Doug Potash Presents:

WEEKLY ECONOMIC UPDATE

August 26, 2013

WEEKLY QUOTE
The best revenge is massive success. - Frank Sinatra

ARE COSTLIER MORTGAGES IMPACTING HOME SALES?

WEEKLY TIP
Take a tip from the millionaire next door: buy a terrific lowmaintenance car and drive it for several years or more. Your ride may not be flashy, but the choice may prove thrifty.

On Friday, the Census Bureau announced an unexpected 13.4% drop in new home purchases for July. In contrast to that news, the National Association of Realtors stated that existing home sales rose 6.5% last month. So what is the takeaway here? Most new home purchase contracts close months in the future, and many buyers of existing homes may have locked in the rates of home loans in spring. Is the dip in new home buying a direct, alarming reflection of the recent jump in mortgage rates? Will it give the Federal Reserve pause about tapering? 1

LEADING INDICATORS RISE IN JULY

The 0.6% increase in the Conference Board Leading Economic Index was a nice change after its flat June reading. The LEI now stands at 96.0, edging closer to its original mark of 100. From February to July, it rose 2.0%; in the preceding six months, it rose 1.1%.2

GOLD CLIMBS BACK TOWARD $1,400

WEEKLY RIDDLE
It stands higher than any tree, yet it seemingly takes forever to grow and you cant see its roots. To reach its top, you wont have to shimmy up any trunk. What is it?
Last weeks riddle: There are three cups of flour on a counter and you take one away. How many cups of flour do you have now? Last weeks answer: One, as you have taken one away.

Fridays COMEX settlement price was the highest since June: $1,395.80 per ounce. The troubling news about new home sales may have had an effect. NYMEX crude also gained $1.39 Friday, settling at $106.42.3

STOCKS REGAIN SOME MOMENTUM

Last week saw two unusual occurrences in the financial world: a three-hour trading interruption for the NASDAQ on Thursday, and a Federal Reserve symposium in Jackson Hole, WY without the presence of Ben Bernanke. The S&P 500 rose 0.46% in five days to settle at 1,663.50 Friday. The NASDAQ also advanced; its 1.52% weekly rise brought it to 3,657.79 at weeks end. As for the Dow, it declined 0.47% across five days to 15,010.51.4 THIS WEEK: Monday brings the July durable goods orders report from the Census Bureau. The June S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index and the Conference Boards August consumer confidence poll both arrive Tuesday. Wednesday, the National Association of Realtors provides numbers on July pending home sales. The second estimate of Q2 GDP appears Thursday, courtesy of the Bureau of Economic Analysis; the latest initial jobless claims figures also become available. On Friday, August ends with the months final consumer sentiment index from the University of Michigan and the Commerce Departments report on July consumer spending.
% CHANGE Y-T-D 1-YR CHG 5-YR AVG 10-YR AVG

DJIA NASDAQ S&P 500

REAL YIELD

+14.55 +21.14 +16.64

8/23 RATE

+14.96 +19.79 +18.65

1 YR AGO

+5.82 +10.30 +5.75

5 YRS AGO

+6.06 +10.72 +6.75

10 YRS AGO

10 YR TIPS

0.69%

-0.62%

1.69%

2.26%
5,6,7,8

Sources: usatoday.com, bigcharts.com, treasury.gov - 8/23/13 Indices are unmanaged, do not incur fees or expenses, and cannot be invested into directly. These returns do not include dividends.

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Doug Potash Disclosure

This material was prepared by MarketingLibrary.Net Inc., and does not necessarily represent the views of the presenting party, nor their affiliates. Marketing Library.Net Inc. is not affiliated with any broker or brokerage firm that may be providing this information to you. This information should not be construed as investment, tax or legal advice and may not be relied on for the purpose of avoiding any Federal tax penalty. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is a price-weighted index of 30 actively traded blue-chip stocks. The NASDAQ Composite Index is an unmanaged, market-weighted index of all over-the-counter common stocks traded on the National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotation System. The Standard & Poor's 500 (S&P 500) is an unmanaged group of securities considered to be representative of the stock market in general. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. NYSE Group, Inc. (NYSE:NYX) operates two securities exchanges: the New York Stock Exchange (the NYSE) and NYSE Arca (formerly known as the Archipelago Exchange, or ArcaEx, and the Pacific Exchange). NYSE Group is a leading provider of securities listing, trading and market data products and services. The New York Mercantile Exchange, Inc. (NYMEX) is the world's largest physical commodity futures exchange and the preeminent trading forum for energy and precious metals, with trading conducted through two divisions the NYMEX Division, home to the energy, platinum, and palladium markets, and the COMEX Division, on which all other metals trade. Additional risks are associated with international investing, such as currency fluctuations, political and economic instability and differences in accounting standards. This material represents an assessment of the market environment at a specific point in time and is not intended to be a forecast of future events, or a guarantee of future results. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Investments will fluctuate and when redeemed may be worth more or less than when originally invested. All information is believed to be from reliable sources; however we make no representation as to its completeness or accuracy. All economic and performance data is historical and not indicative of future results. Market indices discussed are unmanaged. Investors cannot invest in unmanaged indices. The publisher is not engaged in rendering legal, accounting or other professional services. If assistance is needed, the reader is advised to engage the services of a competent professional.

Citations.

1 - nasdaq.com/article/what-happened-to-new-home-sales-real-time-insight-cm269852 [8/23/13] 2 - tinyurl.com/lhm84lb [8/22/13] 3 - abcnews.go.com/Business/wireStory/corn-prices-drop-percent-metals-oil-rise-20041509 [8/23/13] 4 - thestreet.com/story/12017038/1/stocks-opens-higher-as-microsoft-jumps.html [8/23/13] 5 - usatoday.idmanagedsolutions.com/stocks/overview.idms?index=DJIA [8/23/13] 6 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=DJIA&closeDate=8%2F23%2F12&x=0&y=0 [8/23/13] 6 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=COMP&closeDate=8%2F23%2F12&x=0&y=0 [8/23/13] 6 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=SPX&closeDate=8%2F23%2F12&x=0&y=0 [8/23/13] 6 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=DJIA&closeDate=8%2F22%2F08&x=0&y=0 [8/23/13] 6 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=COMP&closeDate=8%2F22%2F08&x=0&y=0 [8/23/13] 6 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=SPX&closeDate=8%2F22%2F08&x=0&y=0 [8/23/13] 6 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=DJIA&closeDate=8%2F22%2F03&x=0&y=0 [8/23/13] 6 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=COMP&closeDate=8%2F22%2F03&x=0&y=0 [8/23/13] 6 - bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=SPX&closeDate=8%2F22%2F03&x=0&y=0 [8/23/13] 7 - treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/Pages/TextView.aspx?data=realyield [8/23/13] 8 - treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/Pages/TextView.aspx?data=realyieldAll [8/23/13]

Doug Potash, CRPC

Partner

Premier Planning Group 115 West Street, Suite 400 Annapolis, Maryland 21401 http://www.premierplanninggroup.com/#!doug-potash/c8x7 Phone: 443-837-2550 Cell: 443-994-1897 Fax: 410-216-9515

Doug Potash is a Registered Representative offering securities through Cambridge Investment Research, Inc., Member FINRA/SIPC. Advisory services offered through Cambridge Investment Research Advisors, Inc., a federally registered investment advisor. Cambridge and Premier Planning Group are not affiliated.