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other graphics that appear in articles are expressly not to be reproduced other than for personal use. All rights reserved. CONTENTS Vol. 2, No. 2: January-March 1970 Alfred W. McCoy and Angus McDonald - Pan Am Makes the Going Great Carl Riskin - Chinas Economic Growth: Leap or Creep? Portfolio of Drawings from the National Liberation Front Herbert P. Bix - The Security Treaty System and the Japanese Military Industrial Complex Orville Schell - Melby: The Mandate of Heaven Edward Friedman - Extremists are Extremely Extreme Ngo Vinh Long - Leaf Abscission? BCAS/Critical AsianStudies www.bcasnet.org CCAS Statement of Purpose Critical Asian Studies continues to be inspired by the statement of purpose formulated in 1969 by its parent organization, the Committee of Concerned Asian Scholars (CCAS). CCAS ceased to exist as an organization in 1979, but the BCAS board decided in 1993 that the CCAS Statement of Purpose should be published in our journal at least once a year. We first came together in opposition to the brutal aggression of the United States in Vietnam and to the complicity or silence of our profession with regard to that policy. Those in the field of Asian studies bear responsibility for the consequences of their research and the political posture of their profession. We are concerned about the present unwillingness of specialists to speak out against the implications of an Asian policy committed to en- suring American domination of much of Asia. We reject the le- gitimacy of this aim, and attempt to change this policy. We recognize that the present structure of the profession has often perverted scholarship and alienated many people in the field. The Committee of Concerned Asian Scholars seeks to develop a humane and knowledgeable understanding of Asian societies and their efforts to maintain cultural integrity and to confront such problems as poverty, oppression, and imperialism. We real- ize that to be students of other peoples, we must first understand our relations to them. CCAS wishes to create alternatives to the prevailing trends in scholarship on Asia, which too often spring from a parochial cultural perspective and serve selfish interests and expansion- ism. Our organization is designed to function as a catalyst, a communications network for both Asian and Western scholars, a provider of central resources for local chapters, and a commu- nity for the development of anti-imperialist research. Passed, 2830 March 1969 Boston, Massachusetts DRAWINGS FRoM THE NATIONAL FRONT. FOR THE .LIBERATION' OF SOUTH VIET HAM The drawings reproduced on ..pages 25 through 29 were done , by artists of the Natioual. Front for .the Liberation of . South Viet! NaIll. They are, from a. collectionof13S prints .' available in three folios under the title Miln!!!! Viit NaIll: .Dit Nl1lfc. Con Ngdai (South Viet Ham: Country and .people) . Liberation Publishing House. 1967. An exhibition baaed on selections from this collection is available to. interested persons or organizationsthl:tlU8h the CCAS chapter of Cornell University. . ..' --navid Matt BCAS. All rights reserved. For non-commercial use only. www.bcasnet.org . January 1970 I Volume 2; Nuniber 2 contents 2 S 19 25 30 s. S9 I . .63 73 Alfred W. McCoy &: Angus McDonald Car/Riskin HerberJ P. Six Orville Schell Edward Friedman Nga VUrh Long Editor Stafffor this Issue Editorial BOIU'rl SubS!;riptions Co"espondence Communications Pan Am Makes the Going Great China's Economic Growth: Leap or Creep? Portfolio of Drawings from the National Liberation Front The Security Treaty System and the Japanese Military.;fndustriaJ Complex Melby: 1be Mandate of Heaven Extremists Are Extremely Extreme Leaf Abscission'"? Note on the Contributors JamesSanfonl I Chuck Hayford, Nancy Hodes, Tom Lifson I Jon Livingston, Jim Morrell I Kathleen Gough Abede, Nina Adams, Herbert Bix, Noam Chomsky, Bob Clark, John Dower, Edward friedman, LeighKapn, Maurice MeiSl1el', Jonathan Mirsky, Ray Moore, Gary Porter. franz Schunnann, Mark Selden, Jon Ungar, Marilyn Young $4 for one year, 52 introductory student rate 1737 Cambridae Street, Room 30S Cambridge, Mass. 02138 Copyright C> 1970 by the Published quarterly - October. January, April, and July - by the Committee of I Com:emed Asian Scholars. National 1 Coordinators: Jim Peck & Orville Schell 1 I I I I BCAS. All rights reserved. For non-commercial use only. www.bcasnet.org 2 Communications The Joint Statement of Two Peoples Across the Pacific We, citizens of Japan and citizens of the United States, denounce the results of this week's negotiations between the prime minister of Japan and the president of the United States as they are expressed in the joint com munique issued from the White House earlier today. It is clear that the negotiations regarding Okinawa have not been con ducted in the interests of the people of Okinawa, mainland Japan, and the rest of Asia, but rather in the inter ests of perpetuating and extending American military presence in that part of the world. The communique reveals an intent to bolster the Amer ican security system in Japan, and the economic and political controls that go along with it. It also insures that the people of Okinawa and mainland Japan, after many years of vigorous protest, will continue to see their homeland used as a staging area for military campaigns like the War in Vietnam. Okinawa has been a military colony of the United States since the end of World War II. With almost total disregard for the dignity and live lihood of the people, the American command has militarized their island and enjoyed free use of the bases there for operations throughout the Pacific. The people of Okinawa have been exploited economically, politically, and cuLturally by a system which is, at its core, both racist and undemocratic. They live in constant danger from the existence of American military facilities, which include both nuclear stockpiles and chemical and biological weapons. The agreement reached today (Novem ber 21, 1969) in the joint communique clearly violates the consistent demand of the people 0 f Ok inawa and mainland Japan for immediate and unconditional reversion to Japanese administration. By transferring legal title of Okinawa to Japan while leaving the military capacity of U.S. bases substantially intact, both governments hope to mute opposition to the entire security sys tem represented by the U.S.-Japan Security Treaty. On the other hand, today's agreement, by allowing for special arrangements regarding nuclear weapons and prior consultation vis a-vis the bases in Okinawa, establishes the possibility that the same conditons might later be applied to the bases in mainland Japan. The apparent "Japan ization" of Okinawa, in this sense, will in fact lay the basis for the "Okinawanization" of Japan. The U.S.-Japan Security Treaty, which provides for the stationing of over one hundred American military facilities in mainland Japan, infringes on Japanese sovereignty, jeopardizes the life and property of the people, and implicates Japan in U.S. military operations throughout Asia. Its effect is to increase the insecurity of Japan by setting that country's interests over against those of their Asian neigh bors. It forms the basis of cooperative neocolonial exploitation of other Asian countries by the U.S. and Japan. In addition, the military alliance based on the Security Treaty, accompanied by the strengthening of the military forces of Japan, will be a direct threat to the independence of other Asian countries. A majority of the Japanese people oppose the treaty, and masses of them are actively struggling to block its renewal next June. We therefore urge both the American and Japanese peoples to make known BCAS. All rights reserved. For non-commercial use only. www.bcasnet.org 3 their opposition to the deal which has just been negotiated in Washington. We call for support of the demands of the people of Okinawa and mainland Japan for immediate and unconditional reversion, and for an end to the Secu rity Treaty. We call upon both govern ments to undertake the rapid dismantling of the U.S. military in all parts of Japan, in accordance with Japan's "Peace Constitution." We believe this would lead to the recovery of full independence for Japan and would end present domination and prevent future Japanese domination of East Asia, especially Korea and Taiwan. Signed: Stewart Meacham, Co-Chairman, New Mobilization Committee to End the War in Vietnam Howard Zinn, Professor, Boston University Noam Chomsky, Professor, MIT Franz Schurmann, Professor, U.C., Berkeley Ernest Young, Professor, University of Michigan Makoto Oda, Chairman of Beheiren, Japan Orville Schell and James Peck, national coordinators, Committee of Concerned Asian Scholars Anti others Washington, D.C., 11/21/69. Saving Face the American Way As an Asian and as an American, I find the war and the stereotypes it thrives on deeply disturbing. Ironically, stereotypes that have been perpetuated about Asians seem to apply more to Americans. We have accused A$ians of being overly concerned about saving face- which among other things involves resolving a situation without undue embarrassment. To an Asian, saving face means preventing humiliation to one's opponent as well as to one self. When the opponent loses face an Asian also considers himself dis credited. To an American, saving face seems to mean avoiding humilia tion for oneself at all costs regard less of. the cost to one's opponent. We miss many signals because of this lack of sensitivity. For example, the current lull in the fighting in Viet Nam has been interpreted by astute observers as a signal for serious negotiations. But instead of picking up on this possibility, our reaction has been to demand that the Vietnamese admit that they have stopped fighting. By insisting that a person say "uncle" without giving allowance for the delicacy 0 f the situation, we risk more than humilia tion. We charge that Asians value life less than we do. But there are facts that suggest we don't value life as much as we say we do. As one indi cator of the concern for life, consider rates for infant mortality. Infant mortality rates reflect such conditions .,.. as availability of nutrients to infants and to mothers, access to services such as medical help, and the morale and concern of the general public. The startling fact is that the infant mortality rate in Viet Nam is identical to that in Mississippi--36 per 1,000. But what is more alarming is that the infant mortality rate for non-white people in Mississippi is nearly 50 per cent higher than that in Viet Nam. In fact, the infant mortality rate for non-whites in the entire U.S. is comparable to that of Viet Nam, a country that is undergoing destruction and total war. But it isn't just Mississippi and related southern states that have higher rates of death occurring to non-white infants. Included also are states such as Iowa, Kentucky, Massachusetts, New York, Pennsylvania. Our country is supposedly at peace, yet if one looks at these figures and especially BCAS. All rights reserved. For non-commercial use only. www.bcasnet.org 4 those pertaining to the non-white minority, it's hard not to wonder whether the minority population may not be experiencing a state of siege and oppression comparable to in Viet Nam. We stereotype the Asians as being inscrutable and devious, and accuse them of interfering in the internal affairs of our country. Calling a telegram from Hanoi on a day of mora torium an interference in our internal affairs is a bit far-fetched, in contrast to have done to physically annihilate their villages and towns. Which is interference- sending a telegram or dropping bombs day in and day out for a thousand days? If being inscrutable means masking our intentions, then we disguise our actions by words such as "advisor", fighting war to prevent war", and "democracy." But words cannot hide our confusion and our calculated intent to destroy. "Vietnamization" is another inscrutable term which only reflects how Americanized the entire Viet Nam war effort has been. We assure ourselves that the u.s. goes only to the aid of people who ask for our help and where freedom is in danger. But whose freedom and what kind of aid are we talking about? And how free are we to even talk? Some- of our leaders have said those who speak out in a time of national crisis such as this abusing the privileges of democracy. But the sad record shows that the democratic process was by-passed in getting us into this war in the f1rst place. As for battles in the name of freedom, there are struggles for freedom ana self-determination going on in South Africa, Rhodesia, Angola, and Mozam bique--why are we there? How much of our non-involvement is related to the fact that the freedom-fighters are black and the oppressors white? And as for Viet Nam, hasn't it ever occurred to those who fight in the name of freedom that we may be fighting on the wrong side? Our attempts at explaining how we can get out of Viet Nam ar e just as inscrutable. In a recent New York Times interview, President explained t:hat "the way to avoid being involved in wars in Asia is to con tinue to play a significant role in Asia." Translated, this means "we get out by staying in." What kind of people and nation have we allowed ourselves to become? What we have to Asians- low for life, overconcern with saving face, being devious--really apply to us. This hurts because for a people who have prided themselves for being frank, it says that we're not leveling with ourselves. Isao Fujimoto University of California, Davis December 17, 1969 BCAS. All rights reserved. For non-commercial use only. www.bcasnet.org J 5 Pan Am Makes the Going Great Al.FRED W. McCOY-& ANGtlS McDONALD The great Boeing 707/32lC cargo jet rolled off the runway toward the unload ing ramp of Travis Air Force Baee. Turn ed and stopped by the white-overalled technician waving a long, orange-coned flashlight, its doors rolled open to reveal the lightweight load it had brought on its return from the distant battlefield: one hundred and sixty- eight plastic-wrapped, aluminum-boxed bundles, the bodies of American soldiers killed in Vietnam. Another Pan American World Airways all-cargo charter was ready for unloading. This jet is only one of nineteen Pan Am Jet Clippers fly full time from the American mainland to Vietnam and re turn. America's largest international airline is the only American carrier with scheduled service to Vietnam, and its President, Najeeb Halaby, estimates that a total of some 60 pieces of Pan Am's equipment fly in and out 0 f th e war zone regularly. In 1968 Pan Am was paid $99.8 million for its charters to Vietnam: a sum large enough to account for 12% of Pan Am's total revenues, enable its Pacific oper ations to 50% of Pan Am's total profit, and make it the leading air transporter of men and material to Vietnam. The public is only vaguely aware of the important role of the civilian air lines in prolonging American involvement in Vietnam. Pan American has pioneered procedures which enable a military field commander to receive a high priority item from the States only 72 hours after requesting it; the Military Air Trans port Service (MATS) and the civilian airlines cooperate closely to link the battlefield with the supply line. On a psychological level, the flexibility and comfort of civilian jet transpor tation enables the military to break down G.I. resistance to combat service. John Bartholomew, passenger officer at Travis AFB, noted that during the Korean War troops sent out on ships had 8 days during which to question their motives and build up anxiety. "This way they are in Vietnam within 16 to 22 hours, before they even have a chance to think about it. Besides, it's a lot more comfortable to fly. It's a great way to go !" Homeward-bound soldiers receive a letter from Gen. Creighton W. Abrams reminding them of the pleasant moments they have spent in "one of 10 exciting fun capitals of Asia and the Pacific" on the Pan Am-initiated Rest and Recreation (R & R) program. R &R is designed- to improve morale by giving G.I.'s a break in the middle of their combat tour. Why has Pan Am taken the trouble to pioneer the integration of civilian and military air transport and to develop the Rest and Recreation program? Why does Pan Am consistently style itself "The Department of Defense's major civil commercial airlines partner"? The answer to these questions lies in the nature of the various interests which have all ied themsleves with Pan Am throughout I its 42-year history, and the relation ships that these groups and Pan Am have I fostered with the U.S. government. Pan Am was founded in the 1920's by a coalition of wealthy young Yale grad uates enraptured with the .glamour of flying, American investors interested in Latin America, and major aircraft manu 1 BCAS. All rights reserved. For non-commercial use only. www.bcasnet.org 6 facturers. In this period Pan Am used its mail contracts with the Post Office Department to destroy potential compet itors and its with the State Department to win air rights in Latin America and Asia. This coalition remained intact until the end of Worrd War II, when domestic competitors began applying political pressure to break up Pan Am's monopoly in international air travel. Pan Am countered by allying with conservative Congressmen who felt that a single carrier was the best means to a strong competitive position in international civil aviation. To streng then itself against foreign competition, Pan Am joined with the aeronautics manufacturers and the conservatives to urge an aggressive stance in post-war diplomacy and commercial When Pan Am's efforts to restrain domestic competitors met narrow defeat, and its position as the aggressive arbi ter of American international aviation policy was eroded by its new civilian competitors and an expanding Air Force, Pan Am's alliances and politics took on a more limited, covert nature. In the 1950's Pan Am eliminated most Of its ties with aeronautics manufacturers, retaining only those with Boeing. Its financial allies were narrowed to a few major banks, and it restrained its gov ernment influence to building close ties the Air Force and the Pentagon. These ties led ultimately to Pan Am's reliance on military contracts and a major role in the Vietnam War. The Early Years The key figure in the formation and development of Pan American World Air ways is Juan Terry Trippe, the son of a New York stockbroker. Experience in the World War I Navy Flying Corps and later in the Yale Flying Club gave him a taste for the excitement of flying that made his initial encounter with Wall Street seem dull. After a year of stocks and bonds, Juan quit the brokerage business to begin a series of unsuccess ful airlines ventures with Corneliue Vanderbilt Whitney (Yale '22). Despite successive financial failures, these experiments led them to realize the poten tial of the multi-engine, long-distance aircraft for trans-oceanic travel and to envision a New York-Florida route ultimately linking with a trans-Caribbean and La tin American network. In 1927 Trippe and Whitney began to realize their vision. Scurrying around the New York financial district, they forged an alliance with financiers such as W. Averell Harriman, John, Hay Whitney, William S. Rockefeller, William Vander bilt, and Robert Lehman (of Lehman Bros. Investment Bankers and the United Fruit Co. h who wanted cOIlUJlunications for their growing interests in Latin America, and with aircraft manufacturers such as Sherman A. Fairchild and Keyes (of Curtis Aircraft) who needed an outlet of growth for their infan,t industry. Trippe's idea was that Pan Am would be the community instrument to unite all American aviation interests for inter national expansion, eliminating divisive competition, much as J.P'. Morgan had consolidated the railways and steel companies several decades before. William A. Boeing and founder of Boeing Aircraft), who joined the club in 1929 and was later a Director, stated Pan Am's purpose quite clearly before Senator Hugo Black's subcoIlUJlittee in 1934: It was a period when foreign com panies were operating in South America under concessions and if Pan American did not go in there and have whole-hearted support of the whole group, it was felt that the foreign companies would get the better of us there. After Trippe consolidated most of New York's potential airline capital behind his company and convinced the Cuban dict ator Machado to give him exclusive landing rights in Cuba, Pan Am's rise was meteoric. In 1928 Trippe "made a'personal alliance with the House of Morgan, taking the BCAS. All rights reserved. For non-commercial use only. www.bcasnet.org I I I I I
1 I j I daughter of a partner, the late Edward R. Stettinius, as his bride" (Fortune, April, 1931), gaining an entree into the State Department through his brother-in-law, Edward R. Stettinius Jr. Of equal significance, Trippe managed to convince Postmaster General Walter Folger Brown (under Hoo ver, 192-8-32) that Pan Am .should be "America' s-chosen instrument" in inter national air travel. Pan Am's rivals were foreign carriers, not other American corporations. In a day when commercial and freight were incapable of generating anything but spectacular losses for the airlines, possession of the airmail con tract and its subsidy was the sine qua non of commercial Despite Congressional instruction to stimulate competition, the Postmaster General had such enormous discretion in his awards that Hoover's Postmaster Brown was known as I1Tsar of t.he Airways." He was an invaluable. ally to a man with plans on the scale of Trippe's. When Pan Am moved into the Caribbean in 1928 and onto the east coast of South America in 1930, Brown withheld the mail con tract from Pan Am's comp.etitors and forced t.hem t-o sellout to Pan Am at a fraction of their original in vestment. WillIe the Post Department was instrumental in quashing Pan Am's Ameri can competition and giving it subsidies 4 and 5 times as high as those for other domestic carriers, t he State Department was very helpful in frustrating the resistance of foreign governments, especially in Peru and Colombia. In 1928 a French company was negotia ting with the Peruvian government for the right to establish an airline in competition with the hitherto unchallen ged economic might of the W.R. Grace Shipping Company and its related firms. The State Department advised Pan Am to move quickly, and Pan Am's hastily dis patched representative soon convinced the Peruvian government that Pan Am could compete more effectively with 7 Grace than any other line. The Peruvian government was using the old Chinese strategy of playing the imperialists off against each other. However, as the .struggle began to take shape, W.R. Grace and Juan Trippe realized that it would be foolish to engage in wasteful competi tion, since there was no essential con flictin their shipping and airline enterprises. In February, 1929, each company put up $500,000 for a 50% owner ship in Pan American-Grace Airways (later Panagra). The Colombians still resented the American seizure of the Panamanian isthmus under Teddy Roosevelt and wanted to foster aColombian-owned international airline. Effectively combining threats and bribes, Pan Am bought the Colombian company an4 presented its government with a Colombian-American bilateral air pact which had been hastily written one afternoon by Juan Trippe and a helpful State Depart-ment official. Soon Bogota was just another stop in Fan Am's growing system. In three years Pan Am built a vast network of airlines encompassing all of Latin America, purchased vast amounts of expensive equipment, and won a monopoly over American international aviation. It also began to money. By 1932 Pan Am was in the black by $700,000, and in 1934, when the depression had most domestic airlines on the verge of bank ruptcy, Pan Am made a $1.1 million profit. Its Latin American operations were returning an enormous 31% profit on its investment and supplying the wherewithal for Pan Am's push into the Atlantic and Pacific. Unfortunately for Pan Am, such spec tacular success did not long go unnoticed. Pan Am's liberties with government funds, such as air mailing bricks around the Caribbean, were brought to public atten tion when Trippe's Republican friends were replaced by the Democratic New Dealers. Disturbed by reports of Pan Am's excesses, Senator Hugo Black opened Congressional hearings on all airmail BCAS. All rights reserved. For non-commercial use only. www.bcasnet.org 8 contracts, and Postmaster General James Farley was preparing to demolish Pan Am when the Roosevelt administration changed its mind. Strong American financial control and frequent military intervention had built up tremendous hostility toward the U.S. in Latin America. To resolve this prob lem, Roosevelt replaced direct political control with the indirect economic mani pulation of the "Good Neighbor Policyt which has marked U.S.