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Spring 2007
Consequences
Not all the consequences are monetary. In risk management problems, for example, they may include the impact on health and safety of groups of stakeholders. In general, the consequences are described by a vector x (x1, , xN).
Multiattribute Utility
u(x1, , xN) Decision alternative Ai is preferred over alternative Ak if and only if its expected utility is greater, i.e., Ei[u] > Ek[u] Ai f Ak
1-p
( x1* ,..., x N* )
( x1 ,..., x N )
4
Independence Assumptions
Finding the multiattribute utility function using the preceding method is very burdensome. Can we find a function f such that u(x1, , xN) = f[u1(x1), , uN(xN)] where ui(xi) is the utility function of attribute xi? The answer is yes, if we can establish independence among the attributes.
DA 6. Multiattribute Utility Theory 5
implies
(y, z ) f (y' , z ) z
Utility Independence (2) A form of the utility function for attributes X1 and X2 that are utility independent, is u(x1, x2) = = k1 u1(x1) + k2 u2(x2) + (1- k1- k2) u1(x1) u2(x2)
with
0 ki 1 i = 1,2 i = 1,2
9
0 ui ( xi ) 1
When X1 and X2 are utility independent of each other, they are mutually utility independent.
11
Additive Independence
A stronger assumption than utility independence. For two attributes, we must be indifferent between
1/2
( x1 , x 2 )
1/2
( x1 , x'2 )
1/2
' ( x1 , x'2 )
1/2
' ( x1 , x2 )
We can get any pair of consequences with probability 0.5; the only difference is how the levels are combined.
DA 6. Multiattribute Utility Theory 12
where
0 ki 1
ki = 1
1
0 ui ( xi ) 1
Two attributes: