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INDEX
SR.NO 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 TOPIC Introduction Page No. 2-3
Basis Of Asset-Liability Management 4-6 Purpose And Objectives Of Assets Liability 7-10 Management Significant Of Assets Liability Management Scope Of Assets Liability Management Components Of A Bank Balance Sheet Techniques Of Assets Liability Management Asset-Liability Management Approach Assets Liability Management (ALM) System In Bank- RBI Guidelines Procedure For Examination Of Asset 11-12 13-14 14-24 25-27 28-33 34-46
Liability Management 47-50 Study Of Assets Liability Management In 51-63 Indian Banks: Canonical Correlation Analysis (Period 1992-2004) Conclusion Bibliography
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Assets liability management has today become the most topical subject of any financial institution. It encompasses the analysis and development of goals and objectives, the development of long term strategic plans, periodic profit plans and rate sensitivity management. In one way or another it has always been the function or responsibility of Treasury and other financial/ strategic department is being established and assets liability management department are being formed within financial institution. These committees are often given extraordinary powers regarding the mix and match of assets and liabilities and have large influence in winding up activities which do not fit business strategy. It is true that banks create both assets and liabilities in their day-to-day operations, but it is also equally true that risk management in bank is keener to manage their assets rather than their liabilities. In fact, for some time, bankers were happy to keep an eye on their assets acquisition and treated the liability as granted. Of late, the mindset has changed and banks increasingly shown equal, if not more, interest in liability management. In fact, banks main business is to manage risk. Importantly, liquidity and interest risk management constitutes the core business of banks. To be more precise, banks are in the business of maturity transformation. They accept deposits of different maturities and advance loan of different maturities. Balancing and adjusting maturity period of deposits and loans from the core business activity of banks. If this activity of a bank is analyzed, one may observe that banks also transfer the risk appetite of customers to each other through market operation.
These activities of banks result in management of liquidity and interest risk in their operations. In early days bank were mongering risks by having in-depth knowledge of customers. In day-to-day operation, it is inevitable for bank to face liquidity imbalance due
to various reason.
Traditionally, banks and insurance companies used accrual system of accounting for all their assets and liabilities. They would take on liabilities such as deposits, life insurance policies or annuities. They would then invest the proceeds from these liabilities in assets such as loans, bonds or real estate. All these assets and liabilities were held at book value. Doing so disguised possible risks arising from how the assets and liabilities were structured. Consider a bank that borrows 1 Core (100 Lakhs) at 6 % for a year and lends the same money at 7 % to a highly rated borrower for 5 years. The net transaction appears profitable-the bank is earning a 100 basis point spread but it entails considerable risk. At the end of a year, the bank will have to find new financing for the loan, which will have 4 more years before it matures. If interest rates have risen, the bank may have to pay a higher rate of interest on the new financing than the fixed 7 % it is earning on its loan. Suppose, at the end of a year, an applicable 4-year interest rate is 8 %. The bank is in serious trouble. It is going to earn 7 % on its loan but would have to pay 8 % on its financing. Accrual accounting does not recognize this problem. Based upon accrual accounting, the bank would earn Rs 100,000 in the first year although in the preceding years it is going to incur a loss. The problem in this example was caused by a mismatch between assets and liabilities. Prior to the 1970's, such mismatches tended not to be a significant problem. Interest rates in developed countries experienced only modest fluctuations, so losses due to asset-liability mismatches were small or trivial. Many firms intentionally mismatched their balance sheets and as yield
curves were generally upward sloping, banks could earn a spread by borrowing short and lending long. Things started to change in the 1970s, which ushered in a period of volatile interest rates that continued till the early 1980s. US regulations which had capped the interest rates so that banks could pay depositors, were abandoned which led to a migration of dollar deposit overseas. Managers of many firms, who were accustomed to thinking in terms of accrual accounting, were slow to recognize this emerging risk. Some firms suffered staggering losses. Because the firms used accrual accounting, it resulted in more of crippled balance sheets than bankruptcies. Firms had no options but to accrue the losses over a subsequent period of 5 to 10 years. One example, which drew attention, was that of US mutual life insurance company "The Equitable." During the early 1980s, as the USD yield curve was inverted with short-term interest rates sky rocketing, the company sold a number of long-term Guaranteed Interest Contracts (GICs) guaranteeing rates of around 16% for periods up to 10 years. Equitable then invested the assets short-term to earn the high interest rates guaranteed on the contracts. But short-term interest rates soon came down. When the Equitable had to reinvest, it couldn't get even close to the interest rates it was paying on the GICs. The firm was crippled. Eventually, it had to demutualize and was acquired by the Axa Group. Increasingly banks and asset management companies started to focus on Asset-Liability Risk. The problem was not that the value of assets might fall or that the value of liabilities might rise. It was that capital might be depleted by narrowing of the difference between assets and liabilities and that the
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values of assets and liabilities might fail to move in tandem. Asset-liability risk is predominantly a leveraged form of risk. The capital of most financial institutions is small relative to the firm's assets or liabilities, and so small percentage changes in assets or liabilities can translate into large percentage changes in capital. Accrual accounting could disguise the problem by deferring losses into the future, but it could not solve the problem. Firms responded by forming assets-liability management ( ALM ) department to assess these assets-liability risk.