-Latin American policies ever since. Indirect controls necessitated a much more sophisticated and dexterous manipulation, possible only through an efficient communicat ions network. As Fortune put it (April, 1936): If you want to sell shoes in Equa dor or Brazil or Uruguay, Pan Ameri can will collect data for you on prices, competitors, politics, .and shoe consumption, will offer suggestions as to the best way to exploit the market, and hold your hand when you get into trouble. The Imperialist attitude, the world view of things, is no arti ficial creation on the part ot Pan American's management. It rises realistically enough from the fact that Pan Am's business is entirely foreign This is what gave Mr. Farley pause, this is what stopped Senators Black and McKellar from hauling Pan American onto the carpet for an investigation of its contracts ..The U.S. simply could not afford to attack an org anization which had come to represent the North American continent, which in a great measure created new inter American relationships, and whose prestige was inextricably--some times intangibly--bound up with U.S. trade. When the investigations were over, every American airline lost it s airmail contracts and had to be reorganized- except Pan which quietly accepted a 10% reduction of its rates. Having established a monopoly over American aviation in Latin Pan Am turned to China and the Pacific. In 1933 Pan Am purchased 45% of China Nat ional Airways Corporation from Curtis Wright Aircraft Corp. and became resp onsible for the management and growth of the major airline for Chiang Kai shek's Nationalist government. Pan Am greatly improved CNAC's abysmal service and by 1938 had firmly secured the Chinese market for American aeronautics manufacturers. Pan Am then began construction on its trans-Pacific route to integrate its Chinese network into its growing inter national system. Since 1932, Pan Am had been conducting route surveys with the assistance of the U.S. Navy, discovering the existence of two islands the United States was not even sure it owned: Midway and Wake. Pan Am was given land ing rights in Hawaii, the Philippines, and Guam, but when the British BOAC (then Imperial Airways) applied for landing rights, aur future allies were denied them for "reasons 0;: military security." Indeed, the U.S. Navy was helping Pan Am for just this reason. In the Five Power Washington Treaty of 1922, the United States and Great Britain traded their promise to cease building new fortifications in the Western Pacific for a Japanese agreement to limit its construction of battleships. It would have been a violation of the treaty far the U.S. Navy to construct airfields on these islands, but Pan Am was not so restricted. On November 22, 1935, the first transpacific flight took off from San Francisco Bay, bringing China and the Philippines within a few days of the U.S. and marking the last major achieve ment in Pan-Am's pre-war expansion. BCAS. All rights reserved. For non-commercial use only. www.bcasnet.org 9 The War and the Post-War World World War II shattered the former limits on American aviation. National and colonial boundaries closed to Pan Am before the war were erased in its aftermath. Pan Am built 53 air bases in Latin America and around the world. It expanded the number of people on its payroll from 4400 to more than 80,000. In 1943 alone it earned $126 million for its war services, doing more than 50% of all military transport flying. But its very success--and the huge development of airpower during the war- threatened Pan Am's position. While before the war only a handful of air craft had flown both ways across the Atlantic, -during the war -more than 1.5 million men flew from America to London. European governments saw the potential of airpower for domination and control in the post-war world, and would no longer be ineffective compet itors with Pan Am. American domestic airlines were gaining international experience ~ o r the first time, and would demand a share of international air travel's post-war growth and profit. To counter both these challenges to its position as the world's largest inter national airline, Pan Am allied itself with isolationist-turned-expansionist Congressmen to urge a single American international airline, and with the rapidly expanding aircraft industry to urge a militant conquest of international civil aviation. Juan Trippe proposed to make Pan Am the core of a "national flag airline" which would take aggressively to the airways, dominating them with technical achievement and capital investment. Among his spokesmen in government were Rep. Clare Booth Luce (R., Conn.) and Sen. Patrick McCarran (D., Nev.), author of the 1938 Civil Aeronautics Act and later close ally of Sen. Joseph McCarthy. The spectacular war time growth of the aircraft industry from less than 1% of the Gross National Income in 1939 to 10% in 1945 presented a major peacetime conversion problem for the industry and the national economy. America's cont inental boundaries could no longer absorb this enormous production, and the indus try's acknowledged organ, American Avia tion, announced its enthusiastic support of Pan Am's interna.tional program (March 1, 1943): The United States should become imperialist in the Pacific--openly and aggressively. Not only should we take over every Japanese manda ted island, but we should assume complete control over every other island now nominally 'owned' by another nation as far south as New Zealand and the East Indies. There should be no exceptions, for he who insists on compromise in the Pacific bas no understanding of airpower or the ramifications of world air com merce There is nothing basically wrong with a benevolent imperialism such as the United States could provide. There is nothing basically wrong with an imperialism that raises standards of living, creates new opportunities, and brings a better way of life to more and more people. If we think enough of our way of living to fight for it and wreck our economy in helping others fight for it, why should we apologize and shy away from extending that way of life to other and larger areas? In 1943 these ideas look concrete form when McCarran and other Senators of like persuasion--Bilbo, McClellan, Pepper, and Brewster--introduced the so-called "All American Flag Line Bill," proposing to make Pan Am the single instrument of Amer ican post-war international aviation. Al though the bill was eventually tabled, the British were badly frightened. Early in the war, Roosevelt and Churchill had agreed that Britain would concentrate on the production of smaller fighter air craft, and America on bombers and trans ports.. The ready convertability of these large American planes into instru BCAS. All rights reserved. For non-commercial use only. www.bcasnet.org 10 ments of civil air power so concerned the British that in 1943 they began decreasing their rate of fighter product ion to start tooling up for transport aircraft. By early November, 1944, the problem had become so divisive that it was necessary to hold an international avia tion conference of 50 non-Axis nations in Chicago to wrangle over post-war air rights. The major obstacle to agreement was the nascent BOAC-Pan Am rivalry and a general fear that Pan Am would flood the airways and destroy all foreign competition. Heading the American dele gation was Anglophile Adolph Berle, Undersecretary of State. For months Pan Am opposed his attempts ta pacify the British or compromise, but fate finally intervened: in the middle of the confer ence, Secretary of State Cordell Hull became ill, and upon his retirement was replaced by Juan Trippe's brother-in law, Edward Stettinius Jr. Stettinius immediately fired Berle as Undersecre tary, destroying Berle's prestige and guaranteeing the failure of the con ference. The one result of Chicago was the creation of the International Air Trans port Association, whose bylaws provided that all international air pact shad to be unanimously agreed upon by all participants. In October, 1945, Pan Am tried to sabotage even that by announ cing a drastic cut in fares, from $572, New York-London, to $275. Pan Am could not fly at those rates for long, but no foreign or domestic competitor could fly at all. In 1957 Rep. Cellar's anti trust subcommittee heard testimony that Pan Am had used every means to deny Braniff landing facilities in Latin Aaerica. On several occasions in the late 40's and early 50's Pan Am blacked out entire airports--including terminal lights--when competitors' aircraft appr oached for emergency landings. International harmony had been so badly ....ged by 1946 that a second conference was called in Bermuda. This time Pan .Aa was defeated by the united force of the other 17 American lines and all major foreign carriers who combined to create a series of fairly strong inter national air agreements. Similarly, during the Civil Aeronau tics Board (CAB) international route hearings of 1946-47, the united lobbying efforts of the same 17 domestic airlines were required to overcome Pan Am's resistance, and Pan Am's monopoly on American international air travel was finally broken. Trans World Airlines and American Overseas Airlines (later absorbed by Pan Am) got European routes, Braniff was given a competing route in Latin America, and Northwest Orient Airlines got a valuable route to Japan via Alaska. Pan Am's dominant position was gradually being eroded as her Amer ican and European competitors grew in strength. The Pacific and Vietnam WitaPan Am's Atlantic operations quickly declining in importaace and pro fit, and growth in Latin America stag nating, Pan Am found that its last major area of untapped potential was the Pacific.: During the Korean War, the promise of the Pacific was clearly revealed, and Pan Am began to plan for long-range jet aircraft, which were most profitable over the long Pacific distances. Pan Am's changing regional focus re quired a different political strategy. In pre-war Latin America, U.s. foreign relations were the responsibility of the State Department, and aggressive American corporations with the right connections were given strong diplomatic support. But the post-war Pacific was the property of the organization which had captured it, the American Armed Forces. Since diplomatic prior ities in the region were strategic and the bulk of potential air transport was related to military operations, Pan Am woald have to integrate itself with the military to reap the benefits of Pacific air travel BCAS. All rights reserved. For non-commercial use only. www.bcasnet.org 11 1 I I I j During the Korean War, Pan Am carried 114,000 military personnel and 31 million pounds of cargo and mail between the West Coast and Japan. But the end of the Korean War brought problems, for traffic which had been expanding at the rate of about 16.6% per annum during 1950-53 slowed to half that, and planes flew with fewer paying passengers. Capacity had outrun demand for services, and Pan Am for the first time turned to the mili tary for help in tiding it 0 ver the crisis. According to FredericK C. Thayer's Air Transport Policy and National Security (1965), Pan Am pushed hard against allowing the Air Force's Mil1tary Air Transport Service (MATS, later MAC) to carry non-strategic, routine passengers and cargo, attacking the MATS competition as "government socialism." At first when Pan Am asked for the right to carry enough cargo to fill its half-empty jets, the Air Force refused, stating that the civil carr iers would have to become more fully integrated with MATS before it could weaken its own airlift capacity. Later the Air Force softened its position, and by 1958 Pan Am was doing an irreg ular business with military dependents. Pan Am made a few gestures about strengthening its commitment to the Air Force's Civil Reserve Air Fleet. (CRAF), but soon the passenger market revived and these proposals lapsed. Pan Am began to add other military .strings to its corporate bow. Since 1953 Pan American World Airways' Aero Space Division has been the prime con tractor for the guided missile range at Patrick Air Force Base in Florida (now Cape Kennedy), where it manages all base maintenance and personnel facil ities and the Atlantic Missile Testing .. Bange. Soon after the contract was negotiated with the government, Pan Am hired Asst. Secretary of. Defense Roger Lewis, who bad participated in the contract negotiations and authorization, -as a member of the board and Executive Vice President for Administration. Missiles and lIlilitarycbarters were not Pan Am's only labors for the mili tary. Some 600 of its employees have been engaged in systems work for the Atomic Energy Project Rover at Jackass Flats, Nevada. Others worked at Fort MacGregor, Texas, on telemetry and radar communications for anti-aircraft drones. Another 256 employees worked at the Upper Atmosphere Experiment site at Fort Churchill, Canada, and an undeter mined number were employed at the obscure "electronic weapons testing station" at Fort Huachuca, Arizona. According to an unnamed army officer quoted in the Wall Street Journal (March 18, 1960), "Here technicians and soldiers will be testing the nuclear age communications-electronics systems for the silent war--the war of radio, of infra-red to see targets in the dark, of automation and machines to gather combat intelligence." While military contracts were able to satisfy Pan Am.in the early 50's, by 1957 Pan Am's directors had committed the company to a vast outlay: of capital for the purchase of a fleet of Boeing 707 jets large enough to replace all of its piston planes on major routes and to expand its passenger capacity far beyond the projected growth of international civil air travel. This brought about a crisis, for with an oversized fleet new jets would be flying at a fraction of their capacity, and the company would be in danger of collapse by the early 1960's. Why didn't Pan Am introduce the jets gradually and get full return on its investment in piston aircraft? Why did Pan Am greatly over-expand its capa city and seriously risk financial coll apse? It seems likely that it was more than a managerial miscalculation, because Pan Am is repeating this pattern almost exactly with the purchase of its new monster, the Boeing 747. The 747 is faster and will once again inflate Pan Am's total capacity far beyond the portions of the air travel market. Why. In order to answer this question, one bas to look behind Pan Am's projections BCAS. All rights reserved. For non-commercial use only. www.bcasnet.org 12 for Pacific air travel and examine the relationship between Pan Am, the major investment banks, and the aircraft manufacturers. Pan Am has a uniquely advantageous credit arrangement with 38 banks across the country, headed by First National City Bank and Chase Manhattan. These two banks have large holdings in both Pan Am and Boeing. Chase Manhattan Bank owns 6.7% of Pan Am's stock and 8.7% of Boeing's stock (5.0% is considered a potentially controlling interest under pending U.S. legislation). First Nat ional City Bank has a similar relation ship with the two companies, for one of its officers is on Boeing's board, and First National City's chairman, James S. Rockefeller, has been on Pan Am's board since 1953. These banks are more than neutral investors seeking profitable holdings. In many cases they stimulate the purchase of aircraft that the airlines industry cannot afford, and sometimes even wind up Jwning aircraft and leasing them to the airlines. Both banks make sure that Pan Am's $350 million "slush fund" is always filled. Recently they arranged the loan for Pan Am's $525 million deposit on twenty-five 747's which enabled Boeing to start production. Encouragment from banking interests and a ready consumer in Pan Am help to explain Boeing's production of the streamlined 747. By 1965 Boeing had saturated its domestic and international markets with the 707 and 727, and it seemed inevitable that the company's fortunes would begin to decline long before replacement orders for new 707's and 727's started coming in the mid 1970's. The only possible solution to such a problem was to design a new and more efficient jet and introduce it into the market in a way that would force all the airlines to buy whole fleets of new models long before their old jets had become obsolete. In 1965 Pan Am announced that by introducing the 747 on all its routes, it could reduce its costs by 30% and pass on the savings to its customers. Faced with the spectre of having to com pete with lower rates, all of Pan Am's international competitors scrambled to place large orders for 747's. Conven iently, all of Pan Am's American-flag international competitors have domestic routes as well, so that eventually even the entirely domestic airlines will be forced to buy the 747 to remain "competitive. " Not only wealthy American and Euro pean airlines, but also the capital starved Third World nations, have been forced to engage in the wasteful compe tition. are an integral part of the national development image fostered by the World Bank, AID, and the State Dep artment, and Pan Am has had a key role in encouraging unnecessary capital expend iture in this area. Pan Am paternalist ically trains personnel for feeder lines of developing countries, not only in Latin America (where a 1954 investiga tion revealed it owned substantial stock in eleven "independent" airways) and in pre-war China, but also in the Middle East (Middle East Airlines) and the Philippines (it sold its 480,000 shares in Philippines Airlines to Rubicon, a Philippine corporation, in 1968). Recently AID has called on Pan Am to help it build shiny international air lines for Pakistan, Thailand, Afghanistan, and Vietnam through a technical assist ance program oriented to American-built . equipment. In Afghanistan Pan Am has acquired 49% of Ariana Afghan's stock. and two of its directors are on Ariana's board. Most of these international airlines are government-owned and many, especially the transcontinental lines which are forced to purchase expensive 707's to remain competitive and which often fly at 10% capacity, lose vast sums of money. But having committed themselves to air line transportation, these nations will now have to purchase the newer 747's if their international airlines are to sur vive. The bitterness of these nations BCAS. All rights reserved. For non-commercial use only. www.bcasnet.org 13 is evident. A-t the recent Stanford International Air Transport Conference an officer of Air Pakistan strongly attacked the enormous waste and reck lessness of the ]47 program. The disposal of a company's _s'econd hand air-craft: once it has decided to reequip presents quite a problem. Most companies trade in their second-hand aircraft on new jets (except Pan Am, which usually sells to Third World nat ions or the CIA's Air America). Gener ally, the manufacturers then sell these old aircraft to subsidiary non-scheduled airlines such as World Airways and Over seas National (General Dynamics), which the control through a tan gled maze of financial connections. Since almost all of the non-scheduled airlines depend upon the military for 80-90% of their business, they frequent ly delay purchase of their aircraft until the manufacturer has arranged a lucrative military contract to fill it. This tri angular was endangered in the early 1960's when insufficient mili tary activity brought the non-scbeduled airlines to the point of collapse; but with the war in Vietnam, these airlines and their circle of manufacturers and financiers have prospered. In 1957 Pan Am lent money to the manufacturers and made the same sweeping purchase with the same inevitable re sults. All the other airlines were forced to replace their entire fleets and dispose of outdated aircraft, and Pan Am was faced with a devastating surplus of passenger capacity far beyond the most optimistic for civilian passenger growth. It was obvious to Pan Am and all industry observers that the only poss ible source of passengers and freight capable of filling such a huge capacity and promising a guaranteed source of growth was the U.S. Air Force. Pan Am's formal relationship with the Air Force Military Air Transport Service was the Civil Reserve Air Fleet, but this had existed only on paper since its incep tion in 1950. CRAF was essentially a doomsday scheme devised by Air Force planners supply a post-nuclear-war invasion of foreign countries or larger scale conventional engagements. It was under the auspices of these weak links that Pan Am had applied for a share in military trafffc in 1954. General Curtis LeMay and others had opp osed any weakening of the Air Force transport capacity until the civil carriers secured "no-strike" union agreements for military duty, increased their cargo --capacity, and proved their military abilities. Pan Am alone among civilian carriers began meeting these from 1956-58, when it conducted a series of 5 major "War Games" sessions with SAC and MATS, and increased its cargo capacity based on military spec ifications. Today Pan Am's "Air Pak" cargo loading system is essentially the Air Force's 463L system. Without heavy Air Force use of Pan Am's all-cargo jets, such a large volume of international all cargo service would be impossible in today's market. Although these war games reduced the hostility of the Air Force, the MATS empire builders were still too jealous of their aircraft simply to turn things over to Pan Am. Pan Am once again found it necessary to organize politically to gain its objectives. In violation of the anti-trust laws, Pan Am organized all the international car riers in January, 1958, to win the right to fly military personnel and to adapt their jet fleets to military needs. airlines brought their case to the CAB, -the Air Transport Association, and a House subcommittee, and in every case won a favorable response. But the Air Force refused to budge. The a.irlines managed to raise the issue into such a heated government con troversy that L. Mendell Rivers of the House Armed Services Committee, in the spring of 1960, felt called upon to settle the matter by convening a special Cong ressional subcommittee to resolve the BCAS. All rights reserved. For non-commercial use only. www.bcasnet.org 14 conflict. Juan Trippe told Mr. Rivers of Pan Am's desperate situation: As a result of the technological impact of the efficient passenger jet, thousands of skilled person nel will be displaced if govern ment traffic to their designated areas is thus siphoned away (by MATS). Mr. Chairman, our own company alone expects to have to release some 300 pilots during the next 6 months if traffic--other than normal civil traffic--doesn't become available to the scheduled airlines ...Unless our overseas flag lines receive real assistance from all branches of government, the alternative is subsidy. As grave as the situation was, there was hope. With the help of George Meany and the AFL-CIO, Pan Am was able to announce its dedication to counter insurgency warfare. Trippe continued: Just the other day at a formal dinner here in Washington I had the pleasure of talking with Pres ident Meany of the AFL-CIO . Mr. Meany said that we could count on his personal support. He went on to say that any of my associates in the air transpor tation industry could approach him personally, and he would seek to help .. Today, Mr. Chairman, these new labor agreements have permitted us to offer our equip ment and personnel to the military not only in wartime but also in periods of "brushfires," with the assurance that the military can count on us at all times . With the cooperation of Mr. Rivers, Pan Am was integrated into the Air Force team, and the Air Force agreed to retire most of its own transport in favor of civilian carriers, awarding supplemen tal contracts for military charter in proportion to the commitment of a particular airline to CRAF--and giving preference to the airline whose regular routes were in the vicinity of a mili tary charter route. In exchange for retiring all but a "hard core" of its own transports, the Air Force received a commitment from the participating airlines that they would order new all-cargo jets. Pan Am boasts that its reduced mili tary rates for cargo and passengers are a self-sacrificing service to the nation. This simply is not true--the military offers unique advantages for the airlines. The carriers get stable, guaranteed con tracts with a consumer who always pays on time, and no expensive terminal fac ilities, downtown ticket offices, or vast advertising campaigns are necessary. Pan Am pays no landing fees when it works for the military; its planes fly at 100% capacity, while civil inter national flights average about 50%. Indeed, one purpose of this program has been to provide profits to subsidize the expansion and development of America's civil international airlines. Pan Am was intended to be the primary beneficiary of these arrangements. In 1961, out of the total CRAF fleet Pan Am had committed 71% and was thereby entitled to receive 71% of all military charter contracts. In 1961 America began its first active combat-support role in Southeast Asia when 500 marines and their helicopters were transported to Udorn Base in Thai land to provide transportation for the Royal Laotian Army. Since Pan Am was the sole American airline to fly to Thailand, it began airlifting cargo and civilian personnel related to the operation. In May of 1961 the cease fire in Laos heralded an increased commitment to Thailand and South Viet nam. Later in the year Vice President Lyndon B. Johnson and General Maxwell Taylor, Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, separately visited Saigon and announced America's commitment to the "freedom and independence" of the Diem regime. Pan Am received its new a11 BCAS. All rights reserved. For non-commercial use only. www.bcasnet.org 15 cargo 707's from Boeing, and in the year ending June 30, 1962, the total charter cargo load of Pan Am's Pacific Division --the best public indicator of the line's service to the military--increa sed 450% over the previous year to 4,918,000 ton miles. In November of 1962 American troops dropped their role as pure" advisors" and the Military Assistance Comm and Vietnam was established. And it came just in time for Pan Am. In 1961, because of excess jet capacity and strong competition, Pan Am's Atlantic service ran at a loss. But the growing Pacific revenues were large enough to yield an overall 6.3% profit--its first year in the black since 1956. Pan Am began to reinforce its Pacific holdings. In 1961 Juan Trippe's son, Charles, became director of the Southeast Asian Division of Pan Am's subsidiary Intercontinental Pan Am began to dot the South Pacific and Southeast Asia with luxury hotels, some, such as the Karachi International, built with AID or State Department counterpart funds. By 1965 Charles Trippe had com pleted or was constructing hotels in Indonesia, Pakistan, Thailand, New Zea land, Pago Pago, Hong Kong, and Samoa. Pan Am is thus an innkeeper in many of the "exciting fun capitals of Asia and the Pacific" to which it ferries its R &R passengers. These hotels repre sent a novel form of exploitation--while the tourists are drawn to these cities by their interest in Asian cultures, most of the money they spend can be safely returned to America, as long as they stay at an Intercontinental Hotel. .In the military buildup for Laos and Vietnam the CRAF structure was not called into action. Instead the govern ment used charter contracts awarded on the basis of military expecience and CRAF cOJlDDi tment. Pan Am' s planning was rewarded: from 1960 to 1963 its Pacific Division charter revenues soared almost 300% (from $12.6 million to $35.6 mill ion), and in 1964 Pan Am reinforced its position by hiring General Laurence S. Kuter as a vice president. Kuter had been the commander of MATS, commander of the Air Force in the Pacific, Comm ander-in-Chief of NORAD, and a leading advocate of military intervention in Southeast Asia. But with the assasination of Pres ident Kennedy in November, 1963, White House loyalties changed dramatically. The Eastern financial and business circles which Kennedy had favored were pushed aside for the Texas and Calif ornia crowd. The new in-group was made up of LBJ's buddies, such as Robert Six, President of Continental Airlines and a collector of Oriental art, and James Ling of the Houston conglomerate Ling Tempco-Vought, owner of Braniff Airlines of Dallas. In early 1964 the CIA picked up Continental Airlines for work in Southeast Asia to supplement its own airline, Air America, whose facilities were being strained by the sudden escal ation in Vietnam. In 1965 Continental took away Pan Am's government charter business for Micronesia, and was in a position to unseat Pan Am in the Central and South Pacific. Robert Six hired Pierre Salinger to manage publicity for Continental's international division; he hired former governor of Guam, Charl ton Skinner, to ease things with the natives; and he hired LBJ's former chief-of-protocol to manage Washington. The results were predictable. In 1962 Continental's charter operations flew fewer than 4 million passenger miles. By 1965 military escalation pushed its charter mileage up to 253 million passenger miles, and in 1966 alone it jumped 390%, exceeding even its regularly scheduled operations. Its charter freight division also showed enormous gains associated with the war, rising from nothing in 1962 to 93 million ton miles in 1967. Braniff's rise was somewhat less but still significant. Its operations rose from just over half a billion passenger miles in 1963, BCAS. All rights reserved. For non-commercial use only. www.bcasnet.org 16 to over a billion in 1967. In 1968 its charter operations doubled again to 2 billion passenger miles, more than twice the mileage of its regularly scheduled operations. Other airlines did well during the war's early years too. TWA's charters rose 650% in 1964, and 50% in 1965. Northwest, Pan Am's weak competitor in the Northern Pacific, increased its annual charter operations from 61 mil lion passenger miles in 1962 to 1.1 billion for 1967. But for Pan Am, LBJ's escalation of the war was a disaster. In the year follow ing Kennedy's death, its Pacific charters grew at a slower rate than its scheduled, civilian operations. In the fiscal year 1965, while Continental's Pacific char ters increased 25 times, Pan Am's drop ped 33% from the previous year, and Pan Am finally lost its position as the leading charter airline in the Pacific. The only airline with a scheduled stop in Saigon, the airline that was depend ing on its Pacific profits to pay for its new .iets, now found its Pacific growth rate falling off. This alone might have been tolerable, but the Civil Aeronautics Board was re-opening the Airlines Route Case, and Pan Am was vulnerable. The CAB was legally required to conduct a periodic review of all airlines operations, and either to confirm the present route structure and airlines allocations or to expand the route structure and rediv ide it among the competing applicants. The CAB's judgements were made on the rather vague criteria of the ability of the present airlines and air routes to meet "customer needs," and t he ability of new route applicants to offer immed iate, experienced service. Generally, the vast expense of training experien ced pilots and