belfast South is the Constituency with the 7th lowest population. Community Background Just over half (52.0%) of people living in Belfast South are of Protestant community background, 41.4% are of Catholic community background while the remainder are of other or no community background (Source: Census 2001). Age profile of Belfast South Belfast South has a lower proportion of people aged under 16 compared to all of Northern Ireland (16.2% vs. 21.5%) and a higher proportion of people in the 15 34 year band. There is little difference in the proportion of people aged 60 and over living in Belfast South and the Northern Ireland figure (18.4% vs. 19.2%). Belfast South is the Constituency with the lowest proportion of people aged under 16 years and the 8th lowest proportion of people aged 60 and over.
Chart 1: Age Profile of the population in 5 year age bands, June 2008
14

12

% of the total population

10

0 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 Age Band 85+

Belfast South

Northern Ireland

Source: Northern Ireland Statistics and Research Agency (NISRA), Mid-Year Estimates

2. HEALTH This section presents information on a wide range of key indicators of health. These are: Life Expectancy of males and females (page 8); Standardised Death Rates due to Cancer, Respiratory Disease, Circulatory Disease (page 10); Deaths due to Suicide and Undetermined Intent (page 13); Cancer Diagnoses (page 14); Hospital Admissions due to Self Harm (page 15); Mood and Anxiety Disorder Prescriptions (page 16); Disability-related Benefit Recipients (page 17); Births to teenage mothers (page 18) and The prevalence of disease as reported through the Quality Outcomes Framework (page 20): o Coronary Heart Disease o Heart Failure o Stroke o Hypertension o Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease o Hypothyroid o Cancer o Mental Health o Asthma o Dementia o Atrial Fibrilation o Obesity o Diabetes Mellitus o Epilepsy o Chronic Kidney Disease o Learning Disabilities

Life Expectancy of Males The life expectancy1 of males (2006-2008) living in Belfast South is estimated to be 76.6 years. There is little difference in the life expectancy of males living in Belfast South and that of all Northern Ireland males which stands at 76.4 years. Belfast South is the Constituency with the 9th lowest male life expectancy. The life expectancy of males is lowest in the ward of Ballynafeigh, Blackstaff, Botanic, Shaftesbury, Windsor, Woodstock, Beechill and Minnowburn where it is less than 75 years.2 In the remaining 11 wards the life expectancy of males is greater than the Northern Ireland average but less than 85 years.
Chart 2: Life expectancy of males, 2006-2008
85 80 Life Expectancy in years 75

70 65 60 55

Source: Northern Ireland Statistics and Research Agency, Northern Ireland Neighbourhood Information Service (NISRA, NINIS), (Department of Health, Social Services and Public Safety (DHSSPS))

1 2

Calculated using the no. of deaths (General Register Office) and mid-year estimates (NISRA). Ward level data is presented using ranges as the small number of deaths at various age groups does not support robust calculation of an exact life expectancy value at this geographic level.

Be lfa s Be t W lfa es t st N or Ne th wr Fo y & y A le W rm e s ag tT h y M ron Fe id e rm a n Be Uls lfa te ag h st r E & No S ast Ty rth er r on n Be I r e lfa ela st nd Ea So st u th A Up n tr pe im r St Ban ra S n n Ea out gfo st h A r d Lo n nd tr im o So nd ut e rr y h No D ow rth n La An ga tri n m No Val rth ley D ow n

Life Expectancy of Females The life expectancy3 of females (2006-2008) living in Belfast South is estimated to be 81.8 years. As with males, there is little difference in the life expectancy of females living in Belfast South and that of all Northern Ireland females which stands at 81.3 years. Belfast South is the Constituency with the 8th highest female life expectancy. The life expectancy of females is lowest in the wards of Rosetta, Cairnshill, Knockbracken, Botanic, Shaftesbury, Windsor, Woodstock and Beechill where it is greater than 75 but less than the NI average.4 Life expectancy of females is highest in the wards of Musgrave, Stranmillis and Galwally. In the remaining 8 wards the life expectancy of females is greater than the Northern Ireland average but less than 85 years.
Chart 3: Life expectancy of females, 2006-2008
85

80 Life Expectancy in years

3 4

75

70

65 60

55

Source: NISRA, NINIS (DHSSPS)

Calculated using the no. of deaths (General Register Office) and mid-year estimates (NISRA). Ward level data is presented using ranges as the small number of deaths at various age groups does not support robust calculation of an exact life expectancy value at this geographic level.

st Be W e lfa st st N or th Ne Fo wr y yl & e Ar Ea ma gh st An So tr i m ut h Do W w es n No t T rth y ro ne er n Fe Ire rm Be la n an lfa ag st d Ea h & st S S o Tyr ut on e h B e An t r im lfa st So u M id th Ul No ste r rth No D o rth wn A Up ntri pe m rB S t ann ra La ngf or E a gan d st Va Lo ll e nd y on de rry

Be lfa

Standardised Death Rates The standardised death rates5 due to cancer, respiratory disease and circulatory disease presented here. Standardisation allows for comparison between Constituencies having taken the characteristics of the populations into account i.e. age and sex profiles. Standardised Death Rates due to Cancer The standardised death rate due to cancer in Belfast South is 212 per 100,000 persons. The death rate due to cancer in Belfast South is higher than the Northern Ireland rate of 208 per 100,000 persons. Belfast South is the Constituency with the 9th lowest death rate due to cancer. Information on death rates due to cancer is not available at ward level.
Chart 4: Standardised death rates due to Cancer per 100,000 persons by Constituency, 2004-2008
400 350 Standardised cancer death rate (per 100,000 persons) 300 250 200 150 100 50 0

Source: NISRA, NINIS (General Register Office (GRO))

5

Rates are based on the number of deaths provided by the General Register Office and 2004 2008 Mid-Year Estimates provided by NISRA.

La ga n No V rth alle y Up Ant rim pe No r B rth ann M D ow i W dU n No e st lste rth Ty r er ron n Ir e St ela So r an nd ut gfo Be h A r d lfa n tr s im S tS Fe Ea ou ou th th r m st a n Lo Do nd w ag h on n & de S rr Be Tyr y Ne lf on wr a st e y & Eas A Ea r m t st ag An h tr i m Be F oy lfa Be st N le lfa or st th W es t

10

Standardised Death Rates due to Respiratory Disease The standardised death rate due to respiratory disease in Belfast South is 98 per 100,000 persons. The death rate due to respiratory disease in Belfast South is lower than the Northern Ireland rate of 106 per 100,000 persons. Belfast South is the Constituency with the 2nd lowest death rate due to respiratory disease. Information on death rates due to respiratory disease is not available at ward level.
Chart 5: Standardised Death rates due to Respiratory Disease per 100,000 persons by Constituency, 2004-2008
Standardised respiratory disease death rate (per 100,000 persons) 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0
No rt B hA Ea elf nt st a st rim Lo S nd ou th So ond ut e rr h y U D No p p ow rth er B n er an n Ir n M ela id nd La U ga lst e So n V r ut all e h A y St n tr i ra m n Ne No gfo wr rth r d D y Fe o & rm Ar wn a n Be m ag lfa ag h st h E & S as Ty t W es ro ne t E a Ty r st on Be An e lfa tr im st N or t Be F h lfa oy st le W es t