CHAPTER 3
THUS, PURPOSE OF ASSETS LIABILITY MANAGEMENT IS TO ENHANCE THE ASSET AND LIABILITIES AND FURTHER MANAGE THEM. SUCH A PROCESS WILL INVOLVE THE FOLLOWING STEPS:
I. Review the interest rate structure and compare the same to the interest/product pricing of both assets and liabilities.
II.
Examine the loan and investment portfolios in the light of the foreign exchange risk and liquidity risk that might arise.
III.
Examine the credit risk and contingency risk that may originate either due to rate fluctuations or otherwise and assess the quality of assets.
IV.
Review, the actual performance against the projections made and analyse the reasons for any effect on spreads.
The Assets Liability Management technique so designed to manage various risk primarily aim to stabilize the short profits. -Net Interest Income (NII) -Net Interest Margin (NIM) -Economic Equity Ratio
At micro level the objectives of Assets Liability Management are two folds. It aims at profitability through Price Matching while ensuring liquidity by means of maturity matching. 1. Price Matching basically aims to maintain spreads by ensuring that deployment of liabilities will be at a rate higher than the costs. This exercise would indicate whether the institution is in a position to benefit from rising interest rates by having a positive gap (assets > liabilities) or whether it is in a position to benefit from declining interest rates by a negative gap(liabilities > assets). 2. Liquidity is ensured by grouping the assets/liabilities based on their Maturing profiles. The gap in then assessed to identify future financing Requirements. However, there are often maturity mismatches, which may to a certain extent affect the expected result.
CHAPTER 4
Some
Of
Reasons
for
growing
significance
ASSETS
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structures, money supply and overall credit position of the market, the exchange rate and price level.
2. Product Innovation
The second reason for growing importance of ALM is rapid innovation take place in financial product of bank. While there were some innovations that came as passing fads, others have received tremendous response.
3. Regulatory Environment
At the international level, Bank for International Settlement (BIS) provides a framework for banks to tackle the market risks that may arise due to rate fluctuation and excessive credit risk. Central Bank in various countries (including Reserve Bank of India) has issued frameworks and guidelines for banks to develop Assets Liability Management policies.
4. Management Recognition
All the above mentioned aspects forced bank management to give a serious thought to effective management of assets and liabilities. A bank shoul be in a position to relate and link the asset side with liability side. And this calls for efficient Asset- Liability Management. There is increasing awareness in the top management that banking is now a different game altogether since all risks of the game have since changed.
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It is recognized that ALM addresses to the managerial tasks of planning, directing and monitoring. The Treasury Department undertakes operational tasks of executing the detailed strategies and actions. In any case, neither ALM nor ALCO get associated, in any way, with the operational aspects of funds management. Managing risk / return trade off with in the ALM framework provided by ALCO is the task of Treasury and not ALM / ALCO.
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2. Reserves
& Surplus:
II.
Capital Reserves
III.
IV.
3. Deposits:
This is the main source of banks funds. The deposits are classified as deposits payable on demand and time. They are reflected in balance sheet as under: I. Demand Deposits II. Savings Bank Deposits
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4. Borrowings:
(Borrowings include Refinance / Borrowings from RBI, Inter-bank & other institutions) I. Borrowings in India i) Reserve Bank of India ii) Other Banks iii) Other Institutions & Agencies I. Borrowings outside India
II.
III.
Interest Accrued
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IV. Unsecured Redeemable Bonds (Subordinated Debt for Tier-II Capital) V. Other (including provision)
1. COMPONENTS OF ASSETS
1. Cash & Bank Balances with RBI I. Cash in hand (including foreign currency notes) II. Balances with Reserve Bank of India In Current Accounts In Other Accounts 2. Balances With Banks And Money At Call & Short Notice
I. In India i) Balances with Banks
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a) In Current Accounts b) In Other Deposit Accounts ii) Money at Call and Short Notice a) With Banks b) With Other Institutions
II. outside India a) In Current Accounts b) In Other Deposit Accounts c) Money at Call & Short Notice
2. Investments:
A major asset item in the banks balance sheet. Reflected under 6 buckets as under: I. Investments in India in: i) Government Securities ii) Other approved Securities
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iii) Shares iv) Debentures and Bond v) Subsidiaries and Sponsored Institutions vi) Others (UTI Shares, Commercial Papers, COD & Mutual Fund Units etc.) II. Investments outside India in ** Subsidiaries and/or Associates abroad
4. Advances:
The most important assets for a bank. A. i) Bills Purchased and Discounted ii) Cash Credits, Overdrafts & Loans repayable on demand iii) Term Loans
B. Particulars of Advances: i) Secured by tangible assets (including advances against Book Debts)
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5. Fixed Asset:
I. Premises II. Other Fixed Assets (Including furniture and fixtures)
6. Other Assets:
I. Interest accrued II. Tax paid in advance/tax deducted at source (Net of Provisions) III. Stationery and Stamps IV. Non-banking assets acquired in satisfaction of claims V. Deferred Tax Asset (Net) VI. Others
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CONTINGENT LIABILITY
Banks obligations under LCs, Guarantees, and Acceptances on behalf of constituents and Bills accepted by the bank are reflected under this heads.
II.
Expenses: This includes Interest Expended, Operating Expenses and Provisions & contingencies.
Interest on balances with Reserve Bank of India and other interbank funds Others
IV.