crews and building the necessary hangars, terminals, and repair facilities for fmmediate service on routes they might win was so high that few airlines could afford the risk. In the Pacific, however, the risks were worth taking. Inflated fares over the Pacific (13.5 per passenger mile, San Francisco to Tokyo, vs. 7.4 per mile, New York to London}, long distan ces, and oligopoly had brough enormous rewards to America's two .Pacific carriers. Pan Am's relatively limited number of Pacific flights gave it 50% of its total profits, and Northwest Orient's Pacific revenues overcame its domestic losses to make it the most profitable American airline. Eager for the rewards of the Pacific bonanza, Continental, Braniff, and TWA were accumulating experience in trans Pacific flying, building facilities, and becoming familiar with the Pacific mar ket--all at military expense on c o s t ~ l u s contracts. And since the largest cust omer in the Pacific was the U.S. mili tary, these airlines could argue as well as Pan Am that they were servicing "customer need." The competition for new routes was so fierce that Pan Am's old central and south Pacific monopoly would inevitably be broken; unless Pan Am could get some of the new routes it wanted, it would hold much the same position it held in the Atlantic, the leading airline in a glutted low-profit market. Juan Trippe hired Najeeb Halaby to save the day. Najeeb Elias Halaby (Yale Law '40), test pilot of the first Lock heed jet, was chief of the Intelligence Division for the Department of State and Assistant Secretary of Defense for Inter national Security Affairs during the early years of the Cold War (1945-53). Balaby concentrated his activities on military work, such as founding the Air Force's Aerospace Corp., until 1960 when he stepped into politics by becoming the manager of the Kennedy campaign for Los Angeles. He was appointed Administrator of the Federal Aviation Administration (1961-65), where he became the prime architect of the super-sonic transport. In 1965 Juan Trippe made him a member of Pan Am's board of directors, heir apparent, and senior vice president. BCAS. All rights reserved. For non-commercial use only. www.bcasnet.org 17 Halaby a simple strategy: if others could get into the charter busi ness through the White House, he could get his company into it through the The crucial question was what the military needed that Pan Am, and no one else, could give? The answer was R &R (rest and recreation). Busi ness Week reported it this way: While in Vietnam several years ago (late 1965) he [Halaby] found that troop morale was low because of a lack of adequate recreation fac Ilities. He proposed that Pan Am use the piston planes it was phas ingout of the Berlin air corridor to ferry men from Saigon to Hong Kong. R &R began in March, 1966. In the first three months the flights cost the Defense Depart ment token $3, and Pan American Airways $2,400,000. "There' sna doubt that our earnings could have been higher if we hadn't done this," a Pan American spokesman disingenuously noting that the planes could have been used elsewhere. "But think of all the young friends we're making for Pan American." Pan Am put 13 obsolete planes on the R &R run, and Week pointed out: Important as these friends may become later as customers, the airline is probably gaining a more immediate advantage Pan Am's contribution to the Vietnamese war effort undoubtedly will be I weighed [in parcelling out new and expanded routes in the Pacific]. r Pan Am's R &R program has helped the generals to continue the war by I making the year-long tour of duty a more bearable experience for the Amer ican G.I. It has saved old aircraft from the scrap heap and put them to work in the national interest. And in the interest of Pan Am, in the first few months of R &R service there was a perceptible turnabout in Pan Am's Pac ific charters (a turnabout only partly due to the R &R flights themselves). Within a year Pan Am's "service to the nation" was up a measurable 358% and once again it was the largest charter operator in the Pacific. The return of these charters was far more important than their monetary val ue, for they demonstrated Pentagon con fidence in Pan Am's ab"ility to meet its "customer needs" and Pentagon support for its bid for new air routes. When the long-anticipated Pacific Route Hearings were finally called in 1967, Pan Am got its coveted long-distance great circle route from New York to Tokyo and another from San Francisco/L.A. to Tokyo, parallel to Northwest's old route from Seattle via the great circle. In no area was Pan Am's run to be dupl icated by more than one airline, and no airline accumulated anything approaching Pan Am's total routage. To be sure, Pan Am was not the only beneficiary. The Civil Aeronautics Board--with a majority of Qemocratic appointees--proffered generous favors to the Democratic lines, Continental and Braniff. When the decision was passed on to President Johnson, he insisted that Continental and Braniff get Eastern's routes in the Pacific but did not touch Pan Am. Subsequent maneuvering under Nixon has also left Pan Am safe. Clear ly a near-monopoly has been transformed into an oligopoly. But Pan Am will manage as long as the market in the Pacific continues to grow. Predictions of Pacific market expan sion depend on a rate of growth even higher than that in the past. Although the as yet undeveloped tourist industry will become more important as additional luxury hotels are constructed, even this important source of passengers will not be sufficient. Government, military, and business personnel must continue to travel in increasing numbers to fill Pan Am's largantuan 747's. Certainly intra-Asian travel will not keep Pan American growing As Asian BCAS. All rights reserved. For non-commercial use only. www.bcasnet.org 18 nations develop to the point where they can finance domestically owned national airlines, their governments take steps to guarantee them markets. Currency problems and the balance of payments make it imperative for the Japanese government and business to force its travelers to fly Japan Air Lines. The same holds true in Australia, the Phil ippines and India. In Vietnam Pan Am is trying to guard against this poss ibility by ingratiating itself with the Thieu-Ky regime. The two lu xury 727' s it has leased to Air Vietnam are pri marily for the use of President Thieu and his cabinet. Pan Am also has plans to build Intercontinental Hotels in Sai gon after the war. But it seems unlikely that these gifts can the force of growing Asian economic nationalism. It 'is also unlikely that any potential opening of China will offer hope. Nixon's relaxation of the trade boycott will promote a certain amount of curious tourist travel to Hong Kong, helping Pan Am, but no fore seeable relaxation of tensions would let Pan Am duplicate its service to Moscow with to Peking. In order for Pan Am to maintain its strength, America must continue its focus on Asia, American resources must pour into the area, and government off icials and soldiers must fly in ever increasing numbers. Pan Am needs the spectre of Communism and the looming image of a China to draw American interest and sovernment trav elers. Conclusion A close review of Pan Am's recent history leads one to question the con sequences of its role in American foreign policy. In the past the company's compe titive practices and foreign relations in Latin America have merited two major Congressional reviews which have reveal ed testimony of a highly controversial nature but resulted in no legal action. However, in Vietnam and t he Pacific, Pan Am's eagerness to improve the tactics of military intervention for the sake of filling its over-expanded jet fleet, and its close cooperation with the military effort in Vietnam to insure its Pacific expansion are actions which raise serious questions about America's abil ity to base its military withdrawal on purely political criteria. The problem with subcontracting the war to private corporations is that their profit struc tures become dependent upon the contin uance of the conflict and they resist any sudden change in policy which pru dent political judgement may require. There is a grave danger that Pan Am's dependence on its Pacific expansion is making it a major barrier to- speedy withdrawal from Vietnam and an advocate of future interventions in the name of "freedom. " --This article was prepared with the cooperation af CCAS members Ray Grantham, James Burnham, Cathleen McCoy, and Leonard Adams. BCAS. All rights reserved. For non-commercial use only. www.bcasnet.org 19 China's Economic Growth: Leap or Creep? COMMENTS ON SOME RECENT PEKINOLOGICAL REVISIONISM CARL RISKIN The field of Chinese Economic Studies has reached a new low -- in estimates of China's recent economic growth, that is. Manipulating growth rates is an old and honored art form, many of whose techniques, fashioned in ex periments on the Soviet Union over the past four or five decades, have been exercised with relish on the slim volume of numbers which the Chinese have released to the world. The smaller the body of raw data, the more and stronger the assumptions that have to be made to calculate a growth rate, and in the case of China we have assumptions of herculean pro portions. Drawing conclusions and comparisons from such exercises is a hazardous enterprise. Alexander Eckstein said of one such c ompar ison, which sought to demonstrate that the Chinese suffered a lower standard of living in 1957 than in 1933, that it "is essentia1:ty like a pyrami.d, based on a series of assumptions each of which can be challenged. Thus, if anyone of the assumptions is invalidated the whole structure collapses like a house of cards."l But a collapsing house of cards can be easily rebuilt. The favorite deck is the First Five Year Plan (FFYP) period (1953-57), for which the cards are felt to be most re liable, and are certainly most nu merous. Starting with the highest. available growth rates now include: a of the official rate, it at 9 percent per annum; C.M. Li's reconstruction of 8.8 percent; Hoilister's esti mate of 8.6 percent; the Liu- Yeh "adjusted estimate" with "corrections for reliability", of 6 percent; and an estimate from Wu et a1 of 5.6 percent. 2 Some of these estimates have been criticized for depending upon assump tions which uniformly militate against a high growth rate. 3. Nevertheless, even the lowest of them constitutes a highly respectable performaftce on the part 0 f a country beginning from a backward economic base as did China in the early 1950's. Now, however, China's FFYP period performance has been re-evaluated in a manner which fundamentally threatens its respectable image. Since most Western economists who watch China feel that the FFYF period encompassed the years of most successful and sus tained growth in the short history of the People's Republic, an attack on the growth record of this period would raise basic questions about whether any substantial economic development has occurred in China since 1949. Those convinced of the ineptitude of Communist systems would be rid of an embarrassing counter-example. Moreover, the econo mics of the Great Leap Forward and the Cultural Revolution would seem more comprehensible against a background of prior failure. The new estimate comes in the form of a Rand Corporatton Memorandum by Frederick M. Cone. The following para graphs are not an attempt to review Cone's worK as a whole, but only to evaluate the accuracy an d logic of his estimate of the Chinese growth rate. In certain respects, it has been BCAS. All rights reserved. For non-commercial use only. www.bcasnet.org 20 discovered, the industrial structures of many countries fall into a fairly regular pattern depending upon level of economic development. Thus there is a range of values, in inter national experience, for the pro portion of a country's national in come which originates in agriculture. At which end of the range a given country finds itself depends a good deal upon how "developed" that c oun try is, measured in terms of per capita income. 5 But it would be surprising to find a country whose industrial structure not only did not conform closely to expectations based u ~ o n its level of develop ment, but took on values far from those of any other country in our experience. This is wha-t Cone claims to have found in China. Specifically, the ratio of product per worker in manufac turing, mining and construction (the M sector) to that in Ag riculture (the A sector) ranges internationally from slightly over one, to a high of 2.7 for the Soviet Union after World War 11. 6 But for China during the FFYP peribd, according to Cone, product per worker in the M sector was eighteen times that in the A sector ! This aberration Cone takes as evidence of grossly inflated prices in the Chinese M sector, which causes the output of the M sector to be exaggerated relative to that of the rest of the economy. Now it happens that the most rapidly growing part of the Chinese economy in the 1950's was precisely the M sector. If its importance in the whole economy is exaggerated, then the growth rate of the whole eco nomy (which is but an average of the growth rates of the different parts) will seem to be much higher than it "actuallyH was. This is the charge Cone brings against previous to China other eountries' ratios of product per worker in the M sector to that in the A sector. This enables him to deflate the size of Chinese industrial output, reduce its importance in the economy, and thus lower the overall rate of growth. Both the Soviet Union and India are pressed into service to this end. The Soviet ratio yields an average Chinese growth rate during 1952-57 of 3.5 percent per year, while the Indian ratio yields one of 3 percent, significantly lower than the rate of growth of the Indian economy during the 1950's. Since in the course of his exercise CGne makes several assumptions which he believes favor the case for a high Chinese growth rate. he regards these results as maximum estimates. But even if one is willing to be ~ e n e rous and accept them, Cone is still able to flourish the growth rates of 44 countries, of which only 11 were lower than China's during 1952-57. To rub salt in the wound, these 11 were mostly advanced countries which did not even have to grow fast. Thus, China did es pecially badly in comparison with other underdeveloped countries! This analy sis sees the much-vaunted "Chinese model" of development as nothing but a paper dragon. There are SOme strong theoretical objections to Cone's methods, however. They pertain particularly to the com parison with the Soviet Union. An essential part of the development prob lem of countries like China in the 1950's is that their rate of develop ment is substantially lower than that of the advanced countries in their pre industia1 phases. Moreover, the developed countries of today, in their pre-industrial phases, represented small population groups None of the coun tries in this group had appre estimates of Chinese growth(Cone, pp.37-39). ciably more than 30 million people before the process of To eliminate the over-pricing industrialization had begun. 7 phenomenon, Cone simply applies BCAS. All rights reserved. For non-commercial use only. www.bcasnet.org 21 Given these differences, not only is there no reason to expect that the inter-sectoral productivity ratios in contemporary China should look anything like those of "advanced" countries, but there is little basis of comparison with the same countries in their "pre industrial" periods or with curren tly underdeveloped countries with small populations. Yet, with the exception of Brazil, all of the 44 countries men tioned above with which Cone compares China fall into one of these categories.8 The reason for objecting to such com parisons is that when modern industry is introduced into a country with as low a per capita income as China's in the 1950's, the difference between la-: bor productivity in that industry and labor productivity in traditional agri culture is likely to be very large - much larger than in an advanced country, an advanced country a hundred years ago, or a poor country with a small ratio of population to arable land. Generally speaking, "the underdeveloped coun tries are farther behind the developed countries in product per worker in agriculture than they are in product per worker in the non-agricultural sectors.,,9 And since, as Kuznets shows, an "agricultural revolution" or marked increase in output per worker in agriculture seelUS to have been a precondition of develop ment in today's advancl'd countries,lO this contrast also hol.ds as between poor countries today and advanced coun tries in the early stages of their in dustrializaion. ll Still, while my argument might jus tify expecting some difference between the M:A ratios of China and, say, the Soviet Union, a difference of the magni tude of 6-to-l, such as Cone claims to have found, is too high to justify on such grounds. Here we must not e that the same exercise has been carried out by T.C. Liu (whose previous labors had brought the Chinese growth rate down by one-third 12 ) with no such startling results. 13 Liu's calculations Put the ratio of product per worker in China's M sec tor to product per worker in her A sec tor at about 3.5, or only 30 percent higher (rather than six times higher) than that of the Soviet Union. More over, this is an average figure for the FFYP period. For 1952, the year before the start of the plan, China's ratio turns out to be only 2.8 14 or about the same as the Soviet ratio. Clearly there is no case to be made here for massive overpricing of indus trial goods in China relative to the Soviet Union. The difference between the two esti mates stems from the proper inclusion by Liu in China's M sector of many low productivity workers in traditional activities. Cone simply leaves them out. Nor is Liu puzzled by the fact that the M:A ratio for the FFYP period in China is high relative to those of other countries. He points out that "much greater knowledge and training are required of workers" in nonagricul tural activities than in "the primitive agricultural sector" in China, which would explain such a difference. 15 Moreover, the picture he paints -- of increasing output in Chinese industry due to the introduction of new machin ery and equipment but few new.workers, while labor productivity in agriculture remained very low -- is consistent both with our knowledge of Chinese develop ment strategy at that time, and with commonly held views regarding the nature of the development problem in the mid twentieth century. The application of Indian structural f ratios to China is less questionamle in I theory, since both are heavily populated countries beginning their development programs from roughly similar levels of , I backwardness. But problems of defini tion, coverage and comparability loom I large in Cone's analysis. To mention just 50me of the more glaring problems, the Iadian figures for output are from f the 1948-53,16 before indus tril'dization had started in earnest, t BCAS. All rights reserved. For non-commercial use only. www.bcasnet.org 22 while China's are from 1952-51, when industry was growing rapidly. The fig ures for China omit an important part of the construction industry (work bri gades). Agricultural output for India includes farmers' processing (storing, processing and transporting) of but apparently excludes such process ing for China. Perhaps most seriously, Indian labor force figures are limited to self-supporting persons, excluding earning dependents and persons whose industry and status were unclassifiable. Most likely for this reason, the Indian labor force to which Cone's calculations apply constitutes only 29 percent of the total Indian population, whereas the Chinese labor force used makes up 45 percent of her population. 17 It is not permissible to reduce the Chinese structure to the Indian until the sets of statistics used are at least broadly comparable both in definition and in coverage. Cone's analysis, then, does not jus tify a drastic revision of our evalua tion of China's economic growth in the 1950's. But a certain malaise lingers from this discussion. After all, if there is so much uncertainty about the comparability of data from different countries, how much significance can be attached to international compari sons based upon growth rates? More over, it is almost certainly true that China's method of financing her budget by relying heavily upon state enter prise profits rather than taxes, toge ther with certain peculiarities in her method of calculating constant prices,18 have given rise to some artificial inflation of her industrial production statistics in the 1950's.19 The point is that this is largely a tempest in a teapot. It concerns the paper appear ance of what the Chinese have done - not even whether they have actually produced so many tons of steel and so many bushels of grain over a given iod of time, but how to value them. 0 While accurate and standard systems of evaluation are doubtless important for some purposes (such as making inter national comparisons), and while it is important to defend the Chinese growth record of the 1950's, creditable or not (and it was), from unfounded assaults, let us not be under the illusion that we are discussing important factors in economic development. Especially in the short run, growth rates, even if com pletely accurate and standardized for all countries, mean very little. It is quite possible for a small country to generate impressive growth rates partly on the basis of mushrooming bordellos and American bases, or for the "green revolution" in India to take forms which promise growing class stratifica t.ion in the countryside and the increased prospect of yrowth-disrupting rural revolution. 2 The real question regarding China's growth potential is whether Chinese com munism free of foreign domination and the worst internally-generated barriers to economic development can evolve a social system under which the population will willingly make heavy sacrifices over an extended period of time for material results largely in the future. 22 In another recent book on the Chinese economy, an industrial management specialist at D.C.L.A. examines in detail China's response to this question and leaves little room for doubt that whatever the vagaries of the growth rate mongers, in the things that count for the future the Chinese have already compiled an impressive record. 23 FOOTNOTES 1. Eckstein, Alexander, 1967. Testi mony before the Joint Economic Committee of Congress, in Mainland China in the World Econemy,<p.S. Government Printing Office) p. 212. 2. Liu, T. C. and K. C. Yeh, 1965, The Economy of the Chinese Mainland, 1933 1959,(Princeton) p. 22, Li, Choh-ming, 1959, Economic Development of Communist China,(Berke1ey) p. 106; Hollister, Wil liam W., 1958, China's National BCAS. All rights reserved. For non-commercial use only. www.bcasnet.org 23 Product and Social Accounts, 1950-1957, (Glencoe, Illinois), p.2; Liu-Yeh, ibid., p. 213; Wu, Y.L., .F.P. Hoeber, and M. Rockwell, 1963, The Economic Poten tial of Communist China, Vol 1,(Menlo Park,-California) p. 241. A of these different estimates can be found in Liu, T. C., 1968, "Quantitative Trends in the Economy," in Economic Trends in Communist China, Eckstein, Galensoo-and Chen, ed.,(Chicago) pp. 95-119. 3. See for eKample a review of Liu Yeh by Dernberger: Dernberger, Robert F., Journal of Political Vol 73, No.4, (Augus t, 1965). Gurley has criticized the Liu-Yeh estimates in an unpublished paper., as has Richman, Riclunan, Barry .M., 1969, Industrial' Society in Communist ghina, (New York) Chapter 7. An exchange on this issue between several participants can be found in Ho and Tsou, Ho Ping-ti, and Tang Tsou, 1968, China in Crisis, Vol. I, Book 2,(Chicag9-'-- . 4. "Chinese Industrial Growth: Over all level of Investment and its to General Growth Rate, It Memorandum RM-5841-PR!ISA, May 1969. This is the third of a series of memoranda dealing with the economy of China and is to some degree based upon the other two. These are "Chinese Industrial Growth: Brief Studies of Selected Investment Areas," RM-5625-PR!ISA, November 1968; and "Chinese Industria'! Growth: Investment Outlays, 1952-1957," RM-S662-PR!ISA, November 1968. 5. The pioneer at this sort of inves tigation is Simon Kuznets. A conven ient introduction to it and its findings is to be found in Kuznets, 1959, Six Lectures on Economic Growth, (Glencoe, Illinois) , Lecture III. 6. Kuznets, 1963, "A Comparative Ap praisal," Ch. VIII of Bergson and Kuz nets, ed., Economic Trends in the Soviet Union (Cambridge, Mass .), p. 34a. 7. Kuznets, 1963, "Underdeveloped Countries and the Pre-Industrial Phase in the Advanced Countries," in Agarwala and Singh, The Economics of Underdevelop ment, (New York), p. 147 8. Kuznets, "A Comparative Appraisal," Table VIII. 4, p. 340. 9. Kuznets, Six Lectures on Economic Growth, p. 54. 10. Ibid., pp. 59-60. 11. It is noteworthy that Cone dis cusses this objection in an Appendix de signed to justify applying "other country" weights to an underdeveloped country. But in the simple model'he presents to clinch his point " he assumes that there are no significant producti\f'ity diffe rences between the countries concerned, thus assuming away the problem. See Appendix C, pp. Liu-Yeh, The Economy of the Chinese Mainland 1933-1959, p. 213. 13. Liu, T.C., "Quantitative Trends in the Economy," pp. 123-::j.28. 1968, "Economic De velopmen . 1949 1965," in ed., China in Crisis, Vol. on'e. -Boe< two (Chicago;, pp. 626, 627, 14. Liu, T.C., "Quantitative Trends in the Economy," p. 124. 15. Ibid., p. 127. 16. Not 1950-58, as Cone's Table 12, p. 45, incorrectly states. See Cone's source:' . Kuzne t s, Simon, 1957. "Quant i tative Aspects of the Economic Growth of Nations, II," in Economic Development and Cultural Change, July, 1957. Appen dix Table 1, pp. 62ff. 17. India's population and labor force statistics are taken from the Uni ted Nations Demographic Yearbook, 1955. The industrial distribution of labor force is on p. 536. Chinese population BCAS. All rights reserved. For non-commercial use only. www.bcasnet.org 24 is from Hou, Chi-ming, 1968, "Man power, Employment and Unemployment,1t in Eckstein, Ga1enson and Liu, ed., Eco nomic Trends in Communist Ch ina, (Chicago) p. 332; and employment distribution from Liu-Yeh, The Efonomy of the Chinese Main land 1933-1959, Table II, p. 69. 18. Li, Economic Development of Com munist China, ch. II. Chao, Kang, 1965,. The Rate and Pattern of Industrial Growth in-comm;nrst China, (Ann Arbor, Michigan) ch. III. 19. It is also true that rates for other countries are affected by mono poly pricing praetices in in dustry, which raise industrial output values above their "true" factor cost level. 20. The difference between the offi cial Chinese government statistics and those of both T.C. Liu CODe, on the other hand, does contain an important "real" element. .21. Frankel, Francine R., 1969, "India's New of Agricultural Development: Political Costs of Agra rian Modernization," Journal of Asian Studies, August, 1969-.--- -- -- . 22. This is an oversimple formu lation, since improved health and sani tation, access to literacy, and assurance against starvation are-certainly substan tial material improvements brought about in the last twenty years. 23. Sec Barry M. Richman, Industrial Society in Communist China. Ceuain de ficiencies in Richman's understanding and handling of "Maoist ideology" detract little from his illumination of the links between soeial and political changes and industrial development in China. ICDp lnternational Confederation fOf Disarmament and Peace Inter:ation.ale le..D6sarmement et la Paix Internatlonale KonfoderatlOn fur Abr-ustung und Frieden For carefully documented, up-to-date material, and inside information on the war in Vietnam, the Talks in PariS, the situation in South Vietnam, developments: read VIETNAM INTERNATIONAL The moDthly journal published by the IDteruational Confederation for Disarmament and Peace (ICDP), edited by PeglY Duff Annual subscription: by sea mail $2.50; by air mail $5.00 Order from ICDP. 6 Endsleigh Street, London, WCI, England. BCAS. All rights reserved. For non-commercial use only. www.bcasnet.org 25 PORTFOLIO OF DRA WINGS FROM THE NA TlONAl. LIBERA T/ON FRONT BCAS. All rights reserved. For non-commercial use only. www.bcasnet.org 26 BCAS. All rights reserved. For non-commercial use only. www.bcasnet.org 27 BCAS. All rights reserved. For non-commercial use only. www.bcasnet.org 28 BCAS. All rights reserved. For non-commercial use only. www.bcasnet.org 29 \ 1 \ '---------""_._--_.