Table 6.

REGRESIN LINEAL

X
6.080228
-0.924186
-3.286174
5.211977
-16.16421
-1.054704
11.17238
-11.06328
-16.777
-7.021834
-9.716846
5.215706
-6.612001
4.264498
4.916711
22.20496
-11.29869
-5.770508
-5.217765
16.1962
-17.16995
1.105335
11.68534
-2.301452
8.643728
-11.12908
1.724628
0.15788
-1.875203
-10.62482
-5.761136
5.481432
-17.02207
7.625421
-6.575722
-2.37283
17.52375
1.354656
16.26861

y
7.263448
6.339896
-9.285217
0.793291
-2.902421
8.613151
3.982063
-1.150171
3.486126
4.32985
0.936875
-5.202456
-2.082757
2.728523
0.653397
6.436072
-4.259198
0.54391
-0.486846
2.844
-16.45721
4.468938
5.88552
-0.390698
2.499568
-4.033607
3.042526
0.734565
2.779732
-5.900116
3.005344
3.954991
2.547127
4.329008
0.191941
-0.921676
3.394683
0.758714
1.862074

5.580402096
-1.424011904
-3.785999904
4.712151096
-16.6640359
-1.554529904
10.6725541
-11.5631059
-17.2768259
-7.521659904
-10.2166719
4.715880096
-7.111826904
3.764672096
4.416885096
21.7051341
-11.7985159
-6.270333904
-5.717590904
15.6963741
-17.6697759
0.605509096
11.1855141
-2.801277904
8.143902096
-11.6289059
1.224802096
-0.341945904
-2.375028904
-11.1246459
-6.260961904
4.981606096
-17.5218959
7.125595096
-7.075547904
-2.872655904
17.0239241
0.854830096
15.7687841

x
6.454564008
5.531012008
-10.09410099
-0.015592992
-3.711304992
7.804267008
3.173179008
-1.959054992
2.677242008
3.520966008
0.127991008
-6.011339992
-2.891640992
1.919639008
-0.155486992
5.627188008
-5.068081992
-0.264973992
-1.295729992
2.035116008
-17.26609399
3.660054008
5.076636008
-1.199581992
1.690684008
-4.842490992
2.233642008
-0.074318992
1.970848008
-6.708999992
2.196460008
3.146107008
1.738243008
3.520124008
-0.616942992
-1.730559992
2.585799008
-0.050169992
1.053190008

xy
36.01906252
-7.876226942
38.21626539
-0.073476533
61.84531963
-12.13196644
33.86592462
22.65276034
-46.25424408
-26.48350885
-1.307642139
-28.34875862
20.5648502
7.226811409
-0.686768176
122.1388703
59.79584598
1.661475404
7.408454015
31.9439422
305.0880116
2.216195993
56.78478363
3.360362527
13.76876504
56.31287208
2.735769413
0.025413075
-4.680820986
74.63524928
-13.75195244
15.67266585
-30.45731305
25.08297837
4.365209692
4.971303378
44.02044604
-0.042886819
16.60752585

y
31.14088755
2.027809903
14.33379527
22.20436795
277.6900926
2.416563223
113.9034109
133.7054182
298.4887133
56.57536771
104.3803848
22.23952508
50.57808191
14.17275599
19.50887395
471.1128461
139.2049775
39.31708727
32.69084575
246.3761598
312.2209805
0.366641265
125.1157256
7.847157896
66.32314135
135.2314525
1.500140174
0.116927001
5.640762296
123.7577465
39.19964397
24.81639929
307.0168361
50.77410547
50.06337814
8.252151944
289.8139916
0.730734493
248.6545519

-6.074547
-0.826651
3.807882
0.575701
3.755563
-5.365927
-3.750303
4.898752
4.379256
16.56016
1.523127
1.020608
-3.899308
-14.32502
3.056627
-0.021536
3.355102
0.100007
1.69125
8.200753
3.527866
4.554588
5.365479
4.525231
2.944654
-0.2686
-3.661041
-4.540505
9.195292
-1.894817
12.00661
1.233987
-1.44633
6.023619
10.51236
13.40071
-7.796263
0.21154
6.471111
-9.037476
-5.478381
-6.756882

