About Dementia Statistics - AsiaPacificEpidemicSept06 - Statistical Appendix

NOT FOR PUBLICATION
DEMENTIA IN THE ASIA

PACIFIC REGION:
STATISTICAL APPENDIX
BY
ACCESS ECONOMICS PTY LIMITED
FOR
ASIA PACIFIC MEMBERS OF

ALZHEIMER'S DISEASE INTERNATIONAL
21 SEPTEMBER 2006
Dementia in the Asia Pacific Region:

Statistical Appendix
NOT FOR PUBLICATION
DEMENTIA PREVALENCE AND INCIDENCE ESTIMATES

This statistical appendix presents individual estimates of prevalence and incidence for
each of the economies included in the Asia Pacific region, for the period 2005 to 2050.
At the end, a summary of the regional data is presented.
For each economy, a table of data is presented first, which includes:
!
Population (in thousands of people) is the estimated total population of each

economy according the United Nations estimates and projections, for the given
year.
Prevalence (in thousands of people) is the number of people with dementia in

each economy estimated on the basis of multiplying the matrix of prevalence
rates (by age group and gender) to the matrix of population (by age group and
gender), for the given year.
Incidence (in thousands of people) is the number of new cases of people with
dementia in each economy estimated on the basis of multiplying the matrix of
incidence rates (by age group and gender) to the matrix of population (by age
group and gender), for the given year.
Prevalence rate is the estimated prevalence of dementia in each economy

expressed as a percentage of the economys population, for the given year.
Incidence rate is the estimated incidence of dementia in each economy

expressed as a percentage of the economys population, for the given year.
Population share is the population of each economy expressed as a percentage

of the total population for the Asia Pacific region, for the given year.
Prevalence share is the estimated prevalence of dementia in each economy

expressed as a percentage of the total dementia prevalence for the Asia Pacific
region, for the given year.
Incidence share is the estimated incidence of dementia in each economy

expressed as a percentage of the total dementia incidence for the Asia Pacific
region, for the given year.
Two figures are also presented for each economy.

!
The first depicts the change in the prevalence rate and incidence rate, as defined
above, over the period 2005-2050 (expressed as a percentage).
The second depicts the change in prevalence and incidence, as defined above,
over the period 2005-2050 (expressed in thousands of people).
Every economy experiences an increase in its prevalence rate, incidence rate,

prevalence and incidence. However, the rates of change (gradient) and extent of
change vary depending on the projected rates of demographic ageing.
Data for the Republic of Korea include official estimates as well as those by Access
Economics.

NOT FOR PUBLICATION

Australia
Australia
Population (000s)
Prevalence (000s)
Incidence (000s)
Prevalence rate (%)
Incidence rate (%)
Population share (%)
Prevalence share (%)
Incidence share (%)
2005
20,158
195
60
0.97
0.30
0.56
1.43
1.41
2010
21,199
229
70
1.08
0.33
0.56
1.39
1.36
2015
22,249
263
80
1.18
0.36
0.56
1.32
1.31
2020
23,314
301
91
1.29
0.39
0.56
1.27
1.25
2025
24,325
350
106
1.44
0.44
0.57
1.23
1.22
2030
25,239
412
125
1.63
0.50
0.58
1.20
1.20
2035
26,022
482
147
1.85
0.56
0.58
1.17
1.17
2040
26,708
552
168
2.07
0.63
0.59
1.13
1.13
2045
27,336
613
185
2.24
0.68
0.60
1.08
1.07
2.50
2.00
1.50
1.00
0.50
0.00
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
Prevalence rate (%)
2040
2045
2050
Incidence rate (%)
700
600
500
400
300
200
100
0
2005
2010
2015
2020
Prevalence (000s)
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Incidence (000s)
2050
2050
27,940
664
200
2.38
0.71
0.61
1.03
1.01

NOT FOR PUBLICATION
Bangladesh
Bangladesh
Population (000s)
Prevalence (000s)
Incidence (000s)
Prevalence rate (%)
Incidence rate (%)
Incidence share (%)
2005
141,820
260
85
0.18
0.06
3.96
1.90
1.98
2010
154,959
307
100
0.20
0.06
4.10
1.86
1.95
2015
168,155
371
118
0.22
0.07
4.24
1.87
1.93
2020
181,180
449
142
0.25
0.08
4.39
1.89
1.95
2025
193,751
554
172
0.29
0.09
4.54
1.95
1.99
2030
205,642
688
213
0.33
0.10
4.69
2.01
2.04
2035
216,666
858
264
0.40
0.12
4.84
2.08
2.11
2040
226,665
1,068
329
0.47
0.14
4.99
2.18
2.20
2045
235,471
1,320
405
0.56
0.17
5.13
2.32
2.34
0.70
0.60
0.50
0.40
0.30
0.20
0.10
0.00
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
Prevalence rate (%)
2040
2045
2050
Incidence rate (%)
1,800
1,600
1,400
1,200
1,000
800
600
400
200
0
2005
2010
2015
2020
Prevalence (000s)
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Incidence (000s)
2050
2050
242,935
1,607
492
0.66
0.20
5.26
2.49
2.50

