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GBPUSD Short Scalps Target Objective at 1.54 BoE on Tap AUD/USD Below 1.0000 Requires More than an RBA Rate Cut
TRADING TIPS
BUY EURUSD ABOVE 1.3145 tgs 1.3165/1.3185 sl 1.3125
German Industrial Production was reported today to have risen at the fastest pace in a year in March, thereby sending the Euro slightly higher. Industrial output rose by 1.2%, beating expectations for production to decline 1.2% and better than the revised 0.6% rise reported for February. Industrial production declined 2.5% from March 2012, according to the Economy Ministry. German manufacturing output rose 1.4% over March, compared with the 2.2% rise in factory orders reported yesterday. Energy output rose 4% over March, while production of consumer goods increased by 1% over the month. The German Economy Ministry said output should continue to rise in the coming months.
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ANALYSIS OPEN: 1.3125 HIGH: 1.3147 LOW: 1.3125 CLOSE: 1.3144 EURUSD LOOKS UPWARD TREND: BULLISH STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS MACD =>.0004(BULLISH SIGNAL) RSI => 63(BULLISH SIGNAL)
ANALYSIS OPEN: 98.86 HIGH: 98.98 LOW: 98.88 CLOSE: 98.93 USDJPY LOOKS UPWARDS TREND: BULLISH STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS MACD =>.12(BULLISH SIGNAL) RSI => 59(BULLISH SIGNAL)
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ANALYSIS OPEN: 1.5494 HIGH: 1.5509 LOW: 1.5494 CLOSE: 1.5507 GBPUSD LOOKS DOWNWARD TREND: BEARISH STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE MACD =>.0001(BEARISH SIGNAL) RSI => 38(BEARISH SIGNAL)
ANALYSIS OPEN: 00.8471 HIGH: 00.8482 LOW: 00.8471 CLOSE: 00.8478 EURGBP LOOKS UPWARDS TREND: BULLISH STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS MACD =>.0002(BULLISH SIGNAL) RSI => 70(BULLISH SIGNAL)
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ANALYSIS OPEN: 82.0970 HIGH: 82.0970 LOW: 82.0180 CLOSE: 82.0410 USDINDEX LOOKS UPWARDS TREND: BULLISH STRATEGY: BUY ON DIPS MACD =>.0643(BULLISH SIGNAL) RSI => 50(BULLISH SIGNAL)
ECONOMIC CALLENDER
Date
Sun May 5 Mon May 6
Time
Currency
Event
Importance
Actual
Forecast
Previous
Notes
13:30
USD Fed's Pianalto Gives Commencement Speech in Ohio CNY Leading Index (MAR) AUD TD Securities Inflation (YoY) (APR) AUD TD Securities Inflation (MoM) (APR) AUD Retail Sales Ex Inflation(QoQ) (1Q) AUD Retail Sales s.a. (MoM) (MAR) AUD ANZ Job Advertisements (MoM) (APR) CNY HSBC Services PMI (APR) EUR Italian Purchasing Manager Index Services (APR) EUR French Purchasing Manager Index Services (APR F) EUR German Purchasing Manager Index Services (APR F) EUR Euro-Zone Purchasing Manager Index Composite (APR F) EUR Euro-Zone Purchasing Manager Index Services (APR F) EUR Euro-Zone Sentix Investor Confidence (MAY) EUR Euro-Zone Retail Sales (YoY) (MAR) EUR Euro-Zone Retail Sales (MoM) (MAR) EUR German FinMin Schaeuble Speaks on European Integration CAD Building Permits (MoM) (MAR) CAD Ivey Purchasing Managers Index s.a. (APR) NZD Average Hourly Earnings (QoQ) (1Q) NZD Labor Cost Private Sector (QoQ) (1Q)
Low
00:23
Medium
99.38
99.98
00:30
Medium
2.1%
2.1%
00:30
Low
0.3%
0.2%
01:30
Medium
2.2%
1.7%
0.1%
01:30
Medium
-0.4%
0.1%
1.3%
01:30
Low
-1.3%
-0.4%
01:45
Medium
51.1
54.3
07:45
Low
47.0
45.9
45.5
07:50
Low
44.3
44.1
44.1
07:55
Medium
49.6
49.2
49.2
08:00
Medium
