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New Guinea
Overview
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3. 4. 5. 6.
PNG health status from a comparative perspective PNG maternal health from a development perspective Focus of research Data & methods of research Findings Policy & operation implications
Disclaimer: The views expressed in this paper/presentation are the views of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views or policies of the Asian Development Bank (ADB), or its Board of Governors, or the governments they represent. ADB does not guarantee the accuracy of the data included in this paper and accepts no responsibility for any consequence of their use. Terminology used may not necessarily be consistent with ADB official terms.
60
40
20
0
Cambodia Fiji Islands Indonesia Lao PDR Philippines PNG TimorLeste Vanuatu
Source: ADB 2012. Papua New Guinea Critical Development Constraints. Based on data from ADB Key Indicators for Asia and the Pacific 2010.
2000
2008
150
100
50
0
Cambodia Fiji Islands Indonesia Lao PDR Philippines PNG TimorLeste Vanuatu
Source: ADB 2012. Papua New Guinea Critical Development Constraints. Based on data from ADB Key Indicators for Asia and the Pacific 2010.
Source: ADB 2012. Papua New Guinea Critical Development Constraints. Based on data from ADB Key Indicators for Asia and the Pacific 2010.
Source: ADB, Forthcoming, PNG: Critical Development Constraints. Based on data from World Development Indicators, World Bank, accessed on 14 October 2010.
Percentage of Women with At Least One Antenatal Care Visit During Pregnancy (1996 & 2006)
100 80 60 40 20 0
1996
PNG Urban Rural Southern Highlands
2006
Momase Islands No Grades Grades 6 Grades education 1-5 7+
Type of residence
Region
Source: ADB 2012. PNG: Critical Development Constraints. Based on 1996 and 2006 Demographic and Health Surveys, National Reports.
1996
2006
Place of residence
Region
Source: ADB 2012. PNG: Critical Development Constraints. Based on 1996 and 2006 Demographic and Health Surveys, National Reports.
1996
2006
Place of residence
Region
Source: ADB 2012. PNG: Critical Development Constraints. Based on 1996 and 2006 Demographic and Health Surveys, National Reports.
Health care system (supply-side): - health expenditures - health care staff - functioning health facilities Social factors (demand-side): - economic status: household income/wealth - womens education - womens empowerment status (decision-making) Other geographic factors: - physical accessibility (urban vs. rural, basic infrastructure)
Decentralized since 1995: - health services by provincial govt - churches operate half of rural services Declining health performance: - many facilities closed or not functioning (e.g., drug supplies, aid posts) - underfunding & inadequate staffing - significant variation across provinces ADB financing (& AusAID) for Rural Primary Health Services Delivery Project
New Ireland
Gulf
Morobe
Oro
Madang
Simbu
Enga
Sandaun
Central
Milne Bay
Southern Highlands
Higher funded
Medium funded
Western Highlands
Eastern Highlands
Lower funded
Source: National Economic and Fiscal Commission, 2009. Walking The Talk.
East Sepik
Western
Manus
Figure 4: Supervised delivery care and per capita health expenditure and health worker ratio per 10,000 population
100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0
New Ireland Northern(Oro) E New Britain W New Britain Bougainville Milne Bay Central Enga We Highlands Simbu So Highlands Ea Highlands Sandaum Madang Morobe Western E. Sepik Manus NCD Gulf
Per capita health exp Health worker ratio per 10,000 population Delivery care
Southern
Highlands
Northern
Islands
Source: ADB analysis based on data from 2006 DHS and NDoH.
Mothers education: strong impact on both maternal care & infant/child mortality (why?) Mothers employment: not straightforward (resources, awareness vs. risks, delayed care) HH economic status: consistently positive for maternal and children health (direct/indirect costs, living environments) Mothers age, birth order, birth interval - for 1st birth, more likely to seek care and give birth at a facility - young mothers: confounding factors ??
PNG 2006 DHS: - 8,000 rural & 2,000 urban HH - women in ages of 15-49 - children born during 5 yrs prior to the survey (unit of analysis): N =7,618 births Dependent variables for maternal health service utilization (a) at least one antenatal care (b) skilled health staff at delivery (c) place of delivery Estimation methods: - logistic regression (maximum likelihood) - multinomial logit for (c)
Nurses, 40 No Care, 10
Home environment, 49
Govt. hospitals, 29
(1)
Logistic regression models for utilization of antenatal care services (sel. vars.)
