Você está na página 1de 37

Global Global

Strategy Challenges
Executable
Solutions

2020:

france.houdard@exolus.com
May 2011
2011 Exolus.

:
?

2011 Exolus.

2011 Exolus.

(2020):
*

2020 *

-27

$29.6

$28.8

$13.4

$6.8

$30.0
GDP* PPP-adjusted

2009 GDP*

-27

$14.1
2011 Exolus.

6,4 trillions

de $

$9.1

3,6 trillions

de $
Japan

$4.1

$3.8

$14.2
:

:
:

4500 (2010)

(2025)

( US $- )

140

120
8

>= US$ 22,158

100

()

31

>= US $ 11,079 22,158

80

60
43
58

>= US $ 4,431
11,079

14

<= US$ 4,431

40
6

23

41
25

20
27

20

12

2005

2015

2025

0
1985

1995

2011 Exolus.

: Urbanization Rates, Population based on UN, World Urbanization Prospects 2007; MGI Consumer Demand 2008

:
:

3.4 (2010) 4.65 (2020)

1600
15

1400

13

12

1200
1000

10.4

880

()

8.6

847
800

815
750

600

()

636
400
200

220

290

340

2001

2008

465

590

0
1991

2011 Exolus.

2020

2030

: World Urbanization Prospects 2007

()

2011 Exolus.

: Exolus Research

: A- (/)
A-
A- /

()

2011 Exolus.

: Exolus Research

2011 Exolus.

3.

2.

IT

HR

1. /

F&A

Procure

4.
2011 Exolus.

1.(BPO)/(ITO):
BPO
A- /

BPO
BPO

2011 Exolus.

: NASSCOM 10

1.(BPO)/(ITO) :

2020 BPOITO

IT-BPO (CAGR)11.9%
IT-BPO

(2010 2020F)
2500
2250

USD

2000

100%

1500
1750
1110

1000
730

500

500

806

576

882

652

958

728

880

500
230

230

230

230

230

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2011 Exolus.

2020

: NASSCOM 11

1.(BPO)/(ITO) :

25BPO

28%
A- /

BPO
BPO

Mysore

2011 Exolus.

: NASSCOM 12

:
/ /

3.

2.

IT

F&A

HR

Procure

BPO/ITO

4.
2011 Exolus.

13

:
: (CRO/KPO) (CSO) ()

3.

2.

IT

HR

F&A

CMO

Procure

CSO
CRO/KPO

CMO

4.
2011 Exolus.

BPO/ITO

14

2. :

A- /

Manipur

Orissa

2011 Exolus.

: Centre for International Trade in Technology of IIFT,

15

2. :

A- /

2011 Exolus.

: Centre for International Trade in Technology of IIFT,

16

2. :

A- /

2011 Exolus.

: Centre for International Trade in Technology of IIFT,

17

2. :

A- /

Hyderabad

2011 Exolus.

: Centre for International Trade in Technology of IIFT,

18

3. /:

(: 1000/)

(: 1000/)

700

60

600

50

500

40

400
30
300
20
200
10
100
0
0
2010

2011 Exolus.

2020

2030

2040

2050

: ; Autostat;; 19

3. : 2015
2015280

( )

2000

2005

2010

2015F 10

1,500

2,620

4,410

5,240

580

650

750

1,030

170

240

480

850

170

210

390

550

110

160

340

470

110

150

320

440

68

130

280

360

67

100

240

310

63

100

220

300

62

98

210

280

2011 Exolus.

: IMF; , Assessment of Opportunity for Pharmaceutical Manufacturers in Emerging Markets JMCP; Monitor
Analysis; Exolus 20

3. :
(CAGR)8.7%

(2003 2015F)
9000
8000
7000

CAGR = 8.7%

6000
5000
4000
3000
2000
1000
0
2003

2011 Exolus.

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011F

2012F

2013F

2014F

2015F

: ; Business Monitor International 21

3. :

(, PPP)

(PPP)

> 5,600
4,200 5,600

2,800 4,200

1,400 2,800

0 1,400

Uttar
Pradesh

2011 Exolus.

: Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation: CIA World Factbook; Exolus Research 22

4. :

A- /

2011 Exolus.

: Exolus Research

23

4. :

(1990 2010)
450
400
350

300
250
200
150
100
50

2011 Exolus.

: 24

4. :

A- /
,,,,,

:
, , , ,
,

:
,,

2011 Exolus.

: ,

25

4. :

A- /

:,
,

:
,, ,

:,,
,,,

:,

2011 Exolus.

: ,

26

4. :

A- /

:,,

:,

:,

2011 Exolus.

: ,

27

: //
+++A
Per Capita GDP

(USD, PPP-Adjusted)

A- /

(, )
> 5,600

> 5,600

4,200 5,600

4,200 5,600
2,800 4,200

2,800
4,200
1,400 2,800

1,400
2,800
0 1,400

0 1,400

Uttar
Pradesh

2011 Exolus.

: Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation: CIA World Factbook; Exolus Research 28

2011 Exolus.

29

14
(2009 2011)
%
60

50

40

30

20

10

2011 Exolus.

France

Poland

Mexico

Vietnam

Canada

Indonesia

Australia

Germany

U.K.

Russia

Brazil

India

United States

China

: World Investment Prospects 2009 - 2011

30

: ,
CARG

3080

200038020113080
23.6%.

200013%20102%.

2001200918.5%.

2001200923%.

2011 Exolus.

: RBI 31

2020

2020

2020

2020

Slideshare @
http://www.slideshare.net/contest/worlds-best-presentation-contest-2010/entries
http://www.slideshare.net/Exolus/india-2020-what-india-will-look-like-in-the-future
http://www.slideshare.net/Exolus/brazil-2020-what-will-brazil-look-like-in-the-future
http://www.slideshare.net/Exolus/russia-2020-what-will-russia-look-like-in-the-future

2011 Exolus.

32


,, ,
Exolus: Exolus

Exolus2040

Exolus at: www.exolus.com


: info@exolus.com
: www.exolus.com/en/knowledge/research.html
2011 Exolus.

33

Exolus

2011 Exolus.

34


:
URL:

www.exolus.com

info@exolus.com

www.exolus.com
2011 Exolus.

35

Copyright
2011
Exolus.
All rights reserved.

2011
Exolus.

36

Você também pode gostar