Source: NISRA, NINIS (GRO)

11

Standardised Death Rates due to Circulatory Disease The standardised death rate due to circulatory disease in Belfast South is 253 per 100,000 persons. The death rate due to circulatory disease is lower in Belfast South than the Northern Ireland rate of 266 per 100,000 persons. Belfast South is the Constituency with the 2nd lowest death rate due to circulatory disease. Information on death rates due to circulatory disease is not available at ward level.
Chart 6: Standardised death rates due to Circulatory Disease per 100,000 persons by Constituency, 2004-2008
Standardised circulatory disease death rate (per 100,000 persons) 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0
No Be rth lfa D o st wn S St ou r a th So n g No uth for rth An d er tr i m n Be Ire lfa lan No st E d rth as So An t ut trim La h D ga ow n n Ea Ea Val le st st Lo An y Fe nd tr im rm W ond an e ag st e rr h Ty y & r S on e Ty Up r p on Be er e Ne lfa Ba wr st nn N y & or Ar th M mag id Ul h st e Be F r lfa oy st le W es t

Source: NISRA, NINIS (GRO)

12

Deaths due to Suicide and Undetermined Intent During the period 2004-2008, there were 67 deaths as a result of suicide and undetermined intent67 in Belfast South. This equates to an average rate of 15 per 100,000 persons per annum. There is little difference in the average death rate due to suicide and undetermined intent for Belfast South and the Northern Ireland rate of 13 per 100,000 persons. Belfast South is the Constituency with the 8th highest death rate due to suicide and undetermined intent. This information is not available at ward level.
Chart 7: Average death rate due to suicide and undetermined intent per 100,000 persons by Constituency, 2004-2008
30

25 20 Average rate

15

10 5

0
No r La th D ga ow n V n St alle r No ang y rth for A d S Ea ou ntr t h im st Lo An nd tr im o Ea nde rry st Be An lfa tr im s Up t E pe ast So r B No uth ann rth D e ow Fe r m B rn I n el rel an ag fa s a n h tS d & o S u th Ty M r on id e Ul st er W Fo Ne e s y wr t T le yr y & on Be Ar m e lfa ag Be st W h lfa es st t N or th

Source: NISRA, NINIS (GRO)

The information is aggregated data from the GRO death files, which are gathered when deaths are registered at the Registrars Office. 7 Death where the intention of the victim is not clear.

13

Cancer Diagnoses In 2007, there were 416 new incidences of cancer89 diagnosed for Belfast South. This equates to a rate of 453 per 100,000 persons. The rate of cancer diagnosis was higher for Belfast South than the Northern Ireland rate of 439 per 100,000 persons. Belfast South was the Constituency with the 6th highest rate of cancer diagnosis. During the period 2003-2007, the average rate of diagnosis per 100,000 persons was lowest in the wards of Botanic (148), Cairnshill (218), and Stranmillis (246) and highest in Minnowburn (688), Shaftesbury (604) and Upper Malone (603).10
Chart 8: Rate of diagnosis of all cancers per 100,000 persons by Constituency (excluding non-melanoma skin cancer), 2007
600 500 Rate of Diagnosis
8 9

400 300 200 100 0

S o Fo ut y le h Ea M Dow id st n Lo Ul st nd Fe on er rm a n We de r ag st T ry h & y ro Ne n S wr Ty e y ro & n So Ar m e ut ag h h La An ga tr im n V St alle ra y No ng rth f or No d rth An er trim n Up Irel p a nd Be er lfa Ba st nn Ea So st u th Be An lfa tr im st No W rt es Be h D t lfa ow n s Be t N lfa ort st h Ea st

Source: NISRA, NINIS, Northern Ireland Cancer Registry (calculated by DHSSPS)

Excluding non-melanoma skin cancer Data on cancer incidence are available from multiple sources, primarily pathological records, hospital discharges and death registrations from the General Registrar Office (GRO). This data is captured electronically, collated and quality assured on a regular basis to provide a populationbased registry of cancer incidence for Northern Ireland. Tumour details are collected on cancer diagnoses according to the International Classification of Diseases, tenth revision (ICD10). 10 Ward rates calculated using 2005 mid-year estimates provided by NISRA.

14

Hospital Admissions due to Self Harm For the period 2005-2009, the standardised hospital admission ratio for self harm11 in Belfast South stood at 108. Ratios are calculated to allow comparison of areas or groups to the NI average which is set to 100. The standardised hospital admission ratio for self harm is higher in Belfast South than the Northern Ireland ratio of 100. This is true for both males (109 compared to 100) and females (108 compared to 100). Belfast South is the Constituency with the 6th highest standardised hospital admission ratio for self harm. This information is not available at ward level.
Chart 9: Standardised hospital admission ratio for self harm by Constituency, 2005-2009
250

Hospital admission ratio

200

150

100

50

0
L Ea a g st an Lo Va Fe nd lle rm y o a n No nde ag rth rr h A y & ntr S i T m M yro id ne Ea Ul st ste W An r e s tr im S o t Ty ro ut h ne A St n tr i m r S an Ne ou gfo wr th r d D y & ow Ar n N m No o rt ag rth h D h er ow Be n Ir n lfa ela st n So d ut h Up Fo yl pe e Be r B lfa an Be st n lfa Ea s Be st W t lfa e st st N or th

Source: NISRA, NINIS (Northern Ireland Hospitals Patients Administration System, DHSSPS)

11

The data is based upon the number of admissions due to self-harm provided by the Hospital Information Branch.

15

Mood and Anxiety Disorder Prescriptions As at April 2008, an estimated 11.1% of people in Belfast South were on prescribed drugs for mood and anxiety disorders.12 There was little difference in the proportion of people in Belfast South estimated to be on prescribed drugs for mood and anxiety disorders and the Northern Ireland estimate of 11.5%. Belfast South was the Constituency with the 9th highest proportion of people estimated to be on prescribed drugs for mood and anxiety disorders. This information is not available at ward level.
Chart 10: Estimated proportion of people on prescribed drugs for Mood and Anxiety Disorders by Constituency, April 2008
Percentage prescribed mood and anxiety drugs (%) 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0

Source: NISRA, NINIS (GP practice prescription data for anxiolytic and anti-depressant drugs, DHSSPS)

12

The number of individuals suffering from mood or anxiety disorders is estimated using prescription data by GP practice for anxiolytic and anti-depressant drugs. This data is then attributed to geographical area using the GP practice list.

