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SUPPLEMENTAL

NUTRITION ASSISTANCE
PROGRAM
QUALITY CONTROL

ANNUAL REPORT
FISCAL YEAR 2011

U.S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE


FOOD AND NUTRITION SERVICE
PROGRAM ACCOUNTABILITY AND
ADMINISTRATION DIVISION
QUALITY CONTROL BRANCH

December 2012

THIS PAGE IS INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK

TABLE OF CONTENTS
INTRODUCTION............i
REPORT ORGANIZATION..................................ii
HIGHLIGHTS....iii
PART I:

QUALITY CONTROL DATA

Page

Tables
1 Summary of U.S. Quality Control Findings...........3
2 Official Dollar Error Rates, FY 2010 vs. FY 2011............4
3 State Reported and Official Dollar Error Rates, FY 2011.......5
4 Official Payment Error Rates, FY 2007 through FY 2011...........................6
5 Official Overpayment Error Rates, FY 2007 through FY 2011.......................7
6 Official Underpayment Error Rates, FY 2007 through FY 2011.....8
Exhibit
1 U.S. Error Rates - FY 2002 through FY 2011................................................................................9
Tables
7 Issuance & Issuance in Error, FY 2011.................................................11
8 Active Case Error Rates, FY 2011.............12
9 Validated Negative Case Error Rates, FY 2007 through FY 2011.........13
Exhibit
2 U.S. Validated and Reported Negative Case Error Rates, FY 2009 through FY 2011.....15
Tables
10 Reported vs. Validated Negative Case Error Rates - FY 2011.......17
Narrative
Performance Bonuses.......................................18
Liability Amounts.....19
Exhibit
3 State Payment Error Rates - FY 2011..........21
PART II:

VARIANCES

Notes.....24
Tables
11 Distribution of Variances by Program Factor, By Percent - All Error Cases.....25
Exhibit
4 Distribution of Variances by Element - All Error Cases.........27
Tables
12 Distribution of Variances by Program Factor, By Percent - Overpayments....29
13 Distribution of Variances by Program Factor, By Percent - Underpayments......30
14 Agency and Client Variances and Case Error Rates - All Error Cases.31
15 Agency and Client Variances and Case Error Rates - Overpayments...32
16 Agency and Client Variances and Case Error Rates - Underpayments.........33
17 Distribution of Variances by How Discovered - All Error Cases....34
18 Percent of Variances by Time of Occurrence................................................35

TABLE OF CONTENTS CONTINUED


Exhibit
Page
5 Distribution of Variances by Time of Occurrence...37
Tables
19 Agency & Client Dollar Error Rates - All Error Cases.......................................39
20 Agency & Client Dollar Error Rates - Overpayments.........40
Tables
21 Agency & Client Dollar Error Rates - Underpayments...41
Exhibit
6 Source of Error dollars............43
PART III:

COMPARISONS OF BENEFIT AND OVERPAYMENT ERROR DOLLARS BY


HOUSEHOLD CHARACTERISTICS

Tables
22 Elderly..................46
Exhibits
7 Households - Elderly Members...........................................................47
Tables
23 Children............49
Exhibits
8 Households - Children...........................................................51
Tables
24 Non-Citizens.........................................................53
25 Marital & Family Status.................54
Exhibits
9 Households - Marital & Family Status...................55
Tables
26 Household Size.......57
Exhibits
10 Households - Household Size.......................................................59
Tables
27 Source of Income...............61
Exhibits
11 Households - Employment Status.......63
12 Households - Countable Resources.........65
PART IV:

SAMPLE PARAMETERS

Tables
28 Active Cases - Estimated Caseloads, Average Monthly Allotments and Average Monthly
Allotments Per Case, FY 2011....................69
29 Active Case Sample Sizes and Completion Rate, FY 2011....70
30 Active Case Sample Sizes and Standard Errors, FY 2011............71
31 Negative Case Sample Sizes, FY 2011.................72

INTRODUCTION
To help support these efforts, FNS has
undertaken special initiatives designed to
increase payment accuracy. Activities in
FY 2011 included: 1) continued funding for
State Exchange activity; 2) FNS national
and regional payment accuracy
conferences; 3) technical assistance to
States; 4) National and regional publications
publicizing successful payment accuracy
strategies implemented across the country;
and 5) continued examination of State
Agency application processes.

This Supplemental Nutrition Assistance


Program (SNAP) Quality Control (QC)
Annual Report presents official quality
control error rates and other statistical data
derived from SNAP QC reviews conducted
for Fiscal Year (FY) 2011.
Each State agency conducts monthly QC
reviews of a statistical sample of
households participating in the SNAP
(active cases) and households for which
participation was denied or terminated
(negative cases). These reviews measure
the validity of SNAP cases at a given time.
The reported State dollar and case error
rates are based on these reviews. The
State reviews also provide information on
the error cause and characteristics of the
household.

FY 2011 was another year of excellent


performance in payment accuracy in SNAP.
The payment error rate in SNAP for
FY 2011 is 3.80 percent. This remains the
lowest National payment error rate in the
history of SNAP.
The SNAP negative error rate for fiscal year
FY 2011 is 8.30 percent. The FY 2010
negative error rate is 8.43 percent.

Additionally, Federal reviews of each States


sample are conducted annually to validate
each State agencys error rate. The official
active and negative error rates listed in this
report are based upon the Federal
validation reviews of the State agency
samples.

In addition to efforts to increase the


accuracy of SNAP certification actions, FNS
is also continuing to make improvements to
SNAP to ensure that it is responsive and
effective in its support of those individuals
and families who rely on its benefits. This
includes making the SNAP more visible and
accessible to needy individuals and working
families.

In a program that provided $71.8 billion in


benefits in FY 2011 to needy Americans,
more than half of whom are children and the
elderly, efficient and effective program
administration is essential.

Further information on SNAP may be


obtained at the SNAP website at
www.fns.usda.gov/snap. Specific
information on the QC process is found in
the FNS 310 Handbook, the SNAP Quality
Control Review Handbook.

Local agencies certify households for SNAP


benefits and, along with the State agencies,
are directly responsible for operating the
SNAP. While the Food and Nutrition
Service (FNS) can assist States through a
variety of methods, the States themselves
must ultimately make the commitment to
conduct accurate and efficient program
operations. FNS remains committed to
supporting the ongoing efforts of States to
increase the accuracy of SNAP certification
actions.

REPORT ORGANIZATION

PART I
Part I presents official quality control (QC) error rates as well as reported dollar and
case error rates. With the passage of the Hunger Prevention Act of 1988, the payment
error rate became the sum of the overpayment and underpayment error rates.
Therefore, in this report we use the term "payment error rate" to reference the sum of
the overpayment and underpayment error rates.

PART II
Part II provides information on variances. A variance occurs in a case when information
verified by the QC reviewer differs from information used at the time of the most recent
certification action, when policy has been misapplied for individual elements of eligibility
or when the basis of issuance is incorrect. Not all variances result in a case being cited
for a dollar error.
Only variances occurring in dollar error cases are included in this report. For Tables 19,
20, and 21 we assume that the first variance coded is the primary variance. All error
amounts are assigned to this variance. All variances (primary and otherwise) cited for a
particular case are included in the remaining Tables.

PART III
Part III provides data on the distribution of monthly benefit dollars and overpayment
error dollars for selected household characteristics for each State and on a National
basis. This information can be used to identify error prone household characteristics by
comparing the percent of allotments to the percent of error dollars.

PART IV
Part IV provides information on State sampling parameters of the active and negative
universes. For active cases we have also included completion rates and standard
errors for the reported and regressed payment error rates.

ii

HIGHLIGHTS

Active Cases. The following statistics compare the performance measure for
active cases for FY 2007 through FY 2011:

FY 2007

FY 2008

FY 2009

FY 2010

FY 2011

National-average official
overpayment error rate a/

4.58%

4.01%

3.53%

3.05%

2.99%

National-average official
underpayment error rate

1.06%

1.00%

0.82%

0.75%

0.81%

National-average official
payment error rate (standard
error = approximately 0.10%) b/ :

5.64%

5.01%

4.36%

3.81%

3.80%

Number of States with an official


payment error rate under 6%
:

28

35

47

47

44

Number of States with an official


payment error rate over 10%

Negative cases. The following compares the performance measures for


reported negative cases for FY 2007 through FY 2011:

National-average negative case


error rate c/

FY 2007

FY 2008

FY 2009

FY 2010

FY 2011

10.94%

10.96%

9.41%

8.43%

8.30%

a/ National weighted average for active cases is calculated by weighting each States error rate by its actual
issuance.
b/ The official payment error rate may not equal the sum of the underpayment and overpayment error rates
due to rounding.
c/ Validated national weighted average is calculated by weighting each States error rate by its actual
caseload.
iii

THIS PAGE IS INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK

PART I:
QUALITY CONTROL DATA

Part I presents official quality control (QC)


error rates as well as reported dollar and case
error rates. With the passage of the Hunger
Prevention Act of 1988, the payment error rate
became the sum of the overpayment and
underpayment error rates. Therefore, in this
report we use the term payment error rate to
reference the sum of the overpayment and
underpayment error rates.

THIS PAGE IS INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK

TABLE 1: SUMMARY OF U.S. QUALITY CONTROL FINDINGS FOR FY 2010 - 2011


FY
2010

FY
2011

Completed Sample Reviews - State

53,254

51,959

Completed Sample Reviews - Federal

20,040

20,022

17,684,193

20,000,753

5,036,447,820

5,247,614,308

ACTIVE CASES:

Average Monthly Caseload


Estimated Monthly Allotments
Average Allotment Per Case

$285

$280

Underpayment

2.36%

2.34%

Overpayment b/

5.89%

5.78%

Combined

8.25%

8.12%

Underpayment

0.75%

0.81%

Overpayment b/

3.05%

2.99%

Payment Rate (Combined)

3.81%

3.80%

REPORTED CASE ERROR RATES a/

OFFICIAL ERROR RATES c/

NEGATIVE CASES:
Average Monthly Caseload

887,345

969,910

Completed Case Reviews

36,265

36,223

Validated Negative Error Rate

8.43%

a/ U.S. case error rates are weighted by State caseloads.


b/ Overpayments include both overpayments to eligible and payments to ineligibles.
c/ U.S. official error rates are weighted by States' actual issuance data.

8.30%

TABLE 2: OFFICIAL DOLLAR ERROR RATES, FY 2010 vs. FY 2011

STATE

OVERPAYMENT
ERROR RATES
FY 2010
FY 2011

UNDERPAYMENT
ERROR RATES
FY 2010
FY 2011

PAYMENT a/
ERROR RATES
FY 2010
FY 2011

Connecticut
Maine
Massachusetts
New Hampshire
New York
Rhode Island
Vermont

6.23
3.14
4.91
4.19
4.92
4.76
5.60

4.42
2.81
3.87
4.03
3.82
6.34
7.02

1.43
0.35
0.99
1.12
0.59
1.22
0.99

2.04
0.47
0.53
0.79
0.50
1.55
1.51

7.66
3.49
5.90
5.31
5.51
5.98
6.59

6.46
3.28
4.40
4.82
4.32
7.89
8.53

Delaware
Dist. of Col.
Maryland
New Jersey
Pennsylvania
Virginia
Virgin Islands
West Virginia

1.11
3.76
6.11
3.95
2.96
5.04
2.62
5.96

2.01
1.83
4.82
3.30
2.74
3.07
3.33
5.27

0.41
0.71
1.57
0.67
0.97
0.83
0.48
1.18

0.52
1.20
1.24
1.03
0.56
0.35
1.43
1.04

1.52
4.47
7.68
4.62
3.93
5.87
3.10
7.14

2.53
3.03
6.06
4.33
3.30
3.41
4.77
6.31

Alabama
Florida
Georgia
Kentucky
Mississippi
North Carolina
South Carolina
Tennessee

3.31
0.74
1.64
3.08
1.56
2.04
4.25
3.96

4.18
0.68
1.97
3.92
2.37
2.01
2.95
4.87

0.44
0.04
0.35
1.01
0.36
0.66
0.89
0.43

0.91
0.19
0.74
0.58
0.45
0.65
0.19
0.58

3.75
0.78
1.99
4.09
1.92
2.70
5.14
4.39

5.10
0.87
2.71
4.50
2.83
2.65
3.14
5.46

Illinois
Indiana
Michigan
Minnesota
Ohio
Wisconsin

1.29
2.05
2.17
3.54
2.62
1.37

2.47
2.70
2.34
4.20
2.81
1.78

0.41
0.55
1.14
1.22
0.69
0.60

0.68
0.59
0.78
0.82
0.59
0.23

1.70
2.60
3.31
4.76
3.31
1.97

3.15
3.29
3.12
5.02
3.40
2.02

Arkansas
Louisiana
New Mexico
Oklahoma
Texas

4.79
4.41
3.64
3.38
1.54

4.71
3.56
3.57
3.10
2.63

0.85
0.61
0.86
0.84
0.59

1.08
0.41
0.77
0.83
0.85

5.64
5.03
4.50
4.22
2.13

5.79
3.97
4.35
3.94
3.48

Colorado
Iowa
Kansas
Missouri
Montana
Nebraska
North Dakota
South Dakota
Utah
Wyoming

1.72
2.72
3.93
4.65
3.42
2.89
3.23
0.94
2.80
3.54

3.25
3.53
3.83
4.68
2.34
3.41
3.86
1.29
2.82
7.63

1.46
0.64
0.86
1.00
0.70
0.63
1.14
0.37
1.54
1.22

1.19
0.44
1.17
1.20
0.75
1.09
0.48
0.30
1.37
1.99

3.18
3.36
4.79
5.65
4.12
3.52
4.38
1.31
4.33
4.76

4.45
3.97
5.00
5.88
3.10
4.50
4.34
1.59
4.19
9.63

Alaska
Arizona
California
Guam
Hawaii
Idaho
Nevada
Oregon
Washington

2.00
4.93
3.56
4.17
2.28
2.53
5.23
4.52
2.70

0.53
4.65
2.65
4.60
2.76
1.94
4.46
3.80
3.34

0.14
1.76
1.26
1.25
0.76
0.79
1.34
0.36
0.61

0.24
1.69
1.92
1.65
0.61
0.58
1.83
0.19
0.48

2.15
6.69
4.81
5.42
3.04
3.32
6.57
4.88
3.30

0.76
6.34
4.58
6.25
3.37
2.52
6.29
3.99
3.81

U.S. Average

3.05

2.99

0.75

0.81

3.81

3.80

a/ The official payment error rate may not equal the sum of the overpayment and underpayment error rate due to rounding.

TABLE 3: STATE REPORTED AND OFFICIAL DOLLAR ERROR RATES, FY 2011


OVERPAYMENT
ERROR RATES
STATE

UNDERPAYMENT
ERROR RATES

PAYMENT a/
ERROR RATES
REPORTED
OFFICIAL

REPORTED

OFFICIAL

REPORTED

OFFICIAL

Connecticut
Maine
Massachusetts
New Hampshire
New York
Rhode Island
Vermont

4.37
2.67
3.79
3.96
3.62
6.34
7.02

4.42
2.81
3.87
4.03
3.82
6.34
7.02

2.01
0.46
0.51
0.77
0.46
1.55
1.49

2.04
0.47
0.53
0.79
0.50
1.55
1.51

6.38
3.13
4.30
4.73
4.08
7.89
8.51

6.46
3.28
4.40
4.82
4.32
7.89
8.53

Delaware
Dist. of Col.
Maryland
New Jersey
Pennsylvania
Virginia
Virgin Islands
West Virginia

1.78
1.97
5.03
2.58
2.53
2.74
3.62
5.30

2.01
1.83
4.82
3.30
2.74
3.07
3.33
5.27

0.47
1.20
1.21
0.92
0.52
0.31
1.90
1.01

0.52
1.20
1.24
1.03
0.56
0.35
1.43
1.04

2.25
3.17
6.24
3.50
3.05
3.05
5.52
6.31

2.53
3.03
6.06
4.33
3.30
3.41
4.77
6.31

Alabama
Florida
Georgia
Kentucky
Mississippi
North Carolina
South Carolina
Tennessee

3.86
0.65
1.89
3.92
2.37
2.01
2.89
4.82

4.18
0.68
1.97
3.92
2.37
2.01
2.95
4.87

0.89
0.18
0.69
0.55
0.41
0.65
0.18
0.56

0.91
0.19
0.74
0.58
0.45
0.65
0.19
0.58

4.75
0.83
2.58
4.47
2.78
2.66
3.07
5.38

5.10
0.87
2.71
4.50
2.83
2.65
3.14
5.46

Illinois
Indiana
Michigan
Minnesota
Ohio
Wisconsin

2.34
2.59
2.25
3.82
2.75
1.68

2.47
2.70
2.34
4.20
2.81
1.78

0.66
0.56
0.74
0.78
0.58
0.21

0.68
0.59
0.78
0.82
0.59
0.23

3.00
3.15
2.99
4.60
3.33
1.89

3.15
3.29
3.12
5.02
3.40
2.02

Arkansas
Louisiana
New Mexico
Oklahoma
Texas

4.69
3.75
3.53
3.08
2.54

4.71
3.56
3.57
3.10
2.63

1.07
0.40
0.76
0.82
0.50

1.08
0.41
0.77
0.83
0.85

5.76
4.15
4.29
3.90
3.04

5.79
3.97
4.35
3.94
3.48

Colorado
Iowa
Kansas
Missouri
Montana
Nebraska
North Dakota
South Dakota
Utah
Wyoming

3.17
3.22
3.78
4.75
2.24
2.85
3.86
1.31
2.76
7.63

3.25
3.53
3.83
4.68
2.34
3.41
3.86
1.29
2.82
7.63

1.16
0.33
1.15
1.18
0.68
0.77
0.48
0.29
1.35
1.99

1.19
0.44
1.17
1.20
0.75
1.09
0.48
0.30
1.37
1.99

4.33
3.55
4.93
5.93
2.92
3.62
4.34
1.60
4.11
9.62

4.45
3.97
5.00
5.88
3.10
4.50
4.34
1.59
4.19
9.63

Alaska
Arizona
California
Guam
Hawaii
Idaho
Nevada
Oregon
Washington

0.49
4.56
2.26
4.58
2.22
2.09
4.23
3.53
3.27

0.53
4.65
2.65
4.60
2.76
1.94
4.46
3.80
3.34

0.19
1.65
1.86
1.53
0.59
0.58
1.70
0.21
0.46

0.24
1.69
1.92
1.65
0.61
0.58
1.83
0.19
0.48

0.68
6.21
4.12
6.11
2.81
2.67
5.93
3.74
3.73

0.76
6.34
4.58
6.25
3.37
2.52
6.29
3.99
3.81

U.S. Average

2.86

2.99

0.75

0.81

3.61

3.80

May 17, 2012, was the cut-off date for error rates used in this report.
a/ The official payment error rate may not equal the sum of the overpayment and underpayment error rate due to rounding.