46.9
46.6
46.5
08:00
Medium
47.0
46.6
46.6
08:30
Medium
-15.6
-15.2
-17.3
09:00
Medium
-2.4%
-2.2%
-1.7%
09:00
Low
-0.1%
-0.1%
-0.2%
09:00
Low
12:30
Medium
1.0%
1.7%
14:00
Medium
58.0
61.6
22:45
Medium
1.0%
-0.4%
22:45
Low
0.5%
0.6%
22:45
NZD Private Wages ex Overtime (QoQ) (1Q) GBP BRC Shop Price Index (YoY) (APR) GBP Lloyds Employment Confidence (APR) AUD AiG Performance of Construction Index (APR) AUD House Price Index (QoQ) (1Q) AUD House Price Index (YoY) (1Q) AUD Trade Balance (Australian dollar) (MAR) AUD Reserve Bank of Australia Rate Decision (MAY 7) CHF SECO Consumer Confidence (APR) CHF Unemployment Rate (APR) CHF Unemployment Rate s.a. (APR) AUD Foreign Reserves (Australian dollar) (APR) CHF Foreign Currency Reserves (APR) EUR German Factory Orders n.s.a. (YoY) (MAR) EUR German Factory Orders s.a. (MoM) (MAR) USD IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism (MAY) USD JOLTs Job Openings (MAR) USD Consumer Credit (MAR) GBP BRC Sales LikeFor-Like (YoY) (APR) CNY Trade Balance (USD) (APR) CNY Exports (YoY) (APR) CNY Imports (YoY) (APR)
Low
0.5%
0.5%
23:01
Low
1.4%
23:01
Low
-45
23:30
Tue May 7
Medium
39
01:30
Medium
1.8%
1.6%
01:30
Medium
4.0%
2.1%
01:30
Medium
0M
-178M
04:30
LIVE
High
3.00%
3.00%
05:45
Medium
-2
-6
05:45
Medium
3.1%
3.2%
05:45
Medium
3.1%
3.1%
06:30
Low
A$48.7B
07:00
Low
435.0B
438.3B
10:00
Medium
-2.9%
0.0%
10:00
Low
-0.5%
2.3%
14:00
Low
47.3
46.2
14:00
Low
3925
19:00
Medium
$16.000B
$18.139B
23:01
Wed May 8
Low
1.9%
1.9%
04:00
Medium
$15.50B
-$0.88B
04:00
Low
10.0%
10.0%
04:00
Low
13.0%
14.1%
04:00
GBP Halifax House Price (3MoY) (APR) GBP Halifax Plc House Prices s.a. (MoM) (APR) GBP New Car Registrations (YoY) (APR) CHF CPI - EU Harmonised (YoY) (APR) CHF Consumer Price Index (YoY) (APR) CHF CPI - EU Harmonised (MoM) (APR) CHF Consumer Price Index (MoM) (APR) EUR German Industrial Production n.s.a. and w.d.a. (YoY) (MAR) EUR German Industrial Production s.a. (MoM) (MAR) USD MBA Mortgage Applications (MAY 3) CAD Housing Starts (APR) USD Fed's Stein Speaks at Chicago Fed Conference USD DOE Cushing OK Crude Inventory (MAY 3) USD DOE U.S. Crude Oil Inventories (MAY 3) USD DOE U.S. Distillate Inventory (MAY 3) USD DOE U.S. Gasoline Inventories (MAY 3) NZD Unemployment Rate (1Q) NZD Employment Change (QoQ) (1Q) NZD Employment Change (YoY) (1Q) NZD Participation Rate (QoQ) (1Q) JPY Official Reserve Assets (APR) NZD QV House Prices (YoY) (APR)
Low
1.6%
1.1%
04:00
Low
0.2%
0.2%
04:00
Low
5.9%
07:15
Medium
-0.3%
07:15
Medium
-0.5%
-0.6%
07:15
Low
0.5%
07:15
Low
0.1%
0.2%
10:00
Medium
-3.8%
-1.8%
10:00
Low
-0.1%
0.5%
11:00
Low
1.8%
12:15
Medium
175.0K
184.0K
12:30
Low
14:30
Low
-1382K
14:30
Low
6696K
14:30
Low
474K
14:30
Low
-1818K
22:45
High
6.8%
6.9%
22:45
Medium
1.0%
-1.0%
22:45
Medium
-0.7%
-1.4%
22:45
Low
67.9%
67.2%
23:50
Thu May 9
Low
$1254.4B
00:00
Low
6.5%
01:30
LIVE
AUD Employment Change (APR) AUD Unemployment Rate (APR) CNY Consumer Price Index (YoY) (APR) AUD Full Time Employment Change (APR) CNY Producer Price Index (YoY) (APR) AUD Part Time Employment Change (APR) AUD Participation Rate (APR) JPY Tokyo Avg Office Vacancies (APR) JPY Leading Index (MAR P) JPY Coincident Index (MAR P) EUR ECB Publishes Monthly Report GBP Industrial Production (YoY) (MAR) GBP Manufacturing Production (YoY) (MAR) GBP Industrial Production (MoM) (MAR) GBP Manufacturing Production (MoM) (MAR) GBP BOE Asset Purchase Target (MAY) GBP Bank of England Rate Decision (MAY 9) USD Fed's Lacker Speaks on Financial Stability in New York CAD New Housing Price Index (YoY) (MAR) USD Initial Jobless Claims (MAY 4) CAD New Housing Price Index (MoM) (MAR) USD Continuing Claims (APR 27)
