Escolar Documentos
Profissional Documentos
Cultura Documentos
ECONOMIC DIGEST
V ol.4 No.6 A joint publication of the Connecticut Department of Labor & the Connecticut Department of Economic and Community Development
● IN THIS ISSUE ●
Connecticut Manufacturing Employment and Production
Industr
Industryy Clusters ........................ 3
Indexes (1982=100)
Housing Update ......................... 3 140
Leading & Coincident Indicators 5
CMPI
Economic Indicators ................ 6-8
120
Compar ativ
Comparativ e Regional Data ........ 9
ative
Economic Indicator Trends .... 10-13
100
Nonf ar
Nonfar
armm Empl. Estimates ..... 14-19
Labor F orce Estimates .............. 20
Force Manufacturing
80
Hours and Ear nings .................. 21
Earnings
Housing P er
Per mit Activity ........ 21-22
ermit
60
Technical Notes ........................ 23
82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98
At a Glance ............................... 24
ECONOMIC DIGEST
The Connecticut Economic Digest is
worker hours, and industrial
electricity sales are used as a
and fast computers, labor produc-
tivity began to increase accord-
proxy for capital. For a more ingly, hence producing more with
published monthly by the Connecticut
complete explanation of the less manpower. In 1997 and
Department of Labor, Office of Research and
the Connecticut Department of Economic and methodology, contact the Con- 1998, Connecticut manufacturing
Community Development, Public and necticut Department of Labor, employment finally turned the
Government Relations Division. Its purpose is Office of Research, at (860) 263- corner with 0.5 and 0.9 percent
to regularly provide users with a compre-
hensive source for the most current, up-to-date
6293. growth. The combination of
data available on the workforce and economy increased manufacturing employ-
of the state, within perspectives of the region Productivity Matters ment and continued rise in pro-
and nation. Connecticut’s last recession, ductivity contributed to the in-
The views expressed by authors are theirs which lasted nearly four years, crease of 1.9 and 2.8 percent in
alone and do not necessarily reflect those of
concluded by the end of 1992. the CMPI in those two years.
the Departments of Labor or Economic and
Community Development. Over the course of the next six The annual CMPI was as low as
To receive this publication free of charge write years, aggregate nonfarm employ- 104.2 in 1983, but reached a
to: The Connecticut Economic Digest , ment climbed back to near its pre- record high of 126.5 last year,
Connecticut Department of Labor, Office of recession level. Jobs in the manu- indicating that Connecticut’s
Research, 200 Folly Brook Boulevard, facturing sector, however, saw manufacturers produced a dollar
Wethersfield, CT 06109-1114; or call: (860)
263-6275. Current subscribers who do not wish continuous declines from 1985 value of goods and services nearly
to continue receiving the publication or who through 1996, as the once heavily one third more in 1998 than in
have a change of address are asked to fill out defense-dependent industry began 1982. By contrast, a third of
the information on the back cover and return it
to be dismantled after the end of Connecticut’s manufacturing jobs
to the above address.
the Cold War. But, as the chart were eliminated in the last 16
Contributing DOL Staff: Salvatore DiPillo,
Lincoln S. Dyer, Arthur Famiglietti, Noreen on the cover page shows, the CMPI years.
Passardi and Joseph Slepski. Managing diverges sharply from the manu-
Editor
Editor:: J. Charles Joo. Contr ib
Contrib uting DECD
ibuting facturing employment index CMPI: A New Economic
Staff: Todd Bentsen, Kolie Chang, Robert starting in the early 1980s. Manu- Indicator
Damroth and Mark Prisloe. We would also like
to thank our associates at the Connecticut facturing output grew rapidly The seasonally adjusted CMPI
Center for Economic Analysis, University of every year between 1985 and number of 127.1 in March of this
Connecticut, for their contributions to the 1988, while its employment fell in year was 1.0 percent higher than a
Digest.
each year of that period. Then, year ago, while manufacturing
after reaching a peak in 1988, employment decreased 1.3 per-
Connecticut manufacturing sector production cent. This reflects that our State’s
Department of Labor declined during the recession manufacturing sector production
years to a low in 1993. From level actually rose because of the
James P. Butler, Commissioner 1994, the level of output started to rise in labor productivity, despite
Jean E. Zurbrigen, Deputy Commissioner
Susan G. Townsley, Deputy Commissioner rise again and reached a new peak the declines in production
in 1998, further widening the gap manhours.
Roger F. Therrien, Director between the two indexes. The new index is updated on a
Office of Research
200 Folly Brook Boulevard From 1993 to 1996, monthly basis, and the previous
Wethersfield, CT 06109-1114 Connecticut’s manufacturing two months’ numbers get revised
Phone: (860) 263-6275 sector lost on average 1.6 percent each month (see page 6, under
Fax: (860) 263-6263
E-Mail: salvatore.dipillo@po.state.ct.us of its jobs annually, but the CMPI Manufacturing Activity, for the
measure of production, which latest data; monthly historical data
Connecticut Department takes into account the use of back to 1982 are available upon
of Economic and capital, showed an actual average request). This new economic
gain of 1.8 percent yearly. Such a indicator will not only offer a
Community Development difference between employment timely and comprehensive mea-
James F. Abromaitis, Commissioner and production is attributed to the sure of the State’s manufacturing
Rita Zangari, Deputy Commissioner
Timothy H. Coppage, Deputy Commissioner increases in labor productivity activity that employment alone
over this period. Despite the would not reveal, but also will
Public and Government Relations Division downward trend in employment provide us with another perspec-
Research Unit
505 Hudson Street through 1996, as the manufactur- tive on the health of the
DECD
Hartford, CT 06106-2502 ing sector restructured and diver- Connecticut’s aggregate
Phone: (860) 270-8165 RESEARCH sified into non-military products economy.n
Fax: (860) 270-8188
E-Mail: decd@po.state.ct.us and continued to invest exten-
●
2 THE CONNECTICUT ECONOMIC DIGEST June 1999
Connecticut Agriculture: Industry Clusters
A Growing Industry Urban Clusters II
By Mark Prisloe, Associate Economist
n 1998, Connecticut oyster industry represents 94
L ast month in this space we
began discussing Michael
Porter’s concept of industry
I reached agreement to percent of the entire Northeast
regional oyster production and
clusters as drivers of inner city
become one of three states able economic development with
to export oysters to Japan. six percent of the entire U.S. implications for Connecticut’s
Connecticut oysters are a $62 aquaculture production of $980 urban initiative. Cities, accord-
million dollar industry – larger in million. Even though it is only ing to Porter, possess four
total dollar value than the “Bay 0.2 percent of world production, competitive strengths that form
State” of Massachusetts (output farm-raised products increased the base for inner city develop-
of $9 million), the “lobster” State to 20 percent of global output in ment. Inner city competitive
of Maine (output of $55 million), 1998 with the research support assets include: strategic loca-
and the “Ocean State” of Rhode of bioscience. Thus farm-raised tion; integration with regional
Island (output of $83,000). oysters will be an important clusters; unmet local demand
contributor to world food sources and human resources. This
Str ength of Aquacultur
Strength Aquaculture e in the future. The State partici- month we discuss the value of
Connecticut agriculture and pates in the Northeast Regional strategic location.
aquaculture industries are Aquaculture Center (NRAC), one
competing in an emerging global of only five created by Congress Despite the decentralization of
market. Oysters are just one in 1987 to increase competitive- some industries due to techno-
indication of this. Statistically, ness in an emerging global logical advances, many busi-
the $62 million Connecticut market. nesses are still location-sensi-
tive as they strive to compete in
a just-in-time, service intensive
economy. An inner city loca-
HOUSING UPDATE tion typically offers a unique
set of advantages for many
March Housing Permits Up 10.6% types of businesses including
advanced transportation infra-
C ommissioner James F.
Abromaitis of the Connecticut
Connecticut,” Commissioner
Abromaitis said, “I’m encouraged
structure, proximity to a high
concentration of businesses,
Department of Economic and that we continue to surpass 1998 communications nodes, and
Community Development today totals.” entertainment complexes.
announced that Connecticut Reports from municipal officials
communities authorized 1,026 throughout the state indicate that Businesses located in the inner
new housing units in April 1999, a Tolland County with 40.7 percent city can make rapid deliveries
10.6 percent increase compared to showed the greatest percentage and provide downtown buyers
April of 1998 when 928 were increase in April compared to the with exceptional convenience.