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2. Other Income
I. II. Commission, Exchange and Brokerage Profit on sale of Investments (Net)
III. Profit/ (Loss) on Revaluation of Investments IV. Profit on sale of land, buildings and other assets (Net) V. VI. Profit on exchange transactions (Net) Income earned by way of dividends etc. from subsidiaries and
COMPONENTS OF EXPENSES
I. II. III. IV. V. V. Payments to and Provisions for employees. Rent, Taxes and Lighting Printing and Stationery Advertisement and Publicity. Depreciation on Bank's property. Directors' Fees, Allowances and Expenses.
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VII. Auditors Fees and Expenses (including Branch Auditors). VIII. Law Charges. IX. Postages, Telegrams, Telephones etc. X. Repairs and Maintenance
XI. Insurance
XII.
Other Expenditure
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Asset liability management denotes the adaptation of the profit management process in order to handle the presence of various constraint relating to the commitments that figure in the liabilities of an institutional investors balance sheet (commitments to paying pensions, insurance premium etc.). There are, therefore, as many types of liability constraints as there are types of institutional investor, and thus as many types of approaches to Assets liability management. ALM- type management techniques can be classified into several categories. A first approach called cash-flow matching involves ensuring a perfect match between the cash flows from the portfolio of assets and commitments in the liabilities. This technique, which provides the advantage of simplicity and allow, in theory, for perfect risk management, nevertheless presents a number of limitations. First of all, it will generally be impossible to find inflationlinked securities whose maturity corresponds exactly to the liability commitments. Moreover, most of those securities pay out coupons, which lead to problem of reinvesting the coupons. To the extent that perfect matching is not possible, there is a technique called immunization, which allows the residual interest rate risk created by the imperfect match between
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the assets and liabilities to be managed in an optimal way. This interest rate risk management techniques can be extended beyond a simple durationbased approach to fairly general contexts. Including for example, hedging non-parallel shifts in the yield curve, or to simultaneous management of interest rate risk and inflation risk. It should be noted, however, that this technique is difficult to adapt to hedging non-linear risk related to the presence of options hidden in the liability structures. Another, probably more important, disadvantages of the cash-flow matching technique are that is that represented by the positioning that is extreme and not necessary optimal for the investor in the risk/return space. In fact, we can say that the cash-flow matching approach in ALM is the framework. However, the lack of return, related to absence of risk premia, makes this approach very costly, which leads to an unattractive level of contribution to assets. In a concern to improve the profitability of the assets, therefore to reduce the level of contributions, it is necessary to introduce assets classes (stock, government bonds and corporate bonds) which are not perfectly correlated with the liabilities in to strategic allocation. It will then involve finding the best possible compromise between the risk (relative to the liability constraints ) there by taken on, and the excess return that the investor can hope to obtain through the exposure to rewarded risk factor Different techniques are then used to the optimize the surplus, i.e., the excess value of the assets compared to the liabilities, in a risk/return space. In particular, it is useful to turn to stochastic models that allow for a representation of the uncertainty relating to a set of risk factors that impact
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the liabilities. These can be financial risk (inflation, interest rate, stocks) or non financial risks (demographic ones in particular). When necessary, agent behavior models are then developed which allows the impact on decisions linked to the exerting of certain implicit options to be represented. For example, an insured person cans (typically in exchange for penalties) Cancel his/her life assurance contract if the guaranteed contractual rate drops significantly below the interest rate level prevailing at date flowing the signature of the contract, which makes the amount of liability cash flows, and not just their current value, dependent on interest rate risk.
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A. Liquidity Management
Liquidity represents the ability to accommodate decreases in liabilities and to fund increases in assets. An organization has adequate liquidity when it can obtain sufficient funds, either by increasing liabilities or by converting assets, promptly and at a reasonable cost. Liquidity is essential in all organizations to compensate for expected and unexpected balance sheet fluctuations and to provide funds for growth. The price of liquidity is a function of market conditions and market perception of the risks, both interest rate and credit risks, reflected in the balance sheet and off-balance sheet activities in the case of a bank. If liquidity needs are not met through liquid asset holdings, a bank may be forced to restructure or acquire additional liability under adverse market conditions. Liquidity exposure can
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stem from both internally (institution-specific) and externally generated factors. Sound liquidity risk management should address both types of exposure. External liquidity risks can be geographic, systemic or instrumentspecific. Internal liquidity risk relates largely to the perception of an institution in its various markets: local, regional, national or international. Determination of the adequacy of a bank's liquidity position depends upon an analysis of its:
Historical funding requirements Current liquidity position Anticipated future funding needs Sources of funds Present and anticipated asset quality Present and future earnings capacity Present and planned capital position
As all banks are affected by changes in the economic climate, the monitoring of economic and money market trends is key to liquidity planning. Sound financial management can minimize the negative effects of these trends while accentuating the positive ones. Management must also have an effective contingency plan that identifies minimum and maximum liquidity needs and weighs alternative courses of action designed to meet those needs. The cost of maintaining liquidity is another important prerogative. An institution that maintains a strong liquidity position may do so at the opportunity cost of generating higher earnings. The amount of liquid assets a bank should hold depends on the stability of its deposit structure and the potential for rapid expansion of its loan portfolio. If deposit accounts are
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composed primarily of small stable accounts, a relatively low allowance for liquidity is necessary Additionally, management must consider the current ratings by regulatory and rating agencies when planning liquidity needs. Once liquidity needs have been determined, management must decide how to meet them through asset management, liability management or a combination of both.