TABLE 4: OFFICIAL PAYMENT ERROR RATES, FY 2007 - FY 2011


STATE

FY 2007

FY 2008

FY 2009

FY 2010

6.51
10.54
4.38
6.16
5.51
5.35
6.24

8.16
8.36
4.53
4.15
4.50
3.97
5.52

5.15
2.51
4.39
3.01
5.39
3.67
5.42

7.66
3.49
5.90
5.31
5.51
5.98
6.59

6.46
3.28
4.40
4.82
4.32
7.89
8.53

Delaware
Dist. of Col.
Maryland
New Jersey
Pennsylvania
Virginia
Virgin Islands
West Virginia

9.36
8.34
7.20
6.26
2.71
6.47
3.03
9.59

5.52
6.26
6.94
5.23
3.37
5.75
3.22
7.40

1.15
3.92
7.11
3.64
4.43
5.74
2.83
5.42

1.52
4.47
7.68
4.62
3.93
5.87
3.10
7.14

2.53
3.03
6.06
4.33
3.30
3.41
4.77
6.31

Alabama
Florida
Georgia
Kentucky
Mississippi
North Carolina
South Carolina
Tennessee

4.78
4.15
8.13
4.93
2.66
2.23
5.41
5.13

4.23
0.85
2.50
6.36
2.64
2.65
6.27
4.89

3.57
0.70
2.10
4.70
2.77
2.53
4.56
3.28

3.75
0.78
1.99
4.09
1.92
2.70
5.14
4.39

5.10
0.87
2.71
4.50
2.83
2.65
3.14
5.46

Illinois
Indiana
Michigan
Minnesota
Ohio
Wisconsin

5.15
6.94
8.50
6.53
9.17
5.90

4.30
7.51
5.88
6.16
4.29
7.38

6.17
7.13
6.75
3.95
2.30
1.11

1.70
2.60
3.31
4.76
3.31
1.97

3.15
3.29
3.12
5.02
3.40
2.02

Arkansas
Louisiana
New Mexico
Oklahoma
Texas

7.01
6.94
7.42
6.11
6.38

6.10
6.71
6.34
5.72
7.11

4.74
8.00
4.79
3.78
6.90

5.64
5.03
4.50
4.22
2.13

5.79
3.97
4.35
3.94
3.48

Colorado
Iowa
Kansas
Missouri
Montana
Nebraska
North Dakota
South Dakota
Utah
Wyoming

7.05
6.85
3.70
2.31
6.81
1.73
3.29
1.28
3.80
6.42

3.32
8.01
4.01
6.03
3.74
2.75
5.68
1.00
4.02
2.69

2.72
6.49
4.37
5.29
3.77
1.54
3.42
0.94
3.80
3.23

3.18
3.36
4.79
5.65
4.12
3.52
4.38
1.31
4.33
4.76

4.45
3.97
5.00
5.88
3.10
4.50
4.34
1.59
4.19
9.63

Alaska
Arizona
California
Guam
Hawaii
Idaho
Nevada
Oregon
Washington

4.04
4.87
5.31
6.55
3.20
4.44
4.84
5.41
2.93

7.48
4.68
5.77
9.36
3.45
3.59
4.73
5.30
3.86

3.81
5.99
4.36
4.24
3.48
2.69
4.28
3.54
1.81

2.15
6.69
4.81
5.42
3.04
3.32
6.57
4.88
3.30

0.76
6.34
4.58
6.25
3.37
2.52
6.29
3.99
3.81

U.S. Average

5.64

5.01

4.36

3.81

3.80

Connecticut
Maine
Massachusetts
New Hampshire
New York
Rhode Island
Vermont

FY 2011

TABLE 5: OFFICIAL OVERPAYMENT ERROR RATES, FY 2007 - FY 2011


STATE

FY 2007

FY 2008

FY 2009

FY 2010

FY 2011

Connecticut
Maine
Massachusetts
New Hampshire
New York
Rhode Island
Vermont

4.41
9.11
3.11
4.80
4.38
4.00
5.39

6.18
7.56
4.03
3.48
3.62
3.12
4.56

4.30
2.15
3.52
2.26
4.94
3.08
4.25

6.23
3.14
4.91
4.19
4.92
4.76
5.60

4.42
2.81
3.87
4.03
3.82
6.34
7.02

Delaware
Dist. of Col.
Maryland
New Jersey
Pennsylvania
Virginia
Virgin Islands
West Virginia

7.46
6.53
5.97
4.68
2.45
5.50
2.82
8.28

4.36
4.61
5.19
4.21
3.03
4.33
2.08
6.52

0.77
3.35
5.66
2.60
4.08
4.68
2.66
4.47

1.11
3.76
6.11
3.95
2.96
5.04
2.62
5.96

2.01
1.83
4.82
3.30
2.74
3.07
3.33
5.27

Alabama
Florida
Georgia
Kentucky
Mississippi
North Carolina
South Carolina
Tennessee

3.75
3.94
7.22
4.25
2.24
1.72
4.15
4.37

3.27
0.81
2.02
5.12
1.65
2.20
5.48
4.47

3.03
0.53
1.91
3.72
2.31
1.87
3.96
3.03

3.31
0.74
1.64
3.08
1.56
2.04
4.25
3.96

4.18
0.68
1.97
3.92
2.37
2.01
2.95
4.87

Illinois
Indiana
Michigan
Minnesota
Ohio
Wisconsin

4.44
5.52
6.41
4.74
7.26
4.42

3.39
5.91
5.09
4.78
3.75
5.29

5.60
5.45
4.67
3.29
1.45
0.79

1.29
2.05
2.17
3.54
2.62
1.37

2.47
2.70
2.34
4.20
2.81
1.78

Arkansas
Louisiana
New Mexico
Oklahoma
Texas

6.09
5.95
5.46
4.81
5.39

5.20
5.49
5.09
4.70
5.38

3.99
7.11
4.04
3.12
5.83

4.79
4.41
3.64
3.38
1.54

4.71
3.56
3.57
3.10
2.63

Colorado
Iowa
Kansas
Missouri
Montana
Nebraska
North Dakota
South Dakota
Utah
Wyoming

5.15
5.32
3.03
2.04
5.49
1.30
2.36
1.02
2.55
4.91

2.60
6.43
3.60
5.17
2.73
2.23
4.15
0.74
2.84
1.86

2.05
5.62
3.55
4.42
3.16
1.05
2.36
0.69
2.97
2.85

1.72
2.72
3.93
4.65
3.42
2.89
3.23
0.94
2.80
3.54

3.25
3.53
3.83
4.68
2.34
3.41
3.86
1.29
2.82
7.63

Alaska
Arizona
California
Guam
Hawaii
Idaho
Nevada
Oregon
Washington

2.86
3.73
4.08
4.45
2.61
3.54
3.86
3.94
2.44

4.97
3.24
4.07
6.93
2.15
2.78
3.64
4.87
3.32

2.29
3.57
3.07
3.23
2.92
2.05
3.20
3.06
1.39

2.00
4.93
3.56
4.17
2.28
2.53
5.23
4.52
2.70

0.53
4.65
2.65
4.60
2.76
1.94
4.46
3.80
3.34

U.S. Average

4.58

4.01

3.53

3.05

2.99

TABLE 6: OFFICIAL UNDERPAYMENT ERROR RATES, FY 2007 - FY 2011


STATE

FY 2007

FY 2008

FY 2009

FY 2010

FY 2011

Connecticut
Maine
Massachusetts
New Hampshire
New York
Rhode Island
Vermont

2.10
1.42
1.26
1.36
1.12
1.34
0.85

1.97
0.81
0.50
0.67
0.89
0.86
0.96

0.85
0.37
0.87
0.76
0.45
0.60
1.17

1.43
0.35
0.99
1.12
0.59
1.22
0.99

2.04
0.47
0.53
0.79
0.50
1.55
1.51

Delaware
Dist. of Col.
Maryland
New Jersey
Pennsylvania
Virginia
Virgin Islands
West Virginia

1.90
1.80
1.23
1.58
0.26
0.97
0.22
1.31

1.16
1.65
1.75
1.02
0.34
1.42
1.14
0.87

0.37
0.57
1.45
1.04
0.35
1.06
0.18
0.95

0.41
0.71
1.57
0.67
0.97
0.83
0.48
1.18

0.52
1.20
1.24
1.03
0.56
0.35
1.43
1.04

Alabama
Florida
Georgia
Kentucky
Mississippi
North Carolina
South Carolina
Tennessee

1.03
0.21
0.91
0.68
0.42
0.52
1.26
0.76

0.96
0.04
0.48
1.24
0.99
0.45
0.79
0.41

0.54
0.16
0.19
0.98
0.47
0.66
0.60
0.25

0.44
0.04
0.35
1.01
0.36
0.66
0.89
0.43

0.91
0.19
0.74
0.58
0.45
0.65
0.19
0.58

Illinois
Indiana
Michigan
Minnesota
Ohio
Wisconsin

0.71
1.42
2.08
1.79
1.91
1.48

0.91
1.60
0.79
1.38
0.53
2.09

0.57
1.68
2.08
0.66
0.85
0.32

0.41
0.55
1.14
1.22
0.69
0.60

0.68
0.59
0.78
0.82
0.59
0.23

Arkansas
Louisiana
New Mexico
Oklahoma
Texas

0.92
0.99
1.96
1.30
0.99

0.90
1.22
1.25
1.02
1.74

0.74
0.78
0.76
0.66
1.07

0.85
0.61
0.86
0.84
0.59

1.08
0.41
0.77
0.83
0.85

Colorado
Iowa
Kansas
Missouri
Montana
Nebraska
North Dakota
South Dakota
Utah
Wyoming

1.89
1.53
0.67
0.28
1.32
0.43
0.93
0.26
1.25
1.51

0.72
1.57
0.41
0.87
1.02
0.52
1.53
0.25
1.18
0.83

0.67
0.86
0.82
0.87
0.60
0.48
1.06
0.25
0.82
0.38

1.46
0.64
0.86
1.00
0.70
0.63
1.14
0.37
1.54
1.22

1.19
0.44
1.17
1.20
0.75
1.09
0.48
0.30
1.37
1.99

Alaska
Arizona
California
Guam
Hawaii
Idaho
Nevada
Oregon
Washington

1.19
1.14
1.23
2.10
0.59
0.90
0.98
1.47
0.49

2.51
1.44
1.70
2.43
1.30
0.80
1.09
0.43
0.54

1.52
2.42
1.29
1.00
0.56
0.65
1.09
0.48
0.43

0.14
1.76
1.26
1.25
0.76
0.79
1.34
0.36
0.61

0.24
1.69
1.92
1.65
0.61
0.58
1.83
0.19
0.48

U.S. Average

1.06

1.00

0.82

0.75

0.81

U.S. Error Rates FY 2002 - FY 2011


9
8
7
6

5
4
3
2
1
0
Over
Under
Payment

Exhibit #1

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

6.15

5.04

4.48

4.53

4.82

4.58

3.53

3.05

2.10
8.26

1.59
6.63

1.41
5.88

1.31
5.84

1.17
5.99

1.06
5.64

4.01
1.00
5.01

0.82
4.36

0.75
3.81

2.99
0.81
3.80

THIS PAGE IS INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK

10

TABLE 7: ISSUANCE & ISSUANCE IN ERROR, FY 2011

STATE

FY 2011
DOLLARS
OVERISSUED

FY 2011
ACTUAL ANNUAL
ISSUANCE

FY 2011
DOLLARS
UNDERISSUED

Connecticut
Maine
Massachusetts
New Hampshire
New York
Rhode Island
Vermont

$647,390,087
$382,131,426
$1,291,609,491
$162,679,478
$5,350,660,541
$274,736,117
$134,856,526

$28,595,220
$10,729,104
$49,924,582
$6,554,519
$204,191,908
$17,417,720
$9,470,434

$13,228,769
$1,793,343
$6,848,114
$1,282,077
$26,994,082
$4,260,058
$2,032,692

Delaware
Dist. of Col.
Maryland
New Jersey
Pennsylvania
Virginia
Virgin Islands
West Virginia

$205,304,944
$229,250,674
$1,035,175,750
$1,213,993,288
$2,647,473,519
$1,335,038,906
$47,877,095
$497,390,191

$4,121,291
$4,203,999
$49,904,788
$40,099,412
$72,662,558
$40,930,958
$1,596,222
$26,214,453

$1,064,711
$2,743,443
$12,798,913
$12,507,773
$14,775,550
$4,619,235
$685,361
$5,178,827

Alabama
Florida
Georgia
Kentucky
Mississippi
North Carolina
South Carolina
Tennessee

$1,492,961,298
$5,148,715,738
$2,891,615,163
$1,260,888,769
$921,109,139
$2,377,093,020
$1,339,644,859
$2,048,637,590

$62,469,980
$34,918,590
$56,872,287
$49,405,405
$21,834,892
$47,741,536
$39,477,994
$99,842,402

$13,633,723
$9,808,303
$21,525,183
$7,357,286
$4,188,283
$15,353,644
$2,541,306
$11,974,287

Illinois
Indiana
Michigan
Minnesota
Ohio
Wisconsin

$2,995,469,012
$1,386,478,333
$3,151,479,174
$698,408,893
$2,986,317,777
$1,117,802,969

$73,907,207
$37,407,185
$73,795,036
$29,305,936
$83,909,557
$19,909,189

$20,494,999
$8,166,357
$24,663,476
$5,720,667
$17,735,741
$2,617,895

Arkansas
Louisiana
New Mexico
Oklahoma
Texas

$722,195,399
$1,386,115,227
$631,681,353
$947,338,484
$5,993,125,493

$33,999,515
$49,399,761
$22,573,133
$29,413,913
$157,493,345

$7,803,321
$5,641,489
$4,886,055
$7,899,856
$51,169,305

Colorado
Iowa
Kansas
Missouri
Montana
Nebraska
North Dakota
South Dakota
Utah
Wyoming

$762,800,608
$566,732,507
$452,767,878
$1,437,886,768
$193,310,950
$256,477,504
$95,918,344
$162,135,500
$401,261,439
$53,162,213

$24,812,378
$20,000,557
$17,350,971
$67,265,781
$4,532,369
$8,745,626
$3,706,860
$2,098,682
$11,307,146
$4,058,510

$9,107,076
$2,521,393
$5,290,593
$17,244,576
$1,457,178
$2,788,423
$455,996
$480,570
$5,496,880
$1,059,098

Alaska
Arizona
California
Guam
Hawaii
Idaho
Nevada
Oregon
Washington

$176,385,311
$1,648,821,864
$6,484,358,594
$105,440,192
$412,604,147
$361,999,149
$496,867,234
$1,189,269,261
$1,602,557,358

$928,492
$76,708,140
$171,958,706
$4,848,773
$11,385,811
$7,030,385
$22,183,135
$45,177,961
$53,514,198

$416,798
$27,853,548
$124,739,606
$1,738,076
$2,508,633
$2,106,111
$9,085,217
$2,300,047
$7,621,763