- ... --_._---.-_.----- <;:: \ '- '-- . --________ L __ . ~ - - - - . - - - .. -.'.-----...~ . - - - - - ............. - ~ ; ( , ,. '. BCAS. All rights reserved. For non-commercial use only. www.bcasnet.org 30 The Security Treaty System andthe Japanese Military-Industrial Complex HERBERT P. BIX INTRODUCTION Recently much discussion has focused on the U.S.-Japan Security Treaty, first signed in September, 1951, renewed in a more equitable form in 1960, and up for renewal again in 1970. Much less attention has been paid the U.S.-Japan military-economic relationship shaped largely by adminstrative agreements that followed in the wake of the first Secu rity Treaty. This article deals with that military-economic relationship and other aspects of recent U.S.-Japanese relations relevant to the discussion of contemporary American imperialism in Asia. I will try to show thatarglBDents in support of the U.S.-Japan military alliance fail to recognize that Japan has already rearmed on a scale sufficienL to pose a threat to her neighbors. Far from deterring this development, the U.S.-Japan alliance system has actually facilitated it. Japan's re armament, moreover, has been accompa nied by the re-emergence of a military industrial nexus which is becoming increasingly interrelated with the American military-industrial complex. The attempt by Japan's conservative rulers to legitimize and promote that complex and define a new foreign policy role for the Seventies poses the greatest danger that postwar Japanese democracy has yet had to face. Apologists far the Security Treaty have dowoplayed the long-standing American policy of pressuring Japan to rearm and assume a policeman's role in Asia, and its political and economic consequences for Japanese society. They have been equally un critical of American "cultural" activities in behalf of conservative Japanese union ists and anti-Marxist intellectuals. Yet ever since Occupation authorities defined a Itstable lt Japan as one in which Japanese labor was politically neutralized, policy makers in both countries have tended to regard the Socialist and Communist-led labor movement and the Marxist intellectuals who support it as common internal enemies, despite the fact that they have been the staunchest defenders of democratic liber ties in Japan. In the last part of the article I question the realism of this policy stance. I suggest that the American policy of weakening and discrediting the forces on the left in Japan has simply been the reverse side of the policy of spurring on Japanese rearmament. Part I Japan's Present Military Posture Japan has rearmed and already possesses formidable military strength. A bare listing of facts about her Self-Defense Forces indicates why Japan is now rated 6th or 7th in the world in terms of actual military power. The Ground Self-Defense Force (G.S.D.F.) is expected to have 180,000 men 1971 with a volunteer reserve of over 30,000. 1 While small, this army has a high propor tion of officers and non-coms and could easily be expanded to millions if the Constitutionwere revised and a Conscrip tion law enacted. 2 Under the present Third Five Year Plan the G.S.D.F. has been equipped with Japanese-made small arms, anti-tank rockets, and heavy tanks. For anti-aircraft defenses it has auto rna tic, radar-:-guided, 35 mm. Swiss-<iesigned BCAS. All rights reserved. For non-commercial use only. www.bcasnet.org 31 guns and several battalions of HAWK mis siles. Its air support component is also being -augmented with 60 Hughe-s reconnaissance and command helicopters and 106 Japanese-manufactured Bell Iroquis troop-carrying helicopters. Japan's Maritime Self-Defense Force (M.S.D.F.) is the third most powerful navy in the Pacific after those of the U.S. and the Soviet Union. According to the latest Jane's figures, it has 9 diesel-powered sub marines, 26 destroyers'including one guided missile type, 16 frigates, 20 fast patrol vessels and 155 assorted support ships, motor torpedo boats, landing ships, and service craft. It also has an air component of 190 fighter aircraft and 50 helicopters. 3 This naval arsenal will soon be beefed up and a naval reserve force started. M.S.D.F. contingency planning for the 1970's is said to call for the deployment of ships and aircraft to Singapore "to protect Japanese shipping in the event of serious trouble in Hong Kong. "4 The cruise of a Japanese flotilla squadron through the strategic Malacca Straits, between Malaysia and Sumatra, and its participation in naval maneuvers with Australian and Malaysian warships during the summer of 1969, was probably correctly judged as the "prelude to a future: . Japanese naval presence in Southeast Asia. itS The Air Force (A.S.D.F.), with 1,530 aircraft, was recently rated by !!! Force magazine as the most powerful in Asia after the U.S. and Russia. 6 It has 200 Fl04J's, 300 F86D and F86F fighters, Nike-Ajax(surface to-air) missiles, 400 jet trainers, and 30 large Sikorsky helicopters. The Nike-Hercules missiles which she is now manufacturing provide Japan with an for a missile-type nuclear delivery system. 7 "This however, will not be the first or only nuclear system Japan possesses. The Japanese-manufactured EIKO (Fl04J) presently in service, can carry a nuclear bomb anywhere within a 700-mile radius . ft8 In the 1970's Japan will acquire a third nuclear delivery option as the F4E a long-range fighter bomber capable of carrying nuclear weapons, becomes the mainstay of the A.S.D.F. It is interesting to note that the Japanese government in 1960 . held that the A.S.D.F. could not be equipped with any kind of bomber aircraft; later it said that Japan could not possess fighter bombers with long flying range but could have such an air craft whose cruising range was short; now the A.S.D.F. is in the process of acquiring a fighter bomber with a radius of 3,700 kilomet res . 9 On the assumption that "offense is the best defense," her officers speak of building a 5,000 plane'airforce, such as Japan had during World War II. Needless to say, this military capa bility does not even begin to suggest Ja pan's economic potential for waging conve n tional'war. That is to be seen in the fact that Japan has the third largest GNP in the wor11: l45'billion in 1968 and expected to reach from 500 to billion by the end of the Seventies. Moreover, it is the second largest steel producer in the world. Economically and militarily Japan is a giant among nations. Compared with two of her hypothetical adversaries--North Korea and China--she is not only a giant but an increasingly ominous threat in her own right. In the late Forties and Fifties China and North Korea viewed the American domination of Japan as a serious threat to their own security; today they have good reason to place increasing stress on Japan itself and not just the U.S. presence there. In sea power, Japan has a striking advantage. North Korea's navy consists of 2 submarines, 10 fleet minesweepers, and 109 assorted types of coastal patrol boats. The Chinese, although possessing a large number of ships dating from World BCAS. All rights reserved. For non-commercial use only. www.bcasnet.org 32 War II, have no surface fleet worthy of the name. They do have an underseas fleet of 33 diesel-powered submarines incl uding one Soviet "G" class sub with ballistic missile tubes. So far as is known the latter has never been ocean-tested. On paper North Korea and China appear to have adequate air forces. North Korea has S90 aircraft. China, responsible for defending vast stretches of land and sea borders, is estimated to have 2,500 combat aircraft. But most of these are "early model MIG-ISs and MIG-17s, with a lesser number of MIG-19s and HIG-2ls." China's present bomber capability consists of 12 copies of our old B29 and about 150 Il-28 lfght bombers. "Its missile program is lagging. There are no signs of prepa rations 'for deploying medium range missiles' nor of preparations for the oceanic testing ICBMs require."ll These facts show that neither China nor North Korea is capable. let alone shows intention, of threatening Japan or its Pacific shipping lanes. On the other hand, from their point of view there is an objective basis for viewing military build-up with horror. To the Chinese and North Koreans Japan's defense plans are an unsettling factor,not a stabilizing one, in the Asian balance of power. More disturbing to them is the fact that at least since 1965, Japan's naval and air self-defense forces have been conducting joint maneuvers with South Korean, Nationalist Chinese, and Seventh Fleet forces, all of which are coordinated with overall U.S. strategic planning for Asia. Chinese and North Korean fears of Ja pan have been reinforced by the growth of Japanese nationalism in the Sixties and by periodic glimpses of the thinking of the new Japanese military establishment. On 1, 1962, for example the Tokyo Shimbun reported an alleged U.S.-Japan plan for Japanese-South Korean military cooperation. The plan called for 1) the permanent stationing in Seoul of a Japanese Self-Defense Force official and "short term exchanges of military personnel"-; 2) repairing and out fitting of South Korean military aircraft and ships in Japan; 3.) linking of the Japanese air defense system with the Taiwanese and South Korean air defense systems flso that combined air action \V'ill be possible", and 4) Japanese and South Korean naval cooperation in blockading the Tsushima Straits in the event of an emergency.12 Three years later, on June 22. 1965, a Japan-South Korea "nonnalization" treaty was signed, marking significant Japanese involvement in the anti-communist military set-up in South Korea. During the last stages of negotiations for this- oppo sition members of the South Korean national assembly charged the Japanese with conducting the talks on the basis of a secret U.S.-Japan understanding that called for, among other things .. equipping South Korean forces with Japanese, rather than American-manufac tured weapons and munitions. Since that treaty was signed, South Korean pilots have been receiv.ing flight training in Japan, and Japanese soldiers are being taught Korean at various Self-Defense Force schools such as the one at Maizuru. 13 An equally ominous disclosure of the thinking of the Japanese military estab lishment was the celebrated Three Arrows Incident. The "Three Arrows Studylt tMitsuya Kenkyu} consisted of top-secret operations plans drawn up by the Japan Defense Agency between February and June, 1963, upon prodding from the Pentagon. 14 That was the year Ngo Diem was over thrown (in November}, and it is likely that the Pentagon had made preparations prior to the overthrow for a major escalation of the in Vietnam, which took into account the possibility of the Chineae or North KGre-ans opening a second front in the Far East to- relieve pressure on the Vietnamese. Thus the Japanese Defense Agency formulated plans to meet the contingency of a renewed war in KOrea. This study was the largest project of its kind the Defense. Agency BCAS. All rights reserved. For non-commercial use only. www.bcasnet.org 33 had ever -undertaken. The of the Three Arrows was revealed on February 10, 1965 (three days after the began its three year long bombing of North Vietnam), when.a Socialist representative in the Diet charged "that the Japanese military were planning a coup andre-establish ment of an authoritarian type of . .govern ment.- II As reported in the Japanese press and summarized.in an article by. Matsueda and C.E. More.., the plans contained the following points: 1. Japan will be an the United States Far Eastern strategy and as will 'serve as the base for U.S. operations. 1. The Japanese Self-Defense Forces (S.D.F.) will train wiLh U.S., South Korean, and FODll0:San troops. 3. In case of another crisis, the S.D.F:. will fulfUl de'fensive ments _hieb include block ade eastern of China and suppo!CftingU. S. offrensive action by serdng as a resenwe force in lCorea and Mancimria.. 4. Dur_ the emer.,aency period, aiD. actiV:i.tywill _ c.conducted 011 ,a lhasiLs :of tDtal mobilimttion. Necessaqr to coatrol and indUS!br,y, COlIIIIlgnticaions, traDiliqlfi)!I'ta tioll.ii.nformat:ialm!media and a1l.lI. eco-: nomic activity. ifmcl.uding the ail1Lo catioa cof civi1:i1an:and m ilitalV materitaU" alld -pr.il.lIes, banks aDd finaacia[ will be estabU.hed.15 All to ta.estigate weakened c.id.1ian contDl over the :military raised by dae Three Alrrows Study were rebuffed. The Sato govermment not only appointed a foaaer chief of tbe Defense Agency to bead subcommittee to investigate the affair. but also .anctioned the Defense Agency's -refusal to turn over key -d ocu ments to the subcommittee. Most American commentators on U.S. 'Japanese -relations minimize Japan's military strength by emphasizing, usually with -tUsapproval, the low (less tban one per cent) ratio of iter defense appro priations to her Gross National Product as compared with other countries. Japan's enormous GNP, its rapid increase over the past decade, and the "special pro curements" of-the U.s. military in Japan, such eomparisons in terms of percentage or GNP misleading. A glance at the trend of Japan's defense budget rev-eals just bow seriaus her leaders have been about defense. The rate of increase of Japan's defense expenditure went from 453 billion yen during the First Defense Plan (1957 1960) .to 1,180 billion yen during the Second. Since 1960, in fact, Japan has increased-ber defense spending faster than any in the world with the possible of the U.S.1 6 II TbeJapanese Military . Industrial Complex Japan's modern defense industry was Tevived on a small scale as a repair industry for the Occupation Forces within a few years after the end of World War II. But for pEactical purposes the origins of the Japanese complex can be dated from the start of the Korean War, when General MacArthur reluctantly ordered the illegal rearmament of Japan i.nthe guise of an expansion of the National Police Reserve. At the same time, the American government initiated a "special procurements" program to meet the needs of its Japan-based Eighth Army and Fifth Air Force. Within one 'Year, special procurements income from construction of bases and the purchase of war materials had started Japan on the road to economic recovery and a more favorable balance of payments. Two facts about the procure ments program need to be emphasized. One is that it did not end with the Korean War. Between 1951 and 1960, special procurements amounted to over BCAS. All rights reserved. For non-commercial use only. www.bcasnet.org 34 six billion dollars, an average of 600 million dollars annually. Even as late as 1958-59 they were "sufficient to pay for about 14 per cent af (Japanese) imports, II an important boon for a country with a chronic balance of payments problem. 17 Just as special procurements played a crucial role in Japan's economic recovery in the Fifties, war procurements connected with the Vietnam War have contributed to Japan's fantastically high growth rate in the late Sixties. In 1965-66, Japan's GNP "rose 2.7 per cent; in 1966-61, in comparison. it rose by 7 .5 per cent lll8 In that year, direct U.S. contracts alone with Japanese firms came to approximately 505 million dollars, "which equaled nearly half that year's budget alloca tion for defense," while other indirect Vietnam War-related contracts for the delivery of goods to the U.S., South Korea, Thailand, Taiwan, and the Philippines were worth 1.2 billion dollars to Japanese industry.19 American war spend ing, in short, has been an factor in revitaliz ing Japanese capitalism just as it has been in sustaining a prosperous American capital ism. The second fact to be noted about special procurements i s that they started Japanese industry towards a military industrial complex. According a recent study Japanese government-business relations by Yale University's Chitoshi Yanaga, by January, 1951, eight months prior to the end of the Occupation and the signing of the first Security Treaty, "72 per cent of (Japan's] production capacity was directly engaged in the manufacture 0 f weapons." 20 A survey by the Ministry-of InternatianalTrade and Industry in the autumn of 1952 disclosed over. 160 companies making weapons and munitions and over 30 aircraft manufac turing concerns. Not surpris ingly, SCAP's General Order Number prohibiting the manufacture of weapons,_ was abolished in March of 1952. 21 As Japan's involvement in production during 1952, conservative forces began to differ over how to meet the economic crisis that was anticipated with the ending of the Korean War. Represen tatives of the shipbuilding, fishing, and textile industries wanted to re-establish economic and political relations with the Soviet Union and the People's Republic of China. Tbe more influential segments of the ruling class, however, regarded: the defense sector even at this early date as crucial to Japan's continued economic growth. They argued that Japan could best weather the decline in Korean War spending by strength ening ecOnomic ties with the U.S. and deve1pping defense production after regaining independence. In response to pressure 0 f this sort, the Japanese government adopted its first postwar rearmament policy Dn November 10. 1952. Two days later. nas the first formal step toward underwriting Japanese rearmament," the U.S. signed a lend-lease agreement with Japan. 22 The key agreement of the period of the first American military alliance with Japan was the U.S.-Japan Mutual DefensaAssistance Agreement (MDA), signed by the Yoshida government on March 8, 19-54, after a year of lengthy nego tiating. Yoshida himself, BCAS. All rights reserved. For non-commercial use only. www.bcasnet.org 1 35 it should be noted, had desired the rearmament of Japan to follow rather than the completion of economic reconstruction, and therefore disagreed with Dulles over the "speed at vhleh rea"I'lD8Jl'ent should proceed. On the basis "Of the MDA, Japan's modern armed forces were organiz"ed: laws were enacted setting up the Japan Defense Agency (JDA) , equivalent to a ministry of war in all but name, and the Self-Defense Forces; the police system was r.ecentralized to bolster internal security; a Defense Secrets Protection Law was enacted; and other laws were passed to consolidate the defense industry.23 Underlying the however, was a U.S.-Japanese understanding on matters that were other than military in The MDA was negotiated during a time of profound crisis and in American policy toward As i.a. 2 . The French were on the verge of defeat in Indo-China and the American objective was to prevent that region from falling into the hands of the communists, i.e., genuinely nationalist forces who would not be subservient to the interests of American capitalism. Such an eventuality, by cutting South east Asia off from the world capitalist market, would not only deprive the American empire of vast" raw material resources, but" also force newly inde pendent Japan to normalize relations with her natural trading partners, her communist neighbors. The American sponsored rearmament of Japan was thus paralleled by the economic objec tive of fitting Japanese exports into the agricultural economies of South east Asia. 25 Consequently, while "the" Self-Defense Forces were being reor ganized and with American weapons, the "Society for Asian Eco nomic Cooperation (Asia Society) was launched under the aegis of the Foreign Office" to facilitate Japan's penetration of Southeast Asia. The significance of the stepped up American efforts after 1954 to aid Japanese trade expansion in Southeast Asia becomes still clearer when it is remembered that since the end of 1947 the U.S. had been seeking to control I the worldwide flow of trade in accordance 4 with its own political criteria of I anti-communism. 27 This American-initiated economic warfare against the communist bloc developed from the export licensing regulations of December 31, 1947 and January IS, 1948, through the Marshall Aid Law, to the February 28, 1949 Export Control Act which is still in force. It was strengthened in 1950- both before and immediately after the outbreak of the Korean War--and rational ized the next year in the form of the "Cannon Amendment" and the Batle Act. Internationally, it was administered through a highly secret organization based in Paris known as"CG-Cocom" or simply Cocom. "The original members of both CG (the Consultative Group) and Cocom (the Coordinating Committee) were England, France, Italy, the Nether lands, Belgium, Luxembourg, and the U.S . In early 1950 Norway, Canada and West Germany joined. ,,28 In October, 1950, when MacArthur launched a counter-invasion of North Korea, SCAP embargoed all Japanese trade with China, then at a postwar peak of $35,760,000, or 3.3 per cent of Occupied Japan's total foreign trade. 29 Two later, in September, 1952, Japan became" a member of both Cocom and a special China Committee ("Chincom") which was appointed that month to administer the embargo against Chinese trade. Although it has not yet been confirmed, there may have been, as a British diplomat has charged, a secret agreement attached to the U.S.-Japan peace treaty which actually stipulated that Japan would continue to adhere to the regula tions against China. 0 Assuming this is true, Japan's conservative leaders probably were motivated less by "giri" BCAS. All rights reserved. For non-commercial use only. www.bcasnet.org 16 (sense of debt) to their American conquerors than by promises of substan tial compensations in Southeast Asia for not trading with China on any mean ingful scale. It is unlikely that they wanted to "punish" the Chinese leaders, or cause economic pain and suffering to the Chinese people, or force internal policy changes in China --the three reasons originally cited by American leaders for their actions against China. Yet Japan always applied the trade controls more strictly than the West European Cocom partners. In mid-l954, when the Cocom embargo lists were first revised, precipitating a rapid rise in East-West trade the fol lowing year,31 Japan backed the refusal to include China in the revi sion. In 1957, when Britain attempted to force a relaxation of the embargo against China, again the U.S. refused to it and again Japan supported her. Why? One explanation lies in t he fact that after 1954 the U.S. pressured other nations in its to open up markets for Japan uin return for increased opportunities in the American market." "At a closed regional meeting of American ambassadors in Asia in early March [1955], Secretary of State Dulles outlined American diplomatic strategy, a major goal of which was to develop markets for Japan in Southeast Asia in order to counter act Communist trade efforts and to pro mote trade between Japan and SOutheast Asian countries. "33 Dulles must also have been aware of the pressure at that time within Japan for in creased trade with the People's Repub lic of China. Yet at the very time Dulles was pushing U.S.-Japanese economic coopera tion in Southeast Asia there appeared" rivalry between the two nations". An early U.S. proposal in 1955 brought the ambiguities of the trade relation ship to the surface. According to: Robert A. Scalapino, the United" States offered Japan an arrangement for triangular trade whereby America would have sold surplus farm products in Japan, for yen, the proceeds would have been used to buy Japanese machin ery and equipment to be given- by us to Southeast Asia. Japan rejected the at least temporarily, because she feared its effects upon her own trade with Southeast Asia and also . because the proposal required that ninety per cent of the purchase price of each shipment would have to be deposited at the time of authorization and at least fifty per cent of the car goes would have to ge carried in Ameriean ships.3 Although this proposal was rejected for the-reasons Scalapino cited, by the late Sixties large-scale trade between Japan, the United and Southeast Asia had become a reality_ But rather than working cooperatively to expl&it Southeast Asia, the two military allies today find themselves in competition there . In contrast to these economic devel opments,. the tempo of Japanese rearma ment has never proceeded as fast as American anticipated or desired. One reason for this has been the e ffecdveness of the left-led opposition, based on e01llllUtment to the of the Constitution and reflecting the genuine sentiments of a large minority of the Japanese people. Perhaps an even more important reason has been the split within- conservative ruling. circles over the speed with which rearmament should proceed. The exit of the cantankerous Yoshida the end of 1954, the bribery scandal involving the 1.iberal Partyt"s Secretary General, Sato Eisaku., and. the growing strength of the socialist oPposition,35 all testified to the conservativest" difficulty with the rearmament question '-. BCAS. All rights reserved. For non-commercial use only. www.bcasnet.org .H (as well as the problem of creating a stable political climate for business ex pans ion) Neither Yoshida nor his successor, Hatoyama Iehiro, responded satisfac torily to American pressure.for rapid rearmament or were wholeheartedly de voted to American anti-communist plan ning for Asia. While Hatoyama sought to the Constition to expedite a "well-balanced" rearmament program, he also pushed ahead with plans to im prove relations with the Soviet Union and the People's Republic of China. On the rearmament q.uestion, moreover, "the Hatoyama govermnent insisted that it had to hold its defense budget for fiscal 1956 to $388 million, or only $20 million more than in fiscal 1955." According to Scalapino, the United States "considered this far too low and sought to use various forms of persuasion to get it raised " When Hatoyama refused to budge; the American government increased its contribution of weapons and materials to the JDA to million for 1957, or "thirteen times the previous amount in an to spur on Japan." 36 . Hatoyama's diplomacy, consequently, was no more acceptable to the men behind rearmament and "defense pro ductionpressure --which first emerged during the Korean his overall policies were to American policy planners. The former saw the solution to their difficulties in a merger of the two conservative parties. By the end of 1955 the leaders of Japan's monopoly corporations, working through powerful business organizations such a s the Federation of- Economic Organizations (Keidanren), had succeeded in creating the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP). This event marked. the clear ascendancy of organized monopoly-capitalism over Japanese political life, as well as a trend towards ever closer American Japanese military and economic cooperation. Not until the advent of Kishi Nobu suke, "former economic czar of Manchu kuo y architect of prewar Japan's New Economic Order, Minister of Trade and Industry and Vice Munitions Minister in the Tojo Ca\)'inet, n31 did the- U. S. at last find its man in Tokyo. Kishi, f an uncompromising anti-communist, was Japan's prime minister from 1957 until after the second military alliance was concluded with the U.S. in September, 1960. During his foundations were laid for the growth of a mllitary industrial complex. tightly bound to American defense industry, closer ties wi th Taiwan, and the Japanese economic advance into Southeast Asia. We will now examine the first of these develop ments. Several features- of the military industrial nexus that emerged in the Sixties under Kishi's successors, Ikeda and Sato. deserve particular attention. 1. There is a very tight relation ship between American and Japanese defense industries. The following is a list of Japanese companies which are leading defense contractors, as well as leaders in sueh fast-growing indus tries as heavy eleetronics, and Table 1: 1969 JDA Defense Contractors Ranking Company (by size of. contract) 1 Mitsubishi Heavy Industries 2 Mitsubishi Electric 3 Tokyo Shibaura Electric 4 Japan Aircraft Manufactur ing 5 Japan Steel 6 Ishikawajima-Har1ma Heavy Indus-tries 7 Kawasaki 8 Nippon Electric 9 Shinmeiwa Kogyo 10 Komatsu Manufacturing 11 Fuji Heavy Industries 12 Daikin Kogyo 13 Hitachi Ltd. 14 lsuzu Motor 15 Fujitsu f ! BCAS. All rights reserved. For non-commercial use only. www.bcasnet.org 38 Banking Company (by size of contract) 16 Kitsubishi Shipbuilding and Engineering 17 Oki Electric 18 Itochu 19 Sumitomo Shoji 20 Kitsubishi Shoj i 21 Nippon Oil 22 Showa Koseihin 23 Howa Kogyo 24 NissanMotors 25 Nippon Aviotronics (joint venture of Nippon Elec tric and Hughes Aircraft) Kawasaki Dockyard Maizuru Heavy Industries Nissho-Iwai" Sumitomo Seimitsu Marubeni-Iida Nippon Kokan Japan Radio (from the Oriental Economist, 1969; Mainichi Shimbunshahen, Ampo to !bei Seisan--Nihon no Heiwa to Anzen [Tokyo, 1969]) Most of these top Japanese defense contractors are tied to the top 100 American defense contractors (see note 38) by licensing agreements and joint ventures. General Electric, for example, America's fourth largest manufacturer and its number two defense contractor, has licensing agreements with about 65 Japanese companies as well as a 10 per cent position in Tokyo Shibaura Electric, Japan's number three defense contractor. G.E., interestingly enough, is a frequent sponsor of academic gatherings and "scholarly" publications on Asia which support the Security Treaty system. 2. The major Japanese defense firms presently have a low ratio of defense output to total manufacturing output. But there are indications that this is now changing. Mitsubishi Heavy Indus tries, Japan's number one defense contractor and its largest manufactur- _ ing concern, for example, 10 per cent of its output to arms and almost 30 per cent to motor vehicles. This giant and other leading defense contractors are tending to move into defense production. As competition increases in consumer goods markets with the influx of foreign goods and the liberalization of investment tunities for foreign firms, many Japan ese industrialists are being tempted into the military hardware market where the state is the only buyer and foreign competition is less keen. After its recent tie-up with Chrysler Motors, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries separated out its automotive operations and announced-its intention to plunge more heavily into defense production. 39 The president of the number two defense contractor, Mitsubishi Electric Company, at the time of his appointment as chairman of the Japan Weapons Industry Association in May,1969, stated that he wanted to see Japan's defense expend":' itures raised to 4 per cent of GNP. The direction these leaders have taken is sure to be followed by the entire defense industry. One can see here how American business and government pressure on Japan for liberalization of investment terms is being met in Japan by increased investment in defense production. 3. In the process of nurturing the Japanese military-industrial complex, the u.S. government has frequently acted as broker for "private" American defense contractors. Thus in 1967 the American ambassador to Japan, U. Alexis Johnson, is alleged to have personally called on the Vice Minister of Foreign Affairs, Ushiba, to ask for the use of G.E. engines in building the TX !O.e., the F4E Phantom fighter) plane. But the mote common means of facilitating link-ups between the two military industrial complexes are governmental bilateral agreemen_ts and memoranda, such as the November 1962 Data Ex change Agreement and the June,1968 on Military Research and BCAS. All rights reserved. For non-commercial use only. www.bcasnet.org 39 Table 2: U.S. planes, helicopters, and en&ines,manufactured in Japan from 195.4 to 1966 Aircraft & Japanese companies Engine system u. S. comyanies Beech Fuji Heavy Industries Cessna Bell Kawasaki Aircraft Boeing /- 33A. V - 7 Lockheed I .s6 '-i------------.--_-.-_...J 1