6.797751
-1.699254
4.092592
-2.926299
1.773424
-2.800816
-1.505395
4.186963
1.201417
6.769321
-1.686027
5.245806
1.72871
-7.279076
-0.779471
-2.439635
8.445978
1.22108
2.733387
5.127533
3.191555
3.907839
-1.708568
0.435219
0.958068
1.095477
-6.816109
2.785054
3.900209
-4.203004
5.601798
1.570094
-1.084427
0.77867
6.470651
8.953781
-2.387762
-2.873839
3.440269
-5.891053
6.375582
-5.734839

-6.574372904
-1.326476904
3.308056096
0.075875096
3.255737096
-5.865752904
-4.250128904
4.398926096
3.879430096
16.0603341
1.023301096
0.520782096
-4.399133904
-14.8248459
2.556801096
-0.521361904
2.855276096
-0.399818904
1.191424096
7.700927096
3.028040096
4.054762096
4.865653096
4.025405096
2.444828096
-0.768425904
-4.160866904
-5.040330904
8.695466096
-2.394642904
11.5067841
0.734161096
-1.946155904
5.523793096
10.0125341
12.9008841
-8.296088904
-0.288285904
5.971285096
-9.537301904
-5.978206904
-7.256707904

5.988867008
-2.508137992
3.283708008
-3.735182992
0.964540008
-3.609699992
-2.314278992
3.378079008
0.392533008
5.960437008
-2.494910992
4.436922008
0.919826008
-8.087959992
-1.588354992
-3.248518992
7.637094008
0.412196008
1.924503008
4.318649008
2.382671008
3.098955008
-2.517451992
-0.373664992
0.149184008
0.286593008
-7.624992992
1.976170008
3.091325008
-5.011887992
4.792914008
0.761210008
-1.893310992
-0.030213992
5.661767008
8.144897008
-3.196645992
-3.682722992
2.631385008
-6.699936992
5.566698008
-6.543722992

-39.37304499
3.326987118
10.86269029
-0.283407367
3.140288686
21.17360821
9.835984035
14.8599199
1.522804366
95.72660971
-2.553045152
2.310669543
-4.046437779
119.9027606
-4.061107783
1.693654047
21.80601196
-0.164803756
2.292899257
33.25760117
7.214823348
12.5655253
-12.24904808
-1.504152962
0.364729255
-0.220225492
31.72658098
-9.960550765
26.8805118
12.00168202
55.15102668
0.558850774
3.684678365
-0.166895839
56.68863521
105.0763723
26.51965934
1.061677127
15.71275008
63.89932183
-33.27887247
47.48588636

43.22237908
1.759540977
10.94323513
0.00575703
10.59982404
34.40705713
18.0635957
19.3505508
15.04997787
257.9343313
1.047145133
0.271213991
19.35237911
219.7760561
6.537231844
0.271818235
8.152601583
0.159855156
1.419491376
59.30427814
9.169026822
16.44109565
23.67458005
16.20388619
5.977184418
0.59047837
17.31281339
25.40493562
75.61113062
5.734314638
132.4060802
0.538992515
3.787522803
30.51229017
100.250839
166.4328105
68.82509111
0.083108763
35.6562457
90.96012761
35.73895779
52.65980961

-2.56496
2.456599
1.476421
17.0694
7.565727
-3.239326
3.662578
7.157455
4.774901
4.237702
-0.881352
11.49688
-35.56618
-14.59137
14.87272
1.748599
-0.606016
-6.078095
3.976154
-1.05091
3.317857
0.4071
-11.87932
-8.801026
6.784211
-10.20578
-6.738054
12.83904
3.302861
-0.155918
3.623091
-1.167681
-1.221603
5.262903
4.845013
-5.069565
-13.57964
1.100608
4.925083
-2.532069
-6.601873
-1.023769

3.630884
-1.316067
3.521601
8.673413
6.914362
-0.460661
4.295976
7.719693
3.039888
2.510224
-3.039443
3.787092
-27.86969
-9.956367
7.975866
3.936938
-0.327971
-2.161544
2.721788
-0.514825
3.128797
0.181502
-7.892364
3.347082
3.158592
-4.81647
-0.00855
13.46098
-0.764475
2.298491
0.762075
-0.495796
1.206636
4.637026
2.680874
-5.303858
-7.210656
5.350186
4.106246
-3.629547
-5.205804
-2.183245

-3.064785904
1.956773096
0.976595096
16.5695741
7.065901096
-3.739151904
3.162752096
6.657629096
4.275075096
3.737876096
-1.381177904
10.9970541
-36.0660059
-15.0911959
14.3728941
1.248773096
-1.105841904
-6.577920904
3.476328096
-1.550735904
2.818031096
-0.092725904
-12.3791459
-9.300851904
6.284385096
-10.7056059
-7.237879904
12.3392141
2.803035096
-0.655743904
3.123265096
-1.667506904
-1.721428904
4.763077096
4.345187096
-5.569390904
-14.0794659
0.600782096
4.425257096
-3.031894904
-7.101698904
-1.523594904

2.822000008
-2.124950992
2.712717008
7.864529008
6.105478008
-1.269544992
3.487092008
6.910809008
2.231004008
1.701340008
-3.848326992
2.978208008
-28.67857399
-10.76525099
7.166982008
3.128054008
-1.136854992
-2.970427992
1.912904008
-1.323708992
2.319913008
-0.627381992
-8.701247992
2.538198008
2.349708008
-5.625353992
-0.817433992
12.65209601
-1.573358992
1.489607008
-0.046808992
-1.304679992
0.397752008
3.828142008
1.871990008
-6.112741992
-8.019539992
4.541302008
3.297362008
-4.438430992
-6.014687992
-2.992128992

-8.648825847
-4.15804693
2.649226127
130.3118961
43.14070375
4.747021573
11.02880756
46.00960313
9.537709675
6.359398148
5.315224209
32.75151458
1034.321619
162.4605117
103.0102734
3.906229688
1.257181889
19.53924038
6.649881949
2.05272306
6.537586997
0.058174562
107.7140184
-23.60740378
14.76646999
60.22282291
5.916489061
156.1169214
-4.410180472
-0.976800715
-0.14619689
2.175562894
-0.684701804
18.23373552
8.134146828
34.04424965
112.9108399
2.728332938
14.59167462
13.45685631
42.71450312
4.558792484

9.392912638
3.828960949
0.953737981
274.5507857
49.9269583
13.98125696
10.00300082
44.32402518
18.27626708
13.97171771
1.907652403
120.9351988
1300.756782
227.7441938
206.5800847
1.559434245
1.222886317
43.26904342
12.08485703
2.404781844
7.941299257
0.008598093
153.2432533
86.50584614
39.49349603
114.6099978
52.38690551
152.2562045
7.857005748
0.430000068
9.754784859
2.780579275
2.963317472
22.68690342
18.8806509
31.01811504
198.2313601
0.360939127
19.58290036
9.19238671
50.43412733
2.321341432

-7.097917
6.376627
1.861975
-5.591527
-15.31759
-10.17227
-2.217396
5.974206
-0.857289
-3.780185
20.64721
10.94068
-3.14564
-3.142888
-1.960866
7.330964
7.854388
2.539178
-1.233245
-11.74604
1.078226
5.937905
4.113184
-0.655199
15.2843
3.994518
-11.94451
-2.530701
-9.842366
18.11574
0.20095
1.125853
7.639181
2.919569
-1.062404
1.292641
0.420241
-2.514081
0.419362
4.374024
1.733528
-3.659809

-5.408564
10.57599
-0.338612
-2.213162
-8.476177
-7.459414
-0.085888
5.03477
-1.767715
0.189108
10.38741
2.921914
0.97172
-0.431782
-3.342925
5.242812
2.880655
-1.121472
-3.969578
-5.707995
1.502567
2.599565
0.135881
-6.146138
10.45737
1.415987
-8.261109
-3.778812
-5.386818
11.19436
3.99987
3.620675
2.887222
1.336746
1.240274
0.407144
-1.73493
1.111534
1.354128
1.943062
4.96198
-1.61873

-7.597742904
5.876801096
1.362149096
-6.091352904
-15.8174159
-10.6720959
-2.717221904
5.474380096
-1.357114904
-4.280010904
20.1473841
10.4408541
-3.645465904
-3.642713904
-2.460691904
6.831138096
7.354562096
2.039352096
-1.733070904
-12.2458659
0.578400096
5.438079096
3.613358096
-1.155024904
14.7844741
3.494692096
-12.4443359
-3.030526904
-10.3421919
17.6159141
-0.298875904
0.626027096
7.139355096
2.419743096
-1.562229904
0.792815096
-0.079584904
-3.013906904
-0.080463904
3.874198096
1.233702096
-4.159634904

-6.217447992
9.767106008
-1.147495992
-3.022045992
-9.285060992
-8.268297992
-0.894771992
4.225886008
-2.576598992
-0.619775992
9.578526008
2.113030008
0.162836008
-1.240665992
-4.151808992
4.433928008
2.071771008
-1.930355992
-4.778461992
-6.516878992
0.693683008
1.790681008
-0.673002992
-6.955021992
9.648486008
0.607103008
-9.069992992
-4.587695992
-6.195701992
10.38547601
3.190986008
2.811791008
2.078338008
0.527862008
0.431390008
-0.401739992
-2.543813992
0.302650008
0.545244008
1.134178008
4.153096008
-2.427613992

47.23857136
57.39933929
-1.563060628
18.40834863
146.8656714
88.24006913
2.431294055
23.13410625
3.496740894
2.652648002
192.9822426
22.06183802
-0.593613116
4.519391258
10.21632277
30.28877453
15.23696853
-3.936675537
8.281413444
79.80482625
0.401226318
9.737864959
-2.431800808
8.033223609
142.6477915
2.121638085
112.8700394
13.90313613
64.07713898
182.9496532
-0.953708828
1.760257359
14.83799305
1.27729045
-0.673930371
-0.31850553
0.202449193
-0.91215895
-0.043872462
4.39403028
5.12368325
10.09798789

57.72569724
34.53679112
1.855450159
37.1045802
250.1906459
113.893631
7.383294876
29.96883743
1.841760863
18.31849334
405.9170859
109.0114343
13.28942166
13.26936459
6.055004647
46.66444768
54.08958362
4.158956971
3.003534759
149.9612317
0.334546671
29.57270425
13.05635673
1.334082529
218.5806743
12.21287284
154.8614961
9.184093317
106.9609334
310.3204294
0.089326806
0.391909925
50.97039118
5.85515665
2.440562273
0.628555776
0.006333757
9.083634827
0.00647444
15.00941089
1.522020861
17.30256254

5.856908
-1.36555
-1.346979
12.89579
-5.346701
-7.614727
10.22043
-6.928422
-5.065919
7.483499
1.828763
-5.692933
-2.426962
2.125101
-4.225371
-6.302392
1.278676
10.90891
2.497849
2.891527
-3.773
8.776289
2.882561
2.146913
-4.590105
-1.293255
-4.244102
6.647089
1.635901
7.85819
0.789545
-0.907725
-0.392247
-1.035896
2.556816
3.13183
-0.020947
-5.312288
-5.196177
-0.753247
-2.474344
2.476478

4.215409
1.88036
5.826353
2.973541
-5.479858
-5.784547
1.157083
-6.356199
-0.843584
5.779953
3.29813
-7.11001
2.968006
-1.531245
0.26428
-2.420388
0.138795
3.231657
2.215805
3.856814
-0.952204
4.020036
1.4236
-0.037913
-1.176553
3.760277
0.434626
1.906345
0.301899
-0.314132
3.034332
-1.497346
-0.894677
-0.532816
3.863737
2.118255
-0.853553
1.770341
1.702552
3.465753
1.115253
-2.057818

5.357082096
-1.865375904
-1.846804904
12.3959641
-5.846526904
-8.114552904
9.720604096
-7.428247904
-5.565744904
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1.976652096

3.406525008
1.071476008
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18.24903413
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28.69832858
3.479627264
3.410688354
153.6599259
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94.49014399
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30.97751634
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3.570899
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119.958217

194.132158

1.46549E-14

2.762015008
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168.486562
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2.620934035
8.135330609
5.808089898
0.127456786
100.0432866
155.8800716
21.47940504
21.60767745
5.072872877
14.81439997
184.2774782
53.17071323
21.66765734
7.805654235
189.1847821
67.47032012
248.4792909
247.3849543
239.0843942
84.34429297
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3.874106098
64.06039978
108.0452996
157.1298375
37.87784445
61.18592261
6.12478E-05
30.5013961
7.869567288
5.648726201
0.720799465
9.868864574

4.84057E-14 6330.968288 14726.25431

0.4998259 0.80888399
Coeficiente

B1
B0

STC

1.171128436
-0.44748114
Sumatorias
14726.25431

SRC
SEC

R
R
n
k

7311.877317
7414.37699
Coeficiente
0.503480168
0.709563364
240
2

x
41.66139654
30.59209384
101.8908748
0.000243141
13.77378474
60.90658354
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3.021488756
12.39127303
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1.109209194

^y
8.058949357
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2.53553172
4.622343229
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3.528128653
0.4410704
1.733246672

^y-y
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1.297110715
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3.003077771
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13.99562135
0.9135856
14.53536333

(^y-y)
3.915338209
62.43429246
64.56908032
22.37680234
151.7237894
114.3686711
48.39085995
85.91067004
416.6587315
135.6098287
107.4656868
138.2019207
13.87818726
2.299857982
21.15062011
228.4624452
34.376422
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17.6410472
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27.45887131
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37.99358896
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21.93184756
10.67685187
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1.682496208
382.499785
9.018476099
40.36097015
0.715627828
195.8774169
0.834638648
211.2767871

^y-yprom
7.559123453
6.477525443
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9.139799016
3.71620017
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2.035705816
4.122517325
-0.722519481
-2.026708017
3.028302749
-0.058755504
1.233420767

(^y-yprom)
57.14034738
41.95833587
139.7475953
0.000333479
18.89132171
83.53592606
13.8101437
5.263835473
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49.56232095
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13.57550621
4.144098169
16.99514909
0.5220344
4.107545385
9.170617538
0.003452209
1.521326789

X
52.75767685
40.19428129
86.21525474
0.629310611
8.424047661
74.18637015
15.85682574
1.322893329
12.15307449
18.74760102
0.877734766
27.06554843
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41.42302279
18.1407676
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8.088336
270.839761
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34.63934567
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16.26998543
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15.64195381
6.487855954
18.74031026
0.036841347
0.849486649
11.52387267
0.575646934
3.467319581

35.86652804
6.290756185
10.78273828
13.95159198
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65.41509683
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7.963684047
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0.005683113
5.542758664
0.362942805
0.075386428

tb1

15.53500376

241.336342

Error estandar regresin

Error estandar
Error estandar

Chart Title
30

20

10

0
-30

xy
44.16341991
-5.859243125
30.51283869
4.134614446
46.91534255
-9.084324812
44.48912102
12.72466382
-58.4867359
-30.40348794
-9.103470096
-27.13448097
13.77119137
11.63578088
3.212564217
142.9127213
48.12335785
-3.138637006
2.540248019
46.0619928
282.5694728
4.939673584
68.77430228
0.899172693
21.60558591
44.89033499
5.24722553
0.115973122
-5.212561786
62.68767048
-17.31419551
21.67901423
-43.35737409
33.01050851
-1.262150656
2.186980463
59.48757622
1.027796472
30.2933557

-25

-20

-15

-10

-5

0
-10

-20

-30

-40

10

-41.29325794
1.404690018
15.58410741
-1.684673261
6.660205558
15.0289742
5.645687385
20.51089337
5.261312606
112.1010389
-2.568033246
5.35391157
-6.740772733
104.2729093
-2.382552104
0.052539979
28.33711768
0.122116548
4.622840764
42.04963163
11.25937837
17.79859662
-9.167285724
1.969466511
2.821178768
-0.294245122
24.95405451
-12.64555161
35.86356062
7.96392343
67.25860388
1.937475585
1.568439303
4.690411407
68.02181275
119.9870226
18.61562053
-0.607931902
22.26236257
53.2402501
-34.92786729
38.74963041

-9.313072225
-3.233048876
5.19936567
148.0499559
52.31217527
1.492231154
15.73434719
55.25335526
14.51516425
10.63758127
2.678819167
43.53974227
991.2184111
145.2770348
118.6228218
6.88412585
0.198755674
13.13806978
10.82224824
0.541034741
10.38090103
0.073889464
93.75591751
-29.45775571
21.42855459
49.1558332
0.057610362
172.8260607
-2.524954663
-0.35837612
2.761067074
0.578931569
-1.474030158
24.40421805
12.98886938
26.88825288
97.91811264
5.888457513
20.22360237
9.190263443
34.36805687
2.23513855

38.38953836
67.43914339
-0.630487079
12.37495508
129.8346041
75.87917325
0.190447708
30.07875314
1.515442625
-0.714863225
214.4710356
31.96772606
-3.056681301
1.357042466
6.555027973
38.43486603
22.62578206
-2.84761703
4.895462221
67.04633759
1.620106806
15.43597001
0.558903555
4.026943471
159.8335803
5.656185559
98.67489906
9.563043307
53.01903433
202.7941152
0.803773877
4.076347811
22.05601145
3.902722182
-1.317672059
0.526291027
-0.729088718
-2.79448651
0.567869826
8.498999821
8.601731265
5.924242623

24.6892627
-2.567725598
-7.847975138
38.34616029
29.29916225
44.04774622
11.82588581
44.03842899
4.273528214
43.2542725
6.031498113
40.47681056
-7.203237778
-3.254050281
-1.116681048
15.25423397
0.177473835
35.25385536
5.534746303
11.15208181
3.592665692
35.28099773
4.10361384
-0.081395913
5.400501808
-4.862997032
-1.844597076
12.67164488
0.493876876
-2.468508941
2.395741659
1.359178398
0.350934369
0.551941963
9.878864581
6.634014557
0.017879375
-9.40456125
-8.846761544
-2.61056805
-2.759519569
-5.096141005

-3.996207354
6.548213424
-4.696539896
0.42735118
-4.809575356
105.32512
28.80739956
0.646867337
-6.752793685
-24.71473193
60.50855761
26.5756074
-0.420080565
-5.313146991
5.265914725
17.25949451
190.2308069
78.74331356
186.8444999
3.301690638
85.46424471
-3.661912388
7.968766078
46.62855103
51.62922202
25.44148895
30.43132685
-1.271146394
0.61231143
12.42183299
-7.5281429
8.450810807
-10.68721105
6428.000569

y = 1.1711x - 0.4475
R = 0.5035

15

20

Series1
Linear (Series1)

Table 6.2
Y

Year
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005

Relacin entre la IDPB y el PIB, Estados Unid

X

GPDI(en millones de dlares) GDPM(en millones de dlares) y

x
886,600.00
7,112,500.00
-442543.75 -1783043.75
829,100.00
7,100,500.00
-500043.75 -1795043.75
878,300.00
7,336,600.00
-450843.75 -1558943.75
953,500.00
7,532,700.00
-375643.75 -1362843.75
1,042,300.00
7,835,500.00
-286843.75 -1060043.75
1,109,600.00
8,031,700.00
-219543.75
-863843.75
1,209,200.00
8,328,900.00
-119943.75
-566643.75
1,320,600.00
8,703,500.00
-8543.75
-192043.75
1,455,000.00
9,066,900.00
125856.25
171356.25
1,576,300.00
9,470,300.00
247156.25
574756.25
1,679,000.00
9,817,000.00
349856.25
921456.25
1,629,400.00
9,890,700.00
300256.25
995156.25
1,544,600.00
10,048,800.00
215456.25
1153256.25
1,596,900.00
10,301,000.00
267756.25
1405456.25
1,713,900.00
10,703,500.00
384756.25
1807956.25
1,842,000.00
11,048,600.00
512856.25
2153056.25

21,266,300.00

142,328,700.00

1,329,143.75

8,895,543.75

R
R
n
k

DPB y el PIB, Estados Unidos, 1990-2005

xy
7.89075E+11
8.976E+11
7.0284E+11
5.11944E+11
3.04067E+11
1.89651E+11
67965376289
1640773789
21566255039
1.42055E+11
3.22377E+11
2.98802E+11
2.48476E+11
3.7632E+11
6.95622E+11
1.10421E+12
6.67421E+12

y
x
^y
^y-y
(^y-y)
1.95845E+11 3.17925E+12 877099.3039 9500.696076 90263225.93
2.50044E+11 3.22218E+12 874057.0155 -44957.0155 2021133243
2.0326E+11 2.43031E+12 933914.0402 -55614.04017 3092921464
1.41108E+11 1.85734E+12 983630.1034 -30130.10343 907823132.7
82279336914 1.12369E+12 1060397.181 -18097.18123 327507968.4
48199458164 7.46226E+11 1110138.597 -538.5968931 290086.6132
14386503164 3.21085E+11
1185485.94 23714.05991 562356637.2
72995664.06 36880801914 1280456.044
40143.9564 1611537235
15839795664 29362964414 1372586.678 82413.32208 6791955656
61086211914 3.30345E+11 1474858.274 101441.7264 10290423847
1.22399E+11 8.49082E+11 1562755.057 116244.9434 13512886872
90153815664 9.90336E+11 1581439.778 47960.22205 2300182899
46421395664
1.33E+12 1621521.928 -76921.92789 5916982990
71693409414 1.97531E+12
1685460.69 -88560.68951 7842995727
1.48037E+11 3.26871E+12 1787504.114 -73604.1136 5417565539
2.63022E+11 4.63565E+12 1874995.258 -32995.25808 1088687055
1.75385E+12

2.63258E+13

21266300

^y-yprom
-452044.4461
-455086.7345
-395229.7098
-345513.6466
-268746.5688
-219005.1531
-143657.8099
-48687.7064
43442.92792
145714.5236
233611.3066
252296.028
292378.1779
356316.9395
458360.3636
545851.5081

-1.86265E-09 61775513577

1.86265E-09

Coeficiente

B1
B0

STC
SRC
SEC

0.253524035
-926090.395
Sumatorias
1.75385E+12
61775513577
1.69207E+12 1.6921E+12
Coeficiente

R
R
n
k

0.964777162
0.982230707
16
2

Estadsticos

f
S
Sb0
sb1
s
sb0
sb1

383.4693889
4412536684
13539113539
0.000167613
66426.9274
116357.6965
0.012946542

tb1

19.58237445

383.469389

Error estandar regresin

Error estandar
Error estandar

(^y-yprom)
X
xy
2.04344E+11 5.05877E+13 6.30594E+12
2.07104E+11 5.04171E+13 5.88702E+12
1.56207E+11 5.38257E+13 6.44374E+12
1.1938E+11 5.67416E+13 7.18243E+12
72224718227 6.13951E+13 8.16694E+12
47963257087 6.45082E+13 8.91197E+12
20637566347 6.93706E+13 1.00713E+13
2370492754 7.57509E+13 1.14938E+13
1887287986 8.22087E+13 1.31923E+13
21232722400 8.96866E+13
1.4928E+13
54574242559 9.63735E+13 1.64827E+13
63653285721 9.78259E+13 1.61159E+13
85484998904 1.00978E+14 1.55214E+13
1.26962E+11 1.06111E+14 1.64497E+13
2.10094E+11 1.14565E+14 1.83447E+13
2.97954E+11 1.22072E+14 2.03515E+13
1.69207E+12

1.29242E+15

1.9585E+14

2,000,000.00
y = 0.2535x - 926090
R = 0.9648

1,800,000.00
1,600,000.00
1,400,000.00

GDPI

1,200,000.00
1,000,000.00
800,000.00
600,000.00
400,000.00
200,000.00
0.00
0.00

2,000,000.00

4,000,000.00

6,000,000.00

8,000,000.00

10,000,000.00 12,000,000.00

0.00
0.00

2,000,000.00

4,000,000.00

6,000,000.00
GDP

8,000,000.00

10,000,000.00 12,000,000.00

Series1
Linear (Series1)

12,000,000.00

12,000,000.00

Table 6.3
Y

Year
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005

Regresin sobre variables estandarizadas

X

GPDI(en millones de dlares) GDPM(en millones de dlares)