B. Asset Management
Many banks (primarily the smaller ones) tend to have little influence over the size of their total assets. Liquid assets enable a bank to provide funds to satisfy increased demand for loans. But banks, which rely solely on asset management, concentrate on adjusting the price and availability of credit and the level of liquid assets. However, assets that are often assumed to be liquid are sometimes difficult to liquidate. For example, investment securities may be pledged against public deposits or repurchase agreements, or may be heavily depreciated because of interest rate changes. Furthermore, the holding of liquid assets for liquidity purposes is less attractive because of thin profit spreads.
Asset liquidity, or how "salable" the bank's assets are in terms of both time and cost, is of primary importance in asset management. To maximize profitability, management must carefully weigh the full return on liquid assets (yield plus liquidity value) against the higher return associated with less liquid assets. Income derived from higher yielding assets may be offset
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if a forced sale, at less than book value, is necessary because of adverse balance sheet fluctuations. Seasonal, cyclical, or other factors may cause aggregate outstanding loans and deposits to move in opposite directions and result in loan demand, which exceeds available deposit funds. A bank relying strictly on asset management would restrict loan growth to that which could be supported by available deposits. The decision whether or not to use liability sources should be based on a complete analysis of seasonal, cyclical, and other factors, and the costs involved. In addition to supplementing asset liquidity, liability sources of liquidity may serve as an alternative even when asset sources are available.
C. Liability Management
Liquidity needs can be met through the discretionary acquisition of funds on the basis of interest rate competition. This does not preclude the option of selling assets to meet funding needs, and conceptually, the availability of asset and liability options should result in a lower liquidity maintenance cost. The alternative costs of available discretionary liabilities can be compared to the opportunity cost of selling various assets. The major difference between liquidity in larger banks and in smaller banks is that larger banks are better able to control the level and composition of their liabilities and assets. The ability to obtain additional liabilities represents liquidity potential. The marginal cost of liquidity and the cost of incremental funds acquired are of paramount importance in evaluating liability sources of liquidity.
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Consideration must be given to such factors as the frequency with which the banks must regularly refinance maturing purchased liabilities, as well as an evaluation of the bank's ongoing ability to obtain funds under normal market conditions.
The obvious difficulty in estimating the latter is that, until the bank goes to the market to borrow, it cannot determine with complete certainty that funds will be available and/or at a price, which will maintain a positive yield spread. Changes in money market conditions may cause a rapid deterioration in a bank's capacity to borrow at a favorable rate. In this context, liquidity represents the ability to attract funds in the market when needed, at a reasonable cost vis--vis asset yield. The access to discretionary funding sources for a bank is always a function of its position and reputation in the money market
Although the acquisition of funds at a competitive cost has enabled many banks to meet expanding customer loan demand, misuse or improper implementation of liability management can have severe consequences. Further, liability management is not risk less. This is because concentrations in funding sources increase liquidity risk. For example, a bank relying heavily on foreign interbank deposits will experience funding problems if overseas markets perceive instability in U.S. banks or the economy. Replacing foreign source funds might be difficult and costly because the domestic market may view the bank's sudden need for funds negatively. Again over-reliance on liability
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management may cause a tendency to minimize holdings of short-term securities, relax asset liquidity standards, and result in a large concentration of short-term liabilities supporting assets of longer maturity. During times of tight money, this could cause an earnings squeeze and an illiquid condition.
Also if rate competition develops in the money market, a bank may incur a high cost of funds and may elect to lower credit standards to book higher yielding loans and securities. If a bank is purchasing liabilities to support assets, which are already on its books, the higher cost of purchased funds may result in a negative yield spread. Preoccupation with obtaining funds at the lowest possible cost, without considering maturity distribution, greatly intensifies a bank's exposure to the risk of interest rate fluctuations. That is why banks who particularly rely on wholesale funding sources, management must constantly be aware of the composition, characteristics, and diversification of its funding sources.
management of banks to maintain a good balance among spreads, profitability and long-term viability. These pressures call for structured and comprehensive measures and not just ad hoc action. The Management of banks has to base their business decisions on a dynamic and integrated risk management system and process, driven by corporate strategy. Banks are exposed to several major risks in the course of their business - credit risk, interest rate risk, foreign exchange risk, equity / commodity price risk, liquidity risk and operational risks. 2. This note lays down broad guidelines in respect of interest rate and liquidity risks management systems in banks which form part of the AssetLiability Management (ALM) function. The initial focus of the ALM function would be to enforce the risk management discipline viz. managing business after assessing the risks involved. The objective of good risk management programmes should be that these programmes will evolve into a strategic tool for bank management.
3. The ALM process rests on three pillars: 1. ALM information systems. => Management Information System. => Information availability, accuracy, adequacy and expediency. 2. ALM organization
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=> Structure and responsibilities. => Level of top management involvement. 3. ALM process => Risk parameters => Risk identification => Risk measurement => Risk management => Risk policies and tolerance levels.