Fe rm an ag h

Ty M r on id e La Ul ga ste r n V Ea No all st rth ey Lo D nd ow n W ond Ne e s e rr wr t Ty y y & ron e A No r m rth agh So Ant ut rim Be h D lfa ow st n S St ou t r h So ang fo ut r h A d Ea n tr im No st rth An er tr im n Ire la nd Up Fo yl pe e Be r B an lfa n Be st E lfa as t s Be t W lfa es t st N or th

&

16

Disability-Related Benefit Recipients In February 2010, there were 11,061 people in receipt of at least one disabilityrelated benefit in Belfast South.13 This equates to 12.1% of all constituents being in receipt of such benefits. A slightly lower proportion of people living in Belfast South were in receipt of disability-related benefits compared to the Northern Ireland figure of 14.6%. Belfast South was the Constituency with the 4th lowest proportion of disabilityrelated benefit recipients. The lowest proportions of disability-related benefit recipients were concentrated in the wards14 of Stranmillis (4.4%), Cairnshill (6.8%) and Malone (7.0%) and the highest proportions were concentrated in the wards of Shaftesbury (25.1%), Minnowburn (24.2%) and Blackstaff (19.3%).
Chart 11: Proportion of people in receipt of Disability-related Benefits by Constituency, 2010
30 Proportion in receipt of DB (%) 25 20 15 10 5 0
No r La th D ga o w So n V n ut all Be h A ey lfa n tr st im S St ou r a th No ng rth fo A rd Fe Ea Eas ntr im t r m st a n Lo An t nd r i ag m h on & de S rr So Tyr y No ut on rth h D e er ow n Be Ire n lfa la n st d M Ea id st U Ne Up lst wr per er y & Ban Ar n m ag h W Fo es yl t Be Ty e lfa ron Be st N e lfa or st th W es t

Source: NISRA, NINIS, (Analytical Services Unit, Department for Social Development (DSD))
13

The information is aggregated data from IAD 100% scans of Attendance Allowance, Disability Living Allowance, Incapacity Benefit and Severe Disablement Allowance data at 1992 ward level. 14 Ward rates are calculated from total population using 2008 mid-year estimates.

17

Births to Teenage Mothers Proportion of all births which are to teenage mothers In 2008, there were 57 births to teenage mothers from Belfast South. Births to teenage mothers account for 4.9% of all births in the Constituency, although it is worth noting that this figure is influenced by the number of teenagers in the area and so the teenage birth rate (see over) is more accurate for the purposes of comparison between areas. A lower proportion of Belfast South births were to teenage mothers compared to the Northern Ireland figure which of 5.6%. Belfast South was the Constituency with the 8th highest proportion of all births being to teenage mothers. This information is not available at ward level.
Chart 12: Proportion of all births which are to teenage mothers by Constituency, 2008
14 12 Proportion of all births (%) 10 8 6 4 2 0
S T Ne M yr o wr id ne y Ul & st A e No r m r r ag W th D h es o w t S o Ty n ut ron So h D e ut ow La h A n ga n tr n im V St all r a ey No n r gf Be th A or d No lfa s ntri rth t S m er ou n t Be Ire h la lfa n Up st E d pe as rB t an E a E a Fo n st st yle Lo An nd tr i Be on m lfa de Be st N rry lfa or st th W es t

Source: NISRA, NINIS (GRO)

Fe rm an ag h

&

18

Teenage Birth rate In 2008, the teenage birth rate of Belfast South stood at 11 per 1,000 female persons aged 13-19 years. The teenage birth rate was lower for Belfast South than the overall Northern Ireland rate of 17 per 1,000 female persons aged 13-19 years. Belfast South was the Constituency with the 2nd lowest teenage birth rate. This information is not available at ward level.
Chart 13: Teenage Birth Rate per 1,000 females aged 13-19 years by Constituency, 2008
40 35 Birth rate to teenage mothers 30 25 20 15 10 5 0
W es B e t Ty lfa ron Fe st e rm S an M ou ag id th h & Uls S ter T No yr o Ne rth ne wr D y & ow Ar n m St ag ra h So ng ut for No h D d rth ow La An n ga tri m So n V ut all No h e rth An y er tr im n Ea Ire st la n An d tr i m B e Fo lfa yle s Up t E Ea pe ast st Lo r B nd an Be ond n lfa e r r Be st N y lfa or st th W es t

Source: NISRA, NINIS (GRO)

19

Quality Outcomes Framework Disease Prevalence The Quality Outcome Framework (QOF) is a system used to remunerate general practices; disease prevalence data per 1,000 patients is collected and then used within the QOF to deliver a more equitable distribution of payments in the light of different workloads that practices face.15 As at 31 March 2009, there was a lower prevalence of coronary heart disease, hypertension, hypothyroid, obesity, diabetes mellitus and chronic kidney disease amongst patients whose GP practice is located in the Belfast South area compared to GP practices across all of Northern Ireland.
Table 1: Disease Prevalence per 1,000 patients as reported through QOF, 2009
Belfast South Patients No. Coronary Heart Disease All Heart Failure Patients Stroke Hypertension Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Hypothyroid Cancer Mental Health Asthma Dementia Atrial Fibrilation Obesity (Patients aged 16+) Diabetes Mellitus (Patients aged 17+) Epilepsy (Patients aged 18+) Chronic Kidney Disease (patients aged 18+) Learning Disabilities (Patients aged 18+) 2,317 300 27 4 55,150 6,912 39 5 1,419 2,465 1,159 1,056 5,498 500 1,293 7,455 3,210 709 14 24 11 10 53 5 12 85 37 8 29,099 57,599 20,741 14,407 104,527 9,971 23,827 165,956 65,066 13,983 16 31 11 8 56 5 13 113 45 10 3,543 779 1,656 11,383 Prevalence 34 8 16 110 No. 75,278 13,903 31,063 225,093 All Northern Ireland Patients Prevalence 41 8 17 122

Lower than NI*

* by more than 3 Source: NISRA, NINIS (Payment Calculation and Analysis System, DHSSPS)

15

A full set of QOF data tables and explanation of the QOF can be found at http://www.dhsspsni.gov.uk/index/hss/gp_contracts/gp_contract_qof.htm.