$71,813,402,544

$2,147,908,510

$578,265,707

U.S. Total

11

TABLE 8: ACTIVE CASE ERROR RATES, FY 2011


STATE

REPORTED CASE ERROR RATES


OVERPAYMENT UNDERPAYMENT PAYMENT

Connecticut
Maine
Massachusetts
New Hampshire
New York
Rhode Island
Vermont

8.15
5.75
7.02
6.99
6.61
10.82
15.27

4.42
1.37
1.55
3.61
1.68
3.92
4.12

12.57
7.12
8.57
10.60
8.29
14.74
19.39

Delaware
Dist. of Col.
Maryland
New Jersey
Pennsylvania
Virginia
Virgin Islands
West Virginia

4.15
2.98
8.22
4.99
4.51
4.83
10.87
10.51

1.46
3.93
3.40
2.25
2.09
0.86
5.90
2.35

5.61
6.91
11.62
7.24
6.60
5.69
16.77
12.86

Alabama
Florida
Georgia
Kentucky
Mississippi
North Carolina
South Carolina
Tennessee

7.53
1.24
4.75
7.45
4.74
4.34
6.13
8.46

2.99
0.38
2.38
1.29
1.42
1.90
0.84
1.61

10.52
1.62
7.13
8.74
6.16
6.24
6.97
10.07

Illinois
Indiana
Michigan
Minnesota
Ohio
Wisconsin

4.05
5.68
4.97
7.77
5.36
3.17

2.21
1.96
2.65
2.62
2.08
0.74

6.26
7.64
7.62
10.39
7.44
3.91

Arkansas
Louisiana
New Mexico
Oklahoma
Texas

7.96
7.05
8.18
5.71
5.46

2.65
1.36
2.77
2.71
1.98

10.61
8.41
10.95
8.42
7.44

Colorado
Iowa
Kansas
Missouri
Montana
Nebraska
North Dakota
South Dakota
Utah
Wyoming

7.54
6.83
6.44
10.26
4.67
5.80
6.27
3.85
4.75
13.04

4.50
1.89
3.68
2.97
2.34
2.16
2.09
1.59
4.86
4.64

12.04
8.72
10.12
13.23
7.01
7.96
8.36
5.44
9.61
17.68

Alaska
Arizona
California
Guam
Hawaii
Idaho
Nevada
Oregon
Washington

2.74
8.73
6.30
14.05
5.66
4.19
9.15
7.31
5.31

1.29
4.95
6.11
7.41
2.43
2.21
4.43
0.77
1.22

4.03
13.68
12.41
21.46
8.09
6.40
13.58
8.08
6.53

U.S. Average

5.78

2.34

8.12

May 17, 2012, was the cut-off date for error rates used in this report.

12

TABLE 9: VALIDATED NEGATIVE CASE ERROR RATES, FY 2007 - FY 2011


STATE

FY 2007

FY 2008

FY 2009

FY 2010

FY 2011

6.61
2.41
3.84
1.20
8.65
4.00
1.80

7.78
2.29
6.64
1.44
13.19
3.19
3.73

13.41
2.10
6.95
1.50
7.11
7.16
5.54

26.52
2.91
8.54
2.97
8.55
8.58
20.70

12.69
1.69
7.65
4.00
7.06
5.64
19.33

Delaware
Dist. of Col.
Maryland
New Jersey
Pennsylvania
Virginia
Virgin Islands
West Virginia

14.89
23.17
17.66
13.27
7.70
9.25
1.05
4.29

10.66
23.93
14.55
11.41
4.06
11.11
4.17
4.76

5.63
35.10
14.27
7.79
5.98
10.70
27.18
7.62

8.79
7.92
18.06
8.81
8.81
8.57
14.65
5.65

9.90
11.50
19.92
11.54
11.31
8.17
9.86
7.48

Alabama
Florida
Georgia
Kentucky
Mississippi
North Carolina
South Carolina
Tennessee

0.51
20.02
8.19
3.72
3.08
1.70
8.46
5.00

6.08
17.98
4.13
9.44
3.89
3.54
8.08
7.29

8.01
5.70
8.47
11.40
4.29
3.12
22.99
4.38

7.57
6.27
15.29
6.32
4.16
4.04
7.38
5.87

13.58
9.00
7.94
4.32
2.30
5.52
22.05
10.19

Illinois
Indiana
Michigan
Minnesota
Ohio
Wisconsin

9.29
5.90
22.85
0.99
9.75
8.39

9.82
13.62
25.44
4.45
7.03
12.85

10.18
13.69
28.37
8.54
9.99
4.56

10.13
4.00
7.82
8.16
8.62
7.87

9.52
5.64
5.03
4.75
8.86
6.49

Arkansas
Louisiana
New Mexico
Oklahoma
Texas

9.76
5.68
8.36
11.22
19.43

8.73
4.95
8.01
4.71
21.41

4.42
4.64
3.86
6.73
14.82

4.89
6.59
4.09
5.84
6.44

7.36
5.43
3.91
5.56
5.36

Colorado
Iowa
Kansas
Missouri
Montana
Nebraska
North Dakota
South Dakota
Utah
Wyoming

12.46
5.26
1.59
2.85
2.66
0.00
4.53
0.25
5.60
5.80

7.25
4.10
2.79
6.98
2.12
0.00
2.25
0.47
7.12
3.04

7.00
4.65
5.79
8.12
2.24
0.00
4.38
0.70
6.51
2.74

6.50
2.47
3.46
7.90
2.21
0.00
1.24
0.25
12.56
4.17

6.37
4.40
3.75
5.43
2.10
3.15
2.44
0.46
11.98
3.59

Alaska
Arizona
California
Guam
Hawaii
Idaho
Nevada
Oregon
Washington

6.32
9.29
17.86
18.66
7.88
5.21
8.31
5.26
3.87

8.06
12.05
13.65
14.03
3.62
0.72
7.59
4.20
1.90

6.37
12.35
13.89
19.35
3.90
2.76
8.19
2.61
3.86

4.03
12.02
14.67
17.10
6.72
2.39
14.63
2.12
3.66

1.07
18.08
10.61
18.37
8.03
1.97
11.49
2.65
3.06

U.S. Average

10.94

10.96

9.41

8.43

8.30

Connecticut
Maine
Massachusetts
New Hampshire
New York
Rhode Island
Vermont

13

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14

U.S. Validated and Reported Negative Case


Error Rates FY 2009 - FY 2011
12

10

15

9.41
8

8.51

8.30
8.43

7.49

7.76

Validated
Reported

FY 2009

Exhibit #2

FY 2010

FY 2011

THIS PAGE IS INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK

16

TABLE 10: REPORTED VS. VALIDATED NEGATIVE CASE ERROR RATES - FY 2011
REPORTED
FY 2011

VALIDATED
FY 2011

Connecticut
Maine
Massachusetts
New Hampshire
New York
Rhode Island
Vermont

12.11
1.69
5.89
3.11
7.06
5.64
19.33

12.69
1.69
7.65
4.00
7.06
5.64
19.33

Delaware
Dist. of Col.
Maryland
New Jersey
Pennsylvania
Virginia
Virgin Islands
West Virginia

7.95
9.98
18.33
10.39
10.68
7.60
8.55
6.43

9.90
11.50
19.92
11.54
11.31
8.17
9.86
7.48

Alabama
Florida
Georgia
Kentucky
Mississippi
North Carolina
South Carolina
Tennessee

13.09
8.54
7.94
3.76
2.30
5.52
14.46
8.37

13.58
9.00
7.94
4.32
2.30
5.52
22.05
10.19

Illinois
Indiana
Michigan
Minnesota
Ohio
Wisconsin

9.05
3.07
4.44
4.14
8.40
4.75

9.52
5.64
5.03
4.75
8.86
6.49

Arkansas
Louisiana
New Mexico
Oklahoma
Texas

7.36
4.82
3.91
4.96
3.57

7.36
5.43
3.91
5.56
5.36

Colorado
Iowa
Kansas
Missouri
Montana
Nebraska
North Dakota
South Dakota
Utah
Wyoming

6.29
3.83
3.75
4.93
2.10
1.00
2.44
0.46
11.36
3.59

6.37
4.40
3.75
5.43
2.10
3.15
2.44
0.46
11.98
3.59

Alaska
Arizona
California
Guam
Hawaii
Idaho
Nevada
Oregon
Washington

1.07
18.08
9.58
19.79
7.45
1.97
11.49
2.65
2.97

1.07
18.08
10.61
18.37
8.03
1.97
11.49
2.65
3.06

U.S. Average

7.49

8.30

STATE

17

Performance Bonuses for Fiscal Year 2011


A total of $48 million in performance bonuses is shared among high performing States
in the following categories:

Best and Most Improved Payment Error


Rate ($24 million shared)
Best and Most Improved Negative Error
Rate ($6 million shared)

Participant Access Rate ($12 million


shared)*
Timeliness of Application Processing
($6 million shared)*
*Participant Access and Timeliness
Bonuses are announced in September
following the previous fiscal year.

The amount each State receives within a specific category is prorated based on
caseload. The Payment and Negative Error Rate Bonuses are awarded based on QC
findings covered by this annual report.
The FY 2011 awardees for the Payment Error Rate and Negative Error Rate bonuses
are:
For Best Payment Error Rate:
Alaska
Florida
South Dakota
Wisconsin
Idaho
Delaware
North Carolina

$
$
$
$
$
$
$

For Best Negative Error Rate:


289,997
9,087,687
336,114
2,106,427
622,079
435,208
4,078,929

For Most Improved Payment Error Rate:


Virginia
South Carolina
Massachusetts

$
$
$

South Dakota
Alaska
Maine
Idaho

$
$
$
$

313,114
272,116
719,248
572,945

For Most Improved Negative Error Rate:

2,303,828 Georgia
2,217,828 Virgin Islands
2,521,903

18

$
$

3,975,869
145,929

Liability Amounts for Fiscal Year 2011

Under the Food and Nutrition Act of 2008,


a liability shall be established whenever,
for 2 consecutive years, there is a
95 percent statistical probability that a
States payment error rate exceeds
105 percent of the national performance
average.

The FY 2011 States assessed liabilities


and that had a 95 percent statistical
probability of their payment error rate
exceeding 105 percent of the national
performance average are:
Assessed a Liability:

In FY 2011, ten States error rates


exceeded the liability level for the second
consecutive year. Liabilities totaling an
aggregate of $2.1 million were established
against only eight States as two States'
error rates are below the 6.00 percent
potential liability threshold provided in the
Act. The Departments settlement offer to
these States was 50 percent designated
as at-risk for repayment if the same
probability exists again in FY 2012; and
50 percent was designated for new
investment activities. In addition to these
ten States, two additional States
exceeded the liability level for the first
year. These twelve States are potentially
liable in FY 2012 should their
performance again exceed the liability
level.

Arizona
Arkansas*
Connecticut
Guam
Maryland
Missouri*
Nevada
Rhode Island
Vermont
West Virginia

$560,599
$
0
$297,799
$ 26,360
$ 62,111
$
0
$144,091
$519,251
$341,187
$154,191

*Because Arkansas and Missouris error


rates are below the 6 percent threshold
provided in the Act, no liability amount is
established.
Poorly performing States are not held
liable for all errors. Penalties are
assessed for only that portion of the error
rate that is above 6 percent.
To calculate the liability, take the value of
all allotments issued by the State agency
in the fiscal year, multiply the difference
between 6 percent and the States
payment error rate, times 10 percent.
Exceeded First Year Liability Level:
Tennessee and Wyoming

19

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20

Official State Payment Error Rates


FY 2011
12

10

21

In Liability Status

States

In First Year of Potential Liability Status


Neither in Liability nor Active Payment Error Rate Bonus Position
Received a Bonus for Best or Most Improved Active Payment Error Rate

Exhibit #3

AK
AZ
CA
GU
HI
ID
NV
OR
WA

CO
IA
KS
MO
MT
NE
ND
SD
UT
WY

AR
LA
NM
OK
TX

IL
IN
MI
MN
OH
WI

AL
FL
GA
KY
MS
NC
SC
TN

DE
DC
MD
NJ
PA
VA
VI
WV

CT
ME
MA
NH
NY
RI
VT

THIS PAGE IS INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK

22

PART II:
VARIANCES

Part II provides information on variances. A


variance occurs in a case when information
verified by the QC reviewer differs from
information used at the time of the most
recent certification action, when policy has
been misapplied for individual elements of
eligibility or the basis of issuance is
incorrect. Not all variances result in a case
being cited for a dollar error.
Only variances occurring in dollar error
cases are included in this report. For Tables
19, 20, and 21 we assume that the first
variance coded is the primary variance. All
error amounts are assigned to this variance.
All variances (primary and otherwise) cited
for a particular case are included in the
remaining Tables.

VARIANCES
What is a variance?

What variances are included in this


report?

Variances occur when information verified


by the QC reviewer differs from
information used at the time of the most
recent certification action or when policy
has been misapplied for individual
elements of eligibility or the basis of
issuance is incorrect. Not all variances
result in a case being cited for a dollar
error.

Only variances occurring in dollar error


cases are included in this report. For all
variance tables, other than Tables 19, 20,
and 21, all variances cited in the case are
included. For Tables 19, 20, and 21 we
assume that the first variance coded is the
primary variance. All error amounts are
assigned to this variance.

What are the Program factors referred to in Tables 11 through 13?


NON-FINANCIAL ELIGIBILITY refers to
non-financial factors considered in
determining a household's eligibility.
These include Age & Student Status,
Citizenship & Non-Citizenship, Residency,
Household Composition, Work
Requirements, and Social Security
Number.

DEDUCTIONS refer to the allowed


deductions from a household's gross
income. These include the Earned
Income, Dependent Care, Standard
Shelter, Medical and Child Support
Payment deductions.

RESOURCES refer to a household's liquid


or non-liquid assets. These include Bank
INCOME refers to a household's Earned
Accounts or Cash on Hand, Nonrecurring
(Wages & Salaries, Self-employment, etc.) Lump Sum Payments, Personal Property,
Real Property, and Vehicles, etc.
or Unearned Income (Veterans Benefits,
Unemployment Compensation, Worker's
For additional information, please refer to
Compensation, and Other Government
The Supplemental Nutrition Assistance
Programs (PA, RSDI, SSI, etc.))
Program Quality Control Review
Handbook FNS-310.
OTHER refers to variances occurring in
areas such as Arithmetic Computation,
Monthly Reporting, FS Simplification
Project, and Demonstration Projects.