Mitsubiahi Heavy Industry North America $"-". 3
SH - Sikorsky IShin Meiwa Heavy Industry' I-_____ ____ft Grumman J T- 5' I 3'-11 IIshikawajima-Harima I t General Electric Source: G.R. Ball and R.E. Johnson, Transfers of U.S. Aerospace Technology to Japan, the Rand Corporation(July, 1968) P-387S, p.13 Note: I have added dotted lines to indicate technical tie ups initiated after 1966. J BCAS. All rights reserved. For non-commercial use only. www.bcasnet.org 40 Development" concluded between the Japan Defense Agency and the Pentagon. The July, 1969 U.-S.-.Japan Aerospace Cooperation Agreement is another example of this kind. Valued by Business Week l3, 1969) as being worth at least $200 to $300 million to American defense contractors, it paves the way for American aerospace industry assistance in the Seventies in the development of Japanese Q and N series launch vehi cies--ICBM-type rockets which could be armed with nuclear tips rather than space research satellites. 4. Symptomatic of the growth of the Japanese mili-tary-industriai COlIl pli'!X is a growing ten-dency for public life to be corrupted by collusion bet;we'en private industry and the military. This is-due in 'large measure to the faet that defense contractors, like their u.s. counterparts, have to operate in a market: characterized by a long (five to eight years) product cycle. In such a situation. it becomes imperative for them to insure the effectiveness of their long-range planning for weapons systems designs. legal barriers against it, a familiar-symbiosis be tween "private" industry and the mili. tary re-emerged in the Sixties. The trend was dramatically illustrated during the Defense Secrets Scandal of 1967-1968 when it was learned that "265 Self-Defense Agency officials who bad retired between 1962 and 1967 joined industries doing .defense work." In the first two months of 1969 no less than 22 such officials left the Agency to find employment in the defense in dustry.4l 5. Significant direct interconnec tions between the military establish ment and the universities have not yet materialized in Japan. But indirect university cooperation with the mili tary through research projects com missioned by private industry is on the increase. On May 6 and 7, 1969, the results of a 1967 Board of Audit inves tigation into the research status of twelve leading universities revealed that they had fa1led to report to the Ministry of Education 279 research project, many of them related, having a total value of 103 million yen. Tokyo University headed the iist with 8l 2 i1lega11y commissioned research items. As early as Sept- . ember, 1959, however, there were indi cations that military-related research was being conducted in the universities. At that time the "Nine Faculties Student Self-Government Association" of Tokyo University presented a report to the university administration charging that cer.tain facul'ties were cooperati.ng with the Defense Agency's weapons develop ment research programs. With the candor that bas since come to ter.iEe !lIlost university administrations siImilLariy under fire from students, the char.geswer:e later categroriica!lly denied.43 An interesting sid'elight 'on Japanese univ.ersity involvement in miilitary research and developmeIlt"however in direct" is that its benefiits have not: lbeen limited only to the Defense Agency. In 195'9 the U. S. Army establlished an office in to identify when place under Japanese scientists whose work might ocntribute to U.S. military objectives. 44 By 1967, when this sort of Pentagon "peace fare" activity was first disclosed by Senator Fulbright, the Army Research Office in Tokyo was monitoring contracts and grants with nine Japanese universities and a number of private research institutes. The amount being funded for such research was small, however, totaling only $107,34B. Since that time, according to the Pentagon's John H. Foster,Jr., "the actual number [of contracts and grants] has decreased by approximately 20% " but the "funding level... has remained a t a fairly constant level." 45 6. As the Japanese military-indus trial complex enters the stage of self-sustaining growth during the 1970s, it is safe to predict that retention of the Security Treaty will not be nec BCAS. All rights reserved. For non-commercial use only. www.bcasnet.org 41 essary for either side. What is much more difficult to predict is wh ether a revived Japanese imperialism can remain integrated in the American imperial system. For the present, we should note that the strongest pressure for revision of the anti-war constitution, expanded defense production, 1 iberaliza tion of investment terms, overseas deployment of the Defense Forces, and strengthening of the Security Treaty comes from the leaders of heavy industry, finance, trade and commerce--the class of monopoly capitalists. For reasons of their own there are also a number of Japanese urealist,t intellectuals who espouse these same goals. To para phrase Hobson one might say that imper ialism and militarism, while irrational from the standpoint of the Japanese na tion as a whole, today seem increasingly rational for certain classes and- groups within Japan. The views of such groups present a way of examining the rationale behind the current defense fever. What do business groups perceive to the major benefits of defense spending and bow will the anticipated higher level of defense spending in the Seventies affect Japan's future relationship with the U.S.? Unlike American policy makers, Japanese business groups are ambivalent about future close collaboration with the United States. This ambivalence is reflected in a number of considerations which point to a drive for increased arms spending. The first major consi deration is the propensity of Keidanren and the other maJor business organiza tions to view economic success in terms of maintaining Japan's share of world markets. Building a bigger war economy is thought to be a sure way of keeping up-to-date, the only way Japan can be assured of retaining and expanding her overseas markets against competition from the U.S. and other advanced econo mies. Such an argument suggests future conflicts of interest be-tween Japan and the U.S. The second consideration accounting for the current arms boom is the belief of many Japanese monopolists that untold fortunes are to be made from exporting arms to Southeast Asia, South Korea, and Taiwan. This vision of the profita bility of merchandising death makes the Nixon administration's regional security schemes tantalizing to these monopolists. This line highlights the benefits to be gained from Japanese-American political collaboration. Although they do not articulate it in toe defense boom rationale, Japanese monopolists may also expect that the enormous profits they are enjoying from the Vietnam War and from new markets the War opened up- for them in the U.S. and Southeast Asia will decline in the Seventies, at the same time that compe tition at home and abroad from foreign multinational corporations begins to intensify. Expanding the domestic and overseas defense markets is their way of weathering the crisis while maintain ing high productivity and a rising GNP. 7. Many of these arguments may con verge on the issue of the nuclear non proliferation treaty which the Japanese government has not yet signed and which many leaders of defense industries oppose. It has been estimated that by 1975 Japan, long a candidate for the nuclear club, tlwill have generated enough plutonium in her power reactors to produce 600 to 700 atomic bombs of the 20 kiloton variety. ,,46 Yet if Japan did acquire nuclear weapons sibly to deter it result in an irrevocable reduction of security for every nation in Asia. China, already threatened by the U.-S. and Soviet nuclear arsenal, would be squeezed still further by Japan. while India, which fought China in 1962 and has no mutual defense treaty with a superpower, would-have all the more reason for acquiring nuclear weapons. 47 * The developments we have been consi dering have a number of implications BCAS. All rights reserved. For non-commercial use only. www.bcasnet.org 42 for the Japanese people which ought to be spelled out. Just as there can be no question as to American efforts over the years to sp ur on Japanese rearmament, so today there can be no question as to the result: the existence in Japan of a locked in demand for an armaments economy. This stems largely from the fact that the highly sophisticat-d technologv of modern space and weapons systems and the job skills associated with such pro duction are not readily transferable to civilian consumer production. The major steps to creating that demand were the Korean War weapons production boom, the 1951 military alliance with the U.S., the 1954 Mutual Defense Agree ment, and the decision of the Kishi government to build a modern aerospace industry under the co-production for mula (Le., joint arms production) in 1957. The existence in Japan of a military-industrial complex raises but leaves unanswered the question: will it go on expanding until it is used? Equally disquieting are the long term effects of these material develop ments on Japanese national conscious ness. Having embarked on a large-scale defense build-up, the Japanese state is increasingly forced to create a political climate--meaning a comolex of public images, attitudes, and values --supportive of its goals, while resist ing and deprecating, ,; the same time, efforts by the opposition to thwart those goa'ls. Because it feels the need to legitimate its actions in the military and foreign policy spheres, the Japanes& state has begun to move in the direction of reviving some of its pre-war ideological features: history education in the public schools has once again been tied to moral education; the mythical date f or the creation of the Japanese nation (Kigen setsu) was officialy reestablished in 1966; and a new university control law which virtually destroys univer sity autonomy was passed in August, 1969. In the offing is legislation place Yasukuni Shrine, the Shinto resting place of Japan's war dead, under state management, an action which is tantamount to restoring the connec tion between Shrine Shinto and the state. This is in direct contravention of Article 20 of the Japanese Consti tution which stipulates that "No reli gious organization shall receive any privilege from the State, nor exercise any political authority... The State and its organs shall refrain from reli gious eduction or any other religious activity .... During the past fifteen years Japan ese educational policy has moved steadily to the right. In 1956-57 the Ministry of Education inaugurated a nationwide teacher evaluation system, the effect of which has since been to inhibit freedom of expression for primary and secondary school teachers. In 1958 it made the use of its study-guide outline mandatory in public school teaching. The study-guide outline together with the "officially approved textbook" gives the state its two most effective devices for molding new generations of Japanese to be less critical of war--the Ministry of Educa tion even advises teachers not to paint too dark a picture of war--and more imbued with a gense of obligation to the state. 4 a With these developments in mind let us turn to examine briefly the support role for U.S. foreign policy that private American citizens and institutions have played in postwar Japan. Part III The Labor and Cultural Front Stimulating Japanese rearmament has not been the only goal of U.S.-Japan policy during the past two decades. Another part of that policy has been enlisting the support of American labor leaders to strengthen the hand of conservative Japanese unionists, with the aim of maintaining the internal status quo in Japan. BCAS. All rights reserved. For non-commercial use only. www.bcasnet.org 43 Viewed historically, the American labor movement acquired a vested interest in American capitalism long before it was given the opportunity to act over seas as a "support institution" for American foreign policy. Th e AFL, for example, quite early shied away from a social justice orientation to union ism in favor of a business union approach. By the 1920s it was espousing a philo sophy of labor-management cooperation. 49 The CIO, despite the fact that initially it grew out of a more radical"milieu, pursued the same path and was even faster in making its accommodation with manage ment. By the time World War II came along both major labor federations had been taken into the economy of the large corporations as junior partners. The American labor movement had among its ton generals during the pre war period men like George Meany, David Dubinsky, and Matthew Woll. Conservative on domestic matters. such labor representatives more often than not supported chauvinistic policies abroad as well. In the 1930's, for instance, Woll, an AFL vice president. "was prominent in pushing 'lab or pan Americanism'--the cultivation of labor leaders throughout the hemisphere who would applaud U.S. incursions, including the various dispatches of marines .. " "Dubinsky and Woll", according to Michael Myerson's recent study of the International Ladies Garment Workers Union, "formed a core of anti-communist militancy in the AFL (and later the AFL-CIO).,,50 During World War II tbeYt together with the embittered ex-communist, Jay had founded the American Labor Conference on International Af fairs (ALCIA) as a vehicle for their own reactionary brand of unionism. In the postwar period a rabid anti communism, closely linked with support of American overseas business interest, came to shape the activities of the international labor set. In 1952 Reader's Digest published an account of the exploits of Irving Brown. the AFL's chief European representative. which gave the American public its first knowledge of labor's role in the Cold War. It described how Brown split the trade union movement in France, West Germany, and Italy, organized goon squads to wrest control of the European waterfront from Communist dominated unions, and allegedly made it impossible for any trade union in Western Europe to "pull a major strike for political reasons and make it stick." In all, Irving Brown today has his finger in more than 100 individual projects which keep him working 16 to 18 hours a day, seven days a week. In the past seven years, he has traveled more than 500.000 miles in 26 countries. He gets back to the United States about twice a year to report to the AFL Executive Council and to confer with Jay Lovestone, executive secretary of the AFL Free Trade Union Committee. Lovestone . has overall supervision of Brown's work and the similar work being done by AFL representatives in Japan, Indonesia. and South America. 1 In the early cold war years American labor leaders were busy trying to destroy the newly unified (October, 1945) inter national labor movement represented by the I World Federation of Trade Unions (WFTU), and create in its place a new anti communist labor international;52 at I the same time. they were also carrying the cold war to Asia where occupied and isolated Japan was a key battlefield. In January, 1947. General MacArthur took two actions designed to weaken the Japanese labor movement. He issued f for political and ideological reasons a ban against a proposed general strike , of government employees for February 1, 1947, and he wrote a letter to Matthew Woll to get his organization's help in countering the leftist trend in the Japanese labor movement. On Woll's I BCAS. All rights reserved. For non-commercial use only. www.bcasnet.org 44 recommendation, James -Killen, "a top official of the International Brother hood of Pulp, Sulphite, and Paper Mill Workers", was sent to Japan and appointedchie of SCAP's (Supreme Commander Allied Powers) labor division. Under Killen's direction ''.democra tiza tion leagues" were set up as anti-com munist cells within Japanese unions ami an intensive effort was made to split the newly formed "National Liaison Council of Labor Unions" (Zenroren). On July 22, 1948 the govern ment, in response to an open from General MacArthur to Prime Mini.ster Ashida, issued an ordinance i'denying government workers not only the right to strike but also the right of col lective bargaining." This drastic and unexpected action led Killen and several of associates to resign their posts. . AFL cooperation with the Occupation book a different form.AFL agents working through SCAP put all of their efforts into getting Japanese unions to affiliate the AFL and CIA-inspired anti-communist international labor federation that was then taking shape in Western Europe. In late 1949 and early 1950, SCAP stepped up its anti communist witch hunt, purging all com munist leaders from the unions. An a11 out effort was made with strong AFL backing to organized labor under the control of the right-wing "so"cialists lt through a new national labor center called Sohyo. The program of SOhyo pro posed to eliminate Communist influence in the unions, to concentrate upon economic ques tions to the exclusion of poli tics, and to affiliate the J apan ese labor movement to the ICFTU. rival international to the WFTU. But failed to achieve .any of these reactionary objectives. Instead, in 1952 it rejected with the ICFTU and it prompt!l came under left leadership..... From the end of the Occupation until the 1960 mass struggle against renewal of the Security Treaty, the American effort on the labor front was conSistently law-keyed, and, with but one exceptian. rela.tively ineffec tive. In 1952 Richard Deverall was sent ta Japan by Jay Lovestone--the type that Isaac Deutscher once described as a "Stalinist in reverse"--ta do there what Irving Brown had dane in Europe. Although it is not certain, Deverall may have helped launch the second . "democratization" movement, known as Minroren, which first appeared that summer and culminated in 1954 in the farmation of tlleright-wing Trade Union .or Zenro. 5 The issue on which this split occurred was SOhyo's opposition to u.s. policy and its refusal to en bloc . with the ICFTU, which was then coming increasingly under AFL and CIO contSgl and supporting Japanese rearmament. Nevertheless, with the one key excep tion of Zenro, Japanese labar responded more to its own internal dynamics in this period thar, to outside American interference. Labor was not yet recog nized as a high priority front in the American quest for world hegemony. By the late Fifties, however, as the Soviet Union and .the United States approached a balance of nuclear pawer, American global policy began ta grope towa-rd "a different kind of attempt to contain Communism and revolutionary instability. .. In "his brilliant essay on "The CuI tura1 Cold War" Christopher Lasch explains that at this time official having taken over essential features of the rightist wor19 view, belatedly dissociated itself from the cruder and blatantly reactionary type of anti communism,and now pursued the same anti-communist policies in the name of anti-imperialism and progressive change. Once again, the Kennedy administration contributed deCisively ta the BCAS. All rights reserved. For non-commercial use only. www.bcasnet.org 45 change of style, placing more emphasis on "counterinsurgency" than on military alliances, ad vocating an "Alliance for Pro gress U , de-emphasizing military aid in favor of "development", refraining from attacks on neu tralism, and presenting itself as the champion of democratic revolu 5 ion in the undeveloped world. 7 The new liberal style in U.S.-Japan policy was forecast in a 1959 foreign policy study prepared by a private San Francisco research firm for the Senate Foreign Relations Committee. Known as the Conlon Report, the section deal ing with Japan was written by Robert A. Scalapino, a prominent liberal scholar in the field of Japanese studies, who was later to become even more pro minent for his defense of the Johnson administration's Vietnam policies and for authoring the 1967 Tuxedo-Freedom House Statement on American policy for Asia. The problem, Scalapino argued, was that In the mid-20th century, it is no longer sufficient to do business merely with the government in power. Success, perhaps survival, depends upon "doing business" with as many of the people within a society as can be reached. This is a multifaceted problem 0 f images, contacts, and approaches, and despite our endeavors, we are still far from successful in Japan. As a result, the American-Japanese alliance is still relatively shallow; it does not have the kind of intellectual, political, and cultural roots needed to sustain it in an era of perils. 58 The situation, dire as it was, could be improved, according to. Scalapino,. provided that the United States imple mented in Japan the. concept of "diplo macy in depth. " This would entail strengthening certain !mazes the United States. First, the Hnited States should be displayed correctly as a dynamic, changing society where the common man has had his great est 20th century victories. Seeond, it is entirely proper to emphasize America as a society of material prosperity, scien tific prowess, and military power. But it is important to highlight the creative work going on in American art, litera ture, music, and in the social sciences Means also need to be found to dramatize our intense desire for and human progress everywhere. The main thrust of Scalapino's argu ment, however, was that "diplomacy in depth" was "a task not merely for government, but for foundations, uni versities, business, and unions as well." Could a more ingenious formula for interference in another country's internal affairs ever have been con ceived? Scalapino's progressive-sounding recommendations obviously fitted in with the new Kennedy administration's evolving "peace strategy" for the Third WOrld. If universities, founda tions, and labor unions could be made to redouble their efforts overseas on behalf of freedom and anti-communism- in practice the two were regarded as synonymous--then surely it was in the national interest to encourage them to do so. The same message with less liberal rhetoric was sounded by the Assistant Secretary of Labor, George C. Lodge, when, in an article in Foreign Affairs (July, 1959) he declared We would be seriously deluding if we did not- recog nize that the Communists have increased their influence in the labor movements of Asia, Africa, and Latin America. The. day has long since gone when relations with other countries can be effectively carried on BCAS. All rights reserved. For non-commercial use only. www.bcasnet.org 46 solely in the traditional "diplomatic" way at the usual "diplomatic" 1evels. 60 Lodge \"as concerned with wha t he believed to be a new communist attempt --it is interesting how conveniently timed these new communist offenses always are--to subvert independent lahor movements, and the problem of America's poor image in foreign lands {for example, the erroneous notion -that the U.S. was a "capitalist na tion,,).61 Young Lodge seemed to be calling for a new anti-communist crusade through the government's newly expanded labor attache and labor exchange pro grams. In 1960 the Asia Foundation, an offspring of the right-wing Free Asia Committee and since 1954 a "non political" foundation with close ties to the CIA, promoted the first American labor exchange program in Japan. Two years later the P.S.-Japanese Conference on Cultural Educational Exchange was set up. The need of the U.S. Japan mili tary-corporate all iance for -uthekind of intellectual, political and cultural roots needed to sustain -it in an era pf perils" was beginning to be met: the Security Treat_y was evolving into a security system. In the early Sixties. American labor leade-rsattempted on three significant fronts to undermi.ne the, left ....wing 'Japanese unions. The AFL'""CIO_Interna tionar.:AffairsJ.)epartment launched a , fronfal snack 'on Sahya for its neutral':' ism'in-international- Through 'Harry Pollack, a_Lovl-!Slone":approved "labor-attache" who took up his post -in the American Embassy in April, 1961; new efforts were made to strengthen the right-wing In November, i964, Zenro and Sodomei merged- to form a new national labor federation,DomeiKaigL-It is quite likely that officials played . 