20

3. EDUCATION This section presents information on: Post-primary pupils with a Statement of Special Educational Need The highest qualifications of school leavers and Participation in Further and Higher Education. Statement of Special Educational Needs In 2008/09, 18.4% of Belfast South post-primary pupils had a Statement of Special Educational Need (SEN) at stages 1-4. A higher proportion of Belfast South post-primary pupils had a SEN at stages 1-4 compared to the Northern Ireland proportion of 14.9%. Belfast South was the Constituency with the 4th highest proportion of pupils with a SEN at stages 1-4. The lowest proportions of pupils with a SEN at stages 1-4 were concentrated in the wards of Stranmillis (10.0%), Galwally (11.5%) and Finaghy (12.2%). The highest proportions of pupils with a SEN at stages 1-4 were concentrated in Minnowburn (41.0%), Shaftesbury (34.4%), Blackstaff (31.3%).
Chart 14: Proportion of post-primary pupils with a SEN by Constituency, 2008/09
35 Proportion with SEN stages 1-4 (%) 30 25 20 15 10 5 0
Ea st An M tr im id No U rth lste r Up Ant rim p So er ut Ba n h A n Ea No n tr st rth im Lo D nd ow on n St de r r r La ang y ga fo rd n So Va Ne u ll wr th ey Do y Fe w N & r m o r Ar n a n the ma ag rn gh h I & rela S n W Ty d es ro t T ne yr on e Be lfa Foy le st Be So lfa u th Be st E lfa as Be st N t lfa or st th W es t

Source: NISRA, NINIS (School Census, Department of Education (DE))

21

Highest Qualifications of School Leavers School leavers achieving at least two A-levels In 2008/09, 65.9% of Belfast South school leavers achieved at least two A-levels. A much higher proportion of pupils from Belfast South left school with at least two A-levels when compared to the overall Northern Ireland average of 50.6%. Belfast South was the Constituency with the highest proportion of school leavers achieving at least two A-levels. The lowest proportions of school leavers achieving at least two A-levels were concentrated in the wards of Shaftesbury (5.6%, 3 pupils), Woodstock (9.7%, 3 pupils) and Blackstaff (15.0%, 3 pupils). The highest proportions of school leavers achieving at least two A-levels were concentrated in Stranmillis (92.6%), Malone (92.1%) and Finaghy (87.9%).16
Chart 15: Proportion of school leavers achieving at least two A-levels by Constituency, 2008/09
90 Proportion achieving level (%) 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0
Be lfa B st N el fa ort s h U tW pp e e st Ea No r r Ba n st th L A n Ne on ntr w d on im ry & de r A ry Ea r m s ag So t A h ut n tr h im Be An lfa tr im st E No Str as an t rth er gfo n r So Ire d la u La th D nd ga ow n Va n lle y W Fo es yl tT e y Fe M ron id rm e a n N Ul ag o rt ste h hD r & S o Be T wn lfa yr o st ne S ou th

Source: NISRA, NINIS (School Leavers Survey, DE)

16

Note care should be taken in drawing conclusions from these figures due to the low numbers involved

22

At least five GCSEs at grades A*-C In 2008/09, 76.8% of Belfast South school leavers achieved at least five GCSEs at grades A*-C.17 A higher proportion of Belfast South school leavers achieved at least five GCSEs at grades A*-C as their highest level of attainment compared to the Northern Ireland average of 70.1%. Belfast South was the Constituency with the 2nd highest proportion of school leavers achieving at least five GCSEs at grades A*-C. The lowest proportions of school leavers achieving at least five GCSEs at grades A*-C were concentrated in the wards of Blackstaff (15.0%, 3 pupils), Woodstock (25.8%) and Shaftesbury (29.6%). The highest proportions of school leavers achieving at least five GCSEs at grades A*-C were were concentrated in the wards of Stranmillis (98.1%), Cairnshill (96.1%) and Malone (95.5%).
Chart 16: Proportion of school leavers achieving at least five GCSEs at grades A*C by Constituency, 2008/09
90 Proportion achieving level (%) 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0
Be lfa Be st N lfa or s th Be t W lfa es t s Up t E as pe rB t an n Fo E No ast yle rth An er tr im n I Ea S rela st tr a nd Lo ng nd fo r No ond d Ne rt e r wr h A ry n y & trim Ar W e s ma g t Fe S o Ty h rm ut ron an h ag A e h M n tr i & m i So d U u t lst er h S o Ty ro ut n La h D e ow ga Be n V n lfa all st ey No So rth u th D ow n

Source: NISRA, NINIS (School Leavers Survey, DE)

17

Note that this figure includes those who left school with at least two A-levels

23

Participation in Further Education In 2007/08, there were 7,703 students from Belfast South enrolled in further education.18 This equates to 10.0% of constituents aged 16 and over being enrolled in further education. There was little difference in the proportion of people aged 16 and over living in Belfast South who are enrolled in further education and the Northern Ireland figure of 10.2%. Belfast South was the Constituency with the 8th highest proportion of people aged 16 and over enrolled in further education. Further education participation rates were lowest in the wards of Stranmillis (5.3%), Knockbracken (5.8%) and Galwally (5.9%) and highest in the wards of Ballynafeigh (12.6%), Blackstaff (11.7%) and Woodstock (11.5%).
Chart 17: Proportion of those aged 16+ enrolled in FE by Constituency, 2007/08
16 Proportion aged 16+ enrolled in FE (%) 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0

Source: NISRA, NINIS (FE Enrolment data, Department for Employment and Learning)

Of all Belfast South students enrolled, 13.6% were full time and 86.4% were part time students, while 54.4% were female and 45.6% were male. In total, 48.7% of those enrolled in further education were mature students.19
18

Further Education can be defined as post-secondary education that is distinct from the education offered in universities. 19 Mature Student in further education defined as those aged 26 and over.

tra E ngf as or d t N Ant or rim th A S ou ntr im th La An ga tr im n V al E l M as id ey tL U on lst do er nd B el er fa ry st N N or orth Fe th rm D an Be o ag lfas wn h tE & S ast Ty B ro el fa ne N st or th Sou er th n Ire la nd U Fo p p yl er e B B el fa an n st W S es ou t th D W ow N est n ew Ty ry ro & n Ar e m ag h

24

Participation in Higher Education In 2007/08, there were 4,215 students from Belfast South enrolled in higher education.20 This equate to 5.5% of constituents aged 16 and over being enrolled in higher education. There was little difference in the proportion of Belfast South people aged 16 and over who are enrolled in higher education and the Northern Ireland figure of 4.5%. Belfast South was the Constituency with the highest proportion of people aged 16 and over enrolled in higher education. Higher education participation rates were lowest in the wards of Woodstock (1.9%), Blackstaff (2.0%) and Minnowburn (2.2%) and highest in the wards of Malone (9.2%), Musgrave (6.7%), Rosetta (6.4%) and Finaghy (6.4%).
Chart 18: Proportion of those aged 16+ enrolled in HE by Constituency, 2007/08
16 Proportion aged 16+ enrolled in HE (%) 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0
E as tA B el ntri fa m st B N el fa orth st W U pp es t er B a S tra nn ng N or f th ord A nt B el rim fa st S ou Ea s Fe th rm An t an N tri m ag ort h hD & S own Ty ro S ou E ne as t L th D on ow N n ew do ry nde & r A ry La rm ag ga N h or n V th al er n ley Ire la M nd id U W ls es t t T er yr on e B el Fo fa y st le S ou th

Source: NISRA, NINIS (HE Enrolment data, DEL)

Of all Belfast South students enrolled, 58.5% were full time and 41.5% were part time students, while 56.6% were female and 43.4% were male. In total, 45.8% of those enrolled in higher education were mature students.21
20

Higher Education can be defined as education at a higher level than secondary school, usually provided in universities. 21 Mature Student in Higher Education defined as those aged 25 and over.

25

4. THE ECONOMY This section presents information on financial assistance provided by Invest NI as well as information on those completing and subsequently being offered financial assistance through its Start a Business Programme. Invest NI Assistance In 2008/09, Invest NI provided 21.0 million in financial assistance to companies in Belfast South, accounting for 14.6% of all assistance provided in Northern Ireland during that period. Companies in Belfast South received the 2nd highest amount of financial assistance in 2008/09. This information is not available at ward level.
Chart 19: Invest NI assistance in m provided to companies by Constituency, 2008/09
35 30 Assistance ( million) 25 20 15 10 5 0
W Ea e s tT st Lo yr nd on on e St de r r a ry No ng rth for d Be An lfa trim s La t W ga es n t Va lle y E a Fo st yle An M tr im Fe id rm B U a n elf lst ag a s er t h & N or th S S o Ty ro ut n h A e No n tr rth im Up D o pe wn So r B Ne ut an wr h D n y & ow n Be Ar m lfa a st gh Be So lfa u th st Ea st

Source: NISRA, NINIS (Invest NI)

26

Start a Business Programme Participation in the Start a Business Programme In 2008/09, 165 people from Belfast South completed the Invest NI Start a Business Programme. Belfast South was the Constituency with the 8th lowest number of people completing this programme. The lowest numbers of participants who completed the training were from Upper Malone (1). Minnowburn (3), Newtownbreda (4), and Finaghy (4). The highest numbers were from Windsor (18), Ravenhill (15), Stranmillis (14) and Malone (14).
Chart 20: Number of Invest NI Start a Business Programme participants by Constituency, 2008/09
350 300 No of participants 250 200 150 100 50 0
No rth Be D lfa ow n st Be W e st lfa s Be t E lfa as t st N or th Fo So yl ut e h An tr i St m r Be ang lfa for d st S Ea ou th Ne st An wr y tri & m Ar m La Ea ga agh n st Lo Val le nd on y So de rry ut h No Do rth w n W Ant ri es tT m yr Fe Up o rm pe n e an rB ag a M h id nn & So Uls ut te h r Ty ro ne

Source: NISRA, NINIS (Invest NI)

27

Financial Assistance offered to those who completed the Start a Business programme Of those who completed the Start a Business Programme, 36.4% Belfast South participants (60 people) were subsequently offered financial assistance. A lower proportion of Belfast South participants were subsequently offered financial assistance compared to the Northern Ireland figure of 49.3%. Belfast South was the Constituency with the 4th lowest proportion of participants who were offered financial assistance.
Chart 21: Proportion of Invest NI Start a Business Programme participants who were offered financial assistance by Constituency, 2008/09
80 Proportion offered assistance (%) 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0
La ga n No Va rth lley D St ow Be r an n lfa gfo r s Be t S d lfa ou th s Ea t N o rth st Be An lfa tr im So st ut Ea st h Up An t pe r im So r B ut an n h Do No Mid w n rth U Fe er lste n rm No Ire r an ag rth la n A d h & ntr im S B e Ty ro lfa s ne W tW Ne e s e wr t T st yr Ea y & o st A ne Lo r m nd ag on h de rry Fo yl e

Source: NISRA, NINIS (Invest NI)

28

5. EMPLOYMENT This section presents information on the number of employee jobs and employee jobs by sector; the number of redundancies in Belfast South and the unemployment claimant count. Employee jobs As at 3 September 2007, there were 99,360 employee jobs22 located in Belfast South, representing 14.0% of all employee jobs in Northern Ireland. Belfast South was the Constituency with the highest the number of employee jobs located in the area. The lowest concentrations of employee jobs were in the wards of Cairnshill (71), Minnowburn (302) and Knockbracken (308) and the highest in the wards of Shaftesbury (53,903), Botanic (11,921) and Blackstaff (8,649) although these figures are based on job location not home address and so variations between wards will depend on the nature of the ward - rural, residential or industrial. This information is not available at ward level.
Chart 22: No. of employee jobs by Constituency, September 2007
120000 100000 N of em o. ployee jobs 80000 60000

40000 20000

0
E as tA nt rim N or th D W es ow n tT yr S on ou e th D ow S n tra ng fo E rd as Mid t L -U on ls do ter Fe nd rm B er an el ry fa ag s h tW & S est Ty ro N ne or th A nt La rim ga n V al B le el y fa st E as t S ou Fo y N ew th A le nt ry rim & Ar m ag U pp h er B B el an fa n st N B or el fa th st S ou th

Source: NISRA, NINIS (Census of Employment, Department of Enterprise, Trade and Investment (DETI))
22

The Census of Employment is conducted every two years by means of a postal enquiry of all NI employers and a full response is sought in order to obtain an accurate count of the number of employee jobs at the Census date. It collects information on employees only (the self-employed are excluded) and counts the number of jobs rather than the number of people in these jobs.

29

Employee jobs by Sector In 2007, 96.3% of employee jobs in Belfast South were in the services sector, 1.9% were in construction and 1.5% were in manufacturing. A higher proportion of employee jobs in Belfast South were in services compared to the proportion of all Northern Ireland jobs which stood at 80.6%. A lower proportion of employee jobs in Belfast South were in manufacturing compared to the proportion of all Northern Ireland jobs which stood at 12.3%. A lower proportion of employee jobs in Belfast South were in construction compared to the proportion of all Northern Ireland jobs which stood at 6.2%.

Belfast South was the Constituency with the highest proportion of jobs in the services sector, the 2nd lowest in construction and the lowest in manufacturing. This information is not available at ward level.
Chart 23: Employee jobs by sector and Constituency, 2007
100%

90% 80%

70%

60% 50%

40%
Fe rm an ag Mid h & Uls S ter So Tyr ut on e h Ea Do st w n No An rth tr im A Up nt p rim W er B es a n t La Ty n ro ga n So n V e Ea u all ey st th Lo An nd tr im o Be nd lfa e rr No y rt st Ne her Eas t wr n I r y & ela n Ar d m St ag ra h ng fo r Be F d oy lfa st le No N o rth r Be th D lfa ow Be st W n lfa e st st So ut h

Other

Construction

Manufacturing

Services

Source: NISRA, NINIS (Census of Employment, DETI)

30

Redundancies In 2009, there were 443 redundancies23 in Belfast South, representing 9.6% of all redundancies made in Northern Ireland (please note that this refers to location of business rather than employee home). The Constituency of Belfast South had the 4th highest number of redundancies in 2009. This information is not available at ward level.
Chart 24: No. of redundancies by Constituency, 2009
800 700 No. of redundancies
23