NOT FOR PUBLICATION
Bhutan
Bhutan
Population (000s)
Prevalence (000s)
Incidence (000s)
Prevalence rate (%)
Incidence rate (%)
Incidence share (%)
2005
2,159
5
2
0.23
0.07
0.06
0.04
0.04
2010
2,413
6
2
0.26
0.08
0.06
0.04
0.04
2015
2,683
8
2
0.28
0.09
0.07
0.04
0.04
2020
2,950
9
3
0.31
0.10
0.07
0.04
0.04
2025
3,208
10
3
0.32
0.10
0.08
0.04
0.04
2030
3,458
12
4
0.34
0.11
0.08
0.03
0.04
2035
3,702
14
4
0.37
0.12
0.08
0.03
0.03
2035
2040
2040
3,946
16
5
0.42
0.13
0.09
0.03
0.03
2045
4,183
20
6
0.49
0.15
0.09
0.04
0.04
2050
4,392
25
8
0.58
0.18
0.10
0.04
0.04
0.70
0.60
0.50
0.40
0.30
0.20
0.10
0.00
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
Prevalence rate (%)
2045
2050
Incidence rate (%)
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
2005
2010
2015
2020
Prevalence (000s)
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Incidence (000s)
2050

NOT FOR PUBLICATION
Brunei Darussalam
Brunei Darussalam
Population (000s)
Prevalence (000s)
Incidence (000s)
Prevalence rate (%)
Incidence rate (%)
Incidence share (%)
2005
372
1
0
0.15
0.05
0.01
0.00
0.00
2010
413
1
0
0.19
0.06
0.01
0.00
0.00
2015
453
1
0
0.20
0.06
0.01
0.00
0.00
2020
491
1
0
0.27
0.08
0.01
0.01
0.01
2025
526
2
1
0.33
0.10
0.01
0.01
0.01
2030
561
2
1
0.44
0.14
0.01
0.01
0.01
2035
594
3
1
0.54
0.17
0.01
0.01
0.01
2040
628
5
1
0.73
0.23
0.01
0.01
0.01
2045
653
6
2
0.84
0.26
0.01
0.01
0.01
2045
2050
1.20
1.00
0.80
0.60
0.40
0.20
0.00
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
Prevalence rate (%)
2040
Incidence rate (%)
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
2005
2010
2015
2020
Prevalence (000s)
2025
2030
2035
2040
Incidence (000s)
2045
2050
2050
678
7
2
1.05
0.32
0.01
0.01
0.01

NOT FOR PUBLICATION
Cambodia
Cambodia
Population (000s)
Prevalence (000s)
Incidence (000s)
Prevalence rate (%)
Incidence rate (%)
Incidence share (%)
2005
14,071
23
8
0.17
0.05
0.39
0.17
0.18
2010
15,526
29
9
0.19
0.06
0.41
0.18
0.19
2015
17,068
37
12
0.21
0.07
0.43
0.18
0.19
2020
18,580
45
14
0.24
0.08
0.45
0.19
0.20
2025
19,989
56
18
0.28
0.09
0.47
0.20
0.21
2030
21,312
70
22
0.33
0.10
0.49
0.20
0.21
2035
22,574
84
27
0.37
0.12
0.50
0.20
0.21
2040
23,791
99
31
0.42
0.13
0.52
0.20
0.21
2035
2040
2045
2045
24,942
119
37
0.48
0.15
0.54
0.21
0.21
2050
25,970
141
43
0.54
0.17
0.56
0.22
0.22
0.60
0.50
0.40
0.30
0.20
0.10
0.00
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
Prevalence rate (%)
2050
Incidence rate (%)
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
2005
2010
2015
2020
Prevalence (000s)
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Incidence (000s)

NOT FOR PUBLICATION
China
China
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (000s)
1,315,844 1,354,533 1,392,981 1,423,936 1,441,430 1,446,454 1,442,973 1,433,434 1,416,925 1,392,309
Prevalence (000s)
5,539
6,647
8,021
9,591
11,646
14,267
17,455
20,748
24,012
26,986
Incidence (000s)
1,720
2,050
2,442
2,915
3,515
4,318
5,288
6,349
7,384
8,264
Prevalence rate (%)
0.42
0.49
0.58
0.67
0.81
0.99
1.21
1.45
1.69
1.94
Incidence rate (%)
0.13
0.15
0.18
0.20
0.24
0.30
0.37
0.44
0.52
0.59
36.72
35.87
35.16
34.48
33.74
32.99
32.26
31.55
30.85
30.15
40.42
40.29
40.42
40.42
40.90
41.58
42.26
42.43
42.26
41.75
Incidence share (%)
40.17
40.02
39.99
40.14
40.57
41.41
42.14
42.55
42.58
41.97
2.50
2.00
1.50
1.00
0.50
0.00
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
Prevalence rate (%)
2040
2045
2050
Incidence rate (%)
30,000
25,000
20,000
15,000
10,000
5,000
0
2005
2010
2015
2020
Prevalence (000s)
2025
2030
2035
2040
Incidence (000s)
2045
2050

NOT FOR PUBLICATION
China (Hong Kong)

China (Hong Kong)
Population (000s)
Prevalence (000s)
Incidence (000s)
Prevalence rate (%)
Incidence rate (%)
Incidence share (%)
2005
7,041
60
19
0.85
0.26
0.20
0.44
0.43
2010
7,418
75
23
1.01
0.31
0.20
0.46
0.45
2015
7,769
92
28
1.18
0.36
0.20
0.46
0.45
2020
8,079
109
33
1.35
0.40
0.20
0.46
0.45
2025
8,359
130
39
1.55
0.46
0.20
0.46
0.45
2030
8,610
158
47
1.83
0.55
0.20
0.46
0.45
2035
8,826
196
59
2.22
0.67
0.20
0.47
0.47
2040
8,999
244
75
2.71
0.83
0.20
0.50
0.50
2045
9,135
293
89
3.20
0.97
0.20
0.52
0.51
4.00
3.50
3.00
2.50
2.00
1.50
1.00
0.50
0.00
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
Prevalence rate (%)
2040
2045
2050
Incidence rate (%)
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
2005
2010
2015
2020
Prevalence (000s)
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Incidence (000s)
2050
2050
9,235
332
100
3.59
1.08
0.20
0.51
0.51