8 role in abetting thts merger.Third, s general appeal was made t o Japanese laborunionsregudless of their. poli tical orientation to -abstain from' -_pOlitical str4gg1es.Thelabor _ex change program conceived by the Asia Foundation and funded by the State Department brought some 880 Japanese labor leaders to the U.S. between 1962 and 1965. Upon returning home they were organized into groups by the American embassy and consulates and allegedly encouraged by American officials and unionists to resist any proposals to struggle against the Security Treaty. Efforts were also made to utilize the right-wing leader ship of Domei Kaigi to help organize the labor movement in Southeast Asia, a tactic which one Japanese student of the labor movement likened to the American military stratgy of using Asians to fight Asians. If strengthening the right-wing Japanese labor unions was the reverse side of the American policy of ing Japan to rearm, mention must also be made of a more subtle American to influence Japanese intellectuals. Since American cultural imperialism in Japan has received little attention in the U.S., I can only cite a few examples. One example 'of the, American cultural effort. c en -tering on Japanese intellectuals, was an article by Ambassador, Reischauer in 1961issue of the Japanese-language magazine Jiyu dom), entitled "TheProbleni of the . Reise_hauer the attack on Japanese intellectuals by taking, them to task for their jmpracticality. latk of realism, and conunitment to the Marxist . tradi t ion in -sc holarship, thereby implying, no doubt ,that they take as models some of the:actlvist scholais then in the Kennedy administration. Reischauer's theory of modernization was offered asa more realist model of' social change than the Marxist model and was later given wide publicity by the American Embassy and the U.S.LA in Japanese universities. high schools . andi n the press. One further example of the political purposes informing much. though ce-rtainb BCAS. All rights reserved. For non-commercial use only. www.bcasnet.org 47 not all, of American cultural acti vities in Japan was provided in 1962, when the role of the Ford, Asia, and Rockefeller Foundations as "support institutions" for U.S. foreign policy was widely discussed in the pages of the historical journal Rekishi Hyoron. Suzuki Ryo and others in the August and September issues called attention to the Southeast Asia Research Center which Kyoto University had announced was going to be set up. The idea for such a Center had originated with J. S. Rverton, a Ford Foundation official in 1958, the year before he was ap pointed U.S. ambassador to Burma. Suzuki's analysis of the prospectus for the Center disclosed that its purposes were remarkably congruent with U.S. foreign policy needs at that time. The Center, which was to be funded chiefly by the Ford Foundation, was to limit its research activities to Malaya and Burma, two areas not adequately covered by U.S. counterpart research institutes. Burma, moreover, was a country where the Ford and Asia Foundations, after having invested large sums of money for educational and research purposes, had just two months earlier, on April 18, 1962, been declared persona non grata by Prime Minister Ne Win as part of his cam paign to drive out the CIA. These examples merely suggest the manner in which American imperialism works itself out in practice in a single country. Certainly more research needs to be done on this subject before the extent of reaction ary American influence on-postwar Japan can be gauged. Part IV Conclusion Most American commentators on U.S.-Japanese relations regard the military alliance with Japan as an wise, mutually beneficial, and necessary measure. They believe that the Japanese have prospered under it and have not had to rearm signi ficantly. Today, they argue, the Security Treaty is actually a bless. ing in disguise, for it functions as a restraint on Japanese rearmament and an incentive for Japan's conserva tive rulers to steer a moderate course, allowing them to avoid a reactionary policy that would silence domestic critics on the left. Few of the problems T have mentioned receive attention from American scholars on Japan. Most are pro-Security Treaty "realists" and have little serious fault to find with the American poltcy--past and present--of pressliring Japan to assume more "responsibilities" within the American imperial system. h'hen GeorgetmV'O Vniversity' s Center for Strategic Studies mobilized a group of Japan experts in 1968 to discuss U.S.-Japanese political relations, they recommended to government policy-makers that The seriousness of the threat posed by the recent revival of isolationist sentiment in the United States should be made clear to the Japanese ..The result might be a somewhat more coopera tive disposition on the part of the Japanese Government toward greater participation in the developmental and se curity in East and Southeast Asia. When Edwin O. Reischauer, the former ambassador to Japan, took up "the defense question" in his book Beyond The United States and Asia, he was abl;-to ignore entirely the long-term American effort to control the flow of trade in Asia and to open up Southeast Asia a market for Japanese 5 Reischauer's case Japanese neutralism and for continuation of the military alliance with the U.S. also ignores both the increasingly offensive nature of that alliance as well as the domestic con sequences fer Japan of an expanding , r BCAS. All rights reserved. For non-commercial use only. www.bcasnet.org 48 military-industrial complex. It concen trates instead on the "problem of stability in East Asia and the security of sea lanes, both of which are vital to Japan. ,,66 In effect, the liberal ap ologia for the Security Treaty corresponds to the Japanese conservatives' vision of Japan's future role in Asia, and resembles the role advanced for Japan by American right wing think-tanks. While Reischauer argues that "a much broader international approach to the problem of Asian security would seem feasible and if it were achieved it would give us much firmer international footing in the event that we were again forced to use military power to halt aggression," others speak more candidly about coaxing Japan into assuming the leadership of some future Asian-Pacific Defense and Development Community. On the eve of its renewal even the liberals' case for the Security Treaty turns out to be merely a genteel version of the "let Asians fight Asians" formula. Orthodox discussion of the Security Treaty system fails to appreciate that Japanese opposition is in many respects a justifiable resistance to the revival of Japanese imperialism. Yet until a new generation of Japanese--unencumbered by the experience of defeat--move into positions of power, it will be diffi cult to determine the direction that imperialism will take. FOOTNOTES In writing this essay I benefited from the helpful criticism of Noam Chomsky, John Dower, and James Peck. 1. Brigadier F.W. Speed, "Japan's Self-Defense Forces," The Ar my Quarterly and Defense Journal (April, 1969). 2. Wilfred G. Burchett, Again Korea (New York: International Publishers), 16. 3. Jane's Fighting Ships 1968-69, 164. 4. The Oriental Economist (June, 1969)-:---10. 5. Albert Axe1bank, "Maritime Self- Defense", in The Far Eastern Economic Review (February 27, 1969). 6. U.S. News and World Report {Octo ber 27, 1969). 7. The Christian Science Monitor (Sept. 13,1969). "The third defense build-up plan calls for 311 Nike Hercules and HAWKS manufactured in Japan." 8. Frank Kowalski, Jr., The Rearma ment of Japan (The SimulPress, Inc., Japan, 1969). 9. Speed, Q. cit., 30. 10. The Oriental Economist (May, 1969); Ne,y York Times, December 7,1969. 11. I.F. Stone's Weekly, (Oct. 6, 1969); Institute for Strategic Studies, The Military Balance 1968-1969 , 11; ~ e ' s Fighting Ships 1968-69. 12. Kaoru Murakami, "Dangerous Aspects of the Japan-South Korea Treaty Talks, " in Journal 0 f Social and Political Ideas in Japan, vol. IV, no. 1 (April, 1966), 58-59. 13. Asahi Shimbun, Feb. 28, 1965. Hatada Shigeo, "Nikkan Joyaku no Seiji teki Gunjiteki Shiten," in Nikkan Mon dai (Tokyo: Aoki Shoten, Dec., 1968), 118. 14. For more information on the Pen tagon's role in instigating the Mitsuya plans see Yoshihara KOichiro, Nanajunen Ampo to Nihon no Gunjiryoku (Tokyo: Nihon-hyoronsha, 1969), 183-185. 15. T. Matsueda and G.E. Moore, "Japan's Shifting Attitudes Toward the Military: Mitsuya Kenkyu and the Self Defense Force," in Asian Survey, no. 9 (Sept., 1967), 614. 16. Tetsuo Izu, "Facts About the BCAS. All rights reserved. For non-commercial use only. www.bcasnet.org 49 Japanese Type of Industrial-Military Complex, " in Japan Socialist Review, no. 170 (Jan. 1, 1969), 33. It can be pointed out that for a peace-time defense budget. the rate of growth of Japan's mili tary spending is far higher than that of other developed countries. The spending involved by the current Third Defense Plan (FY 1967 through FY 1971) is double that of the Second Plan. while it is certaia that the amount for the Fourth Plan will be more than double that of the Third. Japans indus try is at the threshold Gf an era of srowtb, and it is widely expected that there will be soaring progress under the Fourth and Fifth Defense Plans. The Oriental Economist. vol. 37, no. 704 (June, 1969), 10. 17. G.C. Allen, A Short Economic History of Modern Japa'ii"J:867-l937, With Supplementary Chapter on Economic Recovery and Expansion 1945-1960 (New York: Frederick A. PTaeaer. 1966). 173, 214. VALUE OF FOREIGN TRADE, AMERICAN AID AND SPECIAL PROCUREMENT t 1945-1960 (in million U.S. dollars) Exports ImJXlrts Aid Procurement (C.o.b.). (d.!.) Sept. J945--J)cc. 19t,6 103 306 J93 1947 174 404 1948 258 6S4 461 19':9 SJO 90S S3S 1950 820 974 361 149 1951 1.355 IS95 164 591 1952 1.273 2.o.:!S 824 J953 1.275 2,410 809 1954 1.629 2.399 596 1955 2,011 2.471 557 ]956 2,501 3,230 595 1957 2,858 4,284 549 1958 3,033 482 ]959 3,456 3,599 458 1960 4,055 549 Source: Ministry of Finance and Economic Planning Agency. Procurement includes Allied military expenditure dollars and yen purchases for Joint Defence Account. expenditure of Allied soldiers and civilian officials in Japan, and payme nts in respect of certain off-shore procurement contracts. G.C. Allen, 2!?. cit., 214. 18. Peter Wiley, "Vietnam and the Pacific Rim Strat;egy," in Leviathan (June, 1969), 7. 19. D. "Anatomy of the Japanese Miracle," in New Times, no. 36 (Sept. 11, 1968), 20-.- -:- The Japan Quarterly gives estimates of direct and indirect Vietnam special procurements as $450 million and $1000 million respectively for 1966-67. It cited two factors to account for "the increase in normal exports--i.e. indirect procurement--due to the Vietnam war." The first factor here is that the upswing in the American economy, which began at the time President Kennedy assumed office, was accelerated by the Vietnam War. By now, the economy has become overheated, so that America's supply margin has decreased both at home and abroad. with the resu-1t that Japanese exports have increased to fill the gap. Secondly, the U. S. Government . makes a point of ordering special procurement goods :ro.m countries such as Smith Korea. the Philippines, and Taiwan which. are cooperating in the Vietnam War, and these countries are passing OD to Japan orders for the raw materials and semi finished products necessary to produce these goods. It is generally agreed that indirect procurement, represented by these BCAS. All rights reserved. For non-commercial use only. www.bcasnet.org 50 two sources ... is far greater than direct procurement. The article goe.s on to cite the govern ment's differing evaluation of the role of Vietnam special procurements. "Vietnam Special Procurement and the Economy," in Japan Quar terly, vol. XIV, no. 1 (Jan. - March, 1967), 14. 20. Takahashi Ryozo, "SOei Seisan Keikaku no Zembo," in Chuo Koron (April, 1953), 78, as quoted in Chitoshi Yanaga, llusiness Japanese Politics (l\e\v Haven: Yale University Press, 1968), 255. Al though the original source was un available t'o me, Professor Yanaga has indicated in a private conversation that the figure of 72 per cent seems entirely reasonable in the light of other evidence on this period. 21. Yoshihara Koichiro, .. 22. Yanaga, 257. 23. Yoshihara Koichir(;, .. , 320-321. 24. Un this point see Gabriel Kolko, The Roots i American Policy- An of .and Purpose (Boston: lleacon Press, 1969), 96-103. 25. We should not lose sight of the irony of this development: at the same time that America was making plans to expand its hegemony in Southeast Asia, it was forced to restrict it in the interest of creating room there for a revival of Japanese capitalism. This contradiction was implicit in the very conception of rebuilding Japan as a bastion against her ConmlUnist neighbors. Hampering the industrialization of China and North Korea by denying them a market place connection with an already indus trialized Japan, and creating a market for the output 'of Japanese in dustries in an anti-Communist Southeast Asia were simply two sides of a single strategy. The tenacity of some U.S. government officials in pursuing the war against the Vietnamese people is directly related to this strategic conception of Asia as a market outlet f or Japan. 26. cit., 262-264. 27. Gunnar Adler-Karlsson, Western Economic \.Jarfare 1947-1967, ACase Study in Foreign Economic Policy (Stockholm: Almqvist and Wik sell, 1968), 5, 23, 25, 202. 28. Gunnar Adler-Karlsson, ibid. 29. Nainichi Shimbunsha hen, Ampo !.9.. Keizai-Nihon n'o Heiwa !E. Anzen (Tokyo: !-Iainichi Shimbunsha, 1969), 70 .. By 1965 Sino-Japanese trade still accounted for only 2.8 per cent of Japan's total world trade. A. Halpern, "China and Japan," in Tang 1'sou, ed., China in Crisis- China's PoliciesinAsia and America's Alternative (Chicago: University of . Chicago Press, 1968), 443. 30. Adler Karlsson, 51, 28. Adler-Karlsson adds, "It is also a fact that the Japanese trade with China and its conformance 'vith the U.S. embargo policy is still, in 1967, regularly discussed in a special U.S.-Japanese Joint EconomicCornmittee." 31. On the question of the effec tiveness of the embargo, see Frederick L. Pryor, The Communis t Fo reign Trade Press, 1963). 32. !-Iainichi Shimbunsha hen, ... cit., 106. 33. Yanaga, . cit., 226. The Eisenhower-Dulles years also marked a high tide in American opposition to "neutralism." On June 9, 1956, Dulles denounced neutralism, saying that it "pretends that a nation can best gain safety for itself by being indifferent to the fate of others. This has become an obsolete conception, and, except un under very exceptional circumstances, BCAS. All rights reserved. For non-commercial use only. www.bcasnet.org 51 it is an immoral and short-sighted conception." Quoted in Raymond F. Betts, Europe Overseas: Phases of Imperialism (New York: Basic Books, 1968), 176. 34. Robert A. Scalapino, "The U.S. and Japan," in The United States and the Far East (The American Assembly, Graduate School of Business, Columbia University, 1956), 64. 35. cit., 133. The Socialists obtained 32.9 per cent of the popular vote in 1958; 36.4 per cent in 1960. 36. Scalapino, . cit., 70. 37. John G. Roberts, "To Arms, Dear Friends," in The Far Eastern Economic Review, 27 August 2, 1969), 287. 38. Fiscal 1969 American Companies Defense Dept. with ties to Japanese Ranking by defense industry size of con tracts 1 Lockheed 2 G.E. 3 General Dynamics 4 McDonnell Douglas 9 Boeing 11 Ratheon 12 Sperry Rand 14 Hughes Aircraf t 15 Westinghouse Electric International 17 Grumman Aircraft 18 Honeywell 19 Ford Motor Co. 21 Litton Industries 23 R.C.A. 24 Standard Oil (N.J.) 27 I.B.M. 31 E.I. DuPont de Nemours 44 Collins Radio 45 Kaiser Industries Bell !l:orth Amt!rican Av iat ion Sikorsky Phillips Petroleum Union Carbide Dow Chern i ca 1 Monsanto Hercules Powder Co. This list is incomplete 39. cit., 287. According to Roberts, "the business mag nates who have been pressing for easier entry of foreign investment into the motor industry have now almost unani mously begun to call for of the defense programme." (288) 40. Tetsuo Izu, 9...2.. cit:. , 41. 41. 289; George Thayer, The \.,rar Business York: Simon and Schuster, 1969), 317-318. 42. :Iainichi Shimbunsha hen, Ampo to Boei Seisan-Nihon no Heit.la to Anzen (Tokyo: Shimbunsha,1969)-,- 104-105. 43. Asahi Shimbun, Sept. 22, 1959. 44. Clarence H. Danhoff, Government Contracting and Technological Change (Brookings Institution, Washington, D.C., 1968), 369. 45. From a copy of a letter from John S. Foster, Jr. to Senator J.W. Fulbright, dated August 20, 1969. 46. cit., 280. 47. Mason Wi1lrich, Non-Prolifera tion Treaty: Framework for Nuclear Arms Control (Charlottesville, Va.: The Michie Company, 1969), 43, 181. 48. Co-production on a large scale was first adopted in 1957 as a means of circumventing the anti-militarist feelings of the Japanese people. The first defense plan had called for BCAS. All rights reserved. For non-commercial use only. www.bcasnet.org 52 equipping the new air force with Fl04J fighters. As a Rand Corporation study of the Japanese aerospace industry stated it, The Japanese Government [and the U.S. Government] desired an increase in the capabilities of Japanese self-defense forces. This was--and is--an extremely touchy political issue in Japan. Co-production.. was part of a package that made the Government's defense policies politically acceptable to the Japanese. The fact that the Japanese regard the Fl04Js produced in Japan as Japanese- not U.S.--airplanes explains many of the political benefits of co-production. G.R. Hall and R.E. Johnson, Tranasfers of U.S. Aerospace Technology to Japan (July, 1968), 77, P-3875. The underlining is mine. 48a. "Kyokasho Kentei Sosho (Tokyo Chisai Minji Nibu) Genkokugawa. Saiga Junbi Shomen (Yo shi)" [Summary of the Concluding statement of the Textbook Trial -- Defense Counsel for the Plain tiff], in Rekishigaku Kenkyu, no. 354 (Noy., 1969), 58-59. 49. William Appleman Williams, The Countours of American History (Chicago: Quadrangle Paperback, 1966), 431. 50. Michael Meyerson, "The ILGWU: Fighting for Lower Wages," in Ramparts, vol. 8, no. 4 (Oct., 1969),55. In 1967, the first CIA operative to offer direct testimony of CIA ties to front groups, Thomas W. Braden, revealed that "He gave Irving Brown of the American Federation of Labor $15,000 to bribe do.ckers in France to unload American supplies (i.e. arms). He says he shelled out $2 million annually to the AFL's Jay Lovestone, who used it to split the French and Italian labor movements. On one he gave Victor Reuther of the United Auto Workers $50,'000 in $50 bills to buy off West German labor." Quoted from Andrew Kopkind in I.F. Stone's Weekly, May 15, 1967. 51. Donald Robinson, "Mr. Brown vs. Generalissimo Stalin," in Readers Digest (Sept., 1952), 116. 52. William Z. Foster, An Outline History of the World Trade Union Move ment (NewYork: International Publishers, 1956), 456. For an account of the split from a non-Connnunist point of vi'ew, but in my opinion equally as unflattering to the AFL leaders see Lewis L. Lorwin, The International Labor Movement - Mstory, Policies,();rtlook (New York: Harper and Brothers, 1953), 214-237. 53. JeromeB. Cohen, Jppan's Economy in War and Reconstruction (Minneapolis: University of Minnesota Press, 1949), 439; Aoyama Ichiro, "Amerika Teikoku shugi no kyoryokusha -- AFL-CIO kanbu" (Cooperators with American imperialism the AFL-CIO leaders), in Zenei (Van guard), (May, 1963), is the organ of the Japan Communist Party. I am indebted to Mr. Aoyama's well documented article for awakening me to the problem of American labor unions in Japan. See also Miriam S. Farley, Aspects of Japan's Labor Problems (New York: The John Day Co., 1950),191-192. The SCAP ban against the government em strike of Feb. 1, 1947, was not prompted primarily by the need to counteract any econmmic loss to Japan from strikes.SCAP's own figures show that except for the month of October, 1946, the number of man-days lost through strikes from January, 19.46, to June, 1948, was never more than one per cent of total man-days available. 54. William Z. Foster, cit., 487. 55. See Robert A. Scalapino, "Japan," in Walter Galenson, ed., Labor and Econo-. mic Development (John Wiley&Sons ,-- BCAS. All rights reserved. For non-commercial use only. www.bcasnet.org 53 1959), 132. Scalapino's account of postwar Japanese labor fails to mention Deverall's role. But George C. Lodge, in his Spearheads of Democracy -- Labor in the Developing Countries (Har per & Row for the Council of Foreign Rela tions, 1962), does credit Deverall for doing good work for "freedom" in Indo nesia and Japan. 56. Certain union federations within are affiliated with the ICFTU, al though officially Sohyo adheres to a neutralist stance vis-a-vis both the WFTU and the ICFTU. 57. Christopher Lasch, "The Cultural Cold War," in The Nation (Sept. 11, 1967)" 203. 58. The Conlon Associates Report (V.S. Government Printing Office, Nov., 1959), 96. 59. Ibid. 60. George C. Lodge, "Labor's Role in Newly Developing Countries," in Foreign Affairs (July, 1959). 61. Ibid., 668. 62. See Chitoshi Yanaga, cit.,272. 63. Aoyama Ichiro., cit. 64. The Center for Strategic Studies, United States-Japanese Political Rela tions: The Critical Issues Affecting AS'ia's Future, Georgetown University, f Washington, D.C., Special Report Series: no. 7 (May, 1968), 1). The participants in this diseussion were Robert E. Ward, director of the Center for Japanese Studies at the University of Michigan; Lt. General Paul W. Caraway, former High Commissioner for the Ryukyu Islands from 1961-1965; Warren S. Hunsberger, Professor of Economics at the American University; Raymond A. Kathe, Vice President of the First National City Bank of New York; Frank N. Trager; Richard L. Walker, author of The China Danger (1966); and Takehiko Y oshihashi. 65. Edwin O. Reischauer, Beyond Vietnam: The United States and Asia (New York: Vintage Books, 1967}, 130. In Japan's pro-Western economic orientation Rei schauer writes, The United States provides close to 30 per cent of its total.. export market as well as imports Canada, Australia, and New Zealand account for about 12 per cent of Jpaan' s imports and together with Western Europe take about 18 per cent of her exports. By contrast, trade with all the Communist coun tries amounts to only about 6 or 7 per cent of Japan's total trade. Communist nations by nature are not great traders- not the sort of trading partners Japan needs because of its own meager geographic base. 66. Ibid., 132. BCAS. All rights reserved. For non-commercial use only. www.bcasnet.org 54 Melby: The Mandate of Heaven ()R I'/UJ SCIII:/J Until recently young scholars have been content to study China in a vacuum while ignoring the background and the climate in which the whole study of mo dern China grew up in this country. China was just another dusty attic avai lable for scholarly rummaging. There was data for all. Few stopped to exa mine the people who were doing the rum maging, by whom they'were being educa ted, and the ends to which their work was put. Even fewer cared to remind their classes, or themselves, that the work being done and the ideas being set forth were largely the products of men who had either survived or missed a purge. With rare exceptions several kinds of "China specialists" survived; the cold warriors who believed in the international communist conspiracy, and those who retreated into a kind of academic senility or liberal limbo land where value-free truth was found equi distant between any two current extremes. The purge was, of course, carried out during the early fifties in the State Department, where almost every man who had been intimately connected with China and China policy was blackballed or shunted away from Far Eastern affairs. China had been "lost" to the Communists, and the red-baiters in Washington were out to get anyone and everyone who had shown any understanding of the Chinese Communist movement or any dislike of the Nationalist regime. In a few short years men such as John Davies, John Ser vice, John Carter Vincent, and John Mel by were faced with vague charges of dis loyalty and treason and were profes sionally ruined. _Reactionary Republi can Senators such ,as William Knowland and Styles Bridges, and Congressman Walter Judd made unfounded allegations to the State Department about these men. They were able effectively to by-pass all due process simply by making charges which many victims either did not want to or could not afford to fight. Many bachelors were accused of homosexual ac tivity and many married men were charged with conjugal disloyalty. Scott Mc Loed, a friend of McCarthy and a Dulles appointee to the position of State De partment Chief of Personnel and Securi ty, would call a man in at 4:3D in the afternoon, tell him the anonymous char ges which had been levelled against him, and suggest that he resign right then and there. Many gave up on the spot, recognizing full well that their reputations would be destroyed if they tried to fight the charges either through the State Department Loyalty Security Board or later in court. A few did try to fight the charges, but it took years, and even if they were finally cleared at the top, as was John Service by the Supreme Court in 1957, they re mained professionally ruined: par iahs in the government if they chose to remain. If they left, they invariably had dif ficult times finding respectable employ ment of any kind. John Melby was the principal editor of the China White Paper. He apparent ly wrote most of the introductions and chose many of the selections for it. He had gone to China, from Moscow, late in 1945, and left in 1949. He was the only Foreign Service officer to my know ledge who stayed in China throughout the whole Post-war/Civil' War period, after which time he eventually returned to Washington. His association with the White Paper opened him to attack from Walter Judd who went after most of those involved in its editing. Melby BCAS. All rights reserved. For non-commercial use only. www.bcasnet.org 55 was finally fired, after the original charges had been dropped and after nu merous hearings for not being "suffi ciently forthright" about personal matters. He was finally given a clear ance by the Civil Service Commission in the late Fifties. By that time it was too late to erase the damage done to him professionally, and no doubt personally. Of course, Melby was just o n ~ of many. Their ruination would have been an out rage if it had done no more than hurt their own immediate lives. Unfortunate ly it also deprived this country of the understanding and expertise of an un usually perceptive and well-trained group of men who, by and large, had been able to see the China problem through the opaqueness of ideology, the China Lobby, and red scares characteristic of the Cold War. Their destruction left both Government policy and the study of Asia to the timid scholars and good Germans in the State Department who had difficulty disentangling their fears from reality. A few brave scholars persevered. But there was a limit to what they could think, say, and write in the lean years that followed the Republican ascendancy in the early Fifties. With the publication of books such as John Melby's Mandate of Heaven, one gets the feeling that at last the ice is be ginning to break. There is a surprising laek of rancor in this book Which in cludes Melby's diary laced with recita tive sections. largely culled from the White Paper. The diary section was no doubt combed out somewhat, so as not to step on too many toes that are still alive. Throughout the book there is a sea soning of rather humorous and revealing quotes which give some insight into the human qualities of the men who peopled this period of Chinese history. For in stance, Melby reports in November, 1946, that Wang Ping-nan, then a press officer of the Communist delegation in Chungking and more recently Ambassador to Poland, told him, "It's all right for the U.S. to arm the Kuomintang because as fast as they get it we take it away from them." (p. 36) If this was not abso lutely true in the winter of 1946, it certainly was a prophetic remark. Through Melby's eyes one also gets a relatively complete picture of Gen eral George Marshall. At one point Melby describes him as a man who sees the "situation in terms of things and personalities, rather than as ideas and conceptions." (p. 85) Earlier he writes, "I get the impression of a man who is a really great soldier and a great man in the sense of being truly humble and unimpressed with himself, bot whose outlook and experience have the limita tions of a professional soldier. He . learns fast, but has little sense of history as a starting paint. His con versation never goes beyond the scope of his experlenee; he s ~ s a movie every night he is home, and reads cheap fiction endlessly." (p .6-9) One is reminded of Ike, and yet forced to conclude that in Harshall there was a great deal more. In 1947 Helby writes, Sometimes Marshall reacts as though he were s-lowly coming to the reluctant and rather sickening conclusion that there is only one answer left and that is to pull the props and turn the country over to civil war. As he put it once, '1 don't see any other way of arousing the conscious ness of political realities, of eliminating the reactionary groups, of convincing these fine talking liberals around here that they will get just what is coming to them unless they are prepared to BCAS. All rights reserved. For non-commercial use only. www.bcasnet.org 56 take to the barricades in defense of what they say they believe. There is a risk of what the Communists might do, but right now it does not seem that they could or would do much militarily, and in any event as things are going now the KMT will lose in the end. So perhaps it's not a risk after all. (p.90) Here Marshall almost sounds like "the revolutionary that he was not. In any event, it seems clear that he had at least one foot on the ground. It is hard to envision Henry Cabot Lodge or Ellsworth Bunker making a statement to day about Vietnam which would be nearly as close to reality. The Mandate of Heaven is more than a potpourri of anecdotes and quotes, as one gets seyeral definite, more general impressions from it. One is struck by the apparent absence of concern among Embassy officials over the possibility of Russian involvement with the Chinese Communists. This issue, of course, later turned out to be the biggest red herring ~ f all. Melby was appa rently sent especially from Moscow to check out the degree to which Moscow was invested in China. As he says in the preface, "My job was to keep track of what the Russians were up to in China But it was professionally rather nominal since it developed that they were really not up to much of anything beyond the usual diplo matic routine and formalities." Ftom here on all one reads about is a few vodka parties and dull receptions at the Soviet Embassy. Sometimes he makes such off-handed cominents as, "And Yenan is quietly bitter at the absence of real Russian support, although I personally cannot conceive that Mos cow would no"t do something if they were in real danger of annihilation- which at the moment they are not. II (p.67) This was writ ten in January. 