authorized. same month a year ago. Litchfield Land, although possibly more
The Department further indi- County followed with a 33.8 costly than in the suburbs, can
cated that the 1,026 units permit- percent increase. also be cheaper in the inner
ted in April 1999 represent a Hartford County documented city than it is downtown. Such
decrease of seven percent from the the largest number of new, autho- factors produce concentrations
1,105 units permitted in March rized units in April with 239. of successful inner city busi-
1999. The year-to-date permits Fairfield County followed with 206 nesses. Porter cites examples
are up 11.1 percent, from 3,059 units and New Haven County had of food processing and distribu-
through April 1998, to 3,398 195 units. South Windsor led all tion, as well as world-class
through April 1999. Connecticut communities with 41 medical facilities in Boston, or
“1999 continues to be a strong units, followed by Norwalk with 38 logistics and storage busi-
year for the housing market in and Hamden with 32. n nesses in both Los Angeles and
Chicago.
For mor
moree infor mation on housing per
information mits, see tables on pages 21-22.
permits,
●
4 THE CONNECTICUT ECONOMIC DIGEST June 1999
LEADING AND COINCIDENT INDICATORS
105
LEADING INDEX 120
COINCIDENT INDEX
Peak
02/89
100
100
95
80 Peak
03/80 Trough
90 06/92
60 Peak Trough
85 05/74 01/83
40
80
Trough
09/75
75 20
72 74 76 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 72 74 76 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98
The distance from peak to trough, indicated by the shaded areas, measures the duration of an employment cycle recession. The vertical scale in both
charts is an index with 1987=100.
●
6 THE CONNECTICUT ECONOMIC DIGEST June 1999
ECONOMIC INDICATORS
Year-to-date retail sales were
B USINESS A CTIVITY
ACTIVITY
up 6.6 percent from last year.
Y/Y % YEAR TO DATE %
MONTH LEVEL CHG CURRENT PRIOR CHG
New Housing Permits APR 1999 1,026 10.6 3,398 3,059 11.1
Electricity Sales (mil kWh) FEB 1999 2,329 3.8 5,006 4,770 4.9
Retail Sales (Bil. $) FEB 1999 2.49 6.9 4.99 4.68 6.6
Construction Contracts
Index (1980=100) MAR 1999 357.7 14.6 --- --- ---
New Auto Registrations APR 1999 18,173 -22.7 82,494 73,170 12.7
Air Cargo Tons MAR 1999 14,056 23.8 33,993 32,670 4.0
Sources: Department of Economic and Community Development; U.S. Department of Energy, Energy Information
Administration; Connecticut Department of Revenue Services; F.W. Dodge; Connecticut Department of
Motor Vehicles; Connecticut Department of Transportation, Bureau of Aviation and Ports
B USINESS STAR
STAR TS AND TERMINA
ARTS TIONS
TERMINATIONS Net business formations as
measured by starts minus
APR % CHANGE YEAR TO DATE %
1999 M/M Y/Y CURRENT PRIOR CHG stops registered with the State
STARTS Department of Labor declined
Secretary of the State 1,764 -14.7 2.1 7,360 7,072 4.1 by 1,219 for the first four
Department of Labor 807 -31.1 15.6 3,739 3,587 4.2 months of this year.
TERMINATIONS
Secretary of the State 340 -12.1 1.5 1,378 1,351 2.0
Department of Labor 1,764 79.1 -5.7 4,958 4,892 1.3
Sources: Connecticut Secretary of the State -- corporations and other legal entities
Connecticut Department of Labor -- unemployment insurance program registrations
●
8 THE CONNECTICUT ECONOMIC DIGEST June 1999
COMPARATIVE REGIONAL DATA
Maine led the region
NONFARM EMPLO
NONFARM YMENT
EMPLOYMENT
with the strongest job
APR APR CHANGE MAR
(Seasonally adjusted; 000s) 1999 1998 NO. % 1999 growth over the year.