NOT FOR PUBLICATION
China (Macao)
China (Macao)
Population (000s)
Prevalence (000s)
Incidence (000s)
Prevalence rate (%)
Incidence rate (%)
Incidence share (%)
2005
462
3
1
0.57
0.18
0.01
0.02
0.02
2010
474
3
1
0.60
0.19
0.01
0.02
0.02
2015
491
3
1
0.71
0.21
0.01
0.02
0.02
2020
510
5
2
1.05
0.31
0.01
0.02
0.02
2025
522
6
2
1.16
0.34
0.01
0.02
0.02
2030
533
8
2
1.54
0.47
0.01
0.02
0.02
2035
535
11
3
2.02
0.62
0.01
0.03
0.03
2040
527
14
4
2.58
0.80
0.01
0.03
0.03
2045
528
16
5
3.11
0.95
0.01
0.03
0.03
2040
2045
2050
4.00
3.50
3.00
2.50
2.00
1.50
1.00
0.50
0.00
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
Prevalence rate (%)
Incidence rate (%)
20
18
16
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
2005
10
2010
2015
2020
Prevalence (000s)
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Incidence (000s)
2050
2050
521
18
5
3.52
1.05
0.01
0.03
0.03

NOT FOR PUBLICATION
Democratic Peoples Republic of Korea

Democratic People's R
Population (000s)
Prevalence (000s)
Incidence (000s)
Prevalence rate (%)
Incidence rate (%)
Incidence share (%)
2005
22,487
77
23
0.34
0.10
0.63
0.56
0.55
2010
22,909
91
28
0.40
0.12
0.61
0.55
0.54
2015
23,296
106
33
0.46
0.14
0.59
0.54
0.54
2020
23,723
126
39
0.53
0.16
0.57
0.53
0.53
2025
24,116
145
45
0.60
0.18
0.56
0.51
0.51
2030
24,374
167
50
0.69
0.21
0.56
0.49
0.48
2035
24,455
189
57
0.77
0.23
0.55
0.46
0.46
2040
24,414
218
66
0.89
0.27
0.54
0.45
0.44
2045
24,320
252
77
1.04
0.32
0.53
0.44
0.45
2050
24,191
288
89
1.19
0.37
0.52
0.44
0.45
1.40
1.20
1.00
0.80
0.60
0.40
0.20
0.00
2005
2010
2015
2020
Prevalence rate (%)
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Incidence rate (%)
2050
2010
2015
2020
Prevalence (000s)
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Incidence (000s)
2050
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
2005
11

NOT FOR PUBLICATION
East Timor (Timor Leste)

East Timor (Timor Lest
Population (000s)
Prevalence (000s)
Incidence (000s)
Prevalence rate (%)
Incidence rate (%)
Incidence share (%)
2005
946
1
0
0.13
0.04
0.03
0.01
0.01
2010
1,241
1
0
0.12
0.04
0.03
0.01
0.01
2015
1,488
2
1
0.15
0.05
0.04
0.01
0.01
2020
1,712
3
1
0.15
0.05
0.04
0.01
0.01
2025
1,941
3
1
0.17
0.06
0.05
0.01
0.01
2030
2,172
4
1
0.18
0.06
0.05
0.01
0.01
2035
2,433
5
2
0.19
0.06
0.05
0.01
0.01
2040
2,722
6
2
0.21
0.07
0.06
0.01
0.01
2045
3,004
7
2
0.24
0.08
0.07
0.01
0.01
0.30
0.25
0.20
0.15
0.10
0.05
0.00
2005
2010
2015
2020
Prevalence rate (%)
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Incidence rate (%)
2050
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
2005
2010
2015
2020
Prevalence (000s)
12
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Incidence (000s)
2050
2050
3,263
8
3
0.26
0.08
0.07
0.01
0.01

NOT FOR PUBLICATION
India
India
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (000s)
1,103,371 1,183,292 1,260,366 1,332,030 1,395,495 1,449,075 1,494,268 1,534,402 1,567,738 1,592,705
Prevalence (000s)
3,248
3,875
4,626
5,542
6,658
8,033
9,707
11,665
13,891
16,290
Incidence (000s)
1,027
1,218
1,443
1,714
2,048
2,463
2,974
3,577
4,249
4,975
Prevalence rate (%)
0.29
0.33
0.37
0.42
0.48
0.55
0.65
0.76
0.89
1.02
Incidence rate (%)
0.09
0.10
0.11
0.13
0.15
0.17
0.20
0.23
0.27
0.31
30.79
31.34
31.81
32.25
32.67
33.05
33.40
33.77
34.13
34.49
23.71
23.49
23.31
23.36
23.38
23.41
23.50
23.85
24.45
25.20
Incidence share (%)
23.98
23.78
23.63
23.61
23.64
23.62
23.70
23.97
24.50
25.27
1.20
1.00
0.80
0.60
0.40
0.20
0.00
2005
2010
2015
2020
Prevalence rate (%)
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Incidence rate (%)
2050
2040
2045
Incidence (000s)
2050
18,000
16,000
14,000
12,000
10,000
8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
0
2005
2010
2015
2020
Prevalence (000s)
2025
2030
2035
13