URBAN (n=1,210) coef. (SE) (0.41) -(0.40) (0.33) -(0.69) (0.21) -(0.25) (0.34) (0.36) (0.29) -(0.29) odd rat. 2.05 -2.30 2.96 -1.35 0.69 -1.48 2.92 1.47 1.92 -0.87 coef. -0.49*** -0.38** 0.90*** -0.11 0.52*** -0.25*** 0.49 0.35** 0.14 -0.41*** RURAL (n=5,764) (SE) (0.13) -(0.13) (0.18) -(0.12) (0.16) -(0.10) (0.36) (0.14) (0.11) -(0.14) odd rat. 0.61 -1.46 2.46 -1.12 1.68 -1.29 1.62 1.42 1.15 -1.50
Variables
Edu:
0.72 -0.83* 1.09** -0.30 -0.38^ -0.39 1.07*** 0.39 0.65* --0.14
Emp:
Asset:
None Radio TV
10
(0.69) (0.21)
(0.12) (0.16)
(0.29)
(0.14)
(0.58) (0.40)
(0.16) (0.11)
N=1,210
N=5,764
Note: Standard errors are in parenthesis. *** p<.001, ** p<.01, *p<.05, ^p<.10 (two-tailed tests) Results are based on weighted data; standard errors are adjusted for survey design.
Table 2. Logistic Regregssion Models for Assisted Delivery URBAN Explanatory Variables Constant Education No education Grade 1-5 (reference) Grade 6 Grade 7+ Employment Not employed (Reference) Subsistence farming Employed outside home Source of drinking water Other sources (Reference) Piped or well water Assets None (Reference) Radio only Radio &/or TV only Birth order First Births 2-3 4+ (Reference) Mother's age 15-24 25-34 35-49 (Reference) Region Highlands (Reference) Southern Northern Islands Medical staff ratio average of 2004/2005 Per capita health expenditure -2 log likelihood Sample size Coefficient -0.23 0.15 0.08 0.92 * (SE) (0.67) (0.39) (0.37) (0.41) Odds Ratio -0.34 1.17 1.08 2.51 Coefficient -0.60 * -0.48 *** 0.38 *** 0.84 *** RURAL (SE) (0.31) (0.11) (0.11) (0.13) Odds Ratio 0.00 0.62 1.46 2.33
0.37 -0.21 0.23 0.22 1.15 ** 0.89 *** 0.31 ^ -0.69 -0.45 2.03 *** 1.03 *** 0.35 1.89 * -0.05 ^
(0.38) (0.23)
1.44 0.81 1.25 1.25 3.14 2.43 1.36 0.50 0.64 7.62 2.79 1.42 6.65 0.95
0.00 0.33 ** 0.44 *** 0.31 *** 0.92 *** 0.87 *** 0.26 *** -0.38 *** -0.24 ** -0.63 *** -0.84 *** 0.50 * 0.25 0.01
(0.10) (0.12)
1.00 1.39 1.56 1.37 2.50 2.38 1.30 0.68 0.79 0.53 0.43 1.66 1.29 1.01
(0.23)
(0.15)
(0.45) (0.32)
(0.13) (0.10)
N=1,210
N=5,764
Note: Standard errors are in parenthesis. *** p<.001, ** p<.01, *p<.05, ^p<.10 (two-tailed tests) Results are based on weighted data; standard errors are adjusted for survey design.
Rural Government Hospitals/ Health Centers Odds Ratio Coefficient (SE) -1.15 *** (0.33) Church Supported/ Other Health Centers Odds Ratio Coefficient (SE) -1.60 *** (0.38)
Explanatory Variables Constant Education No education Grade 1-5 (reference) Grade 1-6 Grade 7 or higher Employment Not employed (Reference) Subsistence farming Employed outside home Source of drinking water Other sources (Reference) Piped or well water Possession of a radio &/or TV None (Reference) Radio only Radio &/or TV only Birth order First Births 2-3 4+ (reference) Mother's age 15-24 25-34 35-49 (Reference) Region Highlands (Reference) Southern Northern Islands
-0.69 *** 0.21 0.81 *** -0.22 ^ 0.28 * 0.59 *** 0.44 *** 1.38 *** 0.96 *** 0.31 *** -0.49 ** -0.20 -0.80 *** -1.09 *** 0.13 -0.14 0.02
0.50 1.23 2.25 0.80 1.33 1.81 1.55 3.96 2.62 1.37 0.61 0.82 0.45 0.33 1.14 0.87 1.02
-0.24 0.40 ** 0.67 *** 0.21 ^ 0.41 ** 0.40 * 0.24 * 0.43 ^ 0.86 *** 0.23 * -0.37 ** -0.31 ** -0.56 * -0.82 *** 0.75 ** 0.27 0.02
0.79 1.49 1.95 1.23 1.51 1.50 1.27 1.53 2.37 1.26 0.69 0.73 0.57 0.44 2.13 1.31 1.02
(0.12) (0.15)
(0.13) (0.14)
(0.17)
(0.19)
(0.16) (0.13)
(0.15) (0.12)
Medical staff ratio average of 2004/2005 Per capital health expenditure -2 log likelihood Sample size
N=5,764
Note: Standard errors are in parenthesis. *** p<.001, ** p<.01, *p<.05, ^p<.10 (two-tailed tests) Results are based on weighted data; standard errors are adjusted for survey design.