Connecticut 1,664.8 1,638.5 26.3 1.6 1,663.9
Maine 581.5 567.3 14.2 2.5 580.8
Massachusetts 3,218.2 3,166.6 51.6 1.6 3,209.9
New Hampshire 596.3 585.9 10.4 1.8 597.5
New Jersey 3,855.8 3,789.8 66.0 1.7 3,846.7
New York 8,345.2 8,198.2 147.0 1.8 8,336.5
Pennsylvania 5,532.9 5,483.9 49.0 0.9 5,528.1
Rhode Island 464.0 454.8 9.2 2.0 461.1
Vermont 290.8 285.6 5.2 1.8 290.1
United States 127,911.0 125,234.0 2,677.0 2.1 127,677.0
Source: U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics
1,600
May 1,610.3 1,640.8
1,550 Jun 1,610.2 1,643.3
Jul 1,612.9 1,649.3
1,500
Aug 1,612.5 1,651.3
1,450 Sep 1,618.3 1,645.8
Oct 1,620.7 1,651.4
1,400
Nov 1,622.4 1,652.5
85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99
Dec 1,627.4 1,660.3
AVERAGE WEEKLY INITIAL CLAIMS (Seasonally adjusted) Month 1997 1998 1999
Jan 4,010 3,450 4,252
9,000
Feb 3,892 3,573 3,885
8,000 Mar 4,084 3,518 4,047
7,000 Apr 4,434 3,584 3,805
6,000 May 3,791 3,710
Jun 3,990 3,962
5,000
Jul 3,678 3,779
4,000 Aug 3,736 4,164
3,000 Sep 3,621 5,076
Oct 3,502 3,500
2,000
Nov 3,699 4,026
85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99
Dec 4,026 3,394
●
10 THE CONNECTICUT ECONOMIC DIGEST June 1999
ECONOMIC INDICATOR TRENDS
REAL AVG MANUFACTURING HOURLY EARNINGS (Not seasonally adjusted) Month 1997 1998 1999
Jan $9.09 $9.27 $9.32
9.6
Feb 9.06 9.26 9.31
9.4 Mar 9.08 9.29 9.33
1982-84 Dollars
AVG MANUFACTURING WEEKLY HOURS (Not seasonally adjusted) Month 1997 1998 1999
Jan 42.7 42.7 41.8
45
Feb 42.1 42.9 41.9
44 Mar 42.4 42.7 42.4
43 Apr 42.5 42.5 42.4
42 May 42.4 42.9
Jun 42.5 42.9
41
Jul 41.9 42.2
40 Aug 42.0 42.1
39 Sep 43.0 41.9
Oct 42.8 42.8
38
Nov 43.1 43.2
85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99
Dec 43.4 43.2
HARTFORD HELP WANTED INDEX (Seasonally adjusted) Month 1997 1998 1999
Jan 35 35 33
120
Feb 36 38 36
100 Mar 34 37 34
Apr 36 37 34
1987=100
80
May 36 40
60 Jun 38 39
Jul 35 36
40
Aug 34 35
20 Sep 36 32
Oct 35 33
0
Nov 37 34
85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99
Dec 36 35
DOL NEWLY REGISTERED EMPLOYERS (12-month moving average) Month 1997 1998 1999
Jan 833 868 831
1,100
Feb 840 870 828
1,000 Mar 856 846 829
Apr 849 878 834
900
May 856 861
800 Jun 848 836
Jul 856 849
700
Aug 862 841
600 Sep 854 838
Oct 859 845
500
Nov 859 836
85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99
Dec 852 832
INSURANCE CARRIERS (SIC 63) EMPLOYMENT (Not seasonally adjusted) Month 1997 1998 1999
Jan 57.1 57.4 59.1
76 Feb 57.9 57.6 59.0
72 Mar 58.4 57.9 59.1
Apr 59.1 57.6 58.6
Thousands
68
May 59.7 57.8
64 Jun 58.8 58.6
60 Jul 58.0 59.7
Aug 58.4 60.0
56 Sep 58.5 59.6
52 Oct 58.2 59.4
Nov 58.2 59.4
85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99
Dec 58.8 59.6
OTHER FIN., INS., REAL EST. EMPLOYMENT (Not seasonally adjusted) Month 1997 1998 1999
Jan 46.7 50.1 53.1
56 Feb 47.2 50.6 53.3
54 Mar 47.7 51.4 53.8
52 Apr 47.9 51.2 54.0
Thousands
●
12 THE CONNECTICUT ECONOMIC DIGEST June 1999
ECONOMIC INDICATOR TRENDS
NEW AUTO REGISTRATIONS PROCESSED (Not seasonally adjusted) Month 1997 1998 1999
30,000 Jan 12,436 20,753 24,372
Feb 14,401 12,604 16,524
25,000 Mar 23,952 16,313 23,425
Apr 18,038 23,500 18,173
20,000
May 16,364 17,300
15,000 Jun 16,464 19,813
Jul 10,386 12,812
10,000
Aug 11,210 14,992
5,000 Sep 11,485 24,688
Oct 14,563 14,106
0
Nov 13,884 15,806
85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99
Dec 15,416 19,373
NEW HOUSING PERMITS (Not seasonally adjusted) Month 1997 1998 1999
Jan 427 737 749
4,000
Feb 520 647 518
3,500
Mar 911 747 1,105
3,000 Apr 1,036 928 1,026
2,500 May 836 1,051
2,000 Jun 886 1,203
1,500 Jul 871 1,297
1,000 Aug 792 976
500 Sep 740 984
0 Oct 852 1,025
Nov 561 817
85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99
Dec 622 1,129
CONSTRUCTION CONTRACTS INDEX (12-month moving average) Month 1997 1998 1999
Jan 236.8 256.7 217.5
280
Feb 242.8 258.2 213.9
260 Mar 246.1 258.4 214.2
Apr 242.9 262.7
240
1980=100
Current month’s data are preliminary. Prior months’ data have been revised. All data are benchmarked to March 1998.
