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Presentation Outline
Why Predictive Tools? Development of Novel Predictive Tools Typical Applications in Oil and Gas Industries Research Outcomes to Date Case Study and Examples Potential Areas of Collaboration
Mathematically compact, simple, and reasonably accurate equations containing few tuned coefficients would be
preferable for computationally intensive simulations
Example
Predicting g density y of liquid q water
An equation of state approach taken by Wagner and Pruss (2002) required more than 56 constants model for representing the anomalous behaviour of the density of liquid water [1]. [1] Similar result can be achieved using only four empirical fitting constants based on the VogelTammannFulcherHesseCivan equation (VTFHC) [2]. References:
[1] Wagner, W.; Pruss, A. (2002) The IAPWS Formulation 1995 for the Thermodynamic Properties of Ordinary Water Substance for General and Scientific Use. J. Phys. Chem. Ref. Data, 31, 387-535. [2] Civan, F. (2007) Critical Modification to the Vogel-Tammann-Fulcher Equation for Temperature Effect on the Density of Water Ind. Eng. Chem. Res., 46, 5810-5814.
)2
ln f =ln fc +
b c d + + T Tc (T T )2 (T T )3 c c
Vandermonde matrix is a matrix with the terms of a geometric progression in each row, i.e., an m n matrix*
evaluates a polynomial at a set of points; formally, it transforms coefficients of a polynomial to the values the polynomial takes at the desired point. non-vanishing of the Vandermonde determinant for distinct points i shows that, for distinct points,
the map from coefficients to values at those points is a one-to-one correspondence, and thus that the polynomial interpolation problem is solvable with unique solution; this result is called the unisolvence theorem *
They are thus useful in polynomial interpolation, since solving the system of linear equations Vu = y for u with V an m n Vandermonde matrix is equivalent to finding the coefficients of the polynomial(s) * The Vandermonde matrix can easily be inverted in terms of Lagrange basis polynomials: each column is the coefficients of the Lagrange basis polynomial. *
*HORN, R. A. and JOHNSON C. R.,Topics in matrix analysis, Cambridge University Press. 1991 Section 6.1, UK. *FULTON, W.; HARRIS, J., , Representation theory. A first course, Graduate Texts in Mathematics, Readings in Mathematics, 129, 1991, New York: Springer-Verlag, USA
Yes m=m+1
If m<M
No Correlate a a as a function of Y using Vandermonde Correlate b as a function of Y using Vandermonde Correlate c as a function of Y using Vandermonde Correlate d d as a function of Y using Vandermonde Calculate F(X,Y) as a function of a, b, c and d Stop
Consequently, in addition to creating an inconvenience, accuracy of correlations of physical properties expressed in terms of
other physical properties inherits errors associated with additional properties included in such correlations.
Fortunately, however, these problems can be alleviated readily because dependent quantities such as density should not be included at all in correlations of other dependent quantities such as
viscosity or thermal conductivity which are both temperature dependent.
The bottom-line is that correlations of physical properties and most of process engineering variables should be sought only in terms of i d independent d t variables i bl such h as
temperature, pressure, molecular weight, concentration and so on.
easier than current available models less complicated with fewer computations Developed tools are superior owing to their accuracy and clear numerical background the relevant coefficients can be retuned quickly with more data Tools are of immense practical value for Process, Petroleum, Oil and Gas engineers to have a quick check
of various engineering and design parameters without opting for any experimental measurements and pilot plant set up
In particular, practice engineers would find the approach to be user-friendly with transparent calculations involving no complex expressions
A. Bahadori, , and H. B. Vuthaluru, , (2010) ( ) Estimation of critical oil rate for bottom water coning g in anisotropic p and homogeneous g formations, , accepted for publication in World Oil. A. Bahadori and H. B. Vuthaluru, (2010), Estimation of theoretical flame temperatures for Claus sulfur recovery unit using simple method, accepted for publication in Journal of Energy Sources, Part A: Recovery, Utilization, and Environmental Effects. A. Bahadori and H. B. Vuthaluru, (2010), Estimation of performance of steam turbines using a simple predictive tool" accepted for publication in Applied Thermal Engineering 30 (2010) 1832-1838. A. Bahadori, and H. B. Vuthaluru, (2010)Predictive Tool for the Estimation of Methanol Loss in Condensate Phase during Gas Hydrate Inhibition Energy & Fuels, 24, 29993002. A. Bahadori, and H. B. Vuthaluru, (2010) Estimation of maximum shell-side vapour velocities through heat exchangers accepted for publication in Chemical Engineering Research and Design. (Available online 9 April 2010). A. Bahadori, and H. B. Vuthaluru, (2010) A Method for Prediction of Scale Formation in Calcium Carbonate Aqueous Phase for Water Treatment and Distribution Systems accepted for publication in Water Quality Research Journal of Canada. A. Bahadori, and H. B. Vuthaluru, (2010) Estimation of Energy Conservation Benefits in Excess Air Controlled Gas-fired Systems accepted for publication in Fuel Processing Technology. (Available online 21 April 2010). A. Bahadori, and H. B. Vuthaluru, (2010) Estimation of Steam Losses in Stream Traps, accepted for publication in Chemical Processing. A. Bahadori, and H. B. Vuthaluru, (2010) Simple method for prediction of densities and vapour pressures of aqueous methanol solutions, OIL GAS European Magazine, 36(2), pp. 84-88. A. Bahadori, and H. B. Vuthaluru, (accepted) Predictive Tool for Estimation of Convection Heat Transfer coefficients and Efficiencies for Finned Tubular Sections accepted for publication in International Journal of Thermal Sciences.