NOT FOR PUBLICATION
Indonesia
Indonesia
Population (000s)
Prevalence (000s)
Incidence (000s)
Prevalence rate (%)
Incidence rate (%)
Incidence share (%)
2005
222,778
606
191
0.27
0.09
6.22
4.42
4.47
2010
235,756
726
229
0.31
0.10
6.24
4.40
4.47
2015
246,813
863
270
0.35
0.11
6.23
4.35
4.42
2020
255,849
1,017
314
0.40
0.12
6.19
4.29
4.32
2025
263,745
1,193
365
0.45
0.14
6.17
4.19
4.22
2030
270,845
1,419
432
0.52
0.16
6.18
4.14
4.14
2035
276,851
1,729
527
0.62
0.19
6.19
4.19
4.20
2040
281,211
2,122
646
0.75
0.23
6.19
4.34
4.33
2045
283,758
2,570
785
0.91
0.28
6.18
4.52
4.53
1.20
1.00
0.80
0.60
0.40
0.20
0.00
2005
2010
2015
2020
Prevalence rate (%)
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Incidence rate (%)
2050
2015
2020
Prevalence (000s)
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Incidence (000s)
2050
3,500
3,000
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
0
2005
14
2010
2050
284,638
3,042
932
1.07
0.33
6.16
4.71
4.73

NOT FOR PUBLICATION
Japan
Japan
Population (000s)
Prevalence (000s)
Incidence (000s)
Prevalence rate (%)
Incidence rate (%)
Incidence share (%)
2005
128,088
1,871
570
1.46
0.45
3.57
13.65
13.32
2010
128,459
2,309
700
1.80
0.54
3.40
14.00
13.67
2015
127,992
2,776
843
2.17
0.66
3.23
13.99
13.80
2020
126,716
3,251
983
2.57
0.78
3.07
13.70
13.54
2025
124,817
3,694
1,114
2.96
0.89
2.92
12.97
12.86
2030
122,567
4,103
1,227
3.35
1.00
2.80
11.96
11.76
2035
120,138
4,455
1,321
3.71
1.10
2.69
10.79
10.53
2040
117,625
4,703
1,384
4.00
1.18
2.59
9.62
9.28
2040
2045
2045
114,984
4,814
1,395
4.19
1.21
2.50
8.47
8.05
2050
112,200
4,873
1,418
4.34
1.26
2.43
7.54
7.20
5.00
4.50
4.00
3.50
3.00
2.50
2.00
1.50
1.00
0.50
0.00
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
Prevalence rate (%)
2050
Incidence rate (%)
6,000
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
0
2005
2010
2015
2020
Prevalence (000s)
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Incidence (000s)
2050
15

NOT FOR PUBLICATION
Laos
Laos
Population (000s)
Prevalence (000s)
Incidence (000s)
Prevalence rate (%)
Incidence rate (%)
Incidence share (%)
2005
5,922
11
4
0.19
0.06
0.17
0.08
0.09
2010
6,604
13
4
0.19
0.06
0.17
0.08
0.08
2015
7,305
15
5
0.20
0.07
0.18
0.07
0.08
2020
8,011
17
5
0.21
0.07
0.19
0.07
0.08
2025
8,709
20
7
0.23
0.07
0.20
0.07
0.08
2030
9,391
25
8
0.27
0.09
0.21
0.07
0.08
2035
10,034
31
10
0.31
0.10
0.22
0.08
0.08
2040
10,623
38
12
0.36
0.11
0.23
0.08
0.08
2045
11,144
47
14
0.42
0.13
0.24
0.08
0.08
0.60
0.50
0.40
0.30
0.20
0.10
0.00
2005
2010
2015
2020
Prevalence rate (%)
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Incidence rate (%)
2050
2030
2035
2040
2045
Incidence (000s)
2050
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
2005
16
2010
2015
2020
Prevalence (000s)
2025
2050
11,587
57
18
0.49
0.15
0.25
0.09
0.09

NOT FOR PUBLICATION
Malaysia
Malaysia
Population (000s)
Prevalence (000s)
Incidence (000s)
Prevalence rate (%)
Incidence rate (%)
Incidence share (%)
2005
25,347
63
20
0.25
0.08
0.71
0.46
0.47
2010
27,532
79
25
0.29
0.09
0.73
0.48
0.48
2015
29,557
100
31
0.34
0.10
0.75
0.50
0.51
2020
31,472
127
39
0.40
0.12
0.76
0.53
0.54
2025
33,221
163
50
0.49
0.15
0.78
0.57
0.58
2030
34,725
207
64
0.60
0.18
0.79
0.60
0.61
2035
36,038
261
80
0.73
0.22
0.81
0.63
0.64
2040
37,182
323
99
0.87
0.27
0.82
0.66
0.67
2045
38,144
388
119
1.02
0.31
0.83
0.68
0.69
2050
38,926
454
139
1.17
0.36
0.84
0.70
0.70
1.40
1.20
1.00
0.80
0.60
0.40
0.20
0.00
2005
2010
2015
2020
Prevalence rate (%)
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Incidence rate (%)
2050
2010
2015
2020
Prevalence (000s)
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Incidence (000s)
2050
500
450
400
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
2005
17

