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FP.t TRENDS HiCentral f*:l
THE HONOLULU BOARD OF REALTORS® MLS!..J.aJ
Volume 18, Number 4 Fourth Quarter, 2008
Another important statistic is the Days days, with both indicators higher than at
on Market indicator which measures the the same time a year ago. Comparing After declining to new lows for avail
time a listing is on the market before a these statistics to last quarter shows that ability of less than 1,000 units in 2004
sales agreement is reached and excludes the market continues to cool and sales and 2005, the number of listings in
escrow time. In the fourth quarter, both speeds again have gotten slower than the creased rapidly during 2006, but this
single-family homes and condominiums sales times of 51 and 47 days, respec trend stalled in 2007, resumed in 2008,
required a median market time of 57 tively, in the third quarter.
(Continued on Page 7)
FOURTH QUARTER 2008 OAHU HOUSING TRENDS - Page 2
PRICE RANGE CHARTS The Honolulu Board ofREALToRs®
300 - 399
200 - 299
More than
1000
79 13.0%
250 - 299 Less than 100
127 16.7% 16 2.1%
700 - 999
100-149
120 19.8%
31 4.1%
500 - 699 150 - 199
243 40.0% 70 9.2%
300 - 399
145 7.0% 700 - 999
435 20.9%
150 - 199
303 11.4%
200 - 299
54 2.6%
100 -149
Less than 200 110 4.1°/;
10 0.5%
More than 1000
567 27.3%
ABOUT THE HONOLULU BOARD OF REALTORS® OAHU HOUSING TRENDS is a quarterly publication of
the Honolulu Board of REALTORS®. The annual
The Voice for Real Estate™ on Oahu, the Honolulu Board ofREALTORS® subscription rate is $26.00 for members and is included in the
is one of the largest of 1,600 boards of REALTORS® in the nation and is the membership dues. Non-member subscriptions are $52.00;
largest trade organization on Oahu. REALTOR® membership, which single issues are $15.00. For subscription information, call
numbers approximately 6,000, is available to licensed real estate brokers and the Honolulu Board of REALTORS s @ at 808-732-3000.
agents who agree to adhere to a strict Code of Ethics as a condition of Multiple copies of OAHU HOUSING TRENDS can be
membership. Affiliate membership is available to non-licensees. purchased, if ordered in advance.
REALTOR® membership in the Honolulu Board ofREALTORS® offers a © 2009, Honolulu Board of REALTORS@ Copy permission is
variety of benefits and services. These include the privilege of using the freely granted but full attribution of source is required on all copies
term REALTOR® and REALTOR-ASSOCIATE@, educational courses and and reprints. Publish the following disclaimer if you are
seminars, access to the Multiple Listing Service (MLS) computerized para-phrasing any of tile text from this report: "Use of this data does
on-line information system, real estate forms, books and products at special not imply any endorsement of my interpretation by the Honolulu
member rates and informative, award-winning publications from the state Board ofREALTORS@"
and national REALTOR@ organizations.
Visit the HER web site at: http://www.hicentral.com
FOURTH QUARTER 2008 MARKET CHANGES OAHU HOUSING TRENDS - Page 3
The Honolulu Board of REALTORS if!)
CHANGE IN NUMBER OF SALES Almost all neighborhoods on O'ahu had sales Josses in the
2008:04 vs 2007:04 fourth quarter, except for Diamond Head single-family
<- Fewer Sales More Sales .-> homes and Hawaii Kai condominiums, which expanded by
5.0% and 4.9%, respectively. Overall O'ahu resales were
Metro Oahu
607 and 760, for single-family dwellings and condomini
Diamond Head ums, down 19.1% and 34.2%, respectively, compared to
Hawaii lui the same quarter one year ago. When compared to the re
Railua sults of the third quarter, sales declined by 15.8% and
Kaneohe
North Shore
25.1 %, respecti vely.
Central Oahu
Leeward Coast Besides the two areas mentioned above, the areas with the
EwaPlain least sales losses for single-family homes in the fOUlth
Makaldlo
quarter included Ewa Plain, down 4.1 %,and Kailua, down
Waipahu
Pearl City [ L~:±:t~::t~~~~1 5.2%.