600 500 400 300 200 100 0

St ra W ng e s fo rd t S o Ty ro ut h ne Ne No An t wr rth r im y An Ant ri d Fe Ar m rm m a n No a ag rth g h h & D ow S T n So yr Ea ut one st h Lo Do nd w on n d M e rr id y Up Uls te pe r La r B ga an n n Be Va lfa lle y s Be t N or lfa th Be st W lfa e st st So Ea st u th A Be n t lfa r im st Ea st Fo yl e

Source: NISRA, NINIS (Claimant Count Section, DETI)

While the figures provided are likely to be an underestimate of total job losses, it is not possible to quantify the extent of the shortfall. Subject to the criteria mentioned above, employers must notify the Department of Enterprise, Trade and Investment of (a) redundancies proposed and (b) redundancies confirmed. Since all proposed redundancies do not actually take place, the confirmed total provides a better indication of real job losses. Proposed redundancies are notified to the Department using the Advance Notification - HR1 Form. Redundancies do not necessarily equate to job losses, for example, employees who do not qualify for a redundancy package, those on temporary contracts, will not be incorporated into the redundancy figures.

31

Unemployment Claimant Count During the period January December 2009, there were 2,371 people claiming unemployment-related benefits24 in Belfast South. This equates to 3.8% of all working age constituents claiming such benefits. There was little difference in the proportion of working age people claiming unemployment-related benefits in Belfast South and the Northern Ireland figure of 4.5%. Belfast South was the Constituency with the 6th lowest proportion of unemployment-related benefit claimants. The proportion of working age people claiming unemployment-related benefits was lowest in the wards of Stranmillis (1.4%), Knockbracken (1.5%) and Cairnshill (1.6%) and highest in the wards of Blackstaff (8.8%), Shaftesbury (8.6%) and Woodstock (6.7%).
Chart 25: Proportion of working age people claiming unemployment- related benefits by Constituency, 2009
Unemployment-related benefit claimants (%) 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0
La ga n N Val or l th ey D ow S tr S an n ou gf th or d B An t el rim Fe rm B fa s a n el t E ag fa s as h tS t & o S uth Ty N ro or ne th A S nt ou r th im D U pp ow er n B an M N o r id U n t N her lste ew n r ry Ire la & nd A E rm ag as t h W An E e s tr im as t L t Ty on ro do n e nd B el fa err y st N or th B el Fo fa yl st e W es t

Source: NISRA, NINIS (Claimant Count, DETI)

24

The Claimant Count records the number of people claiming unemployment-related benefits. 'Claimants' include the severely disabled claimants, but exclude students seeking vacation work and the temporarily stopped. The claimant count consists of all people claiming JSA at Jobcentre Plus local offices. They must declare that they are out of work, capable of, available for and actively seeking work during the week in which their claim is made.

32

6. HOUSING This section presents information on housing type within Belfast South as well as information on planning applications and decisions in the area. Housing type In 2008, there were 42,180 properties in Belfast South, representing 5.9% of all properties in Northern Ireland. A higher proportion of properties in Belfast South were terraced compared to the Northern Ireland figure (43.3% compared to 30.5%), accounting for the highest proportion of properties in the area. A higher proportion of properties in Belfast South were apartments compared to Northern Ireland as a whole (18.1% vs. 8.1%). There was little difference in the proportions of semi-detached properties in Belfast South and the Northern Ireland figure (24.2% vs. 25.2%). A lower proportion of properties in Belfast South were detached compared to the Northern Ireland figure (14.3% compared to 36.3%), accounting for the lowest proportion of properties in the area.
Charts 26 and 27: Housing type, 2008 Belfast South
18.1%

Northern Ireland
8.1%

30.5%

43.3% 14.3%

36.3%

24.2%

25.2%

Apartments

Detached

Terraced

Semi-detached

Source: NISRA, NINIS (Valuation List, Land and Property Services)

33

Planning applications and decisions Planning applications In 2008/09, there were 959 new planning applications received, representing 4.7% of all Northern Ireland applications received.25 Belfast South was the Constituency with the 7th lowest number of planning applications in 2008/09. This information is not available at ward level.
Chart 28: Number of planning applications by Constituency, 2008/09
2500

No. of applications received

2000

1500

1000

500

0
Be lfa s Be t W lfa es t s Be t N o lfa rth s Ea t E st ast A No n tr rth im D ow n Be Fo lfa yl e st Up So pe u th r St Ban r n So ang fo ut rd h La An Ea g tr st an im Lo Va Ne nd lle wr on y d y & e rr Ar y No m rth ag h W An e s trim tT y M ron Fe id e rm U a n Sou lst ag th er h Do & S wn Ty ro ne

Source: NISRA, NINIS (Planning Service, Department of Environment (DoE))

25

Applications received also include withdrawn applications.

34

Planning Decisions Decisions were made on a total of 1,21426 planning applications for the Belfast South area during 2008/09, 91.5% of which were approved.27 A slightly lower proportion of applications were approved for Belfast South compared to the Northern Ireland total of 94.2% all decided applications. Belfast South was the Constituency with the 4th lowest proportion of approvals in 2008/09. This information is not available at ward level.
Chart 29: Proportion of planning applications approved by Constituency, 2008/09
98 96 Proportion approved (%)
26

94 92 90 88 86 84
Be F lfa oyl e s Be t N or lfa t Be st W h lfa es st t Be So ut lfa s h Ea t E st ast An Ea Sou tr im th st Lo Do nd w on n No de rry No rt rth h D er ow n Ir n St ela n r So ang d f ut h or d An Ne Mi tr im wr d U y & lste r A La r m ga ag h n Up Val pe ley W rB e s an Fe t n rm No Tyr an rth on ag A e h & ntri m S Ty ro ne

Source: NISRA, NINIS (Planning Service, DoE)

Note that the number of decisions is higher than the number of planning applications received as this includes applications from previous years. 27 Excludes withdrawn applications. The number and per cent of applications approved is based on the number of decisions issued in the same year.