NOT FOR PUBLICATION
Myanmar
Myanmar
Population (000s)
Prevalence (000s)
Incidence (000s)
Prevalence rate (%)
Incidence rate (%)
Incidence share (%)
2005
50,518
148
47
0.29
0.09
1.41
1.08
1.10
2010
52,802
172
54
0.33
0.10
1.40
1.05
1.06
2015
54,972
202
63
0.37
0.11
1.39
1.02
1.03
2020
57,055
242
75
0.42
0.13
1.38
1.02
1.03
2025
59,001
295
91
0.50
0.15
1.38
1.04
1.05
2030
60,629
364
112
0.60
0.18
1.38
1.06
1.07
2035
61,864
446
137
0.72
0.22
1.38
1.08
1.09
2035
2040
2040
62,744
542
165
0.86
0.26
1.38
1.11
1.11
2045
63,339
647
197
1.02
0.31
1.38
1.14
1.14
1.40
1.20
1.00
0.80
0.60
0.40
0.20
0.00
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
Prevalence rate (%)
2045
2050
Incidence rate (%)
900
800
700
600
500
400
300
200
100
0
2005
18
2010
2015
2020
Prevalence (000s)
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Incidence (000s)
2050
2050
63,660
764
233
1.20
0.37
1.38
1.18
1.18

NOT FOR PUBLICATION
Nepal
Nepal
Population (000s)
Prevalence (000s)
Incidence (000s)
Prevalence rate (%)
Incidence rate (%)
Incidence share (%)
2005
27,130
50
16
0.18
0.06
0.76
0.37
0.38
2010
29,894
59
19
0.20
0.06
0.79
0.36
0.38
2015
32,747
71
23
0.22
0.07
0.83
0.36
0.37
2020
35,680
84
27
0.24
0.08
0.86
0.36
0.37
2025
38,598
100
32
0.26
0.08
0.90
0.35
0.37
2030
41,425
122
38
0.29
0.09
0.94
0.35
0.37
2035
44,115
147
46
0.33
0.10
0.99
0.36
0.37
2040
46,658
179
56
0.38
0.12
1.03
0.37
0.37
2045
49,028
219
68
0.45
0.14
1.07
0.39
0.39
0.60
0.50
0.40
0.30
0.20
0.10
0.00
2005
2010
2015
2020
Prevalence rate (%)
2025
2030
2035
2010
2015
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Incidence rate (%)
2050
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
2005
2020
Prevalence (000s)
2040
2045
2050
Incidence (000s)
19
2050
51,172
270
83
0.53
0.16
1.11
0.42
0.42

NOT FOR PUBLICATION
New Zealand
New Zealand
Population (000s)
Prevalence (000s)
Incidence (000s)
Prevalence rate (%)
Incidence rate (%)
Incidence share (%)
2005
4,028
38
12
0.95
0.29
0.11
0.28
0.28
2010
4,168
43
13
1.04
0.32
0.11
0.26
0.26
2015
4,301
49
15
1.13
0.34
0.11
0.25
0.24
2020
4,424
55
17
1.23
0.37
0.11
0.23
0.23
2025
4,538
64
19
1.40
0.43
0.11
0.22
0.22
2030
4,637
75
23
1.62
0.49
0.11
0.22
0.22
2035
4,705
87
27
1.86
0.57
0.11
0.21
0.21
2040
4,749
99
30
2.09
0.64
0.10
0.20
0.20
2045
4,772
109
33
2.29
0.70
0.10
0.19
0.19
3.00
2.50
2.00
1.50
1.00
0.50
0.00
2005
2010
2015
2020
Prevalence rate (%)
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Incidence rate (%)
2050
2010
2015
2020
Prevalence (000s)
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Incidence (000s)
2050
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
2005
20
2050
4,790
118
35
2.46
0.74
0.10
0.18
0.18

NOT FOR PUBLICATION
Pakistan
Pakistan
Population (000s)
Prevalence (000s)
Incidence (000s)
Prevalence rate (%)
Incidence rate (%)
Incidence share (%)
2005
157,934
330
107
0.21
0.07
4.41
2.41
2.51
2010
175,179
394
127
0.22
0.07
4.64
2.39
2.48
2015
193,422
471
151
0.24
0.08
4.88
2.38
2.47
2020
211,704
567
179
0.27
0.08
5.13
2.39
2.47
2025
229,354
687
216
0.30
0.09
5.37
2.41
2.49
2030
246,318
839
263
0.34
0.11
5.62
2.45
2.52
2035
262,611
1,034
323
0.39
0.12
5.87
2.50
2.57
2040
277,995
1,275
396
0.46
0.14
6.12
2.61
2.65
2045
292,209
1,566
482
0.54
0.16
6.36
2.76
2.78
0.70
0.60
0.50
0.40
0.30
0.20
0.10
0.00
2005
2010
2015
2020
Prevalence rate (%)
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Incidence rate (%)
2050
21
2050
304,699
1,916
584
0.63
0.19
6.60
2.96
2.97

NOT FOR PUBLICATION
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
0
2005
2010
2015
2020
Prevalence (000s)
2025
2030
2035
2025
8,205
15
5
0.18
0.06
0.19
0.05
0.05
2030
8,784
19
6
0.21
0.07
0.20
0.05
0.06
2040
2045
Incidence (000s)
2050
Papua New Guinea

