SUPPLY AND DEMAND GAP ANALYSIS

SUPPLY AND DEMAND GAP ANALYSIS Existing Situation

Present Facilities and State of Facilities (include observed defects, operational requirements, needed improvements for present situation, cash flow problems) - Maps (areas currently served, areas under proposed project, probable ultimate service area) - Water Users (domestic, commercial, industrial, institutional and public faucet) - Population (served) - Statistical Information (% of population served) - How Served (% metered, % unmetered, % Public Faucets) - Historical Data (metered water consumption, NRW, Water production)

SUPPLY AND DEMAND GAP ANALYSIS Existing Situation

- Per Capita Consumption (historical data, evidence of unsatisfied demands, consumption restricted by inadequate water distribution capacity) - Will connection increase if distribution capacity is expanded? - Historical dates of existing WSS (planning, construction, abandonment, expansion source, intake, transmission, treatment, booster pumping stations, distribution main/network, storage) - Capacities and present conditions - Existing surface water source data (catchment area, rainfall, Water quality, river flow data, water rights, watershed condition) - Existing Groundwater (well & spring locations, capacities, GW aquifer capacity, water quality

SUPPLY AND DEMAND GAP ANALYSIS Demand Projections Population Projections Water Consumption Demand Variation (ADD, MDD, PHD)

 Population Projections (Geometrical Method Formula) Pn = Po (1 + i) Where: Pn = Design Population Po = Present Population i = Growth Rate n = Design Period

Growth Rate/Annual Rate Increase The analysis of ARI should be on city/municpal to barangay level:
Determine growth patterns/trends Take note of extraordinary increase or decrease and reason for such. (zoning plan or a master development plan, physical limits and or geographical barriers, possibility of industrial development, proposed new arterial roads or transportation facilities, proposed regional facilities universities, military base) Examine official historical population data (1990,1995,2000,2005)

 Water Consumption Rate (Wc): Domestic Connection Individual connection Public Faucets NRW

= 100 to 120 lpcd = 30 to 60 lpcd = 20% to 25%

Institutional Connection = 3 to 6 cumd Commercial Connection = 1 to 2 cumd Industrial Connection = 1 to 3 cumd

 Demand Variations ADD = used in the design of basic water facilities. Reservoir capacity is usually 25% of ADD. MDD = used in determining the transmission main and pump capacity for a water source to be acceptable. PHD = used in distribution mains. determining the size of

Peak Hour Demand)

Maximum Day Demand) Average Day Demand)

 Estimate of Water Demand ADD = Wrqt / (1-NRW) Wrqt= Pn x Wc MDD = 1.3 x ADD PHD = 2.0 x ADD (Population > 1000) PHD = 2.5 x ADD (Population > 600, <1000) PHD = 3.0 x ADD (Population < 600)

 Water Demand Factors ADD = (Design Population x Water Consumption Rate) /(1-NRW)
Figures multiplied to the ADD to determine other demand variations for purposes of analyzing and designing the water supply system.

MDD = 1.2 to 1.5 (For Transmission Main and Well yield) PHD = 1.5 to 2.0 (For design of distribution pipes)

PRESENT SITUATION Total Population = 3,000 Population within the service area = 2,700 Estimated served population = 2,200 Number of persons per household = 5 Level 2 Water Supply Water Demand = 60 lpcd NRW = 20% Water Reqt = Population x Water Demand ADD = Water Reqt/(1-NRW) MDD = 1.3xADD PHD = 2.0xADD

WATER DEMAND TABLE:

Year 1 Year 5 Year 10

215 CMD 234 CMD 265 CMD

2.48 lps 2.71 lps 3.07 lps

END OF PRESENTATION