*Total excludes workers idled due to labor-management disputes. **Includes Indian tribal government employment.
●
14 THE CONNECTICUT ECONOMIC DIGEST June 1999
NONFARM EMPLOYMENT ESTIMATES
BRIDGEPORT LMA
BRIDGEPORT Not Seasonally Adjusted
APR APR CHANGE MAR
1999 1998 NO. % 1999
DANB UR
ANBUR Y LMA
URY Not Seasonally Adjusted
APR APR CHANGE MAR
1999 1998 NO. % 1999
For further information on the Danbury Labor Market Area contact Arthur Famiglietti at (860) 263-6297.
Current month’s data are preliminary. Prior months’ data have been revised. All data are benchmarked to March 1998.
*Total excludes workers idled due to labor-management disputes.
For further information on the Danielson Labor Market Area contact Noreen Passardi at (860) 263-6299.
For further information on the Hartford Labor Market Area contact Arthur Famiglietti at (860) 263-6297.
Current month’s data are preliminary. Prior months’ data have been revised. All data are benchmarked to March 1998.
*Total excludes workers idled due to labor-management disputes.
●
16 THE CONNECTICUT ECONOMIC DIGEST June 1999
NONFARM EMPLOYMENT ESTIMATES
LOWER RIVER LMA
LOWER Not Seasonally Adjusted
APR APR CHANGE MAR
1999 1998 NO. % 1999
Current month’s data are preliminary. Prior months’ data have been revised. All data are benchmarked to March 1998.
*Total excludes workers idled due to labor-management disputes.
STAMFORD LMA
STAMFORD Not Seasonally Adjusted
APR APR CHANGE MAR
1999 1998 NO. % 1999
●
18 THE CONNECTICUT ECONOMIC DIGEST June 1999
NONFARM EMPLOYMENT ESTIMATES
TORRINGTON LMA
ORRINGTON Not Seasonally Adjusted
APR APR CHANGE MAR
1999 1998 NO. % 1999
For further information on the Torrington Labor Market Area contact Joseph Slepski at (860) 263-6278.
WATERB UR
TERBUR Y LMA
URY Not Seasonally Adjusted
APR APR CHANGE MAR
1999 1998 NO. % 1999
For further information on the Waterbury Labor Market Area contact Joseph Slepski at (860) 263-6278.
Current month’s data are preliminary. Prior months’ data have been revised. All data are benchmarked to March 1998.
*Total excludes workers idled due to labor-management disputes.