Papua New Guinea
Population (000s)
Prevalence (000s)
Incidence (000s)
Prevalence rate (%)
Incidence rate (%)
Incidence share (%)
2005
5,887
7
2
0.12
0.04
0.16
0.05
0.05
2010
6,448
8
3
0.12
0.04
0.17
0.05
0.05
2015
7,012
10
3
0.14
0.05
0.18
0.05
0.05
2020
7,602
12
4
0.16
0.05
0.18
0.05
0.05
2035
9,308
23
7
0.25
0.08
0.21
0.06
0.06
2040
9,783
30
9
0.30
0.09
0.22
0.06
0.06
2045
10,223
38
12
0.37
0.11
0.22
0.07
0.07
p
0.50
0.45
0.40
0.35
0.30
0.25
0.20
0.15
0.10
0.05
0.00
2005
22
2010
2015
2020
Prevalence rate (%)
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Incidence rate (%)
2050
2050
10,619
46
14
0.43
0.13
0.23
0.07
0.07

NOT FOR PUBLICATION

50
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
2005
2010
2015
2020
Prevalence (000s)
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Incidence (000s)
2050
Philippines
Philippines
Population (000s)
Prevalence (000s)
Incidence (000s)
Prevalence rate (%)
Incidence rate (%)
Incidence share (%)
2005
83,054
170
55
0.20
0.07
2.32
1.24
1.28
2010
90,046
205
66
0.23
0.07
2.38
1.24
1.28
2015
96,838
252
80
0.26
0.08
2.44
1.27
1.31
2020
103,267
316
99
0.31
0.10
2.50
1.33
1.37
2025
109,085
399
124
0.37
0.11
2.55
1.40
1.43
2030
114,083
501
155
0.44
0.14
2.60
1.46
1.49
2035
118,192
629
194
0.53
0.16
2.64
1.52
1.54
2040
121,752
779
239
0.64
0.20
2.68
1.59
1.60
2045
124,753
955
293
0.77
0.23
2.72
1.68
1.69
1.00
0.90
0.80
0.70
0.60
0.50
0.40
0.30
0.20
0.10
0.00
2005
2010
2015
2020
Prevalence rate (%)
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Incidence rate (%)
2050
23
2050
127,070
1,159
354
0.91
0.28
2.75
1.79
1.80

NOT FOR PUBLICATION
pp
1,400
1,200
1,000
800
600
400
200
0
2005
2010
2015
2020
Prevalence (000s)
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Incidence (000s)
Republic of Korea
Official estimates
Republic of Korea
2005
Population (000s)
48,290
Prevalence (000s)
360
2010
na
na
2015
na
580
2020
na
650
2025
na
na
2030
na
na
2035
na
na
2040
na
na
2045
na
na
2050
42,348
na
2025
49,457
680
206
1.37
0.42
1.16
2.39
2.37
2030
49,163
835
251
1.70
0.51
1.12
2.43
2.41
2035
48,451
1,004
303
2.07
0.63
1.08
2.43
2.41
2040
47,403
1,194
362
2.52
0.76
1.04
2.44
2.42
2045
46,111
1,394
422
3.02
0.92
1.00
2.45
2.44
2050
44,632
1,570
475
3.52
1.07
0.97
2.43
2.41
Access Economics estimates based on UN data

Republic of Korea
Population (000s)
Prevalence (000s)
Incidence (000s)
Prevalence rate (%)
Incidence rate (%)
Incidence share (%)
24
2005
47,816
246
76
0.52
0.16
1.33
1.80
1.76
2010
48,564
324
99
0.67
0.20
1.29
1.96
1.94
2015
49,092
421
129
0.86
0.26
1.24
2.12
2.11
2020
49,392
542
164
1.10
0.33
1.20
2.29
2.26
2050

NOT FOR PUBLICATION

4.00
3.50
3.00
2.50
2.00
1.50
1.00
0.50
0.00
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
Prevalence rate (%)
2040
2045
2050
Incidence rate (%)
1,800
1,600
1,400
1,200
1,000
800
600
400
200
0
2005
2010
2015
2020
Prevalence (000s)
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Incidence (000s)
25

NOT FOR PUBLICATION
Singapore
Singapore
Population (000s)
Prevalence (000s)
Incidence (000s)
Prevalence rate (%)
Incidence rate (%)
Incidence share (%)
2005
4,326
22
7
0.51
0.16
0.12
0.16
0.16
2010
4,591
30
9
0.65
0.20
0.12
0.18
0.18
2015
4,816
40
12
0.83
0.25
0.12
0.20
0.20
2020
4,986
53
16
1.06
0.32
0.12
0.22
0.22
2025
5,144
69
21
1.35
0.41
0.12
0.24
0.24
2030
5,264
92
28
1.75
0.53
0.12
0.27
0.27
2035
5,321
119
36
2.24
0.69
0.12
0.29
0.29
2040
5,312
146
45
2.75
0.85
0.12
0.30
0.30
2045
5,269
171
52
3.24
0.99
0.11
0.30
0.30
4.00
3.50
3.00
2.50
2.00
1.50
1.00
0.50
0.00
2005
2010
2015
2020
Prevalence rate (%)
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Incidence rate (%)
2050
2010
2015
2020
Prevalence (000s)
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Incidence (000s)
2050
200
180
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
2005
26
2050
5,214
187
57
3.58
1.09
0.11
0.29
0.29