A. Bahadori and S. Mokhatab (2009)" Correlation rapidly estimates pure hydrocarbons surface tension" Journal of the Energy Institute 82 (2)pp. 118-119.
20 18
0.6
16 14 12
0.5
b=0
03 0.3
D i.t
0.4
10 8 6
b=0 Data b=0.2 Data b=0.4 Data b=0.6 Data b=0.8 Data b=1 Data
0.2
4 2
0.1
b=1
00 10 qi/qt
20 30 40 50 qi/q 60 70 80 90 100
10
10
qi ) = + q G p tq i
G p tq t i
2
G P tq i
3
= A4 + B4 b + C 4 b 2 + D4 b 3
( Di t ) = +
10
-1
qi q
qi q
qi q
10
-2
-1
10
Case Study
A typical case study to illustrate the benefits for oil and has practitioners
Methanol Loss During Gas Hydrate Inhibition
(Classic example demonstrating the benefits)
Methanol is dissolved in hydrocarbon liquid phases and vaporized form in gas phase must be considered as losses
for subsea pipeline, natural gas transmission and processing system applications
This tool Thi t l can be b used d to t estimate ti t methanol th l loss l in i paraffinic ffi i hydrocarbons h d b as a function of temperatures and methanol concentrations in water phase as well as methanol loss in vapor phase
Example calculations
2.83 million Standard cubic meter per day of natural gas leaves an offshore platformt 38C and 8300 kPa (abs). The gas comes onshore at 4C and 6200 kPa (abs). The hydrate temperature of the gas is 18C. C Methanol mass percent in liquid phase is 27.5%. Calculate the amount of vaporized methanol? Solution: x=0.275 mass fraction of methanol T=277.15 K We calculate the adjusted parameters: a= -3.4124821400054 *10^3 b= 2.8663831990333 *10^6 c= -8.004219677314*10^8 d= 7.437011549752*10^10
Example
2.83 million Standard cubic meter per day of natural gas leaves an offshore platform at 38C and 8300 kPa (abs) (Water content 850 mg/Sm3 ). The gas comes onshore at 4C and 6200 kPa (abs) (Water content 152 m/ Sm3 ).The hydrate temperature of the gas is 18C. Associated condensate production is 56 m3 / (million standard m3 ). ) The condensate has a density of 778 kg/ m3 and a molecular mass of 140. The required methanol inhibitor concentration in water phase to avoid hydrate formation is 27.5%. Calculate the mass rate of inhibitor in water phase and the amount of methanol loss in hydrocarbon liquid phase. Calculate condensate water:
Estimate losses to hydrocarbon liquid phase from proposed method at 4C and 27.5 wt% methanol:
The solubility of methanol in hydrocarbon phase is estimated to be around 0.0011 or 0.11 mol%.
.....
MATLAB Toolboxes
Curtins Curtin s Predictive Tool can be embedded in any of the above components as shown above
Curtins Curtin s Predictive Tool can be embedded in any of the above components as shown above
Curtins Predictive Tool (PreTOG) can be embedded in any of the above components or as a checking tool as a sub-tool
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Special thanks to Andrew Paterson (SPT Group) for providing us the opportunity to share our efforts to date
Questions?