24

TABLE 11: DISTRIBUTION OF VARIANCES BY PROGRAM FACTOR, BY PERCENT


ALL ERROR CASES, FY 2011
STATE

NON-FINANCIAL
VARIANCES

RESOURCE
VARIANCES

INCOME
VARIANCES

DEDUCTIONS
VARIANCES

OTHER
VARIANCES

Connecticut
Maine
Massachusetts
New Hampshire
New York
Rhode Island
Vermont

14.14
16.09
17.86
9.89
18.92
6.78
11.65

0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.46

57.07
45.98
45.24
53.85
61.12
50.99
43.69

28.27
36.78
35.71
34.07
18.72
42.24
42.72

0.52
1.15
1.19
2.20
1.25
0.00
0.49

Delaware
Dist. of Col.
Maryland
New Jersey
Pennsylvania
Virginia
Virgin Islands
West Virginia

11.32
9.76
10.63
17.53
6.67
11.48
15.15
12.58

0.00
1.22
0.00
0.00
0.00
4.92
0.00
0.00

47.17
40.24
51.21
59.79
68.33
47.54
68.18
57.62

33.96
45.12
38.16
22.68
23.33
34.43
15.15
29.80

7.55
3.66
0.00
0.00
1.67
1.64
1.52
0.00

Alabama
Florida
Georgia
Kentucky
Mississippi
No. Carolina
So. Carolina
Tennessee

10.92
14.29
14.74
15.97
6.33
14.13
12.05
8.64

0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
3.59

57.98
38.10
46.32
47.22
74.68
50.00
61.45
60.97

29.41
47.62
38.95
36.81
18.99
35.87
26.51
21.10

1.68
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
5.70

Illinois
Indiana
Michigan
Minnesota
Ohio
Wisconsin

17.10
11.93
18.18
8.97
8.11
2.63

0.00
0.92
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

53.22
54.13
53.41
53.10
47.97
55.26

29.68
32.11
28.41
37.24
42.57
39.47

0.00
0.92
0.00
0.69
1.35
2.63

Arkansas
Louisiana
New Mexico
Oklahoma
Texas

13.89
11.54
12.77
16.24
12.26

4.86
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

47.92
55.38
51.72
49.57
58.49

31.94
33.08
33.72
33.33
29.25

1.39
0.00
1.79
0.85
0.00

Colorado
Iowa
Kansas
Missouri
Montana
Nebraska
North Dakota
South Dakota
Utah
Wyoming

8.82
10.84
12.80
8.49
19.23
6.60
5.66
6.00
15.44
12.12

0.74
0.00
2.40
0.47
0.00
3.77
0.00
4.00
0.74
2.02

55.88
59.04
40.00
49.53
42.31
43.40
67.92
54.00
40.44
65.66

33.82
26.51
41.60
41.51
38.46
45.28
26.42
36.00
41.18
20.20

0.74
3.61
3.20
0.00
0.00
0.94
0.00
0.00
2.21
0.00

Alaska
Arizona
California
Guam
Hawaii
Idaho
Nevada
Oregon
Washington

14.29
17.02
25.81
17.07
7.73
7.69
20.42
12.10
21.35

2.86
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.49
0.00
0.00
0.00

48.57
57.45
40.13
54.85
52.83
52.20
47.89
48.39
51.69

34.29
24.82
32.33
28.08
37.25
37.05
31.69
38.71
26.97

0.00
0.71
1.73
0.00
2.19
1.57
0.00
0.81
0.00

U.S. Average

14.90

0.38

52.62

31.11

0.99

25

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26

Distribution of Variances By Element


INCOME
52.62%

27

RESOURCE
0.38%

NON-FINANCIAL
14.90%

DEDUCTIONS
31.11%
OTHER
0.99%

Exhibit #4

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28

TABLE 12: DISTRIBUTION OF VARIANCES BY PROGRAM FACTOR, BY PERCENT


OVERPAYMENT CASES, FY 2011
STATE

NON-FINANCIAL RESOURCE
VARIANCES VARIANCES

INCOME
VARIANCES

DEDUCTIONS
VARIANCES

OTHER
VARIANCES

Connecticut
Maine
Massachusetts
New Hampshire
New York
Rhode Island
Vermont

15.20
11.43
15.94
8.47
17.37
5.36
12.50

0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.87

64.80
50.00
52.17
64.41
70.20
54.40
43.12

19.20
37.14
30.43
27.12
12.43
40.25
42.50

0.80
1.43
1.45
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

Delaware
Dist. of Col.
Maryland
New Jersey
Pennsylvania
Virginia
Virgin Islands
West Virginia

11.90
12.82
9.49
16.18
4.88
10.00
11.11
12.20

0.00
2.56
0.00
0.00
0.00
6.00
0.00
0.00

47.62
58.97
56.20
58.82
70.73
52.00
71.11
59.35

30.95
23.08
34.31
25.00
24.39
32.00
15.56
28.46

9.52
2.56
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.22
0.00

Alabama
Florida
Georgia
Kentucky
Mississippi
No. Carolina
So. Carolina
Tennessee

9.52
20.00
13.56
14.29
8.20
9.23
13.70
8.20

0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
4.36

66.67
53.33
54.24
46.22
73.77
56.92
58.90
64.10

21.43
26.67
32.20
39.50
18.03
33.85
27.40
20.52

2.38
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.82

Illinois
Indiana
Michigan
Minnesota
Ohio
Wisconsin

16.35
10.13
16.98
7.27
8.26
3.23

0.00
1.27
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

64.13
58.23
58.49
59.09
50.46
58.06

19.52
30.38
24.53
32.73
39.45
35.48

0.00
0.00
0.00
0.91
1.83
3.23

Arkansas
Louisiana
New Mexico
Oklahoma
Texas

9.26
12.04
12.26
11.69
12.82

6.48
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

53.70
57.41
52.34
61.04
66.67

28.70
30.56
34.63
25.97
20.51

1.85
0.00
0.77
1.30
0.00

Colorado
Iowa
Kansas
Missouri
Montana
Nebraska
North Dakota
South Dakota
Utah
Wyoming

7.14
10.77
9.09
5.10
21.15
7.04
7.69
9.09
16.42
9.59

1.19
0.00
3.90
0.64
0.00
5.63
0.00
6.06
1.49
2.74

63.10
66.15
48.05
49.68
44.23
50.70
69.23
60.61
43.28
73.97

28.57
21.54
35.06
44.59
34.62
36.62
23.08
24.24
35.82
13.70

0.00
1.54
3.90
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.99
0.00

Alaska
Arizona
California
Guam
Hawaii
Idaho
Nevada
Oregon
Washington

15.38
18.89
27.15
14.52
1.62
4.75
20.00
13.64
23.68

3.85
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.26
0.00
0.00
0.00

53.85
56.67
50.40
63.69
59.25
55.77
50.53
49.09
51.32

26.92
23.33
22.45
21.78
37.50
34.84
29.47
36.36
25.00

0.00
1.11
0.00
0.00
1.62
2.38
0.00
0.91
0.00

U.S. Average

13.83

0.54

58.50

26.59

0.54

29

TABLE 13: DISTRIBUTION OF VARIANCES BY PROGRAM FACTOR, BY PERCENT


UNDERPAYMENT CASES, FY 2011
STATE

NON-FINANCIAL RESOURCE
VARIANCES VARIANCES

INCOME DEDUCTIONS
OTHER
VARIANCES VARIANCES VARIANCES

Connecticut
Maine
Massachusetts
New Hampshire
New York
Rhode Island
Vermont

12.12
35.29
26.67
12.50
25.01
10.27
8.70

0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

42.42
29.41
13.33
34.38
25.47
42.61
45.65

45.45
35.29
60.00
46.87
43.38
47.13
43.48

0.00
0.00
0.00
6.25
6.14
0.00
2.17

Delaware
Dist. of Col.
Maryland
New Jersey
Pennsylvania
Virginia
Virgin Islands
West Virginia

9.09
6.98
12.86
20.69
10.53
18.18
23.81
14.29

0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

45.45
23.26
41.43
62.07
63.16
27.27
61.90
50.00

45.45
65.12
45.71
17.24
21.05
45.45
14.29
35.71

0.00
4.65
0.00
0.00
5.26
9.09
0.00
0.00

Alabama
Florida
Georgia
Kentucky
Mississippi
No. Carolina
So. Carolina
Tennessee

14.29
0.00
16.67
24.00
0.00
25.93
0.00
10.69

0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

37.14
0.00
33.33
52.00
77.78
33.33
80.00
46.44

48.57
100.00
50.00
24.00
22.22
40.74
20.00
23.79

0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
19.08

Illinois
Indiana
Michigan
Minnesota
Ohio
Wisconsin

18.21
16.67
20.00
14.29
7.69
0.00

0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

37.12
43.33
45.71
34.29
41.03
42.86

44.67
36.67
34.29
51.43
51.28
57.14

0.00
3.33
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

Arkansas
Louisiana
New Mexico
Oklahoma
Texas

27.78
9.09
14.25
25.00
10.71

0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

30.56
45.45
49.91
27.50
35.71

41.67
45.45
31.06
47.50
53.57

0.00
0.00
4.77
0.00
0.00

Colorado
Iowa
Kansas
Missouri
Montana
Nebraska
North Dakota
South Dakota
Utah
Wyoming

11.54
11.11
18.75
18.18
15.38
5.71
0.00
0.00
14.49
19.23

0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

44.23
33.33
27.08
49.09
38.46
28.57
64.29
41.18
37.68
42.31

42.31
44.44
52.08
32.73
46.15
62.86
35.71
58.82
46.38
38.46

1.92
11.11
2.08
0.00
0.00
2.86
0.00
0.00
1.45
0.00

Alaska
Arizona
California
Guam
Hawaii
Idaho
Nevada
Oregon
Washington

11.11
13.73
24.45
21.05
22.71
13.40
21.28
0.00
7.69

0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

33.33
58.82
29.72
41.01
37.05
45.27
42.55
42.86
53.85

55.56
27.45
42.35
37.94
36.65
41.33
36.17
57.14
38.46

0.00
0.00
3.49
0.00
3.58
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

U.S. Average

17.44

0.00

38.79

41.72

2.05

30

TABLE 14: AGENCY AND CLIENT VARIANCES AND CASE ERROR RATES
ALL ERROR CASES, FY 2011
DISTRIBUTION OF ALL VARIANCES (%)
CASE ERROR RATES (%)
STATE
AGENCY
CLIENT
OTHER
AGENCY CLIENT OTHER TOTAL
Connecticut
Maine
Massachusetts
New Hampshire
New York
Rhode Island
Vermont

78.01
60.92
36.90
69.23
57.91
80.32
83.01

21.47
39.08
63.10
30.77
42.09
19.68
16.50

0.52
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.49

9.81
4.34
3.16
7.34
4.80
11.84
16.10

2.70
2.78
5.41
3.26
3.49
2.90
3.20

0.07
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.10

12.57
7.12
8.57
10.60
8.29
14.74
19.39

Delaware
Dist. of Col.
Maryland
New Jersey
Pennsylvania
Virginia
Virgin Islands
West Virginia

67.92
75.61
77.78
58.76
88.33
68.85
63.64
62.91

32.08
23.17
22.22
39.18
11.67
29.51
36.36
36.42

0.00
1.22
0.00
2.06
0.00
1.64
0.00
0.66

3.81
5.22
9.04
4.25
5.83
3.92
10.67
8.09

1.80
1.60
2.58
2.84
0.77
1.68
6.10
4.68

0.00
0.08
0.00
0.15
0.00
0.09
0.00
0.08

5.61
6.91
11.62
7.24
6.60
5.69
16.77
12.86

Alabama
Florida
Georgia
Kentucky
Mississippi
No. Carolina
So. Carolina
Tennessee

64.71
61.90
64.21
55.56
64.56
70.65
57.83
56.75

33.61
38.10
34.74
43.75
35.44
28.26
42.17
41.13

1.68
0.00
1.05
0.69
0.00
1.09
0.00
2.12

6.81
1.00
4.58
4.86
3.98
4.41
4.03
5.71

3.54
0.62
2.48
3.82
2.18
1.76
2.94
4.14

0.18
0.00
0.07
0.06
0.00
0.07
0.00
0.21

10.52
1.62
7.13
8.74
6.16
6.24
6.97
10.07

Illinois
Indiana
Michigan
Minnesota
Ohio
Wisconsin

81.26
77.98
76.14
78.62
85.14
65.79

18.74
22.02
22.73
20.00
14.86
34.21

0.00
0.00
1.14
1.38
0.00
0.00

5.09
5.96
5.80
8.17
2.84
2.57

1.17
1.68
1.73
2.08
0.49
1.34

0.00
0.00
0.09
0.14
0.00
0.00

6.26
7.64
7.62
10.39
3.33
3.91

Arkansas
Louisiana
New Mexico
Oklahoma
Texas

56.94
50.77
62.32
68.38
70.75

43.06
48.46
37.68
31.62
29.25

0.00
0.77
0.00
0.00
0.00

6.04
4.27
6.82
5.76
5.26

4.57
4.08
4.13
2.66
2.18

0.00
0.06
0.00
0.00
0.00

10.61
8.41
10.95
8.42
7.44

Colorado
Iowa
Kansas
Missouri
Montana
Nebraska
North Dakota
South Dakota
Utah
Wyoming

86.76
59.04
71.20
61.79
74.36
67.92
60.38
66.00
78.68
48.48

13.24
40.96
28.80
38.21
23.08
30.19
39.62
34.00
20.59
50.50

0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.56
1.89
0.00
0.00
0.74
1.01

10.45
5.15
7.21
8.17
5.21
5.41
5.05
3.59
7.56
8.57

1.59
3.57
2.91
5.06
1.62
2.40
3.31
1.85
1.98
8.93

0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.18
0.15
0.00
0.00
0.07
0.18

12.04
8.72
10.12
13.23
7.01
7.96
8.36
5.44
9.61
17.68

Alaska
Arizona
California
Guam
Hawaii
Idaho
Nevada
Oregon
Washington

94.29
87.94
77.23
76.95
82.81
54.15
63.38
50.81
68.54

2.86
12.06
22.77
23.05
17.19
45.85
35.92
49.19
31.46

2.86
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.70
0.00
0.00

3.80
12.03
9.58
16.51
6.70
3.47
8.61
4.11
4.48

0.12
1.65
2.83
4.95
1.39
2.93
4.88
3.97
2.05

0.12
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.10
0.00
0.00

4.03
13.68
12.41
21.46
8.09
6.40
13.58
8.08
6.53

U.S. Average

69.09

30.52

0.39

5.49

2.42

0.03

7.94

31

TABLE 15: AGENCY AND CLIENT VARIANCES AND CASE ERROR RATES
OVERPAYMENT CASES, FY 2011
STATE

DISTRIBUTION OF ALL VARIANCES (%)


AGENCY
CLIENT
OTHER

CASE ERROR RATES (%)


AGENCY CLIENT
OTHER TOTAL

Connecticut
Maine
Massachusetts
New Hampshire
New York
Rhode Island
Vermont

68.80
52.86
30.43
57.63
48.76
74.06
80.00

30.40
47.14
69.57
42.37
51.24
25.94
19.37

0.80
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.62

5.61
3.04
2.14
4.03
3.22
8.01
12.22

2.48
2.71
4.88
2.96
3.39
2.81
2.96

0.07
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.09

8.15
5.75
7.02
6.99
6.61
10.82
15.27

Delaware
Dist. of Col.
Maryland
New Jersey
Pennsylvania
Virginia
Virgin Islands
West Virginia

61.90
56.41
70.07
50.00
85.37
64.00
57.78
55.28

38.10
43.59
29.93
47.06
14.63
34.00
42.22
43.90

0.00
0.00
0.00
2.94
0.00
2.00
0.00
0.81

2.57
1.68
5.76
2.50
3.85
3.09
6.28
5.81

1.58
1.30
2.46
2.35
0.66
1.64
4.59
4.61

0.00
0.00
0.00
0.15
0.00
0.10
0.00
0.09

4.15
2.98
8.22
4.99
4.51
4.83
10.87
10.51

Alabama
Florida
Georgia
Kentucky
Mississippi
No. Carolina
So. Carolina
Tennessee

54.76
60.00
52.54
49.58
54.10
64.62
54.79
48.20

44.05
40.00
45.76
49.58
45.90
33.85
45.21
49.22

1.19
0.00
1.69
0.84
0.00
1.54
0.00
2.57

4.12
0.74
2.50
3.69
2.56
2.80
3.36
4.08

3.32
0.50
2.17
3.69
2.18
1.47
2.77
4.16

0.09
0.00
0.08
0.06
0.00
0.07
0.00
0.22

7.53
1.24
4.75
7.45
4.74
4.34
6.13
8.46

Illinois
Indiana
Michigan
Minnesota
Ohio
Wisconsin

72.24
72.15
69.81
74.55
79.82
58.06

27.76
27.85
30.19
23.64
20.18
41.94

0.00
0.00
0.00
1.82
0.00
0.00

2.93
4.10
3.47
5.79
2.20
1.84

1.12
1.58
1.50
1.84
0.55
1.33

0.00
0.00
0.00
0.14
0.00
0.00

4.05
5.68
4.97
7.77
2.75
3.17

Arkansas
Louisiana
New Mexico
Oklahoma
Texas

46.30
45.37
54.30
53.25
65.38

53.70
54.63
45.70
46.75
34.62

0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

3.69
3.20
4.44
3.04
3.57

4.27
3.85
3.74
2.67
1.89

0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

7.96
7.05
8.18
5.71
5.46

Colorado
Iowa
Kansas
Missouri
Montana
Nebraska
North Dakota
South Dakota
Utah
Wyoming

79.76
50.77
62.34
57.32
67.31
60.56
51.28
57.58
64.18
41.10

20.24
49.23
37.66
42.68
30.77
36.62
48.72
42.42
34.33
57.53

0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.92
2.82
0.00
0.00
1.49
1.37

6.01
3.47
4.01
5.88
3.14
3.51
3.22
2.22
3.05
5.36

1.53
3.36
2.43
4.38
1.44
2.12
3.05
1.63
1.63
7.50

0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.09
0.16
0.00
0.00
0.07
0.18

7.54
6.83
6.44
10.26
4.67
5.80
6.27
3.85
4.75
13.04

Alaska
Arizona
California
Guam
Hawaii
Idaho
Nevada
Oregon
Washington

92.31
85.56
64.67
71.65
78.90
35.19
48.42
50.91
63.16

3.85
14.44
35.33
28.35
21.10
64.81
51.58
49.09
36.84

3.85
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

2.53
7.47
4.07
10.07
4.47
1.47
4.43
3.72
3.35

0.11
1.26
2.23
3.98
1.19
2.72
4.72
3.59
1.96

0.11
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

2.74
8.73
6.30
14.05
5.66
4.19
9.15
7.31
5.31

U.S. Average

60.70

38.89

0.42

3.44

2.20

0.02

5.66

32

TABLE 16: AGENCY AND CLIENT VARIANCES AND CASE ERROR RATES
UNDERPAYMENT ERROR CASES , FY 2011
DISTRIBUTION OF ALL VARIANCES (%)
CASE ERROR RATES (%)
STATE
AGENCY CLIENT OTHER
AGENCY CLIENT OTHER TOTAL
Connecticut
Maine
Massachusetts
New Hampshire
New York
Rhode Island
Vermont