1946. In March, 1947. he wri"tes from Nanking, "Such a towering amount of ver biage is bandied about on the subject of Russian objectives and activities in China that it is curious no one ever thinks of Nanking-Moscow relations which as far as anyone can judge, are correct, even easy, with a minimum of problems under discussion seriously." (p. 194) What emerges from Melby's book, as it does from the White Paper, is the sense that the major Soviet activity in China was limited to the looting of Man churia, which of course deprived the Communists of more than it did the Na tionalists. One wonders if this point really needs to be hammered home much further, but one is reminded of Stalin's famous remark to Kardelj in 1948! After tbe .war we invited the Chinese comrades to come to Moscow and we discussed the situation in China. We told them bluntly that we considered the development of the uprising in China had no prospects, that the Chinese comrades should seek a modus vivendi with Cniang Kai-shek, that they should join the Chiang Kai-shek government and dissolve their army. The Chinese comrades agreed here in Moscow with the views of the Soviet comrades, but went back to China and acted quite 'otherwise. They mustered their forces, organized their armies, and now, as we see, they are beating Chiang Kai shek1s army. Now, in the case of China, we admit we were wrong. Another point Melby makes is that the Communists were relatively willing to negotiate some coalition government immediately after the war. No doubt this was a reflection of their own sense of weakness (Chiang had 32 American trained and equipped divisions) and recognition that they could not depend' on Stalin. Hadntt Stalin called Mao a "radish communist" (red on the outside BCAS. All rights reserved. For non-commercial use only. www.bcasnet.org 57 and white on the inside)? The whole Marshall Missisn comes through as a painfully frustrating task of trying to make Chiang see reality. Chiang, of course, insisted that before the Communists could participate in the Government, they had to disband their army. But he was not willing to give Chou En-lai, the chief Communist negotiator, sufficient guarantees of their legal politi-cal status in the Soviet areas. Behind Chiang's intran sigence lay the powerful Ch'en Bro thers' clique which was doing every thing to prevent successful negotia tions and to get back to "bandit ex termination." And- behind the whole Nationalist cause lay the u.S. which was committed to the Nationalists as an old World War II ally and to air-lifting Nationalist troops into Manchuria. Mar shall made the unfortunate error'of lending his private plane to oversee the operation. It was acts such as these which made the Communists think they saw the gloved hand beneath the veneer of America's self-proclaimed neu trality. By spring of 1946, after succeeded in arranging a temporary cease-fire, the Communists began to change their tune. Not only had they begun to doubt that Marshall could or would control Chiang (Chou was rebuffed when he suggested that Marshall force Chiang's hand by stopping logistical support in moving Nationalist troops), but they had been growing both stronger and more successful, while Chiang was becoming weaker and more over-extended. It was at this point that the Communists stiffened their terms for settlement. As Melby says, "The KMT could have had peace in Manchuria (in 1946) and threw away the opportunity." (p.llO) From here on peace was impossible. With or without Russian support, the Red ADmY no longer felt the need to compro mise. Chiang had missed his chance to save anything, and now was destined to lose it all. In the following years the Communist attack against the U.S. increased in vehemence, which was not so much a re flection of our actual involvement, but of the Communists' perception of it. And, after all, we did have a naval base at Tsingtao, we had turned over all the surplus war supplies in the Philippines to Chiang, and Chiang's troops were shooting at the Red Army with American guns even if we claimed to be neutral and even if Marshall had clamped a tem porary arms embargo on the Nationalist Government. Finally one is forced to conclude that the U.S. was infinitely more "involved" in the Chinese Civil War than the Russians, whom Chiang had to ask to overstay their designated period of occupation in Manchuria un til he could get his troops up there in planes. When we contemplate the genocidal consequences of our even deeper in volvement in Vietnam, we can only be glad that demobilization prevented anyone from seriously considering sending in American The Chinese Civil War was essentially an internal conflict generated by powerful social forces within China. And as in Vietnam it seems clear that foreign involvement of any kind can do little more than in terrupt the process of social and poli tical change. This seems to be the lesson of the Civil War: not that we in tervened or extended a helping hand in a clumsy way, but that we intervened at all in a process which had a logic of its own. Melby's book is really a chronicle of the marginality of our efforts in China. At the end of World War II, the Communists seemed to believe that some good (from their point of view) might come out of our good offices. Relations between Marshall and Chou were very cor dial, according to Melby. Yenan's attacks on the U.S. were muted. By the end of the Civil War, with the China Aid Act on the record, relations were at an impasse. We were stuck with a pathetic 19th-century warlord on Taiwan and the hostility of many Chinese on the mainland. BCAS. All rights reserved. For non-commercial use only. www.bcasnet.org 58 and suffered the pain of red-baiting and reaction inside the U.S. Even Ameri cans at home recognized the depth of our involvement. Some thought it too much and some too little. But still we held ourselves responsible and punished our own for not exercising a control over others which was never really possible. In so doing we expunged from positions of future influence the few who under stood what was happening in China. This was the most crippling legacy of all. Indeed, the most striking feature of Melby's fascinating book is its straight forwardness. Like so many of the re ports in the White Paper and the U.S. Department of War Report on the Chinese Movement, The Mandate of Heaven was written before the fall. Melby makes no attempt to gloss over the corruption and hopelessness of Chiang's regime. Like the Stilwell Papers, the reports of Service and Davies from Yenan, and the reports of military observers like Riggs from Manchuria and Barrett from Yenan, Melby writes it straight. So critical is he at times that one forgets he actually worked for the U.S. Government, from whom we are more recently accustomed to getting nothing but polemics, specious self de fense, and lies. There is a refreshing quality to Melby's writing, even if at times he is somewhat flip, e.g., in speaking of the Governor of Jehol as "smooth and tough" he says, "It gives you an inkling of what these people will be when they get rid of their worms and have enough to eat." (p. 175) One senses that Foreign Service Offi cers writing in China during the For ties could never have even dreamed of a McCarthy era in which each word written or spoken had to be first measured against its reaction. They wrote about what they saw with an al most naive zeal and honesty. There were pressures, to be sure, but nothing like the threat of being branded a communist and destroyed. That all came in the late Forties and Fifties. And with it both the Government and the scholarly world seemed to lose the courage and the ability to speak about Asia and China with directness and hones ty. We lost a group of men who were ruined precisely because they possessed these virtues. The interim has been a bleak one. BCAS. All rights reserved. For non-commercial use only. www.bcasnet.org I 59 1 i Extremists Are Extremely Extrelne A YIEW OF CHINESE FOREIGN POLICY DURING THE CULTURAL REVOLUTION EDWARD FRIEDMAN China's foreign policy during the Cultural Revolution is usually treated as a non-event. Melvin Gurtov in his careful and extremely useful chronolo gical account of China's foreign policy at this time (RAND, RM-5934-PR) still deems it "an aberrant episode" (VII, 83). He describes it as the manifestation of a power struggle between extreme young zealots and implacable older powerholders. "Substantive policy views" are almost beside the point (76). Far Eastern Economic Review (1968 Year Book) also characterizes Cultural Revolution foreign policy as one of "excesses" and "'extreme' behavior," giving anti-foreignism as its content. Anti-foreignism is seen as a deeply felt belief that an attempt to borrow from foreigners has resulted in "manipulation and exploitation" by foreigners. Yung Ho, writing for the Union Research Institue's (URI) Commu nist China 1967, finds the essence of Mao's thought to be opposition to "any thing foreign," c'.Od China's attempt at "propagating Mao-Tse-tung's thought abroad" to be an aggressive policy "even worse than Hitler's rule," one which inevitably produced setbacks which further isolate China (326-327). The Far Eastern Economic Review (FEER) further suggests that those experienced in diplomacy were less given to anti foreign outbursts, but that because Peking's Red Guards were powerful, the Foreign Ministry professionals "could not risk Red Guards accusing them of 'softness' towards foreigners." However, this may miss the point. The older pro fessionals -- themselves victims of humi liation at the hands of foreigners -- may too have delighted in the revenge of the younger amateurs. The Foreign Ministry may not have wanted to prevent much of what the young people did: it is possible that the- young "carried out the policies of their extremist elders to the extreme." The important question is, what policies? For many Western analysts, form and power are far more crucial than content and policy. About what, then, were the extremists extreme? If we take seriously the Chinese de scriptions of their own actions rather than write them off as "jargon" (Gur tov, 3), we may gain insight into some of the powerful motivations and group forces instigating those actions. Why, for example, do the Chinese in sist on a "tit for tat struggle" when confronted by insults from forei8n states which they cannot return in kind? Perhaps, as do many present-day American blacks, the Chinese feel themselves to be a group which has finally stood up. They insist that black is beautiful or that (the) red (book) is beautiful. Sensitive to the degradations of the past, they now proudly insist on the right to self-defense. These experiences and emotions are not the monopoly of the young. Nonetheless, the young tend to view elders who have learned to survive in the alien world of the op pressors as Uncle Toms rather than Uncle Hos. Since the issue is no l o ~ g e r kowtowing to imposed injustices, one should not be surprised to discover reparations or blood debts for past crimes. China Quarterly's Chronicle and Documentation of China's foreign relations furnishes some data for such an explanation of so-called Chinese anti-foreignism. The theme that justice can be done for the Han people was established in BCAS. All rights reserved. For non-commercial use only. www.bcasnet.org 60 the solution of January, 1967. Chinese had been killed, and jailed in demonstrations there at the end of 1966. Afterwards the Portuguese regime on Macao wisely admitted its guilt, apologized to the families of the dead and and paid monetary com pensation for its error. To young Chinese demanding justice fbrtheir people, this may well have suggested a model for the foreign policy of the Cultural Revolution. Other public insults to Chinese abroad triggered strong reactions in China. In January, 1967, when Russian police re pulsed Chinese students at Lenin's mauso leum and Stalin's tomb, Jen-min accused the Russians of fascist atroci ties comparable. to those "committed by the Czar, by Hitler, and by the Ku Klux Klan." (.fq, 1130, 241). Events in Indo nesia at that time constituted the main example of what could happen to Chinese in foreign pogroms. Indonesian soldiers had illegally searched and questioned Chinese diplomats J and "even pushed and struck Chinese Commercial Attach: Li Ching-tang, behaving in a most uncivi lized way" (.fq, 1125, 120). Soon China had to protest undiplomatic attacks on its embassy, consuls, news offices, and residences, on overseas Chinese schools, shops, offices and homes. Even the right-wing URI writers note how Indo nesia consciously and intentionally in sulted and humiliated China. Scores of thousands of Chinese were assaulted, tortued, detained, expelled and murdered. Against "outrageous" acts of "looting, burning, raping and killing at will," (URI, 254), China retaliated. Her re sponse essentially was not against the counter-revolutionary coup in Indonesia but against the "racist persecution of Chinese nationals" (CQ, 1127, 222). "China should have cut her diplomatic ties" with Indonesia (URI, 307). If even anti-Communist Chinese exiles, outraged by Indonesian atrocities, demanded a stronger response than the Peking government's, one can suspect the depth of feeling of the youngpatriots in China. The insecure position of Chinese .people in Southeast Asia is well- known. Sun Yat-sen expressed the fears of many Chinese half a century ago when he spoke of the racial ex tinction threatening the Chinese and made analogies between the Han and the Jewish peoples. In 1960, 95,000 Chinese had evacuated from Indo nesia. By 1967 not only was the per secution of Chinese in Southeast Asia just as real as it had been in Sun Yat-sen's time, but in addition, the two nuclear super-powers had joined hands. surrounded China with nuclear missiles and pledged to prevent her from becoming a nuclear power and from intervening in the affairs of neigh boring nations. China was helpless in aiding its in Asian countries. Nuclear holocaust was around the corner. Mass racial slaughter was a reality in Indonesia. Chinese fears may seem ridiculous to non-Chinese brought up to think in terms of Chinese hordes and the yellow peril. How can the most populous nation expe rience anxiety over racial extinction? The situation is similar to the experience of blacks in America. Whites see blacks spreading everywhere, and find a need to stop welfare payments or to push birth control in order to end the racial menace. But blacks with a historical consciousness formed of lynchings, rape, and humiliat.ions fear that the white man is out to castrate black men and kill off the race. Black self-defense, con versely, is apprehended by whites as aggression, terror, and anarchy. The need here is not to catalogue the alleged anti-foreign acts of the Chinese in 1967, but to note that they were almost always in response to direct insults to the Chinese people and their proud living heritage, Mao, the man who led them to stand up. The foreign policy of the Cultural Revolution was more an expression of authentic nationalism than it was calculated manipulation. America escaped the attacks to which Britain was BCAS. All rights reserved. For non-commercial use only. www.bcasnet.org I 61 exposed because America lacked a colony adjacent to China full of Chinese to humiliate. Cambodia was spared attack because revolution and not the f ate of Chinese nationals was at issue. Burma, where police let Burmese beat up Chinese and where a Chinese representative was killed, could not so easily avoid the pent-up wrath and deep-felt indignation of the Chinese. In view of the causes an d consequences of the demand for self-defense and jus tice, it was natural that much of the Cultural Revolution attack on the Chinese Foreign Ministry centered on its Overseas Chinese Affairs Commission (Gurtov, 24), and on the people responsible for those affairs, such as Liao Cheng - chih. It seems that such officials had decided earlier that it was best to keep 'over seas Chinese out of the open politics of their countries of residence, a nd out of Chinese foreign affairs. During the Korean War, for example, it was feared that overseas Chinese participation in the "resist America, aid Korea" drive would "prove detrimental to their 'long term existence'" (URI), 245). Despite this policy, in 1959 the Indonesian army moved against local Chinese. En raged, Chinese leaders reportedly threa tened the Indonesian government. Per sistent remonstrance from Peking, how ever, would have made "the Chinese in Indonesia seem even more foreign and vulnerable than before, and would have undercut Peking-Djakarta ties. Conse quently Peking had to abandon "its more narrow, nationalistic interest in and attachment to the overseas Chinese" (D. Mozingo, Sino-Indonesia Rela tions, RAND, 1965, 22-29). But by 1967, when Chinese in Indonesia were being slaugh tered despite Peking's conciliatory policies, past compromises and accomo dations appeared as capitulation and appeasement. Liao Cheng-chih was criti cized for not having met the murderers with a mass self-defense struggle (URI, 247). Commission were charged with having tried "to extinguish the fiery fire of revolution among the turned overseas Chinese" (URI, 250). Action against the Foreign Ministry and the Commission was launched by previously submerged and uncoordinated groups which were able to surface and act together during the Cultural Revo lution. Wang Li, who allegedly helped to organize the attacks on the Foreign Ministry (Gurtov, 17, 65-66), had for a decade been identified with the notion that only by more actively working for the overthrow of bad regimes in South east Asia could the problems of the Chinese be solved. In mid-1967, China for t he first time committed herself to the cause of in Burma and Indonesia. Some Red Guards and other groups who assailed the so-called traitorous policies of the Overseas Chinese Affairs Commission have been identified as mem bers of returned overseas Chinese or ganizations (URI, 244; Gurtov, 21). Given a heroes' welcome, they could draw upon a public following. When the dtaffaires ad interim was forced out of Indonesia at the end of April, 1967, he returned to such a reception, and to the intoxicating atmosphere of the Cultural Revolution in which groups openly pressed their demands on the government. In these circumstances, the apparently was able to work with Wang Li and others in semi-open politics, to change Chinese foreign policy by changing the policy-makers. The beatings, burnings and humilia tions in Peking at this time cannot be regarded as an aberration. Americans have seen East Europeans and anti Communists bomb and raid embassies, beat up officials and much more. Such deeds are the virtually inevitable conse quence of the rapidly changing, national istic world in which we live. In China, at first, a cautious Foreign Ministry had avoided this kind of outburst by diverting popular energies into more productive channels. Later, in the open atmosphere of the Cultural Revolution, some repressed portions of the Chinese people implemented their beliefs. Even orders from Mao and Chou could not halt BCAS. All rights reserved. For non-commercial use only. www.bcasnet.org 62 these genuine, popular outbursts. What has been described as extremism in China, then, would be better depicted as a normal occurrence in our 20th cen tury world. Calling the extremists does not help to understand them. Instead, it diverts attention from the actual groups and causes in volved. Politicians in Southeast Asia are still calling upon racist, anti Chinese feelings to mobilize popular sentiment. The powers around China are still so strongly organized against her that extraordinary constraints are placed on what China's leaders can do to help Chinese abroad. While nuclear devasta tion threatens at home and pogroms 100m abroad, many Chinese will continue to protest the inability of their leaders to protect kith and k in. They will press their leaders for policy changes- but changes will be ineffective in the current international environment. For the truth is that the Chinese cannot yet quite stand up straight. Inj ustices are deeply felt, and se1f-defense and justice are called for. In the Cultural Revolu tion some groups of Chinese tried to force Peking to live up to those values and demands. They failed not because what they did was extreme, but because too much of the world is organized to keep the "uppity" Chinese in their place. 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BCAS. All rights reserved. For non-commercial use only. www.bcasnet.org 63 IILeaf Abscission"? NGO VlNll LONG [This is a slightly revised version of an article from the English language edition of BAo GA November, a monthly publication by a group of Vietnamese students in the United States. For more information about the write to BIlo 76a Pleasant Street, Cambridge, Mass. 02139] "Leaf abscission" is a term used by American military men to designate their chemical war in Viet Nam. The term, like its sister word "defoliation," is meant to suggest that the dumping of herbicides and other chemicals over a tiny piece of land that has also been the victim of the most intense bombing in world historyl has helped to thin out a few troublesome trees and shrubs while causing no significant damage to any thing else at all. On the contrary, the use of herbicides and other chem icals sprayed by the American military in Viet Nam has already caused untold misery to thousands of innocent civilians. From late 1959 till early 1963 the author of this article was involved in making detailed military maps (scale 1/ of the whole of South Viet Nam, and thus had occasion to be, at one time or another, in virtually every hamlet and village in the country. It was also in 1959 that the Diem regime began putting into effect its "pacification" program. As for the Vietnamese major ity living in the plains, by February, 1959, "relocation of families within communities had begun and, in contrast to land development and refugee acti vities, these relocations were often forced.,,2 The restructured villages, surrounded by moats and barbed wire, were euphemistically known as "agrovilles." (In Vietnamese they were called khu mat, a term coined from Chinese roots and which was presumably supposed to carry a graceful connotation, although it literally means something like "com pacted area" or "concentration zone.") People were taken from their plots of ground, where their their rice fields, their ancestral were located, and moved to totally unsuitable areas where they could be "protected.,,3 As for the ethnic minor ities living in the mountains (often referred to in Western writings as "montagnards"), the Diem regime forced them down into the lowlands and into concentration-camp-like compounds where they were to call themselves by the new name of Viet Nam "New Vietnamese") and like the Vietnamese majority--a "cultural revolution" of sorts! In both cases, the houses and fields of those who had been relocated were burnt, in order to deny their use to the Viet Congo (As early as 1956, Diem was already making extravagant use of the term ''Viet Cong," which literally means "VietnameseC01lDllunists," meaning anybody who opposed him.) By 1961, when the American defoliation program had begun against jungle growth along highways, railways, and in places considered to be Viet Cong areas, the Diem regime was not long in finding new uses for the chemicals: Seymour M. Hersh, in an article entitled "Our Chemical War" published in the New York Review of Books on April 25, 1968, quoted Newsweek in saying that by the end of 1961, American special warfare troops had begun teaching Viet namese fliers how to spray "Co1lDllunist held areas with a chemical that turns f ! BCAS. All rights reserved. For non-commercial use only. www.bcasnet.org 64 the rice-fields yellow, killing any crop being grown in rebel strong holds." What Newsweek failed to say is that the Diem regime in fact began put ting this training into practice before the end of the same year. The "rebel strongholds" referred to by Newsweek were more often than not, as the writer has witnessed personally, simply communities in sparsely populated areas isolated from effective government control. For this reason the Diem government felt it had to resort to killing their crops as a means of driving the population more quickly into the new and overly ambitious "strategic hamlets" (! chiln which had replaced the abortive "agro villes" early in the year. It was easier to order fliers to spray crops from the air than to send ground soldiers into the villages to force the people out by setting fire to their fields and houses. It had "been discovered that soldiers, on .coming face t-o face with the misery and tearful entreaties of the dispossessed, were very often inclined to resist orders. The combined effects of regrouping the population in totally unsuitable areas and of killing their crops brought hunger and starvation to thousands of people. 