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gain experience of conducting business within an ALM framework. The spread of computerization will also help banks in accessing data. 5. ALM Organization 1) a) The Board should have overall responsibility for management of risks and should decide the risk management policy of the bank and set limits for liquidity, interest rate, foreign exchange and equity price risks. b) The Asset - Liability Committee (ALCO) consisting of the bank's senior management including CEO should be responsible for ensuring adherence to the limits set by the Board as well as for deciding the business strategy of the bank (on the assets and liabilities sides) in line with the bank's budget and decided risk management objectives. c) The ALM desk consisting of operating staff should be responsible for analyzing, monitoring and reporting the risk profiles to the ALCO. The staff should also prepare forecasts (simulations) showing the effects of various possible changes in market conditions related to the balance sheet and recommend the action needed to adhere to bank's internal limits. 2) The ALCO is a decision making unit responsible for balance sheet planning from risk - return perspective including the strategic management of interest rate and liquidity risks. Each bank will have to decide on the role of its ALCO, its responsibility as also the decisions to be taken by it. The business and risk management strategy of the bank should ensure that the bank operates within the limits / parameters set by the Board. The business issues that an ALCO would consider, inter alia, will include product pricing for both deposits and advances, desired maturity profile of the incremental
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assets and liabilities, etc. In addition to monitoring the risk levels of the bank, the ALCO should review the results of and progress in implementation of the decisions made in the previous meetings. The ALCO would also articulate the current interest rate view of the bank and base its decisions for future business strategy on this view. In respect of the funding policy, for instance, its responsibility would be to decide on source and mix of liabilities or sale of assets. Towards this end, it will have to develop a view on future direction of interest rate movements and decide on a funding mix between fixed vs. floating rate funds, wholesale vs. retail deposits, money market vs capital market funding, domestic vs. foreign currency funding, etc. Individual banks will have to decide the frequency for holding their ALCO meetings. 3) Composition of ALCO The size (number of members) of ALCO would depend on the size of each institution, business mix and organizational complexity. To ensure commitment of the Top Management, the CEO/CMD or ED should head the Committee. The Chiefs of Investment, Credit, Funds Management / Treasury (forex and domestic), International Banking and Economic Research can be members of the Committee. In addition the Head of the Information Technology Division should also be an invitee for building up of MIS and related computerization. Some banks may even have subcommittees. 4) Committee of Directors
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Banks should also constitute a professional Managerial and Supervisory Committee consisting of three to four directors which will oversee the implementation of the system and review its functioning periodically.
3. ALM Process
The scope of ALM function can be described as follows: a) Liquidity risk management b) Management of market risks (including Interest Rate Risk) c) Funding and capital planning d)Profit planning and growth projection e)Trading risk management The guidelines given in this note mainly address Liquidity and Interest Rate risks.
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are likely to evolve under crisis scenarios. Experience shows that assets commonly considered as liquid like Government securities and other money market instruments could also become illiquid when the market and players are unidirectional. Therefore liquidity has to be tracked through maturity or cash flow mismatches. For measuring and managing net funding requirements, the use of a maturity ladder and calculation of cumulative surplus or deficit of funds at selected maturity dates is adopted as a standard tool. 2. The Maturity Profile as given in Appendix I could be used for measuring the future cash flows of banks in different time buckets. The time buckets given the Statutory Reserve cycle of 14 days may be distributed as under: i) 1 to 14 days ii) 15 to 28 days iii) 29 days and up to 3 months iv) Over 3 months and up to 6 months v) Over 6 months and up to 12 months vi) Over 1 year and up to 2 years vii) Over 2 years and up to 5 years viii) Over 5 years. 3. Within each time bucket there could be mismatches depending on cash inflows and outflows. While the mismatches up to one year would be
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relevant since these provide early warning signals of impending liquidity problems, the main focus should be on the short-term mismatches viz., 1-14 days and 15-28 days. Banks, however, are expected to monitor their cumulative mismatches (running total) across all time buckets by establishing internal prudential limits with the approval of the Board / Management Committee. The mismatch during 1-14 days and 15-28 days should not in any case exceed 20% of the cash outflows in each time bucket. If a bank in view of its asset -liability profile needs higher tolerance level, it could operate with higher limit sanctioned by its Board / Management Committee giving reasons on the need for such higher limit. A copy of the note approved by Board / Management Committee may be forwarded to the Department of Banking Supervision, RBI. The discretion to allow a higher tolerance level is intended for a temporary period, till the system stabilises and the bank is able to restructure its asset -liability pattern. 4. The Statement of Structural Liquidity may be prepared by placing all cash inflows and outflows in the maturity ladder according to the expected timing of cash flows. A maturing liability will be a cash outflow while a maturing asset will be a cash inflow. It would be necessary to take into account the rupee inflows and outflows on account of forex operations including the readily available forex resources ( FCNR (B) funds, etc) which can be deployed for augmenting rupee resources. While determining the likely cash inflows / outflows, banks have to make a number of assumptions according to their asset - liability profiles. For instance, Indian banks with large branch network can (on the stability of their deposit base as most deposits are renewed) afford to have larger tolerance levels in mismatches if their term deposit base is quite high. While determining the to learn levels the banks