95.45
94.12
66.67
90.62
93.81
95.72
93.48

4.55
5.88
33.33
9.38
6.19
4.28
6.52

0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

4.22
1.29
1.03
3.27
1.58
3.75
3.85

0.20
0.08
0.52
0.34
0.10
0.17
0.27

0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

4.42
1.37
1.55
3.61
1.68
3.92
4.12

Delaware
Dist. of Col.
Maryland
New Jersey
Pennsylvania
Virginia
Virgin Islands
West Virginia

90.91
93.02
92.86
79.31
94.74
90.91
76.19
96.43

9.09
4.65
7.14
20.69
5.26
9.09
23.81
3.57

0.00
2.33
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

1.33
3.66
3.16
1.78
1.98
0.78
4.50
2.27

0.13
0.18
0.24
0.47
0.11
0.08
1.40
0.08

0.00
0.09
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

1.46
3.93
3.40
2.25
2.09
0.86
5.90
2.35

Alabama
Florida
Georgia
Kentucky
Mississippi
No. Carolina
So. Carolina
Tennessee

88.57
66.67
83.33
84.00
100.00
85.19
80.00
96.44

8.57
33.33
16.67
16.00
0.00
14.81
20.00
3.56

2.86
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

2.65
0.25
1.98
1.08
1.42
1.62
0.67
1.55

0.26
0.13
0.40
0.21
0.00
0.28
0.17
0.06

0.09
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

2.99
0.38
2.38
1.29
1.42
1.90
0.84
1.61

Illinois
Indiana
Michigan
Minnesota
Ohio
Wisconsin

94.57
93.33
85.71
91.43
100.00
100.00

5.43
6.67
11.43
8.57
0.00
0.00

0.00
0.00
2.86
0.00
0.00
0.00

2.09
1.83
2.27
2.40
0.58
0.74

0.12
0.13
0.30
0.22
0.00
0.00

0.00
0.00
0.08
0.00
0.00
0.00

2.21
1.96
2.65
2.62
0.58
0.74

Arkansas
Louisiana
New Mexico
Oklahoma
Texas

88.89
77.27
85.88
97.50
85.71

11.11
18.18
14.12
2.50
14.29

0.00
4.55
0.00
0.00
0.00

2.36
1.05
2.38
2.64
1.70

0.29
0.25
0.39
0.07
0.28

0.00
0.06
0.00
0.00
0.00

2.65
1.36
2.77
2.71
1.98

Colorado
Iowa
Kansas
Missouri
Montana
Nebraska
North Dakota
South Dakota
Utah
Wyoming

98.08
88.89
85.42
74.55
88.46
82.86
85.71
82.35
92.75
69.23

1.92
11.11
14.58
25.45
7.69
17.14
14.29
17.65
7.25
30.77

0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
3.85
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

4.41
1.68
3.14
2.21
2.07
1.79
1.79
1.31
4.51
3.21

0.09
0.21
0.54
0.76
0.18
0.37
0.30
0.28
0.35
1.43

0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.09
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

4.50
1.89
3.68
2.97
2.34
2.16
2.09
1.59
4.86
4.64

Alaska
Arizona
California
Guam
Hawaii
Idaho
Nevada
Oregon
Washington

100.00
92.16
89.97
85.26
92.43
90.99
93.62
50.00
100.00

0.00
7.84
10.03
14.74
7.57
9.01
4.26
50.00
0.00

0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.13
0.00
0.00

1.29
4.56
5.50
6.32
2.25
2.01
4.15
0.39
1.22

0.00
0.39
0.61
1.09
0.18
0.20
0.19
0.39
0.00

0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.09
0.00
0.00

1.29
4.95
6.11
7.41
2.43
2.21
4.43
0.77
1.22

U.S. Average

89.03

10.64

0.32

2.03

0.24

0.01

2.28

33

TABLE 17: DISTRIBUTION OF VARIANCES BY HOW DISCOVERED


ALL ERROR CASES, FY 2011

STATE

PERCENT
DISCOVERED
FROM
CASEFILE

PERCENT
DISCOVERED
FROM
HOUSEHOLD
INTERVIEW

PERCENT
DISCOVERED
FROM
COLLATERAL
CONTACTS

Connecticut
Maine
Massachusetts
New Hampshire
New York
Rhode Island
Vermont

47.12
28.74
35.71
58.24
50.43
58.06
64.08

32.98
45.98
50.00
21.98
27.95
32.61
23.30

19.90
25.29
14.29
19.78
21.62
9.33
12.62

Delaware
Dist. of Col.
Maryland
New Jersey
Pennsylvania
Virginia
Virgin Islands
West Virginia

43.40
43.90
53.62
35.05
76.67
54.10
60.61
35.10

47.17
29.27
21.74
36.08
11.67
27.87
33.33
43.05

9.43
26.83
24.64
28.87
11.67
18.03
6.06
21.85

Alabama
Florida
Georgia
Kentucky
Mississippi
No. Carolina
So. Carolina
Tennessee

52.94
42.86
53.68
41.67
60.76
56.52
38.55
28.03

31.09
42.86
22.11
27.78
21.52
23.91
32.53
43.67

15.97
14.29
24.21
30.56
17.72
19.57
28.92
28.29

Illinois
Indiana
Michigan
Minnesota
Ohio
Wisconsin

59.79
78.90
62.50
62.76
82.43
44.74

25.47
12.84
25.00
17.24
12.84
34.21

14.74
8.26
12.50
20.00
4.73
21.05

Arkansas
Louisiana
New Mexico
Oklahoma
Texas

43.06
37.69
57.31
64.10
44.34

29.17
41.54
31.03
22.22
30.19

27.78
20.77
11.66
13.68
25.47

Colorado
Iowa
Kansas
Missouri
Montana
Nebraska
North Dakota
South Dakota
Utah
Wyoming

77.94
44.58
60.00
41.04
66.67
52.83
66.04
52.00
68.38
37.37

9.56
37.35
14.40
33.96
23.08
24.53
7.55
24.00
19.85
35.35

12.50
18.07
25.60
25.00
10.26
22.64
26.42
24.00
11.76
27.27

Alaska
Arizona
California
Guam
Hawaii
Idaho
Nevada
Oregon
Washington

85.71
79.43
63.78
58.93
63.32
38.69
52.82
40.32
58.43

8.57
12.77
27.75
35.56
23.64
33.83
30.28
28.23
25.84

5.71
7.80
8.47
5.51
13.03
27.48
16.90
31.45
15.73

U.S. Average

54.29

27.62

18.09

34

TABLE 18: PERCENT OF VARIANCES BY TIME OF OCCURRENCE


ALL ERROR CASES, FY 2011

STATE

BEFORE OR AT
MOST RECENT
CERTIFICATION

SUBSEQUENT TO
MOST RECENT
CERTIFICATION

OCCURRENCE
CANNOT BE
DETERMINED

Connecticut
Maine
Massachusetts
New Hampshire
New York
Rhode Island
Vermont

81.15
82.76
63.10
76.92
72.11
56.64
71.36

18.32
17.24
36.90
21.98
27.89
43.36
28.64

0.52
0.00
0.00
1.10
0.00
0.00
0.00

Delaware
Dist. of Col.
Maryland
New Jersey
Pennsylvania
Virginia
Virgin Islands
West Virginia

60.37
84.14
87.44
81.44
76.67
77.05
90.91
72.85

39.62
14.63
12.56
18.56
23.33
22.95
9.09
26.49

0.00
1.22
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.66

Alabama
Florida
Georgia
Kentucky
Mississippi
No. Carolina
So. Carolina
Tennessee

64.70
95.24
89.48
75.69
69.62
88.04
83.13
90.30

35.29
4.76
10.53
24.31
30.38
11.96
16.87
9.70

0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

Illinois
Indiana
Michigan
Minnesota
Ohio
Wisconsin

79.68
70.64
69.32
71.04
52.70
71.05

20.31
29.36
30.68
28.97
47.30
28.95

0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

Arkansas
Louisiana
New Mexico
Oklahoma
Texas

89.58
80.00
45.33
58.97
84.90

10.42
20.00
54.67
41.03
15.09

0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

Colorado
Iowa
Kansas
Missouri
Montana
Nebraska
North Dakota
South Dakota
Utah
Wyoming

80.88
89.15
69.60
66.51
71.80
55.66
71.69
64.00
76.47
51.51

17.65
10.84
29.60
33.49
25.64
44.34
28.30
36.00
22.79
48.48

1.47
0.00
0.80
0.00
2.56
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.74
0.00

Alaska
Arizona
California
Guam
Hawaii
Idaho
Nevada
Oregon
Washington

85.71
70.21
54.00
62.05
69.67
80.06
76.76
55.65
66.29

14.29
29.79
44.26
37.96
30.34
19.94
22.54
44.35
33.71

0.00
0.00
1.73
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.70
0.00
0.00

U.S. Average

72.79

26.93

0.28

35

THIS PAGE IS INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK

36

Distribution of Variances By Time of Occurrence


FY 2011

BEFORE OR AT
MOST RECENT
CERTIFICATION
72.79%

SUBSEQUENT TO
MOST RECENT
CERTIFICATION
26.93%

37

OCCURRENCE
CANNOT BE
DETERMINED
0.28%

Exhibit #5

THIS PAGE IS INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK

38

TABLE 19: AGENCY AND CLIENT DOLLAR ERROR RATES - ALL ERRORS, FY 2011 a/
STATE

DISTRIBUTION OF ALL VARIANCES (%)


AGENCY
CLIENT
OTHER

DOLLAR ERROR RATES (%)


AGENCY CLIENT OTHER TOTAL

Connecticut
Maine
Massachusetts
New Hampshire
New York
Rhode Island
Vermont

71.20
55.89
40.23
56.43
54.04
77.54
83.30

28.24
44.11
59.77
43.57
45.96
22.46
16.59

0.56
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.11

4.60
1.83
1.77
2.72
2.33
6.12
7.11

1.82
1.45
2.63
2.10
1.99
1.77
1.42

0.04
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01

6.46
3.28
4.40
4.82
4.32
7.89
8.53

Delaware
Dist. of Col.
Maryland
New Jersey
Pennsylvania
Virginia
Virgin Islands
West Virginia

60.85
66.74
72.07
49.64
82.15
54.82
48.67
55.83

39.15
32.74
27.93
49.34
17.85
43.15
51.32
43.25

0.00
0.52
0.00
1.02
0.00
2.04
0.00
0.92

1.54
2.02
4.37
2.15
2.71
1.87
2.32
3.52

0.99
0.99
1.69
2.14
0.59
1.47
2.45
2.73

0.00
0.02
0.00
0.04
0.00
0.07
0.00
0.06

2.53
3.03
6.06
4.33
3.30
3.41
4.77
6.31

Alabama
Florida
Georgia
Kentucky
Mississippi
No. Carolina
So. Carolina
Tennessee

53.81
53.19
52.62
48.22
50.32
69.78
45.89
40.79

44.66
46.81
46.20
51.46
49.68
28.68
54.11
58.52

1.54
0.00
1.18
0.33
0.00
1.54
0.00
0.68

2.74
0.46
1.43
2.17
1.42
1.85
1.44
2.23

2.28
0.41
1.25
2.32
1.41
0.76
1.70
3.20

0.08
0.00
0.03
0.01
0.00
0.04
0.00
0.04

5.10
0.87
2.71
4.50
2.83
2.65
3.14
5.46

Illinois
Indiana
Michigan
Minnesota
Ohio
Wisconsin

74.42
69.44
71.68
71.25
82.57
61.59

25.58
30.56
27.47
27.45
17.43
38.41

0.00
0.00
0.85
1.31
0.00
0.00

2.34
2.28
2.24
3.58
2.81
1.24

0.81
1.01
0.86
1.38
0.59
0.78

0.00
0.00
0.03
0.07
0.00
0.00

3.15
3.29
3.12
5.02
3.40
2.02

Arkansas
Louisiana
New Mexico
Oklahoma
Texas

38.80
36.27
44.09
53.62
66.21

61.20
62.42
55.91
46.38
33.79

0.00
1.31
0.00
0.00
0.00

2.25
1.44
1.92
2.11
2.30

3.54
2.48
2.43
1.83
1.18

0.00
0.05
0.00
0.00
0.00

5.79
3.97
4.35
3.94
3.48

Colorado
Iowa
Kansas
Missouri
Montana
Nebraska
North Dakota
South Dakota
Utah
Wyoming

81.28
51.32
65.50
61.69
62.92
60.32
48.57
60.98
61.49
42.02

18.72
48.67
34.50
38.31
35.29
37.66
51.43
39.02
38.33
57.43

0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.79
2.03
0.00
0.00
0.18
0.55

3.62
2.04
3.28
3.63
1.95
2.71
2.11
0.97
2.58
4.05

0.83
1.93
1.73
2.25
1.09
1.69
2.23
0.62
1.61
5.53

0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.06
0.09
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.05

4.45
3.97
5.00
5.88
3.10
4.50
4.34
1.59
4.19
9.63

Alaska
Arizona
California
Guam
Hawaii
Idaho
Nevada
Oregon
Washington

95.66
88.47
76.39
67.18
74.47
44.61
61.72
46.79
66.23

2.74
11.53
23.61
32.82
25.53
55.39
37.89
53.21
33.77

1.60
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.39
0.00
0.00

0.73
5.61
3.50
4.20
2.51
1.12
3.88
1.87
2.52

0.02
0.73
1.08
2.05
0.86
1.40
2.38
2.12
1.29

0.01
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.02
0.00
0.00

0.76
6.34
4.58
6.25
3.37
2.52
6.29
3.99
3.81

U.S. Average

63.13

36.55

0.32

2.40

1.39

0.01

3.80

a/ Agency/Client dollar errors are determined by allotting all errors to the first variance coded.

39

TABLE 20: AGENCY AND CLIENT DOLLAR ERROR RATES - OVERPAYMENT ERRORS, FY 2011 a/
STATE

DISTRIBUTION OF ALL VARIANCES (%)


AGENCY
CLIENT
OTHER

DOLLAR ERROR RATES (%)


AGENCY CLIENT OTHER

TOTAL

Connecticut
Maine
Massachusetts
New Hampshire
New York
Rhode Island
Vermont

60.01
48.76
36.90
49.29
49.36
71.97
79.61

39.18
51.24
63.10
50.71
50.64
28.03
20.25

0.82
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.14

2.65
1.37
1.43
1.99
1.88
4.56
5.59

1.73
1.44
2.44
2.04
1.93
1.78
1.42

0.04
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01

4.42
2.81
3.87
4.03
3.82
6.34
7.02

Delaware
Dist. of Col.
Maryland
New Jersey
Pennsylvania
Virginia
Virgin Islands
West Virginia

54.63
54.14
61.98
40.86
79.44
50.93
44.56
48.07

45.37
45.86
38.02
57.80
20.56
46.74
55.44
50.81

0.00
0.00
0.00
1.35
0.00
2.32
0.00
1.12

1.10
0.99
2.99
1.35
2.18
1.56
1.49
2.53

0.91
0.84
1.83
1.91
0.56
1.43
1.85
2.68

0.00
0.00
0.00
0.04
0.00
0.07
0.00
0.06

2.01
1.83
4.82
3.30
2.74
3.07
3.33
5.27

Alabama
Florida
Georgia
Kentucky
Mississippi
No. Carolina
So. Carolina
Tennessee

46.26
52.92
38.72
41.60
41.73
64.35
45.25
33.64

52.96
47.08
59.57
58.01
58.27
33.71
54.75
65.59

0.78
0.00
1.71
0.38
0.00
1.94
0.00
0.77

1.94
0.36
0.76
1.63
0.99
1.29
1.33
1.64

2.22
0.32
1.17
2.27
1.38
0.68
1.61
3.20

0.03
0.00
0.03
0.01
0.00
0.04
0.00
0.04

4.18
0.68
1.97
3.92
2.37
2.01
2.95
4.87

Illinois
Indiana
Michigan
Minnesota
Ohio
Wisconsin

67.35
62.75
67.39
66.06
79.16
56.81

32.65
37.25
32.61
32.36
20.84
43.19

0.00
0.00
0.00
1.58
0.00
0.00

1.66
1.69
1.58
2.77
2.22
1.01

0.81
1.01
0.76
1.36
0.59
0.77

0.00
0.00
0.00
0.07
0.00
0.00

2.47
2.70
2.34
4.20
2.81
1.78

Arkansas
Louisiana
New Mexico
Oklahoma
Texas

28.04
33.22
35.87
39.48
61.01

71.96
66.78
64.13
60.52
38.99

0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

1.32
1.18
1.28
1.23
1.60

3.39
2.38
2.29
1.88
1.02

0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

4.71
3.56
3.57
3.10
2.63

Colorado
Iowa
Kansas
Missouri
Montana
Nebraska
North Dakota
South Dakota
Utah
Wyoming

75.16
47.77
55.61
54.89
52.86
54.17
44.07
54.08
43.18
35.66

24.84
52.23
44.39
45.11
45.19
43.01
55.93
45.91
56.54
63.65

0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.95
2.83
0.00
0.00
0.28
0.69

2.44
1.69
2.13
2.57
1.24
1.85
1.70
0.70
1.22
2.72

0.81
1.84
1.70
2.11
1.06
1.47
2.16
0.59
1.59
4.86

0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.05
0.10
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.05

3.25
3.53
3.83
4.68
2.34
3.41
3.86
1.29
2.82
7.63

Alaska
Arizona
California
Guam
Hawaii
Idaho
Nevada
Oregon
Washington

94.53
86.69
67.92
60.46
70.56
30.80
47.55
46.10
62.64

3.45
13.31
32.08
39.54
29.44
69.20
52.45
53.90
37.36

2.02
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

0.50
4.03
1.80
2.78
1.95
0.60
2.12
1.75
2.09

0.02
0.62
0.85
1.82
0.81
1.34
2.34
2.05
1.25

0.01
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

0.53
4.65
2.65
4.60
2.76
1.94
4.46
3.80
3.34

U.S. Average

56.10

43.61

0.29

1.68

1.30

0.01

2.99

a/ Agency/Client dollar errors are determined by allotting all errors to the first variance coded.