-60 -55 -50 -45 .40 ·35 -30 -25 -20 -15 -10 -5
,.
The inventory of available listings declined a bit during
the fourth quarter, down 0.6% for single-family homes 2008:04 vs 2007:04
and 2.4% condominium units since last qUaJter. Looking <- Fewer Ustlngs More L1sllngs •• >
at the changes since last year, however, the inventory has ALL OAHU
increased for single-family homes by 7.6% and 10.0%
for condominiums. Median asking prices for sin
gle-family homes have declined since last year, by 7.1 %,
Metro Oahu
Diantond Head
- ~.
I
to $696,300, and the condominium asking price was off Hawaii I{ai I
Kailua
_I
0.6%, to $340,700. List prices have declined by 2.4%
n:aneohe
and 1.6%, respectively, since last quarter.
I:~
North Shore
-
Central Oahu
There was shrinkage of available dwellings in only five Leeward Coast
~
neighborhoods. Both property types had declines in EwaPlain
-
• II
Makakilo, down 24.2% and 14.5%, respectively, and Malta,Idlo
0' ahu slipped from those of the same quarter a year ago. In
ALL OAHU
the fourth quarter, the median price for a single-family
home was $610,000, off 2.4% from the same quarter last
Metro Oahu year. The median price paid for a condominium was
Diamond Head
$315,600, which was a decrease of 1.4% since one year
Hawaii Rai
Kailua
ago. In the third quarter, prices stood at $615,000 and
Kaneohe $322,000, respectively.
North Shore
3.2"A
Central Oahu
Price were up sharply in the North Shore neigborhood for
Leeward Coast
EwaPlain
single-family homes, up 63.2%, but only on 8 sales. For the
Makakilo rest of the single-family housing market segment, the only
Waipahu gains were in the Diamond Head area, up 3.0%, and Pearl
Pearl City '---'-_-'----'_-'-_.l..---'-_~_____'
_ ___'___ _'_______'!!!!!!!!!~___' City, up 1.4%. In the condominium category, the other ar
-22 -20 -18 -16 -14 ·12 -10 -8 -6 -4 -2 eas with positive price expansions were Kailua, up 3.6%,
Percent Metro O'abu, up 2.5%, and Pearl City, up 2.1%.
• Single-Family Home • Condominium
FOURTH QUARTER 2008 AREA DATA ANALYSES OAHU HOUSING TRENDS - Page 4
The Honolulu Board of REAL TORS®
The Honolulu Board of REALTORS® was down to 113 units, from 191, in Wai DIAMOND HEAD AREA
analyzes and prepares statistics for 17 sin kiki, one of the six neighborhoods in this SF dwellings in the Diamond Head area
gle family home and 19 condominium area, and the MSP was off $18,000 since had the best sales expansion on the island
neighborhoods on Oahu. For this report, last year, to $250,000. Availability ex in the fourth quarter, adding 5.0% to last
these neighborhoods are grouped together panded and asking prices in Waikiki were
into twelve geographic areas so that single year's production, and the MSP for SF
down, from $361,900 last year, to properties rose by 3.0%. CO sales lagged,
family homes and condominiums can be
$341,700. The other dense CO neighbor however, by 24.1 %, and the CO MSP was
evaluated together. The twelve areas are
hood in the Metro area, Makiki-Moiliili, off21.1 %. DOM's increased to 42 and 65
defined by Tax Map Key (TMK) numbers
as shown in the Area and Neighborhood had the same MSP as one year ago, at days, for SF and CO properties, respec
Data Table printed in this report. $310,000. SF sales in Metro O'ahu de tively. Listing counts were up by 39.6%
clined 26.9%, and the MSP lost 4.2%. SF and 16.1 % for CO units, and both MLP's
METRO O'AHU AREA counts shrank by 4.2% and the MLP lost lost ground. Although lower, the
14.0%. The SF Honolulu neighborhood Waialae-Kahala neighborhood again had
The Metro 0' ahu area contains the highest
MSP decreased 6.9%, to $765,000, while the highestMSP on O'ahu, at$1 ,295,000.