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may take into account all relevant factors based on their asset-liability base, nature of business, future strategy etc. The RBI is interested in ensuring that the tolerance levels are determined keeping all necessary factors in view and further refined with experience gained in Liquidity Management. 5. In order to enable the banks to monitor their short-term liquidity on a dynamic basis over a time horizon spanning from 1-90 days, banks may estimate their short-term liquidity profiles on the basis of business projections and other commitments. An indicative format for estimating Short-term Dynamic Liquidity is enclosed. 7. Currency Risk 1. Floating exchange rate arrangement has brought in its wake pronounced volatility adding a new dimension to the risk profile of banks' balance sheets. The increased capital flows across free economies following deregulation have contributed to increase in the volume of transactions. Large cross border flows together with the volatility has rendered the banks' balance sheets vulnerable to exchange rate movements. 2. Dealing in different currencies brings opportunities as also risks. If the liabilities in one currency exceed the level of assets in the same currency, then the currency mismatch can add value or erode value depending upon the currency movements. The simplest way to avoid currency risk is to ensure that mismatches, if any, are reduced to zero or near zero. Banks undertake operations in foreign exchange like accepting deposits, making loans and advance and quoting prices for foreign exchange transactions. Irrespective of the strategies adopted, it may not be possible to eliminate
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currency mismatches altogether. Besides, some of the institutions may take proprietary trading positions as a conscious business strategy. 3. Managing Currency Risk is one more dimension of Asset- Liability Management. Mismatched currency position besides exposing the balance sheet to movements in exchange rate also exposes it to country risk and settlement risk. Ever since the RBI (Exchange Control Department) introduced the concept of end of the day near square position in 1978, banks have been setting up overnight limits and selectively undertaking active day time trading. Following the introduction of "Guidelines for Internal Control over Foreign Exchange Business" in 1981, maturity mismatches (gaps) are also subject to control. Following the recommendations of Expert Group on Foreign Exchange Markets in India (Sodhani Committee) the calculation of exchange position has been redefined and banks have been given the discretion to set up overnight limits linked to maintenance of additional Tier I capital to the extent of 5 per cent of open position limit. 4. Presently, the banks are also free to set gap limits with RBI's approval but are required to adopt Value at Risk (VAR) approach to measure the risk associated with forward exposures. Thus the open position limits together with the gap limits form the risk management approach to forex operations. For monitoring such risks banks should follow the instructions contained in Circular A.D (M. A. Series) No.52 dated December 27, 1997 issued by the Exchange Control Department. 8. Interest Rate Risk (IRR)
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1. The phased deregulation of interest rates and the operational flexibility given to banks in pricing most of the assets and liabilities have exposed the banking system to Interest Rate Risk. Interest rate risk is the risk where changes in market interest rates might adversely affect a bank's financial condition. Changes in interest rates affect both the current earnings (earnings perspective) as also the net worth of the bank (economic value perspective). The risk from the earnings' perspective can be measured as changes in the Net Interest Income (Nil) or Net Interest Margin (NIM). In the context of poor MIS, slow pace of computerisation in banks and the absence of total deregulation, the traditional Gap analysis is considered as a suitable method to measure the Interest Rate Risk. It is the intention of RBI to move over to modern techniques of Interest Rate Risk measurement like Duration Gap Analysis, Simulation and Value at Risk at a later date when banks acquire sufficient expertise and sophistication in MIS. The Gap or Mismatch risk can be measured by calculating Gaps over different time intervals as at a given date. Gap analysis measures mismatches between rate sensitive liabilities and rate sensitive assets (including off-balance sheet positions). An asset or liability is normally classified as rate sensitive if: i) Within the time interval under consideration, there is a cash flow; ii) The interest rate resets/reprises contractually during the interval; iii) RBI changes the interest rates (i.e. interest rates on Savings Bank Deposits, advances up to Rs.2 lakhs, DRI advances Export credit, Refinance CRR balance, etc.) In cases where Interest rates are administered; and
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iv) It is contractually pre-payable or withdrawal before the stated maturities. 2. The Gap Report should be generated by grouping rate sensitive liabilities, assets and off balance sheet positions into time buckets according to residual maturity or next reprising period, whichever is earlier. The difficult task in Gap analysis is determining rate sensitivity. All investments, advances, deposits, borrowings, purchased funds etc. that mature/reprise within a specified timeframe are interest rate sensitive. Similarly, any principal repayment of loan is also rate sensitive if the bank expects to receive it within the time horizon. This includes final principal payment and interim installments. Certain assets and liabilities receive/pay rates that vary with a reference rate. These assets and liabilities are reprised at pre-determined intervals and are rate sensitive at the time of reprising. While the interest rates on term deposits are fixed during their currency, the advances portfolio of the banking system is basically floating. The interest rates on advances could be reprised any number of occasions, corresponding to the changes in PLR. The Gaps may be identified in the following time buckets: i) Up to 1 month ii) Over one month and up to 3 months iii) Over 3 months and up to 6 months iv) Over 6 months and up to 12 months v) Over 1 year and up to 3 years vi) Over 3 years and up to 5 years
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vii) Over 5 years viii) Non-sensitive 3. The Gap is the difference between Rate Sensitive Assets (RSA) and Rate Sensitive Liabilities (RSL) for each time bucket. The positive Gap indicates that it has more RSAs than RSLs whereas the negative Gap indicates that it has more RSLs. The Gap reports indicate whether the institution is in a position to benefit from rising interest rates by having a positive Gap (RSA > RSL) or whether it is in a position to benefit from declining interest rates by a negative Gap (RSL > RSA). The Gap can, therefore, be used as a measure of interest rate sensitivity. 4. Each bank should set prudential limits on individual Gaps with the approval of the Board/Management Committee. The prudential limits should have a bearing on the total assets, earning assets or equity. The banks may work out earnings at risk, based on their views on interest rate movements and fix a prudent level with the approval of the Board/Management Committee. 5. RBI will also introduce capital adequacy for market risks in due course. 6. The classification of various components of assets and liabilities into different time buckets for preparation of Gap reports (Liquidity and Interest Rate Sensitivity) as indicated in Appendices I & II is the benchmark. Banks which are better equipped to reasonably estimate the behavioral pattern, embedded options, rolls-in and rolls-out, etc of various components of assets and liabilities on the basis of past data / empirical studies could classify them in the appropriate time buckets, subject to approval from the ALCO / Board.