40

TABLE 21: AGENCY AND CLIENT DOLLAR ERROR RATES - UNDERPAYMENT ERRORS, FY 2011 a/
STATE

DISTRIBUTION OF ALL VARIANCES (%) DOLLAR ERROR RATES (%)


AGENCY
CLIENT
OTHER
AGENCYCLIENT OTHER
TOTAL

Connecticut
Maine
Massachusetts
New Hampshire
New York
Rhode Island
Vermont

95.06
96.35
64.86
91.78
90.98
98.18
96.58

4.94
3.65
35.14
8.22
9.02
1.82
3.42

0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

1.94
0.45
0.34
0.72
0.46
1.52
1.46

0.10
0.02
0.19
0.06
0.05
0.03
0.05

0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

2.04
0.47
0.53
0.79
0.50
1.55
1.51

Delaware
Dist. of Col.
Maryland
New Jersey
Pennsylvania
Virginia
Virgin Islands
West Virginia

92.24
93.37
97.66
76.56
95.35
82.57
58.29
92.16

7.76
5.02
2.34
23.44
4.65
17.43
41.71
7.84

0.00
1.61
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

0.48
1.12
1.21
0.79
0.53
0.29
0.83
0.96

0.04
0.06
0.03
0.24
0.03
0.06
0.60
0.08

0.00
0.02
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

0.52
1.20
1.24
1.03
0.56
0.35
1.43
1.04

Alabama
Florida
Georgia
Kentucky
Mississippi
No. Carolina
So. Carolina
Tennessee

84.78
53.96
83.50
87.43
100.00
90.68
56.21
98.04

10.57
46.04
16.50
12.57
0.00
9.32
43.79
1.96

4.64
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

0.77
0.10
0.62
0.51
0.45
0.59
0.11
0.57

0.10
0.09
0.12
0.07
0.00
0.06
0.08
0.01

0.04
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

0.91
0.19
0.74
0.58
0.45
0.65
0.19
0.58

Illinois
Indiana
Michigan
Minnesota
Ohio
Wisconsin

95.97
96.50
83.34
95.71
100.00
100.00

4.03
3.50
13.49
4.29
0.00
0.00

0.00
0.00
3.17
0.00
0.00
0.00

0.66
0.57
0.65
0.78
0.59
0.23

0.03
0.02
0.11
0.04
0.00
0.00

0.00
0.00
0.02
0.00
0.00
0.00

0.68
0.59
0.78
0.82
0.59
0.23

Arkansas
Louisiana
New Mexico
Oklahoma
Texas

85.90
66.34
84.87
97.59
89.41

14.10
19.47
15.13
2.41
10.59

0.00
14.19
0.00
0.00
0.00

0.93
0.27
0.66
0.81
0.76

0.15
0.08
0.12
0.02
0.09

0.00
0.06
0.00
0.00
0.00

1.08
0.41
0.77
0.83
0.85

Colorado
Iowa
Kansas
Missouri
Montana
Nebraska
North Dakota
South Dakota
Utah
Wyoming

98.69
86.32
94.95
82.55
96.02
75.81
81.95
82.98
96.27
66.40

1.31
13.68
5.05
17.45
2.72
24.19
18.05
17.02
3.73
33.60

0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.26
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

1.18
0.38
1.11
0.99
0.72
0.82
0.39
0.25
1.32
1.32

0.02
0.06
0.06
0.21
0.02
0.26
0.09
0.05
0.05
0.67

0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00

1.19
0.44
1.17
1.20
0.75
1.09
0.48
0.30
1.37
1.99

Alaska
Arizona
California
Guam
Hawaii
Idaho
Nevada
Oregon
Washington

100.00
93.37
86.57
81.64
88.57
94.41
96.56
58.06
100.00

0.00
6.63
13.43
18.36
11.43
5.59
2.09
41.94
0.00

0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.35
0.00
0.00

0.24
1.58
1.67
1.35
0.54
0.55
1.77
0.11
0.48

0.00
0.11
0.26
0.30
0.07
0.03
0.04
0.08
0.00

0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.02
0.00
0.00

0.24
1.69
1.92
1.65
0.61
0.58
1.83
0.19
0.48

U.S. Average

88.60

10.99

0.42

0.71

0.09

0.00

0.81

a/ Agency/Client dollar errors are determined by allotting all errors to the first variance coded.

41

THIS PAGE IS INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK

42

Source of Error Dollars


FY 2011

AGENCY
56.10%

AGENCY
88.60%

43

CLIENT
10.99%

OTHER
0.29%

CLIENT
43.61%

OVERPAYMENTS

Exhibit #6

OTHER
0.42%

UNDERPAYMENTS

THIS PAGE IS INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK

44

PART III:
COMPARISON OF BENEFIT
AND OVERPAYMENT ERROR
DOLLARS BY HOUSEHOLD
CHARACTERISTICS

Part III provides data on the distribution of


monthly benefit dollars and overpayment
error dollars for selected household
characteristics for each State and on a
national basis. This information can be used
to identify error prone household
characteristics by comparing the percent of
allotments to the percent of error dollars.

TABLE 22: BENEFIT AND OVERPAYMENT DOLLARS BY HOUSEHOLD


WITH/WITHOUT ELDERLY, FY 2011 a/
WITH ELDERLY
WITHOUT ELDERLY
% OF
% OF
% OF
% OF
BENEFIT
ERROR
BENEFIT
ERROR
STATE
DOLLARS
DOLLARS
DOLLARS
DOLLARS
Connecticut
Maine
Massachusetts
New Hampshire
New York
Rhode Island
Vermont

13.97
11.54
15.31
7.48
22.86
13.22
15.05

9.85
11.97
8.46
8.41
7.73
11.44
14.86

86.03
88.46
84.69
92.52
77.14
86.78
84.95

90.15
88.03
91.54
91.59
92.27
88.56
85.14

Delaware
Dist. of Col.
Maryland
New Jersey
Pennsylvania
Virginia
Virgin Islands
West Virginia

6.85
8.73
9.62
16.09
11.72
7.95
15.80
9.44

8.29
14.79
8.22
12.52
7.39
9.57
15.78
16.31

93.15
91.27
90.38
83.91
88.28
92.05
84.20
90.56

91.71
85.21
91.78
87.48
92.61
90.43
84.22
83.69

Alabama
Florida
Georgia
Kentucky
Mississippi
No. Carolina
So. Carolina
Tennessee

5.65
13.29
7.20
7.18
6.66
5.95
6.38
6.18

2.56
18.50
10.60
5.10
3.68
4.13
5.51
4.01

94.35
86.71
92.80
92.82
93.34
94.05
93.62
93.82

97.44
81.50
89.40
94.90
96.32
95.87
94.49
95.99

Illinois
Indiana
Michigan
Minnesota
Ohio
Wisconsin

7.72
6.05
8.92
5.60
7.45
7.52

5.00
6.55
20.86
4.02
4.29
4.17

92.28
93.95
91.08
94.40
92.55
92.48

95.00
93.45
79.14
95.98
95.71
95.83

Arkansas
Louisiana
New Mexico
Oklahoma
Texas

5.16
7.19
7.23
6.36
8.55

4.27
4.95
4.46
5.91
15.11

94.84
92.81
92.77
93.64
91.45

95.73
95.05
95.54
94.09
84.89

Colorado
Iowa
Kansas
Missouri
Montana
Nebraska
North Dakota
South Dakota
Utah
Wyoming

7.53
5.63
5.98
5.40
6.96
5.67
11.57
10.34
4.57
4.94

9.15
2.73
0.00
8.79
8.04
1.02
4.31
6.54
3.31
2.87

92.47
94.37
94.02
94.60
93.04
94.33
88.43
89.66
95.43
95.06

90.85
97.27
100.00
91.21
91.96
98.98
95.69
93.46
96.69
97.13

Alaska
Arizona
California
Guam
Hawaii
Idaho
Nevada
Oregon
Washington

8.40
7.76
2.90
11.11
13.19
6.18
9.50
6.90
8.81

0.00
14.04
3.38
2.86
13.47
4.82
9.76
11.12
4.03

91.60
92.24
97.10
88.89
86.81
93.82
90.50
93.10
91.19

100.00
85.96
96.62
97.14
86.53
95.18
90.24
88.88
95.97

U.S. Average

9.14

8.06

90.86

91.94

a/ Elderly is defined as a person of 60 years of age or older.

46

Households with Elderly Member(s)


Distribution of U.S. Benefit and Error Dollars FY 2011
WITH
ELDERLY
8.06%

WITH
ELDERLY
9.14%

47
WITHOUT
ELDERLY
91.94%

WITHOUT
ELDERLY
90.86%

BENEFIT DOLLARS

Exhibit #7

ERROR DOLLARS

THIS PAGE IS INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK

48

TABLE 23: BENEFIT AND OVERPAYMENT DOLLARS BY HOUSEHOLD


WITH/WITHOUT CHILDREN, FY 2011 a/
WITH CHILDREN
WITHOUT CHILDREN
% OF
% OF
% OF
% OF
BENEFIT
ERROR
BENEFIT
ERROR
STATE
DOLLARS
DOLLARS
DOLLARS
DOLLARS
Connecticut
Maine
Massachusetts
New Hampshire
New York
Rhode Island
Vermont

53.35
56.12
56.78
64.13
55.13
56.32
55.22

31.64
66.19
61.89
54.78
41.98
39.64
42.20

46.65
43.88
43.22
35.87
44.87
43.68
44.78

68.36
33.81
38.11
45.22
58.02
60.36
57.80

Delaware
Dist. of Col.
Maryland
New Jersey
Pennsylvania
Virginia
Virgin Islands
West Virginia

69.86
53.72
62.63
63.47
62.41
69.46
75.85
64.24

36.95
43.72
51.23
48.80
59.31
26.89
23.54
43.51

30.14
46.28
37.37
36.53
37.59
30.54
24.15
35.76

63.05
56.28
48.77
51.20
40.69
73.11
76.46
56.49

Alabama
Florida
Georgia
Kentucky
Mississippi
No. Carolina
So. Carolina
Tennessee

73.45
56.49
71.34
65.14
72.59
71.78
69.31
63.81

33.02
77.87
38.73
48.71
39.13
70.45
35.29
24.89

26.55
43.51
28.66
34.86
27.41
28.22
30.69
36.19

66.98
22.13
61.27
51.29
60.87
29.55
64.71
75.11

Illinois
Indiana
Michigan
Minnesota
Ohio
Wisconsin

68.75
73.78
63.70
67.22
68.24
68.20

57.97
40.08
44.24
51.66
43.22
64.45

31.25
26.22
36.30
32.78
31.76
31.80

42.03
59.92
55.76
48.34
56.78
35.55

Arkansas
Louisiana
New Mexico
Oklahoma
Texas

72.04
72.66
76.15
72.67
83.35

40.06
43.83
56.20
29.70
77.28

27.96
27.34
23.85
27.33
16.65

59.94
56.17
43.80
70.30
22.72

Colorado
Iowa
Kansas
Missouri
Montana
Nebraska
North Dakota
South Dakota
Utah
Wyoming

76.03
69.63
68.16
69.12
69.21
72.89
66.46
74.37
73.20
74.75

45.59
61.61
40.60
41.35
41.21
35.40
47.81
52.72
51.45
36.62

23.97
30.37
31.84
30.88
30.79
27.11
33.54
25.63
26.80
25.25

54.41
38.39
59.40
58.65
58.78
64.60
52.19
47.28
48.55
63.38

Alaska
Arizona
California
Guam
Hawaii
Idaho
Nevada
Oregon
Washington

75.44
72.45
80.91
83.32
61.62
75.02
69.55
58.36
56.87

56.66
48.73
65.40
37.31
35.78
28.97
52.49
60.19
49.11

24.56
27.55
19.09
16.68
38.38
24.98
30.45
41.64
43.13

43.34
51.27
34.60
62.69
64.22
71.03
47.51
39.81
50.89

U.S. Average

68.24

49.66

31.76

50.34

a/ A child is defined as a person 17 years of age or younger.

49

THIS PAGE IS INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK

50

Households with Children


Distribution of U.S. Benefit and Error Dollars FY 2011

WITH
CHILDREN
68.24%

WITH
CHILDREN
49.66%

51
WITHOUT
CHILDREN
50.34%

WITHOUT
CHILDREN
31.76%

BENEFIT DOLLARS

Exhibit #8

ERROR DOLLARS

THIS PAGE IS INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK

52

TABLE 24: BENEFIT AND OVERPAYMENT DOLLARS BY HOUSEHOLDS


WITH/WITHOUT NON-CITIZENS, FY 2011
WITH NON-CITIZENS
WITHOUT NON-CITIZENS
% OF
% OF
% OF
% OF
BENEFIT
ERROR
BENEFIT
ERROR
STATE
DOLLARS
DOLLARS
DOLLARS
DOLLARS
Connecticut
Maine
Massachusetts
New Hampshire
New York
Rhode Island
Vermont

4.90
2.41
6.04
4.15
10.46
7.98
1.29

0.59
1.14
9.02
0.91
13.73
4.07
0.34

95.10
97.59
93.96
95.85
89.54
92.02
98.71

99.41
98.86
90.98
99.09
86.27
95.93
99.66

Delaware
Dist. of Col.
Maryland
New Jersey
Pennsylvania
Virginia
Virgin Islands
West Virginia

5.48
3.94
4.96
12.65
3.34
6.01
8.38
0.04

3.89
1.00
2.49
3.78
1.51
1.93
0.00
0.73

94.52
96.06
95.04
87.35
96.66
93.99
91.62
99.96

96.11
99.00
97.51
96.22
98.49
98.07
100.00
99.27

Alabama
Florida
Georgia
Kentucky
Mississippi
No. Carolina
So. Carolina
Tennessee

2.86
8.81
6.64
3.82
0.36
8.30
2.76
5.03

0.52
13.80
2.74
1.42
0.33
9.95
2.28
4.38

97.14
91.19
93.36
96.18
99.64
91.70
97.24
94.97

99.48
86.20
97.26
98.58
99.67
90.05
97.72
95.62

Illinois
Indiana
Michigan
Minnesota
Ohio
Wisconsin

8.57
3.61
2.04
8.98
1.37
5.44

9.58
2.31
8.49
7.63
1.50
9.98

91.43
96.39
97.96
91.02
98.63
94.56

90.42
97.69
91.51
92.37
98.50
90.02

Arkansas
Louisiana
New Mexico
Oklahoma
Texas

3.68
1.29
10.85
4.07
19.33

1.85
1.83
4.59
2.00
0.35

96.32
98.71
89.15
95.93
80.67

98.15
98.17
95.41
98.00
99.65

Colorado
Iowa
Kansas
Missouri
Montana
Nebraska
North Dakota
South Dakota
Utah
Wyoming