35

CRIME This section presents information on the overall recorded crime rate in Belfast South and breaks this down further into violent crime, burglary, theft and criminal damage. Information on anti-social behaviour rates is also presented in this section. These figures relate to where the offence occurred rather than where the offender was from. Overall Crime rate In 2009/10, a total of 11,226 offences were recorded in Belfast South, representing 10.3% of all offences recorded in Northern Ireland. This equates to an overall crime rate of 12,269 per 100,000 persons. The overall crime rate for Belfast South was much higher than the Northern Ireland rate of 6,149 per 100,000 persons. Belfast South was the Constituency with the highest crime rate. Overall crime rates were lowest in the wards of Cairnshill (1,538), Galwally (1,786) and Knockbracken (2,345) and highest in the wards of Shaftesbury (62,705), Botanic (27,874) and Blackstaff (16,009).
Chart 30: Crime rate per 100,000 persons by Constituency, 2009/10
14000 12000 10000 8000 6000 4000 2000 0

Overall Crime rate

Source: NISRA, NINIS (Notifiable Offences Recorded, Police Service for Northern Ireland (PSNI))

St ra n M gfo rd id No Uls rt ter W hD e s ow tT n Ea yro ne st La An ga trim n V S ou alle Fe th y rm S an ou Do ag th wn A h & ntr S im N Tyr on Ne o rt wr h A e nt y N & A rim or rm th er ag n h U Irel pp an e d B rB el an fa st n E E as as t tL Fo on d o y le nd B el fa e rry st B el We fa s B st N t el or fa th st S ou th

36

Crime Rates by type - violent crime, burglary, theft and criminal damage Rates of violent crime, burglary, theft and criminal damage were higher in Belfast South than the Northern Ireland rates.
Table 2: Crime Rates by type of crime, 2009/10

Violent Crime Burglary Theft Criminal Damage

Belfast South Rate Rank* 3,480 1,572 4,031 2,233

1 1 1 3

Northern Ireland Rate 1,865 709 1,499 1,490

*1=highest crime rate, 18=lowest crime rate Source: NISRA, NINIS

Violent Crime In 2009/10, the violent crime rate for Belfast South was 3,480 per 100,000 persons and was higher than the Northern Ireland rate. Violent crime rates were lowest in the wards of Galwally (249), Cairnshill (399) and Knockbracken (451) and highest in the wards of Shaftesbury (21,516), Botanic (7,955) and Blackstaff (4,084). Burglary In 2009/10, the burglary rate for Belfast South was 1,572 per 100,000 persons and was higher than the Northern Ireland rate. Burglary rates were lowest in the wards of Knockbracken (301), Cairnshill (342) and Beechill (480) and highest in the wards of Botanic (4,944), Shaftesbury (3,353) and Ravenhill (1,818). Theft In 2009/10, the theft rate for Belfast South was 4,031 per 100,000 persons and was higher than the Northern Ireland rate. Theft rates were lowest in the wards of Cairnshill (285), Galwally (374) and Upper Malone (679) and highest in the wards of Shaftesbury (25,171), Botanic (6,959) and Blackstaff (5,935). Criminal Damage In 2009/10, the criminal damage rate for Belfast South was 2,233 per 100,000 persons and was higher than the Northern Ireland rate. Criminal damage rates were lowest in the wards of Cairnshill (370), Knockbracken (451) and Galwally (540) and highest in the wards of Shaftesbury (8,533), Botanic (6,156) and Blackstaff (3,185).

37

Anti-social Behaviour In 2009/10, there were 7,052 incidents of anti-social behaviour in Belfast South. This equates to a rate of 7,707 anti-social behaviour incidents per 100,000 persons. The rate of anti-social behaviour incidents is much higher in Belfast South than the Northern Ireland rate of 4,625 per 100,000 persons. Belfast South was the Constituency with the 2nd highest rate of anti-social behaviour incidents. Anti-social behaviour incident rates were lowest in the wards of Galwally (1,329), Cairnshill (1,481) and Knockbracken (1,563) and highest in the wards of Shaftesbury (32,608), Botanic (17,591) and Woodstock (8,753).
Chart 31: Rates of Anti-social Behaviour Incidents per 100,000 persons by Constituency, 2009/10
9000 8000 Rate per 100,000 persons 7000 6000 5000 4000 3000 2000 1000 0

Source: NISRA, NINIS (Anti-social behaviour incidents, PSNI)

Fe rm an ag h

S T St yr on ra n e M gfo i r W dU d Ne e s lst wr t T er y y & ron Ar e So m ut ag La h D h ga ow n n No Va lle r No th D y rth ow n Up Ant pe rim Ea r B st an Be An n No lfa tr im rt h st E er a So n I r s t el ut h a nd An Ea tr i m st Lo F oy nd Be on le lfa de r Be st W ry lfa s es Be t S t lfa ou st th N or th

&

38

7. DEPRIVATION AND POVERTY This section presents information from the Northern Ireland Multiple Deprivation Measure 2010 and on the number of people claiming benefits. Northern Ireland Multiple Deprivation Measure The Northern Ireland Multiple Deprivation Measure (NIMDM) 2010 identifies small concentrations of multiple deprivation across Northern Ireland. Summaries at Constituency level consisting of five measures are also produced. The following contains the summary information for Belfast South. Extent Belfast South has an Extent of 20%. This means that 20% of people living in Belfast South live in the most28 deprived Super Output Areas29 in Northern Ireland. Belfast South is the Constituency ranked 5th most deprived in terms of Extent. Income Deprivation Scale The Income Deprivation Scale shows that there are 17,502 people in Belfast South experiencing Income Deprivation (defined as being in receipt of incomerelated benefits/tax credits). Belfast South is the Constituency ranked 15 out of 18 on this measure of deprivation. Percentage of the total population Income Deprived 19% of those living in Belfast South are income deprived. Belfast South is ranked 13 out of 18 on this measure of deprivation. Employment Deprivation Scale The Employment Deprivation Scale shows that 5,473 people in Belfast South are experiencing employment deprivation (defined as being in receipt of employment-related benefits or on a government training programme). Belfast South is ranked 16 out of 18 on this measure of deprivation. Percentage of working age population Employment Deprived 9% of working age people in Belfast South are employment deprived. Belfast South is ranked 17 out of 18 on this measure of deprivation.

Most deprived is defined as within the first 30% most deprived areas, including all of the population in the 10% most deprived SOAs, and a proportion of the population from the next two deciles (i.e. the next 20%) on a sliding scale. 29 A geography designed for the collection of small area statistics with similar population sizes.

28

39

Table 3: NIMDM 2010 for the Constituency of Belfast South

Measure Extent (%) Income Deprived Scale % of total population Income Deprived Employment Deprived Scale % of working age population Employment Deprived
*1=most deprived, 18=least deprived Source: NISRA, NINIS (NIMDM 2010)

Score 20 17,502 19 5,473 9

Rank* 5 15 13 16 17

Deprivation within Belfast South The most deprived areas in Belfast South were covered the wards of Shaftesbury and parts of Blackstaff, Botanic, Woodstock which were ranked in the 10% most deprived areas in Northern Ireland. The least deprived areas in Belfast South covered the wards of Galwally, Knockbracken, Malone, Stranmillis and parts of Beechill, Cairnshill, Finaghy and Upper Malone which were which are ranked in the 10% least deprived areas in Northern Ireland.