BRIDGEPORT LMA Civilian Labor Force 218,400 215,200 3,200 1.5 217,600
Employed 210,300 207,500 2,800 1.3 208,700
Unemployed 8,100 7,700 400 5.2 8,900
Unemployment Rate 3.7 3.6 0.1 --- 4.1
DANBURY LMA Civilian Labor Force 109,800 108,700 1,100 1.0 109,400
Employed 107,200 106,200 1,000 0.9 106,600
Unemployed 2,600 2,500 100 4.0 2,800
Unemployment Rate 2.4 2.3 0.1 --- 2.5
DANIELSON LMA Civilian Labor Force 32,300 32,900 -600 -1.8 32,100
Employed 31,000 31,300 -300 -1.0 30,700
Unemployed 1,300 1,600 -300 -18.8 1,500
Unemployment Rate 4.0 4.7 -0.7 --- 4.5
HARTFORD LMA Civilian Labor Force 584,500 573,600 10,900 1.9 585,100
Employed 566,200 555,600 10,600 1.9 565,200
Unemployed 18,300 18,000 300 1.7 19,900
Unemployment Rate 3.1 3.1 0.0 --- 3.4
LOWER RIVER LMA Civilian Labor Force 12,300 11,900 400 3.4 12,100
Employed 12,000 11,600 400 3.4 11,800
Unemployed 300 300 0 0.0 300
Unemployment Rate 2.4 2.5 -0.1 --- 2.5
NEW HAVEN LMA Civilian Labor Force 275,200 268,800 6,400 2.4 272,700
Employed 266,900 260,200 6,700 2.6 264,400
Unemployed 8,200 8,600 -400 -4.7 8,300
Unemployment Rate 3.0 3.2 -0.2 --- 3.0
NEW LONDON LMA Civilian Labor Force 152,000 148,600 3,400 2.3 151,000
Employed 147,300 142,900 4,400 3.1 146,200
Unemployed 4,700 5,700 -1,000 -17.5 4,900
Unemployment Rate 3.1 3.8 -0.7 --- 3.2
STAMFORD LMA Civilian Labor Force 193,100 190,500 2,600 1.4 191,400
Employed 189,100 186,700 2,400 1.3 187,100
Unemployed 4,000 3,800 200 5.3 4,300
Unemployment Rate 2.1 2.0 0.1 --- 2.3
TORRINGTON LMA Civilian Labor Force 38,900 38,600 300 0.8 38,400
Employed 37,900 37,500 400 1.1 37,300
Unemployed 1,000 1,100 -100 -9.1 1,100
Unemployment Rate 2.6 2.8 -0.2 --- 2.8
WATERBURY LMA Civilian Labor Force 115,100 114,000 1,100 1.0 115,100
Employed 110,400 109,600 800 0.7 110,400
Unemployed 4,800 4,400 400 9.1 4,800
Unemployment Rate 4.1 3.9 0.2 --- 4.1
UNITED STATES Civilian Labor Force 138,240,000 136,379,000 1,861,000 1.4 138,418,000
Employed 132,552,000 130,735,000 1,817,000 1.4 132,299,000
Unemployed 5,688,000 5,643,000 45,000 0.8 6,119,000
Unemployment Rate 4.1 4.1 0.0 --- 4.4
Current month’s data are preliminary. Prior months’ data have been revised. All data are benchmarked to March 1998.
●
20 THE CONNECTICUT ECONOMIC DIGEST June 1999
MANUFACTURING HOURS AND EARNINGS
AVG WEEKLY EARNINGS AVG WEEKLY HOURS AVG HOURLY EARNINGS
APR CHG MAR APR CHG MAR APR CHG MAR
(Not seasonally adjusted) 1999 1998 Y/Y 1999 1999 1998 Y/Y 1999 1999 1998 Y/Y 1999
MANUFACTURING $642.36 $626.03 $16.34 $638.54 42.4 42.5 -0.1 42.4 $15.15 $14.73 $0.42 $15.06
DURABLE GOODS 661.34 642.43 18.91 655.94 43.0 42.8 0.2 42.9 15.38 15.01 0.37 15.29
Lumber & Furniture 480.74 472.99 7.74 483.69 40.5 40.6 -0.1 41.2 11.87 11.65 0.22 11.74
Stone, Clay and Glass 622.36 619.31 3.05 599.87 46.9 44.3 2.6 44.7 13.27 13.98 -0.71 13.42
Primary Metals 625.01 604.00 21.01 615.77 44.9 43.8 1.1 44.3 13.92 13.79 0.13 13.90
Fabricated Metals 597.49 594.38 3.10 597.55 42.8 42.7 0.1 42.5 13.96 13.92 0.04 14.06
