Analysis Report: Analysis Report

Analysis Report:
Elevating Auto Parts Insight Theftsfor Law Enforcement Using Geospatial Predictive Analytics
Location: Alexandria, VA | United States Analysis Performed by: GeoEye Analytics & Alexandria PD Imagery: GeoEye-1 - .50-meter resolution Collection date: 1 Day April Month 20102012
Background
In early 2009, the City of Alexandria began experiencing a series of larcenies of parts from vehicles. The Alexandria Police department was looking for ways to more effectively deploy their resources and to learn more about where subsequent incidents were likely to take place. Through a joint effort, GeoEye Analytics and the Alexandria PD were able to achieve unprecedented levels of insight into these crimes through the use of Geospatial Predictive Analysis.
Analysis Report:
Auto Parts Thefts Using Geospatial Predictive Analytics
Using patented statistical methodologies and advanced tools, GeoEye analyzed past events in a geospatial context, discovering patterns and relationships to identify where similar incidents might occur in the future. Intelligence analysts, military planners and law enforcement personnel around the world rely on this capability to make informed decisions and better plan operations.
Location: Alexandria, VA | United States Analysis Performed by: GeoEye Analytics & Alexandria PD Imagery: GeoEye-1 - .50-meter resolution Collection date: Day Month 2012
GeoEye Analytics methodology

1. Map Incidents 2. Compare Incidents with the factors in the Environment Roads Population Income levels Street Lighting Secure Garages Business locations Etc. 3. Perform Geospatial Predictive Analysis 4. Validate Results with future incidents 5. Compare results to other methods
GeoEye-1 Satellite Image | 1 April 2010 | Alexandria, VA | United States | Analysis by GeoEye Analytics & Alexandria PD
1. Map Incidents
Examples of auto parts thefts
The incident locations represented as blue dots are the reported incidents of vehicle part thefts from January to May 2009.
Traditional Kernal Density Mapping
The locations of past auto parts theft incidents from January to May 2009 (blue dots) were used to produce a kernal density hot spot map.
but, Future Incidents Would Be Missed Using this Approach
Subsequent thefts from June and July 2009 are represented as green dots. Notice how these incidents mostly fall outside of the density map and would not be discovered or prevented using this traditional approach.
2. Compare Incidents with Factors in the Environment
Using Geospatial Predictive Analytics, GeoEye can identify the environment where incidents occur, then finds other areas with a similar environment. The more similar an environment is to the incidents environment, the higher the likelihood for a future or undiscovered event.
3. Build Geospatial Predictive Analysis
Instead of using density to map hot spot locations of historical events, we can use geospatial predictive analytics to look at the most likely locations of where future events might take place. This analysis was performed using GeoEye Analytics technology and subject matter expertise from the City of Alexandria Police Dept.
4. Validate results with future incidents

Captured Incidents Using GeoEyes Geospatial Predictive Analytics
Once we overlay the same subsequent events from June and July we can clearly see that the GeoEye method has captured the likely locations for the future events.
5. Compare results to traditional methods
Kernal Density vs. Geospatial Predictive Analysis
Comparing the results of the two methodologies with the validation points in green, one can observe that GeoEyes geospatial predictive analysis is a more effective means to anticipate the location of similar incidents. This capability can help decision makers gain new insights and better deploy scarce resources to help prevent such activity.
In Review
1. Map Incidents
2. Compare Incidents to Factors in the Environment

3. Build Geospatial Predictive Analysis 4. Validate results with future incidents 5. Compare results to other methods
Analysis Performed by: GeoEye Analytics & Alexandria PD
Post Assessment Findings

GeoEyes geospatial predictive analytics outperforms traditional density mapping in anticipating likely locations of similar events This capability is valuable to decision makers who need to make critical decisions in deploying scarce resources GeoEye Analytics technologies and subject matter expertise have been proven effective for customers in defense, intelligence, law enforcement, commercial security, and natural resource discovery
Analysis Performed by: GeoEye Analytics & Alexandria PD

Analysis Report: Analysis Report

Enviado por

Dados do documento

Título original

Direitos autorais

Formatos disponíveis

Compartilhar este documento

Compartilhar ou incorporar documento

Opções de compartilhamento

Você considera este documento útil?

Este conteúdo é inapropriado?

Direitos autorais:

Formatos disponíveis

Analysis Report: Analysis Report

Enviado por

Direitos autorais:

Formatos disponíveis

Analysis Report:

GeoEye Analytics methodology

Examples of auto parts thefts

Traditional Kernal Density Mapping

but, Future Incidents Would Be Missed Using this Approach

2. Compare Incidents with Factors in the Environment

3. Build Geospatial Predictive Analysis

4. Validate results with future incidents

5. Compare results to traditional methods

Kernal Density vs. Geospatial Predictive Analysis

2. Compare Incidents to Factors in the Environment

Post Assessment Findings

Analysis Performed by: GeoEye Analytics & Alexandria PD

Você também pode gostar