concentration of CO units on Oahu and is
the other SF neighborhood, Moanalua
0' ahu' s most populous area. In the fourth
Kalihi, slipped to $599,000. The SF and HAWAII KAI AREA
quarter, CO sales were off 34.6%, but the
CO QAR's were mixed at 33.0% and
CO MSP advanced 2.5%. Sales volume CO sales increased in the Hawaii Kai area
26.2%, respectively.
by 4.9%, while SF sales declined 21.6%.
Both MSP's decreased, however, with SF
SINGLE-FAMILY HOME MEDIAN SALES PRICES
off 4.8%, to $874,500, and the CO MSP
** ALL OAHU ** down 12.8%, to $510,000. Both DOM's
were speedier, with the CO DOM the only
Metro Oahu
I I I I I I CO area on O'ahu to quicken. The SF
I,
MLP slipped 16.2%, to $1,099,300, and
Diamond Head
the CO MLP dropped by 12.8%, to
HawaiiI<ai
I . 1:J2008 Q4
$5& 1,800. The number of CO lists jumped
I<ailua
, I
a large 56.3% during the fourth quarter.
I<aneohe
02008 Q3
I I 02007 Q4
North Shore KAILUA AREA
, ,
Central Oahu Sales continu~d to decline in Kailua this
Leeward Coast I quarter, by 5.2% and 30.0%, respectively.
EwaPlain
I
I The SF MSP declined by 8.0%, to
Malcakilo
I
$715,000, but on the other side ofthe mar
I ket the CO MSP added 3.6%, to
Waipahu
I $427,500, the best gain on O'ahu. The CO
Pearl City
DOM lost gr.ound as sales speed in
5100.000 S;:I;Ill.DrXI S;)QO,ooo s~oo.Q(l(l ux..coo ~.CQ(I 5700,00:.. ~(II);l 1iII)O.co=;l $I.GOO,OOO 11. 100.000
creased, to 45 days, but SF posted a de
CONDOMINIUM MEDIAN SALES PRICES cline of 6 days, down to 39, the quickest
on the island. Availability rose by 9.5%
** ALL OAHU ** and 12.5%, respectively, but the MLP's
Metro Oahu
I 1 I I I I were mixed. The SF MLP was up 4.0%, to
$1,039,300, but the CO MLP fell 7.6%, to
, $440,300. Finally, both QAR's were weJ]
Diamond Head
, above the O'ahu average statistics.
HawaiiI<ai
I<ailua
, 1:J2008 Q4 KANEOHE AREA
I<aneohe 02008 Q3
Sales were off in the Kaneohe area in the
I 02007 Q4
North Shore fourth quarter, SF by 16.4% and CO down
, 1
Central Oahu
I I I
I 35.7%. Both MSP's lost ground also, with
the SF MSP off 2.5% and the CO MSP
Leeward Coast
EwaPlain
, I I I 8.4% lower. Both SF and CO listings ex
panded, the latter by an enormous 70.8%,
Mal(aldlo while the MLP's were lower than last year,
I I
Waipahu by 9.6% and 6.7%, respectively. QAR's
Pearl City
were mixed, with the CO QAR above the
S50.W:O SlOO,OOO $150,000 $200,000 5ZSO,OOO S3:lIl,OOO S36!J,OOO ~\O':() So4OO.CO) MOO,oro S ~.OO'J 'tOO.
island average at 32.4%, and The SF QAR
below at 25.1 %.