NOT FOR PUBLICATION

Sri Lanka
Sri Lanka
Population (000s)
Prevalence (000s)
Incidence (000s)
Prevalence rate (%)
Incidence rate (%)
Incidence share (%)
2005
20,746
86
27
0.41
0.13
0.58
0.63
0.63
2010
21,559
103
32
0.48
0.15
0.57
0.63
0.62
2015
22,292
124
38
0.56
0.17
0.56
0.62
0.62
2020
22,902
148
45
0.65
0.20
0.55
0.62
0.62
2025
23,357
177
54
0.76
0.23
0.55
0.62
0.62
2030
23,668
215
65
0.91
0.28
0.54
0.63
0.63
2035
23,837
258
79
1.08
0.33
0.53
0.62
0.63
2040
23,876
308
94
1.29
0.39
0.53
0.63
0.63
2045
23,780
358
110
1.51
0.46
0.52
0.63
0.63
2050
23,555
409
125
1.74
0.53
0.51
0.63
0.63
2.00
1.80
1.60
1.40
1.20
1.00
0.80
0.60
0.40
0.20
0.00
2005
2010
2015
2020
Prevalence rate (%)
2025
2030
2035
2010
2015
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Incidence rate (%)
2050
450
400
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
2005
2020
Prevalence (000s)
2040
2045
2050
Incidence (000s)
27

NOT FOR PUBLICATION
TADA Chinese Taipei

TADA Chinese Tapiei
Population (000s)
Prevalence (000s)
Incidence (000s)
Prevalence rate (%)
Incidence rate (%)
Incidence share (%)
2005
22,745
138
43
0.61
0.19
0.63
1.01
1.01
2010
23,331
168
52
0.72
0.22
0.62
1.02
1.01
2015
23,611
205
63
0.87
0.27
0.60
1.04
1.03
2020
23,760
253
77
1.07
0.32
0.58
1.07
1.05
2025
23,713
310
93
1.31
0.39
0.56
1.09
1.08
2030
23,435
379
115
1.62
0.49
0.53
1.11
1.10
2035
22,896
461
140
2.01
0.61
0.51
1.12
1.12
2040
22,108
549
168
2.48
0.76
0.49
1.12
1.12
3.50
3.00
2.50
2.00
1.50
1.00
0.50
0.00
2005
2010
2015
2020
Prevalence rate (%)
2025
2030
2035
2010
2015
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Incidence rate (%)
2050
700
600
500
400
300
200
100
0
2005
2020
Prevalence (000s)
28
2040
2045
Incidence (000s)
2050
2045
21,088
620
189
2.94
0.90
0.46
1.09
1.09
2050
19,900
659
199
3.31
1.00
0.43
1.02
1.01

NOT FOR PUBLICATION

Thailand
Thailand
Population (000s)
Prevalence (000s)
Incidence (000s)
Prevalence rate (%)
Incidence rate (%)
Incidence share (%)
2005
64,232
229
71
0.36
0.11
1.79
1.67
1.67
2010
66,784
289
89
0.43
0.13
1.77
1.75
1.75
2015
69,063
362
111
0.52
0.16
1.74
1.83
1.82
2020
71,044
450
137
0.63
0.19
1.72
1.90
1.89
2025
72,633
553
168
0.76
0.23
1.70
1.94
1.94
2030
73,833
674
206
0.91
0.28
1.68
1.96
1.97
2035
74,610
815
250
1.09
0.33
1.67
1.97
1.99
2040
74,966
966
296
1.29
0.40
1.65
1.97
1.99
2045
74,938
1,109
340
1.48
0.45
1.63
1.95
1.96
2050
74,596
1,233
377
1.65
0.51
1.62
1.91
1.92
1.80
1.60
1.40
1.20
1.00
0.80
0.60
0.40
0.20
0.00
2005
2010
2015
2020
Prevalence rate (%)
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Incidence rate (%)
2050
2015
2020
Prevalence (000s)
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Incidence (000s)
2050
1,400
1,200
1,000
800
600
400
200
0
2005
2010
29

NOT FOR PUBLICATION
Vietnam
Vietnam
Population (000s)
Prevalence (000s)
Incidence (000s)
Prevalence rate (%)
Incidence rate (%)
Incidence share (%)
2005
84,239
276
88
0.33
0.10
2.35
2.01
2.06
2010
89,719
310
99
0.35
0.11
2.38
1.88
1.94
2015
95,030
354
111
0.37
0.12
2.40
1.78
1.82
2020
99,927
411
127
0.41
0.13
2.42
1.73
1.75
2025
104,346
496
151
0.48
0.14
2.44
1.74
1.74
2030
108,129
620
189
0.57
0.17
2.47
1.81
1.81
2035
111,303
796
243
0.72
0.22
2.49
1.93
1.94
2040
113,828
1,018
312
0.89
0.27
2.50
2.08
2.09
2045
115,625
1,265
388
1.09
0.34
2.52
2.23
2.24
1.40
1.20
1.00
0.80
0.60
0.40
0.20
0.00
2005
2010
2015
2020
Prevalence rate (%)
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Incidence rate (%)
2050
2015
2020
Prevalence (000s)
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Incidence (000s)
2050
1,600
1,400
1,200
1,000
800
600
400
200
0
2005
30
2010
2050
116,654
1,518
464
1.30
0.40
2.53
2.35
2.36

NOT FOR PUBLICATION

Total Asia Pacific Region
Total region
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Population (000s)
3,583,521 3,775,813 3,961,862 4,130,296 4,271,585 4,384,326 4,473,322 4,544,051 4,593,400 4,618,051
Prevalence (000s)
13,704
16,496
19,843
23,727
28,476
34,311
41,301
48,904
56,820
64,642
Incidence (000s)
4,282
5,123
6,106
7,262
8,663
10,427
12,549
14,920
17,341
19,687
Prevalence rate (%)
0.38
0.44
0.50
0.57
0.67
0.78
0.92
1.08
1.24
1.40
Incidence rate (%)
0.12
0.14
0.15
0.18
0.20
0.24
0.28
0.33
0.38
0.43
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
Incidence share (%)
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
100.00
1.60
1.40
1.20
1.00
0.80
0.60
0.40
0.20
0.00
2005
2010
2015
2020
Prevalence rate (%)
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
Incidence rate (%)
2050
2040
2045
Incidence (000s)
2050
70,000
60,000
50,000
40,000
30,000
20,000
10,000
0
2005
2010
2015
2020
Prevalence (000s)
2025
2030
2035
31

