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Clinical Infectious Diseases Advance Access published March 13, 2013

Test and Treat in Los Angeles: A mathematical model of the effects of


test and treat for the MSM population in LA County

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Neeraj Sood1,+, Zachary Wagner1, Amber Jaycocks2, Emmanuel Drabo3,
Raffaele Vardavas*,4

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Background:
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Methods:
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Conclusions:
Results:
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Introduction
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Model Structure
Study Design
Methods

Figure 1
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Key Input Parameters and Ranges
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Surveillance Data
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Figure 2
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Model Calibration
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Table 1
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TJs

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Test and Treat Model

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Sensitivity Analysis
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Table 1
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Table 1 Figure 3
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Results

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Table 2
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Sensitivity Analysis
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Discussion
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Author Contributions

Conflicts of Interest
Funding

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2006

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References
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2010
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2010

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2012

2006

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2010

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2007

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2008

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Table 1

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New People Initiating
New HIV Diagnosis In First Year
Scenario Treatment In First Year
(%Change from Status Quo)
(%Change from Status Quo)
Status Quo

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Treatment 2 5 Years*

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Treatment 1 Year

Treatment 6 Months
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Table 2.

% of Total HIV/AIDS
Cumulative from 2013 2023
Population in 2023
Scenario

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Status Quo
Treatment 2 5 Years*

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Treatment 1 Year

Treatment 6 Months

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Figure 1.
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Figure 2. Calibration Results.

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Figure 3

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