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A copy of the note approved by the ALCO / Board may be sent to the Department of Banking Supervision. Term), Bills Rediscounting, Refinance from RBI / others, Repos and deployment of foreign currency resources after conversion into rupees (unsnapped foreign currency funds) etc.
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control, funds management and financial ratio analysis. Below a step-by-step approach of ALM examination in case of a bank has been outlined.
STEP 1
The bank/ financial statements and internal management reports should be reviewed to assess the asset/liability mix with particular emphasis on:
Total liquidity position (Ratio of highly liquid assets to total assets). Current liquidity position (Minimum ratio of highly liquid assets to demand liabilities/deposits). Ratio of Non Performing Assets to Total Assets. Ratio of loans to deposits. Ratio of short-term demand deposits to total deposits. Ratio of long-term loans to short term demand deposits. Ratio of contingent liabilities for loans to total loans. Ratio of pledged securities to total securities.
STEP 2
It is to be determined that whether bank management adequately assesses and plans its liquidity needs and whether the bank has short-term sources of funds. This should include: -
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Review of internal management reports on liquidity needs and sources of satisfying these needs. Assessing the banks ability to meet liquidity needs.
STEP 3
The banks future development and expansion plans, with focus on funding and liquidity management aspects have to be looked into. This entails:
Determining whether bank management has effectively addressed the issue of need for liquid assets to funding sources on a long-term basis. Reviewing the bank's budget projections for a certain period of time in the future. Determining whether the bank really needs to expand its activities. What are the sources of funding for such expansion and whether there are projections of changes in the bank's asset and liability structure? Assessing the bank's development plans and determining whether the bank will be able to attract planned funds and achieve the projected asset growth. Determining whether the bank has included sensitivity to interest rate risk in the development of its long term funding strategy.
STEP 4
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Examining the bank's internal audit report in regards to quality and effectiveness in terms of liquidity management.
STEP 5
Reviewing the bank's plan of satisfying unanticipated liquidity needs by:
Determining whether the bank's management assessed the potential expenses that the bank will have as a result of unanticipated financial or operational problems. Determining the alternative sources of funding liquidity and/or assets subject to necessity. Determining the impact of the bank's liquidity management on net earnings position.
STEP 6
Preparing
an
Asset/Liability
Management
Internal
Control
Whether the board of directors has been consistent with its duties and responsibilities and included: A line of authority for liquidity management decisions. A mechanism to coordinate asset and liability management decisions.
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A method to identify liquidity needs and the means to meet those needs. Guidelines for the level of liquid assets and other sources of funds in relationship to needs.
CHAPTER 11 STUDY OF ASSETS LIABILITY MANAGEMENT IN INDIAN BANK: CANONICAL CORRELATION ANALYSIS ( PERIOD 1992-2004)
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INTRODUCTION
Assets liability management (ALM) defines management of all assets and liabilities of a bank. It requires assessment of various types of risks and alerting the assets liability portfolio to manage risk. Till the early 1990s, the RBI has done the real banking business and commercial banks were mere executors of what RBI decided. But now, BIS is standardizing the practices of banks across the globe and India is part of this process. The success of ALM, Risk Management of Assets and Liabilities. Hence, these days, without proper management of assets and liabilities, the survival is at stake. A banks liabilities include deposits, borrowing and capital. On the other side of the balance sheet are assets which are loans of various types which banks make to the customer for various purposes. To view the two side of banks balance sheet as completely integrated units. Has an intuitive appeal. But the nature profitability of bank especially in terms of Net Interest Margin (NIM).
ALM MODELS
Analytical models are very important for ALM analysis and scientific decision making. The basic models are: 1. GAP Analysis Model 2. Duration GAP Analysis Models
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Any of these models is being used by banks through their Asset Liability Management Committee (ALCO). The executive Director and other vital department heads ALCO in banks. There are minimum four members and maximum eight members. It is responsible for Setting business policies and strategies, Pricing assets and liabilities, Measuring risk, Periodic review, Discussing new products and Reporting.
To study the Portfolio-Matching behavior of Indian Bank in terms of nature and strengths of relationship between Assets and Liability.
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To find out the component of Assets explaining variance in liability and vice-versa. To study the impact of ownership over Asset Liability Management in Bank To study impact of ALM on the profitability of different backgroups.
METHODOLOGY
The study covers all scheduled commercial except the RBIs. The period of the study was from 1992-2004. The banks were grouped based on ownership structure the group were 1. Nationalized bank except SBI & Associates (19) 2. SBI and Associate (8) 3. Private Banks (30) 4. Foreign Banks (36)
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the asset side and other liabilities on the liabilities side. This is necessary to deal with the problem of singularity a situation that produces perfect correlation with in sets and make correlation between sets meaningless.