4 The misery inflicted upon thousands of people through the killing of their crops to force them into the "strategic hamlets" and the repression of Buddhists and students, among other factors, led to the downfall of the Diem regime. In an attempt to stabilize the situation, the U.S. government began sending its troops into South Viet Nam. But even before the collapse of the Diem govern ment, the U. S. military had already taken over the task of spraying crops in what they referred to as "Viet Cong territory. "5 In September, 1963, Rufus Philipps reported to the President of the United States, "giving [him] the es timates of USOM Rural Affairs that the Delta was falling under Viet Cong control in areas where pacification was suppo sedly The Delta is the whole land mas"s south and southwest of Saigon where most of the crops in the country were planted. "Viet Cong territory," as defined by the Americans, therefore comprised a very sizable part of the food-producing area of the country! Beginning in 1965, the American military initiated still another ver sion of "pacification" by sending the Marines to "secure villages" and to root out ''Viet Cong infrastructures. "7 After two years of continuous a New York Times report of August 7, 1967,cited official United States data on the loyalties of the hamlets, stating that the number of hamlets under total Saigon government control was a mere 168, while the number of those totally controlled by the Viet Cong was 3978. The rest of the hamlets were listed as . "contested." To win the contest, or as the new name for the gram put it: to be successful in t'The War to. Win the Hearts and Minds of the .People," the U.S. military was finding new ways to "pacify" the villages. nne way was to send out American troops With bulldozers and bombers to raze the villages to the ground, and subsequently to transport the inhabitants to the so called "camps for refugees fleeing from C01lDDunism ll in and around the larger towns and cities where they could be "protected." (See two excellent books on this subject by Jonathan Schell: The Village of Ben Sue, and The Military Half). Another way was the intensified chemicals, much in the same way Diem had used them before. In his arti cle cited above, Seymour M. Hersh writes: But by early 1967, Presidential advisers had a different reason for using herbicides, one that wasn't directly linked to cutting off Viet Cong food sup plies. The rationale was pre sented to a group of scientists who met in February with Donald Hornig, President Johnson's chief scientific adviser, to protest the use of anticrop che micals. According to one scientist who attended the ses sion, Hornig explained that the BCAS. All rights reserved. For non-commercial use only. www.bcasnet.org 6S anticropprogram was aimed chiefly at moving the peeple. The source quoted Hornig a s explaining that when the United States found a Viet Cong supporting area, it was faced with the alternatives of either bombing, bulldozing, and attacking it or dropping leaflets telling the people to move because the herbicides were coming. As Hornig expressed it, "it's all geared to moving people." Mr. Hersh further states that the Pentagon used 60 million dollars' worth of defoliants and herbicides, or 12 million gallons, in Viet Nam in 1967 which was enough to cover "nearly'half of the arable land in South Viet Nam." He also writes that, since Pentagon officials were arguing that the herbicides were more effective in killing crops than in stripping foliage, by the end of 1966 more than half of the C-123 missions were admittedly directed at crops, and it is probable that any effort at a trebling of capability in 1967 was aimed not at the jungles of South Viet Nam but at its arable crop land. In a study of American anticrop and defoliation methods, Y6ichi Fukushima" head of the Agronomy Section of the Japan Science Council, claims that American chemical attacks by 1967 had ruined more than million acres (or one-half) of the arable land in South Viet Nam, and were a direct cause of death for nearly 1000 peasants and more than 13,000 head of livestock. The impact of the US anticrop program upon those peasants who escaped being taken to the "camps for refugees fleeing from Communism" is not known. As for the "refugees,1t their situation was (and is) so bad that the editorial staffs of Saigon newspapers, in spite of the harsh government censorship, compelled to run long articles on the misery endured by these people. For in Viet Nam peo-ple say that "you can't cover an elephant's mouth with a basket. 1t Certain facts are so well known that they simply cannot be hidden from view. Thus, even (a Saigon daily newspaper which was specifically created to justify the "pacificatj.on" program [of which the defoliation program is a part] and whose editor and staff were members and leaders of Rural Development Cadre Teams sponsored by the joint cooperation_of the CIA andthe USOM) had this to say on December 10, 1967 , in a long article entitled "Looking at the Faces of the Two QuAng Provinces in War, Hunger, Misery, and Corruption": This is a free area--free for depravity, corruption, irrespon sibility,cowardice, obsequious ness, and loss of human dignity. What the devil is dignity when people sit there waiting to be thrown a few hundred piasters and allotted a few dozen kilos of rice a month? I believe that even if a certain Communist had in his pockets several dozen "open-arms program" passes, after seeing the kind of humiliated life in a refugee camp he would run away without daring to look back. But we seem to like this, and the Americans also like us to perform these kinds of activities so that they can have a lot of big statis tics to present to both their houses of Congress. The Americans like to count, count people's heads, count square and cubic meters, and count the money they throw out. They think that the more they can count, the better is the proof of their success, the proof of their humanitarianism, and the proof of their legitimacy in this war How high a figure has the number of refugees who have to suffer and BCAS. All rights reserved. For non-commercial use only. www.bcasnet.org 66 stay hungry reached? Many stastistics proudly present the number two million. --- [emphasis added] If the number two million only to the situation in 1967, then how many more people have been victimized since then? In an article entitled "Military Uses of Herbicides in Vietnam" pub lished in the British journal New Scientist on June 13, 1968, Arthur Galston, Professor of Biology at Yale University and President of the Botanical Society of America, wrote! The Air Force is preparing to spray about ten million gallons of herbicides over South Vietnam in the year beginning July 1968 . It is estimated that this will be enough to treat almost four million acres, of which about one-third will be crop land. Professor Galston went on to say: With respect to the deli berate killing of crops in order to deprive the Viet Cong military of food, it can only be remarked that whenever star vation is used as a weapon against an entire civilian pop ulation, the main sufferers are inevitably the aged, the infirm, pregnant women, and children under five years old. The fighting man almost always gets enough food to sustain himself. Thus in using hunger as a weapon we are attacking the part of South Vietnamese society which is least involved in military operations and whom we would least wish to injure. In the June 29, 1966 issue of Christian two Harvard physi cians, Dr. Jean Mayer, Professor of Nutrition, and Dr. Victor W. Sidel, warned that the US anticrop program in Vietnam; like that of every food blockade or like some of the famines that they have witnessed, would create a process which begins with the from starvation of small children first, then older children, and then the elder ly. In the case of South Vietnam, as rightly noted in a report by the ]Os ton-based Physicians for Social Respon sibility, dated January 1967, malnutri tion, even before the anticrop program, was already.!. problem, and beri-beri, night blindness, anemia, decayed or poor teeth, endemic goiter and other' nutritional diseases were found to be widespread in the country. How high is the percentage of people affected by the above diseases now, after the US military has effectively destroyed perhaps half or more of the arable land in South Vietnam? Nobody knows the exact figure. Besides hunger and starvation and their accompanying effects, have the chemicals used by the American military in Vietnam caused any direct harm, immediate or eventual, either animal or human life? At least three basic types of chemicals have been in use: 1) Agent Orange, a 50-50 mixture of two defoliants, 2,4,5-T (trichloro phenoxyacetic acid) and 2,4-D (dichlo rophenoxyacetic acid); 2) Agent Blue, a neutralized cacodylic acid; and 3) Agent White, also known as Tordon 101, a weaker mixture of "unknown chemicals."B First of all, according to a report of the National Institute of Environ mental Health Science, September 1969, which contains data collected by the Bionetics Research Laboratory of Litton Industries (under contract for the National Cancer Institute) during the period 1965-1968 on the effects of pesticides, both 2,4,5-T and 2,4-D have been shown in tests on mice to produce significant increases in the incidence of malformation in fetuses and also in the incidence of cancer. The worst of the two is 2,4,5-T, which repeatedly produced test results of 100% in the proportion of abnormal litters. BCAS. All rights reserved. For non-commercial use only. www.bcasnet.org 67 In Vietnam there has for a long time been talk linking an apparent alarming rise in the incidence of birth deformi ties to the chemicals sprayed. by the Americans there. The Americans and the Saigon regime have repeatedly denied that the chemicals they use could cause any harm whatever to animal or human life. Last sutmner, several Saigon newspapers, in defiance of the strict censorship and the possibility of having their offices closed down, printed stories and pictures of horribly deformed babies born in villages that had been "defoliated." For example, Tin SAng, in its June 26, 1969 issue, printed an interview with an old woman who reported that her newly pregnant daughter was caught in a chemical strike, and fainted. with blood coming out of her mouth and nostrils, and- later from the vulva. She was taken to a hospital where she was later delivered of a deformed fetus. ~ . . . Dong Nai, another Saigon newspaper, printed on the same day a long article entitled "The Disease of Women Pro ducing Stillborn Fetuses," which they said was a new phenomenon which was causing the Itnoisiest discussion" in the country. Next to the article is a photograph of a dead deformed baby with a face like that of a duck and the sec tion around the stomach shrunken and twisted. The same newspaper, on the following day, reported a case of a woman giving birth, in Long An Hospital in Tan An District, to a deformed baby with two heads, three'arms and 20 fingers. Just above the article, the paper carries a picture of another de formed baby with a head that resembles that of a poodle or a sheep. Still another Saigon newspaper, Tia Sang, on June 26, 1969, printed a picture of a baby with three legs, a head squeezed in close to the legs, and two arms wrap ped around a big bag that replaced the lower section of the face. Under the picture there is a separate report of the deformed baby mentioned above with two heads, three arms, and 20 fingers. The Saigon government's counter argument was that the birth defects were caused by what it called "Okina\ra bacteria." But many Vietnamese and American scientists who have seen the kinds of birth deformities in Viet Nam either in person or in pictures disagree with this argument. They say that venereal diseases call only cause warps in the bones and skin boils on new-born infants, and nat such complete change in bodily structures. Even in an interview reported in the Saigon Army Ne,,",spaper, Tien T u y ~ n , Dr. Pham Tu Ch{nh, director of the Hung Vudng Government Obstetrics Clinic, asserted that the cases of birth deformities that were callsing ron cern in the country definitely could not have been caused by venereal diseases. 9 In the rural areas, where most such known cases of deformed fetuses have occurred, there is an extreme shortage of trained medical personnel or of pro fessional obstetric services, at least in those areas not held by the iI.'1F. Thus it is difficult to compile accurate sta tistics concerning this phenomenon. When the report of the National In stitute of Environmental Health Sciences and the news of birth deformities in Viet Nam came to the attention of some American scientists, they went to Wa shington to try to persuade the U.S. Government to curb the use of the harm ful chemicals. On October 31, 1969, the Washington Post, in an article en titled "New Curbs Won't Affect Defolia tion in Viet Nam," reported: New White House restricitons on the use of a powerful herbicide will not affect its military usefulness in Vietnam, the De fense Department said yesterday. The Pentagon statement said no change would be made in policy governing military use of the defoliant 2,4,5-T because the Defense Department feels its present policy conforms to the new presidential directive. Four days later, in an article entitled BCAS. All rights reserved. For non-commercial use only. www.bcasnet.org 68 "Spray Earth Policy" in the New York Post, November 4, 1969, Frank Mankie wicz and Tom Braden had this to say: Those who are concerned over a possible massacre -- even of women and children -- in South Vietnam when U.S. troops de part might consider the fact that we now spray throughout South Vietnam enormous amounts of an anticrop chemical which has been known for three years to cause deformed births in test animals -- at a rate of 100 per cent. At least four newspapers in South Vietnam printed stories -- and pictures -- last summer of de formed babies born in villages sprayed with the chemical (called 2,4,5T), and news papers were promptly down by the Thieu government for "interfering with the war effort. " Use of the chemical, described by our government as "probably dangerous," is now banned in "populated areas" and on or near food products in the Uni ted States, but the Pentagon announced last week that it would continue to use it in Vietnam, where Army Service Manuals set its appropriate use against food supplies. In addition, it is widely used in areas where the population captures its drinking water from rain, by the use of roof gutters and barrels, and where wells are sunk into soil satu rated with the chemical. Just how high an "offensive potential" this chemical war fare had was not really known until 1966 when, for the first time, the National Institute of Health commissioned tests on pregnant animals. The study showed that severe malformation of offspring occurred in rats at the rate of 39 per cent lO .. when they were given a small dose [of 2,4,5T]. \fuen this dose was increased to the level a Vietnamese woman might con sume in a few days in her drinking water, the percentage of of fetal malformation rose to 90 and beyond. Whether the rate of human mal formation frOm contact with this chemical is greater or less than with rats is, of course, unknown. It was this that prompted the finding that 2,4,5T ,,,as seriously hazardous and "pro bably dangerous" and caused its removal from the domestic market in the United States. The President's science advi ser, Dr. Lee du Bridge, perhaps adumbrating the Pentagon's refusal to cut down its use against Asians, said only that the rate of fetal malformation was "greater than expected."ll Not since the Romans salted the land after destroying Carthage has a nation taken pains to visit the war on future gene rations. As for Agent Blue, the Merck Index of Chemicals and Drugs says that it is an organic arsenical acid composed of S4.29 percent arsenic. Arthur W. Gal ston, the Yale biologist mentioned lier, in an article in the August-Septem ber, 1967, issue of Science and Citizen, WT9te that the lethal dose of the above compound in dogs is one gram per kilogram; body weight, when administered beneath the skin. He added that if the same toxicity held for man, then about 70 grams, or slightly over two ounces, would kill the average ISO-pound man. In the BCAS. All rights reserved. For non-commercial use only. www.bcasnet.org Noavelle Des ))escouvel"te, latUs par de! Vais Allfricaibs .Aux COtes ItlCOI1IlUes cle fAcie Swl Ed a:IeC let Pats Ac1jacell"ts A' 3t -i:t'
.:Je",z-L. L , , I .I / BCAS. All rights reserved. For non-commercial use only. www.bcasnet.org 70 article already quoted, Seymour M. Hersh pointed out that in cases of "emergency," which he learned were not infrequent (especially when American pilots are exposed to heavy ground fire), the high-pressure spray nozzles of a plane on a spraying mission can eject the entire 1000-gallon cargo in just 30 seconds. In such cases, who knows what might happen to the people below! In the already quoted study prepared by Yoichi Fukushima, there is a testi mony by Cao Van a doctor, which included a description of a chemical attack near Saigon on October 3, 1964, in which nearly 2500 acres of crop producing land, a large number of live stock, and more than 1000 inhabitants were affected: . . They had only breathed in the polluted air or the poison had touched their skin. At first, they felt sick and had some diarrhea; then they began to feel it hard to breathe and they had low blood pressure; some serious cases had trouble with their optic nerves and went blind. Pregnant women gave birth to stillborn or premature chil dren. Most of the affected cattle died from serious diarrhea, and river fish floated on the surface of the water belly up, soon after the chemicals were spread. At a press conference in New York on April 3, 1969, E.W. Pfeiffer, Professor of Zoology at the University of Montana, and G.H. Orians, occupying the same position at the University of Washing ton, after returning from an official mission to Viet Nam to investigate the effects of the U.s. defoliation program, reported that while traveling in an armed naval vessel along a 65-mile strip of waterway linking Saigon with the sea, they observed that the mangroves on both sides had been denuded, that scarcely any living creatures were to be seen, and that bird lif2 had apparently been greatly reduced. The dumping of herbicides and other chemicals in Viet Nam, besides causing harm to people, animals and crops, as we have seen, could also trigger Change,' in ecology that, according to the belie of many scientists, may permanently re duce the once-fertile fields in Viet Nam to dust bowls. Laterization, a pro cess which occurs in tropical regions , when the organic material and chemicalsi that normally enrich the soil are washej away because of lack of protective growth, thus resulting in a reddish which hardens irreversibly into a brick1 like consistency upon exposure to sun light, has begun in some areas in Viet t There is some evidence that even if the spraying were to be stopped now, th. process of laterization would likely continue for some time in the future. Fred H. Tschirley, assistant chief of the Crops Protection Research Division of the U.s. Department of Agriculture and former adviser to the U.S. Depart ment of State, in an article entitled "Defoliation in Vietnam"13 in the Feb ruary 21 issue of Science, wrote: Strips of mangrove on both sides I of the Ong Doc River, sprayed witl Orange in 1962, were of particu lar in. terest. The treated striPS(! were still plainly visible. Thus, one must assume that the trees were not simply defoliated,! but were killed .. 20 years may: be a reasonable estimate of the" f time needed for this forest to return to its original condition., Also, agent Blue (an arsenic compound) does not disintegrate or decompose in the soil but will keep on killing vege-, tation and soil microorganisms for a long time. Furthermore, as Representa tive McCarthy of New York pointed out in his book The Ultimate Folly, the her bicides used in Vietnam are made ten , BCAS. All rights reserved. For non-commercial use only. www.bcasnet.org 71 times more potent than their normal dose, while the spray nozzles used to administer them have not been altered, resulting in a heavy overdose for the trees and vegetation sprayed. As if all the above were not enough, some in the American military would "escalate" the anticrop war to new pro portions. Professor Arthur W. Galston, in his article "Military Uses of Herbi cides in Viet Nam" already cited,. re ported that some U.S. military men and their advisers would very much like to spread an especially virulent strain of the rice-blast fungus developed at Fort Detrick, Maryland, "in the Vietnam theatre of war." The U.S. government has again and again tried to tell the American people th.at it is in Viet Nam to protect free dom, democracy, and the right of self determination for the Vietnamese. But the Vietnamese people understand very well what the U.S. government is in Viet Nam for. An open letter of September 23, 1967 to President Johnson from the Student Unions of Tho University, University, Saigon University, and Dalat University (representing most of the university students in the country) begins with these words: The American intervention in the Vietnamese internal situation since af ter the Geneva Acc ord in 1954 has made the Vietnamese people regard the United States as replacing the French colo nizers. The American policy, instead of helping the_Viet namese people, only pushes them into a destructive and b100dy war At the beginning of this year, Pro fessor Ly Trung of the University of Saigon, an ardent Catholic intel lectual, was compelled to say the follow ing words in a speech entitled "Why Do I Want Peace," delivered before the Sai gon Student Union: Being a Vietnamese I can no longer stand the sight of foreigners arrogantly destroying my country through the use of the most modern and most terrible means, and through the use of the slogan "In protecting the Freedom" of the South Vietnamese popu lation, a kind of freedom that the South Vietnamese popu lation has had to throw up and vomit continuously during the last ten years or so without being able to swallow it successfully. Apart from the "vocal minority," many other Vietnamese, perhaps finding it difficult to make public their views in so many words, choose to express themselves by continuing to fight. Already, the war in Viet Nam has been the longest war in United States history, except perhaps, depending on just how one marks its duration, Am erica's own War of Independence. FOOTNOTES 1. According to an article en titled "Ravaging Vietnam," which appeared in The Nation, April 21, 1969, B-52 bombing had by 1968 produced an estimated 2.Ji craters of approximately jb feet in depth and 45 feet in diameter. Filled with water, these are said to be ideal breeding grounds for malarial mos quitoes. 2. W. A. Nighswonger, Rural Pa cification in Viet Nam, Praeger, New York, 1966,p.46:- 3. Nguyen Nhan, "Policy of Key Rural Agrovilles," in Asian Culture, Vol. 3, July-December 1961, No. 3-4, p. 32; also Nighswonger, loco cit. BCAS. All rights reserved. For non-commercial use only. www.bcasnet.org 72 4. During my map surveying expedition, I witnessed countless heart-breaking incidents. Here are but a few: In a village of central Viet Nam one day I saw .a group of children chasing after 4ne anothertGward an open fire which the corvee laborers {who had been recruited to build the fence and the moats the village) -had made from uprooted grass. One boy threw a handful of sOmething into the fire; the rest waited. As I'was ap proaching them -aut of curiosity, one boy used a stick to get the things out of the fire and the r-est swarmed ov.er him, snatching them -up. The "things" were baby rats! In near frenzy, the children began to pursue again, some tossed the hot rats between their two hands, others gulped them down An other time, as I was approaching a village I saw a woman working in a rice-field with a small baby tied to her back by a piece of cloth, and a boy about four years old standing in the glaring sun at the border the field and yelling out to her (his mother, I guessed). The baby cried. The woman switched the baby around to let it suck at her breast. The baby sucked as hard as it could but was not able to draw any milk and began crying again. The wo man looked around as if to see whether I was watching. When I pretended that I was. looking in the direction of the boy, she spat into the mouth of the child in an a t- tempt to silence it. Hunger struck most of the stra tegic hamlets I visited. In the village of Karom in central Viet Nam, 200 persons, mostly children, died in a singly month. Many people had not eaten anything decent in months, and as a result, their anal muscles had become that every time thay ate or drank some thing, it would pass right through them in not more than a few-min utes. 5. Seymour M. Hersh. "Our Chemical . War," The New York Review of Books, April 25, 1968,-PP:- 1-2 of the-article. 6. cit., p. 64. 7. Ibid., pp. 114-1.15. 8. Hersh, loco cit. /I ,., 9. Tien Tuyen, July 4, 1969. 10. This was the proportion of ab normal fetuses per litter when the dosage of 2,4,5-T given was 113 mg. per kg. of body weight, administered subcutaneously in a solution of dime thylsulfoxide. When the same dosages were given the mice orally in a honey solution, the proportion of abnormal fetuses per litter was an even higher 54 per cent. II. In the recent controversy over the use of cyclamates as food additives in the United States, it is to be noted that the Food and Drug Administration deemed the compound to be harmful to humans when maximum concentrations which might be consumed were only 1/50 those concentrations which snowed negative results in experiments with laboratory test animals. 12. The Nation, April 21, 1969. BCAS. All rights reserved. For non-commercial use only. www.bcasnet.org I f/ . I f 73 r NOTES ON CONTRIBUTORS . AL McCOY, a graduate student at Yale, and ANGUS McDONALD, at Berkeley, were leaders of the "Pan Am'Project" at Berkeley this summer which resulted1n the article in this issue. CARL RISKIN did his doctoral work at Berkeley in economic. and now teaches at Columbia where he is a leader of the eeAS chapter. HERB BIX makes his third contribution to the Bulletin in this issue. He is finishing his doctoral work in moden Japanese history at Harvard. ORVILLE SCHELL, one of'our CeAS coordinators, writes frequently for periodicals and !sco-editor of a sourcebook on modern Chinese history . ED FRIEDMAN is co-editor of America's Asia, a collection cf' radical essays to be' published by Pantheon. He studied his tory at Harvard and now teaches at the University of Wiscon sin. NGO LONG,"a graduate student at Harvard, edits ThHi Bao publication for Vietnamese students in the United States. AMPO AReporttrom The Japanese New Lett AMPO is produced'byBeihe1ren (The Japan "Peace for Vietnam!" COIIIIII ittee)and-Gaikokujin'Beiheiren, its affiliate organization fc"r foreign in ,Japan.: AMPO is a movement publication designed to over come the fact,that the Japanese Left, one of the most arUculate and active movements in the worl9, is covered .by a blanket of silence in all languages but Japanese. . .' Address: 'AMPO, Ishii Building Payment --Check to Ampo-aha
Subscriptions -- 6 months ,_ Shinjuku-ku, Overseas airmail $6 Tokyo, Japan Japan ordinary -- l500 active people - 600 It is our specific hope t.hat this magazine will contribute to unifiedactton in.l970 against the Japan-U.S. Security Treaty, which is an enemy of the people' of both, countries, and 0 f the 'people of all Asia. BCAS. All rights reserved. For non-commercial use only. www.bcasnet.org ." ' . ~ , . J BCAS. All rights reserved. For non-commercial use only. www.bcasnet.org