Machinery 715.90 689.27 26.63 713.03 44.8 44.7 0.1 45.1 15.98 15.42 0.56 15.81
Electrical Equipment 527.09 492.03 35.06 517.09 41.7 40.1 1.6 41.5 12.64 12.27 0.37 12.46
Trans. Equipment 824.31 815.63 8.69 826.23 42.6 43.5 -0.9 43.1 19.35 18.75 0.60 19.17
Instruments 627.73 600.35 27.39 604.86 42.3 42.1 0.2 41.6 14.84 14.26 0.58 14.54
Miscellaneous Mfg 647.02 552.84 94.18 620.67 42.4 40.8 1.6 41.6 15.26 13.55 1.71 14.92
NONDUR. GOODS 599.87 590.52 9.35 596.58 41.2 42.0 -0.8 41.2 14.56 14.06 0.50 14.48
Food 535.06 536.21 -1.15 537.07 42.6 43.0 -0.4 43.7 12.56 12.47 0.09 12.29
Textiles 467.48 481.80 -14.32 490.77 40.3 42.3 -2.0 41.0 11.60 11.39 0.21 11.97
Apparel 344.18 324.56 19.62 335.87 39.2 38.5 0.7 39.1 8.78 8.43 0.35 8.59
Paper 714.76 707.62 7.14 701.78 42.8 44.9 -2.1 43.4 16.70 15.76 0.94 16.17
Printing & Publishing 600.24 581.44 18.80 595.58 38.7 39.5 -0.8 38.4 15.51 14.72 0.79 15.51
Chemicals 759.98 793.86 -33.87 771.61 42.6 44.3 -1.7 43.3 17.84 17.92 -0.08 17.82
Rubber & Misc. Plast. 532.82 506.26 26.56 519.56 42.9 42.4 0.5 41.9 12.42 11.94 0.48 12.40
CONSTRUCTION 817.48 792.74 24.74 804.64 41.1 40.8 0.3 40.7 19.89 19.43 0.46 19.77
LMAs AVG WEEKLY EARNINGS AVG WEEKLY HOURS AVG HOURLY EARNINGS
APR CHG MAR APR CHG MAR APR CHG MAR
MANUFACTURING 1999 1998 Y/Y 1999 1999 1998 Y/Y 1999 1999 1998 Y/Y 1999
Bridgeport $631.89 $615.95 $15.94 $636.61 41.3 40.9 0.4 41.5 $15.30 $15.06 $0.24 $15.34
Danbury 609.76 620.96 -11.20 604.13 41.2 42.3 -1.1 40.6 14.80 14.68 0.12 14.88
Danielson 499.20 459.75 39.45 482.39 41.6 40.4 1.2 40.3 12.00 11.38 0.62 11.97
Hartford 682.88 644.38 38.50 682.35 42.6 41.6 1.0 42.7 16.03 15.49 0.54 15.98
Lower River 550.09 510.72 39.37 544.75 41.8 39.9 1.9 41.3 13.16 12.80 0.36 13.19
New Haven 630.49 601.70 28.79 629.22 42.4 41.1 1.3 42.4 14.87 14.64 0.23 14.84
New London 662.96 626.48 36.48 669.54 42.2 41.0 1.2 42.7 15.71 15.28 0.43 15.68
Stamford 543.71 540.71 3.00 532.51 39.6 39.7 -0.1 38.7 13.73 13.62 0.11 13.76
Torrington 572.42 553.82 18.60 560.44 41.6 42.7 -1.1 41.3 13.76 12.97 0.79 13.57
Waterbury 627.98 588.41 39.57 633.39 44.1 42.7 1.4 44.2 14.24 13.78 0.46 14.33
Current month’s data are preliminary. Prior months’ data have been revised. All data are benchmarked to March 1998.
●
22 THE CONNECTICUT ECONOMIC DIGEST June 1999
TECHNICAL NOTES
BUSINESS ST AR TS AND TERMINA
STAR TIONS
TERMINATIONS
DOL newly registered employers are those businesses newly registered with the Labor Department’s unemployment insurance program
(including reopened accounts) during the month. DOL discontinued employers are those accounts that are terminated due to inactivity (no
employees) or business closure. Registrations and terminations of business entities as recorded with the Secretary of the State are an indica-
tion of new business formation and activity. These registrations include limited liability companies, limited liability partnerships, and foreign-
owned (out-of-state) and domestic-owned (in-state) corporations.