The relevant data has been collected from RBI website
Abroad Short Term Deposits Demand Deposits And Savings Bank Deposits Long Term Deposits All Deposits Not Included In Short Term
Assets - Liquidity
High
Investment
Term Loans
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B= B1*(Net Worth) + B2* (Borrowings) + B3* (Short Term Deposits) +B4* (Loan- Term Deposits) To begin with, A &B (called canonical variates) are unknown. The technique tries to compute the values of Ai and Bi such that the covariance between A & B is maximum.
TABLE OUTPUT
5:
CANONICAL
Foreign Banks 0.948 0.243 0.078 0.314 -0.469 0.268 -0.903 -0.664 0.171 0.498 -0.255
CORRELATION
nationalized
SUMMARY
SBI & Associate
OF
Private bank
R2 Canonical Loading Assets LA SLR Inv STL FA Liabilities NW Bor STD LTD Redundancy
0.997 0.716 0.712 -0.467 -0.464 0.461 -0.945 -0.948 -0.523 0.972 -0.201
0.987 -0.046 -0.328 -0.662 0.188 0.747 -0.728 -0.885 0.593 0.126 0.007
0.998 0.237 0.744 0.858 0.568 -0.88 0.644 0.831 -0.83 -0.457 0.964
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Asset Liability
0.212 0.196
0.426 0.539
0.279 0.288
0.476 0.629
The first row (R2) is measure of the significance of the correlation. In this case all the correlation is significant. The canonical loading is measure of the strength of the association which means it is a present of variance linearly shared by an original variable with one of the canonical varieties. A loading greater than 40% is assumed to be significant. A negative loading indicates an inverse relationship. For example, for foreign bank, Fixed Assets (FA) under assets has a loading of -0.903Net worth under liabilities has loading of -0.664. Since both are negative, this means there is a strong correlation between FA and NW. Similarly for foreign banks, we can observe that there is a strong negative correlation between short-term deposit with both Term Loan and Fixed Asset. OBSERVATION As per the summary table above, the canonical co-relation coefficients of different set of banks indicate that different banks have different degree of association among constituents of assets and liabilities. Bank-Groups can be arranged in decreasing order of correlation:
o o o o
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Redundancy factors indicate how redundant one set of variables which gives an idea about independent and dependent sets. This also gives an idea about the fact whether the bank is asset-managed or liability-managed. Looking at the redundancy factors, the independent and dependent sets for different bank-group can be identified:
Other than Foreign bank groups, remaining three have assets as their independent set this means during the study period (1992-2004), these banks were actively managing assets and liability was dependent upon how well the assets are managed. This is in perfect consonance with the micro indicator.
FOREIGN BANKS
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The canonical function coefficient or the canonical weight of different constituents in case of foreign banks Term Loans and Fixed Assets from asset side Net Worth Short term Deposit from liability side have significant presence with following interpretation :
Very strong co-relation between Fixed Asset and Net Worth. Strong negative correlation between short-term deposit with both Term loan and Fixed Assets. This indicates
o o
Proper using of short- term deposit. Not use for long- term assets or long term losses.
PRIVATE BANKS
In case of private bank all constituents of asset side Liquidate Assets, SLR Securities, Short- term loans, investment, Term Loans, and Fixed Assets and significantly explaining the co-relation while on liability side only Net Worth and Short Term Deposit are contributing. This shows how actively these banks manage their assets to generate maximum return. This relationship can be interpreted in the following ways:
Very strong co-relation between FA and NW. Short- term deposit is used for Liquid Assets, SLR and Short Term Loans As defines above LA, SLR and STL all are highly liquid section of assets. So it is very prudent to employ short term deposits.
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NATIONALIZED BANKS
In case of nationalized banks investment, short-term loan, fixed asset contribute significantly in explaining asset part while net worth and borrowings constituent of liability is major factor. The major interpretations are:
Very strong co-relation between FA NW. Nationalized banks use borrowing for Short-term loans. There is negative co-relation between Borrowing and Investment.
o o o
More concerned with liquidity than profitability. Conservative strategy (in comparison to Private Banks). Good short-term maturity/liquidity management.
Nationalized Banks use a borrowing (which is never term maturity) for Short- term a loan which is effective way of ALM.
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For SBI group all constitute of liability namely Net Worth, Borrowings short-term deposit and long term deposit are significant while in assets side SLR investment, Investment, Term loans and Fixed Assets are significant. Following can be interpreted:
Very strong correlation between FA and NW. Strong correlation between Borrowing and SLR. Correlation between Long term Deposits and Term Loan, Investment and SLR.
o o o o
Short term Deposits and Short-term liabilities are correlated. Most Conservative strategy. Over concerned with liquidity. Use long-term funds for Long as well as medium &short-term loan.
CONCLUSION
Based on this decision above, it can be conclude that ownership and structure of the banks do affect their ALM procedure. The discussion paper concludes with following findings:
Among all groups, SBI & association have best Assets-Liability maturity pattern Other than Foreign Bank- all other banks can be called liability manage banks. Across all banks, Fixed Assets and Net Worth are highly correlated. Private Banks are aggressive in profit generation.
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Nationalized Banks (including SBI &Associates) are excessively concerned about Liquidity. The aggressive strategy adopted by private banks is being reflected in terms of better profitability.
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