13.77
3.96
6.65
2.29
0.91
5.65
6.01
6.48
9.18
1.97

0.77
1.81
4.77
2.09
0.00
0.00
4.24
1.38
4.56
0.38

86.23
96.04
93.35
97.71
99.09
94.35
93.99
93.52
90.82
98.03

99.23
98.19
95.23
97.91
100.00
100.00
95.76
98.62
95.44
99.62

Alaska
Arizona
California
Guam
Hawaii
Idaho
Nevada
Oregon
Washington

1.82
12.35
26.36
21.35
5.09
9.38
17.13
10.54
11.10

28.29
6.09
11.59
7.57
4.30
11.40
12.82
11.74
7.29

98.18
87.65
73.64
78.65
94.91
90.62
82.87
89.46
88.90

71.71
93.91
88.41
92.43
95.70
88.60
87.18
88.26
92.71

U.S. Average

9.29

5.66

90.71

94.34

53

TABLE 25: BENEFIT AND OVERPAYMENT ERROR DOLLARS BY MARRIED/SINGLE


HEAD OF HOUSEHOLD WITH/WITHOUT CHILDREN, FY 2011
With Children

STATE

With Spouse
Without Children

% OF
% OF
BENEFIT
ERROR
DOLLARS DOLLARS

With Children

No Spouse
Without Children

% OF
% OF
% OF
% OF
% OF
% OF
BENEFIT
ERROR BENEFIT
ERROR BENEFIT
ERROR
DOLLARS DOLLARS DOLLARS DOLLARS DOLLARS DOLLARS

Connecticut
Maine
Massachusetts
New Hampshire
New York
Rhode Island
Vermont

9.21
16.81
8.85
18.12
8.36
8.86
16.62

5.59
29.41
10.69
16.52
2.22
6.19
14.70

4.55
4.15
2.52
3.60
7.24
2.49
6.32

14.85
6.02
2.23
6.42
7.48
2.67
6.57

43.76
38.69
47.18
44.69
46.57
47.46
38.23

26.05
35.92
51.19
38.26
39.74
33.45
27.43

42.47
40.36
41.45
33.60
37.83
41.19
38.84

53.51
28.65
35.88
38.80
50.55
57.69
51.31

Delaware
Dist. of Col.
Maryland
New Jersey
Pennsylvania
Virginia
Virgin Islands
West Virginia

12.09
2.87
8.82
9.71
9.26
12.83
5.21
18.27

2.49
11.64
7.29
8.22
15.97
3.78
0.00
15.30

2.56
1.05
2.64
5.17
3.07
3.01
1.44
5.07

0.00
0.00
1.09
2.64
3.44
0.70
2.72
9.47

56.61
50.03
52.93
52.66
51.39
54.75
70.05
44.35

34.46
32.08
42.59
40.58
43.34
23.11
23.54
27.37

28.73
46.05
35.61
32.46
36.29
29.40
23.31
32.32

63.05
56.28
49.03
48.56
37.25
72.41
73.73
47.86

Alabama
Florida
Georgia
Kentucky
Mississippi
No. Carolina
So. Carolina
Tennessee

14.61
13.85
13.57
20.25
11.37
12.32
11.29
14.35

5.69
37.48
6.12
22.85
8.55
13.98
3.88
6.14

2.70
4.70
3.07
6.07
2.53
3.11
2.43
4.05

0.61
18.50
3.97
1.20
4.39
0.00
0.60
3.03

57.46
41.91
55.85
43.37
60.35
57.91
56.49
47.40

27.33
40.39
32.61
24.56
30.58
56.04
31.19
18.38

25.23
39.54
27.50
30.31
25.75
26.66
29.79
34.20

66.37
3.63
57.30
51.39
56.48
29.98
64.33
72.45

Illinois
Indiana
Michigan
Minnesota
Ohio
Wisconsin

9.98
13.30
19.16
17.53
13.68
14.36

12.46
12.82
17.85
27.88
11.34
5.54

2.99
3.17
3.75
2.10
3.31
2.51

2.34
4.38
13.30
0.81
2.73
1.96

57.25
58.49
44.13
47.89
53.43
52.88

45.67
26.89
26.39
22.46
31.89
56.15

29.79
25.03
32.96
32.48
29.58
30.25

39.53
55.91
42.46
48.85
54.05
36.36

Arkansas
Louisiana
New Mexico
Oklahoma
Texas

15.76
8.89
19.30
19.99
16.71

4.98
12.58
16.94
9.01
20.94

4.09
2.35
3.48
4.01
1.94

2.36
0.00
5.21
2.65
8.16

53.79
62.41
55.11
50.68
64.73

34.60
31.26
38.65
20.69
55.97

26.36
26.35
22.11
25.32
16.62

58.06
56.17
39.20
67.64
14.93

Colorado
Iowa
Kansas
Missouri
Montana
Nebraska
North Dakota
South Dakota
Utah
Wyoming

17.11
17.86
12.92
17.72
20.68
16.07
13.38
18.78
22.00
15.33

14.58
20.91
14.34
7.15
2.69
8.89
0.70
21.42
33.43
6.05

2.76
3.22
2.29
3.34
3.21
2.31
3.18
1.31
3.75
2.53

6.02
3.57
0.00
4.32
6.01
1.22
1.47
0.00
0.00
0.85

57.09
49.79
53.74
50.36
47.35
54.74
51.89
53.12
49.99
57.58

29.73
39.42
25.91
33.93
38.53
26.51
47.11
31.30
18.02
30.57

23.04
29.13
31.04
28.58
28.77
26.88
31.55
26.79
24.25
24.56

49.68
36.09
59.75
54.60
52.78
63.38
50.72
47.28
48.55
62.53

Alaska
Arizona
California
Guam
Hawaii
Idaho
Nevada
Oregon
Washington

24.38
20.86
13.79
24.68
22.01
25.43
13.45
14.18
15.04

2.52
18.39
9.82
12.69
11.37
9.82
15.13
29.22
17.35

1.31
3.01
1.86
2.60
4.38
2.90
2.63
5.14
3.52

5.91
5.36
3.98
0.81
3.72
0.00
9.12
8.47
0.00

49.77
50.87
65.00
56.68
38.71
47.83
54.75
43.10
40.70

54.14
29.62
53.26
23.35
24.39
18.65
36.78
30.61
31.76

24.54
25.26
19.35
16.04
34.90
23.83
29.17
37.59
40.74

37.43
46.62
32.95
63.15
60.52
71.53
38.97
31.71
50.89

U.S. Average

13.92

12.28

3.47

4.57

52.97

36.92

29.64

46.23

54

Marital and Family Status of Households Distribution of


U.S. Benefit and Error Dollars FY 2011
Married
With
Children
13.92%

Married
Without
Children
3.47%

Married With
Children
12.28%

Married
Without
Children
4.57%

55
Single
Without
Children
29.64%

Single With
Children
52.97%

BENEFIT DOLLARS

Exhibit #9

Single With
Children
36.92%

Single
Without
Children
46.23%

ERROR DOLLARS

THIS PAGE IS INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK

56

TABLE 26: BENEFIT AND OVERPAYMENT DOLLARS BY HOUSEHOLD SIZE a/, FY 2011
ONE

STATE

% OF
BENEFIT
DOLLARS

TWO

% OF
% OF
% OF
ERROR BENEFIT
ERROR
DOLLARS DOLLARS DOLLARS

THREE

FOUR

> FOUR

% OF
% OF
BENEFIT ERROR
DOLLARS DOLLARS

% OF
% OF
BENEFIT
ERROR
DOLLARS DOLLARS

% OF
% OF
BENEFIT
ERROR
DOLLARS DOLLARS

Connecticut
Maine
Massachusetts
New Hampshire
New York
Rhode Island
Vermont

39.23
34.68
38.54
28.14
35.81
38.07
32.90

20.05
20.61
26.39
19.82
11.33
31.68
31.43

16.75
19.20
20.57
19.00
20.99
20.34
21.83

31.17
13.30
21.96
23.97
29.28
20.51
27.38

16.51
19.12
18.02
21.62
18.39
18.82
15.89

10.68
20.07
19.35
21.04
23.18
25.50
19.85

15.99
15.21
12.37
17.07
13.24
11.90
15.96

21.89
23.22
26.91
24.96
19.53
12.49
12.37

11.51
11.79
10.49
14.18
11.56
10.87
13.42

16.20
22.80
5.39
10.21
16.68
9.82
8.97

Delaware
Dist. of Col.
Maryland
New Jersey
Pennsylvania
Virginia
Virgin Islands
West Virginia

25.26
41.56
30.51
29.97
30.93
25.10
19.85
25.24

38.49
37.90
26.35
21.43
14.15
17.02
38.39
26.55

18.23
20.39
20.31
23.23
18.44
18.85
17.83
21.86

33.62
16.73
24.08
30.30
24.25
22.73
21.50
32.12

24.17
13.88
19.16
18.66
16.15
21.58
21.24
20.64

15.44
14.82
25.13
22.48
21.85
35.23
26.32
10.51

16.46
11.69
15.84
13.70
16.95
16.04
18.06
17.23

12.44
16.43
12.85
9.45
9.08
12.64
7.21
21.44

15.89
12.47
14.18
14.44
17.53
18.43
23.03
15.03

0.00
14.12
11.60
16.34
30.66
12.37
6.59
9.38

Alabama
Florida
Georgia
Kentucky
Mississippi
No. Carolina
So. Carolina
Tennessee

18.63
39.09
22.72
23.52
21.17
22.80
22.79
26.48

20.33
20.40
30.28
24.30
14.85
26.80
23.67
22.44

17.96
16.51
18.85
20.17
16.39
20.30
18.37
18.54

21.96
19.69
18.45
8.22
20.88
21.78
21.98
30.15

26.30
16.94
20.46
21.51
23.17
23.03
24.76
19.52

33.13
14.93
13.84
13.25
25.96
24.16
16.63
14.46

19.49
13.16
20.33
16.84
22.69
18.77
16.91
17.95

16.74
6.96
15.21
31.16
15.77
14.31
30.53
9.42

17.62
14.30
17.64
17.96
16.59
15.10
17.19
17.52

7.84
38.01
22.23
23.08
22.54
12.94
7.18
23.53

Illinois
Indiana
Michigan
Minnesota
Ohio
Wisconsin

26.19
19.68
28.41
29.04
24.53
26.77

16.21
24.13
26.13
27.43
24.41
26.44

18.11
18.48
18.96
16.15
17.61
19.07

17.29
16.77
27.69
13.10
10.67
11.08

20.53
22.94
16.43
18.15
19.83
16.75

26.14
17.05
5.63
10.53
19.38
27.00

16.83
19.47
13.94
16.27
18.14
17.61

22.29
9.15
14.94
18.19
19.71
17.68

18.34
19.44
22.27
20.39
19.89
19.80

18.07
32.91
25.61
30.74
25.83
17.81

Arkansas
Louisiana
New Mexico
Oklahoma
Texas

18.84
19.70
19.64
20.50
16.04

13.18
20.98
7.21
22.48
15.55

19.79
18.89
18.31
16.99
18.48

22.99
27.68
20.77
15.76
17.49

25.65
22.14
22.71
24.43
20.61

25.20
14.80
34.64
29.48
15.95

19.88
18.21
18.58
17.78
21.37

23.66
15.21
17.23
15.73
35.93

15.84
21.05
20.75
20.30
23.50

14.97
21.32
20.16
16.55
15.09

Colorado
Iowa
Kansas
Missouri
Montana
Nebraska
North Dakota
South Dakota
Utah
Wyoming

19.74
24.94
27.53
23.74
22.43
21.65
27.26
22.14
19.99
16.50

21.73
16.45
21.88
28.00
20.41
20.21
23.74
15.64
17.56
8.23

19.05
16.22
17.31
19.66
18.90
18.23
24.16
16.07
17.18
19.34

13.16
12.08
13.16
24.44
24.80
13.52
37.24
30.55
19.27
28.36

22.49
20.84
20.47
20.45
22.03
20.85
17.92
18.27
19.59
21.42

28.12
26.10
9.86
19.77
32.40
31.83
30.19
6.27
22.90
33.77

17.88
19.79
18.39
15.94
15.43
17.48
15.04
17.47
18.07
24.89

15.84
16.10
32.85
13.61
14.58
19.58
4.58
14.21
0.00
10.87

20.83
18.21
16.30
20.21
21.21
21.79
15.63
26.06
25.17
17.85

21.15
29.27
22.25
14.18
7.82
14.85
4.24
33.33
40.27
18.77

Alaska
Arizona
California
Guam
Hawaii
Idaho
Nevada
Oregon
Washington

18.98
22.20
19.59
12.33
32.28
20.13
26.07
34.58
38.71

43.25
21.54
21.49
23.56
19.40
31.08
26.56
20.88
19.53

11.88
16.47
23.03
11.56
13.71
16.32
18.15
19.75
19.12

25.31
14.33
27.07
18.44
34.42
19.10
29.47
21.78
15.94

17.26
18.91
20.71
17.13
15.88
18.94
17.49
20.59
16.74

0.00
17.27
16.64
14.22
24.35
8.75
11.95
15.41
21.08

13.54
17.91
16.68
17.12
18.68
19.18
14.73
12.22
10.32

0.00
15.95
16.94
14.23
4.79
34.36
11.00
18.80
24.16

38.34
24.50
20.00
41.87
19.44
25.43
23.57
12.85
15.11

31.44
30.90
17.87
29.54
17.04
6.72
21.02
23.14
19.29

U.S. Average

26.28

20.72

19.06

22.04

19.86

19.57

16.74

18.43

18.05

19.25

a/ Cases coded with a HH size of zero are not included in this analysis

57

THIS PAGE IS INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK

58

Household Size
Distribution of U.S. Benefit and Error Dollars FY 2011

TWO
19.06%

ONE
26.28%

ONE
20.72%

TWO
22.04%

59

THREE
19.86%

> FOUR
18.05%
FOUR
16.74%

BENEFIT DOLLARS

Exhibit #10

THREE
19.57%

> FOUR
19.25%
FOUR
18.43%

ERROR DOLLARS

THIS PAGE IS INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK

60

TABLE 27: BENEFIT AND OVERPAYMENT DOLLARS BY SOURCE OF INCOME, FY 2011

STATE

HOUSEHOLDS WITH HOUSEHOLDS WITH HOUSEHOLDS WITH


HOUSEHOLDS WITH
ONLY
ONLY
NEITHER
BOTH
EARNED INCOME UNEARNED INCOME EARNED/UNEARNED
EARNED/UNEARNED
% OF
% OF
% OF
% OF
% OF
% OF
% OF
% OF
BENEFIT ERROR
BENEFIT
ERROR
BENEFIT ERROR BENEFIT
ERROR
DOLLARSDOLLARS
DOLLARS DOLLARS DOLLARSDOLLARS DOLLARS DOLLARS

Connecticut
Maine
Massachusetts
New Hampshire
New York
Rhode Island
Vermont

15.69
21.95
14.44
20.36
21.42
18.76
16.79

11.48
31.90
12.86
29.54
17.16
11.81
20.10

54.52
48.52
60.42
50.47
58.99
53.10
58.57

24.27
36.89
48.31
17.88
22.49
30.12
38.52

11.77
12.75
10.79
13.50
10.30
11.43
11.71

25.12
22.71
25.14
25.84
20.22
21.98
20.67

18.02
16.78
14.36
15.68
9.28
16.71
12.93

39.13
8.50
13.69
26.74
40.13
36.10
20.71

Delaware
Dist. of Col.
Maryland
New Jersey
Pennsylvania
Virginia
Virgin Islands
West Virginia

23.03
7.07
19.59
25.70
16.06
24.60
26.89
20.66

32.99
15.50
20.57
17.97
13.21
12.88
12.17
14.19

45.80
57.96
44.26
57.72
57.59
38.22
43.91
51.11

12.47
46.61
31.00
44.46
29.44
10.99
20.65
28.71

13.90
3.22
12.48
10.57
15.35
11.55
18.56
10.96

13.35
13.35
28.34
13.59
42.62
9.38
17.68
30.93

17.27
31.75
23.67
6.02
11.01
25.64
10.65
17.27

41.18
24.54
20.09
23.98
14.72
66.75
49.50
26.17

Alabama
Florida
Georgia
Kentucky
Mississippi
No. Carolina
So. Carolina
Tennessee

20.81
19.76
28.32
19.03
21.06
23.21
21.75
20.57

16.33
42.06
15.24
24.68
23.46
35.96
18.58
12.19

43.40
41.40
32.40
46.23
40.84
38.72
39.54
37.48

21.34
51.10
23.28
23.45
17.76
27.32
23.23
16.73

8.43
8.71
11.30
10.33
14.04
10.86
13.06
10.88

7.59
6.84
11.11
23.42
9.05
20.78
12.19
8.83

27.36
30.13
27.99
24.40
24.07
27.21
25.65
31.08

54.73
0.00
50.37
28.46
49.74
15.94
46.01
62.25

Illinois
Indiana
Michigan
Minnesota
Ohio
Wisconsin

27.75
24.33
25.98
22.48
20.78
23.03

23.41
17.06
19.89
27.18
9.17
48.35

36.46
38.37
41.71
41.73
46.52
38.45

31.28
25.62
38.30
26.39
25.97
35.20

8.60
14.41
16.25
14.33
12.66
19.15

16.36
14.09
34.81
21.50
20.88
11.55

27.19
22.90
16.06
21.47
20.03
19.37

28.94
43.23
7.01
24.92
43.98
4.90

Arkansas
Louisiana
New Mexico
Oklahoma
Texas

24.35
23.59
27.19
26.66
32.52

13.77
20.89
19.75
6.72
20.83

39.81
44.26
40.00
40.67
30.41

15.42
23.48
28.15
16.97
37.92

12.27
13.45
16.22
10.83
14.69

23.86
17.08
19.26
14.98
34.20

23.56
18.69
16.59
21.84
22.39

46.95
38.55
32.84
61.33
7.05

Colorado
Iowa
Kansas
Missouri
Montana
Nebraska
North Dakota
South Dakota
Utah
Wyoming

28.51
24.74
27.95
21.25
26.25
23.23
22.96
26.65
28.22
27.38

11.82
27.36
22.62
17.01
22.55
9.61
4.38
22.71
17.51
13.95

41.31
39.80
36.68
45.61
37.25
41.27
42.64
39.77
33.40
35.78

33.50
17.67
11.15
40.18
20.11
13.54
24.42
12.09
22.93
15.16

12.29
18.66
13.79
10.94
11.98
16.71
17.43
16.23
12.77
10.23

21.30
27.90
15.86
7.98
15.52
18.64
43.73
18.98
10.62
10.85

17.88
16.80
21.58
22.20
24.53
18.78
16.98
17.35
25.60
26.62

33.38
27.08
50.37
34.83
41.82
58.21
27.46
46.22
48.94
60.04

Alaska
Arizona
California
Guam
Hawaii
Idaho
Nevada
Oregon
Washington

19.24
32.12
20.14
36.80
27.01
36.50
26.53
24.56
20.65

0.00
30.97
7.65
26.88
14.65
22.36
27.33
27.97
23.25

39.19
32.70
47.96
33.88
39.47
29.14
36.79
39.22
48.12

73.92
24.29
44.53
16.19
24.29
11.18
33.04
26.28
18.25

21.60
9.60
15.91
9.34
14.64
13.13
11.65
13.49
10.97

11.90
13.28
28.57
8.81
15.09
5.36
24.48
34.38
21.70

19.97
25.57
15.99
19.98
18.87
21.22
25.03
22.73
20.27

14.18
31.46
19.25
48.12
45.97
61.10
15.15
11.38
36.80

U.S. Average

23.42

18.58

43.20

28.92

12.48

21.10

20.90

31.39

61

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62

Employment Status of Households Distribution of U.S.