High
11.0K
-36.1K
01:30
LIVE
High
5.6%
5.6%
01:30
High
2.3%
2.1%
01:30
Medium
-7.4K
01:30
Medium
-2.3%
-1.9%
01:30
Low
-28.7K
01:30
Low
65.1%
65.1%
02:00
Low
8.56%
05:00
Medium
97.7
97.6
05:00
Low
93.2
92.4
08:00
High
08:30
Medium
-1.6%
-2.2%
08:30
Medium
-2.0%
-1.4%
08:30
Low
0.2%
1.0%
08:30
Low
0.3%
0.8%
11:00
High
375B
375B
11:00
High
0.50%
0.50%
12:00
Low
12:30
Medium
2.1%
2.1%
12:30
Medium
335K
324K
12:30
Low
0.1%
0.2%
12:30
Low
3018K
3019K
14:00
GBP NIESR Gross Domestic Product Estimate (APR) USD Wholesale Inventories (MAR) USD Wholesale Sales (MoM) (MAR) USD EIA Natural Gas Storage Change (MAY 3) USD Fed's Plosser Speaks on Monetary Policy in New York NZD NZ Card Spending - Retail (MoM) (APR) NZD NZ Card Spending (MoM) (APR) JPY Bank Lending incl Trusts (YoY) (APR) JPY Trade Balance BOP Basis (Yen) (MAR) JPY Adjusted Current Account Total (Yen) (MAR) JPY Bank Lending Banks ex-Trust (APR) JPY Current Account Balance (YoY) (MAR) JPY Current Account Total (Yen) (MAR) JPY Foreign Buying Japan Bonds (Yen) (MAY 3) JPY Foreign Buying Japan Stocks (Yen) (MAY 3) JPY Japan Buying Foreign Bonds (Yen) (MAY 3) JPY Japan Buying Foreign Stocks (Yen) (MAY 3) GBP G7 Finance Ministers, Central Bank Chiefs, Meet in UK
High
0.10%
14:00
Medium
0.4%
-0.3%
14:00
Low
0.1%
1.7%
14:30
Low
43
17:15
Low
22:45
Medium
0.5%
-0.5%
22:45
Medium
-1.2%
23:50
Medium
23:50
Medium
-274.0B
-677.0B
23:50
Low
480.4B
-0.1B
23:50
Low
1.9%
23:50
Low
-5.7%
-47.0%
23:50
Low
1216.3B
637.4B
23:50
Low
23:50
Low
23:50
Low
23:50
Low
Fri May 10
High
04:00
CNY New Yuan Loans (APR) CNY Aggregate Financing (APR) CNY Money Supply M0 (YoY) (APR) CNY Money Supply M1 (YoY) (APR)
High
767.5B
1060.0B
04:00
Low
1480.0B
2544.3B
04:00
Low
12.0%
12.4%
04:00
Low
11.3%
11.9%
04:00
CNY Money Supply M2 (YoY) (APR) JPY Bankruptcies (YoY) (APR) JPY Eco Watchers Survey: Outlook (APR) JPY Eco Watchers Survey: Current (APR) EUR German Trade Balance (euros) (MAR) EUR German Current Account (euros) (MAR) EUR German Exports s.a. (MoM) (MAR) EUR German Imports s.a. (MoM) (MAR) GBP Construction Output (YoY) (MAR) GBP Visible Trade Balance (Pounds) (MAR) GBP Construction Output (MoM) (MAR) GBP Total Trade Balance (Pounds) (MAR) GBP Trade Balance Non EU (Pounds) (MAR) USD Fed's Evans Speaks at Chicago Fed Conference CAD Net Change in Employment (APR) CAD Unemployment Rate (APR) Full Time Employment Change (APR) Part Time Employment Change (APR) Participation Rate (APR) Fed's Bernanke Speaks at Chicago Fed Conference USD Monthly Budget Statement (APR) Fed's George Speaks on the Economy in Wyoming
Low
15.5%
15.7%
04:30
Medium
-20.0%
05:00
Medium
57.5
05:00
Low
57.3
06:00
Medium
17.5B
16.8B
06:00
Low
19.5B
16.0B
06:00
Low
0.5%
-1.5%
06:00
Low
1.5%
-3.9%
08:30
Medium
-6.6%
-7.0%
08:30
Medium
-9000
-9416
08:30
Low
15.0%
5.5%
08:30
Low
-3100
-3642
08:30
Low
-4000
-4276
12:25
Low
12:30
LIVE
High
15.0K
-54.5K
12:30
LIVE
High
7.20%
7.20%
12:30
Medium
-54.0K
12:30
Low
-0.4K
12:30
Low
66.7
66.6
13:30
Medium
18:00
Medium
$106.0B
18:00
Low
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+ 91 9752199966