NOT FOR PUBLICATION
TOTAL PREVALENCE IN 2005 AND 2050

Australia (0.20)
Bangladesh (0.26)
Total prevalence in 2005 - 13.7 million
Bhutan (0.01)
Brunei Darussalam (0.00)
Cambodia (0.02)
China (5.54)
China (Hong Kong) (0.06)
China (Macao) (0.00)
TADA Chinese Tapiei (0.14)
Democratic People's Republic of Korea (0.08)
East Timor (Timor Leste) (0.00)
India (3.25)
Indonesia (0.61)
Japan (1.87)
Laos (0.01)
Malaysia (0.06)
Myanmar (0.15)
Nepal (0.05)
New Zealand (0.04)
Pakistan (0.33)
Papua New Guinea (0.01)
Philippines (0.17)
Republic of Korea (0.25)
Singapore (0.02)
Sri Lanka (0.09)
Thailand (0.23)
Vietnam (0.28)
Australia (0.66)
Bangladesh (1.61)
Bhutan (0.03)
Cambodia (0.14)
China (26.99)
India (16.29)
Indonesia (3.04)
Japan (4.87)
Laos (0.06)
Malaysia (0.45)
Myanmar (0.76)
Nepal (0.27)
New Zealand (0.12)
Pakistan (1.92)
Philippines (1.16)
Singapore (0.19)
Sri Lanka (0.41)
Thailand (1.23)
Vietnam (1.52)
32
Total prevalence in 2050 - 64.6 million
NOT FOR PUBLICATION

TOTAL INCIDENCE IN 2005 AND 2050

Australia (0.06)
Bangladesh (0.08)
Total incidence in 2005 - 4.3 million
Bhutan (0.00)
Cambodia (0.01)
China (1.72)
India (1.03)
Indonesia (0.19)
Japan (0.57)
Laos (0.00)
Malaysia (0.02)
Myanmar (0.05)
Nepal (0.02)
New Zealand (0.01)
Pakistan (0.11)
Philippines (0.05)
Singapore (0.01)
Sri Lanka (0.03)
Thailand (0.07)
Vietnam (0.09)
Australia (0.20)
Bangladesh (0.49)
Total incidence in 2050 - 19.7 million
Bhutan (0.01)
Cambodia (0.04)
China (8.26)
India (4.97)
Indonesia (0.93)
Japan (1.42)
Laos (0.02)
Malaysia (0.14)
Myanmar (0.23)
Nepal (0.08)
New Zealand (0.04)
Pakistan (0.58)
Philippines (0.35)
Singapore (0.06)
Sri Lanka (0.12)
Thailand (0.38)
Vietnam (0.46)
33

About Dementia Statistics - AsiaPacificEpidemicSept06 - Statistical Appendix

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About Dementia Statistics - AsiaPacificEpidemicSept06 - Statistical Appendix

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DEMENTIA IN THE ASIA

ASIA PACIFIC MEMBERS OF

Dementia in the Asia Pacific Region:

NOT FOR PUBLICATION

DEMENTIA PREVALENCE AND INCIDENCE ESTIMATES

Population (in thousands of people) is the estimated total population of each

Prevalence (in thousands of people) is the number of people with dementia in

Prevalence rate is the estimated prevalence of dementia in each economy

Incidence rate is the estimated incidence of dementia in each economy

Population share is the population of each economy expressed as a percentage

Prevalence share is the estimated prevalence of dementia in each economy

Incidence share is the estimated incidence of dementia in each economy

Two figures are also presented for each economy.

Every economy experiences an increase in its prevalence rate, incidence rate,

Dementia in the Asia Pacific Region:

NOT FOR PUBLICATION

Prevalence rate (%)

Incidence rate (%)

Dementia in the Asia Pacific Region:

NOT FOR PUBLICATION

Prevalence rate (%)

Incidence rate (%)

Dementia in the Asia Pacific Region:

NOT FOR PUBLICATION

Prevalence rate (%)

Incidence rate (%)

Dementia in the Asia Pacific Region:

NOT FOR PUBLICATION

Prevalence rate (%)

Incidence rate (%)

Dementia in the Asia Pacific Region:

NOT FOR PUBLICATION

Prevalence rate (%)

Incidence rate (%)

Dementia in the Asia Pacific Region:

NOT FOR PUBLICATION

Prevalence rate (%)

Incidence rate (%)

Dementia in the Asia Pacific Region:

NOT FOR PUBLICATION

China (Hong Kong)

Prevalence rate (%)

Incidence rate (%)

Dementia in the Asia Pacific Region:

NOT FOR PUBLICATION

Prevalence rate (%)

Incidence rate (%)

Dementia in the Asia Pacific Region:

NOT FOR PUBLICATION

Democratic Peoples Republic of Korea

Dementia in the Asia Pacific Region:

NOT FOR PUBLICATION

East Timor (Timor Leste)

Dementia in the Asia Pacific Region:

NOT FOR PUBLICATION

Dementia in the Asia Pacific Region:

NOT FOR PUBLICATION

Dementia in the Asia Pacific Region:

NOT FOR PUBLICATION

Prevalence rate (%)

Incidence rate (%)