Benefit and Error Dollars
FY 2011

HH's with
Only
UNEARNED
INCOME
43.20%

HH's with
Only
EARNED
INCOME
23.42%

HH's with
Only
EARNED
INCOME
18.58%

HH's with
Only
UNEARNE
D INCOME
28.92%

63
HH's with
Neither
EARNED/
UNEARNED
20.90%

BENEFIT DOLLARS

Exhibit #11

HH's with
both
EARNED/
UNEARNED
12.48%

HH with
Neither
EARNED/
UNEARNE
D 31.39%

HH's with
Both
EARNED/
UNEARNE
D 21.10%

ERROR DOLLARS

THIS PAGE IS INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK

64

Amount of Countable Resources


Distribution of U.S. Benefit and Error Dollars
FY 2011

$1-$150
7.02%

$151-$300
1.56%

$301-$450
0.81%

$151-$300
2.83%
$301-$450
1.14%
>$450
6.39%

65

$>450
3.04%

$0
87.57%

$0
82.74%

BENEFIT DOLLARS
Exhibit #12

$1-$150
6.90%

ERROR DOLLARS

THIS PAGE IS INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK

66

PART IV:
SAMPLE PARAMETERS

Part IV provides information on State


sampling parameters of the active and
negative universes. For active cases we
have also included completion rates and
standard errors for the reported and
regressed payment error rates.

THIS PAGE IS INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK

68

TABLE 28: ACTIVE CASES - ESTIMATED CASELOADS, AVERAGE MONTHLY ALLOTMENTS


AND AVERAGE MONTHLY ALLOTMENT PER CASE, FY 2011 a/

STATE
Connecticut
Maine
Massachusetts
New Hampshire
New York
Rhode Island
Vermont

AVERAGE
MONTHLY
CASELOAD

AVERAGE
MONTHLY
ALLOTMENT

AVERAGE
ALLOTMENT
PER CASE

195,754
118,066
418,080
50,735
1,527,284
83,789
41,580

$48,632,848
$29,399,648
$106,432,192
$12,942,742
$419,724,971
$21,148,457
$10,549,999

$248
$249
$255
$255
$275
$252
$254

59,933
70,862
327,712
368,774
798,492
389,734
9,045
151,698

$15,426,148
$16,996,528
$82,285,744
$94,783,200
$218,380,336
$104,727,872
$3,729,459
$37,030,240

$257
$240
$251
$257
$273
$269
$412
$244

373,062
1,448,346
708,543
354,235
249,718
716,160
378,584
583,840

$110,884,656
$357,373,696
$208,213,728
$94,304,336
$67,096,464
$189,459,632
$107,322,448
$155,867,222

$297
$247
$294
$266
$269
$265
$283
$267

853,013
365,582
920,242
240,833
860,994
347,756

$243,390,549
$107,839,808
$267,691,792
$56,098,288
$248,490,928
$86,189,008

$285
$295
$291
$233
$289
$248

205,903
348,497
173,917
257,092
1,566,541

$55,550,064
$102,989,712
$52,346,667
$74,103,184
$467,784,960

$270
$296
$301
$288
$299

186,753
167,638
134,196
420,813
54,756
72,569
27,265
42,221
104,581
14,946

$59,032,672
$46,804,800
$35,193,760
$114,067,536
$15,864,989
$20,182,256
$7,501,709
$13,298,429
$31,320,160
$4,537,497

$316
$279
$261
$271
$290
$278
$275
$315
$299
$304

Alaska
Arizona
California
Guam
Hawaii
Idaho
Nevada
Oregon
Washington

33,863
444,659
1,513,072
13,306
76,498
90,098
141,783
384,767
512,575

$14,075,640
$129,245,616
$151,211,776
$8,493,585
$32,648,747
$28,768,811
$37,604,304
$98,415,248
$124,159,248

$416
$291
$336
$638
$427
$319
$265
$256
$242

U.S. Average

20,000,753

$5,247,614,308

$280

Delaware
Dist. of Col.
Maryland
New Jersey
Pennsylvania
Virginia
Virgin Islands
West Virginia
Alabama
Florida
Georgia
Kentucky
Mississippi
North Carolina
South Carolina
Tennessee
Illinois
Indiana
Michigan
Minnesota
Ohio
Wisconsin
Arkansas
Louisiana
New Mexico
Oklahoma
Texas
Colorado
Iowa
Kansas
Missouri
Montana
Nebraska
North Dakota
South Dakota
Utah
Wyoming

a/ Average monthly caseloads, monthly allottments and average allotments per case are estimated from the samples.

69

TABLE 29: ACTIVE CASE SAMPLE SIZES AND COMPLETION RATES, FY 2011

STATE
Connecticut
Maine
Massachusetts
New Hampshire
New York
Rhode Island
Vermont
Delaware
Dist. of Col.
Maryland
New Jersey
Pennsylvania
Virginia
Virgin Islands
West Virginia
Alabama
Florida
Georgia
Kentucky
Mississippi
North Carolina
South Carolina
Tennessee
Illinois
Indiana
Michigan
Minnesota
Ohio
Wisconsin
Arkansas
Louisiana
New Mexico
Oklahoma
Texas
Colorado
Iowa
Kansas
Missouri
Montana
Nebraska
North Dakota
South Dakota
Utah
Wyoming
Alaska
Arizona
California
Guam
Hawaii
Idaho
Nevada
Oregon
Washington
U.S. Total

AVERAGE
MONTHLY
CASELOAD

SELECTED
CASES

CASES NOT
SUBJECT
TO REVIEW

CASES
NOT
COMPLETED

COMPLETED
CASE
REVIEWS

a/

COMPLETION
RATE b/

195,754
118,066
418,080
50,735
1,527,284
83,789
41,580

1,112
1,279
1,080
926
1,080
1,080
793

51
47
40
50
50
44
23

42
67
71
46
80
20
17

1,019
1,165
969
830
950
1,016
753

96.04
94.56
93.17
94.75
92.23
98.07
97.79

59,933
70,862
327,712
368,774
798,492
389,734
9,045
151,698

1,115
1,184
1,218
1,156
1,083
1,101
334
1,073

62
91
42
43
29
46
10
25

161
51
118
90
144
124
2
68

892
1,042
1,058
1,023
910
931
322
980

84.71
95.33
89.97
91.91
86.34
88.25
99.38
93.51

373,062
1,448,346
708,543
354,235
249,718
716,160
378,584
583,840

1,198
1,199
1,283
1,363
1,313
1,140
1,316
1,146

34
79
64
25
28
21
53
32

62
72
125
23
18
14
73
47

1,102
1,048
1,094
1,315
1,267
1,105
1,190
1,067

94.67
93.57
89.75
98.28
98.60
98.75
94.22
95.69

853,013
365,582
920,242
240,833
860,994
347,756

1,239
1,199
1,059
1,213
1,472
1,158

32
61
43
57
30
67

86
116
110
88
98
146

1,121
1,022
906
1,068
1,344
945

92.86
89.81
88.82
92.39
93.20
86.62

205,903
348,497
173,917
257,092
1,566,541

1,433
1,280
1,176
1,124
1,202

48
42
40
62
54

28
60
54
29
86

1,357
1,178
1,082
1,033
1,062

97.98
95.15
95.23
97.27
92.51

186,753
167,638
134,196
420,813
54,756
72,569
27,265
42,221
104,581
14,946

1,126
1,102
1,023
1,196
1,019
1,029
542
792
1,055
591

88
41
34
37
47
56
10
22
38
27

83
109
10
48
30
94
6
16
49
4

955
952
979
1,111
942
879
526
754
968
560

92.00
89.73
95.98
95.86
96.91
86.18
98.87
97.92
94.90
99.29

33,863
444,659
1,513,072
13,306
76,498
90,098
141,783
384,767
512,575

671
1,185
1,225
463
1,137
1,071
1,236
1,193
1,109

27
68
128
31
67
55
91
78
59

24
86
78
17
48
14
95
75
70

620
1,031
1,019
415
1,022
1,002
1,038
1,040
980

96.27
92.30
92.76
95.76
95.57
98.25
91.94
93.27
93.33

20,000,753

57,892

2,529

3,392

51,959

92.84

a/ Completed cases are only those cases coded class 1.


b/ Completion rates for stratified States are weighted with stratum caseloads.
c/ The U.S. completion rate is weighted by State average monthly caseload.

70

c/

TABLE 30: ACTIVE CASE SAMPLE SIZES AND STANDARD ERRORS, FY 2011
STATE

STATE

COMPLETED
STATE
REVIEWS

REPORTED
PAYMENT
ERROR RATE

FEDERAL
STD ERROR
REP. PAYMENT
ERROR RATE a/

COMPLETED
FEDERAL
REVIEWS

REGRESSED STD ERROR


PAYMENT
REG. PAYMENT
ERROR RATE ERROR RATE a/

Connecticut
Maine
Massachusetts
New Hampshire
New York
Rhode Island
Vermont

1,019
1,165
969
830
950
1,016
753

6.38
3.13
4.30
4.73
4.08
7.89
8.51

0.69
0.44
0.55
0.63
0.54
0.83
0.83

416
455
397
350
397
405
355

6.46
3.28
4.40
4.82
4.32
7.89
8.53

0.65
0.44
0.54
0.65
0.61
0.78
0.77

Delaware
Dist. of Col.
Maryland
New Jersey
Pennsylvania
Virginia
Virgin Islands
West Virginia

892
1,042
1,058
1,023
910
931
322
980

2.25
3.17
6.24
3.50
3.05
3.05
5.52
6.31

0.42
0.49
0.71
0.48
0.58
0.53
0.95
0.67

357
408
409
396
356
366
160
389

2.53
3.03
6.06
4.33
3.30
3.41
4.77
6.31

0.54
0.36
0.75
0.49
0.57
0.54
1.00
0.76

Alabama
Florida
Georgia
Kentucky
Mississippi
North Carolina
South Carolina
Tennessee

1,102
1,048
1,094
1,315
1,267
1,105
1,190
1,067

4.75
0.83
2.58
4.47
2.78
2.66
3.07
5.38

0.59
0.24
0.39
0.53
0.40
0.39
0.46
0.64

400
375
373
389
389
409
355
385

5.10
0.87
2.71
4.50
2.83
2.65
3.14
5.46

0.70
0.32
0.28
0.70
0.42
0.38
0.40
0.47

Illinois
Indiana
Michigan
Minnesota
Ohio
Wisconsin

1,121
1,022
906
1,068
1,344
945

3.00
3.15
2.99
4.60
3.33
1.89

0.44
0.46
0.43
0.56
0.45
0.38

422
410
411
412
417
445

3.15
3.29
3.12
5.02
3.40
2.02

0.58
0.39
0.41
0.67
0.55
0.27

Arkansas
Louisiana
New Mexico
Oklahoma
Texas

1,357
1,178
1,082
1,033
1,062

5.76
4.15
4.29
3.90
3.04

0.64
0.56
0.52
0.56
0.44

400
435
416
405
425

5.79
3.97
4.35
3.94
3.48

0.56
0.65
0.55
0.55
0.45

Colorado
Iowa
Kansas
Missouri
Montana
Nebraska
North Dakota
South Dakota
Utah
Wyoming

955
952
979
1,111
942
879
526
754
968
560

4.33
3.55
4.93
5.93
2.92
3.62
4.34
1.60
4.11
9.62

0.54
0.50
0.66
0.64
0.44
0.56
0.85
0.32
0.59
1.22

375
376
383
435
382
343
240
313
378
235

4.45
3.97
5.00
5.88
3.10
4.50
4.34
1.59
4.19
9.63

0.47
0.44
0.91
0.58
0.42
0.67
0.66
0.40
0.39
1.05

Alaska
Arizona
California
Guam
Hawaii
Idaho
Nevada
Oregon
Washington

620
1,031
1,019
415
1,022
1,002
1,038
1,040
980

0.68
6.21
4.12
6.11
2.81
2.67
5.93
3.74
3.73

0.17
0.64
0.67
1.01
0.46
0.44
0.60
0.54
0.57

285
412
399
169
396
409
402
402
399

0.76
6.34
4.58
6.25
3.37
2.52
6.29
3.99
3.81

0.20
0.62
0.56
1.25
0.59
0.34
0.71
0.60
0.64

51,959

3.61

0.11

20,022

3.80

0.10

U.S. Total

a/ The listed standard errors can be used in conjunction with the FY- 10 error rates to calculate confidence intervals for the combined
payment error rate. The 95% lower confidence limit is 1.96 standard errors less than the corresponding value, the upper 95%
confidence limit is 1.96 standard errors greater than the value.

71

TABLE 31: NEGATIVE CASE SAMPLE SIZES, FY 2011

STATE

AVERAGE
MONTHLY
CASELOAD a/

CASES NOT
SUBJECT
TO REVIEW

SELECTED
CASES

CASES
COMPLETED
NOT
CASE
COMPLETED REVIEWS

Connecticut
Maine
Massachusetts
New Hampshire
New York
Rhode Island
Vermont

6,003
3,605
13,277
2,242
57,026
2,969
2,202

766
822
998
367
1,020
471
387

31
288
217
13
276
20
30

0
0
0
0
0
0
0

735
534
781
354
744
451
357

Delaware
Dist. of Col.
Maryland
New Jersey
Pennsylvania
Virginia
Virgin Islands
West Virginia

4,318
2,909
9,393
11,011
33,458
17,549
203
6,542

697
439
687
740
756
791
153
820

157
8
61
18
26
28
1
27

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

540
431
626
722
730
763
152
793

Alabama
Florida
Georgia
Kentucky
Mississippi
North Carolina
South Carolina
Tennessee

16,858
103,600
29,808
13,534
4,443
15,760
12,942
19,328

795
1,074
848
772
1,600
892
966
773

54
114
67
27
32
20
101
32

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

741
960
781
745
1,568
872
865
741

Illinois
Indiana
Michigan
Minnesota
Ohio
Wisconsin

30,486
28,461
40,200
23,367
41,564
16,668

951
814
782
724
1,671
986

69
98
62
23
540
60

0
0
0
0
0
0

882
716
720
701
1,131
926

Arkansas
Louisiana
New Mexico
Oklahoma
Texas

14,802
21,034
7,275
17,582
72,065

787
835
960
745
904

53
26
5
60
92

0
0
0
0
0

734
809
955
685
812

Colorado
Iowa
Kansas
Missouri
Montana
Nebraska
North Dakota
South Dakota
Utah
Wyoming

12,008
6,813
6,773
31,339
3,869
4,558
1,244
2,808
9,988
1,403

952
828
794
841
740
632
308
449
608
327

300
71
20
9
121
31
21
17
80
21

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

652
757
774
832
619
601
287
432
528
306

Alaska
Arizona
California
Guam
Hawaii
Idaho
Nevada
Oregon
Washington

2,425
34,608
110,095
94
3,300
2,926
4,930
12,673
15,580

392
834
1,026
263
597
483
772
1,370
733

19
66
233
5
6
27
76
539
121

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

373
768
793
258
591
456
696
831
612

U.S. Total

969,910

40,742

4,519

36,223

a/ Average monthly caseloads estimated by FNS using sampling interval and number of selected cases.

72

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