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Global warming caused by CFCs, not carbon dioxide, researcher claims in controversial study

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GlobalWarmingCausedbyCFCs,NotCarbonDioxide,Researcher ClaimsinControversialStudy
May30,2013Chlorofluorocarbons(CFCs)areto blameforglobalwarmingsincethe1970sandnot carbondioxide,accordingtoaresearcherfromthe UniversityofWaterlooinacontroversialnewstudy publishedintheInternationalJournalofModern PhysicsBthisweek.
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CFCsarealreadyknowntodeplete ozone,butindepthstatisticalanalysis nowsuggeststhatCFCsarealsothe keydriveringlobalclimatechange, ratherthancarbondioxide(CO2) emissions,theresearcherargues.

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Annualglobaltemperatureoverlandandocean. (Credit:ImagebyQ.B.Lu)

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"Conventionalthinkingsaysthatthe 35 emissionofhumanmadenonCFC gasessuchascarbondioxidehas 104 mainlycontributedtoglobalwarming. Butwehaveobserveddatagoing backtotheIndustrialRevolutionthat convincinglyshowsthatconventionalunderstandingiswrong," saidQingBinLu,aprofessorofphysicsandastronomy, biologyandchemistryinWaterloo'sFacultyofScience."In fact,thedatashowsthatCFCsconspiringwithcosmicrays causedboththepolarozoneholeandglobalwarming." "Mostconventionaltheoriesexpectthatglobaltemperatures willcontinuetoincreaseasCO2levelscontinuetorise,as theyhavedonesince1850.What'sstrikingisthatsince2002, globaltemperatureshaveactuallydeclinedmatchinga declineinCFCsintheatmosphere,"ProfessorLusaid."My calculationsofCFCgreenhouseeffectshowthattherewas globalwarmingbyabout0.6Cfrom1950to2002,butthe earthhasactuallycooledsince2002.Thecoolingtrendisset tocontinueforthenext5070yearsastheamountofCFCsin theatmospherecontinuestodecline." Thefindingsarebasedonindepthstatisticalanalysesof observeddatafrom1850uptothepresenttime,Professor Lu'scosmicraydrivenelectronreaction(CRE)theoryof ozonedepletionandhispreviousresearchintoAntarcticozone depletionandglobalsurfacetemperatures. "Itwasgenerallyacceptedformorethantwodecadesthatthe Earth'sozonelayerwasdepletedbythesun'sultravioletlight induceddestructionofCFCsintheatmosphere,"hesaid."But incontrast,CREtheorysayscosmicraysenergyparticles originatinginspaceplaythedominantroleinbreakingdown ozonedepletingmoleculesandthenozone." Lu'stheoryhasbeenconfirmedbyongoingobservationsof cosmicray,CFC,ozoneandstratospherictemperaturedata overseveral11yearsolarcycles."CREistheonlytheorythat providesuswithanexcellentreproductionof11yearcyclic variationsofbothpolarozonelossandstratosphericcooling," saidProfessorLu."Afterremovingthenaturalcosmicray effect,mynewpapershowsapronouncedrecoveryby~20% oftheAntarcticozonehole,consistentwiththedeclineof CFCsinthepolarstratosphere." BydemonstratingthelinkbetweenCFCs,ozonedepletionand temperaturechangesintheAntarctic,ProfessorLuwasable todrawalmostperfectcorrelationbetweenrisingglobal surfacetemperaturesandCFCsintheatmosphere. "TheclimateintheAntarcticstratospherehasbeencompletely controlledbyCFCsandcosmicrays,withnoCO2impact. Thechangeinglobalsurfacetemperatureaftertheremovalof thesolareffecthasshownzerocorrelationwithCO2buta

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Global warming caused by CFCs, not carbon dioxide, researcher claims in controversial study
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nearlyperfectlinearcorrelationwithCFCsacorrelation coefficientashighas0.97." Datarecordedfrom1850to1970,beforeanysignificantCFC emissions,showthatCO2levelsincreasedsignificantlyasa resultoftheIndustrialRevolution,buttheglobaltemperature, excludingthesolareffect,keptnearlyconstant.The conventionalwarmingmodelofCO2,suggeststhe temperaturesshouldhaverisenby0.6Coverthesame period,similartotheperiodof19702002. TheanalysessupportLu'sCREtheoryandpointtothe successoftheMontrealProtocolonSubstancesthatDeplete theOzoneLayer. "We'veknownforsometimethatCFCshaveareally damagingeffectonouratmosphereandwe'vetakenmeasures toreducetheiremissions,"ProfessorLusaid."Wenowknow thatinternationaleffortssuchastheMontrealProtocolhave alsohadaprofoundeffectonglobalwarmingbuttheymustbe placedonfirmerscientificground." "Thisstudyunderlinestheimportanceofunderstandingthe basicscienceunderlyingozonedepletionandglobalclimate change,"saidTerryMcMahon,deanofthefacultyofscience. "Thisresearchisofparticularimportancenotonlytothe researchcommunity,buttopolicymakersandthepublicalike aswelooktothefutureofourclimate." ProfessorLu'spaper,"CosmicRayDrivenReactionand GreenhouseEffectofHalogenatedMolecules:Culpritsfor AtmosphericOzoneDepletionandGlobalClimateChange," alsopredictsthattheglobalsealevelwillcontinuetorisefor someyearsastheholeintheozonerecoversincreasingice meltinginthepolarregions. "Onlywhentheeffectoftheglobaltemperaturerecovery dominatesoverthatofthepolarozoneholerecovery,willboth temperatureandpolaricemeltingdropconcurrently,"saysLu. Thepeerreviewedpaperpublishedthisweeknotonlyprovides newfundamentalunderstandingoftheozoneholeandglobal climatechangebuthassuperiorpredictivecapabilities, comparedwiththeconventionalsunlightdrivenozone depletingandCO2warmingmodels,Luargues.
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Theabovestoryisreprintedfrommaterialsprovidedby UniversityofWaterloo.
Note:Materialsmaybeeditedforcontentandlength.For furtherinformation,pleasecontactthesourcecitedabove. JournalReference:

1. Q.B.Lu.CosmicRayDrivenReactionandGreenhouse EffectofHalogenatedMolecules:Culpritsfor AtmosphericOzoneDepletionandGlobalClimate Change.InternationalJournalofModernPhysicsB,2013 1350073DOI:10.1142/S0217979213500732 Needtocitethisstoryinyouressay,paper,orreport?Use oneofthefollowingformats: APA UniversityofWaterloo(2013,May30).Global warmingcausedbyCFCs,notcarbondioxide, researcherclaimsincontroversialstudy. MLA ScienceDaily .RetrievedJune1,2013,from http://www.sciencedaily.com /releases/2013/05/130530132443.htm
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