INITIAL CLAIMS
Average weekly initial claims are calculated by dividing the total number of new claims for unemployment insurance received in the month by
the number of weeks in the month. A minor change in methodology took effect with data published in the March 1997 issue of the DIGEST.
Data have been revised back to January 1980.
The Bureau of Labor Statistics has identified the five towns of Canaan, Kent, North Canaan, Salisbury and Sharon as a separate area for
reporting labor force data. For the convenience of our data users, data for these towns are included in the Torrington Labor Market Area. For
the same purpose, data for the town of Thompson, which is officially part of the Worcester Metropolitan Statistical Area, are included in the
Danielson Labor Market Area. Also, data for Hopkinton and Westerly, Rhode Island are included in the New London Labor Market Area.
UI COVERED W AGES
WAGES
UI covered wages is the total amount paid to those employees who are covered under the Connecticut’s Unemployment Insurance (UI) law for
services performed during the quarter. The fluctuations in the 1992-93 period reflect the effect of the changes in the tax law and the massive
restructuring in the state’s economy.
Leading Employment Index ........... -1.0 Business Activity Tour ism and Travel
ourism
Coincident Employment Index ..... +4.4 New Housing Permits .................. +10.6 Tourism Inquiries .......................... +71.9
Electricity Sales .............................. +3.8 Tourism Info Centers .................... +19.5
Total Nonfar
Nonfar m Emplo
arm yment .......... +1.6
Employment Retail Sales ................................... +6.9 Attraction Visitors ............................ -2.5
Construction Contracts Index ....... +14.6 Hotel-Motel Occupancy ................. -0.7*
Unemployment ............................ 0.0* New Auto Registrations ................. -22.7 Air Passenger Count ................... +12.4
Labor Force ................................... +1.7 Air Cargo Tons ............................. +23.8
Employed ....................................... +1.8 Emplo yment Cost Inde
Employment Index x (U
(U.S.S .)
.S.)
Unemployed ................................... -0.2 Total ............................................... +3.0
Business Star ts
Starts Wages & Salaries .......................... +3.3
Aver age Weekly Initial Claims ...... +6.2
erage Secretary of the State .................... +2.1 Benefit Costs ................................. +2.2
Help Wanted Inde x -- Har
Index tf
Hartf ord ....... -8.1
tford Dept. of Labor .............................. +15.6
Aver age Ins
erage Ins.. Unempl. Rate ........ +0.14* Consumer Pr ice Inde
Price Index x
Business Ter minations
erminations U.S. City Average ........................... +2.3
Aver age Weekly Hours
erage Hours,, Mfg .......... -0.2 Secretary of the State .................... +1.5 Northeast Region ........................... +1.9
Aver age Hour
erage Hourlyly Ear nings
nings,, Mfg ...... +2.9
Earnings Dept. of Labor ................................. -5.7 NY-NJ-Long Island ......................... +1.7
Aver age Weekly Ear
erage nings
nings,, Mfg ..... +2.6
Earnings Boston-Brockton-Nashua ............... +2.0
CT Mfg. Production Index ............ +0.9 Consumer Confidence
Production Worker Hours ................ -1.9 State Tax Collections .................... -0.3 U.S. ................................................ -1.7
Industrial Electricity Sales ............... -0.2 Corporate Tax ............................... +24.8 New England ................................. -0.2
Personal Income Tax ....................... -4.6
Personal Income .......................... +4.0 Real Estate Conveyance Tax .......... +1.9 Interest Rates
UI Covered Wages ....................... +4.5
Cov Sales & Use Tax ............................. +7.3 Prime ........................................... -0.75*
Conventional Mortgage ................ -0.22*
*Percentage point change; **Less than 0.05 percent; NA = Not Available
THE CONNECTICUT
ECONOMIC DIGEST
A joint publication of
The Connecticut Departments of Labor and
Economic and Community Development
❑ If you wish to have your name removed from our mailing list, please
Mailing address:
check here and return this page to the address at left.
Connecticut Economic Digest ❑ If your address has changed, please check here, make the necessary
Connecticut Depar tment of Labor
Department changes to your address label and return this page to the address at left.
Office of Research
200 F olly Brook Boule
Folly vard
Boulev
❑ If you receive more than one copy of this publication, please check here
and return this page from the duplicate copy to the address at left.
Wethersfield, CT 06109-1114