FOURTIJ: QUARTER 2008 AREA DATA ANALYSES OAHU HOUSING TRENDS - Page 5
The Honolulu Board ofREALTORS®
NORTH SHORE AREA 12.6%, the second-lowest CO QAR on the WAIPAHU AREA
The SF MSP in the North Shore area had island in the fourth quarter. Waipahu really lost sales in the fourth
the best gain on 0' ahu this quarter, rising a quarter, dropping 33.8% in SF sales and a
whopping 63.2%, to $832,500, even with EWA PLAIN AREA large 58.1 % decline for CO. The SF MSP
a 46.7% loss of sales. CO units, on the The Ewa Plain area experienced a rela was 7.0% lower, at $535,000, and the
other hand, saw no change in sales with a tively small SF sales decline, losing just number of SF active listings increased by
17.9% MSP decline, to $243,500. Active 4.1 % of sales, but CO sales contracted by 27.9% and the SF MLP declined 7.8%, to
listings in this area grew 4.0% for SF prop 47.4%. The SF MSP declined 7.5% from $573,600. The CO actives only added
erties and the MLP slipped 18.4%, to last year, to $457,500 and the CO MSP 4.1 %, but the CO MLP shrank 3.1 %,
$1,127,800. The CO listing availability lost 5.8%, to $299,000. The SF DOM rose down to $276,300. Finally, the SF QAR
rose 1.9%, while the CO MLP actualy to 73 days, and the CO DOM gained 11 dropped to 30.3.0%, about the same as the
added 1.6%, to $394,200. Both DOM's days, up to 62. Availability again was O'ahu figure, but the CO QAR was well
slowed dramatically from one year ago, mixed, with SF counts decreasing 8.1 % ahead ofthe islandwide average at 28.7%.
the SF DOM rising to 91 days, and the CO and CO units expanding 1.2%, while
DOM increasing to 110 days. QAR's were MLP's were both lower, at $507,400 and PEARL CITY AREA
both very low, at 6.] % and 11.3%, respec $324,900, respectively. The QAR's in The Pearl City area had a decrease in sales
tively. Ewa Plain stood at 35.5% and 23.4% this in the fourth quarter, with losses of36.0%
quarter. and 25.5%, for SF and CO properties, re
CENTRAL O'AHU AREA spectively. Both MSP's rose and this was
The Central O'ahu area again had the MAKAKILO AREA the only area on O'ahu to do so. The SF
highest SF QAR on the island this quarter, Sales eased in the Makakilo area for both MSP increased by 1.4%, to $602,500, and
at 48.5%, but sales declined in this area, SF and CO homes and the MSP's con the CO MSP increased 2.1 % since a year
and both MSP's lost ground. SF sales were tracted, as well. SF sales declined 13.0%, ago, to $295,000. Listing counts in this
off20.0% and the MSP was off9.5%, and and the SF MSP decreased by 9.3%, to area rose 45.5% and 11.3%, for SF and CO
CO sales diminished by 43.3% and the CO $500,000. CO sales fell by 17.9%, and the units, and both of the MLP's were lower.
MSP was 3.0% lower. Inventory levels CO MSP dropped 20.7%, to $265,000. The SF MLP declined 15.7%, to
rose in the fourth quarter, with SF proper The number of SF lists tightened 24.2%, $625~ 100, and the CO MLP lost 11.3 %, to
ties adding 4.8% and there were 10.3% the most for any area this quarter, and the $294,300. The CO QAR, at 61.9%, was
more CO units available. The SF MLP MLP was off 6.2%, to $636,500, while the highest on O'ahu this quarter, while the
was up 0.3% and the CO MLP was just CO counts were off 14.5%. The QAR's DOM added more than a week since last
3.9% lower. The DOM indicated slower were mixed since last year, to stand at year, rising to 45 days, but was still one of
CO sales, at 50 days, while the SF DOM 27.8% and 43.4% in the fourth quarter. the fastest for any CO areas on the island.
increased to 54 days.