40

Benefit Claimants As at April 2010, there were 24,398 people in Belfast South were claiming at least one benefit. This equates to 31.8% of all constituents aged 16 and over claiming at least one benefit. A lower proportion of people aged 16 and over from Belfast South were claiming at least one benefit compared to the Northern Ireland proportion of 37.6%. Belfast South was the Constituency with the lowest proportion of benefit claimants. The lowest proportions of benefit claimants were concentrated in the wards of Stranmillis (16.4%), Botanic (16.7%) and Cairnshill (17.5%) and the highest proportions were concentrated in the wards of Minnowburn (44.5%), Shaftesbury (41.9%) and Blackstaff (37.8%).30
Chart 32: Proportion of the people aged 16+ claiming at least one benefit by Constituency, February 2010
60 Proportion claiming benefits (%)

50 40

30

20 10

0
Fe rm B a n elf ag a s h tS & o S u So Ty th ut r o n h La An e ga tr i n m V St all r a ey n M gfo id r So Ul d st ut h er Ea Do st w A n No n t rth r im Up D p ow No er B n No rth an A n Ea rthe nt st rn rim I L Ne on rela wr d on nd y & de r A r Be r m y lfa ag W st h e s Ea t T st yr on Be F e lfa oy Be st N le lfa or st th W es t

Source: NISRA, NINIS (Social Security Benefits data, Department for Social Development (DSD))

30

Ward figures calculated as a proportion of total population using 2008 mid-year estimates.

41

Income support As at February 2010, there were 3,999 people claiming Income Support in Belfast South. This equates to 6.5% of all working age constituents claiming this benefit. A slightly lower proportion of working age people were claiming Income Support in Belfast South compared to the Northern Ireland figure of 8.0%. Belfast South was the Constituency with the 8th lowest proportion of the working age people claiming Income Support. The lowest proportions of Income Support claimants were concentrated in the wards31 of Knockbracken (0.5%), Stranmillis (0.6%) and Cairnshill (0.9%). The highest proportions were concentrated in the wards of Shaftesbury (14.6%), Woodstock (10.1%) and Blackstaff (9.0%).
Chart 33: Proportion of working age population claiming Income Support by Constituency, February 2010
25

Proportion claiming IS (%)

20

15

10

0
No rth D St ow ra La ng n ga fo r So n V d al ut Fe h ley rm A a n Ea n tr im ag st A h & n tr S im No Tyr on rt Be h A e nt lfa s rim S o t So ut u th h D M ow id n Ea Up Ulst st pe er Lo r B nd an n o Be nd er No lfa ry rth st E Ne er a wr n I st re y la & A n W rm d es a t T gh yr on Be F e lfa oy l Be st N e lfa or st th W es t

Source: NISRA, NINIS (Social Security Benefits data, DSD)

31

Ward figures calculated as a proportion of total population using 2008 mid-year estimates.

42

Housing Benefit As at May 2009, there were 7,705 people claiming Housing Benefit in Belfast South. This equates to 10.1% of all constituents aged 16 and over claiming this benefit. There was little difference in the proportion of people living in Belfast South claiming Housing Benefit and Northern Ireland figure of 10.0%. Belfast South was the Constituency with the 6th highest proportion of Housing Benefit claimants. The lowest proportions of Housing Benefit claimants were concentrated in the wards of Cairnshill (1.0%), Stranmillis (1.1%) and Knockbracken (1.4%) while the highest proportions were concentrated in Shaftesbury (26.3%), Woodstock (20.7%) and Blackstaff (17.9%).32
Chart 34: Proportion of those aged 16 and over claiming Housing Benefit by Constituency, May 2009
25

Proportion claiming HB (%)

20

15

10

0
La ga So n V ut all e h A y No n tr rth im D St ow Fe ra rm n n an M gfo ag id r d h & Uls S ter So Tyr ut on h e Ea Do st w n N An Ne o rt tr im wr h A y n & trim Ar U m No p pe agh r r Ea the Ba st rn nn Lo Ire nd la Be on nd lfa de s rr W tS y e s ou th t B e Ty r on lfa st e Ea s Be F t lfa oy l Be st W e lfa es st t N or th

Source: NISRA, NINIS (Housing Benefit data, Northern Ireland Housing Executive, aggregated by DSD)

32

Ward figures calculated as a proportion of total population using 2008 mid-year estimates.

43

9. ELECTION RESULTS This section presents information on the 2010 Westminster Election Results and the 2007 Assembly Election Results. 2010 Westminster Election Results In Belfast South, 59,524 people were eligible to vote in the 2010 Westminster Elections. 34,186 valid votes were cast, a turnout of 57.4%.33 Turnout for Belfast South was slightly higher than the Northern Ireland turnout of 56.7%. The SDLP received the majority of votes in the Constituency with 14,026 votes. As a result, Alasdair McDonnell, was elected to represent Belfast South.
Chart 35: 2010 Westminster Election Results

3% 15% Alasdair McDonnell, SDLP

Jimmy Spratt, DUP 41% Paula Bradshaw, Ulster Conservatives and Unionists New Force Anna Lo, Alliance

17%

Adam McGribbon, Green Party

24%

Candidate (*elected) 1st pref votes Party Alasdair McDonnell* 14,026 Social Democratic & Labour Party Jimmy Spratt 8,100 Democratic Unionist Party Paula Bradshaw 5,910 Ulster Conservatives and Unionists - New Force Anna Lo 5,114 Alliance Adam McGribbon 1,036 Green Source: The Electoral Office for Northern Ireland

33

Excludes invalid votes, n = 173

44

2007 Assembly Election Results In Belfast South, 48,923 people were eligible to vote in the 2007 Assembly Elections. 30,344 valid votes were cast, a turnout of 62.0%. Turnout for Belfast South was similar to the Northern Ireland turnout of 62.3%. The SDLP won 2 seats while the DUP, UUP, Sinn Fin and the Alliance Party won 1 seat each.
Chart 36: 2007 Assembly Election Results
3% 13% 28%

SDLP 14% DUP UUP Sinn F Alliance Green Party

19%

23%

Candidate (*elected) 1st pref Votes Party Jimmy Spratt* 4,762 Democratic Unionist Party (DUP). Alasdair McDonnell* 4,379 SDLP (Social Democratic & Labour Party) Alex Maskey* 3,996 Sinn Fin Anna Lo* 3,829 Alliance Carmel Hanna* 3,748 Social Democratic & Labour Party (SDLP) Michael McGimpsey* 2,647 Ulster Unionist Party (UUP) Christopher Stalford 2,035 DUP Esmond Birnie 1,804 UUP Bobby Stoker 1,122 UUP Brenda Cooke 737 Green Andrew Park 410 Progressive Unionist Party (PUP) David Hoey 298 UK Unionist Party James Barbour 248 Socialist Party Patrick Joseph Lynn 123 Workers Party Roger Lomas 108 Conservative Rainbow George 66 Make Politicians History Charles Smyth 22 Procapitalism Geoffrey Wilson 10 Independent Source: The Electoral Office for Northern Ireland

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This document has been produced by Research & Library Services for the benefit of Assembly members and their staff. For further information please contact: Research & Library Services Northern Ireland Assembly Stormont Belfast BT4 3XX Phone: 028 9041 8320 Fax: 028 9052 1922