886,600.00
7,112,500.00
829,100.00
7,100,500.00
878,300.00
7,336,600.00
953,500.00
7,532,700.00
1,042,300.00
7,835,500.00
1,109,600.00
8,031,700.00
1,209,200.00
8,328,900.00
1,320,600.00
8,703,500.00
1,455,000.00
9,066,900.00
1,576,300.00
9,470,300.00
1,679,000.00
9,817,000.00
1,629,400.00
9,890,700.00
1,544,600.00
10,048,800.00
1,596,900.00
10,301,000.00
1,713,900.00
10,703,500.00
1,842,000.00
11,048,600.00

y*
-1.294213224
-1.462371198
-1.318486462
-1.098565077
-0.838870676
-0.642052734
-0.350773878
-0.024986082
0.368064905
0.722805117
1.023149881
0.878095351
0.630098895
0.783049539
1.12521446
1.499841182

x*
-1.345913819
-1.354971906
-1.17675404
-1.028729798
-0.800164063
-0.652064337
-0.42772571
-0.14496242
0.129346655
0.433849354
0.695552591
0.751184343
0.870524643
1.060895443
1.364718785
1.625214277

21,266,300.00

142,328,700.00

1,329,143.75

8,895,543.75

0.00

0.00

sy

341940.371

sx

1324783.003

0.253524035
0.982230707

R
R
n
k

xy
y
x
^y
1.741899463
1.67498787
1.811484007
1.98147189 2.138529521
1.835948866
1.551534271 1.738406551
1.38475007
1.130126629 1.206845229
1.058284996
0.671234168
0.70370401
0.640262528
0.41865969 0.412231713
0.425187899
0.150035006 0.123042314
0.182949283
0.003622043 0.000624304
0.021014103
0.047607964 0.135471774
0.016730557
0.313588533 0.522447238
0.188225262
0.711654551
1.04683568
0.483793407
0.65961148 0.771051445
0.564277918
0.548516616 0.397024618
0.757813154
0.830733688 0.613166581
1.12549914
1.535601312 1.266107582
1.862457363
2.437563302
2.24952357
2.641321447
14.7334606

15

15

0.982230707
0

^y-y
-1.32
-1.33
-1.16
-1.01
-0.79
-0.64
-0.42
-0.14
0.13
0.43
0.68
0.74
0.86
1.04
1.34
1.60

0.03
-0.13
-0.16
-0.09
-0.05
0.00
0.07
0.12
0.24
0.30
0.34
0.14
-0.22
-0.26
-0.22
-0.10

(^y-y)
0.000771987
0.017285987
0.026452586
0.007764267
0.002801052
2.481E-06
0.004809623
0.013782868
0.058089025
0.088010098
0.115570604
0.019672593
0.050605715
0.067078172
0.046334386
0.009311128

-5.55112E-16

0.528342574

Coeficiente

B1*
B0*

Sumatorias
STC
SRC
SEC

R
R
n
k

15
0.528342574
14.47165743
Coeficiente
0.964777162
0.982230707
16
2

14.47165743
Estadsticos

f
S
Sb0
sb1
s
sb0
sb1

383.4693889
0.037738755
0.002358672
0.002515917
0.194264653
0.048566163
0.050158918

tb1

19.58237445

383.469389

Error estandar regresin

Error estandar
Error estandar

^y-yprom
-1.32
-1.33
-1.16
-1.01
-0.79
-0.64
-0.42
-0.14
0.13
0.43
0.68
0.74
0.86
1.04
1.34
1.60

ror estandar regresin

ror estandar

ror estandar

(^y-yprom)
X
xy
1.747678399 1.811484007
1.67498787
1.771281536 1.835948866 2.138529521
1.335975242
1.38475007 1.738406551
1.021009195 1.058284996 1.206845229
0.617710664 0.640262528
0.70370401
0.410211575 0.425187899 0.412231713
0.17650529 0.182949283 0.123042314
0.020273927 0.021014103 0.000624304
0.016141259 0.016730557 0.135471774
0.181595434 0.188225262 0.522447238
0.46675283 0.483793407
1.04683568
0.544402448 0.564277918 0.771051445
0.731120823 0.757813154 0.397024618
1.085855866
1.12549914 0.613166581
1.796856328 1.862457363 1.266107582
2.548286609 2.641321447
2.24952357

14.47165743

15

15

2,000,000.00
y = 0.2535x - 926090
R = 0.9648

1,800,000.00
1,600,000.00
1,400,000.00

GDPI*

1,200,000.00
1,000,000.00
800,000.00
600,000.00
400,000.00
200,000.00
0.00
0.00

2,000,000.00

4,000,000.00

6,000,000.00
GDP*

8,000,000.00

10,000,000.00

926090

Series1
Linear (Series1)

10,000,000.00 12,000,000.00