KAILUA AREA:
SF Kailua-Waimanalo 4-1 to 4-3,4-4* 55 $715,000 39 162 $1,039,300 72 $766,500 57 178 $947,600
CO Kailua-Waimanalo 4-1 to 4-3, 4-4* 14 $427,500 45 36 $440,300 22 $411,500 67 34 $498,200
KANEOHE AREA:
SF Kaneohe 4-4*,4-5,4-6,4-7 42 $634,500 58 111 $713,300 50 $642,500 37 124 $787,700
SF Windward Coast
CO Kaneohe
4-7*, 4-8 to 5-4
4-4*,4-5,4-6,4-7
9
33
$627,000
$400,000
63
52
92
88
$789,600
$374,400
19
33
- $640,000
$420,000
46
45
89
90
$799,000
$403,700
CO Windward Coast 4-7*, 4-8 to 5-4 3 $183,000 137 23 $297,500 1 $425,000 178 29 $301,200
SF Wahiawa All 7
14 $450,500 73 39 $553,200 17 $410,000 61 37 $537,400
SF Mililani 9-4*,9-5
50 $572,000 50 93 $650,100 56 $601,000 39 104 $657,600
CO Wahiawa All 7
3 $147,000 48 23 $184,700 9 . $235,000 100 20 $184,100
CO Mililani 9-4*, 9-5
52 $300,000 53 116 $299,100 66 $302,500. 39 116 $301,500
SF Makaha-NanakuJi All 8
26 $342,500 44 196 $376,500 37 $361,000 47 178 $385,900
CO Makaha-NanakuJi All 8
17 $154,000 122 135 $176,600 19 $148,000 76 154 $173,400
MAKAKILO AREA:
WAIPAHU AREA:
SF Waipahu 9-4*
43 $535,000 64 142 $573,600 37 $529,000 40 137 $584,600
CO Waipahu 9-4*
31 $260,000 45 76 $276,300 57 $290,000 33 78 $281,400
ALL OAHU:
SINGLE FAMILY 607 $610,000 57 2,079 $696,300 721 $615,000 51 2,092 $713,100
CONDOMINIUM 760 $315,600 57 2,651 $340,700 1,015 $322,000 47 2,715 $346,400
An asterisk (*) indicates that the section is split between two neighborhoods.
FOURTH QUARTER 2008 GLOSSARY OF TERMS & ABBREVIATIONS OAHU HOUSING TRENDS - Page 7
The Honolulu Board ofREALToRS®
AREA - A grouping of neighborhoods within a bel'S. It is the number in the middle ofthe series
PERCENT CHANGE - The percent change is
geographic boundary defined by the specific so that half the numbers are below the median
calculated by dividing 100 times the amount of
TMK zones, sections and plats shown on the and half are above. The median is always used
change by the older information. For example,
Data Table page. This report contains data for when reporting sales prices, days on market,
if computing the percent change between sales
twelve (12) such areas which, in total, comprise etc., to eliminate the skewing effect that very
of2,300 in this time period and 2,000 in the last
the island of Oahu. high or very low numbers will have on the
period, the divisor would be 2,000 and the nu
dian number of the Days on Market for a group MSP - Median Sales Price.
would be 10.0%.
the List Date for the most current MLS number SF - Single Family Home.
and does not reflect re-lists. sections and plats for which statistical informa
SOLD - A property is categorized as SOLD
HBR - Honolulu Board ofREALTORS®. tion is tracked. The Research Department di
only after closing and recordation. The time de
series of numbers.
borhoods which are shown in the Area and
and four months.
ANNUAL STATISTICS
The figures for all of 2008 show the se Mainland prices are down 50% in just
MARKET OUTLOOK one year and, I believe, one of the major
vere decline in sales volume on O'ahu.
The total number of single-family home Where is all the money the US Govern problems is lack of financing availability
sales was 2,741 and 3,933 condomini ment gave to banks and lending institu to help clear out inventories. While
tions? They don't seem to be lending it. O'ahu properties have shown only a
ums changed hands for declines of
Would-be buyers with pretty good credit minimal price down tum, look out for
24.4% and 28.5%, respectively. The sin
scores can't get loans. What's up? what's coming if this poor financial envi
gle-family home median price decreased
ronment continues. Pricing appears to
only 3.0%, to $624,000, and the condo
The housing markets, especially on the be the key to moving local inventory and
minium median price in 2008 was un
Mainland, continue to reel from the diffi don't expect a recovery in the housing
changed at $325,000.
culty in obtaining mOligages. Some market any time in the short-term.